Earnings Season - Top 3 with R and D
Episode Date: November 20, 2020Randy and Danhai catch up with the current earnings season results and give their Top 3 companies from what they've seen. so far.Very good, but never too good to be true.Contact Us Here 📧 ...Earnings@everymickle.com📱 www.twitter.com/Earnings_Season 🔗Links🔗 GRWR Beginner Investing Workshop - www.everymickle.com/grwr [Discount Code: MERRYBRICKMAS]Earnings Season Market Calendar - www.everymickle.com/calendar ★ Support this podcast ★
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Hi guys, I'm Randy on Tutam RT Euro and I'm Danai on Tutam H Dan I and this is earning season and we are back with a nice new episode in the middle of
the real earning season the indeed the last one for the year right yeah so it's all time now
yeah yes last one for the year you can say yeah last big one because we have the guys that are
not hunting it's like lab yeah like Lab like Lupo Lupo
Lumba
I like Lumba's timing
yeah
Lumba's timing
is my favorite timing
but yeah
yeah
if you don't know
what our earning season is
look it up
consider it homework
as in our earning season
podcast
that podcast is us
and
as always
we talk about stock
the market
and whatever
comes across our eyes
I mean as I said it's the last and whatever comes across our eyes um i mean as i
said with this last earning season of 2020 hell of a year but we'll try eulogize eulogize the year
as yet i will take it easy for now um but it's a good one so i wanted to just do a quick update
myself and the nice we're gonna try to do something nice and quick i mean it's the last
time people have heard us we've had
a whole lot of
things happen but
what what what
what has anything
you want to catch
up with Danai
so many people
have told me so
many things
exactly
wow when the
next season coming
out
no
I don't I don't
know I don't know
what happens
it's like
I'm sure there are things
I wrote down
yeah
always something
always something
we'll never really
we'll never know
exactly in the moment
right but
somebody listens
for the first time
what the hell are these guys doing
they're so confused
we're not usually
well we might
actually usually be this confused
we're talking
but no
I think
maybe the biggest thing is the
or have we recorded since that we've recorded since because we even spoke about tropical the
last time that's true that's true that's true that's true which funny i mentioned that thing
this um recently i don't know where i mentioned it i don't think it was on twitter tropical's
numbers we're going to get into that eventually. But something we said about their reporting.
Ah, the date. Was indicative of something, the date of the reporting.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
They fully chose to be eligible for reporting in this last earnings season.
Correct.
They could have just chosen a couple of days later and said,
okay, I guess we won't report it.
But they said, hey, we're going to report these numbers.
Correct.
Tell the people, because I'm sure people are confused.
Tell them what you're talking about all right so tropic um when they're listed if they're listed within a certain if they were listing within a certain period of time
then they would have to they'll be eligible they have to report required required to yes that's a
better word they're required to report the numbers within that quarter so if if you're listed before September 30th,
then you have to
report numbers
for that period of time.
Correct.
So it's a listing.
They don't have to be
on the market at that time.
So they could have just
delayed the process
by a certain amount of time
and then they'll be...
But even one better,
I could...
Was it one day out?
I believe they listed
on the last day
of the month
so they could have
if they wanted to
waited until the next day
it was a business day too
so yeah
yeah
easily
yeah
so it says
it said to me that
they wanted to
they wanted to release
his numbers
yeah
and nobody wants
to release anything bad
and they were not
at that point
you know what the numbers
look like
exactly
at the same time
at 30 you know what except about 20 like exactly at same number 30 you know what
except about 20 you have a good idea that boy things continue this way for the next 10 days
all right boy by this time everything good yep in fact got one better these guys are new it's
not a new business yeah these guys are seasoned doing the thing yeah they probably had okay i
don't know.
Let me just say, right.
So for anybody listening, this is not an investment show.
We're not investment advisors, blah, blah, blah, right?
Talking licensed investment advisor.
However, they didn't, like they know what's coming.
They planned them here, I'm sure.
And they planned their year from before and Corona interrupt things, blah, blah, blah.
So I'm sure they would have had some idea of maybe you know we have a good contract that maybe kicks in
then or blah blah blah so it's not surprising for them to do it you're right the the thing that
should have stood out to a lot of people was when the how the rules work if you are at least if you
are listed when your quarter ends you you have to report that quarter.
Yeah.
And they could have just waited one day
and they would never have to report
until...
Next year.
Because December quarter,
that was finished before.
And it's February 20th,
February 15th.
Yeah.
Around there.
February 15th.
Yeah.
Valentine's Day before
they have to say anything.
And I could be wrong,
but I think it's a year end.
Was it a year end?
It could be a year end, yeah. Was it a year end was that you're hearing yeah was that your industry party yeah if you was
there financial year and you know then they may have had even more reason they
can yeah yep could have delayed even longer if they wanted to so they would they just
it is yeah and they could have even went for the 60 day audited and not the thing there so they
didn't have to have to report no they they could have done whatever they wanted to because they
weren't listed then so the requirement wasn't there yep so they could have technically in my mind yeah they could have waited until
they wouldn't have had to report necessarily anything until still still february 14th because
it would be their new financial year but yeah and it would only be their first quarter
yeah and they wouldn't have to tell anybody what they actually did until the next year next year
wow but them say yo we'll get them they chose to do it on that day
yeah which said then to the people paying attention the other time that those are likely
good results and then during that small time the the ipo price got it spiked it fell spike
go up to about 121 or 120 something even 130 some probably yeah i've seen it i've seen it
going as high as it seemed like 126 am i just looking too closely could have been 126
i just noticed i just realized that we're back in In what?
