Earnings Season - 29 - Gone WIG the Wind
Episode Date: March 5, 2020This week @HDanhai puts on his meteorologist cap & uses Math to get @RTRowe to adjust his tone. They also discuss the market having been away from it for a few weeks touching on recent re...sults along with a bunch of companies including $SEP.ja, $138SL.ja, $JETCON.ja, $QWI.ja, $iCreate.ja, $ISP.ja, $WIG.ja and a whole lot more... Come for the gems, go with the wind 🌬. Enjoy! Contact Us Here 👉🏾 Earnings@everymickle.com Follow us on Twitter here 👉🏾 www.twitter.com/Earnings_Season www.twitter.com/RTRowe www.twitter.com/HDanhai 🔗Links🔗 First Rock Prospectus http://bit.ly/35HvyBp $EFresh.ja stops pork production http://bit.ly/38kfsy8 $KLE.ja retakes Usain Bolt's Tracks & Records franchise http://bit.ly/2uVTGTR $PJam.ja considers APO & Stock Splits & other things http://bit.ly/2uVTQur 🔊Shout Outs🔊 @RichardPandohie, "long time" Chelsea Fan @SmittyRoyal, @5solae, @MayberryInvJa, @guruintraining_, @AlexTheOverlord, @Stef_Nja, @JCKnight2, @JohnHJack, @CallTyrone_W, @Philburginvests ★ Support this podcast ★
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Hi guys welcome to earnings season I'm Randy Rowe at RT Rowe and I'm Danai at H Danai
and this is this week's earnings season Danai you're just saying something a while ago oh yeah
earnings season going on right now yes other companies are posting their results one 2020
earnings season we're looking at some companies and you said something just came out yeah so
separate separate came up with its results it was the q4 results at the end
of here and first glance a profit I know Kevin yeah okay let me offer a lot of
money that your profit heavy man shock shock shocking
yeah because they were taking some hits up to tune up to q3 so this change this turnaround
must have happened in the q4 sorry i'm looking on jc's website for it and i'm not seeing it
page five in latest news page three page five in latest news oh i thought you
meant like it just came out oh no bro we discussed it already man we discussed it on this already no
man separately okay okay don't you own the brother and the yeah the conversations run together so
next thing i want to check i wanted to see it first and then go check the money i don't know
if i own any actually yeah i saw your post i think that i buy a sleeping man ah yes yes yes yes yes
yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
about more since but i i think i've also sold something there were opportunities along the time
along the year to sell separate separate separate i did post that that's called a contract note
which everybody should get from their broker once you do a trade yes it should
stay there's certain information that must be stated in it and obviously included in that is
the actual price that you pay the amount of shares you get and what company you got it in and of
course because i track all of my gains in the dashboard i use it so i also have them saved so
i can go back i hate how much i didn't realize so much personal
information is on it until i had to start redacting bro yeah it's annoying oh yeah
results are out profit way up revenue up profit way up let us be proper with that
four results came out on february 17th and the profit number is what percentage
that say well for results came out on February 17 and a profit number is what percentage percentage of the last year q4 almost 10x 749 and they haven't gotten rid of the sugar operations yet?
So, yeah.
Forgot to check that actually.
So how much sugar operations still on the books?
Lasted the book for sugar operations in the fourth quarter.
Let's roll up, check the thing there.
They have one of the discontinued operations here. they've got four sensors and eps so yeah that's probably the um sugar right there um so they're
showing that they're fighting everybody i like that they're playing a bigger pretreatment
what in terms of what the sugar represents to the company is literally like a dividend like a dividend amount
Like a dollar dividend per share. That's a that's yeah
And who does that pressure the pressure is a government actually, right did I get what I wanted
no, no, what I wanted was the
Ability to I don't get it wrong. Is it a tax?
the ability to I don't get it wrong is it attacks tax credits I should follow up to see if that was done or maybe some enterprising but interesting enough I
wondered about that because of this so you can this the tax line itself they
moved a huge tax credit meaning Meaning they have a positive moment.
They got a PBT, profit before tax,
and they realized it's not much more than the profit before tax last year.
And then they booked a big tax credit.
I mean, credit where credit is due.
Seprad is big.
separate is big to move separate to move separate from what's that 292.3 million to a year later 344.1 million definitely that's that's that's big that's a 17 move yeah what i'm laughing at is the
830 plus 830 million credit um profit after that versus
credit um profit after that versus 241 so you still have some tax credits heavy credits heavily almost half a billion yeah in task or the where you
think you come from as I wonder if it's in a fish or attacks
tell us into a report to the stockholders revenues of blah blah blah 34.3 bill increase of 11.8 53 percent over last year so they put
face it underneath themselves so this is a facing number 17 percent increase in profit on face it
that's not bad as hope as everybody increase meaning this quarter have a 17.7% increase in profit. 344 million versus 292 million.
No, no, no.
Operating profit before tax.
Yeah, the exact same number we're just looking at.
Oh, yeah, yeah.
Profit before tax.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
We're not going past that yet.
Because we're talking about before any tax credits are used.
So I'm saying that they put FASE underneath them.
And remember our conversation, I think, two years ago.
We were wondering what was the true profit effect of FACI.
What would it be?
It might not be that great.
Because they shared a lot of business already
and already kind of banked anybody.
They pulled themselves on it.
But if we attribute a 17%.
I think they've been running it all this year.
In the MD&A for all this year, they've been mentioning FACI.
Yeah, because the revenue was going up we knew we knew revenue would fly it was
what would be was it and I don't know have an examiner profit to see exactly
what it is yet but 2019 they executed on the closing of the sugar part tree it's
not done yet but it's going to possibly positively impact the group's
return on equity and it's cash flow maybe it's done I don't know the wording
here is ambiguous right that's the important thing to know any of them
ambiguous wording management executed on his previously communicated decision to
close a sugar factory and in doing so curtail the 10 years of operational
losses from sugar manufacturing I don't know if it's actually done but what
they are saying is that this move will positively
impact the group's return on
equity and its cash flows
in the future. In other words, they will
be cutting out
any losses that they may have coming
from it or any costs, so they'll be making more
cash.
They'll be keeping more cash on hand.
Yeah, they'll be more profitable after this.
Well, after the sugar sugar
losses are removed as profitability will be better but yeah i think the tax credit really said a lot
what do you think it says but what do you think it says all right i don't know it said a lot it's
just that it really changes how you look at the profit. If I get what I'm saying.
So when you cash in on things there,
so if I cash in on tax credits, right?
And say I have,
because tax credits are generally used to write off,
what do you call it again?
Write off taxes.
So it's not like-
Corporate tax.
Corporate tax.
So it's not that you can,
you get a claim,
you get a redemption on your taxes.
You just,
any loss you have at any given time,
you can claim against it. Yes, correct. I think there's a limit to how much of a credit loss you have at any given time you can claim against it
yes correct so i think there's a limit to how much of a credit you can take in any given year
yeah man but some credits some grades have to claim them all at once so you can stop oh yeah
some great sites in the case of separate say generally you just you're not going to go more
you get the task credits when you find text is going over to the point where the company is now in
more profit for the task credit claim than they are so I'm trying to explain
this to say I have tax credits right I have $15 I have $30 profit before tax and I have
profit of 50 of tax of $15 right mm-hmm it would make sense for me to claim only 15 dollars of tax
credits right yes but that's great story work out at some time so i don't even have to claim
all at once yeah so you know please say a 400 thing there in tax credits you make 30 profit
before tax and 15 is tax oh yeah these tax credits are to clean them all at once so you don't put 430 dollars in profit okay so because you get to put it as a against it's easy to look like a positive
one of the things that that's credits it's claiming task credits credits more than the profit more
than the tax itself it there's actually zero value transfer to the company for that cash value yeah you know value in general think about it i get it because there's no there's no exactly but technically you
do give yourself an uplift in your retained earnings which you can later cash out on when
you have actual cash on hand no yes because it's your profit goes up yeah your net profit goes up
as a result retain earnings isn't cash retain earnings
is value return yeah but i'm saying it increases that value which at a future date you can
encash that as a dividend or a capital return so i suppose you get this dividend of the
400 of tax not no i know continue't you? The dividend comes from somewhere.
So in my retained earnings,
$200 of not real tax,
not real money, went there.
And when the time comes, I'm able to when I have cash on hand, I'm able
to cash out that $200 of retained earnings
as real money to me.
Cash on.
Alright, suppose the very first year
of the business is operation and you bought a tax
credit from somebody, a hundred tax credit and your tax is actually 50. You have to use
the whole tax credit so you have an extra 50 left in no retained earnings even though
you made a loss. Even though you made a loss, youhmm even though you made a loss mm-hmm you have an extra 15 retained earnings we actually want our $50 cash but he didn't
actually he didn't pay for those attacks cool wait I was even thinking of that
great so you actually have it that I was cash on hand and fitted us not return
and I think it was in written even though you actually have a hundred
dollars everything yeah of
course retain earnings it was a earning number that goes no you have a hundred
hours in retained earnings you want bit your loss your operating loss for the
year is 50 mm-hmm you have a tax credit of 100 and you have to use the whole
hundred uh-huh so you make a profit of 50 there we go so you don't have a
hundred in profit you'd have a hundred in retainer and you have 15 it's the
very first year of operation so the end of the no oh stop I get it either tax
you to those yeah operating profit is 50 what's the attacks class it does money That's what you're saying. Tax is just money you send off.
No, no, hold on.
Profit before tax is the money you have.
Your tax is $50.
And your operating profit is what?
Whatever percentage would allow the $50 to be the amount of actual cash that you have.
My point here is this, right? No, no that is this you're on my whole point okay if i operate before it is 200 we'll do it that way
we'll do it that way your operating profit is 200 or your tax or 50. 100 yeah let's do the 100 in
profit 100 operating profit the government have to get 25 percent okay so 25 dollars
in profit the government have to get 25% okay $25 mm-hmm I have a $50 tax credit
and you have to use it all the same some properties or $100 no no it's one thing for you up you know your operating profit is a hundred so your net profit is 75 and you use your your $50 tax credit 125 cool so you have 125 now
and in that 125 is 50 of the tax credit right correct how much cash you have no it's unimportant
for what i was saying 125 is your profit for the year and that includes 50 that was an uplift from the tax credit
the next year in the first quarter you do something great you get 125 dollars as a
bigger cash payment than you're expecting because you're on a big contract right
first quarter next year you know um and it's all cash and at that point your retained earnings is
cash and at that point your retained earnings is 125 plus whatever the first quarter was
so what was my property no i don't know i don't feel it you don't matter but your profit could be a dollar so it's cash where it's going from the one thing if i just we got a contract and
it's really a five thousand contract and then pay us 125 as a cash bonus early so we have 125
as a cash bonus early.
So we have 125 cash. What about income?
Huh?
We have 125 cash on hand
more than we expected.
And at that point also,
our retained earnings is 125
because that's all of last year,
plus whatever the cash
from this first quarter is, right?
But whatever the profit for this quarter.
25 cash.
Yeah, whatever.
Remember, we agreed that last year,
the $50, the 125 was our retained earnings and it included the difference of the tax
credit right mm-hmm if at the end of the first quarter I choose to pay out a
dividend of 125 I am able to do that nothing what was stopping it before what
was stopping before that I'm not saying anything was stopping me. But in that 125 is the tax credit.
So I'm saying it is a real thing.
No.
Yes.
The second something, the limit to a dividend is retained earnings, right?
Not really.
It's cash.
Yeah.
In real life, the limit is cash.
But let's say you have unlimited cash.
The limit, the legal limit to a dividend.
There's no legal limit to a dividend.
There is.
I promise you there isn't.
You can't take any money out of a company.
Really? You own a
company account and you're in loss.
But you have cash there.
You can't pay a dividend if it's in loss.
Why? You have to call it something else.
That's what you mean. Yeah. Dividends have to be
paid from capital
distribution. Capital gains distribution.
