Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford - WW2: How Britain Ignored the Mother of All Secrets

Episode Date: May 10, 2024

Cautionary Tales will be LIVE on stage in London this May. Tickets are on sale now: https://www.tegeurope.com/events/cautionary-tales/ Neatly dressed in his suit, Hans Ferdinand Mayer was every inch ...the unassuming corporate executive. So, when he asked to borrow a typewriter from his hotel in Oslo, nobody could have guessed he would use it for one of the most extraordinary intelligence leaks in history. Mayer's gloved fingers punched out the details of Nazi Germany's most sensitive military operations and, when he had finished, he immediately dispatched his documents to the British  —  who did nothing. Why did the British ignore Mayer? Did they fail to pick out a crucial signal amid the noise of detail — or was something else going on? This episode of Cautionary Tales is based, with permission, on Tom Whipple’s book The Battle of the Beams, which is available from all good booksellers. For a full list of sources, see the show notes at timharford.com.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Pushkin. It all started with two federal agents who heard a rumor. She mentions, well, there is this alleged murder to have taken place. There is just one problem. They had no clue who the victim was. We have to do our job and we have to find out who did they kill. It had been 15 years since this alleged murder. Was it still possible to unearth the truth?
Starting point is 00:00:42 to unearth the truth. I used to watch the Unsolved Mystery Shows and I often thought about calling because I was like, this is not right. How can a person get killed and no one knows anything? I'm Jake Halpern and this is Deep Cover, The Nameless Man. Listen wherever you get your podcasts I'm Jake Halpern, and this is Deep Cover, The Nameless Man. Listen wherever you get your podcasts. And if you want to hear the entire season right now,
Starting point is 00:01:09 ad free, subscribe to Pushkin Plus on our Apple Podcast show page or on pushkin.fm slash plus. Hello, Tim Harford here. Tickets are selling fast for the special live edition of Cautionary Tales on the evening of Tuesday 21st May. I will be taking to the stage in London to tell a rather grisly story from 19th century Edinburgh. The actors are learning their lines and we're working on hair raising ways to keep you on the edge of your seat. So don't become a cautionary tale and miss out on a top night out. Get your tickets while they last. The link is in the episode description so what are you waiting for? Once again, Cautionary Tales, live in London on Tuesday 21st May. I can't wait to see you there. November 1939. It's been two months since Nazi Germany invaded Poland, and one month
Starting point is 00:02:33 since Poland surrendered. France and Britain have declared war, but there's not much fighting. An uneasy quiet has descended over Western Europe, with neither side keen to take major risks. It's obvious that the quiet won't last. And a German executive named Hans Ferdinand Meyer has picked a side. Meyer is visiting Oslo on a business trip. He doesn't look much. A neat, middle-aged fellow in a suit who works in some sort of corporate research lab back in Germany. Nobody bats an eyelid when he descends from his room to the lobby of Oslo's elegant Hotel Bristol, but asks the head porter,
Starting point is 00:03:20 Would it be possible, please, to borrow a typewriter? Maier takes the typewriter back upstairs to his room. He closes and carefully locks the door, pulls on a pair of gloves to obscure his fingerprints. What he's about to do is dangerous, very dangerous. If the Gestapo ever find out, he's a dead man. Then, Meyer's gloved fingers begin to type perhaps the most spectacular intelligence leak in history. In a terse but wide-ranging pair of reports,
Starting point is 00:04:00 he describes Nazi Germany's most sensitive military technologies. Their bomber production. The aircraft carrier being built in Kiel Harbour. The remote-controlled gliders fitted with large explosive charges. Meyer deftly outlines the Nazi autopilot system, which is under development and which will allow them to take down barrage balloon defences using unmanned planes. He keeps typing describing the ballistic missiles that the German army are developing and the name of the research center. He provides the location just north of Berlin of the R&D laboratories of the German air force, the Luftwaffe,
Starting point is 00:04:48 and suggests that it would be a rewarding target. How did Meyer learn all this? Some of it's gossip, some of it's wrong. But much of what he writes is specific, technically rigorous and absolutely accurate. And this he knows because he's the director of the Siemens Research Laboratory in Berlin. And the scientists working for him have increasingly been producing cutting edge electronics for military purposes. Shortly after Meyer borrows the typewriter, he arranges to have his two letters delivered to Oslo's British Embassy. For the Embassy staff, they're mysterious, sensational, baffling. sensational, baffling. It seems to be some of Nazi Germany's most closely guarded secrets, signed only with the curious name Martil.
