Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford - A Leap of Faith From the Eiffel Tower

Episode Date: September 23, 2022

Inventor Franz Reichelt wants to test his novel "parachute suit" from as tall a structure as possible - and the Eiffel Tower seems ideal. Previous trial runs used a mannequin strapped to the chute and... have not ended well. Despite this, his plan is to make the Eiffel Tower jump himself. Can he be persuaded to see sense? Self-experimentation - particularly in the field of medicine - has a long and checkered history. Can we learn anything useful from such unorthodox experiments, or are they reckless acts of egotism and hubris?  For a full list of sources go to timharford.com.  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Pushkin The first floor of the Eiffel Tower, almost 200 feet above the ground. Next to the railings, a table, on top of the table, a wooden wooden chair and standing on the wooden chair. A man. Franz Reichelt. He places a foot on the railing. He leans forward and hears over the edge. The year is 1912 and Franz Reichelt is a tailor. 33 years old, bored in Austria, he moved to Paris as a teenager, and built a modestly successful business in ladies' fashion. But ladies' fashion is not what excites Franz Reichelt. He's fascinated by flight, and Reichelt has invented a parachute suit.
Starting point is 00:01:04 Reichelt looks briefly up to the heavens. Early in the morning on the first Sunday in February, his breath forms in the air. By 1912, parachutes are hardly a new idea. Leonardo da Vinci drew on centuries earlier. What is new is the fast-growing market for them. Airplanes have only just been invented and not yet very reliable. Reichelt is convinced that his wearable parachute can save aviators
Starting point is 00:01:34 lives. With his tailoring skills, he's made, well, I'll let a journalist describe it. This all silk garment, very well designed, was provided with a kind of very wide hood, which by means of zippers would automatically expand when called upon and form above the head a vast umbrella. Down on the ground, nearly 200 feet below, a few dozen people have got up early to watch the demonstration. There are aviation enthusiasts, curious members of the public, and journalists from all the Paris newspapers. Reichelt has even drawn a film crew from the Path Asianal Cinema News Reel. One camera
Starting point is 00:02:21 is on the ground, pointed upwards at him, waiting. Another camera is with Raikelt on the first floor, filming him. He's still standing there, one foot on the railing, one on the wooden chair. But is he really going to jump himself? He's told the Paris authorities that he's going to put the parachute suits on a tailor's dummy, and throw that off the Eiffel Tower. They would never have given him permission to jump off the Eiffel Tower himself, and yet, there he stands. Reichelt cautiously shifts his weight onto the foot on the railing. Then he shifts it
Starting point is 00:03:00 back. He's he having second thoughts. It is very windy. He sways gently forward and backward. He looks over the edge again. 20 seconds go by. 30, 40. It's not too late to use the dummy. I'm Tim Harford and you're listening to caution retails. In 1951, in a gold mining town in Western Australia, a 19-year-old apprentice engineer and an 18-year-old trainee nurse had a baby. They called him Barry. Barry Marshall would grow up to be tempted to test a pet theory on himself, much like the flying tailor Franz Reichelt was tempted all those years ago.
Starting point is 00:04:13 Growing up in Australia's back of beyond, young Barry Marshall liked to read his mum's medical textbooks and muck around with his dad's tools. He made firecrackers and guns, and a device for pressurising domestic cooking gas to make balloons that were lighter than air. He wanted to be careful with those balloon sun, said Barry's dad. Might be dangerous if they meet an open flame. Let's see, shall we?
Starting point is 00:04:41 He drew on his cigarette and touched the lighted end against the balloon. Marshall recalls, he was in fellopt in a ball of flame and his eyebrows were singed off. This didn't worry us very much because we had seen him in this state before. In the gold mining town, there was money to be made, but not much choice of career path. Boys left school and they mined for gold. The marshals wanted their kids to have options, so they moved their growing family three hundred miles to Perth, the nearest city. Barry went to medical school and became a doctor.