Not capital gains. Those money. No? Capital distribution. Capital gains distribution. Not capital gains.
Those capital distribution.
Those money.
No.
Capital distribution.
Capital distribution.
And not capital gains.
Sorry.
Capital distribution.
Capital.
Yeah.
Like when equity return to the shareholder.
Yeah.
So it's not a dividend?
No.
Because dividends have to be paid from profit.
It's funny.
We had this conversation.
We were trying to figure out what exactly
was the difference between capital distribution and dividends yeah i'm also sure that i have it
wrong and somebody's going no right now and i mean feel free to i really i really need a good
accountant so yo if you hear this if you know tax law we just said a holy shit up and come we need
to talk to you yeah please correct us we're open to that i'd actually love to hear i'd like to
finalize that because for a long time i've wanted it and of course the big thing is this is like a
good one still if it there's a legal line to be on here because as far as i know you have to have
had profit in order to pay a dividend yeah so i don't know i don't know i don't know where the
legal but the i don't know what the dividend is in in law okay i don't know if a dividend is in law okay I know it is in real life
accounts or whatever
so
but the two
those aren't different
those are the same yeah
oh yeah man definitely
so if there's a difference
between capital distribution
and dividend
what I thought of
what I thought of
as dividends completely
isn't actual dividends
and I know
in some jurisdictions
in some jurisdictions
the difference
between a capital distribution
and a dividend
matters in some jurisdictions and there have been court cases about it.
Sorry I just want to say it again to the people listening
know that we're not a hundred percent on this feel free to update us if you want to
know yeah and I'm thinking that this links right back to MPC because they
paid a dividend and the big deal is how could they pay a dividend at the time
where they didn't yet have profits to pay it from?
And the cap on your dividend is previous profits,
aka retained earnings.
So it is the only case
and I don't have a final answer for it yet.
So who had an issue?
It's not supposed to be happening.
That was one of the reasons why there was a big deal around MPC.
The usual talk online
i could be wrong but i think john jackson said something on ic insider oh i have to check that
but um i i i discarded the talk online as i do they really know accounts uh yeah well accountants
i'm sure i don't i don't find much accountants talking online at a really shows I really
want or talking online not find that I don't say anything me yeah I think the
way name again other our figure I learned that all the people expecting
accounting they don't know so I want the I don't hear the voice of accountants
more often cause you have them on the show
sir you guys are aiming randy you know oh god
fling me right under the buster i don't fight i don't find them you said they're gaming so guess what wow wow wow um good job sure i'd like i'd actually like to have a couple of proper
accountants on the show we can ask a couple of questions.
We can ask people to send in them questions that they want to ask accountants.
Yeah.
And we'll go through some and see what it is that we can ask.
And I'm sure you have a bunch.
I have a bunch I've always wanted to get, like the proper.
The funny thing I find is that a lot of accountants say,
and they admit it themselves, not in a bad way,
but they say that accounting to them is almost there's something it's like they're not there's a
line in their mind between the real world and what they'm seeing the books even though they
know it's the same thing right yeah that's why so many of them day me and them say oh a lot of what
they've learned and i know the scene is like i brought alive what i'm already know and all my
friends at our content are always out in the next year why the hell you actually know the language
of accounting the language of accounting,
the language of business, and you're not investing?
And a few of them who are auditors,
always they grab onto that excuse big and fast.
Oh, if you're an auditor.
That's why people don't think of accounting as a language,
and that is all I think of it as.
Yeah, that's all it is.
It's just the way you express what's happening in the business.
Exactly that.
That's why you have to know it.
Everybody says it.
Even I don't.
As much as I grow and I make it simple and I simplified or if I know full well at the end of the day what's at the core of it is me taking
complicated accounting concepts and making them real life and showing people
it yeah and I think a lot of people are used to that yep so a lot of funny
enough to me a lot of them are accountants
so when they realize what they're doing
is what they're actually doing
I know the same thing because I manage
receivables for years
and seeing
now when I look on a company's receivables
it means something else to me because I know
what it actually means day to day
you point out
analysis based on receivables
I think more than once.
Yes, because it's something I always look for.
Because I know how, I know what you can do with receivables
and I know how it affects the cash flow very, very importantly
and the profit, right?
It's a key thing.
That's why I always go back to profit.
Yeah, but yeah, I just like the fact that a lot of people now
are seeing it as a real thing.
And if people, if you know we're talking rubbish,
feel free to come on.
I know one, I have one bedroom who is at, I believe he's a certified accountant i'm sorry if i have it
wrong his name is on twitter at smitty royale he's been a chelsea fan his entire life i know smitty
since 1997 but in 2020 he informed me that he's been a chelsea fan his entire life yeah big up
smitty welcome it say in every size?
What were we saying before that?
Oh, yeah.
So the course we did for the thing there,
the financial health of a business, that course.
Ah, yes.
He was breaking down what would make you know if somebody paid a dividend by taking debt.
You know that in that example,
there were enough retained. None of
his examples included
them paying out more than retained earnings
allowed. It is obviously
the trick with it is always that
you are able to pay more than current
year's profit. I don't remember that.
I remember because I've
always been looking for it. So you can make a loss
in a year and still pay a dividend. There's nothing stopping
that. But
with the exception of that one case, like I say,
I have never seen a company pay more in dividends
than they have in retained earnings.
I remember it's retained earnings that is reduced.
Definitely.
So if your retained earnings is negative,
I believe that they'll allow you to pay it.
That's funny.
Retained earnings is equity.
Equity is capital.
It is capital distributed. That's the funny part to me
yeah well I think that the cap is on if you think realistically a company could
be sinking and the person running the company or if there are so director
could make a decision to put the company more debt pay that debt out as a
dividend and then let the company sink which we've seen this before not necessarily
retained earnings is the deliberate cap on that randy yeah yeah you get what i'm saying well what
i'm saying is that it's like that's like something creative we've seen happen before within it's not
there's nothing well what i just described in my mind there's something wrong with that i don't
think the law laws i've never seen i've never seen something that not that i've
seen it on the american market but um we've seen
where what i've i've never seen now what i've
seen is companies have wholly for retained earnings but they're not really
they don't really have any cash on hand and this is bad now
and i'm at the 10 and 20 years of retained earnings in the back somebody
come in fling some cash in there i mean that is perfectly legal well i've seen this thing there right quite again somebody people give me a heart
and what fat say say wake up today all the time you know so you go that's exactly what i said
i was like okay i mean that's how we talk that's how we talk you already want me to
man feel bad yeah i'm the only man tell him why people always bring your badness to me
i don't know that's
me that's how you probably see the people oh wow what are you saying sir what is what you're saying
oh yeah um company so like say a company losses for years large retained earnings probably um they
have some ass they have things they have something
they want
huge debt
and
so like a payment
come through
payment from whom?
a payment from
a client
a client that they used to have
it was in delay
okay
and the debt
has been calling
so their company
debt has been calling
the debt of here
but there's no
there's no there's no there's no
cash in the business oh so like the payback invoice last year but I don't
actually get paid for that invoice yes so you need a cash crunch crisis okay
get paid if I get paid okay so you get a big cash cut you get a big cash you get a big cash payment you say pay dividends for
meeting earnings and then the company to get it and through that's it sort of all right i was
wondering if you can do that if you say debtors are calling you finally get a payment if you can
do a dividend payment instead it depends on the terms of your debt some debt some or somebody
something that locks you into having to pay them
first for example give me a company that has that where they're required to pay i don't know you
tell me i think jmmb 7.5 oh yeah preference is often which is a level of debt yeah oftentimes um
and well and a protective form in that
those shares
can reconvert
into
in the event
of mispayments
and certain terms
blah blah blah
they can reconvert
into regular shares
which is whole
and also
they even
just have
preference shares
and they have
a higher calling
so the debt goes
then the preference
shares
and then
higher calling
that ranking thing
where they re-rank
into common shares
it's often a protection for common shareholders.
It's $100,000 supposed to pay out, right?
And there's a preference share, guys.
And the company only have 100 shares.
100 ordinary shares.
Yeah, sure.
But the preference shares is $100,000.
Exactly.
100,000 preference shares at $, sure. But the preference shares is $100,000. Exactly. $100,000 preference shares
at $1 each.
Cool.
If
I pay my preference shares first
then this guy goes
with all the $100,000.
But if he re-ranks
into common shares
then the $100,000
between me and him.
So I get something
at the end of the day
no matter what.
No, but if he turns
those $100,000
preference shares
into regular shares
your company only had $100,000 he has just diluted into regular shares. Your company only had 100 shares.
He has just diluted you.
So now it's his company
and he decides what happens to that money.
Depends.
No.
And that's why it's not a protection
for ordinary shareholders.
It's a protection for the preference shareholder.
There could be an agreement prior to that step
on how the money would work out.
Well, usually preference shares come with them terms,
but that's one term that's usually in there.
They better come with that term though.
And that, no, that term is in there.
There are preference shares on our market
that have that term.
I've read that.
The re-rank?
Yeah, not the re-rank, meaning the,
if you miss X amount of payments,
these shares, preference shares,
convert into regular shares.
And when you work out the,
what's the official term?
It's not re-rank.
It's not re-rank, no, no, no.
They convert.
They convert, yeah. Into ordinary shares, at which point usually the percentage- I'm saying re-rank It's not re-rank No no no They convert They convert yeah
Into ordinary shares
At which point usually
I'm saying re-rank
Because of the level of payment
Well once your ordinary shares
Parapisu
I always mess it up
Paripasu
So what I'm saying that is
Sometimes the board
Can decide on a dividend
And because
Whatever
The second attempt
At kicking the board out
You know brother
Because you usually
Have enough preference shares That you have such A heavy weighting That you're On the board Even if you're not on the board out in a brother because you usually have enough preference years that you have such a heavy weighting at your but I'm saying
there's a case where yo me and you get you your shares reconverting to perfect
common shares and you have a share the money with me that's not like a
bridging thing why would I do that you're supposed to pay me all in one and
then all of a sudden it watered on and okay we're gonna split the money nah depends on agreement it was at zero
dollars at zero dollars suppose when the company hits that zero dollars point then the conversion
happens like that i even call a board meeting and kick everybody out and it's my company that's
that's why there's a protection you're a big of succession i love that show um every i want you to see though that in that it's
i get what you're saying in that okay wait no yeah explain like in this in the
it makes sense in a legal standing and if the legal and it would be the real standing so i
get what you're saying yeah yeah but i don't want confirmation on that yeah sure we're probably it's probably another bit of rubbish that i just tell the people
so if we're wrong and you know we're wrong feel free to correct me maybe bring on the show you
correct us all i'd like that um so what company were we just on that i was separate where i was
saying that the tax break the tax break extra nice the the money above the tax point mm-hmm I was
out our sense it's it might as be useless but I don't I think anything that increases retained
earnings with their so with your thing that then I had dividend can be paid so it would help it
would help in the future yeah yeah and that that was the point of that what a tangent Jesus open about lose everybody how you feel about him no looking on
their full year separate 12 months ended the 31st of December 2019 their total
their total net profit is 1.18 billion versus last year meaning 2018
versus 2019
1.06 billion
no that's not billion
it is billion
1.18 billion versus 1.06 billion
so they had
what kind of uplift is that
barely
separate hard to move
I think the real magic here
is
no I think it's
we know what's not
what's not a problem
so
take all sugar
and it's a different story
alright so they have here
that
discontinued operations
which I won't even dig
since we don't have time
for it
I'll assume that that's
sugar
discontinued operations
represent in
2019
98 cents per share in terms of earnings and oh
that moved them down from 2.7 to dollars per share in terms of earnings to 1.7 for
dollars per share earnings versus last year hmm really is barely I wanted to look bigger but that's the thing with
separate is big this is the only Megan is 98 this 90
discount loss mm-hmm is about one one dollar per share yes and they made two
point seven to the last the last one dollar per share of loss and only made the last one dollar per share of the profit
and ended up with 1.1 74 basically which is a heavy number for it that is a heavy number because
although they're saying without that we'd be almost three yeah and there would be what is
that in terms of our play if it would have been let let's say there were 2.72. If it was all, you want to put it over what?