Starting point is 00:05:52 Who sent them? Can they be believed? Mayer must be convinced that some deep evil lurks at the heart of the Nazi regime, because he's willing to risk his life to warn the British about what the Nazi military is capable of. But will the British listen? I'm Tim Harford and this is Portionary Tales. Ostriches do not in fact bury their heads in the sand when trouble is approaching, but sometimes people do. That's what this cautionary tale is all about. Why do we manage to ignore the obvious?
Starting point is 00:07:00 It should have been clear that Hans Ferdinand Meyer's letters, which became known as the Oslo Report, were worth taking seriously. Yes, this mysterious Martil fellow might have been a crank. Or the letters could have been fakes, a double bluff planted by the Nazis to deceive the British about their real capabilities. But the Oslo report included several paragraphs that could hardly be a Nazi bluff. They gave a detailed and authoritative description of German radio wave technology. At the time, the British tended to be rather sniffy about German engineering. Yes, the Germans could do things cheaply, but they
Starting point is 00:07:46 were hardly at the cutting edge. Meyer's report suggested otherwise. He explained that the Luftwaffe was developing guidance systems, using radio beams to help bombers drop their deadly payload at exactly the right spot, the equivalent of satellite navigation before satellites existed. Germany would be able to bomb British targets even at night. Meyer also described Germany's defensive radar technology – short-wave radio transmitters, which bounced signals off incoming aircraft and used the reflections as an early warning system. If the British sent bombers over Germany, the radar stations would see them coming, and Germany's fighter groups would have easy
Starting point is 00:08:38 pickings. He gave the details, the wavelengths being used, even the mathematical formulas involved. This couldn't be a bluff. At the very least, it proved that someone in Germany knew all about radar, which the British had assumed was their closely guarded secret. Radar technology would be pivotal in the Second World War, as vividly described in Tom Whipple's book, The Battle of the Beams. And Hans Ferdinand Mayer's brave decision to expose the secrets of German radar could be pivotal too, if the British took it seriously.
Starting point is 00:09:24 If. In the early 1930s, a senior British politician stood up in Parliament to explain the likely course of a future war. It is well also for the man in the street to realise that there is no power on earth that can protect him from being bombed. Whatever people may tell him, the bomber will always get through. That seemed all too true at the time. There was no defence against the new bombers that were being developed. They flew too high to be easily intercepted and would attack without warning.
Starting point is 00:10:09 In 1937, the Luftwaffe seemed to prove the point by laying waste to the Spanish market town of Guernica, with one of the first major bombings of a civilian population. But when Guernica was attacked, the British had already been working on a secret defence for a couple of years. And by 1939, that defence was fully prepared. An invisible network of radar stations blanketed the country, in places with reliable electricity supplies, good visibility out over the sea, and that
Starting point is 00:10:45 would not gravely interfere with grouse shooting. This was Britain after all. If the grouse shooting was disrupted, then the Nazis had already won. These radar stations would send out pulses of invisible light, radio waves, and detect the reflection of those pulses from incoming objects. The Royal Air Force would get advance notice of approaching bombers and could send fighters up to intercept them. Guided by radar, the outnumbered fighters of the Royal Air Force could be mustered and focused where they were most needed.