Starting point is 00:05:19 Every six months he trained in a different specialty. When he moved to gastroenterology, Marshall quickly realized that stomach problems could be hard to treat. One woman on Marshall's ward was in terrible pain from gastritis, inflammation of the stomach. Nothing helped. In desperation, they sent her away with antidepressants. It wasn't uncommon to link gastric problems to mental health. Stomach ulcers were widely assumed to be caused by stress. Ulcer medicines worked sometimes that often not for long.
Starting point is 00:05:56 After a couple of years, many patients would be back with another ulcer. When medicines didn't work, patients would often have part of their stomach surgically removed. But was the medical community missing something? One of Marshall's colleagues, Robin Warren, had a half-formed theory. People who came into hospital with a stomach complaint sometimes had a biopsy taken, and Warren had been looking at these biopsies. When the sample was from a patient with an inflamed stomach, he could see under the microscope that it was rife with a kind of spiral shaped bacteria. It looked like tiny corkscrews. Those bacteria weren't there with the healthy stomachs. Warren had observed this spiral bacteria many times, including
Starting point is 00:06:43 on the biopsy of the woman Marshall had seen, the one who got antidepressants. Marshall was intrigued. He felt bad that they'd failed that patient. Perhaps there was something more they could have done. He volunteered to investigate Warren's idea. The medical textbooks weren't much help, but in a way that Marshall found paradoxically
Starting point is 00:07:07 encouraging. Every single pathologist in the whole world who wrote a book described as striters totally differently. That meant to me that they didn't understand it, so I'm thinking maybe these bacteria play a role in there. Marshall went to his hospital's library and played around with the computer. This was 1981, no internet yet, but the library had just got a direct link to Australia's National Library of Medicine, and Marshall liked tinkering with technology. He spent months trawling through obscure literature and found suggestive references to bacteria and stomach complaints that went back nearly a hundred years.
Starting point is 00:07:48 It seemed that the evidence of a link was there, but nobody had yet connected the dots. Marshall wrote up his findings and sent them to the organisers of a big gastroenterology conference in Australia. They weren't as excited as he was. They said, Dear Dr. Marshall, we're so sorry that we couldn't accept your abstract, it was such a high standard this year, we had 67 applications and we could only accept 64. Marshall tried to grow the bacteria, to study it better. Every time he got a specimen, he'd send it down
Starting point is 00:08:22 to the hospital lab to see if they could culture it. In every time he visited the lab to ask how it was going, he got the same answer. Had the bacteria grown? No. Until one day, the day after the Easter holidays, Marshall received a phone call. Come down to the lab. The technician said, We think we've cultured your bacteria.
Starting point is 00:08:41 Come down to the lab." The technician said, �We think we've cultured your bacteria.� It turned out that Marshall's bacteria, helicobacter pylori, or just Hpylori, require three or four days to start showing up. The lab was used to culturing bacteria that grow more quickly, such as ecoli. When nothing had appeared in the petri dish after a couple of days, the technicians were throwing the samples out. Dead succeeded this time only because Marshall had happened to send the last sample just before the four-day Easter break. Now that Marshall knew how to grow H. Pylorly, his next step was to prove that the bacteria was causing the stomach illness. It could after all, the coincidence.
Starting point is 00:09:27 Or maybe causality could run the other way. Perhaps the illness was enabling the bacteria to colonize the stomach. Marshall fed his bacteria to mice and rats to see if they developed stomach problems. They didn't. He tried it on piglets. Every week, he'd feed them a portion of H. Pylorite and do an endoscopy, sticking a tube down their throat to look for stomach problems. Weeks went by and nothing happened to the little pigs, except they grew into bigger pigs.
