Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast - Effectively Wild Episode 1812: The Metaverse of Madness
Episode Date: February 18, 2022Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about Ben’s embarrassing use of a definite article, the latest non-developments in the MLB-MLBPA CBA discussions, the career and retirement of Ryan Zimmerman, a r...ejected extension offer to the new Nationals franchise player, Juan Soto, a digital recreation of Truist Park and what “the metaverse” means, the outcome of […]
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🎵 🎵 Hello and welcome to episode 1812 of Effectively Wild, a Fangraphs baseball podcast brought to you by our Patreon supporters.
I'm Meg Rowley of Fangraphs, and I'm joined as always by ben limberg of the ringer ben how are you well i'm afraid i have to issue an
apology to our listeners it's a serious matter that i just have to own up to and you know how
we have an official podcast position or certainly my position about saying the MLB as opposed to just MLB without the article because, of course, it's already Major League Baseball.
You don't need to say the Major League Baseball.
We understand why people do because they're used to saying the NBA and the NFL and the NHL, et cetera.
And we know that everyone understands what you mean.
And this is just our or my inner prescriptivist coming out, and yet we have railed against it in the past. And so I have to own up to a failure of my own. This was pointed out by listener Raymond Chen Shoemaker, whom I selected in the minor league
free agent draft and who subsequently seemingly signed or is close to signing with the Yomiuri
Giants.
And when I said that, I said Matt Shoemaker had reportedly signed with the Yomiuri Giants
of the NPB.
Oh, no, Ben.
I went back and listened.
I actually said it.
I just had to fall on my sword here.
Of course, NPB,
Nippon Professional Baseball, don't
have to say the the for that either.
So I have
been hoisted, I suppose,
on my petard. I have
made the mistake that I have
lambasted and I'll accept any penalty that the audience thinks is appropriate.
If I have to resign, if I have to step down for a while, you know, step back, maybe just let this blow over, whatever it takes, I want to be accountable for my mistake.
Well, you can't do that because then i have to host the podcast alone again
but i think that it is important in in moments when we are fussy about things to acknowledge
when we have aired you know i had to do it with the great twilight minor league baseball kerfuffle
of 2021 and i think that it is appropriate that you acknowledge
your mistake having checked the transcript but yes it is you know we we are subject to the the
whims of our own ear i wonder if the fact that you say the kbo is what right what maybe did you in
here because there is there is a precedent within baseball for there being a
professional league where you do say that, even though, as you noted, you take great exception to
it in the MLB context. So maybe that is part of it. But yeah, Ben.
But should we even say the KBO? It's Korea Baseball Organization. Maybe we don't even need to say it there.
My only defense is just a lack of familiarity, I suppose, or I'm not saying these things as often,
which is probably why so many people say the MLB because they're not quite accustomed to it either.
I suppose I should just be more more understanding but just had to highlight my
hypocrisy here we're imperfect people what can i say yeah sometimes we err and all we can hope to
do is acknowledge those mistakes and uh you know avoid them in the future so yep all right well
that is my promise to you the listeners i will attempt to be more conscientious, and if I come up short again, then I will acknowledge that here.
Yeah.
So it has been a non-eventful few days in some ways and an eventful few days in other ways.
Not good ways for the most part.
We're going to try to get to some emails and maybe some lighthearted topics a little later.
to get to some emails and maybe some lighthearted topics a little later but there was another labor meeting between mlb and the mlbpa i can say the mlbpa that is okay but there was not a lot of
progress made seemingly the players association restructured one point which is basically the pre-arbitration players or arbitration eligible
players right and previously they had wanted a lot more super twos essentially players who would be
super twos would be eligible for a bonus pool a hundred percent of them and they have walked that
back a bit to only 80 percent of them but have also
slightly raised the bonus pool in their proposal yeah so not a huge change nor was one really
expected given the lack of significant changes in mlb's offer right and so at this point doesn't
seem like the two sides are making much progress when it comes to finding common ground. Certainly no movement on the competitive balance tax, which seems to be the main impediment and sticking point here. taking weeks or months between exchanging proposals in some cases, but it doesn't look
like it has been productive thus far. I saw it characterized as unproductive from MLB sources
via the usual reporters. Evandrelik said MLB found today's meeting to be unproductive. The
league has said it won't move at all on time to arbitration, expanding super twos.