Starting point is 00:11:26 The heroic few could stand up to the mighty Luftwaffe. So when Hans Ferdinand Meyer was typing his secret Oslo report early in November 1939, radar was old news to the British. What was new, and should have been a dramatic revelation, was the fact that the Germans had radar too. Mayr's brave act of espionage could save many British lives, if they paid attention to the Oslo report. If not, they'd have to find out about German radar the hard way. On December 18, 1939, a few weeks after Meyer had typed his report, it was a cold, bright day over the the north west coast of Germany and the naval base of Wilhelmshaven. To the Royal Air Force it was a lovely day for the precision bombing
Starting point is 00:12:33 of the German fleet. Not a bomb would be wasted, not a civilian would be harmed. The conditions were ideal. That all assumed the bombers would attack without warning. If the defenders knew they were coming, however, the clear conditions would be a double-edged sword. Splendid weather for fighters, opines a Luftwaffe fighter commander. He's not really expecting a British attack, merely hoping for one. His assistant shakes his head regretfully. The Tommies are not such fools.
Starting point is 00:13:11 They won't come today. On the tiny German island of Heligoland, less than half a square mile in size, electronic eyes have been installed. German radar there and elsewhere will give plenty of warning of any incoming bombers. But the British, despite Meyer's warning, are convinced that only they and not the Germans have cracked the secrets of radar. The pilots of the 22 bombers heading towards Wilhelmshaven have every reason to believe they will catch the defenders completely unawares. When the radar operators on Heligoland notify their superiors of the incoming bombers, they're
Starting point is 00:14:00 met with disbelief. You are plotting seagulls? With the winter sun low in the southern sky, the defensive Luftwaffe fighters would have plenty of cover for their counterattack. Could the British really be so foolish as to try something? They would. The images on the radarscope aren't seagulls. They're 22 sitting ducks. With the German fighters given so much warning by the radar system,
Starting point is 00:14:32 the incoming British bombers don't stand a chance. More than half of them are shot down, as the rest flee to safety, having barely made a dent in Germany's fleet. The utter rout of the bomber force did prompt to rethink. In future, the Royal Air Force would attack at night. Of course, radar also works perfectly well at night, but the idea that the Germans had radar had yet to penetrate the skulls of the British elite.
Starting point is 00:15:08 Cautionary tales will be back after the break. And just a warning, there will be a brief mention of suicide. It all started with two federal agents who heard a rumor. She mentions, well, there is this alleged murder to have taken place. There was just one problem. They had no clue who the victim was. We have to do our job, and we have to find out who did they kill. It had been 15 years since this alleged murder. Was it still possible to unearth the truth? I used to watch the Unsolved Mystery shows, and I often thought about calling,
Starting point is 00:16:07 because I was like, this is not right. How can a person get killed and no one knows anything? I'm Jake Halpern, and this is Deep Cover, The Nameless Man. Listen wherever you get your podcasts, and if you want to hear the entire season right now ad free, subscribe to Pushkin Plus on our Apple Podcast show page or on pushkin.fm slash plus. Two years earlier, in 1937, relations between the German Luftwaffe and the British Royal Air Force had been cautious but cordial. Officers from each side would visit the other, chatting
Starting point is 00:17:01 diplomatically about the friendship between the two great nations. One visiting German officer took a surprisingly frank line of questioning. How are you getting on with your experiments in the detection by radio of aircraft approaching your shores? He asked his astonished hosts. He added cheerfully, We have known for some time that you were developing a system of radio detections and so are we, and we think we are ahead of you. The British didn't need Meyer to warn them about German radar. A Luftwaffe officer had
Starting point is 00:17:38 done the same two years before war broke out. Somehow the lesson didn't stick. So why do we sometimes deny the obvious? One answer is that maybe what seems obvious with hindsight wasn't obvious at the time. The Oslo report, coupled with the indiscreet visiting officer, should have been evidence enough. But that's easy to say with hindsight. There would have been dozens of informants, hundreds of reports, countless rumours. Different people in the British military will have heard different things
Starting point is 00:18:15 and not every piece of information would have reached the right person. Some reports will have been dismissed as junk. Some will have been too sensitive to share widely. A conversation with a visiting German in an officer's mess in 1937 might have been reported somewhere, filed and forgotten, or not reported at all. Amidst all the noise, it can be difficult to pick out the signal. We are ahead of you. Against all the noise, it can be difficult to pick out the signal.