Starting point is 00:09:59 After three months of this experiment, I had 70 pound pigs that I was wrestling with each week trying to do an endoscopy on and it was a big mess and the bacteria didn't take. Marshall was exasperated. Nice and rats and pigs, after all, aren't people. And he was convinced that H. Pylori was giving people ulcers. Some gastroenterologists were intrigued by the idea, but many others were dismissive. To get their attention, Marshall decided he needed to show that
Starting point is 00:10:32 if a healthy person got infected with H. Pylori, their developer stomach ulcer. But which healthy person person could he ask to do that? There was one obvious answer. himself. Like his dad, poking a gas-filled balloon with a lit cigarette, Barry was about to satisfy his curiosity in a rather reckless way. Though, he didn't think it was too much of a risk. When I spoke to ulcer patients, they couldn't tell me about any illness they had had, they were perfectly fine, and then they developed an ulcer. So I didn't think I'd become unwell. Marshall had been feeding his pigs a small dose of bacteria every week, but would he really be able to persevere with consuming H. Pylori himself on a weekly basis? He wasn't sure he could stomach it, better to summon up his courage once, he thought, and take one huge dose.
Starting point is 00:11:33 Marshall and his lab technician, grew up a beaker of the potion, a couple of ounces of cloudy brown liquid. He hadn't told the lab technician what he was about to do with it. He hadn't told his boss his either, as he feared they'd try to stop him. He raised the beaker in his hand. Well, here it goes. Down the hatch. The lab technician was horrified.
Starting point is 00:12:00 We'll find out what happened after the break. Barry Marshall didn't expect to get a stomach ulcer right away. Many people it seemed can carry an H. Pylori infection without developing any gastric complaints. If he's going to get an ulcer, he thinks it might take years. He reassures his appalled lab technician that he feels perfectly fine, and goes off to do his rounds on the ward, as usual. It takes just a few days before Marshall realizes that something isn't right. He's having one of his favorite meals, Chinese noodles, but the food is sitting on his stomach like a lump of lead.
Starting point is 00:12:53 Boy, I feel so full! In the morning, he wakes up at the crack of dawn. I'm going to be sick. He runs into the bathroom and throws up. But it's not the Chinese food that comes back up again, just a clear, slimy liquid, about a pint of it. Well gee, that's weird. I don't do that very often.
Starting point is 00:13:16 The next morning, he wakes up and vomits again. And the next. He visits his mother. He hasn't told her about swallowing the bacteria. Barry, are you constipated? How come you've got bad breath? Barry's work colleagues have also noticed his terrible breath, but they don't want to be impolite enough to tell him. Ten days after swallowing the H. Pylori, he gets them to give him an endoscopy. Usually, I can tolerate the tube pretty easily with just a little gagging, but it was very uncomfortable.
Starting point is 00:13:51 The endoscopy shows that the lining of Marshall's stomach is severely inflamed. "'This is great,' says Marshall. Let's give it another few days and see how it develops.' Marshall hasn't told his wife what he's done either. Barry? There's something wrong with you. All night you're hot and cold. You're breaking out in a sweat.
Starting point is 00:14:13 You're not eating your meals. You've got dark wings under your eyes. You look terrible. Well, you know, I took this bacteria and now I've got the infection. You did what? It's not like Marshall hadn't done anything ahead. He tested the bacteria he'd cultured to make sure that an antibiotic metronidazole would kill it.
Starting point is 00:14:36 It did, in the petry dish at least. So he was fairly confident that he could cure himself by taking metronidazole if his illness got too worrying. Barry Marshall was the latest in a long tradition of doctors experimenting on themselves. Alas, that long tradition is not wholly reassuring. John Hunter was an 18th century English surgeon, royal doctor to King George III, he was also the leading authority of his time on venereal disease. So much so that according to some accounts,
Starting point is 00:15:12 he gave himself gonorrhea to study it better. He extracted pus from an infected patient and injected it into his own penis. This turned out to be a doubly bad idea. First of all, none of Hunter's cures for gonorrhea actually worked, were still the patient also happened to have syphilis and Hunter got that too, setting up a lifetime of worsening health. Or take the 19th century German chemist Max von Pettincoffer, like Barry Marshall, he'd downed a potion teaming with bacteria. In this case, the bacteria that caused cholera. He was trying to prove his theory that the bacteria didn't cause cholera. He was wrong. They do, and cholera can kill you. But von Pettincoffer was lucky. He just got a mild case of diarrhea.