174.
That's actually going to compare to last year's post figure.
So you're saying if sugar came out.
If sugar came out completely.
Yeah, like if it was finished in 2018, you're correct, 2018, 2019,
they would have had like a 31% increase instead of what reality is currently, which is that they're looking at a, we are looking at a almost 16, 16% drop in profit.
Yeah.
Hmm.
But on the flip side, the quarter, the ending quarter of the year looks good.
Because as you said, it's almost a hundred it's an art is more it's an order of magnitude higher in terms of
net profit oh yeah so almost an order of magnitude higher yeah so
i keep looking at the oci figure oh you think jamaica start paying attention to oci total comprehensive income anytime soon versus just versus just net profit
but i mean the last one in an oci yeah which i am going to assume Is the
I really should dig into these numbers
You think that's sugar?
It can't be sugar
Because there was cash on it last year
I doubt that's sugar
Yeah
Unless well
Who knows based on how things
Are put together now right
And the group really has a big
Reward
From sugar to OCI
I don't know what's on the face
Probably some death in the thing there
I don't know what's on the
face either so remember that you know they've they've subsumed the face you know so you don't
know what it was within that group person you know it's the group it was to face the consumer
didn't take face the group face the consumer division all right yeah the distribution
distribution arm yeah nestle is also under there yeah not nice I can Nestle is it Nestle no
one had an argument with Nestle I think face it took in this landing data can
face it it's something no no no no because they have a thing there they had
an agreement with Nestle for a product and then eventually they were eating
there they were just manufacturing and they were selling it all right what do you
mean this is their operation okay so far they were selling it there is selling
for them in a way and it bought stuff
separate is still coming into their own yes yeah I saw I remember the
consolidation I remember in the conversation know that I had row around
buying it the first that was what a year or two two years ago last year they were they spoke about it all
year in every quarter in the report to say hey you know we're up on this this necessary thing
we did that analysis was before before faces sold their shares and faces so their shares October 2018 I realised how fast
last year went by
yes
2019
feel like a flash
like a flash
and we're in it
yeah
I remember
how down the
Caribbean period
feel like
and then
now I'm looking
and I was like
wait wait wait
he wasn't
wait wait
it was the start
it was the start
of last year
I keep thinking
last year
2018 yeah we're in February now February's who done time flag on He wasn't with it with it. He was a start. I was starting last year. I keep thinking like right so
2018 yeah, we're in February now February so don't time flag on
Make that money. Oh you stay on the 30% fuck you one
People need a update on I don't I need to go check mine and see
Concluded before I've ever looked at what the exact area but yeah you know you know you know feel you get the boost
right yeah I checked I'm 10% up on the stocks in one place I'm thought I'm not
a fat on one side I was need to check across really you should use a dashboard for that yeah uh
flat yeah at this point in the year this point in the quarter yeah i think they might get screwed
me work dog work screw you yeah you're beginning a big up maybe not big but what going on right now
so oh wow so yeah work work have you work have you have you flat on the quad yeah
we're almost at the end of february i think i'm flat also i've made a tweet about putting the
portfolio in dashboard i finally did it and new perspective like the way i was looking at the way
i was feeling about the market that i'm sure i told you about this already uh before i put in
dashboard i was like boy i feel kind of disconnected i don't really i don't know if i can if you have a perfect because
i really wasn't tracking it like i wanted to or you're looking at positions certain ways
you're not doing anything i drop it trust me work i kill me so i drop it into the dashboard and then
i was like oh good you're good as in what you like based on what i had i was like oh yo
this could do whatever you want to do yeah and so i was like
yeah what you got what you're gonna try and make because now we're near the end of
we're near the end of there we have one month technically something that only set we're
recording this transfer um cap the reset and there there with a bit of numbers supposed to come out
soon cap was tiny allocation yeah so cab i saw say that it was one thousand everybody getting first
thousand um maybe our customers and the public same thousands i guess my assumption is that they
split that up nicely but who knows um when we see the final, we'll know.
Alliance not out yet?
No.
People excited about that?
Very weird.
We'll see when it's out.
Yeah.
You don't think so?
I have reason to be excited for it.
I just want to see.
I want to see it.
Here's my basic reason.
It's a financial group
such course has to be almost as having cab is an insurance broker which means
it's financial also which means such grass about has to buy it also but it
might at a time and that who knows who knows maybe who knows and select F though
new financial group come into the market that's I mean once
a new financial group hits the market that must be an uplift for select F
right you think I might issue more shares to buy in I don't know we'll see
hmm it makes sense to me otherwise there will be scheme money on top of
everything and then buy into that new thing
but they might do that but yeah but whenever the thing is it's needed to just do the right
issue it's very it's kind of it's annoying for them to raise money i think not not raise not
raise money to rebalance our portfolio because every every if they say a scheme of everything
right so if they sell something it affects the the price. And then whatever the scheme will be based on today's prices.
You make the scheme, it affects the price.
And tomorrow when you're buying, you're buying the portfolio weighting of that thing.
It would be the weighting of that thing in the index.
So to buy that now.
You have to rebalance again.
Yes.
But these guys are good.
I don't have to tell you about that, about being good at math but these guys are great at their math it
you know it's the thing is everyday changes every day every day that's so I
rebutted I think at some point every no I think at some point there's the
electricity fund they're trying to match the index so I realize I feel like at
some point they get up and say, they realize it's pointless.
It's fruitless.
It doesn't make sense to try to balance it that way.
Well, I think it's just profitable to them
to balance it the other way.
Other way would be?
Sajakor does.
In the event that they were to choose to do a rights issue.
I mean, rights.
All right, so let's say they group together.
Oh, no, no, no.
Rights do make sense.
It makes more sense to me
And not just that
It's also profitable to them
True
You have maybe
Sajakor buy it
And hold it
Buy that IPO
Hold it
You need to match the index
As at the end of the quarter
So
Whatever rise between
IPO date
And quarter end
Goes to the selling entity
I guess
Unless it serves them better
To have it go I bought that IPO And I'm guaranteed to sell it to you by the end
of the quarter not whatever the market price is I then eat the gains on that
right so if you come out at a dollar and when you buy it for me you buy it for me
at two dollars oh so the cash is for it well such a core makes more profit as
easy profit for such a coreor, the brokerage.
Everybody right now, the financial groups are eating through their brokerages.
The most exciting part of every financial group right now is their brokerage.
So you're saying, oh, so the cash is spread.
Oh, so sell it to my market price.
So I'm selling it to you at market price.
Sell it to who?
At the end of the quarter.
Sell it to who?
I broke a man.
Sell it to Select F. Selling it to Select F. Selling to who? I broke a man. Selling to Select F?
Selling it to Select F.
Selling the stock above?
Yeah, a certain amount.
Because we know the weighted amount that you want.
We have a good idea of the weighted amount that you want for that.
Maybe I have more.
So maybe you need, work it out, you need between 3.5 to 4 mil and I have 7.
Work it out, you need between 3.5 to 4 mil,
and I have seven.
So I know that at the end of the quarter,
I'm guaranteeing to sell you it at market price.
So it makes a lot of sense for me if I think it's going to go up to get my units in early,
because when you're buying it at the end of the quarter,
you being select F,
you'll buy it from me at whatever that price is.
Select F mandate is that they are trying to match the returns of the quarter, you being select F, you'll buy it from me at whatever that price is. Select F mandate is that they are trying to match the returns
of the index. Good, bad, or
ugly, right? So if, when they balance it at
the end of the quarter, it balance, it done.
And whatever happened after that, happened
after that. Okay, cool.
You get me? So it's a way for me, the
person behind that, to possibly
benefit. I wonder if it actually
perfectly balanced that way. It doesn't, but that's fine. It perfectly balances on that day. I was wondering if it actually perfectly balanced that way.
It doesn't, but that's fine.
It perfectly balances on that day.
And once you balance it, it's done.
There's no, you'd have to do any rebalancing after that,
unless somebody new comes to the market again.
I was more thinking, so,
day two done,
and you say that whatever price it is on that day,
and the day is going to end that price, but the balancing will be changed at the base of
that yes it actually work I know it works I did one my way to balance it
yeah once you pick a date you balance it as of that's it then you can just say
that date does put a date on the amount of shares and if you can move it over
into the thing I thought you're fine yeah well you just have a trustee
arrangement that
whatever the amount is on this date, you will pay me that.
I'm delivering you these shares and you will pay me
whatever the amount those shares cost
on the end of the quarter, March 31st, blah, blah, blah.
It's a nice way to bake in profit for yourself
if you control both things, right?
I just meant that I think i can see that being as something
being something good to help sagicor jamaica and select f i remember i mean they are the managers
i remember the actual role yeah such great investment managers yeah the phone managers
yeah or yeah whatever it is whatever it is they're related to it so who turns on money yeah you're
gonna have both said on this podcast that indices are a great way to make money and people should
do them or people should do more indices yes yeah hey yo you want to put that together i'm ready to
i mean i already do it it'd be great to do it for more people in terms of an actual company and not
just myself what's an index I saw people
thinking what's indices indices a bunch of indexes index is just you a basket
that you for whatever reason decide this basket ax in that ax has this certain
characteristic and you buy based on that characteristic that's right I'm have an
entire episode on that called the new the JCC JC's new M&D index that we did last year.
It feels like so long ago.
Yeah, it's funny.
It's a whole last year fly.
The start of the year feels like when we started this podcast.
It feels like we've been doing this for a year, right?
We've been doing this since about the middle of us yeah over halfway through the year
we started this great like the six months mark you Wow almost every week
minus a couple of gap weeks yeah so sorry guys that is it is very hard to do
content and put it out you would not believe you would not believe that the
difficulties if you have a life and it's not all of your life uh what else you want to talk about
138 sl over 100 in a week yep wow 100 percent you know over a hundred percent rise in a week
how you feel about that big up miss jilly. See, I got that right the first time.
Just like how she got it the first time.
Our first episode of 2020, one of the things she spoke,
two of the things she spoke about were 138SL.
And Pulse.
And Pulse, both of which have performed quite hot since then.
I mean, Pulse closed today at $11.30.
And 138 SL is kind of down from its peak.
Peak, yeah.
Yeah, it fell down 17% today.
There are some buyers today.
There are some sellers that...
There are some people selling,
but I don't see what the price is that it closed at.
Actually, I do.
It closed at $7 do it closed at seven dollars
flat i think the trades went through with that you think the what the trades went through at seven
dollars flat so the numbers in november i got anointed numbers in november i think telling
how much they had done for for yeah the year the year end so that and then
oh it does have a follow-up report but um but i didn't do that because of the rule it's good for
people to know the rule that at the end of the period you have either 45 or 45 or 90 yeah well
tell them the rule is at the end of the quarter when the results become due if it's an auditory if it's a year-ending results then he can give in 45 days you have 45 days to give the unordered
results the year-end results and then within 90 days you have to give them you
have to post in audit results you have to post the annual report no financial
statements and the other one you have the choice to say.
I know that one's one that we should know.
I'm sorry.
JC and I, because I know he knows it.
In the year-end reporting period, right?
At the end of the year, you have the option to either file your audited report within 60 days,
so year-end audit within 60 days,
or you can file unaudited reports within 45 days
at the end of the period
and then go forward within 90 days
at the end of the period
to file audited financial statements.