Oh God, don't say review Me having no laptop
Because we're not at home this time
That is true, that's right, thanks for inviting me too
So we are recording this outside home
I should say that if you hear the sound sounding wonky
That is because
I'm the one screwing it up
They were pretty too high
It was 135
135? Yeah, so they tra they traded to 135 they went back
down and they i'm not up now they back up they found back some volumes in the top so they're 1.2
around there 1.2 dollars is a 20 rise you know it's interesting you could have bought an IPO you know it's all you wanted then get a nice dip to buy into and then and get a
rise again I even know we're recording this on the evening of the
15th in November might as well get into it actually just jump right into the
tropical yeah so
okay so what we're doing is to make make a safe time is this way right because we don't want to
meander around so we're doing three for three um then i and i alternate and we put our top three
things that we like from this earning season so far so you take tropical as your first sure yeah so they basically doubled their profit nice for this quarter nice and has them
ending the year has them ending ending the year is it their best year ever is it you have to
compare it to like their the prospectus to see yeah that's where that's the thing that came in
the comment from the the comment about the laptop yeah that's where it came that came in. The comment about the laptop.
That's where it came from.
But it's better than last year.
72 mil they made this year.
Overall, that's a good rise for them.
And on the quarter, it's from 13 mil to 26.
It's a 100% increase.
Continued performance at this and that night.
So the year to the year.
Lovely. What else do you like? And they still have tax on the books at this time ah so yeah you know there's a little bit of of of not a little bit a lot because i would have
only listed they listed for that short time the day yeah not the day yeah the day so
you have pretty much a whole 25%
tax hit to
get rid of
next year
I think
that's what they do
meaning
a flat performance
next year
they use tax credits
they didn't use it
they didn't use it
so they're noting
they're up to
they had
tax credits coming in
so 1.9
so they didn't
they didn't pay tax on the thing there.
On the 24 mil.
Okay.
Or they did, but they also used credits.
Yeah, so it's canceled.
So maybe on the cash side, they're good.
They're less good, but.
Randy, are you going to cash those statements?
Ha ha.
Crazy.
While they're here.
I'm pretending.
All right.
What's mine?
I almost feel like doing something like this because I haven't been.
It's the midst of the early days.
I haven't been paying attention to everything yet.
So I'm wondering which one I should pick.
Let's pick one.
The revenue is all-time high for them.
I'll give you some other things.
The highlights from the MD&E.
Revenue was all-time high.
$506 million. It's not much more than was all-time high 506 million two point it's not much it's not
much more than last year 2.6 million um the tax credit did help them some degree to get this level
of profitability because the 26 probably before tax would be 26 mil compared 24 mil compared to
the 18 mil last year so 18 they paid 5 million that. If they paid the full tax rate on it,
it would be good,
but,
not this good,
because they're taxing the credit,
so they got some more,
so 26 million,
they got to.
Oh,
well,
I mean,
I like it.
As always,
I like it from IPO.
I like it from before IPO,
when everybody was,
you know,
they're coming,
they're manchaca.
From a long time. Right? And, they're here you know they're coming them and chocka right and
they're here now they're 120
as we speak 20%
higher but not even a quarter
really since and now
they're
what's their PE ratio at this level
$1.20 with
these results.
$1.20 flat.
$1.20 times.
And they have some I don't know
it depends on how the tax credits are
it's just that business improves for them right
yeah because
there's no real
I don't see any line in the financial
that stands out to me as well
this is the reason why
this expense line does chop
the revenue is way higher
from this one thing it just seems like
one is two percent higher revenue than last time finance costs will follow i mean they
don't have the ipo cost to pay for anymore but the cost of good souls dropped but that
should continue for the quarter that's it yeah that should continue cause a good souls drop for
the quarter they did do what the furlough some of the people you know and then they brought them back that is I said that they're bringing them back because they're busy
We picked up pick up back and next year they'll have that they'll have
Yes, this area stay again coming from next year next year the completion
Are doing a lease not a long list of leases
which was a big gripe
for some people
remember that on twitter
oh
that usual
oh my god
they don't
we don't own the building
okay
okay
welcome to real
real life
interesting
that came up in a girl
actually
and i i i
remember saying to the guy
just a girl
it wasn't a girl
it was
one of the subscriber sessions we're just talking and i i i remember saying to the guy just a girl he wasn't a girl it was one of the
subscriber sessions we're just talking and i was saying in pulse's case i'll use pulse as my first
one in pulse's case kingsley cooper the chairman of pulse actually owns a lot of real estate that
pulse investments uses right and so there's some lease arrangements and i believe there was some talk a little while back about paul's possibly taking either full estate or all of the real estate so
buying it from him and somebody's saying you know that feel like it kind of feel like a thief
and i'm so i said to them say i i hear that all the time but think about it
if you have your land and you have your business, let's say you have a shop on the corner
and you also have your house
and your shop on the corner decide to expand
and it need a piece of land about the size of your house.
Are you just going to give the shop your house?
Well, no.
I say just because it's you.
So, I mean, one, I don't own all of the land that that is
i own whatever i own piece of whatever piece pulse on and kingsley we assume kingsley kings
his company owns the rest why should he give it to me right the different thing public ownership
at that point because it's our company and his land
exactly but people because him owner piece him was that's him saying all right let me just run
say he owns 40 of us right would you would you be okay giving up 60 of the land at no cost
yeah absolutely not right yeah no and people get it when you put it that way and then start
oh yeah but you know it is we think of things from the name so i don't think we don't we think pulse kingsley we don't think
pulse investments versus kingsley coop two different people yep right differently body
corporate versus the actual person and they're two they interact that way and we own part of one
thing that he also owns a part of
and him privately have something when someone else acts i ask him say okay you're also a shareholder
pulse why don't you give pulse your house instead for free because you're you're not you'd have as
many shares as him so you're not as big as your holder but you are a shareholder you're a partial
shareholder so you don't just give them your house then. Why should he give his house for free?