Starting point is 00:18:47 In their book, Predictable Surprises, Max Bazerman and Michael Watkins call this an integration failure. An organisation may have all the information it needs, but sifting out what really matters and assembling those disparate clues into the true picture can be a near impossible task. The British weren't the only ones to suffer integration failures. The Germans, for example, regarded their radar system as the mother of all secrets. Yet they also published publicity photographs showing radar aerials clearly visible. This was because the radar system was so secret that the German sensors weren't
Starting point is 00:19:34 told that it was a secret. Nor were the Americans immune. In fact, the most famous intelligence failure of the war was arguably an integration failure. The Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor came as a complete surprise to the US forces there. Shouldn't the Americans have seen the Japanese coming? The clues were there. Several American and British strategists had warned that Pearl Harbor would be a tempting target for a Japanese attack. US-Japanese relations were extremely tense, and war seemed a distinct threat. An American codebreaker, Genevieve Grouchin, had cracked a Japanese diplomatic code six
Starting point is 00:20:20 weeks before the attack. She exposed a message between the Tokyo government and the Japanese embassy in Washington, noting, There is more reason than ever before for us to arm ourselves to the teeth for all-out war. Just a week before the attack, another message was deciphered. The Japanese ambassador in Berlin was instructed by Tokyo to warn Adolf Hitler that, "...war may suddenly break out between the Anglo-Saxon nations and Japan. This war may come quicker than anyone dreams."
Starting point is 00:21:01 With hindsight, this all seems very obvious. So obvious, in fact, that some people believe in a conspiracy theory that the US or the UK deliberately ignored the warnings in the hope that Japan would attack and American voters would support the US entering the war. The truth is more prosaic. There were lots of hints of trouble, but lots of noise and false alarms too. Different decision makers had different clues, and these clues didn't reach the right people at the right time. In her influential book about Pearl Harbour, the historian Roberta Wollstetter wrote, "...it is only to be expected that the relevant signals so clearly audible after an event
Starting point is 00:21:48 will be partially obscured before the event by surrounding noise. Perhaps the British failed to understand that the Germans had radar because they were simply suffering an integration failure. If so, they were about to get another very clear signal amidst the noise. In December 1939, the same month as the disastrous raid on Wilhelmshaven, and six weeks after Hans Ferdinand Meyer's letters, another German named Hans would present the British with another opportunity to learn what they faced. This fellow is Hans Langsdorff, captain of the Graf Spee, a mighty German battleship.
Starting point is 00:22:37 The Graf Spee had been prowling around the South Atlantic, sinking merchant ships after first allowing their civilian crews to disembark, Captain Langsdorff regarded naval warfare as a matter of honour after all. Still he was avoiding a real fight, since German naval doctrine at the time was to attack only civilian ships, causing maximum trouble for minimum risk. Captain Langsdorff and the Graaff Spee were causing a lot of damage to the Allied war effort and the Royal Navy resolved to hump them down near the huge river plate estuary where Argentina, Uruguay and the Atlantic Ocean meet. Just after dawn on the 13th of December,
Starting point is 00:23:26 three British cruisers spotted the Graf Speys' smoking funnel on the horizon and gave chase. That was a brave move. Even with three against one, the Graf Spey was a larger, better armed and armored ship, a formidable opponent. Graf Spey concentrated its fire on one ship, the Exeter. And within minutes, Exeter had lost the torpedo crews,
Starting point is 00:23:52 the communication systems, an entire gun turret, and most of the men on the bridge. Exeter's captain was lucky to survive, wounded in both legs and both eyes. The British pulled back to assess the situation. Graf Spee had been hit more than 20 times, but the damage seemed superficial. The British didn't know that they'd been lucky.
