All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg - "Founder Mode," DOJ alleges Russian podcast op, Kamala flips proposals, Tech loses Section 230?
Episode Date: September 6, 2024(0:00) Bestie intros! Jason goes "Founder Mode" (1:03) All-In Summit lineup announcement (9:01) Understanding "Founder Mode" (32:52) Bolt is back in the news as Ryan Breslow goes "Founder Mode" (52:28...) Tech's Section 230 protections might be in danger after new ruling (1:08:45) DOJ charges two Russians with infiltrating US media company (1:22:42) Kamala's economic pivot Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://paulgraham.com/foundermode.html https://x.com/chamath/status/1831003871344501069 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/PANW:NASDAQ https://a16z.com/on-micromanagement https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0679762884 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ABNB:NASDAQ https://www.amazon.com/Five-Dysfunctions-Team-Leadership-Fable/dp/0787960756 https://techcrunch.com/2022/01/14/online-checkout-bolt-decacorn https://www.businessinsider.com/bolt-ceo-calls-stripe-ycombinator-mob-bosses-twitter-silicon-valley-2022-1 https://www.paymentsdive.com/news/bolt-ceo-ryan-breslow-steps-down/618058 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/10/business/bolt-start-up-ryan-breslow-investors.html https://techcrunch.com/2023/07/21/bolt-ex-ceo-ryan-breslow-subject-of-sec-probe https://techcrunch.com/2023/10/06/bolt-ceo-discusses-moving-on-after-sec-probe https://www.theinformation.com/articles/bolt-once-worth-11-billion-slashes-price-97-in-buyback?rc=pxkrxo https://www.axios.com/2024/08/22/bolt-investors-baffled https://x.com/MikeSacksEsq/status/1828795866590896599 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-11-30/is-tiktok-responsible-if-kids-diedoing-dangerous-viral-challenges https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0JTcxIVlQfU https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1830440852411326782 https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/two-rt-employees-indicted-covertly-funding-and-directing-us-company-published-thousands https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1366266/dl https://www.axios.com/2024/09/05/putin-harris-trump-2024-election-russia-interference https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/30/tech/2020-election-russia-disinformation/index.html https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://www.liberalpatriot.com/p/the-rise-of-vince-lombardi-democrats
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Hold on, Jess, I gotta get into founder mode.
Oh, wow, founder mode.
If you founder modes, I'm gonna founder mode.
I gotta founder mode too.
Where's J. Cal?
Oh, shit.
Okay.
What?
Let's go, Freeberg, let's get this party started, baby.
Come on, podcast.
Number one podcast in the world, here we go.
Okay, guys, let's start the show.
You are founder mode-ing.
J. Cal, if you founder mode anymore,
you're gonna get pneumonia. All right, Sax is like's start the show. You are founder-moting. Jacob, if you founder-mote anymore, you're going to get pneumonia.
All right, Sax is like the 90s again.
Back at Stanford.
This is the funniest cold opening you've ever done.
Oh my god.
I got Belgian waffle mix everywhere.
It's right here, Jacob.
You got a bunch of founder-mote right there.
I got a little founder-mote there?
Okay, thanks for looking out.
We'll let your winners ride.
Rain Man, David Satterson.
I'm doing all-in.
And instead, we open source it to the fans, and they've just gone crazy with it.
Love you best, I mean, Queen of Kin Wands.
I'm doing all-in.
Founder mode, baby. Let's go. All right, everybody. Welcome back to the number one
podcast in the world with me again. The chairman dictator Trimoth Polly Hoppitiya.
How you doing, buddy? Have you acclimated now you're 15 days back on American soil?
How are you how you adjusting?
I'm doing well. I turned 48 two days ago.
Oh, I know the big 50. It's coming. I've already called dibs turned 48 two days ago. I know the big 50th's coming.
I've already called dibs on chairing your 50th.
So we will be certainly getting arrested in 24 months.
Save up your bell money, boys.
Friedberg, you look like you have had
a record number of panic attacks in the last 48 hours.
How is summit planning going? Are you okay, buddy? You took this responsibility on? Are you okay?
I'm hanging in there. I'm just waiting for the shoe to drop, J Cal and what you're gonna do to blow up. But I think we're almost there. So we're super excited. We have speaker names going out today. So we'll talk a little bit about who the speakers are you guys know your bestie, Elon will be there.
talk a little bit about who the speakers are. You guys know your bestie, Elon will be there.
Oh, third year in a row.
Okay. Third year in a row.
He's the only repeat this year.
We've got Mark Benioff joining us
for a conversation about the future of enterprise.
We've got Barry Weiss from the Free Press.
We've got Arizona Senator Kirsten Sinema.
We have John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs
to talk about geopolitics with David Sachs, Sachs on Sachs.
Nick Casherora.
Nick Casherora.
What about Peter Thiel?
My guy.
Peter Thiel.
I haven't interviewed Peter Thiel in a decade.
He's amazing.
We've got the legend, the legend from LA,
Michael Lovitz joining us.
Love that book.
We're gonna get into some really cool tech.
We have-
Have you guys read Michael Lovitz's book?
Oh, yes. Oh yeah, full of great books. It's incredible. It's really incredible. It's a great book. into some really cool tech we have. Have you guys read Michael Ovis's book?
Oh yeah.
It's incredible.
It's really incredible.
It's a great book.
Michael's incredible.
It's a great book.
What a playbook.
It's a really interesting mix.
We've also got some cool panels on tech and robotics.
So we're doing all three of the big EVTOL companies,
Joby, Archer and Wisk and their CEOs are going to be there.
Gecko Robotics.
So we've got Jake coming from Gecko to actually do a really cool product demo.
We have the CEO of Waymo, Takeda Mowakana joining us, talk about autonomous driving, Juan Carlos Belmonte talking about age reversal from Altos Labs,
probably the most funded private company in history.
And also Ingo's coming out from Europe from Adyen, CEO of Adyen.
You guys may not know this, but Ingo has never done a US conference before.
So this is his first public speaking event at a US conference.
He may be the first. I mean, Adyen, I think, is the first and really only company that's implemented AI in production at scale.
It'll be really interesting to understand where that's gone in the last year.
Great topic to talk about. And huge shout out to my boy, Woody Hoburg, U.S. astronaut,
joining us to tell us about his months aboard the ISS, his experience.
Is he going to talk about his experience at Uranus?
Is he gonna talk about his experience at Uranus? Hey, and captaining the crew dragon capsule back to Earth
from Uranus.
And the future of space flight and Uranus, yes.
Thank you, Chamaths.
To Uranus.
Thank you, everyone.
Anyway.
I love how he's like my guy, the astronaut,
as if like Freeberg and an astronaut
have the same life experience, you know.
You know what happened, Jake?
It's like me and my guy Draymond, you know champions.
Did I tell you, you know how I met Woody?
He's a huge fan of the pod.
And then he, NASA astronauts,
which I follow on Twitter DM'd me.
And they're like, Woody would like to meet.
And I'm like, what?
And then I get this message from Woody.
I'm like, is this real?
He's like, I'm on the ISS.
I listen to the pod every week.
I love the show.
And you guys, you know, keep me entertained up here
in space. And I'm like, no way. So then he's like. And you guys keep me entertained up here in space.
And I'm like, no way.
So then he's like, can you do a Zoom?
And I'm like, sure.
So we hop on Zoom.
And I, you guys saw this thing.
I put it out on Twitter or something,
but I did the Zoom with Woody, got to know him,
hung out with him since he's been back.
Great guy.
So-
You left out the number one host on the internet
and broadcast or news on YouTube.
Megan Kelly will be joining us.
Megan Kelly.
The phenomenal Megan Kelly.
Didn't she call you a prick, J. Cal?
Did she call me a prick?
Why should she be any different?
Yeah.
Oh, I can't wait for this fireworks.
What do tall, beautiful, intelligent women call me,
historically? What do they call you, intelligent women call me, historically?
What do they call you?
They call you, is that your mom?
They don't.
Exactly.
They're like, get out of the way.
Where's your mom?
They're like, can you park my car?
That's what they know I'm going to say.
And then really excited to have Thomas LaFont come and give us a state of the
union on public market and private market tech investing.
He's got a really interesting presentation he's going to share.
So a lot of the content from the summit, we're going to be
co-founder of co-founder of Co2.
Oh, sorry, co-founder of Co2. Yeah. And so a lot of the content we're going to be pushing out on YouTube as quickly as we can, obviously, some of
the more timely newsley stuff we'll get out first. And then as we did in the last two years, material will roll out in the days and weeks that
follow. We do not do sponsors here on the All In podcast, but the All In Summit does have sponsors.
So a huge shout out,
which we would never otherwise do,
partners to Excel Events, hexcladmerch.com,
Athletic Brewing, The Ridge,
the greatest law firm on earth, Cooley, Velocity Black,
and our big enterprise software partnership sponsor,
Google Cloud.
Big shout out and big thanks to Google Cloud
for stepping it up in a big way.
They have an incredible set of AI tools
that they're making available to startups,
startup founders that are attending the summit.
Get $350,000 in Google Cloud credits.
Wait, what?
So thanks.
Yeah.
Each startup?
Each startup, yeah.
So it's pretty awesome.
I would have sent all my companies to that. Exactly.
So, you pay 7,500 for a ticket, you get 350 in credit.
350 grand of credit, that's incredible.
For Google Cloud, it is up to 350 in Google Cloud credits
for eligible AI startups, which they can use over two years.
Comes with a bunch of other benefits.
So yeah, it's pretty awesome.
Really glad they're doing this.
And they're gonna have a big setup.
You're the most lukewarm ad read I've ever heard.
Do you want me to do
that. Can you guys feel on it? How would you guys feel on this?
Go ahead. And Google Cloud is giving an amazing offer to
everybody who comes to the summit. Wait till you hear the
sacks $350,000 for AI startups. Credit. And that that's real
money that you would have spent otherwise so great
How's that friends at Google Cloud?
Wait three or fifty thousand dollars just for startups whose founders come to our summit. Yeah
Yeah, for AI startup founders, they can sign up for Google Cloud
They get three to fifty thousand credits that they can use and over to your total across all the founders
No, no, no, no, no business. No, no, per business.
Per business.