Oh,
you start,
then they start seeing it.
People,
as I said,
I've said that
people need to think
they realize
they do own these companies.
It's not,
it's not
shares
and this floating thing
in the sky
that they don't actually exist
and can make money
off of by bookups.
No,
you actually own these companies.
Yeah, man.
It's real life things.
You know, go to a European place and see a companies. Yeah man it's real life things. You know you're a place
this is. Yeah yeah I said
to the second 5k of us
say yo you can't cost the wicked bank
owner them because you are one
that's exactly how it goes you are
only one profits but yes we'll go see it first
when NCB if NCB send a
report and
making losses and whatever
you invest and you check how much the price drops since the
last season you lose half of your money you're vexed you know yeah so when you when you're
on twitter liking and laughing with certain tweets but what are these these companies only want
profit like that's you that's you right so exactly literally it's like that
you know that is actually financial illiteracy
it's not realizing
it's like real illiteracy
the book is there but you don't realize
that the book tells you how to fix
the computer over there and so because
you don't know you got somebody else and you pay them
too much money to fix your computer
when the book was there to show you that's real literacy
understanding Kingsley Cooper and kingsley cooper's property different from pulse investment
and pulse investment property yep yeah and and just because you know the two of them in your mind
together don't mean that they're together and you can't expect him to give you his land any more
than you could expect expect him to give you you to give them your land for
free yeah man it has to there are advantages to it but the rules are still there yeah
it's just a different thing that is real financial literacy and then learning how you can apply that
in your life uh pieces of that right but since i said i'm picking pulse as as my first one then um
since I said I'm picking Pulse as my first one then,
Pulse is my
quiet pandemic stock number.
Oh, wow.
Oh, the performance is there.
Oh my lord.
The market is down. Pulse is a huge
reason why I did not know.
Because Pulse tricked them.
If you look on all of the
stocks on the market
year to date, when you look on all of the stocks on the market year to date,
when you look at the drop that all of them have,
all of them drop in March, including Pulse.
Yep.
Just Pulse's drop was planned.
It's the same drop, you know.
It was planned.
It was well planned.
It's a beautiful, beautiful, beautiful drop
that is not actually a drop because that is
a four a four to one split split yeah so they started the year let me start the year at
somewhere in the six dollar reach i think
yeah man that's not the year 650. that's that right let me check just about it should be by the way guys
as i was saying earlier i wasn't clear enough with it if you guys are hearing a lot of noise
in the background it's because we are recording this at the blue maho cafe so they were kind
enough to allow us their space to record and i was happy to be here because it is not my yard which I'm truly sick and tired
of and I suspect I'm not the only one so I'm not I'm not going off the exact price I mean the start
the year six January 2nd was $6.50 so I just I'm being lazy I'm not looking up what it was December
31st and as I know said that I feel bad so I can't do it so December 31st end of as I now said that I feel bad, so I can't do it.
So December 31st,
end of the year at $6 flat.
Nice.
What a wonderful thing.
So it end of the year at $6 flat.
And it is currently at $4.70.
That is beautiful
because in between those two points,
it's split in four.
So when I say it start the year at $6 flat,
I really mean that it start the at one dollar fifty cents and it is currently worth four dollars and
seventy cents so why i call it my pandemic stuff it's because it has three x my god my god yeah
313 percent right if you take out your original money.
It means on top of my original money.
I have made 213% year to date.
And a year without done yet.
Damn.
Yeah.
It's been a rough year.
And more good news.
And it's just good news behind good news.
Yeah.
We can do an entire episode on pulse alone but
pulse is this pulse investments that's another thing that people mix up the name right pulse
we all know pulse you come on an entertainment report with a model m is a component of all
the models right that's what they're modeling yep actually they tell you what they are the
pulse investments yes they invest in a bunch of different assets and businesses and
they have continued to do that and they have promised to do a lot of things soon and then
corona got in the way of that they got some of them done they did the stock split they um
consistently returned profits and their all their investments seem to be going well indeed yeah
quite well yeah they also have real estate investments they use the real estate as rentals. They get a lot of
rental income from the real estate, including the hotel and pulse rooms. Corona hit, so we know
tourism tech hit. Then pivot and go into making it into working space. I've actually used one.
Oh yeah, how was that one?
It was cool. It was a room. It was a room. It had a nice bathroom, obviously, because it was a room there's a room he had he had a nice bathroom obviously
because there's a room
yeah
but just a space
and
his income
his income during the time
so the man
them not short
so smart
not short
and on a revenue
right
and diversified revenue
so well
some from real estate
actually using it
others from the real estate
gain
then others from investments
then others from the modeling and the then others from investments then others from um the modeling and
the tv and endorsement blah blah blah so continuity of income i i can't tell you around
covid safe i'd have to say it because we're in november now yes so i mean i let the the
share price speak for itself and the the fact is, the exciting things that
I'm expecting from them, they still don't do yet.
So,
at this point,
I'm still holding
a holding pattern still, but
I'm in a holding pattern
up to 100%
and it has nice
volatility.
Indeed. Yeah.
They really did well with the split still because remember Pulse before the first split?
Mm-hmm.
Wait, was the split canceled or something like that?
It never happened?
No, Pulse had their split.
Had the split.
When?
They had a split that was a split proposition
from I think 2016 or 17 or 18,
something like that that was canceled.
Canceled, yeah.
That's all I know.
And then they had a new one
this year.
They came back and
they went back.
Remember Pulse
in 2017
when I just looked at the market
Pulse wasn't trading much.
Yeah.
Yeah.
I look at it now.
I get Pulse all below
a dollar them times
brother.
You were advocating
for below a dollar
here we are now.
Yeah, but I never
kept it all the time.
I couldn't afford to.