Starting point is 00:24:17 One of Exeter's shells had shattered Graf Spee's fuel-filtering plant. The German battleship would run out of fuel within hours. Graf Spee dashed towards Montevideo, the nearest port, which was in neutral Uruguay. Once there, Captain Langsdorff frantically tried to repair his battleship, while the British scrambled to assemble reinforcements.
Starting point is 00:24:45 Langsdorff was alarmed when he was informed that a British communication had just been intercepted. The British ambassador to Uruguay had ordered fuel in order to supply the new British battleships that were arriving. Langsdorff's crew were starting to panic. One officer was convinced that, gazing out from Montevideo, he'd seen lurking on the horizon not only a British battleship but an aircraft carrier and three destroyers. What none of them knew was that the ambassador's fuel order was a bluff. Knowing his communications would be intercepted, he'd paid for fuel for ships that didn't exist. Langsdorff fell for it and bowed to what seemed inevitable. He limped the Graff's Bay out to the River plate estuary, planted explosives on her hull, and sent her to the bottom of the sea.
Starting point is 00:25:51 Sadly for Captain Langsdorff, the bottom of the sea was only 12 yards down. Most of the ship remained above the surface, and photographs of the burning wreck went around the world, gleefully exploited by the British for propaganda purposes. For Captain Langsdorff, an honourable man, it was a final humiliation. From a hotel room in nearby Buenos Aires, he wrote a letter to his wife and another to his parents.
Starting point is 00:26:25 The third letter was addressed to the German government. For a captain with a sense of honour, it goes without saying that his personal fate cannot be separated from that of his ship, he explained. Having written the three letters, he spread the Graf Speys ensign flag out on the floor, lay on top of it and shot himself. Out across the river plate estuary, the smoke from the Graf Spey began to clear. As it did, a sharp-eyed observer in British intelligence noticed something curious in the latest photographs. What was that mysterious network of criss-crossing wires on Graff's Bay's
Starting point is 00:27:16 forward tower? It was now January 1940. Let me introduce you to a British radar scientist named Labouchère Hiliard Bainbridge-Bell. I hope you'll forgive me if I just call him Bainbridge-Bell. He thought the array on the Graf Spee looked suspiciously like a radar system. He flew to Uruguay to find out more. When Bainbridge Bell arrived in Montevideo, his James Bond-style cover story was that he was a scrap metal dealer. British intelligence had already purchased the salvage rights, and Bainbridge Bell rode out to Graf Spey to examine his property. Although the ship had already been picked over by scavengers and gutted by fire, he
Starting point is 00:28:09 was relieved to discover that the radar tower still contained many clues. For radar tower it undoubtedly was. As he stood on the sloping deck amidst the wreckage. Bainbridge Bell gazed around at the fragments of a cathode ray display and sifted through the gears and the electronics that lay scattered around. His report back to the British government was unambiguous. The writer's personal opinion is that the installation was a 60-centimetre RDF. Radar. It seems strange that no-one was curious before January 1940
Starting point is 00:28:50 about the aerial on the control tower. Strange indeed. But as Tom Whipple explains in The Battle of the Beams, the lack of curiosity would continue. The report was filed and then forgotten. Not only had Hans Ferdinand Meyer warned the British that the Germans had radar, but Bainbridge Bell had seen the radar with his own eyes. The official position of the Royal Air Force, however, did not change.
Starting point is 00:29:25 Britain and Britain alone commanded the miracle technology of radar. Cautionary Tales will be back after the break. It all started with two federal agents who heard a rumor. She mentions, well, there is this alleged murder to have taken place. There is just one problem. They had no clue who the victim was. We have to do our job, and we have to find out who did they kill? It had been 15 years
Starting point is 00:30:10 since this alleged murder. Was it still possible to unearth the truth? I used to watch the Unsolved Mystery shows, and I often thought about calling because I was like, this is not right. How can a person get killed and no one knows anything?