Point is that they told us
at the point in the unaudited numbers
for the 12 months. They did mention
the claims. The results were positively
impacted by a claim under the concession agreement
related to Irvine Hall which is the claim which is to say that if we get less people and you put in
you're supposed to pay us the difference because they did work on irving and all that too yeah
that's a nice little thing to have in there it guarantees some income yeah in other words how
much i'm guaranteed 90 occupancy occupancy yeah so if i'm far below 90 then they get paid as if
they had 90. you
would have to pay them for that that's the nicest thing they want to drop below 90 because you get
the money anyway but i'm sure on the flip side i mean more and more people coming in so very
soon they're running out of space again but yeah but you know the thing when am i again we're our
analysis initially was that was for them breaking 90 occupancy because then additional revenue start
coming to the company because if they hit 90 and below then they get those
get money you might tell we did that group meeting yeah there was that as oh
how many years ago that um no so total Alex Alex Alex Lord wanna listen we all
have a fancy oh you want to eat of it yeah I was like no it can't happen that's not
don't make sense
and his points
made sense
but also I think
he was going
through the
the thing that
I think a lot of
people are like
when you're really
close to it
oh yeah
so easy
yeah so like
if you see
because I've heard
people talking about
like people stay there
and if they have trouble
if you are too close
to it
you oftentimes think
that your things don't go bad
sometimes you talk to
workers at companies
and I'm going to say
worst place ever
worst place
I don't know what I'm going to do
can't make no money
I'm like bro
if you look at these financials
I know you might have had
a rough week
but yeah
buy some shares
in the company where you work
that's the lesson
you always need to go for a gem
here's a gem for today
if you work somewhere
and they're listed
own shares in it just on principle 138 SL
call from long time call from long long long long long time which ones are not
it it came out November it's mmm thank you you november so what was the chart looking like on the 19th of november
the chart was geez six months has it been that much time yeah so yeah i remember this
around this time you could have met us and yeah it bounced a little bit up so to me it was
like a normalization because you look at the prices before this rocky period there yeah like
in august you could get it for $4.20 and then i think there was some news about them having
trouble with the legal agreement between them and ue it kind of fell down and it fell down
and so in november we could have scraped it up you could get get it for cheap. 286. It was at 286 for good runner days
between November 11th
and November 19th.
So the results came out
and it went back to
and then it went up
to its usual
378.
That's right.
$4.
And then it kind of fluctuated
in that $4 range
until
now
when
results come out
results came out again where they have continued
to do what they showed us they were doing all along from the fourth quarter
it's funny when I get my tweet I responded to what he ran made about he
called 138 on podcast I and he made a thread about it but my response to him
was I don't buy it whatever whatever but my thought was oh
it's the second quarter of good results I don't buy it I had I had meant to buy
but I got it and then I saw it also that I was jumping to it I make one quarter
gone I never made the money on it you know apparently Ryan was a good news
bird um but somehow the market just found out again oh one trade is listed and they're
doing well despite one quarter of good results before this let's now discover this quarter of
good results well so i don't know the first quarter result came out february 17 which showed
them continuing what is that what they were doing before the quarter right before precisely yeah um as i can see them show you them revenue rising yeah so consistently from there's a lot
of balls around it everybody's speaking about one three eight everybody you know this is on one three
eight mm-hmm but what yeah it's crazy to me i mean how many people this is what i decided so what was
the profit in the quarter before this
is uh loss the same period before and then profit in the period of 72 million i mean easy signs for people net profit of 72 mil but their 12-month figure is 11 mil 11.7 mil which obviously means
that they had losses in the quarter before don't need to be a man ask it means that that losses in
the quarter before or google it which is how i learned it which is why i might be wrong but 72.2 mil and then no we just got reported to us
their first quarter and it's 182.8 mil rising again and that's been compared to a 43.8 mil
loss and as i just said if they made 72 mil in the last quarter
and the year end for them in that which that same last quarter ends the year for them was
11 point odd mil profit it means that within the three quarters before that or one of them
they had some strong losses coming down the line right no well we see them comparing to one loss right here which means they probably have
two more quarters the my next step would be to what what were the other two quarters last year
looking like look at that analysis wow analysis and prediction the point of analysis yeah so
it would appear to me my amateur eyes that these guys are
probably going to make significantly better profit than last year I don't
know what to say mm-hmm I don't it doesn't I don't if I feel unimpressed by
this okay I know a lot of people might enjoy so I hope you guys get it for me it feels like
a waste of time
because it's such
an obvious thing
I want to find something
that's not obvious
yeah cause
the news out already
so why wait on now
I don't know
it's a buzz now
June last year
that quarter
ending the 30th
of June last year
they also had a loss
of negative 60
and the one
before that was a loss too.
So they have three more loss quarters to compare
against. Two. Yeah.
This was the tweet that
I had
seen from Guru in Training, big up Guru
in Training, Simon.
He was saying that 130 is having some
serious problems. Have they finalized the issues they've been having
to you as a guarantee? Profits continue to
dip. They're now down 60 million for the nine
months retained earnings were a hundred million last year there are nine million
no stakeholders should be concerned at the time of that to eat happening I was
a stakeholder so you saying comment info I was interesting to me about this was
if you look at the thing there you know what this is the quarter right before
the problem it worked for the fix exactly when things are done is when you should strike you don't want to
be the point behind stocks is to get in before they get up so you predict the
good happening and you jump in ahead of it that's the point and you analyze in
order to predict the good ahead for the company and that's when you get in
that's when you make the bets that's why I'm so big on prediction that's why we
make the money cause we predict ahead of time I actually commented on this and I
remember somebody sent it to me today
that I just responded to him saying factor in the one hour 54 million hit
and then reassess he said something which is accurate that the one-off it
does not which is true so I said well the one-off is people are more willing
to disregard one-off gain than one-off hits.
Strange.
As if one real and one isn't.
They're both very real.
And they're both one-offs.
I just saw a $54 million payment.
It might very well be a problem, but next year I'm not taking it.
Exactly.
Next year I'll be up 54 if things stay the same.
I know things are going based on what i'm looking at oh i don't know if you can be proper then
yes matter of fact
i'm looking to see if they were well in this picture i'm looking at i can't see what they are
they had but they're the next they considered they continue to they continue to put their money in
and continue to work and they knew that what was happening was increased occupancy
because they had also finished a building that I think they hadn't built for before.
So that building would have been new.
I could be wrong on that point.
I don't know if the building was new at that time or if that already had one year in.
But the point is I know that occupancy would have been up, which it is we're seeing.
And well, I mean, it's there this is august the 30th 2019 so now we are almost
six months almost exactly six months from that date like simon asked me then august 30th the
one-off hit doesn't alleviate the concern so given that the prices are depressed for it you're bullish
on 138 and i said the one-off it is the 25% revenue I don't see what other major concerns
there are some stuff I didn't want to say because obviously I don't want to give away the play which
is an obvious play and now six months later we can see what the play is and I said it clearly
I hold a small stake and I waited on certain signs to increase the stake you know that sign was
December December when they say oh hey we're better September September when they said, oh, hey, we're better.
September and December.
When they said that the law,
that they were okay,
they were good and people seemed good.
It's around the time when Iran also tweeted it.
Because they said that, you know,
things are good and the numbers came up.
So that was right before this?
No, that hadn't happened yet.
So that was a sign that I was... That was right before September.
Correct.
Because September results come out afterwards, closer to December. So basically, oh, everything cool and because september results come out afterwards
closer to december so basically oh everything cool and it's still results come on showing
everything was really cool and the money was showing from it and then after that at that
point it's obvious to me because you're past the one problem that you had and we already understand
the business is what the thing is that uh next point ryan was touching on today i think today
what's that about it being just It's more than just the numbers.
The numbers are a reflection of something.
As I said, I found it's a language.
It's telling what's going on.
Correct.
So you really ask yourself what's going on.
You read the numbers on the page and say, boy, profit down.
It's easy to do that and tell yourself that something's going on.
Profit down, something is wrong here, leave it at that.
Profit down, maybe because you find out why the why is the thing that has made me the most money knowing the why and that um crisis
all this company loss is nice because what happened what happened is it is it going to
be reversed then you know next year is a nice time well we'll see for if you go mail pack mail pop mail pop mail pop drop them numbers early
chose to drop their numbers early came out with a strong strong numbers here and well
strong strong but versus well regular business but a little bit behind their protection protection
so the production is prospectus they were, they were above the numbers that came out, the actual numbers for the company that
came out just now.
Okay.
So does that mean-
If what?
The way I look at it-
What caused them to be behind, by the way?
What caused them to be behind?
Actually, if they had the whole period under review, if they had no tax on that period,
then they would have
thing there they would have been projections okay I think the predictions they projected no tax they
projected no tax in the quarter so I think the process was likely done I was already finalized
before that time so in a little time yeah by the time you find out there's something you come into
market sales you work with what you work with yeah but i mean that again but yeah so that is
an opportunity that's just an obvious sign that okay so we're doing better than we said we were
doing but the tax makers are actually going to pay that tax so yes we're not doing we're actually not
doing better but we have a reason we're pay that tax. So yes, we're actually not doing better,
but we have a reason.
We're showing that business
is ahead of what we projected
business to be at.
So profit below,
but business is ahead.
Profit below
only because of the tax situation.
When the tax comes off the books
because of the junior market tax break,
then they'll be fine.
Well,
let's talk about Pulse.
Pulse?
People are supposed to sick of it.
Oh God.
Well, they had a meeting. We actually haven actually haven't spoken since they had their meeting they had
their meeting that was great they're um that's some resolutions they said that they're doing
they passed a right issue resolution um and they or apo or or apo because they said it they said that they're considering when we
say equity options it includes okay good good yeah why what were you going to say the same
thing because okay so i know i heard that uh apo suggested to them at the and they were not by one
john jackson i gather yeah he told you that he appealed to them um and they were they i'm a cable towards it they were saying
oh yeah we'll consider it i think they're just one yeah definitely um so no they're leaving
themselves open i think that the way that it is written is leaving themselves open for more than
just regular right in the way it's regularly defined so when they say right it should be
anyway any means of taking out money in whatever.
Equity.
Equity.
Then to me that's them saying,
okay, right-situ is generally this,
but if we are, if we legally,
you know how the legal documents are.
You write it and you write a definition.
The definition can, the definition might not be hard
and fast, what's usually is the definition of something, but because you define it like that within the context of this
document yeah then that you can execute it in whatever in a certain way okay so if if the apu
is executed as a right if right is executed as a right to define in a way where an apo can be on
the table and execute it as an apo then you're giving the table and executed as an APO,
then... Okay, you're giving the people the most complex way.
So then I have had this conversation.
The idea is, I've been saying that,
how long before somebody figures out in air quotes?
Oh, yes, definitely.
You can just put reserve classes in an APO.
And call it a right.
It's a right situation, in a sense.
Yeah, so you have an APO, which brings in the whole public,
but then you have a huge enough reserve class
and it's for shareholders as a certain date.
Matter of fact,
if you put that date in the future,
you will probably see a rise in your share price
up to that date,
which then makes the APO shares,
if they are lower or if they're stated clearly,
even more of a discount. Yeah. so for people who care about the share price and APO with reserve classes
is a no-brainer next thing but I could again just be talking I don't know it
hurts we are think about it if you so generally when you want us just if you
you you want to take up money so a's a good way to do that. You're
enticing the market about buying into your stock. If the share price is rising, then
buying at any price, as long as it continues going up despite the lower offer being on
the table for them, then they're more enticing because of that gap that's widening.
And it's so funny, it's a weird situation. it's one of the few situations in which let's say the apo date is two weeks from now the cutoff date
for being a shareholder is two is a week from now even if i'm not a shareholder it profits me to go
on and buy it no matter how the share flying because once that date passes i now have the
right to buy x amount of shares at a lower price.
So it actually is one of the few situations where even though you don't hold any more,
it hits the same thinking I have when I think about my average pricing.
It's definitely an average pricing.
Yeah.
But in this case, you get the benefit of that situation, average pricing situation,
without actually having the stock.
Because you can buy it up higher.