If I had done if I kept it all the time I wouldn't be it all that time. I couldn't afford to. If I had done, if I kept it all that time,
I wouldn't be here talking to you.
I'd still be working.
But yeah, pulse, I love it.
And I love the fact that it now remains so nice and stable.
So exciting.
And the thing that I'm going to do exciting,
I'm expecting two exciting things from them.
Two, two and a half, three.
I said three two and a half is business things that i expect them to do that will work well for them and they're in real estate so they always have that long-term view that longer-term
view too and that i don't know what to say other than, yo, my safety. My safety is like everywhere with a road, kind of hot.
So your safe place at home is the place you stay all the time.
And your safe place at home is just a tripling value.
And you just kind of work with it.
And then the exciting thing you're expecting to do to your home,
you're not doing it yet.
You have not known.
So, I mean, I like it
and I'm looking for an exciting announcement
from them soon
and maybe another one behind that.
And of course, I think I like that
the chairman seems to care about his share price.
Indeed, indeed.
Yeah, yeah.
Very much so.
Yeah, I think I have two CEOs.
His daughter is one, Safi,
and I don't remember the name.
Romy, I'm screwing up on the name. But he have two CEOs. His daughter is one, Safi, and I don't remember the name.
I'm screwing up on the name.
But he has two CEOs.
I think that they handle one.
One handle property,
the other one handle the other business side of things.
And both halves doing well.
And development look like it's set to go through quickly and coming to the market.
They have said that they're coming to the market.
They got the permission to come to the market they have said that they're coming to the market they got the permission
to come to the market
for a couple of investments
further investments
and they have strong results
so at this point
I'm waiting on my
my brick mass
I'm waiting on my brick mass
right in time
yeah
and the chairman
moves his shares around
which tells me that
he understands
the value
of the market
and he cares about
his share price
which to me is important indeed because you know most you don't want to be along for the market and he cares about his share price which to me is important
indeed because you know most you don't be along for the ride and as far as them concerning
most most companies as far as i'm aware yep yeah they don't they even know not about the
share price they don't care it doesn't matter to them salary dividends good exactly all right so
i got you say you like tropical i Pulse What's the next one?
All time favorite
You know
Everybody knows
I love this one
Cygnus
Cygnus
Oh god
Oh god
Cygnus
Every finance department
Just go yes
Talk about Cygnus
Yes
So
On the back of
Two quarters ago
Cygnus had a loss
You
I'm sure we've spoken about it
Where
If you really look at it it wasn't
really all right yeah i mean it was a loss it's just it's a loss with with very clear caveats
and then the very next quarter is like hey guys look at i think the sixth the thing there the
profit because the last the end of year for, the year before, it wasn't so hot.
But then they come with a strong end of the year and it was knocked out of the park.
I think there was six times or something like that.
The profit for that time.
And then now, they drop another report.
And you can scroll in for the report.
There it is.
Yeah, they just dropped their their um yeah for is it q1 q1 results
and nothing but niceness
no man is our q3 third quarter results ended september 30th no man q1 september 30th oh
sorry three months so far yeah it is our q1 sorry they're 51% the profit for this time
is 51%
and
what I love about Cygnus
is it's hard to dispute
where things coming from
like it's
clear cut
as we always say
it's a simple company
best MDNA
yeah
I don't give a damn
about MDNAs
like I don't
I don't waste my time
reading them
it's the last thing I read
yes
but theirs is actually
useful
yeah
they write an MDNA
like it's
like it like it's supposed to be written yeah let me explain what is happening here
and the last is the last that report with the last um remember the reactions to it yeah and
if you if it was real let's look at the report everything's laid out as yo guys we're fine
that's when i started to question
certain things now right because the loss came out and i am always joke i said i don't read the
mdna because i don't you know my thing i check the numbers i go through numbers i make my own
assumptions yes and i think that's also i like sicknesses mdna because i make my assumptions
and then when i'm reading the mdna last I'm seeing them confirming The things that I was assuming
Right
Then when I hear the reaction
To the last loss
I'm like okay
Yo I'm not sure
If the people are talking
To know what the hell
They're doing
Because I thought
They were at least
Just reading the MDNA
Because if you read MDNA
You know what it is
The man is all
Them all but say
Yo
It not real
It's like yo
Everything good
The money I just won
Something changed Trust me and then everything
moreover i'm not having enough money for the things i'm at though you see me so
right now i think and the share price was low when i was there it's low this thing got almost
back did it got back to 11 15 and i was i pick up some and made sure yes crazy man it's still
it's still not reaching i don't it don't even touch 20 it's still it's still not reaching
I don't
it don't
it don't even touch 20
it's still below 20
if you look at the thing
that um
the numbers
recent numbers
for the last three quarters
probably
one before
it probably
last four
if you look at the interest income
that start coming in
investments
pulling
signals
as a complicated
business model.
Crazy.
Very complicated.
Somehow I get,
I managed to explain it to people
that grow up very clearly
and they get it
and they're all beginners.
And if you know how they make money,
that MD&E will make it very clear.
If you know how they make money,
that MD&E will make it very clear
that yo, brother,
it's like I make 3%
3.2%
Offer
Every
Dollar
In my bank account
That I put out there
And I have
Enough deals
That I don't have
Enough money
In my bank account
And I just took
A lot of money
From you guys
The other day
And I don't have
Most of that either
Except for this
Little piece
That I took back
Because of that
Same loss
And I remember
To tell you about that loss
Already it's changing the terms.
My business don't get,
UCL is nothing to me really.
My business is set up to work in trouble.
And all that money that you just give me,
I don't have no night.
And I make 3% of everything off the bottom.
Just, just, just straight up not doing anything.
Right?
And I don't have that money anymore.
Work out 3% of that money
and look how much money I just reported last
and look at the difference between those two
and see whether or not you want to buy a different stock.