Starting point is 00:30:35 I'm Jake Halpern, and this is Deep Cover, The Nameless Man. Listen wherever you get your podcasts. And if you want to hear the entire season right now, ad free, subscribe to Pushkin Plus on our Apple Podcast show page or on pushkin.fm slash plus. By February 1940, it should have been brutally obvious that the Germans had radar, but the British refused to believe it. The delay was costly.
Starting point is 00:31:13 Just ask the surviving crew of HMS Delight. This British destroyer ventured out of a harbour on the south coast of England in the summer of 1940, and within a few miles was sunk by German dive bombers. Six sailors died. How unlucky, thought the British. But it wasn't bad luck. It was good German radar. The same story could be told by the crews of British bombers. In 1940 the British weren't in a position to bomb the Germans very often, but when they did the losses were unexpectedly grievous. How unlucky.
Starting point is 00:31:58 If the British had woken up to the obvious, the true source of these losses would have been recognised, and some of them could have been prevented. If you understand that an enemy has radar, you can start to take precautions. Flying decoy missions, or flying in formations that overwhelm the radar operators, or trying to jam the radar electronically, or fill the sky with false signals.
Starting point is 00:32:24 Later in the war, both sides became masters of such tricks. But at the start, the Nazis were racing to develop countermeasures to British radar, and the British didn't even know there was a race at all. So why did it take the British so long? Was it just an integration failure? Were different parts of the British military receiving different signals? And were they unable to put them all together and spot the pattern amidst the noise? I discussed this question with Tom Whipple, the author of The Battle of the Beams. He
Starting point is 00:33:02 pointed out that there was one British intelligence analyst who didn't have any trouble at all piecing together the pattern. His name was R.V. Jones. If you've heard our series on the V-2 rocket, R.V. Jones was the man who rightly warned Winston Churchill that Germany was developing the V2 ballistic missile at Peenemünde. Jones was just as sharp on the question of German radar. He didn't miss much. In May 1940 he informed his colleagues that it was almost certain that Germany had radar. In July 1940 he wrote another short report summarising the evidence. A prisoner of war had admitted that the German navy had range-finding radar.
Starting point is 00:33:52 German planes had been spotted with what seemed to be radar systems. Eavesdropping on German radio revealed that pilots were celebrating the use of a code-named system to successfully intercept British planes. And of course, there was the Oslo Report and the discovery of a fragmentary radar system on the Graf Spee. R.V. Jones declared, It is safe to conclude that the Germans have an RDF system. They had radar. Jones pulled together much of the relevant evidence, drew the obvious
Starting point is 00:34:29 conclusion in plain language and circulated his analysis to Winston Churchill's chief scientific advisor and several other senior people. This wasn't a Pearl Harbour situation. It wasn't an integration failure. The men who needed to know the truth were told it, and they refused to believe. Early in 1941, a mysterious figure was seen standing on the south coast of England, pointing a mysterious array of aerials out over the sea towards occupied France. The locals were alarmed and this dastardly fellow was soon in the custody of the police
Starting point is 00:35:18 as a suspected German spy. He was in fact a frustrated British scientist named Derek Garrard. Garrard was waiting to receive permission to join the intelligence team of the formidable RV Jones, but his security clearance had been slow to arrive. And Derek Garrard was in a hurry. There was a war on after all. He convinced the police to release him and headed straight back to the coast to set up his equipment again. He was listening for the distinctive pulses of a German radar system. R.V. Jones, meanwhile, had been shown a pair of aerial photographs with a strange anomaly
Starting point is 00:36:02 in them, a blur that suggested a rotating object. Jones already suspected that the site in question on the French coast might contain a radar station. He requested that a Spitfire fighter pilot make the dangerous journey over the sea to get a close-up photograph of the strange object. The pilot returned and complained that all he'd found was an anti-aircraft gun, a gun which could have killed him. But when the photographs were examined, they showed not only the gun, but off in the background, at the edge of the image, a radar aerial. Jones had seen the enemy and Derek Garrard had heard it – the