The stock is at $ dollars hypothetically and people flying it all the way to ten dollars because
is next week you're going to be able to buy it at one dollar i'm and i don't own any i am fine
buying it at six seven eight nine ten because next week i qualify for it at one dollar in fact i want
it at ten because i want some at one it's a great
situation it's a there's a lot more that can be done in there yeah there's a
oversimplification of it but it's a great situation to have yeah and again
you're selling shares so if you put that mechanism in there then there's more
reason for people to be in APO because there's more gain man just
home a bite and hope say what and hope evaluation of the apo whatever evaluation is
coming out of that yeah there's more there's more incentive to that than just that because i buy
you get me so api makes it a win-win for everybody involved including the company
if if the apo has a class for it if the ap was a class for current shareholders for current
shareholders which then helps you with that decision sometimes between APO versus rights issue just both yeah the APO with rights if you put the rights in there then it's
it's almost like a renounceable rights issue it's just that the terms of the
APO they don't have to be renounced exactly less steps there's some on the board
there's stocks on the table more than just what is there for shareholders
yeah you can go straight IPO can go straight ipo issues meaning
reserve class and instead of me having to come and buy your rights or rar exactly the pool will always if you don't take it the pool is the pool there's this pool for people when they finish it
and finish it and then it goes over to public oh didn't buy it where the setting there um the
shares that we're not taking up cannot be subscribed for by by the
public by the public yeah yeah and i think some renounceable that usually have theories like that
so it's like it goes to this tier that it goes to you then everybody else who's a shareholder and
then maybe the directors and then after that the public we can buy into it yeah and usually it
doesn't go that far um so you know usually people I really want this. APO rights is usually an opportunity
for you to make profit in that capital gains way.
Yeah.
Yeah, that way that, well, that way that we love.
Pulse, still loving it.
Currently, $11.
They're looking on more to go,
so they're looking on new business.
Yes.
Yo, Garden and Germain, that episode,
Garden's target price for pulse was 30 dollars pulse is currently 11 30 in here yo god now i hope you buy some i hope you i hope you listen
to this and you listen to this as a fellow pulse shareholder sir pick up pick up garden and germain
for that for that episode yeah uh paul's is the
at 11.30 so if you bought it that's a pe at like 28.
but they have so much but they have more coming yeah so much more coming
i really like this i don't say before be up with a high p e when the expectation of future business is coming
not necessarily a bad thing because you're if you expect more profits you're pricing
in future profits yeah high p is often an indication of shareholders saying
yeah you know i don't even like talking about kw boys still high what's kw's p e these days
it's always been enough it's funny your view on KW
because of the PE
has always prevented me from buying it
yes but how much you like JP right now
which is
hypocrite stab I like that
there's so much KW in there
KW's current PE is
35 times and
JP's current PE is
21 times.
So yeah, so to me at JP, JP consolidates KW.
So they're the majority shareholder,
controlling interest in KW, right?
With that bigger gap and good business going on
in the rest of JP outside of the KW,
but they consolidate, to me it's,
buying JP, you're buying kdb for cheaper than buying kdb there we go yeah what the the the investing types will tell you that you're getting
exposure to kingston wars without the risk without without the direct risk it's like buying panjama
it's like buying panjama because there There is something There must be There must be something
With the artists
That's happening with
Sajiko and the banking
Something must be there
For Panjam
And the
In my opinion anyway
Sous-journ to Panjam
But
With the
The piece of JP
The piece of
KW
That JP owns
Buying
You get
Priced in better
Buying JP Than KW that JP owns you get priced in better buying JP
than KW
because you get a direct impact
of the KW's profit
without a lot of the other
headaches per se directly
yeah and without even
the steep price of it
because the 35 PE versus 21 PE
and forward pricing the profits
are very different at that point
so I'm getting KW cheaper through a very different level at that point. So I'm getting cheaper. I'm getting a bit cheaper through JP.
Yeah, exactly.
Exactly.
Ryan said that sometimes.
Doesn't he use that term sometimes?
Exposure.
That's his thing.
Taking exposure in one company through another.
I know.
I believe that's one of his risk mitigation strategies.
Like Select F.
Select F. But that's a grouping of exposure exposure people don't think of it that way but i
i like i like select that first rock you mean i was saying you like when people say things
they don't understand you know where the thing is you know so um you're diversifying
ah because yeah well technically you're diversifying. Ah, because, yeah, well, technically.
You are diversifying, but you're still taking it.
You're taking it towards something.
So it's like saying you're mitigating your, you're not.
I am mitigating my risk in some ways.
I'm mitigating my risk against this one company,
but I am exposed to shocks, to group shocks to group wise shocks true not a group
industry wise shocks for the thing true i go one better which is something i don't like saying on
the podcast i'll say it this time i'm also benefiting from the perception of the financial
industry which is what i have i think i've actually said in a couple episodes and many
episodes ago one of the people who really like the show can dig it up and
tell me where I said that psychologically select F will move more
psychologically than any other big ones obviously than NCB and NCB has plus
because of price yeah just because of price and say imagine an alliance coming
on to the market imagine any other banking group being oh yeah markets are
moving strong profits are doing anything wonderful onto the market. Imagine any other banking group being in the market or moving strong profits
or doing anything wonderful in the market.
Immediately people are going to start saying, hold on,
the financial Africa, boom, boom, boom, right?
Proven acting wicked from the other day.
JMMB.
Like JMMB, don't even get me started.
That is not JMMB.
I don't know what it is.
Let me finish the select F point. The point is the select F,
I feel it reflects more than just the value of its
assets. I think it reflects more than just the value of its assets.
I think it's going to start reflecting
perception of the industry.
I believe it does reflect perception of the industry
and you can see it within the gas,
but you know, I play the perception game.
I want people to...
I'm not worrying.
It's below value right now.
And when it moves, it moves up towards value.
Much like QWI will hopefully do one day. I didn't even look at it now. it's below it's below valley right now and when it moves it moves up towards valley much like qwi
will hopefully do one day and you look at it now well how is it doing
what is qw taking my eyes off of it you're taking your eyes off it like something burning your 88
cents i look where i can i look forward i say sorry already on a podcast before, the tracking of Q2BI, the
daily tracking to me, the NAV versus the actual price.
If you don't believe the NAV, sorry, if you don't believe what this company is going to
do better and the NAV going to go up and all that nice stuff and the profit going to go
up, then watching the day between, oh my God, the price falling and now falling with it if you believe
us if you believe it's going to do well just it's already below the price the value is now
yeah it was the 88 cents but then it's it's about 40 percent 39.7 percent 39.8 percent
below its net assets value and if you're in it with this fearful tracking, boy, let me track everything that QWI is in.
That's good.
It's good to track that.
Definitely go ahead.
And then they tell us in their last report.
But then if you go about it in the everyday, boy, the thing they're tracking, this thing
they hold, dropping.
You don't know how much they hold today, but it drops here start, fret.
And it's actively traded so you can never really tell.
It's not like select F it will move around yeah as we see that we saw them
add u.s stocks to it recently yeah so they have exposed themselves to u.s stocks and they've done
well on it so far yeah actually yeah they've actually grown their u.s stock holdings quite
a bit yeah so if you if you're there tracking fearfully and you're watching you go down hoping
to god say all right to go turn around and alright it's a great turnaround just check the nav
quick tip to any
you know where to look
and you can actually track the profit if you find
where the nav is
up or down on the quarter
you know the revenue is coming into the company
but the fearful everyday
tracking I'm really not
about it. That really makes sense
yeah
over the last I think three weeks it has moved in terms of day tracking, I'm really not about it. That really makes sense. Yeah.
Over the last, I think, three weeks,
it has moved in terms of NAV
less than 1%.
Almost 1%. $1.22 per share
a week later, $1.23 per share
a week later, $1.23 per share.
But you can get it for $0.88
per share. So why won't it go up to
$1.23 per share?
Well, if people won't buy it at that, won't go up to that exactly that so that that's that's where the fear comes in so if
i want to pay a dividend you can get it now at below now
i think anyone gonna say for mGE already? Oh, Lord.
I'll say it on the podcast.
We'll say it with MGE.
So when there's a spread in the NAV and the thing there.
The what?
The NAV and the price.
Mm-hmm.
The dividend.
So a dividend goes to actually a coup de base company, right?
And they pay a portion of that dividend.
Then you might get a better price.
You might get a better dividend rate than just if
you have the portfolio outright that one getting deeper now in terms of dividend rate because you
going yeah dividend yield your personal you might actually be better holding the holdings that they
have right in fact so they get a 10 dividend you QW has a heavy holding in access which is part of
I believe what is screwing them up access is going down so
yeah so and they hold so much access that it is dragging them i don't know why they bought it but
i mean i assume those guys have a better knowledge than me and a longer horizon and different habits
i prefer saying that they have a different in or they might simply disagree with us
and one of us yeah so if i say access say Access wasn't a good buy at whatever price,
and they say Access is a good price,
and they have their timeline in,
when we reach there, we'll see.
Yeah, we'll find out.
But if they simply disagree or whatever,
they buy Access, Access is their dividend payer.
It is.
Access does pay dividends.
So let's say they get a 10 10 dividend yield on their portfolio right so
10 percent of the money comes out and they pay out say eight percent of that money to shareholders
and you can check this for the dividend policy but you're 30 percent you bought the price at 30
percent below yes then i've you technically would have been exposed to the higher degree from
whatever their holding company their holdings are yeah than you
have paid for it which is why they've been buying back their own shares so much i believe because
it's also great they also have a rule now that whenever it's more than what 15 percent below
oh yes they can go in the market something there is it still 15 below it's currently at $1 23 purse mmm share and it's available
for 88 cents per share one dollar 23 almost 40% I had a that it's a should be
to come back and buy some yeah I hope that well they've been buying I've
noticed yeah Jordan issues yeah yeah there are 30 was a 30 29% so 88 cents is 29% of the the nav and they have a 15% 15% trigger at which
they at which point they can buy really excited about this year but we're talking
about these companies how about some companies that we never talk about I'm
telling you that let me do it myself I mentioned first rock I just said it just
know I don't know if we've mentioned it much
on it, we spoke about I think what it is
and what, before listing it has
no listed so it is currently
at
it closed today at 1488
it would seem
so it's below IPO price
what was the IPO price?
1670 I think
or was it 17
1670? I think it's 1661 Oh could
be wrong we should know can just check it yeah one second I look at these I
look at these things so often that all them run together first rock IPO price
and it was tied to the US in a different way they use a
little bit yeah they want so it's based on the data process was released and the
US rate at that day equivalent to us 12 cents I think so I did they use you I
think 1661 on a specific day I like that explain it 1667 yeah was there shit
their price per share at the time.
I actually am scared because I'm reading this from an article
instead of where I should be reading it.
It could be incorrect.
That shows you how much I trust some articles.
So let me make sure I actually
open up the prospectus properly
and answer it.
Answer the question. unanswered question.
Did they bring up the thing they wrote?
They did. No, but let's tell you at the point in time. They told you at the point
in time what it was. And that's why I was saying it was good because they explained
what the equivalent was in Jamaican dollars. So 1667 was the subscription price at the time um message for those people i mean i figured
those people bought knowing what they're knowing a lot of people asking about it almost everybody
asks about it i'm buying for the long term very few people i think well at least in my view that
spoke to me said anything about anything shorter than the long term so them currently being on the
out of advice as i heard recommended was recommending it on the basis of long term a longer term
than your regular regular thing not a tomorrow thing yes it's not a it's not a papa stock
it's not an ipo flipper stock yeah and i think that was known from before and i think even
the guys that first thought themselves spoke to that everybody spoke to it as a long
term is real estate it's changing of how the industry looks they hadn't bought
anything really as it said a lot of cash they were making on their own things
yeah what the money they had made money on thing there they had some projects in
the works already that made money from notes yes but that projects in the works
right and I had parted IP was to go to buying into other
properties other plans that they had going through this year and next year
and I know they do have a rights issue according to the prospectus projection
that they project rights issues this year and next year so I guess they plan
to continue to expand very interesting business very interesting for those
people yeah I'm
looking at they're looking currently if you bought at 1667 should have been IPO
price assuming that you weren't one of the people who got one of the reserve
shares I don't know that different prices but the idea is you'd be known
right now a little over 11% if you really believe in it in the long term,
11% cheaper might be a nice thing.