And he continued, overall, my takeaway from today is like most every day so far, talks are not moving fast.
Opening day, as said before, is in clear peril. And I think it was revealed maybe by Jeff Passan that the date that the league had set as kind of the cutoff for actually starting the season on time.
And who knows if this is really a hard
deadline or not, but seemingly is February 28th, which is 11 days from when we are recording this.
Yeah, I guess how we assess these sorts of proposals sort of depends on like what we
think that their ultimate purpose is. I think that if we want to characterize the Players Association of having offered a little
something without negotiating against itself too much, I guess that this is a way to have done that
because it does give a little on the question of two-year pre-arb players. So I would imagine
that if you compare the $15 million that they have added to the bonus pool compared to the value of
even 80% of players entering arbitration earlier, that that still probably balances out largely in
the league's favor. Because I think for a lot of players, the jump from the first year of arbitration
to the second tends to come with a pretty meaningful raise. Obviously, it varies on the player and the production and sort of the case they're able
to make for themselves in arbitration. But I suspect, and this is probably something that
as soon as we're done recording, I'm going to say, hey, Ben Clemens, you're on vacation for
two days, but when you come back, will you do some math for me? That it is more than $15 million
that you are potentially saving because if all
of those players are arbitration eligible after two years i would think that the jump from that
first award to the second is comfortably north of 15 million for the people listening i've tried to
record that sentence like 14 times and i'm still not convinced that i actually articulated my point
particularly well so my apologies but i'm but I'm not doing it again.
Last time with Craig, right?
I mean, it's hard enough to say what is being exchanged here.
I mean, it's really difficult to sum up some of these concepts where you're kind of haggling over this many million or that many million.
And it's this many years of arbitration eligibility or non-eligibility.
I mean, it is not scintillating stuff, even for people who cover baseball and are more familiar
than the average fan with these concepts. And so not only do we have a lockout where we don't get
the usual injection of interesting baseball news, but the baseball news that we do get
tends to be either somewhat depressing or just mind-numbingly boring.
It still has to be discussed and there has to be some sort of agreement reached, but
just not a ton of fun to talk about.
Yeah.
I mean, I think that if you paint it in broad and grandiose terms about the future of the
game and the well-being of the players and fairness and labor and being an american like you
can find your way to a compelling narrative there but the nitty-gritty to to do it and the actual
understanding of what these proposals mean for the future of the game and the people who play it is
it's those are it's hard won treasure ben yep so there's just not much movement yet. And maybe the frequency of the meetings will pick up as we get closer and closer to this date that MLB has set. And we'll see if there is suddenly some sort of break here where either one side comes off its demands or they actually managed to compromise in some way.
But clock is ticking and there's not a ton of time left to get something done here. And I don't know, I wouldn't be totally shocked just to wake up one day and hear, oh, one side really moved in a significant way because they finally realized we're on the precipice here.
We're on the precipice here, but I also wouldn't be shocked if it continues to drag on because they still seem to be pretty far apart on some issues, which again are not necessarily existential or structural, but still seem pretty important to both parties and particularly the competitive balance tax where it just doesn't seem like MLB is interested in budging even slightly. And the players certainly have a strong case for holding the line on their side. So we
will see, I suppose. Yeah, we will see. But let's see. It's February 17th. What do you think opening
day will be? What a rude question. Yeah, so rude. Boy, I don't know.
I really, I mean.
Can I phrase it a different way?
Sure.
It's no less rude, but it's like.
Will it be after March 31st?
Well, I think the answer to that is almost certainly yes.
What do you think the earliest possible opening day would be realistically?
Oh, man.
realistically. Oh, man. I mean, there's still a sliver of hope inside me that says that the crisis will be averted somehow. But more realistically, maybe we miss April at this
point. Yeah, I think I would be shocked if we're back before May 1st. At this point, I'd be shocked.
All right. Well, some other things we can discuss in the meantime there was
a notable retirement that we should probably acknowledge ryan zimmerman has finally called
it a career and just just a really good career yeah that people will kind of call it hollow
very good or whatever but just a career that anyone could feel really good about. Just inextricable from that franchise.
Known as Mr. National.
There aren't that many players who are still known these days as Mr. Insert franchise name.
So many memories.
Just really solid.