Oh my gosh.
Yeah, so if you're spending 10K a month.
I have seven friends and family tickets left.
I'm starting seven companies in the next half hour.
They're all going to the summit.
I'm gonna clear it. Seriously.
$2.3 million of credits,
and I'm gonna sell them on eBay for 500K.
You can't do that.
To get the terms of service, man.
Oh, you can't do that?
Thank you to our friends at Google.
We did get a funny note from J. Cal this morning
asking if his remaining friends and family tickets
could be sold off so he could grift himself some money
off of our free allocation.
I was like, hey, what can these go for on the,
I'm just thinking if it's sold out,
these aren't worth 7,500 each.
What's it worth if you can't get in?
Yeah, I'm sure you'd find that out pretty quickly.
Yeah.
I mean, who's gonna stop me?
J. Cal would be standing on the corner trying to scalp
the remaining tickets.
No, I'm going to give them to my brother Josh.
If you want to get into the summit, for 10k in cash,
Josh will be at the loading dock.
We're going to see a couple of Calcans brothers
on the sidewalk outside the conference holding a sign.
Jickets available.
Down at the Mongolian barbecue joint in Westlund.
If you've ever been to Madison Square Garden, you just hold up
the number one and somebody will come talk to you. Somebody will
come talk to you. All right. We've gotten through all the
great housekeeping. And it's time to talk about founder mode
founder mode on Sunday. The Y Combinator founder Paul Graham
published an essay titled Founder Mode.
It was based on a talk that Airbnb CEO, Brian Chesky,
gave to a group of YC founders last week,
where he said, hey, the advice I got on running a large
company was to hire good people and give them room
to do their jobs.
He says he took that advice and the results were a disaster. So he studied how Steve Jobs ran Apple. And according to
PG program, that is a bunch of very successful founders in the audience, kind of nodded their
head and said, Hey, that is similar to my experience. PG defines the world now in two
ways, two philosophies for running a company manager
mode versus founder mode in manager mode.
That's just the conventional way of doing this.
What you teach in business school, you hire good people, you give them room to do their
jobs.
You tell your direct reports what to do.
They figure it out.
You don't micromanage.
PG says, he doesn't give too many specifics about founder mode.
He kind of says, hey, we got to figure out what this thing is.
So in some ways, this blog post, Chamath, was a way of starting the conversation.
But he said things like less delegation and more hands-on.
And if you haven't heard of it, skip level meetings.
This is where the CEO will meet not with their manager or direct report, but maybe a group
of people who report into that manager without the manager in the room. It's a notable and well-known management technique to kind
of get information to the CEO a little bit faster. And what do you think? Chum office
got a lot of attention on a Sunday. Did you have any takeaways from it? I was confused when I read it, because everybody was breathlessly panting about how incredibly
insightful it was.
And when I read it, my first thought was, where's the second half that actually explains
what this is so that you can have an opinion?
And then the next thing I thought was, I don't really understand what any of this is all
about.
And I tweeted this in a quarter century now in Silicon Valley.
I think I've encountered two different kinds of people.
One are the groups of people that can go right to the heart of issues because
they can break things down and look at it from first principles and just
ruthlessly attack what's not working with absolutely no nostalgia for people or
sunk costs or tech debt.
And then there's everybody else.
And I think that that is an archetype that actually drives successful companies.
It's not the case that those are only exhibited in founders.
I think it's a psychological makeup of a person and the people that have it tend to build good
companies. We'll have such a person, for example, at the All In Summit. If you look at what Nikesh
Arora was able to do at Palo Alto Networks, it's incredible. I mean, in eight years,
he's created $80 billion of value. How do you do that? I think it's important to understand how that happens.
If you look at a whole bunch of other people that are managers, Shantanu Narayan, how has he built
Adobe? Satya Nadella, how did he build Microsoft? These are all just like a handful of examples of
people that have just tacked on collectively trillions of dollars of market cap,
way more than all founders added together
in most companies, but for one or two.
So I think the takeaway is instead of looking
for some label, I think you're going to have to do
the really hard work if you want a successful business,
which is when things are working,
have the courage to change the few things
that still need changing. And when things are not working have the courage to change the few things that still need changing. And when things
are not working, break it down to the studs. And most people
don't have the courage to go through the glass eating that is
required to get to the other side of that process.
Sacks, did you read the piece? You've clearly saw all the
memes and you know, I guess, kudos for the piece on You've clearly saw all the memes and you know, I
guess, kudos for the piece on X this past weekend. What are your
thoughts on it? Generally speaking, anything that you took
from it that was notable? Or is this just some obvious stuff?
Yeah, I mean, my reaction to it was that this is hardly new. I
mean, I remember way back in the PayPal days over 20 years ago,
we had a rule that we weren't wouldn't
hire MBAs, we had a no MBA hiring rule. And the reason was
because we figured out pretty early on that MBAs were
bringing more of a traditional management toolkit that seemed
less applicable at a startup. Subsequent to that, obviously,
Elon has taken a very hands-on approach at his companies
that Walter Isaacson described in his book as demon mode.
So that's been described.
Ben Horwitz did a very interesting series of blog posts about management and addressed
the topic of micromanagement years ago.
So he's written extensively about it and put a lot of substance behind it. Ben drew attention to a book by Andy Grove that came out 40
years ago called High Output Management that also addressed this problem in
significant detail. And just to boil it down into a nutshell for you, the way
that Grove defines this problem is he says that the output of a manager is the output of that person's team.
And whether that manager is the CEO or a team lead or a VP or what have you, the way you
again measure their output is just to look at the output of their team. So therefore,
you ask what's going to maximize the output of that that team or that org.
And, you know, obviously, if the CEO tries to do everything and make every decision, probably that's
not going to result in the maximum output. Conversely, if you delegate everything, I call it the
problem of infinite delegation, where CEO delegates to VP, VP delegates to director, director
delegates to manager, manager delegates to the summer intern.
Yeah.
And then all the most important work in the company
gets delegated all the way down to the newest,
most inexperienced people.
That's not gonna work either.
Yeah.
So again, you're gonna have to find the right balance.
And again, the way that you figure out what the balance is,
is to apply Groves' principle of maximizing the output of the team or the organization. And we've seen in some of the big is, is to apply Gro's principle of maximizing the output of
the team or the organization.
And we've seen in some of the big companies, Sachs, that they've cut out middle management
because so much of the work was just being playing telephone and handing it to the next
person that when you took out that swath of people at Facebook or Google or Microsoft,
the company seemed to work better.
Yeah, great point.
Because you're taking out a layer of overpaid people.
And it just took out a huge amount of mental management
and it didn't seem to harm the performance.
Performance got better.
And again, you can apply Gro's principle.
Look at what happens to the aggregate output.
So this topic has been addressed at length
and I think has been understood for decades.
Maybe the only new thing here is a little bit of branding around founder mode versus
manager mode.
The problem with that branding is I think it's an overly simplistic and Manichaean view
of the world where it kind of fits into really all of the PGSAs and the YC model, which is
founders always right.
And everybody else in the ecosystem,
especially traditional managers,
they're either liars or fakers.
And that basically has been the mannequin model
that Paul Grant's been pumping out for decades.
And-
Is there something wrong with that model?
You're kind of looking at it
and I'm kind of hearing a little bit of a tone there.
Maybe I'm reading into it, that does it match reality?
Well, sure. I mean, look, the whole ecosystem
at Silicon Valley exists to help make founders successful.
I mean, I was a founder myself. Now I'm an investor.
There's also talent who don't found companies themselves
but want to join them.
The whole thing is organized to make founders successful.
And the whole idea that people are out to get the founder,
I mean, this is a really antiquated idea.
There was some truth to it in the 1990s.
By 2002 or 2003, when Peter Thiel created Founders Fund,
he called it that to emphasize that,
founders should be in charge.
I'd say by the mid to late 2000s,
no one really disagreed with that anymore.
So this whole idea that people are out to get founders rather than make them successful
is antiquated by at least 15 years, I would say.
Kind of why common heirs marketing, wouldn't you say, is to kind of put themselves next
to the founder and say, hey, we're the only ones who really care about founders. Everybody
else is out to get them.
Yeah. I mean, look, there was some truth to it. I'd say in the 1990s, there was a prevailing view
in Silicon Valley 30 years ago
that once the company got to a certain level of size,
you hire a professional manager.
Subsequent to that, people figured out
that the best performing companies
are indeed the founder-led companies,
the ones that keep the founder engaged
for a long period of time.
They tend to build the most value.
Everybody understands that. Everyone wants the founder to be successful. The question time. They tend to build the most value. Everybody understands that.
Everyone wants the founder to be successful.
The question is, how do you make this founder successful?
And I think there is a perverse dynamic
where if you teach the founder that, hey, you're always right
and everybody else is a liar and a faker,
then that can create a distortion effect
where founders don't feel the need to level up.
We all want the founder to level up. I mean I would always rather invest in the founder who
has vision over some professional manager, right? You want the visionary to
succeed but you need them to level up and learn, you know, just basic management
over time. And if you're teaching them that hey, founder's always right, there's
less incentive to do that. I think it's a wonderful Rorschach test
for basic intelligence.
I mean, if you just read something and all of a sudden,
like, that's my problem, it's probably not your problem.
And so it's a great way to actually weed out
the people that were just meant to fail anyways,
and just needed a way to externalize their frustration
and have an excuse.
I have never seen a person build a successful company
unless they understood intimately the core amount of value
that their company created and knew how to balance
getting into the weeds with scaling through other people.
I've never seen a good example of a great CEO
that didn't do that well.
Yeah, everyone has to figure this out.
And there is no word salad that explains this.
It's incredibly unique to every single company.
And so there is no panacea here.
Yeah, I mean, sometimes the founder's job
is to get in the weeds of something
that's broken in a company.
For sure.
And get down to micromanage it.
But wasn't this already understood?
Other times, you wanna step back
and let the sales team cook,
because they're crushing it.
I would say it's their job to have the strategic wherewithal
to understand what it takes to win, and then win at all costs.
That's their job.
And if you cannot win, and then you externalize your inability
to win to an SA or something else,
you're probably going to fail, and your company's probably
going to fail. Freeberg, you're probably going to fail and your company's probably going to fail.