It's so clear.
It's not even worth a conversation to me.
It's just, it's so clear.
Trust me.
The only way it's not clear
is if you're hungry
and you're truly into short-term investing,
which very few people ever tell me that they're truly into short-term investing which very few people
ever tell me that they're actually into short-term investing everybody's always telling me they're
into long-term investing if you're into long-term investing you should not be even talking about
signals you should be hoping that you're not talking about it so that you just buy more so
nobody else is not selling the price up don't buy more if you're into shorter term investing you
then it becomes
a harder conversation
a different conversation
that very few people
yeah
so it's not
but the things
that people say
oh like you want
like it's good
if you turn
anything over here
and with the
APO on the rise
APO coming on the
corner right now
people talk about
APO like it's IPO
I think it's just
because it sounds similar and people are happy about IPO they're not talk about APO like it's IPO. I think it's just because it sounds similar.
And people are always happy about IPO.
It's funny because IPO
very likely depends on how things are set up to make money.
APO, no.
APOs are not really for you
to make money right now. APOs usually end
up in you losing money early out.
I think Sigma has a good plan for that
with the right issue.
Basically,
shareholders get first pick pretty much if you we said that
on this show we did we did we did if i have the time let me give myself work a little bit of work
i'm you guys are not hearing me you're hearing the clip of us saying the right issue is apo
and i mean they want to get dry powder so they're going to do it it makes sense though um
but you know which is why the api does make sense like so api
yeah because you don't have to worry about doing that i can still reserve
shares for everybody you're going to get water done but at least you get a reserve
yeah yeah they basically if you're a show if own 20 of signals then when you apply you can apply for
20 of the api and it's it's yours if you apply for this then that's when other people can get
so basically people who own shares have rights to the shares basically like it's very much like
yeah but i'm sure there'll be more and that they may not participate themselves also
because they don't hold that big they don't have that big i said they mean the group itself yeah
that's that's we could have also an episode which probably that episode on signals um but the the
yeah that is a rights issue ish ap need more money than that which is a funny thing
which can lead to another
finish our signals
finish our signals
but yeah
as I said
there is really
I don't find much to say
when it's so easy to say
you know
like it's not
anything really complicated
don't assume that
it's the same for everybody else
you are right
yeah so
I mean
if I can break it down
for people
I'm not going to break it down
too much I'm just saying
that slow and steady finance growth people who want money they won't feel good about it but
they don't want any risk or you don't really want a risk yeah i mean go talk to your licensed
investment advisor about signals and neither of us are licensed investment advisors please remember that and this is not investment advice however it is a blessing thank China that you are able
to get Cygnus right now below $20 you will look back at that in the future and you will be very
happy and but last year before the thing there before this whole thing was bothering everybody
the pandemic Cygnus was full steam ahead going yeah i think that is the 27th memory serving correctly yeah and it was much smaller then
and it is now and their yeah and their their business i said the same sort of thing about
ncb but ncb can have ups and downs internally as the machine grows cygnus is like i don't want to say signus is like is like the the guy riding the
elephant so the elephant might have growing pains the guy riding the elephant does not
the guy in elephant jump to a bigger elephant and all guy you say guys last time you saw me i was
you remember that elephant how big it was look how big this elephant is. And every time him cut and come back, he's a bigger elephant.
And you're like, yeah, but I don't know.
You know, Corona might be.
Do you see how big this elephant is?
This elephant steps 3% every time.
But I said that three times.
I need to be careful.
Guys, as an example, I don't actually know because I don't have the numbers in front of me.
It's just a random example.
All right.
If they happen to have some 3.2% off top that is straight luck on my part good god i can see something being 3.2 percent
and you're getting the same you know yeah everybody's saying but you know him no the
signals people tell him nobody has told me anything trust me nobody in my company talks to me anyway uh them them believing it at hard
numbers i mean eps 0.56 cents they're reporting us dollars yes they do yes they do so 0.56 of a
cent last year first quarter 0.23 almost half in one quarter do you see how big this elephant is
Yo three months ago
It was the hugest elephant you ever saw
And it is almost 50% bigger
Right now
Back we're looking at
0.64 of a US cent
Do I have that right
In terms of EPS?
For what?
12 months.
The TTM?
Yeah.
64?
Yeah, 0.64.
Wow.
And remember they have a loss
in one quarter
that we fully expect them to
so when that comes out of the EPS
and goes down in the profit
that's on their year end
that is their year end
Q3
oh that's beautiful
that's midland next year when corona done
Bill Gates freeway.
Oh my God.
But seriously,
it really is then.
And it'll be hopefully
the first, it will be the first
near prepping for back to school
post-Corona.
Tourism restart
properly then. Maybe they're up to 60 real occupancy then if not higher
and we know them touch the tourism industry we know half the money in jamaica
jamaica would be much harder i think two or three deals will go through between them
you are gonna be amazed by how big the elephant is then wow it's a 0.64 of a cent currently at
145 that works out at pe uh 19 times better than what was the one that was before that tropical
yeah and i think they might be able personally i think they can do better than tropical growth in
the in time yeah I fully think so
yeah
Tropical is at the top
of its industry
Cygnus is
working between
the spaces of our industry
growing and growing
crazy
so huge
alright
you got Cygnus
Key
I think I mentioned that
Key
yeah I got that
so Key
Key
Key
my other Corona stock
Jaja City
Key Key where's Key now I didn't even look ataja City where's Key now
I didn't even look at it properly
where's Key
and them drop results though
hold on
let me speak
am I talking to you
while owning a profitable company
I feel like Tyrone
big up Tyrone
well
big up Tyrone's Q1
I don't
I think he's back in
in the heat I think
but Tyrone always have plans
big up Tyrone
um
Kido
currently
ain't quote unquote
profitable
not profitable sir
profitable
no it's not real profit
it's not real profit
where did he come from?