Starting point is 00:36:48 very same radar station that the Spitfire pilot had photographed. As Jones was studying that photograph, Garrard burst in breathless with news that his aerials on the South Coast had clearly picked up the radar signal. This might come in handy. Jones was due at a meeting later that day, called by the Royal Air Force's Head of Radar and Signals. The agenda for the meeting? Did the Germans have radar? At the beginning of the discussion,
Starting point is 00:37:21 that was still an open question. When R.V. Jones strolled in with Garrard's report of listening to the radar in one hand and the Spitfire pilot's photograph of it in the other, the question had finally been answered. It was February 1941, 15 months after Hans Ferdinand Mayer had borrowed a typewriter and risked his life to warn the British that the Germans had radar. R.V. Jones didn't suffer fools gladly, but he was diplomatic enough not to name the fools. Shortly after the war, he dryly wrote,
Starting point is 00:38:09 The evidence and rough performance of German radar had already been deduced in summer 1940. Despite this evidence, there still remains some expert prejudice against believing that the Germans had radar. Prejudice is the right word. Too many of the people who mattered had already made up their minds that the Germans couldn't have radar. The original sins here were pride and wishful thinking. Pride in British ingenuity meant that British scientists and officers were reluctant to
Starting point is 00:38:45 admit that German technology might be just as good as theirs. And wishful thinking, the hope that the fearsome German war machine had a weak spot – their lack of radar. And because the British were so determined to disbelieve in German radar, they found fault with every piece of contrary evidence that crossed their desks. Those bulges on German planes weren't radar, they were just bulges. The Oslo report was clearly unreliable, a Nazi bluff. Evidence from interrogated prisoners couldn't be trusted. Commitment to the abuse of power, the abuse of power, the abuse of power, the abuse of
Starting point is 00:39:27 power, the abuse of power, the abuse of power, the abuse of power, the abuse of power, the abuse of power, the abuse of power, the abuse of power, the abuse of power, the abuse of power, the abuse of power, the abuse of power, the abuse of power, the abuse of power, the This is a sadly familiar story to connoisseurs of cautionary tales. We all have fond beliefs. And we're at risk of mental contortions to protect those fond beliefs. Even as the British started to wonder if the Germans really did have radar, their pride wouldn't let them admit that the Germans might have figured it out all by themselves. Winston Churchill asked the Air Ministry to check that no British radar had been captured during the fall of France.
Starting point is 00:40:15 I understand there were two or three British radar sets. Can I be assured they were effectively destroyed before evacuation. He was right to ask. The Germans had indeed managed to seize a British radar. While sweeping across Belgium and France in May and June of 1940, German radar engineers had taken it apart and examined it closely, before concluding that the British technology was so crude that they had nothing to learn. After the war, R.V. Jones tried again and again to figure out who had written the Oslo Report. In the end, he gave up, assuming that the anonymous author had been killed in the war, or perhaps
Starting point is 00:41:07 executed as a traitor. Hans Ferdinand Mayer had been arrested by the Gestapo in 1943, but not because of the Oslo report. His crime was listening to broadcasts from the BBC. A neighbour's maid overheard him repeating something critical of the Nazi regime from one of those broadcasts, and that was Meier's undoing. Meier was sent to Dachau, a concentration camp, where he was put to work trying to develop counter-intelligence in a radio research laboratory. He kept his head down. As the regime began to fall apart at the end of the war, Hans Ferdinand Mayer simply walked out of a prison camp and into the safety of a nearby wood. Mayer knew that