Greg, you're back in the founder's seat
after a brief sojourn as an investor.
Any of this ring true to you or obvious?
Did you read the essay?
Any thoughts on it, the reaction to it?
I mentioned this when we had our conversation in 2020
around governance and why
governments seemed to not be able to synthesize different data to make
decisions, they were being told what to do by their subordinates. The
difference for me is leading versus managing that a traditional manager, and
I've seen this at a lot of companies, I even saw this a lot at Monsanto, the manager says
to the people that report to them, what are you guys going to
do? The people, they go down to the people that were worked to
them, and they say, What are you guys going to do? And so you end
up netnet developing this kind of bottoms up model for the organization,
which is effectively driven with a diffusion of responsibility, and as a result, a lack
of vision.
The leader says, here's what we are going to do, and here's how we are going to do it.
And then they can allocate responsibility for each of the pieces necessary.
And the leader that's most successful is the one that can synthesize the input from the subordinates
and take that synthesis to come up with a decision or a new direction
rather than be told what's the answer by the subordinates.
So leaders, I think fundamentally are able to, number one,
understand the different points of view of the
people that report to them. Number two, set a direction or
set a vision, really clearly say this is where we are going. And
then number three, figure out how to allocate responsibility
to the people that report to them to achieve that objective.
Whereas a manager is typically being told what's going to
happen in the organization like a giant Ouija board with 10,000 employees hands on the writing thing that go around and try and
write the sentences and ultimately just get a bunch of gobbity goop.
As companies scale and they bring in these quote professional managers, they're typically
kind of looking down and saying, Hey, what are we going to do? What's going to happen
next? And they're not actually setting a direction whereas someone who's a founder typically
feels the authority to be able to set the direction.
But to Chamath's point, Sacha Nadella, Sundar, Nikesh,
you can kind of, Tim Cook, a great example,
there are some really great leaders
that have run organizations that are already scaled,
and then taken them to an order of magnitude,
or two orders of magnitude beyond where they were
when they step in. So I don't think that there's necessarily a founder.
And they each did it uniquely. I don't think there's a single way in which any one of those
companies is run that necessarily you could have cut and pasted it to the other companies
and have it worked. So it requires a smart individual who understands their company and
their human capital intimately well
and their business model.
By the way, what's important about what you just said,
Chamath, is that that is effectively,
I think, the definition of being a successful founder,
understanding from first principles.
So these are leaders that can think from first principles,
not necessarily from comparables.
Most managers are caught in business school,
here's how a business is run, here's how this person did it, here's how this company did it. not necessarily from comparables. Most managers are caught in business school,
here's how a business is run,
here's how this person did it,
here's how this company did it.
And then they go and they try and cookie cutter repeat that.
That doesn't really work because every business,
if it's going to be successful, it has to be unique.
And so the ability to actually think uniquely
and identify from first principles,
the means necessary to achieve the mission
of the organization, I think is a critical,
critical leadership trait. Maybe that, yeah, that leader can come from a founder or not, but this ability to kind of, yeah, ignore convention, ignore comparables and think for yourself.
I don't see most founders starting a business because they've done some first principles
analysis. I see most founders starting companies because they see
a gap that they're pretty sure exists. But I think the biggest thing that founders have is this intersection of fearlessness and naivety. And so if they knew too much, they would never do it.
That I don't think necessarily means that the entire set of all of those people are actually
great first principles thinkers
The first principles is required after product market fit. What's required before product market fit is risk-taking
curiosity
relentless iteration and those are a very different set of
Characteristics is it true that sub founders can then change their toolkit?
Absolutely, but is it true that quote unquote,
because you have a title, you have those things? Absolutely not. Otherwise, we would have a much
higher success rate in Silicon Valley than we do. There is a reason why 95% of these companies go
to zero. It's because the ability to do the first thing is rare. And then the ability to transition
is even more. Well, building a unique business. And I think if you look at Airbnb, and I'll give Brian Chesky
incredible credit for this, you look at Uber, you look at how Steve Jobs built Apple, what every one
of these businesses have in common is that they were all built in a unique way. And I think that's
what makes great businesses is that they identify their own path, their own unique path for how to
operate a business to scale to achieve the mission of the
organization. And I think that that's what's typically lacking
in trained managers who use comparables and biases from
their prior experience and what they've been trained and taught
to use as a cookie cutter type model, which doesn't create
unique value, it makes your business look like the other.
And ultimately, it commoditizes some aspect of the business to
the point that the value of the business goes down.
But to build something unique where you're constantly finding
the unique path that gives you an advantage is what all of
these companies have in common. Whether that unique path was
made by an experienced hired person, or a first time founder,
it's this ability to kind of build a unique competency that I
think makes them all distinct as a group.
I think that's a really good point. Like if you look at some technology businesses,
they start off looking like technology businesses
and what they really are are tech enabled
consumer businesses.
Other businesses are pure technology companies.
And why that distinction is important in this context
is that there are certain kinds of challenges
you have in the former that you just don't have
in the latter and vice versa. So if you're a Google or a Facebook and you run into some problem,
typically the solution is you can engineer around it because ultimately your product is free and
there's a different way to scale and grow and create feature value because those are also
incrementally free. If you look at a company like Airbnb and if you look at the last six months in
the stock,
what is it telling you? It's telling you that the people that own it have realized that it's less
of a technology business, and it's more of a cyclical business that ebbs and flows with
the ability to spend money on behalf of the consumer. So now all of a sudden,
you're put into a different bucket, and you grow as people's belief ebbs
and flows about the amount of spending that consumers have.
That is independent of your product quality.
And what that means is that there's no amount of investment in technology that you can really
make to change that.
People need to have excess capital in order to spend on vacations, and then you can capture
your fair share of that. But if we're in a recession, that company will be under pressure in a way
that has nothing to do with the internal product quality that they exhibit. So
these are just dimensionality. It's just different kinds of problems that
every single company faces that are totally unique to its own circumstances.
So if you are trying to point to some label as the reason why your company is failing,
I would just encourage you to not do that.
J. Cal, you've interviewed thousands of founders, CEOs, you've seen successful, unsuccessful.
Do you have a point of view on whether this concept applies and what if you have a general kind of
heuristic for the difference between success and not success?
It's very different in the place where Paul Graham and I invest,
year zero, year one of a company.
And Chamath, you alluded to this.
In that time period, going from zero to one,
from no customers to one customer,
it's about really having a team of builders,
people who can actually build a product
and have what's called product velocity in the industry, the ability to iterate, and then how much time
do they spend with customers understanding what those customers' problems are.
And so what we'll see is when the professional managers try to do that, they try to get a
product to market and achieve what's called product market fit.
And then eventually maybe get product or get market pull as Andy Ratcliffe defines it, which is
the market is seeking your product out because of word of mouth and because they need it,
which Airbnb and Uber would fall into now.
The difference between those two moments in time and who's good at it is pretty different
to your point, Shamath.
So to be able to win both those bets is hard.
That's like a parlay in a way.
Getting the product market fit requires this sort of relentlessness in innovation
and trying things if you have experience in that vertical, it
works against you. So we were looking at a company today in
our in our firm that has a really good idea. And it's
people who are from the industry. But they have an okay
idea. It's people from the industry, but they can't get the
product built because they're senior managers who have 20 years experience in this particular
vertical, you would much rather see neophytes come out the vertical. So if you look at the companies
mentioned here, Airbnb, Uber, and then SpaceX, and Tesla, you just look at those four companies, they had no experience, zero in space, in travel,
in transportation, hospitality, you know, or any of the, the success they had or electric
cars. But to actually scale those companies, that does require a lot of expertise, a lot
of tactics, and you know, people who can focus in a way on very narrow things.
And that's sometimes founders who are in that first group,
they can't have that focus on but one tiny little thing.
They just get bored with it.
And so they have to learn to have really great people,
recruit really great people, and actually, yes,
delegate to them to run a department and say,
the goal of this organization, and you saw this
Chamath, when you were at Facebook, I think you've told
me so many stories about, you know, you're focused on one
thing, the sign up flow, getting people to add that second or
third friend getting them to fill out their profile, there
were like key moments you determined would equal success.
And then Zuckerberg yourself and those early that early crew were able to obsess over those so maybe you talk about
Zuckerberg's ride to getting the first, you know, whatever 10 million people in the product, but then 10 million to a billion.
Well, I mean, Zuck, I think did an incredible thing for me, which is he let my team cook.
I don't remember having skip level meetings, this, that, none of this other nonsense. But at the
same time, what he did was he created AirCover for us because let's be honest, I was an immature
executive at the time. So I was still learning how to be part of a fabric of a group of people. I
did not know how to do that. So I was a little bit of a lone wolf operator with my team and I
operated that way. I would, hey guys, we get to a hundred million people, we're all going
to Vegas and the rest of the company would be upset and you know, Mark and
Cheryl's job would be to clean up the broken glass of everybody else saying
there's these haves and have-nots at Facebook. And in hindsight, who cares
because it all worked. In the moment, I could see why everybody else was a
little bit upset with that. So they did a wonderful job of letting this wonderful team of very curious
iterators do their job. And they basically got out of the way.
And I think that that's a wonderful thing, but is that repeatable?
Not in any other company,
because that context and timing and moment was very unique. And again,
my approach to the job was unique, not necessarily sustainable, not necessarily good or nor bad, different.
And we adapted to those boundary conditions to maximize how we could deliver.
But it doesn't mean anything to any other company, in my opinion.
Yeah, I think it's it's well said. There's another good book before we go on to our next subject, Patrick lancione, I'm sure some of you have read the five dysfunctions of a team. But
he kind of got into early this sort of ability to be unlike
inside of a company. And just, I think I highly recommend the
book because it really talks about this sort of fear of
conflict, and avoidance of accountability and inattention
to results, which is kind of the underpinnings of I think what Paul was getting to with founder mode. Okay, great discussion, everybody. Let's speaking of founder mode. I mean, this story keeps coming back.
We talked about this company before Breslau is a founder of a company called bolt That's a payment startup and I have to set the story up in a couple of acts here
Saxon I had been following it for a while
Bolt was a payment startup. They did one-click checkout products. If you don't know the one-click
Amazon had a patent for this for a while it came out of
Came out of patent protection. everybody sort of jumped on it.