Nice place to be.
And remember, they have a hell of a dividend policy.
I won't go over the prospectus.
No.
People can check.
It has a hell of a dividend policy in it, yeah.
But the way I see it
When the time comes
You get attractive
To people
Of course
Just like
Like Cygnus
Just like Cygnus
The general sentiment
In the market
Nothing is bad
It's just
In every market
It's funny you know
Depending on what
Your personal views are
Sorry go ahead
But in every market
Most of
Most of the trading
Thought is
Not I don't know super a long-term
feel not necessarily so which which is why you have longer term people buying in at certain
prices and being okay so they ride whatever wave that's why the funds are buying heavier at higher
prices and whole that's why pensions will buy it because pensions have a lot of generally why
stocks will move upwards so like um longer term and those who do value the short term and the longer term money is in the short term by those
who do value same exit even at a disco even below his price because guess what i have my timeline
is better to other opportunities but i'm coming back when opportunity is there for my timeline
take to capitalize on it and then they push the price up exactly so it's just understand that different people have
different time difference because I stock is at $10 simple version why you
just said in case and what it was last cuz people I said I said we lost him
with the tangents so stock cost $10 and I decided say yo I bought at $5 I am
selling a 10 that's great but to the
pension plan who's buying it from me you're like this in our view in three
years it's going to be worth $25 or in 10 years if it were $25 I'll buy it from
this guy $12 no that's more than a hundred percent and we have long time
lines to me I'm like yo it's $10 on him about for me for $12 right and I'm
thinking in my mind they really are dumb I'm getting run over on them and they are thinking
this guy is really dumb because he doesn't know this is a 25 dollar stock we're both right because
and the thing is so year one passes is still 12 year two passes still 12 so you're three
you know results come out that showed let start looking, the results fit a $25 valuation.
Pension guys are already in.
Yeah.
This is me coming back now to say, boy, $12 stock and it's worth $25.
I'm going to go buy it.
Wow, I'm going to buy it right now.
Me and everybody buy it all the way to $25.
Yes, and the pension guys go, we saw this three years ago.
And I say, you know what?
Thank God you're right.
Congrats, fellow shareholder. I'm with you. But I didn't guys go we saw this three years ago and i said you know what thank god you're right congrats for the shareholder i'm with you but i didn't need to stay for the three years and for you maybe you want a big volume so it took you three years to buy up your
volume congrats you also did that win win the market literally is for everybody i like that
so much i like that the concept is so obvious to me sorry let me get too passionate uh what's a company cab everybody's
saying how come we don't talk about you know big up i won't pick up one specific twitter who decides
it was going to send me a dm and bad me up because we had taken so long with the with the um episode
that one time steph underscore n did you know what time he said yo
I said I had a whole heap of stuff going on
he said well Dana I need to step up
Sergio
I really had fun
you know him? yeah yeah man
he did access actually he was a year ahead of me
on camp
I didn't even bother to tell him
I said yes boss you're right
you're right and it was a good conversation I like that I like them i'll say yes boss you're right you're right and it
was a good conversation i like that i like when our listeners keep us in check so thank you for
that bossy um and yeah then i need to step up it's funny there's another step sound steven um
steven had mentioned that so when the podcast was late and the guys in the group were running
those pressure than i and steven said boy then i work you know so maybe
so for other people that are not necessarily working
wow oh wow
unemployed man trade unemployed shade well a big of step for that i just i remember it and i had to i had to mention it but uh this room not in the head and i said not necessarily working
yeah you know what let's stick to the people who are on the podcast yeah those were sweet those were mop
so i mentioned him because i was saying i mentioned him because i was saying he also tweeted i saw a
tweet he had asked about cab and i said i'd wanted to do that cab um session i never did a cab session
what yeah i haven't done any grow is from the years of people killing me so
you know I did go first rock sorry I don't know if that's last year this year
is I have to do I peel grow I peels I I do I said the same thing that I know
numbers numbers putting down there they have to do them yeah I told somebody he
has to do them so I do have to so I will continue you have to do them yeah so i told somebody that he has to do them so i do have to do okay great that's reinforcing so i will continue to have to do
them especially because there's a huge charity element to them so i like doing that but i had
not done one for cab so i should do one even though cab is now closed and um we're waiting
to hear the final it i know we mentioned it earlier in the podcast but i should say
i mean
quick once over what it is it's a brokerage company it's an insurance broker so basically insurance brokers are they live on the spread so exactly if this company and they get a float
yeah so such a query wants it's such a quarter insurance company they want to get the life
insurance for like a group of people as many as they
can exactly so do anybody almost anybody cause cause for insurance broker and
they tell them hey find the best insurance out there for me because guess
what I'm not walking around every insurance company I shot there we go so
they find the best person the final best insurance great the person can get mm-hmm
and then they sell the policy to
do thing there yeah and they get paid I think it's they get paid and even some
so I know that where did I recurring payments often you said I couldn't feel
it yeah Phil Burke big up Phil Burke invest a month so Phil Burke invest he
has his medical practice right yeah and he wants to offer medical health
insurance all his doctors and staff okay oftentimes the best person for him to talk to is the influence insurance broker to
say you find me getting the best deal for my group for my group of workers the policy yes
and they go to insurance company and then they just run that they work something they want to
write something out and they get this the commission a piece of the commission every single time yeah let me let me go one better the
why it might sometimes even be more expensive but it might be better terms so so the broken maybe
the big insurer the reinsurer has a good relationship the actual insurer yeah the
actual insurer might have a great relationship right so maybe I only have to pay them once every six months oh yes yeah yeah and so I extend
to you because you would have to pay me every month but you know that kind of
money says I hear what you gonna pay me every quarter so maybe the broker
covers sometimes that's not a situation and then my charge a little extra for it
so why does it freeze up your cash flow over certain amount of time and you pay
a little bit more when you pay for that but for that privilege the value of that extra cash flow
and extra time in which you don't have to pay your overall policies might be of such value to you
that you're willing to pay a broker for it interesting i'll talk like out of car dealerships
not a car dealership so again um car insurance so the general insurance persons they have this one-time
payment thing so you'll pay me though when you know and there's no flexibility on payment so
you can't play sometimes yes and so i broke up a broker can't i love you to pay everyone get
that spread so i i paid i paid him the one time and you pay me every month yeah I like that yeah
so that good idea cap the business won't go too deep at the business to me looks
good I think they're going to benefit from the fact that there have a tax
break is going to be tiny allocations because it's a small company don't
complain get more if you really love it or ignore it if you don't like it yeah
small allocation beautiful company in my eye if it if you don't like it. Small allocation,
beautiful company in my eye.
If it repeats,
you were saying to me earlier,
if it repeats,
it's...
If it repeats business,
I was looking,
if it repeats business,
so the three,
they had a loss
in the...
First quarter last year.
Fourth quarter last year,
I think.
Sorry,
same period last year.
Same period last year.
So,
for the nine months,
I think the PE was really low.
And that was factoring in.
The last quarter.
No, man.
So the nine months, I'm removing the last quarter.
Okay.
So you see that business without the last quarter.
Really good for the PE is low on those nine months.
And that's with the tax in there.
So with the tax removed so
going forward they will have no tax so the income tax in the income tax burden
is gone and business is maintained and have a really low PE well even lower PE you mean to say
even lower yeah in other words you think that it might be a good deal at a certain price and I also like the price I like to it look and I
like that our market is at such a level where a company like this is considered
tiny people are complaining and not putting off a more sure and then it came
at a time where it's right before trans-jamaican the nobody's paying i think what what the people who need to see have seen
it's funny to me like couldn't win a lot of cars buying the cash part ticket and cash
part was such a big deal in front of me but i don't like using that the gambling analogy it's
just you you you if you care about the money's there i there. I like, so big up Steph underscore NGA
for ensuring that I stay
on top of this podcasting thing
and keep the content high.
And I hope our little light analysis
at Cab there is enough for you
in terms of realistic analysis.
Of course,
it's going to be a tiny allocation
for the people who went into it.
I think they've probably got
less than 900 shares.
I'm laughing with Cab
like I'm laughing with Lombo. Why? Lombo lumber why lumber is nearest ipo price yes it is the type of business
lumber runs it's just read as a straightforward business very clear some things i'm gonna sell
some things very clear which touches on blue power which might also be a nice little guy
it touches on dividends because themselves and it's a straight cash thing when we're running basically so when dividends are easier paid in the company's cash rich if i'm buying lumber at ipo
price ipo price the pe was our own was low under 10 11 around around there what's that lumbar's ipo price ipo price the the pe was our own was low on your 10 11 around around there what's that
lumbar's ipo was ipo price because 141 p you know the p even well it was 120.
p e was was that nice p it was a nice p i don't know what it was off the top of my head but yeah
yeah so if if you're buying it near at basically if you buy it near IPO price then you're
buying you're buying dividends as a cheap at a cheap level that's all that's
way I see it because dividends compared to deep defense on dividends on low PE
stocks are jerk of the same nature a cash rich company or whatever whatever would be good it's great
so the dividend pay the dividend rate the driven um yield you get is higher yeah anybody that's
complaining that they never get a whole heap in lumber it's available it's available it's
really careful it's something you're saying
They didn't really care about it.
That's the only thing.
You broke out. You broke out.
You hear stuff like that.
Oh, the number wasn't...
The number didn't get much
anything there.
It's near IPO price.
And you can get much more now.
You can get much more now.
The volumes are so good.
Yeah, the volumes are really good.
You don't have to worry about...
What was the IPO allocation for?
9%, I think?
2,000 shares.
20,000 shares or 2,000 shares?
20,000 shares.
And 9% above it. Wasn't 2,000 shares and 9%? percent of it wasn't two thousand shares and nine percent
check i'm not going to check somebody will check and tell us what i remember it and and mail pack
together one was two thousand and four percent and another one was twenty thousand and nine percent
and nine percent one was four percent one was nine percent That's what I meant. Cool. Yeah, the point is one of them did nice.
But right now, JTrader, screwing with me,
so I want to actually tell you.
Right now, we are seeing Lumba available. So you would have gotten either 2,000 or 20,000 shares.
But right now, I can look in the queue,
and I can see lumber shares going far my
word one do you want one 72,000 shares that's crazy that is crazy I mean they
come in turn out of that a lot of a lot of shares here in year, this is not going to look the same.
Alright.
Well,
I like what you... Dana is pointing at a big order
in the queue. Somebody jumping out at $185.
Or maybe that's somebody who
paying off a debt and making
money. You never know.
What did you say the IPO price was?
$1.20.
And that's a big order at $185? Almost 50%. in them. Oh yeah. You never know. What you said the IPO price was? $1.20. $1.20
and that's a big
odd at $1.85?
Mm-hmm.
Almost 50% too.
50% over.
A little bit over 50%.
54%
when in fees
and whatever.
I'm covering himself.
50% gain.
He came out in December.
If them sell
is over next stream
I'm 50% in stream once.
Couple mil.
Market made last year. market made 31% last year across the whole year.
Beat the market in three months and you're fine.
Good luck to that person.
Good luck there.
I hope you make it.
I hope so.
A lot of nice little things.
I keep, I think I said it sneakily. I know I said it sneakily
more than once in this episode, but people are going to hear it once when I mention this
company because I don't like how the first one sounded. This one, however, I do think
we should mention it. iCreate. How you feel about it right now? iCreate, which we have
had Tyrone on this show. Tyrone, shout out. I don't know if you want to come back. Down
to 68 cents cents Almost every day
I tell Danai
How bad I feel about iCreate
I mean they call it
For one thing
I call it up and down
Yeah and
I feel bad about that
Sometimes
Why?