Starting point is 00:42:03 some people would view him as a hero and others as a traitor. So he preferred to keep his authorship of the Oslo Report a closely guarded secret. But through an extraordinary set of coincidences, R. V. Jones finally learned his identity and tracked him down in 1955. He was living in Munich and once again running a research lab for Siemens. One evening, over quiet conversation in Meyer's apartment in Munich, Jones asked him why he'd done what he'd done. Why had he taken such extraordinary risks? There's a political answer and a more personal one. The political answer is simply that Mayer
Starting point is 00:42:51 was a staunch anti-Nazi. The personal answer is that Mayer had a friend in Britain, another electronics expert named Henry Cobden Turner. When the Nazis rose to power, Mayer Henry Cobden-Turner. When the Nazis rose to power, Meyer and Cobden-Turner worked together to rescue a half-Jewish girl named Claudia Martil Carwijk, whose Jewish mother had been expelled from Germany and whose Nazi father had disowned her. At Meyer's request, Cobden-Turner managed to get a visa and a British passport for her, and she was saved, eventually moving to New York and living a long and happy life in America. Maier and Cobden-Turner became the most loyal of friends. Cobden-Turner was godfather to Maier's son. Cobden-Turner urged Mayr to leak German secrets
Starting point is 00:43:46 to help bring down the Nazis. But Mayr refused. It wouldn't be right, he insisted, unless the countries were actually at war. And once war came, it was impossible for him to reach Cobden-Turner directly. Hence the pretext to visit Oslo, the borrowed typewriter and the mysterious letters to the Oslo embassy. Meyer always hoped they might get into Cobden Turner's hands, since he was a radio expert himself. That was why the letters were simply signed Martil, the middle name of the girl they'd saved together. Cobden-Turnip was the only man alive who would understand the reference.
Starting point is 00:44:30 R.V. Jones listened to all this, and then he kept Maya's secret for decades until both Maya and Maya's wife were dead. The Oslo report, he said, was probably the best single report received from any source during the war. But that quiet evening in Munich, did R.V. Jones tell Meyer that the British simply hadn't believed the Oslo report and that the Royal Air Force was still debating the existence of German radar more than a year later? I hope not. Meyer had risked everything to warn the British. It would have been cruel to tell him that
Starting point is 00:45:17 the British simply hadn't listened. This cautionary tale is based, with permission, on Tom Whipple's book, The Battle of the Beams. It's a vivid and surprising history and there's a lot more to it than the argument about German radar. Pick up a copy if you can. For a full list of our sources, as always, see the show notes at timharford.com. Corortionary Tales is written by me, Tim Harford, with Andrew Wright. It's produced by Alice Fiennes with support from Marilyn Rust. The sound design and original music is the work of Pascal Wise. Sarah Nix edited the scripts. It features the voice talents of Ben Crowe, Melanie Guthridge, Stella Harford, Gemma Saunders and Rufus Wright.
Starting point is 00:46:25 The show also wouldn't have been possible without the work of Jacob Weisberg, Ryan Dilley, Greta Cohn, Vital Mollard, John Schnarz, Eric Sandler, Carrie Brody and Christina Sullivan. Cautionary Tales is a production of Pushkin Industries. It's recorded at Wardour Studios in London by Tom Berry. If you like the show, please remember to share, rate and review. Tell your friends. And if you want to hear the show ad free, sign up for Pushkin Plus on the show page in Apple Podcasts or at pushkin.fm slash plus. It all started with two federal agents who heard a rumor. She mentions, well, there is this alleged murder to have taken place. There was just one problem.
Starting point is 00:47:31 They had no clue who the victim was. We have to do our job, and we have to find out who did they kill. It had been 15 years since this alleged murder. Was it still possible to unearth the truth? I used to watch the Unsolved Mystery shows and I often thought about calling because I was like, this is not right. How can a person get killed and no one knows anything? I'm Jay Calpurn, and this is Deep Cover, The Nameless Man. Listen wherever you get your podcasts. And if you want to hear the entire season right now,
Starting point is 00:48:17 ad free, subscribe to Pushkin Plus on our Apple Podcast show page or on pushkin.fm slash plus

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