I guess he ends up around 40 war or something.
And just a lot of good years.
And won a championship and was there from the beginning
of that team playing in DC and had some huge moments. And I was there for one of them because
the walk-off homer he hit in the opening game at Nationals Park on March 30th, 2008,
on opening day, I was working there
because I was in college in DC
and I had an internship in media relations
for the Nationals for, I don't know,
a few months down there.
And so I was working that game
and not a Nationals fan or anything,
but an extremely exciting moment
to be present at the opening of a ballpark
and for it to end in that fashion with the franchise player walking it off. That was wonderful. And of course, he had many other huge hits and memorable moments for that team. major league debut in his draft year so yeah he was a big prospect he was the fourth overall pick
in 2005 and he was up later that year in time to play 20 games for the nationals during the
regular season and bat 397 with a 988 ops in his age 20 season which what do you think about it is
incredibly impressive and no one really does that anymore.
Hitters, at least, don't do that.
I think Connor Glaspie did that in 2008.
And maybe I'm forgetting someone,
but I don't know if any other hitter has made his debut in his draft year recently.
That's just tough.
Like pitchers will occasionally do it, and you can sort of see why, because they don't necessarily need as much seasoning.
If they have great stuff, the aging curve for pitchers tends to be a bit different and they peak earlier and you don't want to waste their arm on minor league hitters.
And if they have great stuff, then in theory they can get guys out with that stuff at any level, whereas hitters may need more time to see hundreds and thousands of pitches and refine their plate discipline.
And so it's tough to just leapfrog a lot of levels.
It's like notable if you make it even to like AA or the Arizona Fall League the year that you were drafted.
So to go all the way and to totally hit the ground running.
I mean, not only did he have that hot debut that year, but then he was rookie of the year,
runner up the following year, didn't really have a big sophomore slump.
And then eventually just, you know, made a couple all-star teams and got some down-ballot MVP votes in a few years and didn't really lead the league in anything.
Not a lot of black ink except for games played one year and double plays another year.
except for games played one year and double plays another year.
But I think it's pretty admirable that later in his career,
he pretty seamlessly transitioned into a part-time role.
Even though he was Mr. National and he had once been the best player on the team,
he embraced the reduced playing time as far as I can recall,
and he was pretty productive in a part-time role.
Some players' egos don't allow that,
especially if they're in the same place where they were once a star.
Just a really solid career. just no knocks on him meant a lot to a franchise and to a city and what more can you ask than that yeah i think that you don't have to be the best player in the
league or even you know perennial all-star for your career to be very meaningful to a franchise
and the people who root for it and i don't say that to diminish the the quality of player he was because he was a very
good player but yeah i think really an end of an era for the nationals and i don't know that there
are i don't know those those kinds of retirements i think are pretty rare actually where you're like
wow this has really marked an entire era of a franchise. So I hope he gets to enjoy retirement.
And I'm glad that he got to have some really notable and exciting moments toward the end of
his career, especially the championship. It's just very cool. Yeah. I will also always remember him
for the year that he skipped spring training, which might be relevant this year because we don't know how much spring training there will be.
But I think it was 2018.
He didn't skip entirely.
He showed up, but he just didn't play games.
He was just like on the practice field and, you know, getting his wind sprints in or whatever,
but didn't play in games.
And I think he started that season very slow, but he ended up okay,
you know, 114 OPS plus in his age 33 year. And it was just like he'd been a bit banged up and he was
getting on in years and had had some injuries and he just figured I'll take it easy. And the Nets
went along with that plan. And yeah, I don't know whether you could say it worked because he did start slow and didn't
hit so well in the first half and was like abysmal in March and April.
He had a 623 OPS heading into May when he finally turned it on.
But I don't know whether that was related to that or not.
But it was an interesting experiment.
Just something that sticks in my mind.
Yeah, definitely.
but it was an interesting experiment, just something that sticks in my mind.
Yeah, definitely.
Speaking of the Nationals and franchise players,
there was some news on that front this week as well, right?
Because there was a report of an offer to Juan Soto that predated the lockout but just came out now, and he confirmed that there was an offer,
although I don't think he confirmed the specific terms,
but what was reported was 13 years, $350 million, and he turned that down.
And of course, whenever you get a case like this,
there will be some contingent that will say players are spoiled.
They make too much.