Starting point is 00:16:08 In the 1920s, medical student Werner Forzmann, learned from his physiology textbook about an experiment someone had done on a horse. They inserted a tube in a vein in the horses neck, pushed the tube into the horse's heart, and inflated a rubber balloon to measure the changes in pressure as the horse's heart beat. The horse survived. Forseman wondered if a human would, too. If you could insert a tube into a vein in a patient's arm, he thought, and push it into
Starting point is 00:16:41 the heart, that might have some medical uses. Forsman went to the boss at his hospital and said, Can I try this on myself? Absolutely not, said his boss. Imagine the scandal for the hospital if you kill yourself. Forsman decided to ignore him and do it anyway. He'd need a tube. To get the tube, Pid need to sweep talk the nurse who held the keys to the supply cupboard. The nurse was 45-year-old Gera Ditson.
Starting point is 00:17:13 The young doctor took her out to dinner and tried to persuade her of the importance of what he wanted to do. Nurse Ditson was completely one over. Do it to me," she said. They arranged a clandestine meeting in the lunch break. Nurse Ditson got out of 30-inch tube, a scalpel, and a hollow needle. She lay down on the surgical table, and Dr. Forstman tied down her arms and legs to hold her still. Forstman then turned his back on her as if to arrange the instruments, but instead he
Starting point is 00:17:46 performed the surgery on himself. He dabbed iodine on his left elbow, injected himself with a local anacetic, and used the needle to feed the tube into his vein. He went back to unstrap Nurse Ditson and tell her what he'd done. She was furious. But she agreed to help Forseman do what he needed to do next, get proof that he'd pushed the tube all the way into his heart. Together, they went to the X-ray department and asked the technician to let them use the fluoroscope. On the screen, they could see where the tube was. Gently,
Starting point is 00:18:26 Forsman pushed it further and further towards his heart. The technician slipped out of the room to alert another doctor to what was going on. That other doctor now burst in. What are you doing? He yelled at Forsman. You're crazy. He tried to pull the catheter out of forcemen's arm, but forcemen fought him off, kicking his shins. 9! 9! I must push it forward! At last, the tip of the catheter entered his heart.
Starting point is 00:18:56 Take a picture! He told the technician. Forcemen had his proof. He wrote up his self-experiment and submitted it to a medical journal. It caused a huge fuss, and Roseman was fired. He struggled to find a new job. Nobody wanted a heart surgeon who was known as a risk-take-career at a rule-breaker. He retrained as a urologist, got a job in a small town where nobody had heard of him and joined the Nazi party.
Starting point is 00:19:30 Meanwhile, two American cardiologists read his old journal article and decided he was on to something. They turned cardiac catheterisation into a practical technique to investigate heart disease and to treat it by widening blocked arteries. They received a Nobel Prize for their efforts, and they shared that Nobel Prize with an obscure, ex-Nazi, small town German neurologist. Nearly three decades after he'd tied up Nurse Ditzon, Werner Forstmann, had been vindicated. Just how big is this tradition of medical self-experimentation? A doctor and researcher called Alan Weiss
Starting point is 00:20:15 set out to document every example he could find from the 19th and 20th centuries. He found 465. Then he looked at what had happened to them. In seven cases, including Forseman, it won them a Nobel Prize. In eight, it killed them. The odds of death and glory were roughly equal. Barry Marshall's wife was not happy. She was worried about his health, and worried that he might pass on the bacteria to her and their children. Start taking antibiotics, she tells him. Give me till the end of the week, Marshall pleads. I want to have another endoscopy to see
Starting point is 00:21:01 what's happening. By this point, Marshall has stopped vomiting up, colourless, slimy liquid. To his surprise, the next endoscopy shows that the inflammation is healing. He takes the antibiotics to be on the safe side, but he seems to have fought off the bacteria on his own. Marshall has dinner with Robin Warren, the colleague who first suggested that he looked into the spiral-shaped bacteria on stomach biopsis. He tells Warren all about his self-experiment. The next morning, Warren is woken up at 5am by a call from an American journalist. They've scheduled a routine interview to discuss Warren's ulcer theory, but the journalist has