They're shopped by Shopify, you probably have experience, you buy something at one store,
and then you log into another store with your phone number, it has all your credentials,
you've been cookie'd, and that basically takes out the friction, and allows you to make a purchase at another
vendor without having to put in all your credentials and credit card and everything. So BALT makes that through an API for different shops online, they generated 27 million in revenue on a $300 million loss last year, they get two to 3% commission when they sell something. Anyway, we talked about BALT back in January 2022, because they had raised at an extraordinary valuation 355
million and an $11 billion valuation 366 times revenue sacks. I guess we missed those. Then
Breslow made waves on Twitter by calling Shripe and YC the mob bosses of Silicon Valley. He
alleged they were kind of acting in cahoots to keep people from using bolts.
And he claimed YC was skewering rankings on hacker news, all this other stuff.
Anyway, it's been two and a half years since we talked about this craziness at
bolt and Breslau step down as CEO after posting that thread, he was accused of overstating bolts,
customers and technical capabilities to investors while raising money
backup probed by the SEC. They didn't take any action. And then
their valuation was slashed 97% to 300 million earlier this
year. That's where the story had ended until just last week when
an insane story came out that bolts interim CEO not Breslow
had emailed investors informing them out of the
blue that they were going to raise 450 million at a $14 billion valuation. This came as a surprise
to investors. They didn't know this was happening according to reports, and that this deal would put
Breslau back in charge as CEO. It was confusing to all the investors and they've all started to
lawyer up and try to figure this out. Here's what we know so far. Bolt is on pace to generate 28
million in revenue this year, roughly the same as 2021. And so a $14 billion valuation would be 500
times revenue Chamath. I'm not sure who would pay for that deal. But this deal is unique in that it's called pay to play. If you don't
know that term, it basically means if you're an existing
investor, if you don't invest in this round, you're going to
lose your existing shares or have them diluted massively. So
some investment bank out of the Seychelles, which is that tiny
island in Africa that rich people go on vacation was supposed to put in
200 million. That firm was called Silver Bear. The other
250 million would come from a firm called the London Farm in
marketing capital and credits on a venture investing platform.
So anyway, there's a ton of carve outs here and other stuff.
I'm going to stop there at the notes and just sax.
This is the craziest story.
Sorry it took so long to get here.
What are your thoughts on what we're seeing here in this drama and this Zerb valuation?
Yeah, look, Ryan has been right before.
He's been right in the past, but in this case, it looks like he's clearly over his skis.
And if the reporting is correct, it looks like he's trying to drum up interest in a financing round by
Representing things that aren't true or haven't happened yet saying that certain investors aren't bored and those investors are coming out and saying that they're not
The question I think that's relevant and that relates back to our previous topic. Is this founder mode?
I mean what makes is this founder mode? I mean, what
makes this not founder mode? And I think that this is where it'd be helpful to have a little
bit more substance and not just branding exercise. Let me give you a more mundane example. I
was in a board meeting the other day and I commented to the team on how they had gotten
their burn down substantially since the last board meeting. somebody joked one of the founders said founder mode
It was kind of a joke. Okay, great
But then it got me thinking what if in this board meeting it had gone the opposite way and the founders had taken the position
you know what we're not gonna try and cut burn we're gonna put the pedal to the metal and
Accelerate the business and spend a lot more because somehow it's going to get us to the next funding round faster. Founder mode.
Founder mode.
Founder mode.
Founder mode.
Founder mode.
Founder mode.
Let me find out.
That's founder mode, baby.
Let's go.
Let's double burn.
Exactly.
So when you start branding these concepts without putting any substance behind them, and quite
frankly, you've never been an operator yourself.
You've never actually created a unicorn company, but you're representing yourself as a unicorn whisper,
like you're a guru in something you've never really done before. Then it just allows people
who want to justify bad behavior to basically get away with doing whatever they want. And that's
what you're seeing with founder mode now, Jake. The reason why that joke is funny, you're doing
your Tony Montana bit, is because you can justify any bad behavior as founder mode. Yes. And I think that's what all
the memes are about right now is that founder modes become a joke because there's no substance
to it and allows you to justify anything a founder wants to do. And I think a more honest way to
approach this would be to define here are the actual behaviors
that make a founder successful, including when a founder is wrong. How about
slightly differently? There are stupid outcomes and smart outcomes and there
are all kinds of different people that can get to stupid outcomes and smart
outcomes and so you have to have the courage to say that was stupid don't
ever do that again and that was smart do more of that and if you can't distinguish the two or you can't was stupid, don't ever do that again. And that was smart, do more of that.
And if you can't distinguish the two
or you can't get to the latter, you're gonna fail.
Instead of founder mode,
why don't we call it founder responsibility?
Like what are the responsibilities?
I mean, founder authority is good too.
Founder authority, founder responsibility.
Steph Curry is not the founder of the Warriors,
but he's the lynchpin, okay?
My point is teams need winning players.
And then you need to put together
your own game plan for winning,
but the goal should be winning.
If you are not winning, you are a loser.
And what does winning have?
Really talented, really driven people
in different positions who understand their position
are held accountable for their positions.
Winning, winning.
If you're not winning, you're losing.
Yeah, to be frank, there's a certain kind of con man who represents themselves as a guru,
even though they've never done the thing that they pretend to have done. And yeah, and in this case,
frankly, you've got someone promoting concepts about operating when they've never done that
before. They never scaled a unicorn company, yet they're pretending to be a unicorn whisperer
who's telling founders how to behave.
And the question you need to ask,
is this at the end of the day helpful or not?
I mean, we all want to exalt and celebrate founders.
I wanna win.
Exactly, but we all wanna win.
And James Madison said that men are not angels.
What do you do about those cases, rare?
I think they're pretty rare,
where the founder is just wrong about something.
Where they're like representing that investors
are gonna do something that they're not gonna do,
or Elizabeth Holmes represents that she's got a product
that she doesn't have,
or you have a founder breaking a regulatory requirement
that actually is necessary that they comply with.
What do you do in all those cases?
You actually need to have some objective
standard of behavior that's not just, oh, founders always right,
traditional managers are always wrong, because that's just not
nuanced enough to account for what it's actually going to take
to win.
I mean, if Adam Newman had listened to a lot of the smart
people he had hired at WeWork, he might not have signed leases
that were so high priced and gotten away from the playbook that worked when they started that
business, which was find the cheapest real estate, charge the highest price you can for it by making
it, you know, a community and really nice, as opposed to hiring the Class A, getting the Class
A space and then charging a B price. To your point, like a senior real estate executive would have put together a
forecast of cash flows. And it would have been a very boring meeting.
But if you didn't have the intellectual wherewithal to realize that that was a
critical meeting for a real estate business, and then listen to that, and
then manage your burn appropriately, that was a huge mistake.
So again, it just, it always comes down to,
can you take all the labels and all of the, you know,
navel gazing aside and can you make good smart decisions
when you're asked to run the play?
That's your job at every level of a company.
And a CEO that knows how to do that
tends to helm winning companies.
And I don't think that that is exhibited in whether you are employee zero or employee 20.
It's an intellectual and psychological archetype. Yeah. I mean, in my experience, the founders that
are highly successful are the ones that are hands-on. They've got a strong vision and they
pursue it and they're constantly learning
and leveling up, and they're gonna learn wherever they can.
They are gonna learn from other founders,
they're gonna learn from executives they may have hired
who maybe do have more traditional background.
They're gonna figure out what works for them,
and they're gonna discard the parts
that don't work for them, and they're gonna double down
on the parts that do, and the end result
is gonna be a style that works for them.
And there's not a one-size-fits-all to that, as we've seen. to double down on the parts that do and the end result is going to be a style that works for them.
And there's not a one size fits all to that, as we've seen.
That's actually the most important thing that I've heard in this whole discussion that we
don't talk enough about.
The people that win are deeply intellectually promiscuous.
They're learning about many, many things.
They're adapting things to their own playbook.
The next day they may throw that piece away and take something else because this
is something they learned. We use the word re underwrite a lot,
right. But it's this idea of constantly re underwriting what
the conditions on the field are. So you know what you need to do
in that moment to maximize your chances of success.
I have the perfect example of this. When I was running
Weblogs, Inc, we were going to raise around the funding Mark
Cuban had given us the first 300 and Mark Andreessen was going
to give us 500k for our blogging company that didn't gadget,
etc. And I had met Jeff Bezos, and I told him, I'm in Seattle
this week. We'd love to catch up with you. I wasn't in see I
said I was gonna be in Seattle next week for the whole week.
We'd love to catch up with you. I wasn't planning on being in
Seattle. I made that story up just to make it convenient for him. And he said, sure, come by on Tuesday,
or whatever I come by Tuesday, sit with Jeff Bezos, my partner, Brian LVI.
And the intellectual curiosity he took on taking apart in gadget and blogging as this new medium
that was very disruptive at the time, how do you pick the name of the blog? Tell me about the CMS?
What is the publishing strategy? How do you hire people? And I would say, Oh, you know, we hire people,
the best people are the great commentators. So we look at the great comments, and then we hire them.
And then I watched in Amazon, they started hiring the people writing great reviews for their review
team. And I was like, Oh, wow, he really is taking notes on this. And to your point, Saks,
or maybe to you made this point. In terms of hiring, one of the
great techniques Bezos had is a concept called bar raisers. And
a bar raiser in Amazon is somebody you hire for your team,
who is so good that they raise the bar for the entire team. So
when they would say, Hey, we're going to add somebody to this
team, they're going to be the 10th person, you'd say, are they
better at whatever dimensions than the rest of the team? And will they raise the bar for everybody here? And then
you think about some managers, they hire somebody who fits in
to hire somebody who doesn't rock the boat. And there are
techniques here in very specific ways to attract talent to your
startup. That will become, you know, do you guys remember
catalyst for change? Why why guys remember part of the reason why YC
and Founders Fund and Andreessen took this path
was to try to corner Sequoia?
Because Sequoia had this reputation in the 90s
and early 2000s as somebody that would boot the founder.