It's reality
It's reality you know
It doesn't change
Why you feel bad
I'm not getting
That was an answer
Because I
I talk to the people
Who tell me
That I said something
That I know I don't say
Because sometimes
Sometimes I make them
Play it back
I say go play it back
Right now
And they say
Oh no
But I did hear it
Apparently people just think
That once we talk
About a company
And based on how our voice
Is sounded
We just sound good or bad
So that's how the company is
So at some point
We sounded good
And Khalilah
Big up Khalilah
Also had Tyrone
On the show
Yeah On her show And Khalilah always sounded good I guess Tyrone sounded good and Khalilah, big up Khalilah, had Tyrone on her show and Khalilah always
sounded good. I guess Tyrone sounded good and the share price flew. I don't know if that's why the
share price was around that time. And so I heard a lot of the way he spoke or what he was saying
gave them the impression that profits were coming home. And I fully did not hear that.
Big things happened. Khalil a big up let's
see if i can put that clip in so obviously even when q4 numbers come in you're not going to hit
that one no we're not gonna we're not gonna hit that so our focus now is to you know move forward
we have a fresh year ahead of us 2020 and the entire team is aligned as to our objectives for
the business and that's going to impact the rest of your projections as well for the five-year plan
that you had put forward.
It's not significant when you look at it.
I think the most important thing to look at is the bottom line, right?
What type of profit we're making, or projecting to make.
I'm paraphrasing.
He said, things are looking great.
There's some big things coming but not in
the fourth quarter yeah and then it fly up to 80 something cents from um it's usual like it had
dipped to 50 odd cents and it was in that little area coming from 50 odd to 70 so i got it in the
60s and the 70s and then it fly got all the way up to 80 odd cents still sound low
but in percentage terms you are something 60 odd cents and you sell at 80 odd cents and on the day
when it closed it has gone higher than that because i got some i got a sale at 88 cents yeah
um and it has subsequently fallen all the way down back to 68 cents so i bought in early
fall in all the way down back to 68 cents so I bought in early made a hella percentage sold and I bought back in in the 60s and I probably buy more and it
probably went on to the 50s and I probably buy more cuz I still think the
company is great I still think the company has something huge coming and I
hope for the real conversation something I read about Tyrone man really not not
hiding yeah he's very open very clear with him
company
it's the first time
I'm seeing something
that's not open
and I want to ask him
about it
because the
he got
a bond
24 25 mil bond
so I want him
24 mil bond
yeah
I want him to come
and talk about
the bond
and the company
we'll see
you guys hear Tyrone
maybe in the future
I can bring him back
love to hear him talk
more I create definitely this time yeah and see where he's in the journey
now i'm putting voice out there i like i like the new age the new space that we're in one or two
more never call it because we'll be talking like a while now uh i i snuck and said it earlier um
blue power you think it's been oversold You think it's been sold out too much
Blue Power is now
It went down
It was low
Look on the computer
Exactly
I have to kick myself
Yes
I have to kick myself
Because I know
I knew it was being oversold
It went all the way down to the three
Something down
And I was like
Wait wait wait
We spoke about this
I really hope I bought
I know I did not Tell you the worst thing I must feel man When I really hope I bought. I know I did not.
They were a thing of mushroom, man.
When I saw things I missed, I was like,
cool, cool, cool.
Back up at $5.
Interesting change.
CPJ, profitable.
Yeah, they make some money.
They made profit.
A couple of people made money.
But the outlook on it was kind of murky
because of what happened and they were down in
the road for a while they're in profit this last quarter it's on the back of so the increased
revenues the expenses the expenses of hell so i think it was they were skirting it might be that
they were skirting close to their arms their fixed expenses so revenue down
and then in loss
but as your
revenue up a little bit
then your
profitable
and expenses
kind of holding
to me it's probably
looking like
oh so there were
some
efficiency in the
selling works out better
not
wouldn't be efficiency
in the selling
it would be more that
some
those made more money
and the fixed expenses
some I think there being that there's there's a lot happening in a
company I'd like to look at it definitely to the profit I saw the
revenue and I saw the expenses I said wait they didn't really change much and
the revenue wasn't oh my god more revenue yes I that's efficiency or something i know one-offs i didn't check
you don't know i don't think we're on us what you don't think you're gonna check it we'll check
well i'm gonna check no because i don't want anything it's too much okay wow the the the
the gk buyout the gk biota key yeah it's not yet yet completed And the share price Is now down to
Three
The old company
Jet can't drop
Some good results
Are they don't
Or they're both
Or that don't happen yet
Or have I spoke too soon
They posted
They posted some
Results last time
Had some good in it
Yeah
And I think
They're on the upswing now
I think whatever was wrong
Has been
Sorted
I haven't looked at it
Properly What do you think was sorted i haven't looked at it wrong
i haven't looked properly we need to do a proper earning season episode invite some people
definitely yeah we've been saying this we have been saying it forever what we do invite some
people invite back some people have a big episode this time though we'll see what's up uh i continue
to like jetcon i'll leave it there uh or something that we there What's a stock that we've never mentioned
On this show before
ISP
I've never bought this stock
Me neither
I might be lying
Maybe way back when
There was a time when they jumped
What did they
I came on
I remember
It was about the time when you joined
i think they're one of the people who jumped in right before the last time the tax break was going
to jump but i think right now i just know all right so when i just started investing right
before bridging alex alex overlord before he started i was investing he was looking at access
financial he was just watching him so he was his thought went on
the thing so the first the first talk he saw was access and he said just to start
and we must buy something hmm chickened out and he continues to show me access access going up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up
up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up up b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b so let me be quiet on that uh yeah it's not $20.52 and it has had a split well depending on when he
was looking at it he's it it it has a split um mentioned blue power back at five and frustrating
me cac 2000 which garden mentioned in his episode which him said that the roads roads
the roads on south well i said that the roads roads the roads
on South of all I drive down it out of the road smoothie fret it looks so good
just like I won't say look like foreign but I see the fire in this meaning the
multi-level overpass all of that you can get to the companies easily did you know
that CAC is very close to an outlet or I don't know if they're still there for um detail yes same side
i know details on that side did they do something under something with the area free recently
i was looking back at something for detail i don't care detail has been there for a long time
some powers some powers has been there for a while i don't know if they're still down there but they
used to be down there I know
it's a big place we used to look at something because everybody had acquired
something in the area they're always acquiring one boy never say every year
once he has the money to he's acquiring something where is wood cats I'd ever
know what and use it heavily wood cats I think might be near there because the
wall is near that area in grab wood near there. Yeah, I think it's probably Woodcats. In that area, you can grab Woodcats.
I was getting something recently.
I was there one time, but I can't remember.
Everything fresh, below a dollar still.
Damn, 81 cents.
They just cut the pork business.
And they just cut the pork business.
Didn't they just buy the pork business?
They gave them off the losses.
Oh, pork seems to be doing poorly for everybody these days.
Damn.
I don't hear CPpj complaining about work
or the rest of the world yeah it seems to be a glut not a glut the opposite of a glut high demand
uh this is all junior market kelly okay they bought back their franchise yeah
people people are um speculating that it's going to be it's going to be
the great for them to buy back office but franchise business we shall see
remember who won a huge part of the franchise business wasn't it also really
Kelly's one to look into one to watch
one to watch
what's a main market company
you spoke on the way here about
MPC
MPC did some changing the way their accounting
looks
so before their accounting for
their
share of profit in the associate
associate being the MPC fund that they invest in.
So the fund directly invests in the...
They directly invest in clean energy infrastructure
within the region, right?
The thing we own invests in that fund.
So they've now changed their accounting
before they were reporting a share of profit in the associate so now they're
reporting the holding the holding so it's equity value so basically if they
critical open a hold in the portfolio if you know profile go up the value
profile go up then they make money if it goes down then it's out they lose money
but more what I find very important is that they report
with that change,
they are now reporting
on the dividend payments
to the fund
from the,
to the company
from the fund.
From the holding.
So they get to hold
the value of the holding
plus any cash
spit out by the holding.
Any cash spit out by the holding.
And the holding
seems to want
to spit out cash.
It seems to be created for that.
Interesting enough,
in the reports previous
so when the sheriff obviously couldn't see if they didn't mention that hey there's a dividend coming
or check the cash flow statement then you wouldn't just you wouldn't see that oh we've got a dividend
and they and and they they're funny case like i said they're still the one who i
would like to have the final answer for and that dividend that got a lot of people confused
and wondered about that.
They reported some things
and then they actually reported a dividend
long before they were saying anything.
It was an interesting point.
I remember having a conversation with JC Knight about it.
So it's an interesting thing.
We should go back to MPC at another time in the future.
NCB, 187. Why?
So much? Wait, sorry. No, sorry.
Is it cheap now or is it expensive
now? I don't know.
You're not making no blessings.
187 and you can
you can
It's funny enough, you know. February
this time last year. It's been a while since
I've held NCB. I think the last
sell of NCBb i had was
it 170 150 or there was before a stagnant period really i got out because i saw stagnation for the
one and i said all right cool my money used to be somewhere doing something else and i didn't get
into it but i didn't get back in and it went to 200 went to 200 fine so you missed that oh no
dana you missed the jump from 170 i know right i was too busy making gains elsewhere yeah 17 gain that's what that is 17 gain however this is a 17 discount then because
it was 200 people asking if they must still get in there yeah and i know it's even lower
when ncb is even bigger i think i've spoken enough about ncb over the years it's
clear why it is proven proven proven doing them thing
like them like them find themselves and they're i mean you can get them for about 48 dollars no
later on they've gotten away thing there with jmmb who has added bonus from what's your name
from surgical financial corporation so they find They find value From that transaction
From that holding
In JMNB
JMNB
Has been
I haven't gone into JMNB
What?
So Proven
Because it's a Proven
It's the biggest owner
Of JMNB
You know so
Yeah
The largest
Single largest shareholder
Right?
You want to hear something funny?
Barita is the largest owner
Of Proven
Interesting right? Very interesting What do you think about Sajikor? Sorry right you want to hear something funny burrito is the largest owner of proven
interesting right very interesting what do you think about sagicore
um sorry same company we think about scotia i thought you were talking about sagicore if you don't talk i guess who jayman is
waiting for wicton yo wicton is back to 80 cents yeah that's one interesting uh look what i also
found interesting was look on the cell queue So it was being cleaned up
At 81, 82
Of course
So what it does
It takes a while
It's been creeping back up
Because there's so many units
It's hard to move this stuff
Yeah
You know
It takes a lot of people
That's been the issue
Yeah
It takes a lot of
True heavy perception
Like I was working
On something else
And I was mapping
On things at the time
In 2019
And there's a time When it flew And I was working on something else and I was mapping out the times in 2019 and there's
a time when it flew.
And I was trying to figure out why did it fly then and nothing happened.
But no, that's when they reported the first 100%.
Or not 100%, they reported a heavy, strong profit.
And then we saw them report a loss the other day.
And now it's down to, it went down to 70 odd cents, 76.
And it's right back up to 82 cents where it's not back up.
How much you want to bet in six months this is back to 90 something cents?
I've been wondering.
Two quarters.
I remember they had a loss quarter.
Seasonality.
John Jackson did a thing saying that he's sure that there's seasonality and this proves it.
There may be seasonality.
It's funny.
He mentioned there's seasonality.
At the start and it turns out it turns out that looking at the results things swaying in the way he he
will say but i do wonder about it because all right so last year they hit they took they didn't
take a hit from in this quarter yeah so they didn't take a revenue hit in this quarter last
year so what where is the seasonality if there is seasonality then you have to look at the thing there look at the they did mention in the report
that windows was less than expected windows better last year so what where is the seasonality is it
that wind is low within if it's seasonality then is there the same thing or the same period you
can find the same average wind speed and type of thing there all right so how is it that
what is it he's pretty sure on seasonality where is it coming from so quarter to quarter will it be the same amount then we'll see we will see what is important though is in my view to look at next
quarter to see if it comes back up because that means that there's one quality you can always
look to but that means good news also then. And that quarter would be what?