Starting point is 00:21:42 got muddled about the timezone in Perth. Because he's half asleep, Warren blurt out the exciting news. Barry Marshall just infected himself and damn near died. Marshall hasn't yet published his work in a medical journal, so the first report about it comes in an American tabloid newspaper, a sensational story about the Australian guinea pig doctor and his cure for ulcers. That's not going to help my credibility, Marshall thinks, but unlike some of his self-experimenting predecessors, at least he was still alive. The tailor Franz Reichelt had kept his self-experimentation plans to himself. The workers he employed in his tailoring business thought he was planning to put his parachute suit on a tailor's dummy and throw the dummy off the Eiffel Tower. That's also what he'd told the Paris authorities he wanted to do when he asked for permission
Starting point is 00:22:44 to use the Eiffel Tower for his test. The wait for that permission was agonizing. As Raikelt tried to improve his designs, bureaucrats waited a full year before giving him the nod. By then, Raikelt's workers were used to him throwing dummies off the fifth floor balcony of the building where he worked. The first prototype of his parachute suit had a canopy of just six square yards. The dummy did not land softly enough. Reichelt redesigned the suit, this time with a 12 square yard canopy. He threw the dummy off his balcony, and the results were a little better. Reichelt made the canopies bigger and bigger.
Starting point is 00:23:27 In the end, over 30 square yards. And it seemed to him that the falls got gentler. He found a quiet spot in a village to try the suit himself, jumping from 30 feet onto a beddest drawer. But he also thought he saw the problem. He wasn't jumping from high enough. The parachute needed more time to slow the speed of his descent. On the evening before his date with the Eiffel Tower, Saturday, February 4, 1912, Reichelt
Starting point is 00:24:02 wanted to make sure the media would turn up. He paid a visit to a journalist at a Paris newspaper. I've told the authorities I'm going to use a dummy, he says, actually I'm going to jump myself. You won't take any precautions? Not in the least, I want to prove the value of my invention. Word got round, and when morning came the journalists were out in force, and the Pate film crew. One writer describes the inventors, absolute calm and apparent good humour.
Starting point is 00:24:38 Another says, he's cheerful, brimming with confidence. He had put on a sort of brown jump suit a little bulkier than ordinary clothing, the appearance was elegant, and the inventor rightly pointed out to everyone that his clothing did not hinder movement. Some people made a last ditch attempt to dissuade Raikelt from making the jump himself. It's not too late to use a mannequin, they point out. Will you at least think about postponing until the wind calms down? Reichelt is having none of it. You will see how my 72 kilos and my parachute will give to your arguments the most decisive of denials. of denials. There are 347 steps up to the first floor of the Eiffel Tower. Reichelt starts to climb them. With one of the film crews in tow, he turns to look back at the crowd. Abbiento, he says,
Starting point is 00:25:40 see you soon. Franz Reichelt wasn't included in the research that counted 465 cases of self-experimentation. That research looked at doctors, not tailors. That research found the pace of self-experimentation was slowing towards the end of the 20th century. The golden age passed 100 years ago. Another researcher, Brian Hanley, doubts that. He thinks those figures are just the tip of the iceberg. Hanley has experimented on himself in gene therapy. He knows lots of other academics who've done the same, but kept it quiet. They worry that their institutions won't support them. They might be fired, like Werner Forstmann,
Starting point is 00:26:28 all those years ago. Hanley decided to investigate why self-experimenting has such a bad reputation. He and his colleagues contacted the ethics departments of universities to see if they had a policy on it. There was no consistency, but they heard a common concern that self-experiments prove nothing. It's called the N of one problem. If your research has only one subject, you can't learn anything useful.