But when you look at Sequoia's returns,
what their returns say is these guys are just winners. They're consummate, incredible winners. And so what Sequoia had the ability to do,
clearly looking backwards, is figure out which companies had people that were adapting themselves
in scaling and people who were a little bit in a cul-de-sac and just needed to get replaced.
And again, they were operating from a first principles perspective, in my opinion, and they were being
pretty ruthless and acting with zero nostalgia. So it's again,
it's just a reminder, like, there is no easy answer here. It
is so hard. That is why 95 plus percent of our companies and our
efforts end up with nothing to show it's the end of it.
Ray Berg, to bring you on this discussion,
there was a moment in time actually where this actually
crossed over and you got to witness it,
which was when Larry and Sergey were taking Google Public.
And before that, they said, I don't
know if the markets will let these two
PhDs as smart as they are, as driven as they are,
with such a great product.
I don't know if they're gonna buy the
stock, can we get an adult in the room who's done this before
and they found Eric Schmidt who had run Novell. And they
brought him in as this, you know, third part of the triangle
and then eventually he wound up leaving, etc. What were your
thoughts on Silicon Valley and that transition time and Eric
Schmidt's role at Google?
Well, Eric Schmidt came into Google through his relationship with John Doar.
And John Doar, as a mentor to Larry and Sergey, an investor in Google,
had suggested that they bring in a professional manager that can help them successfully scale the business.
And John had this relationship with Eric and Larry and Sergey started to socialize with Eric and it was a very long process.
And they ultimately respected Eric because of his technical capabilities and technical background, which was quite distinct from the other candidates that they had met during this process.
But it was necessary. They were first time. They'd never worked anywhere. They never had a job. They had never had experience.
They had never had a job, they had never had experience. I think similarly, Sheryl Sandberg as a partner to Zuck
ultimately helped him level up and obviously Chamath
and others prior to that.
But these first time founders that haven't had
any sort of work experience and have no concept
of kind of organizational dynamics and the challenges
that will arise as you try and build and scale a team
to execute a mission, typically need to have some degree
of counseling, mentorship and support. typically need to have some degree of counseling
mentorship and support. And so bringing in that degree of
experience with someone who's ready and willing to partner
with the founders, meaning not necessarily direct them, but
partner with them and help them learn as Eric did, and then
ultimately handed the reins back to Larry. And as Cheryl did, and
ultimately, Zuck continued to kind of lead the company, have been really
powerful enabling forces. But Chamath is right, the early days
of Silicon Valley venture capital were really framed
around this concept where you find some smart technical
founding team, and then you bring in a professional manager.
But that's because so much of the origin of technology in
Silicon Valley was about selling technology into an enterprise.
So there was kind of a bit of a in Silicon Valley was about selling technology into an enterprise.
So there was kind of a bit of a tried and true business model and business structure
that made sense.
The new era since the internet has been quite different.
Every business model imaginable has been reinvented in Silicon Valley.
And so success, I think, has largely arisen in reinventing businesses, reinventing industries by kind of novel,
independent thinking leaders,
not necessarily bringing in experienced managers
to scale up a known business model.
Right, and just, I think the turning point
was when Peter started Founders Fund,
but that was over 20 years ago.
In other words, Peter realized that that old approach
in the 90s of bringing in the professional management
had run its course and that we needed to help founders level up and stay in the seat for as
long as possible. That was 22 years ago that he created that firm. So we're like decades into this
and that's what kind of feels anachronistic about this whole discussion is it's almost like we're
pretending like we're still in a world in which
founders aren't celebrated and exalted. It's quite the contrary. They can do almost anything.
And the question is, how do you help them level up? And at some point, if you're constantly just
saying that, well, founders know everything, founders always right, is that actually helping
them or is it actually reinforcing a mentality that, oh,
I don't have to learn anything?
Because all the great founders have been learning machines.
But if they had been told throughout
that you're always right, don't worry about it,
then they may not have learned the same way.
Did you say you met with Eric Schmidt recently, Shama?
Well, I had a meeting with Eric Schmidt a few weeks ago,
which blew my mind.
And I think I called Fieberg right afterwards, but this is just an example of like, there are just people that know how to win.
He is one of those people. So as part of 8090, one of the things that we're doing is we're building a transpiler.
You know, right now everybody is very much fixated on PyTorch. The problem with PyTorch and building to NVIDIA is
you have this thing called CUDA in the middle of it, which is owned by NVIDIA. And I think that
over time, that's problematic. So the long-term solution is you need a functional transpiler that
can take CUDA-litered code, but be able to compile it without losing performance to any hardware. So
Amazon hardware, Google TPU, etc. So Eric and I sat
down, we were together for a couple days when we were in Europe and we had like an hour 90 minute
meeting. The level of technical detail and mastery that he had blew me away. And he asked
hundreds of very, very, very specific questions, some of which I knew the answers to, some of which I didn't.
I was able to ask him what he thought,
he was able to go into the weeds
in an enormous amount of detail.
And what I thought was,
where is he finding the time
to know as much as he does about compilers
and the specifics of AI at this level of detail. And, and the story of telling you this
example is just more that that is a kind of person that is just rare and unique, you can't put a label
on that person. And you just want that person near you because he has the ability to help you in a
way that most other people just do not, irrespective of whatever their title is. So it just goes to say like, you got to focus on the actual meat of the problem.
And in that specific case, he gave us two technical directions that my team and I
are exploring now with this goal that if one of them pans out, I'll go back to Eric and say,
look, we tried these things, this is working. This is not working. What do you think?
And it was an incredibly helpful meeting to me.
And he just offered that time to me.
And so my point is people like this exist.
And I think that the whole goal,
if you're trying to win,
seek those people out independent of what they're doing,
what their title is.
Learn from them as much as you can.
And hopefully you get one step closer to winning.
And get them on your team if possible. Yeah.
Ideally.
All right. Here we go. A panel of California judges has ruled that section 230 does not
protect Tic-Tac's algorithm in the case of the death tragically of a 10 year old girl.
We've talked about section 230 and legislation to protect algorithms or to make algorithms
more editorial.
We'll get to that in a second,
but let me just cue up the story
and then we'll play a clip from episode 99
of All In Podcast.
In late 2021, a 10-year-old Pennsylvania girl
accidentally killed herself while participating
in a blackout challenge she saw on TikTok.
That is a challenge that encourages viewers
to choke themselves with objects like belts
until they pass out.
According to Bloomberg, this challenge has been linked with the deaths of 15 young people.
Oh my God.
Yeah, it's terrible.
What?
The child's mother sued TikTok, arguing that their algorithm served blackout challenge videos to her child, thus making them responsible.
In the past, algorithmic decisions, as we've talked about here, were protected under Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act. Just to break this down very
simply, if you're Section 230, that grants internet platforms featuring user generated
content immunity from being sued over content published by those users on their platforms.
So YouTube, TikTok, Twitter, you know, a blogging platform, etc.
So, because of 230, you're technically not supposed to be able to go after something like TikTok
because a random user posted crazy videos like this.
But an appeals court, Chamath, has reversed that ruling with the judge arguing that TikTok's algorithm
represents a unique, quote unquote, expressive product, which communicates to users through a curated stream of
videos, the judge claims tic tox algorithms reflect, reflect
editorial judgment. So here's the interesting legal detail,
the new ruling specifically cites the Supreme Court's recent
decision Moody versus NetChoice in which the court ruled
unanimously to vacate that Florida law we talked about
here, that
banned tech companies from deplatforming political officials.
So that was viewed as a big win for speech protection sacks and moderation rights in
big tech.
But this is all super ironic because the same ruling that affirmed big tech's First Amendment
protections in content moderation may also have nullified the Section 230 immunity.
So let's play this quick clip here, Chamath.
This is a discussion you and I had about should algorithms be part of Section 230 back in
2022.
Let me break down an algorithm for you.
Okay, effectively, it is a mathematical equation of variables and weights.
An editor 50 years ago was somebody who had that equation of variables and weights. An editor 50 years ago was somebody
who had that equation of variables and weights
in his or her mind.
And so all we did was we translated,
again, this multimodal model that was in somebody's brain
into a model that's mathematical, that sits in code.
You're talking about the front page editor
at the New York Times.
Yeah, and I think it's a fig leaf to say that because there is not an individual person who writes point two in front
of this one variable and point eight in front of the other, that all of a sudden that this isn't
editorial decision making is wrong. We need to understand the current moment in which we live,
which is that these computers are thinking actively for us. And that is just
true. And so I think we need to acknowledge that because I think it allows us at least
to be in a position to rewrite these laws through the lens of the 21st century.
There's such an easy way to do this. If you're TikTok, if you're YouTube, if you want Section
230, if you want to have common carrier and not be responsible for what's there,
when a user signs up, it should give them the option.
Would you like to turn on an algorithm?
Here are a series of algorithms which you could turn on.
You could bring your own algorithm,
you could write your own algorithm
with a bunch of sliders, or here are ones that other users
and services provide like an app store.
So, Chamath, that was your take on it,
and here we are.
What are your thoughts on it. And here we are.
What are your thoughts on Section 230 and algorithms today?
If you use an algorithm, should that nullify, void your Section 230 protection?
I think it is a fig leaf to say that there's a level of abstraction that should give us
immunity.
I think that these algorithms are taught to iteratively become better and better
at hooking people on whatever is trending in that moment.
And I think it's probably known to these companies
at any given time what's trending.
So even though they're not literally going
and changing something in the moment,
doesn't mean that they don't support it
and doesn't mean that they're not aware of it. And it doesn't mean that they don't support it and doesn't mean
that they're not aware of it. And it doesn't mean that they haven't created a net to sort of catch
these lightnings in a bottle and spread them around. And so I think we just need to have a
more intelligent discussion about how responsibility should be shared in a world where Section 230, yeah, you're right. I'll just say it again. We're not writing deterministic code anymore. It doesn't say if this then that show them the blackout video. There is no piece of code anywhere. But it's it's kind of a fig leaf to say that that isn't the intention of the way that the new form of software is written. Yes, correct. Sax, your thoughts here on balancing 230 with the fact that I think we all agree that
these algorithms are the new modern day editors.
I don't agree. I have a very different opinion on this than you guys do.
Oh, okay. Here we go.
And I always have. Well, first of all, let me just speak to the legal precedent here. Last year, there were two Supreme Court decisions addressing this very issue of whether algorithms
basically obviated 230 protection.