And they did it in Q3, third quarter.
That's so strange.
At the AGM, I remember the chairman saying that he said to his team
when they were buying Key that they're on a kind of 90-day turnaround plan.
But then I know some discrepancies in between like when we just
started talking about key first ish in the in the press the late last year maybe and then
when they're in the last document they spoke about when when they took control when they
bought it the date that's in the financials well when they when they bought key. There's also differences later than I speak.
I think it's almost March.
I could be wrong, but it could be March, I think it says.
Right?
Which is a little iffy for me.
And then I also counted another date
because that kind of 90-day thing was,
if there's a 90-day, you can count.
My point is, I'm looking here and I'm saying 90 days.
I mean, 90 days in a quarter roughly, right?
And this is third quarter in September.
So July, August, September. days i mean 90 days in a quarter roughly right and this is third quarter in the september so july august september march them kind of by april may march but march would have been mid
quarter for them my point is during that time when they bought and then really take control
and see the right kind of changes operational changes start a certain level because i had a
lot of management changes yeah well you remember that agm yeah to a certain level because they had a lot of management changes.
Well, you remember that AGM?
Yeah.
And beat them up.
They had a nice,
a good AGM.
A nice, interactive AGM, yeah.
Yeah.
Tech AGM.
I respect that.
And I respect the reality of the fact that
their chairman
who was very front and center
in the AGM
is also obviously GK's guy,
which means GK.
I like seeing that giant
is not being lost
in that sort of thing
wow
this is why we like
when companies make a loss
because
can you ever make a profit
can you make a profit
once
once
yeah
twice
no
yeah right
because that 90
the point I mentioned
all this was about
the 90 days
and how they
managed to
to really
pull it together
yeah pull it together
within that time
and what
what what
what a time
I mean I'm not
going to give them
all the kudos yet
it's good to see
it's not much profit
it's 5 million
but it's profit
profit
and it's thing there
you look at the
internet premiums
written
compared to last year
you look at the gross premiums written compared to the same period last year.
Yeah.
Look at the gross.
That's business.
Crazy.
Right?
Is it?
To be sure.
It's just that they segment it in terms of,
I mean,
yes,
it is, but I was just looking at the breakdown
the note five so people you're hearing me you're hearing me this is the first time i'm looking
properly at key all i did was look at the glance at the um the pnl somebody told me so they're
profitable and and i'm actually taking a look at this so wow and we'd have to dig into this yes this is good underwriting expenses
on the motor line is 800
million versus 44.9
million
on the non-motor right
it was
400 and
did I have that right it was 480
million
same period last year
versus 800.3 180 million same period last year versus
800.3 million now.
What I tell you say.
I'm hoping
two things. One, they're going heavily
on the mountain now.
Or two, there's still some expenses in there.
I'm hoping.
Some early underwriting
expenses. As you know, they move over to a new
reinsurer they can see the reinsurance he did then exactly and they and they they're benefiting from
scale so they're benefiting from scale and there's a bigger chart and this is me this is wishful
thinking but if there's a chart still in that 800 million it could mean that later in the year or
next year same business or more business but a
lower expense cost right because of one-offs yeah this is why it sounds like when you analyze a
company for real guys this is why you're not surprised when you're enjoying the fruits of
what percentage is this key key start of the year where i'm almost afraid to look because them also don't move yet key started the year at three dollars and twenty cents
around there and they are currently at eight dollars and ten cents wow almost tripled
yeah wow wow wow wow wow Almost triple there 150%
On top of your money
Of course
If you're practical
If you go hard
I mean this thing
Hit the height of
$10 once
When the noise
Was happening
It hit $10
Fell all the way
But down to below
$6
Almost $5
If memory serves me correctly
Yeah $5.20 That's around Mid-year Yeah And I made way back down to below six dollars almost five dollars let me serve me five yeah five dollar
twenty cents that's around the mid-year yeah and i made you understand after that mid end of june
yes end of june it went as low as four dollars and eleven cents and i moved back to the three two
yeah man so you could have if you people if it's serious yeah is it? Yeah. Anybody always talking about, boy, you know, I didn't want to buy XYZ,
but I miss it.
It never miss.
There's never,
there's never miss.
There's always another business day coming
and the market is over.
There's always opportunity there.
You could have missed this year
at the start of the year.
Middle of the year,
there's a chance to buy it at 4.11 again.
After that,
there's a whole heap of chances
to buy it below $5.
It is now at $8. And it could drop again i probably gonna fly again depending on what your timeline
is right but i mean i still i still really really really likey um and i'm still don't know
them maybe two out of my list i've done maybe two or two two three of the things that i expect them to do
that are waiting on them to do so then they've really reached already at all with them going
right um and i'm already profitable and the year the year not done and i'm talking about
the money they said they need to raise it exactly and grace still have too many insurance companies, in my opinion.
GKFG is a very interesting company.
Ooh, Saki, love it.
Yeah, man, another 150%. And it's at its low point.
I didn't even know it was down to $8.
$8 might look good in a little bit.
Rights issue date don't drop yet, huh, brother?
Not yet.
And it just dropped these results when?
Friday?
Yep.