Starting point is 00:26:57 You need bigger studies to draw wider conclusions. That's just not true, says Hanley. An N of one experiment can show that something is possible, and more research is worthwhile. That's what happened with Werner Forstmann and Barry Marshall. The sensational tabloid story might not have helped Marshall's credibility, but it got attention and led to bigger studies. We now know that roughly half the world's population is infected with H. Pylori, generally in childhood, for most people it never becomes a problem. But for some, it causes stomach
Starting point is 00:27:32 ulcers later in life, and we now know how to treat them. Barry Marshall joined the list of self-experimenters who won a Nobel Prize. The Taylor Franz Reichelt, as you might have guessed, was not so lucky. The Pathé Newsreel footage of Franz Reichelt's jump from the Eiffel Tower is riveting and awful. The parachute never looks like unfurling.ikelt drops like a stone. The autopsy will later reveal that as he falls, he's suffering a massive cardiac arrest. He fell with a dull thud onto the ground. His forehead bleeding, his eyes open, dilated with terror, his limbs broken. The reckless inventor was dead. Reichelt had looked like a mad genius, quipped one journalist, but proved himself worthy of only half the epithet. It's easy to snicker, but is it fair?
Starting point is 00:28:40 Wearable parachutes are not an intrinsically stupid idea. Reichelt design failed, but today we have designs that work. Wing suits that let you skydive like a flying squirrel. And when a self-experiment goes well, it's easy to forget how much uncertainty it's involved. Barry Marshall didn't expect to get symptoms so quickly, and he didn't expect the symptoms to self-resolve. That was a bit overconfident in retrospect, he later admitted. If we can't tell how big a risk is, how can we tell whether to take it? I think all we can do is examine our motives. Are we thirsting for useful knowledge that there's no other way to obtain? Or trying to show off? Barry Marshall admits with hindsight that he was a brash young man, impatient to prove
Starting point is 00:29:35 his older colleagues wrong. Asked if he'd do the same again, he says, I'd definitely study all the different angles of it further before I do it on myself. Franz Reichelt looks like a classic case of hubris. There was, after all, a risk-free way to test his idea. Use a tailor's dummy. To jump himself suggests he was delusionally over-confident in his own idea. That seems to be what most perisian journalists assumed,
Starting point is 00:30:06 but not all. One took the trouble to track down one of Reichelt's friends and ask what the inventor had been thinking. The explanation is simple, said the friend. Intellectual property laws. Reichelt had managed to secure a patent for his parachute suit idea, but the legal fees had stretched his finances, and patents lasted for only 15 years. If he was going to make money from his invention, he had to commercialise it quickly. That meant he needed a wealthy sponsor, and his only hope of getting a sponsor was a spectacular, attention-grabbing success. He'd waited a whole year for bureaucrats to give him permission to use the Eiffel Tower. He might never get another chance to make an impact.
Starting point is 00:30:59 Death or glory, as he hesitated with his foot on the railing for 40 long seconds, perhaps he'd already guessed the answer. Corsionary Tales is written by me, Tim Halford, with Andrew Wright. It's produced by Ryan Dilly with support from Courtney Garino and Emily Vaughn. The sound design and original music is the work of Pascal Wise. It features the voice talents of Ben Crow, Melanie Gutridge, Stella Haafard and Rufus Wright. The show also wouldn't have been possible without the work of Mia LeBelle, Jacob Iceberg, Heather Fane, John Schnarrs, Julia Barton, Carly McGleory, Eric Sandler, Royston Besserv, Maggie Taylor, Nicole Marano, Daniel LaCarn, and
Starting point is 00:32:06 Maya Canig. Corsairry Tales is a production of Pushkin Industries. If you like the show, please remember to share, rate, and review. Tell a friend, tell two friends, and if you want to hear the show ads-free and listen to four exclusive cautionary tales short, then sign up for Pushkin Plus on the show page in Apple Podcast or at pushkin.fm slash plus. Thank you.

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