The court found that they didn't.
There were a couple of cases involving users who basically went down a rabbit hole of terrorist
videos and got recruited by ISIS.
Remember this?
Yes. And they were sued by the families of victims or at least the social
networks were and the argument was that they basically had been recruited into
ISIS and committed the terrorism because of the algorithms and the social
networks were liable for that. Supreme Court found that they weren't which is
just to say that algorithms were not treated differently than if the content had been on a regular feed, just a chronological feed.
What Section 230 says is that you can only hold the user liable.
We're going to treat social networks as distributors, not publishers, for the purpose of user-generated
content. I've long held the view that if you want to make
online platforms liable as publishers
for every piece of user generated content,
then you're going to have very little free speech left.
Cause I just think that corporate risk aversion
is going to force these guys to become even more censorious
than they already are.
Every piece of content that could potentially lead
to a lawsuit is gonna get shut down.
And I think that the net effect of that
will be much more negative.
Now, to the argument about aren't algorithms
just the new editors, I don't think so.
I think there's a fundamental difference
between what an editor does and what an algorithm does.
If you look at an editorial page of the New York Times,
the Wall Street Journal, it has a very specific point of view that is promoting. In fact,
sometimes you can't tell the op-ed page from the news page because it seems like that publication
is so biased in favor of one point of view or another. An algorithm isn't supposed to
do that. An algorithm is supposed to give you more of what you want and so therefore if you are pro Trump you'll see more pro Trump content.
If you're pro Kamala Harris you'll see more Harris content. In other words X or
whatever the platform is isn't supposed to be taking an editorial position on
whether it supports Trump or Harris but rather is giving you more of what you
want. Elon recently spoke to this.
He had a tweet recently where he talked about,
hey, people are coming to him saying,
hey, I'm seeing all these offensive things in my feed.
Why is this?
Well, it turns out that they had been sharing those posts
that were offensive to them.
And so they were seeing more of them.
And that's a really good example of how the algorithm
just gives you more of
what you're interacting with. So don't interact with outrage porn. If you don't want to be
outraged, stop interacting with outrage porn and you'll see less of it. I just think that
is fundamentally different than having an editorial point of view. X does not have an
editorial point of view that it wants you to see more of that outrage. It's simply the
user is making clicks and clicking a share button in a way that it interpre you to see more of that outrage. It's simply the user is making clicks
and clicking a share button in a way that it interprets it
to be saying, oh, this user wants more of that content.
Yes.
And so this is why I don't think that all of a sudden
section 230 protection should be voided.
I just think it's a fundamentally different thing
than what a publisher does.
I have a third view and I'll bring you in on this discussion here, Friedberg,
is that these algorithms have become so powerful,
they are even better than editors
at catering to users' needs,
because they're obviously one-to-one casting, right?
And so this is a perfect opportunity
not to get rid of 230, but to evolve it.
And as I said in that previous clip, you know, there is a big issue
as to who's making these algorithms in the case of
TikTok, the Chinese government's influence. And you know, what
is their intention? And are they being thoughtful about it? Because
they are powerful? And what responsibility did they take is
the responsibility stomping at increasing the session? Because
if you want to increase a session, all you have to do is keep showing more rage
and getting people more upset. And that leads to division in society and all kinds of weird things
that can occur. And so empowering users and having more transparency would be a great way for the
government, for individuals who are frustrated with this and the platforms to find some common ground and involved.
What do you think of this possibility, Friedberg, of maybe you come to YouTube and instead of shutting down 230 and causing chaos to your point sacks,
which I agree with that it would cause chaos and more censoring, just saying to people, hey, welcome to YouTube.
Here are three ways you can view your content by default.
You can pick our algorithm. You can pick an education leaning algorithm, you can pick a music leaning algorithm,
or you could have no algorithm at all and you'll just be faced with a directory. What
do you think of that as maybe a middle ground here?
I'm not sure that giving people a choice of an algorithm is going to work. Consumers just want to have
stuff that incites emotion. There's a reason, you know, horror movies do well, and also
romantic comedies and also adventure films. Like they're all emotive. At the end of the
day, the more emotive something is, the more emotionally inciting it is, the more likely
you are to kind of want to have something like that again. And so that's simply the nature of how, you know, humans interact with the world around them.
When something is emotionally inciting, you want more of it and you get more of it,
and that creates the dopamine and that drives the behavior.
The crazy thing about social media or digital media, firstly, is that the feedback cycle is much cycles much faster used to be that you put out a book, you
wouldn't get the results on how the book sold and how many
people liked it and how many people read it till a year
later. And then with movies, you get results in a weekend. But
with social media, you get results instantly when a piece
of content comes out online, you get an instant result. And then
with the concept of a feed, where the next content is
dynamically selected for you based on your reaction to the content prior to it, you kind of get this immediate feedback loop that then tunes and lines up the next thing.
And now you're getting hundreds of iterations an hour.
So I'm not sure that there's really this like simple solve where let me show you something that's like less inciting at the end of the day, if it's something that's horrific or something that's.
At the end of the day, if it's something that's horrific or something that's romantic or something that's inspiring, if it's emotionally kind of activating enough, you're going to be happy
watching the next one, you're going to keep watching it, you're going to keep watching
it.
I think there is a relatively easy solve, which is you could simply open source the
algorithm like X has done.
So we can see, is it messing with your mind or not?
Is it actually biased?
Are they actually inserting
editorial opinions into the algorithm? And so if you open source it, people can see what
it's doing.
I actually, I hear this point of view a lot, that social media is only preying on negative
emotions. That argument is made a lot by people who want to regulate it more and they want
more censorship and that's why they're making that kind of argument. I don't think that the algorithm is only reacting
to outrage or incitement.
I think quite the contrary.
What I've seen on my X feed
is that it's showing me more stuff that I like.
And I'm-
That's right.
I mean, the algorithm has gotten so good.
Yeah, like if you go on YouTube,
I got, I love watching like videos of mountain biking.
And I see like all these crazy mountain biking videos now.
And I love watching them. I'm like, see all these crazy mountain biking videos now.
And I love watching them.
I'm like, dude, this is awesome.
It's exciting for me.
I don't think it's about making me angry.
I hear what you're saying, but I would just,
I would offer something slightly different,
which is I think that these algorithms focus on momentum.
So meaning if Freeberg spends the next 15 minutes
looking at mountain biking videos,
the momentum shifts to mountain biking.
If he then goes to surfing, the algorithm goes to that.
There's a decay function, that's right, yeah.
And the reason is that the way that these,
if you go back to the actual models themselves,
the way that they're architected, right?
Like if you look inside of a transformer, what is it?
There's a neural network part
and then there's a self-attention part.
What is the self-attention thing trying to do?
It's trying to figure out the momentum and the importance of a given input.
So the core structure of the way that we've solved the problem today is erring towards a thing where
if actors in the system wanted to create momentum in one direction versus the other,
wanted to create momentum in one direction versus the other, they can probably do it before they get caught,
because the algorithms will amplify that.
And I think this is the whole point
where these blackout videos,
it's not as if somebody wanted to consume that per se,
as much as there was a moment in time
where the momentum was towards those videos,
a large swath of people got it.
And then the unfortunate tragedy is the very small percentage
of people acted on it and were killed.
This can happen over and over and over again
on all kinds of different things.
And I think that's what needs to be addressed.
And maybe a 10-year-old shouldn't be allowed to use TikTok
without any supervision.
Maybe that's a better answer.
That could be a better answer too.
I think based on some of our discussions, you know, yeah, having kids not have these
phones at school and putting them into the pouches and no social media until you're 16
or 17, because one of the other things that's happening here is these algorithms are so
good that they are now causing a dopamine deficiency in children.
It's causing depression because you can get
desensitized and every time you swipe up you get a dopamine hit and then your brain gets reset
and you have less ability to get joy from having dinner with your family or playing cards with your
friends or doing any other things and that's what doom scrolling does. That's why we lost you,
Sax, to the poker game. you're too busy doom scrolling and
You got addicted to it and you don't come to poker anymore
But this is what we need to do as a society. These phones are destroying everybody's lives. They're killing friendships
They're killing these poor kids who are sitting there like zombies
The algorithm is just too good. We have now the snake
I will agree with that to some degree that I waste way too much time using X. But I mean, I just do it to stay up on current events.
I can do this pod.
Yes, that's my excuse too.
If I didn't have this pod, maybe I could just stop using it.
That'd be great.
I'd love to have that time back and just read more books.
I'm you know what?
I'm going to do it with you.
We're going to go on a little social media diet.
You and I from now on, we're going to go for sushi.
Maybe some.
You have lost your mind. It's all you. You're going to be like, oh, I'm going you know what, I'm gonna do it with you. We're gonna go on a little social media diet, you and I. From now on, we're gonna go for sushi, maybe some sky.
You've been acting insane.
You've been acting totally insane.
You have lost your mind.
It's all you.
You have lost your mind.
You need a detox.
I'm gonna- No, you need a detox.
No, you need a detox.
Anyone who disagrees with you is like
on Putin's payroll now.
What's wrong with you?
Okay, that's me, Daniel, my friend, Comrade Sachs.
You're like the reincarnation of Joe McCarthy.
Da, da, da.
On X. Yes, since you wanna McCarthy. Da, da, da. On X.
Yes.
Since you wanna go into Russia, here we go.
It's 50 days before the election.
You're the one with Russia on the brain.
And as predicted, we're 50 days before the election
and who shows up?
Putin.
This is the greatest story ever.
Ah.
For those of you listening, Sachs just rolled his eyes.
It's so funny.
This is just great.
Okay, the DOJ.
Who would have predicted there's gonna be
another Russiagate hoax just in time for the election.
You did, you did, here we are.
And by the way, there's breaking news.
More Russian stuff has dropped while we're on the pod.
There's a lot of people who started
with Trump derangement syndrome,
and then they held Putin responsible
for Trump getting elected.
So the TDS became PDS.
And they got Putin's arrangement syndrome.
Let's get to the story here, comrade.
PDS.
I think this whole story is such a waste of time.
We shouldn't even waste time on it.
Well, we're going to do it anyway.
So here we go.