That quarter would be, would it be the Christmas quarter?
Meaning in terms of actual results.
Results?
Oh, no.
Christmas, that's what we just saw.
Okay, so it would be the January to March results?
Mm-hmm.
You know what's funny, you know?
This Christmas, I don't know if it, I don't think it was just me but it just felt less
windy it doesn't eat um this christmas less windy oh yeah it didn't therefore see you don't need to
feel the christmas breezes here that i was it was it was much less for me a big man things my place
big party got you got you my place like it is very windy that is true yeah
it was much less this year like i used to wake up in the morning and around this time and see
because the way the place it was not what i was even said to my mother more than one time
i was asking whether if it's the christmas breeze later or something because where i am
Christmas breeze is late Or something
It's not cool
Because where I am
It's there
So I don't know
But I don't think
I
You don't think
Keep going
No
I'm not tying that to Wigtown
Too late
Too late
That I said
Cool
This Christmas
They have less Christmas breeze
Which is why Wigtown
Never make no money
Alright
You heard it here first
That I'm going to throw
Just
Oh lord
That's more excuse
But they did talk about
The average wind speed
And they did talk about
The wind speed
And according to them
It was less
I guess you are correct
So maybe Wigton
Never feel as much risk
One of the nice things
I like about Wigton
Is that you can tell
A lot about how, like
you're saying, it's hard to move in terms of why technology is hard to move.
Oh the volumes, I think they need to dedicate it to us.
Because there's so many, there's just so much out there. Great forward look in my mind towards
transfer makeup which is also going to have heavy holding.
Look on Wigton's top 10.
Why? Why would I look on Wigton's top 10? I think if I have it right, Mayberry.
It ties into what Otto just said about, I think if I get right it ties into what I just
said about I think they need dedicated for liquidity to not being don't look at this
then they need people to hold people that will hold heavier amounts and limit the what is out
there in the bodies everything is cool I like it I don't know I'm not saying it's wrong I mean
in terms of how to move something like this At this point Because of the nature
Of trading right now
Yeah
Too much people holding it
Then
It's hard to
A lot of people holding it
It's hard to move it up
Unless sentiment
Sentiment
Yes definitely
We've seen sentiment spike
That was one of the most
Beautiful spikes in my mind
Because that allowed me
To see what a mass of people
Look like
News
And it shows you
What the time in between
somebody look at you that method
that I have
Wigton allowed me to test
and see that
so
Wigton is interesting to me
I will continue to watch and like
Wigton watch and like
but they did say
that they used the time to work on their the time when
the wind was a little bit down so to work to work on the what do they call it servicing the turbines
yeah and i think two things two big things i'm looking forward to is one how the debt payment
that's coming up oh yes please go on go on a balance sheet i need to explain something go ahead
sir so i see people being people complaining about the thing there.
The growth in the liability payments.
And I think I have a misunderstanding.
You can start from the balance sheet.
I'll leave this one for you.
They had a large current portion of long-term liabilities.
So the change in current portion of long-term liabilities over the period is great.
$716 million.
So basically, last year, they had $40 million as the current portion of long-term liabilities,
which would likely be...
The one not due yet, but there might be a principal payment.
Not might be.
There is a payment that's due this year.
At the time, in the $40 million million time last year the one was not due yet
and that current portion of long-term this was just a principal payment that they had due
now it's jumped 700 something which is them which is which is which is the first one due so which
is how it's paid paid yeah so they pay off that part of it i don't know what I think people want us on bonds work bonds
are a bar the money a bar of the money at once and I pay the interest I pay
small payments for a period of time and then I pay back all the money in the
bond mature okay so what does happen oh the one is about to mature within X
period of time a short period of time. I'm here quoting. Short period
is usually one year for short term
accounting.
It is not usually.
It is actually 12 months.
Yeah.
So within the next
12 months, the payment,
the bond payment, the principal
is to be paid. That's all.
So the bond due. Which is why it moved over into the short term abilities yes so all right so one issue but when that happens
people come to me and complain and i said boy look how much cash we can have
i don't know how much cash do they have it's right there sir but it's scrolling away from
the balance sheet that's it right i hate it i'm
looking for the p l yes and cash the police they have two billion in cash and have to pay about
730 million i think they'll be fine i mean we know that they find it no no no it's a nice I think they'll be fine um somebody asked me boy was what happened
to the EPS I see my question is I knew it is new to it but I'm not giving him I
not giving the black because he does he has just completed a reading financial
statements course whoa so I'm not giving up black so okay okay I asked him how our
bond payments if they accounted for him saying we find out he has not responded
it so in basically I'm saying no bond payments do not go through the the
piano the piano so piano is record is recording of value so if you have
something and you sell it for more than you bought it for,
then you made profit on it.
So you get revenue.
If you have something
and you sell it for less than you bought it for,
then you made a loss on it.
And you record that as an expense of some sort.
If you have a bond,
a bond is on the balance sheet of the liability.
If you pay back the liability in full, then really, I have this amount of money for this
person and I give him back.
I didn't make a loss or a gain on that money, on the return of the asset, then you're good.
It won't touch the P&L unless, if Randy has a bond out in the public and everybody earns Randy some money
and Randy
the public decides like oh
it's a $1 million bond
but we'll make Randy redeem it at
$8 million
at $800,000
then Randy would have made a gain on it
otherwise no
so he would not have the EPS
the payment
and if you want to decide a very
clear idea of what's happening with the payments no ticks makes it very very clear you guys nice
i have to be very nice the second any base enters my voice i hear that my tone is off so
710 million is now due de December 14th 2020 that's this year
which is why it is no part of the current portion and in December 14 2023
the same thing is going to happen and 2025 it's going to happen on 2028 it's
going to happen unless they get a new loan and refinance this loan all right
there's interest on it but idea is that there's a current portion that's coming up.
It's the portion during the next 12 months.
Which is,
you can see there is less current portion.
Yeah.
Yeah.
I mean,
I'm not an accountant,
so maybe I've gotten it wrong,
but it looks pretty clear to me.
Nothing to be scared about.
And if you want to be scared,
understanding that you need to plan for when you're going to be scared, and you have about three or four more times to be scared about and if you want to be scared understanding that you need to
plan for when you're going to be scared and you have about three or four
more times to be scared because they've made it very
clear to you that you're scared now
get scared again in 2023 and
2025 and 2028.
Well if you can scare me on schedule
I won't be scared.
And if we react
the same way every time
then maybe you can start expecting certain reactions in the share price.
Who knows? That's my blind guess. Speak to your licensed financial advisor for better ideas on that.
Yeah. You realize how much of the company is held by the top 10?
Wow. Victoria Mutual Building Society Owns 9.26%
They're not allowed to own more than 10%
Did they tell the public this?
They're required to tell the public
They're required to
Acquire more than 7%
They're required to make a notice
Not 7%
They have to notify a week done
That they've made that way yeah okay
they don't feel public anything there was an article in the papers isn't it isn't it no man
i think there's more there's more disclosures than that and it doesn't weak and then have a
responsibility to isn't that a material change in ownership based on the fact that there is a
there is a restriction so if that is one of the points
at which there has to be like a flag that,
hey, we're getting higher ownership,
wouldn't Wigtown then have the responsibility to say,
I'm assuming here on JC's website that...
I don't know about that.
That's me guessing.
Who knows?
I probably talked too much.
The idea is they're at 9.26.
There was a news article that notified me that.
It either came out in our previous report that they had taken
out some shares but in a news article
there was a mention of that they
had gone to 10% at the sale. Something about
selling down because through the group
they had some more than 10%
something like that. I understand. Oh, we should find
that news article. We should find it. We'll see
it in the show notes.
I will listen to this. You can look it up very quickly
on Google. We'll wait
Yeah
Hit pause
Mayberry Jamaica
Equity is limited
MJEL
MJE
Owns 6.7%
NIF
Owns 6.4%
ATL's
Pension fund
3.3%
Owns 3.3%
These sound like
Small numbers
But they're not
They're not
It's a large amount It's a lot of money Jeffrey Ford Owns 1.3 3.3 these sound like small numbers but they're not they're not it's a large amount of
yeah jeffrey ford owns 1.3 percent that i i don't know if that's a company name or a person's name
if it's a big up you 1.3 percent that's talk and that person is not on the board so wow um
and we see the board here i like i mean they have the full telling of what is that.
They have how many shares they have.
Sagicor is at number 10.
JPS's, what's that?
JPS's pension fund seems to be at nine.
I really hope you won't do the whole thing.
It's too late.
I have to do it now.
All right?
Because the people between six,
the people on six and seven are going to feel bad.
Yes, I'll have to report.
You are correct.
One more company
I will call it
because we've been talking
for too long.
Pick a company
that you want to talk
to the people about
and I'll pick one too.
I'm fine.
Do you take one more company sir?
I will take one more company.
I will take one more company.
I will speak about
Panjam Raising Money.
APO,
the new fish fry.
They're coming with the APO. fish fry they're coming with the APO
yeah they're coming with an APO or stock split or both
APO and stock split I think they said yeah panjam can deal with a stock split yes panjam is like at
a hundred dollars it's funny they split already and back up 200 no split again why not yeah
oh yeah but some panjama 88 or something like that seems is on my remember
talking to Ryan I said it's on a previous episode I said to ran saying
nothing but up from here mm-hmm as long before it's a hundred notice a hundred
if I'm split again who knows I'll write it all back up to 100 again
Anjan I should do a deep dive on that someday or
some of this can do it and we'll have them on and they talk about yeah man
but yeah they're raising money um speculation for me because last year
they spoke about raising debt to for to fund the completion of the
hotels because they have a hotel in the hotel
downtown rk hotel I think it's called
and this building is being built it was in the second phase at the time of the
newspaper article in September mm-hmm and they said they're going to raise
some debt this year in order to finish and finish yeah well and they have a
place in Moby that don't think has started anything yet
movie a free port or there really it's a hotel
they want to build there well yeah so the I think instead of instead of they
did go take it instead there's something else I just don't know about happening
we shall see what this announcement right before results to me makes me think results might be good
results might be bad we shall see yeah they could be pulling like a jam t or a blue paw
no but results are coming out soon yeah but jam t dropped that news before the results blue power also drop that news before the results um
in prep mid blue power but i think the ap will have to be coming it'll be coming after results
that's that's what i think is good for this one or buy into our company it's a prop if you have
a bad set of results coming but good news around the shares people might not be inclined to sell
it for cheaper so it might stop a fall in share price right who knows and then if you have a
actual rights issue even cheaper if you i feel like it's good results bro
you know me i'm conservative believe it or not uh i was actually stopping me when I checked
their last thing there
their last
earning
their earnings report
they were
they grew
over last quarter
but
over last period
same period last year
but it wasn't that
oh there was
any one thing
that was jumping
to say
oh you know
this one business
is holding strongly
and pushing it forward
so I'll maybe something happened such I'll have to
look at such a core JMN be just one thing right nice because they own a
strong they're only like 5% they don't Jamie be and it but the track it by a
trading of the shares Oh word the share price that's brave of them today that
means that they expect that share price to go up.
And they
also have some
Sajikor shares and they book share of profit in associate
from Sajikor.
So good results from Sajikor
and JMB would say to me that
oh. And good results from
Sajikor impact JMB
and good results in JMB
impact them.
The wheel eats itself
alright guys
I think you've had enough
from us
and we're
I think at the limit
of the things that we want
to say about Cannes
and we've also had
a long enough episode
this isn't as long
as our usual episodes
but who knows
hope you enjoyed it
hope you like it
I'm Randy at RTRO
and I'm Danyat Hdani
this has been Earning all right this up guys
everybody's going for money now