Oh, so who knows? Monday morning we could hear something nice yep i got something very soon i figure monday
morning how the rule go seven days then 14 days or 14 days depending on what the thing is two
hours two weeks to get noise a week seven clear days huh so i'm gonna do something monday morning
seven clear days you go to a wednesday of the
other week what what this month ends on a friday or wednesday or midweek
hmm november wow november ends on a monday
you could drop something on the 16th open it on the 30th or on the first close it the second week
of december close it like the 11th or the 12th you know all kinds of things and you don't even
need to go that precise because the truth is it don't matter you don't you like you
unless you're that sharp your money doesn't require this level of precision key great
yeah i like i like his answer that it made me i didn't have to argue whether or not it's good
it's just like he made money yeah yeah but i mean i'd argue before with that and you met money off
it wasn't good enough profit isn't the proof for everybody but profit is nearly proof that i use
look at this the business itself is turning around competent management to what's the name of the lady that runs it she was on the stream i don't know i want to remember her name because she's
she she was impressive to me she was actually impressive yeah quite impressive to me
what you know what i wondered were they in the same building
i thought they were in the same building when they were separated yeah i think they were separate like like a different conference room
oh one sec guys if you just heard our chop is because we stopped um you're on air company key
yes and i was talking about key how i liked it and I wanted to find the name of the lady who runs it.
Yeah, man, I'm a company industry, you know, brother.
They're coming for the industry.
But again, they know the thing.
It's not like it's a new set of people.
They brought in strong management.
Tamara Glaves-Husey is the GM there and Andrew Dunkley's operations Stuart
Andrade is CFO and Carlin Isaacs handles reinsurance and non-mortar
Wow all right so they know them thing I give me your last one then I know. My last one, okay. Make it easy. Jamty. Oh, alright.
What about Jamty you like?
Jamty, alright.
QDB.
Mm-hmm.
You know what QDB looks like for Jamty.
Like, before Jamty, before you're even ready for the results, you know what QDB looks like.
And QDB releases the results before Jamty.
So you understand where it is.
Sometimes.
No, this time. This time I'm talking. Okay. This is the last results. QDB releases before Jamty. the buy outside and if you buy release the results before jumpy so you understand sometimes no this
time this time okay but this last results um you're gonna release for jumpy so you know you
could see where the effect it would have on jumpy become for this quarter they did have a small gain
on the portfolio yeah eight million compared to 300 million last year couldn't be last year
8 million compared to 300 million last year.
Couldn't beat last year. They're not going to beat.
Couldn't beat last year.
I think my hope along with some other people
was that the thing there, the property,
property sale would actually pull somewhere.
But if you look at the thing there,
if you actually looked at the expense line for the property,
you know that how much actually going to the bottom line
versus for how much you're actually being sold you need to basically sell all of them to have
a good number hitting the bottom line and the only so they before they said they were in talks with
how much out of the out of the 18 units or so 18 so they had their in talk they were in talks with
16 people and they had agreements for sale to be signed
And they said this cause will come in
Out of those people only 6 of them signed
So only 6 of them could be written as revenue
So
Since then they said basically next year
We have more revenue coming
But if you look at the company beyond that
Like let's look at the T-Sale
That's just 1 arm of the money
The business was killing it yeah everything
else in jamshed is going great great yeah so if you look at how much thing there the local business
it didn't grow that much which isn't bad When you look at the fact that The export business
That's what I was checking
Huge
Before the numbers came out
I was checking that
And I was like
Wait, wait, wait
Couple hints out there man
Remember my boy
That was calling
For the lockdown to end
Long
Before
The man all beat Trump
Him ask for the lockdown to end
Early
Him buy that
And I was like
I mean he's not wrong
But read the room.
But yo, he was in a different
room. Yeah, because he was right.
You're looking at his property like, ah, yeah.
But then they did,
they have
had a lot of talking in the media.
So they weren't really shy
about telling me what they were doing.
You could see like a lot of
they renegotiated
the deal they had
with the thing there
with the supplier abroad,
Publix,
which I think some people
are mentioning Publix a lot
in terms of junkies.
But they renegotiated
some things with that
so they were taking
more product.
I think Iberia is the name.
So they're pulling
more product to the US.
You could see that
almost obvious. i was checking
and then there's a newspaper article for the people who think that them can do the finance
stuff there's a newspaper article where they were talking about the fact that they had so much work
and this is in the middle of corona that's so much work that they had to put in a new shift
and they're hiring and they're putting a new shift on the line and it's the manufacturing line that
right yeah so imagine in the middle of corona you have so much work that you have to be hiring new
people and running new ships entire ships at your factory and your local sales aren't necessarily
flying they're mostly flat so where all this work going the most overseas and you could see they also launched a new line new
line of new entities exotic line or something like that yeah and reports so far the market eating that
yes that's heavy export because the very very real business in the in the export business is
the caribbean dream because Tetley is in other markets.
In America, heavy without Jamtee's need.
So, you know, it's Caribbean dream.
It's their line.
So, to me, the margins on that would likely be better.
And they launched a new product and they said it's killing it abroad.
So, to me, it was almost obvious that the rest of the business just looked great.
So, Qdebuyer was what I was looking to say.
Qdebuyer and the property sales looked at them and said and say oh where the real money they come from here exactly and the property sales those who have sense know that property sales is public
information in Jamaica and they know where the property is you just have to go look and see if
it's sold and if they sell it exactly how much it sells for is on the documents. There's a tidbit.
There's a gem.
There's a gem for you.
So you can predict.
In other words,
you predicted the whole line of the company.
Like we know.
So you know what the numbers look like.
The only questionable part is the QWI hit.
And we know that ahead of time.
We didn't have.
And we also know it with the numbers.
Because they dropped it before.
And them to have more coming, they approved
the...
Employee share plan?
Employee share...
That was a hint, but they also
approved the split.
No, they haven't.
They're going to do the meeting now.
When?
This week, Tuesday.
Go to everyminkle.com
slash calendar.
Wait, that's in my calendar then? Yes you check everyminkle calendar you know that it shows you that what they have happening
and it's this week yeah so tuesday is when the the meeting the egm happens for the split and
they have told us when the split happening also we are what did we think it's to approve a split
on nove November 30th
So in other words
We're recording this on Sunday
So day after tomorrow
The shareholders are going to be asked
To approve a split
Among other things
They're going to be asked to approve a split
For November 30th
I don't expect shareholders
To say no
I for one will not be saying no
And I suspect the leading shareholders I feel like they're going to say yes.