The DOJ just charged two Russian media operatives
with infiltrating podcasts.
Yes.
To push pro Kremlin talking points. This was a wild drop on Wednesday,
Chamath. The DOJ charged two Russian media operatives as part of an alleged wait for
it propaganda and misinformation scheme. According to the charges, these two employees of the
state run Russia Today outlet RT funneled $10 million into a Tennessee based media company
to influence public opinion and so social divisions.
The wire transfers happened between October of last year
and as recently as last month.
This included placing blame on Ukraine, Ukraine, Ukraine
for its conflict with Russia.
Interesting.
Both Russians are charged with conspiracy
to violate the Foreign Agents Registration Act and conspiracy to commit money laundering. They're looking at 20 years in jail. The indictment did
not mention the company by name, but people quickly figured out who it was because of their location.
The company is called Tenant Media, founded in 2023 by Lauren Chen, a conservative commentator.
And their personalities included Tim Pool, Benny Johnson, Dave Rubin, and Lauren Southern. These are
right leaning podcasters in the last year tenant has posted 2000
videos which collectively had 16 million YouTube views
according to the DOJ charges. Looks like the Russian
operatives were coordinating with the founders.
Jason, let's say the quiet part out loud. Okay, we've heard this
from Bobby Kennedy. We've heard this from a whole host of other people.
We've now heard this from the DOJ.
There is an inextricable link between the media and the people that pay for the media that want to influence what the media says.
We know that to be true. Now, in this specific case, I hope the DOJ runs us to ground and gets justice served.
What I would say generally is the most incredible decision we ever made is to not have ads.
It has been the single biggest clarifying function for our ability to maintain our own opinions and be credible.
It's allowed us to change our minds.
It's allowed us to evolve.
If we were sort of characters in a movie, we
will, we will have gone through different
transitions, frankly, as, as these last four
years have gone by.
I think that that would have been much harder
to do if we had people paying us money.
Yes. So this is just yet another example of your by. I think that that would have been much harder to do if we had people paying us money.
Yes.
So this is just yet another example of your media diet, the more it can come from people who don't
need to make money from this, the better off you will be because you will get earnest opinions.
And what will happen is whether it's large multinational corporations or foreign state actors, they are going to find
unwitting people to take this money and blather on some set of talking points. Yep. On a whole
host of topics. Okay. And it just is that clear? I mean, is that do you agree with that or not?
I mean, I agree. It was a great move to not have advertising. Sure. Because it's zero pressure from anybody calling us saying we're going to pull our ad spots
and also makes the pot easy to listen to. I mean, none of us need the money. These personalities,
Tim Pool, Benny Johnson, Dave Ruhman, Lauren Southern have, I think most of them have come
out and said they didn't know. The indictment says that they didn't know these podcasters
and the indictment also says they were paid huge sums of money, upwards of $100,000 per episode
to do this and it's unclear what they were asked to do
in the indictment, but there are some pressure techniques
to produce tweets around certain things
that the Russians wanted propagated.
What pressure techniques?
They said in the
indictment that they wanted more traffic
because they weren't hitting their traffic
numbers and to please amplify different
videos and tweets that were pro Russian.
So that's in the indictment.
So I guess the question then sacks for you
is totally mischaracterizing this.
I mean, what was mischaracterized?
I would never mischaracterize this. And I, what was mischaracterized? I would never
mischaracterize this. And I literally would never have no worse than the race here. There's no
reason for me to mischaracterize it. So what am I missing? What am I getting wrong? You do have a
horse in the race. You believe in the Russia gate hoax for many years and you want to basically
try and restart that whole thing. That's not true. You can ask me. I think Russia, I've told this
to you many times, Russia's sole goal is to sew division
between people in this country. I refuse to allow it to do so on this podcast or between you and I.
The Russians just want to produce chaos. They do it on all sides. They get green party people,
they get democratic people. That's been my story from the beginning. I have said since the beginning that the KGB's technique in America is to sow division.
That's their sole goal.
They don't care who wins.
They just want us to not pay attention to what they're doing in Ukraine or what's happening
in Russia.
That's Putin's goal.
So I think the place to start is with asking the question, who is Lauren Chen and what
is Tenant Media and what has been their objective or what's their agenda? And their agenda now for months has been what's called
division grifting inside the conservative movement. Lauren Chen's been putting out a
lot of tweets explaining to people that they should vote against Trump. She's been saying
that he has gone soft on issues like abortion. She's been pushing a very tough pro-life message.
She's been promoting a, I'd say, strange and almost fanatical idea that we should repeal
the 19th Amendment, which gave women the right to vote.
No one in the conservative movement seriously thinks this.
Because of these positions, she was already being called out
by people like Ashley Sinclair and Mike Cernovich,
who said, something's not right here.
This seems like an op.
Like these positions don't really make any sense.
It seems like she's just causing mischief.
So the place to start here is to recognize
that if the Russians were paying tenant media
to put out content, that content
was actually anti-Trump. It was trying to get people to vote against Trump. So I
think the place you have to start is by asking the question, why would Vladimir
Putin want to get Kamala Harris elected? In fact, Putin just came out today and
announced his endorsement of Kamala Harris. So perhaps the Russians have an agenda to get
Harris elected. I could see why. She is the much weaker candidate. She's afraid to take questions
on the tarmac. Trump is strong. He's authoritative. And I could see why they might prefer to have a
President Harris than a President Trump. Let me just stop there and get your reaction to that, J.K.L. Yeah, I mean, I think the sowing Cernovich's point, like, that they just want to sow division
and cause chaos is the key point.
I don't think that Putin cares who wins.
I think he just wants chaos here and he wants distraction.
So whether he flips, he wants Kamala, he wants Hillary, you know, he wants Trump.
I think he just wants
chaos.
And that's what the KGB does.
That's what the KGB has always done, is try to get people to not believe reality.
And that is their playbook for all history.
They want to demoralize a population, to not believe in their institutions, to not believe
facts.
And it seems like it's working pretty well here in the United States.
I think that this is all widely overstated, but to the extent we're going to deal with
it at all.
I think it's really interesting how when the Russian operation benefits Kamala Harris,
nobody accuses her of collusion or being a puppet of Russia.
They just say it's about sowing division.
But somehow-
When did that happen? You just did that I know.
No, no, what happened with Kamala? I'm not aware. Was there
an opportunity left with tenant media? It's benefiting her. I
just explained how. Oh, yeah, the four people are super
anti column. There's a double standard. There's a double
standard in the coverage here, and how it's interpreted. When
the op when the alleged op benefits Harris, it has nothing to do op, when the alleged op benefits Harris,
it has nothing to do with Harris.
When the alleged op benefits Trump,
Trump must be a Russian agent, must be a Russian puppet,
there must have been collusion.
And you were among the forefront of people saying
that Trump himself was compromised.
Now-
Oh, I never said Trump, no, no, I have to correct you there.
I never said Trump was compromised.
I said the people around him were compromised
because they kept taking meetings
and money from the Russians.
And this is the Russian playbook.
No, I believe-
You never believed in Russiagate?
Putting words aside and claims like this
and you're telling me what I think,
you can ask me what I think.
And I can tell you very clearly again,
that I think their plan is to find simple minded people
to give them money and to cause chaos
and division in our country. I don't think that they
got to Trump, I think they got to almost everybody around him.
And if you look at those people who show up at Putin dinners,
and you look at who takes money, it's all around Trump. And the
Russians are experts at this. And they did it to the Green
Party. They just sprinkle money around people to cause this type
of chaos. That's the goal. So how many times do I got to say this
to you clearly, I don't have a horse in this race. I think all
Americans I'll say it again, so that you can understand it and
the audience can understand my position very clearly. Their
goal is to get us to fight with each other. So we don't look at
their invasion of Ukraine or what's happening with the
suffering of the Russian people. And we as Americans
should not be partisan on this. And we as Americans should not
be partisan on this issue. We as Americans should all come together, you, Sax, me and everybody else,
and say, we don't want the Russians interfering in our elections or causing division. And we're not
going to make this political. Look, Jake, out, this is the third straight election in America,
in which we've been led to believe that there
is essentially massive Russian interference in our election. But I think we should ask,
what did we learn since the last two elections? In 2016, okay, we had the Steele dossier,
which hatched the whole Russiagate hoax. We subsequently found out that Hillary's campaign created the Steele
dossier and then that was taken up by the Deep State. They basically did an investigation
of the Trump campaign. They went to the FISA court. They lied to the FISA court. And we
had a two-year independent counsel investigation based on a piece of opposition research that
turned out to be completely phony. But we heard every day on cable news for years that the Russians had somehow
interfered in that election. Never proven. In 2020, we heard that the Russians again were interfering
because you had those 51 security state operatives say that Hunter Biden's laptop was Russian
disinformation. That turned out to be a total lie. The laptop was authentic. That was just a made-up
story that the Russians were involved. After that, let's not forget, there was NewsGuard and Hamilton 68, which were two bogus media
watchdog groups that were deep state ops that were designed to get conservative content
censored as Russian disinformation.
So now, after all of these ops in which it was alleged that the Russians interfere in our
elections and those stories do not to be completely bogus.
We now have this new one about tenant media
and I don't know the truth of this story.
I can't say one way or another whether it's accurate or not
but what I've learned is not to take these things
at face value.
And if we are to take it at face value,
tenant media was working against Trump's interests.
So apparently the Russians don't want Trump
to win the presidential
election. They want Kamala Harris. Yeah. And I agree that Trump was not compromised by the Russians,
just the people around him. And to recap for people since maybe they don't remember,
Michael Flynn, who was the national security advisor, pled guilty to lying to the FBI in
2017 about his contacts with the Russians. Paul Manafort, who was the campaign chairman for Trump,
had ties to pro-Russian figures in the Ukraine
and shared polling data with the Russian associates
during the campaign.
He was convicted of tax and bank fraud in 2018,
later pardoned by Trump, like Michael Flynn was pardoned.
Rick Gates, who was the decorated deputy chairman,
he worked closely with Paul
Manafort, he pled guilty to conspiracy and lying to
investigators, George Papadopoulos, I won't bring up
because he was kind of a joke. And then Roger Stone was
investigated for all his contacts with WikiLeaks. He was
convicted of obstruction, lying to Congress and witness tampering
in 2019. So we have all of these folks being convicted.
That's four people convicted.
I don't know what the point of bringing up
all these investigations are when you've said
the most important thing, which is you do not believe
that Trump was a Russian agent, despite the fact,
despite the fact that for years,
that's what Democrats maintained.
My maintaining is, once again, fourth time,
is that the Russians are
trying to cause division in America and we shouldn't all fall for it. Hey, Friedberg,
I think we shouldn't fall for Hamilton 68. I think we shouldn't have fallen for news
guard. I think we shouldn't have fallen for the steel dossier. I think we shouldn't fall
for the Russia gate hooks. J Cal stop falling for all these Russian hooks. I agree. That's
why we should be united. Let's be united. Freeberg, you've got some passionate thoughts on Kamala Harris pivoting a little bit around her economic policies in the last
week or two. Let's wrap with that. What are your thoughts?
No passionate thoughts, J. Cal. Did any of you guys see that video I sent you
of Kamala's campaign speech in New Hampshire yesterday?
Summarize it for the audience, yeah.
She fundamentally pivoted from a lot of the statements she made a few weeks
ago that I think caused a resounding amount of commentary about being anti-business, anti-economic
prosperity.
A lot of people called these comments socialist in nature.
And apparently, she heard the feedback and is now pivoting the message and pivoting the
policy. So, you know, I think the one question to understand is how real is the feedback and is now pivoting the message and pivoting the policy.
So, you know, I think the one question to understand is how real is the pivot and how
much is this about getting elected?
She made a couple of key announcements at this campaign speech yesterday.
The first one is that she started out saying that small businesses are the lifeblood of
our economy.
She's proposing that we increase the startup tax deduction from $5,000 to $50,000. If you start up a new business
and you're generating profitable income, you can deduct up to
$50,000 on the year that you start the company up. She made
an emphasis on getting rid of red tape and deregulating a lot
of aspects that make it hard to start companies. She talked a
lot about the importance of venture capital and venture dollars, and that there's a goal to spur 25 million new SBA loan applications
by the end of her term, so in the next four years, which would be a massive increase in
government lending to small businesses. She also stepped back the capital gains tax proposal that
was made by under the Biden administration that she previously said was her policy as well, and is now proposing a 28% capital gains
tax instead of the 40 something percent that I think was the previous proposal. So a 28%
capital gains tax only applied to households with a net worth greater than a million dollars.
But towards the end of her speech, she still talked a lot and got a lot of cheers
around the idea that billionaires and big corporations
need to pay their fair share,
and that there needs to be methods
of increasing the taxation of billionaires
and big corporations as they're kind of classified by her
and some of the other Democrats.
So I don't know, is the pivot real?
Is she becoming more pro-business?
Is she responding to the critical feedback
she's received over the last few weeks?
Or is this just about getting elected?
Is this gonna persist?
Is this a change in policy, Chamath?
I hand it over to you.
I think that this is all the tactics leading to the debate
on September the 10th.
I think that a lot of this polling,
you're seeing the sugar high fade on both sides. And I think what we can acknowledge is that the
setup going into this debate is eerily reminiscent of the setup going into the first debate between
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, which was a very
profound sensation that there was a popular vote advantage to the Democratic candidate,
Hillary then, Kamala now. But what everybody got wrong last time and now what people are doing a
much more refined job other than Nate Silver this time around is then being able to do a more
nuanced look at the electoral college probability, which is in the opposite direction, favoring
Donald Trump and not Kamala. So I think that the Democrats have realized that the sugar high isn't
going to win the election. They need to be specific in ways that gets moderates. And the
only way to do that is to tack to the middle. Because a lot of these
other trial balloons were kind of nutty, and those people are not going to win them the election in
the key states that matter. Again, it's what we've said before, five things in five states, right?
That's what it's going to come down to. It's also, I think you've made this point,
Shamath, as well, which is when you're running for the primaries, and I think Dean Phillips,
when he was on the program, talked about this, you've got one agenda, and that tends to be
a bit extreme because you're trying to get those extreme people in primaries to come out. Then when
you get to the general election, you kind of come towards the middle. And we said on this very
podcast, and I gave a couple of disclaimers as the moderator here, hey, we don't know these are
communist policies because A, she's not talking to anybody anybody B, she hasn't released any. So maybe, you know, she's taking feedback,
I have some inside information on this, which is there are people in our circles, who are
sitting with her saying, these things are crazy. And maybe pointing to our podcast and
other reactions online. And maybe we should really really think what do you want to do?
potentially madam president
When your president if you do win and I think she's starting to think from first principles
Hey, what is actually good for the country's that would be a very honest way of looking at us. I'm thinking from first principles
Are you kidding? She's reading from a teleprompter?
No, no, I'm talking about in her policies honest way of looking at this. She's not thinking from first principles, are you kidding? She's reading from a teleprompter.
No, no, I'm talking about in her policies.
I mean, you can make whatever digs you want to her style
and that's valid.
You can make whatever digs you want to Trump style.
What I'm talking about is-
You said she's thinking from first principles.
Yeah, well, from her first principles as to what-
Her writers are giving her new talking points.
Okay, listen, can you stop with the personal attacks
on people and just maybe have an intelligent-
That's not a personal attack,
she's a candidate for the presidency of the United States. I'm allowed to point this States. I'm actually answering your question. He's answering your question Jay. Cal
He's saying that they're not real policy
And then you can have to ride her style I'm trying to
Jason it's a substance. Okay, let me finish my point and then you can talk about substance or style
I think what happened here is she was put into the position as president and
I think what happened here is she was put into the position as president and had to in a very short period of time come up with what her positions would be because everybody knows when you're the vice president, your positions are what the president thinks we've made that point about JD Vance that his position on wanting a national abortion ban has nothing to do with Trump's and Trump's wins in that situation. So here we are, I think it's a similar situation, Biden might have been captured and wanted to do this crazy wealth tax and this seizure of people's assets. Whereas maybe she actually is much more moderate. And that's what people around her have always said is that she's more moderate and that she's coming to actually form her own platform.
And she just needed time to do that. I'm giving what I'm hearing from the left. This isn't necessarily my position, Sachs. This is what I'm hearing from the people around Kamala Harris.
Okay. Let me tell you what's really going on here.
Okay. Tell us all. Look, okay. Here we go.
This is hilarious.
The long time Democratic pundit Roy Tashira just had a piece out called Vince Lombardi
Democrats where he quoted Vince Lombardi saying, winning isn't everything, it's the only thing. And so obviously what's happening
now is that Kamala Harris will say whatever she needs in order to win. But
the question that voters should be asking, who is this person really?
Because obviously what she's gonna do once you give her the keys to the
government is gonna be different than whatever she's saying right now.
And we do have a lot of background on this person.
She came up through the San Francisco political machine.
She was a product of the progressive Pelosi machine in San Francisco.
She then rose to the Senate.
She was voted by GovTrack as the most liberal member of the Senate.
And just a few weeks ago, when she first announced her economic proposals, they were all this super far left stuff like the unrealized gains tax and a 44% cap gains
rate. So that's where her instincts were. That was what was in the Biden-Harris budget. That was in
her campaign platform and that was in her economic policy speeches. And then what happened is there
was a huge negative reaction to all of that.
So now she's changing her talking points.
But it's obvious what's going on.
She's going to say whatever is necessary to win the election.
But you're a fool and kidding yourself if you think you're going to get something really different
after the election.
You're going to get a continuation of the Biden,
Harris, Elizabeth Warren economic program that
we've had for the last four years. How would you say Trump's position on abortion relates to that?
Don't people adapt their position based on winning? I mean, I think he's done a master
class in changing his position and- He's never changed his position. You don't seem to understand
how that issue works. He was in favor of returning it to the states.
He's been completely consistent on that.
And I don't know why you keep bringing it back to that always.
Whenever Kamala Harris isn't doing well, it's always about abortion for you.
Well, no, I think it's a great example of a politician moving to the center on the issue.
He just said this week that he wants more than six weeks, right?
And so he's moving towards a-
He didn't just say that.
It's always been his position.
He's always been a moderate on the issue, J. Cal.
He's against the national abortion ban.
He's always been in favor of returning it to the states.
I don't even understand how this is like, you're still talking about this.
Well, the reason I talk about it is because there's so many states, including the one
I'm living in where women can't get an abortion.
Okay.
They're going to have to cross the state line.
You're right. That's an issue.
So, I mean, I think women feel differently about it than, you know, you brushing it aside. They feel that Trump took a little right.
I'm just stating what the truth the issue is. Yeah. No, no, I'm just saying the truth for women that I talk to.
If you want to vote on that issue, that's your right. Go for it.
All I ask is that you correctly state Trump's position on that issue, which he stated on our own podcast.
Yeah, no, and that's the point I'm bringing up is that people, the evangelicals are really
upset about him in their perception, changing his mind and women, their view of it is he took away
their right in the States where like the one I live in, you can't get an abortion. Okay, everybody,
this has been an amazing episode of the All In Podcast. We got to business up front, great
discussion, politics, it got super toxic at the end. It's the
mullet that you love business and then political parties at the
back for the Sultan of Science who did an amazing job setting
up all these amazing speakers and doing all the work on the
all in summit taking place next week. We thank you for your
efforts. Sultan of Science David Freeberg. You excited?
You okay, buddy?
I'm here for the team, J. Cal.
It's a team sport.
I love it.
It's a team sport.
That's right.
For the chairman dictator.
Look at that.
Look at that silver Fox.
Look at him with that great hair.
When is it gonna stop?
You gonna cut it for the summit or you just, wow.
He's going big.
And the
Welcome to 48. Welcome to 48.
The architect David sacks my bestie. Welcome to Twitter.
Welcome. See on Twitter sassy. Welcome to 48. Welcome to 48.
I think you just stop making a fool of yourself on Twitter.
I think yes. And you should do another 30 tweets a day about
Ukraine. We'll see you all next time everybody. Bye. Bye Queen of Kenwa, I'm going all in What, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, one big huge orgy because they're all just useless. It's like this like sexual tension but they just need to release them out.
And now the plugs. You can subscribe to this show on YouTube. Yes, watch all the videos
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