I feel so too, for some reason.
Since they're the ones proposing it.
And it's a three to one split.
It's another company where not only does the top man, but the board and everybody, they seem very much to care about their stock price as as
they they care about equities they look at the market heavily they're very much in the market so
yep yep it turns out for the for the for their own stock price to be cared about so yeah yep these
guys care about their share price and then they move them shares it would seem at least that they
move the shares around but i know definitely i mean I mean, one of them is John Jackson, who is, I mean.
Very much tied to the O.G.
Yeah, O.G. in this industry.
Tied to QWI, which is their arm.
I'm with you there.
I'd half steal it with you and say I'm with you at Jamty.
Obviously, we're both like that company, but I won't take it as mine.
But day after tomorrow.
Well, people hearing this, probably hearing this Wednesday,
are knowing me Thursday. If you're hearing this Thursday, hearing this probably hearing this Wednesday are knowing me Thursday
if you're hearing this Thursday
you're probably hearing this after it's been
approved
and yeah
if you hear this anytime
between November 18th and 20th
you might see the thing jumping already
right
yeah because I suspect it's going to
jump right up at least
until the 30th
yeah
so jam tea
and the business itself
as you're saying
is fairly
is fairly valued
yeah
the dragging on it
is the QWI
which
if you look at
I think there might be
a closer turn in the corner
and look at the thing there
look at the fact that
last year was bad for them
so they only
we compared that one the results now we compared the fact that last year was bad for them so they only cut we compared that
one the results now to compare the eight million to the big 300 million imagine next year when
we're comparing the losses and we'll get reached back around this time next year we're gonna be
saying we're gonna be saying oh we're comparing whatever the gain is right now we gain our loss
whatever it is at the time to oh the they're looking at 8 million last year. Exactly.
Exactly.
Exactly.
That's the beauty of the market and that lag that we have.
Yep.
And there's even more leading indicators for them.
They're such an easy company to track and prove.
Very easy.
Just watch.
Yeah.
Them and JC.
What should I pick as my company?
But no, I will instead pick...
Should I pick something controversial? I should pick Fontana, but no i will instead pick should i pick something controversial
i should pick fontana but i won't i was going to
leave it can i talk about it later i think i went really properly into fontana
and i saw good things yeah you know what i'll pick jamaica producers
jamaica producers a company i gather that just released really good results i haven't gone
through them properly yet either but the results themselves also look good um and i am not surprised
by where they are or where they are where i expect them to go um it would seem that they're
not a company that has not made real profit the profit profit they made seems to be one-off. They don't have the money?
No, they would have had the money.
Oh, wow.
It's not just about that. It seems that
the money that we're calling
profit here is not necessarily real profit because it's
impacted heavily by them selling
a stake in their subsidiary
to
an unnamed buyer.
So, gain on sale? Yeah. But yeah, bar so gain on sale yeah
but yeah so the gain the gain on disposal of a source it is what heavily
impacted these numbers they made 1.7 billion
like when anybody else else made a game when i do it when them do it
it makes sense makes sense
right so so we're looking at holy crap i never looked under the 39 they call it 39 weeks that's
their one that's their first quarter yeah yeah no it was 39 weeks i hate that they do it this
way 39 weeks oh yeah right oh it's nine last there. That's almost 52 weeks. That's Q3.
Yes, that's what it is.
So, them nine-month results.
So, the year almost done and they're up on the quarter billion and Corona is over.
No.
It's not over, guys.
Stay safe.
Wash your hands.
Yada, yada.
You've heard it all before.
But it's not over.
However, they are up pretty well and they've sold
it i know they have money in hand what's why would they sell it the people if they keep a
stake too if they they'll give it you know they're done with it done with it yeah they kept us they
made sure it tells that they kept a stake safe through Kingston Wars. And it's an interesting
line. They told it exactly about
they used
the accounting term
for how they're going to recognize it.
Yeah. So
one could say, oh, you know, we just
tell them so they know what they're looking for.
Or something there, you know.
I respect those guys.
I respect that family so much.
And I also respect them because I see
how what they do works.
You see, when they use the accounting term
in the MD&ER and the notice,
the whole of the industry, man,
them repeat the accounting term.
Of course.
They don't think about the what or the why.
They just repeat the term.
I got to know, I got to read everything.
Every news article they say.
Every recommendation report they say. Just repeat the term I'm going to read everything Every news article Every Recommendation report Oh yeah
From
Associates
Whatever
Yeah
Exactly that
And then
It would seem that they did this
Because it would
You know what
I like this
JP is my pick
Only because
Mailpack is my pick
That's my pick
I'll leave it there
Yeah
You have anything you want to tell the people That's my pick I'll leave it there Yeah You have anything
You want to tell the people
Best of money today
Like really and truly
Took a good week
Look at the results
Coming in
And there's a lot of money
To be made right now
Oh yeah man
A lot of money
Yeah
So going into next year
And even for this
End of year
A lot of things on the table
Yeah
So
Enjoy it
Go forth and make the gains yeah the money is there
um i just had a really quick one for you because we know you haven't heard from us in a while
and you'll hear more don't worry the earning season isn't over completely i will
we'll be touching it back but i want you to hear from us early so look out for it and let's see
how these picks look in what do you think a quarter quarter? Two quarters? Yeah, two quarters probably The longest one might be
No, signals can make one jump and everybody jump
Well, let's see how it goes. Earnings season
Mweni pa mweni ralje seyev Bega 2000 alot aet
Ye che sa ebe pou eze 250 dalat