How could you turn down $350 million?
We get it, but but he is if not the
best player in baseball and the most valuable player in baseball certainly in the top handful
and he knows his worth and his worth is a lot so i don't think this is like a ridiculous offer i
don't think it's like an affront or anything, but I can see why he said no,
because given where he is in his career, like a year or two ago, yeah, maybe he jumps at this
sort of offer. But now, given his track record, given that he's off to one of the best starts of
any player ever, certainly offensively, I think he could get more.
So, you know, if it's an opening offer, it's not so far from the ballpark that you can't
envision getting something done here.
But I think if you kind of run the numbers, he is in the right probably to hold out for
more.
I asked Dan Simborski what zips his projection system would pay Juan Soto. You're about to give away content that's running at the site tomorrow, Ben.
Oh, am I?
Yeah, that's okay.
Well, this probably won't be up long before that, so that's okay.
But he told me that for 13 years, Zips would offer $483 million instead of $350.
So, you know, not so far apart that perhaps they couldn't compromise.
And I suppose he could if he wanted to
hold out for more years than that, right?
Because he's so young.
What is he, just turning 23 or just turning 23?
He just turned 23.
He turned 23 last October.
And Bryce Harper was a few years older than that
when he got his 13-year deal.
So if Soto wanted to wanted to say give me 15 or
16 years then he probably could for a slight discount in average annual value but yeah i mean
he could get a 500 million dollar deal probably if he really wanted to hold out for that yeah and like
what a thing to be able to say what a thing to be able to say and like have your reaction to
it be yeah that sounds right right can you can you imagine such a thing ben can you imagine that
being your reaction to anything to be like yeah i'm worth like half a billion dollars you know i
you know i could be professionally had far cheaper
than that because you know i don't do something that no one else can do which you know even among
baseball players once it was pretty darn close you do things no one else could do they're just
maybe not quite as high yeah but you know marketplace yeah but making sure that it's
that all the many rays get tagged in the prospect list. That's not worth half a billion dollars. It's worth something, but it's not worth that.
Oh, Lord.
Yeah, I think that he's just one of the most thrilling young players in our game.
And I think that you're right.
I think that this is less than he both should and ultimately will make.
I don't think that it smacks of insult or even unseriousness.
It's not like in a Cunha kind of contract. I mean, he accepted that, but it's not that kind
of deal. And if you want to be cynical, you could say, well, maybe the Nats missed their opportunity
to get him to sign that kind of deal because who knows, maybe a couple of years ago, he might have
been more receptive to it or who knows, maybe they tried it, he wasn't.
I don't know.
But he has kind of passed the point because he is already into arbitration.
He's a super two, right?
And he made eight and a half million in his first round of arbitration and he is due for a raise.
And he'll get four turns at arbitration. And so at that point, you know, it's not 350 million, but it's still multiple millions to the point that you don't have to feel the pressure to sign that kind of deal to get an immediate return.
which is that once these guys get into arbitration,
they really are in a position where they are insulated to a very meaningful degree from the need for these kinds of offers
because they're clearly,
he's not going to make anywhere near this amount of money in ARB,
but he's going to make good money in ARB.
And then he's going to hit the market in 2025
and still be just so young, Ben.
He'll still just be so young.
So I think he is in a place where he is able to be choosy.
And I imagine that he is very well aware of sort of what his leverage is
in a negotiation like this.
I mean, Trade Rumors has his arbitration salary for this year
estimated at $16.2 million.
As a 23-year-old, in his age 23 season, he is reportedly estimated to be due for, well,
he is estimated to be due for that much.
And trade rumors tends to get this stuff pretty great.
So I imagine he will make a very handsome amount of money once he either decides to sign an extension with the Nationals
or actually does hit the market in 2025. And I don't know, it'll be interesting to see kind of
how he navigates this because I don't think he's going to have to worry about making really,
really, really good money wherever he goes, either by signing an extension with them or by
testing free agency when the time comes. I will be interested to see what his desire to stay in
D.C. is, you know. Right. Yeah. I think some people may have interpreted this as, oh,
he doesn't want to stay in D.C. or with the Nationals. And I guess that could be a part of
it. I don't know that this means that, though. No. Right. I don't I don't think it does. And
definitely they're
not good right now and he is head and shoulders better than anyone else on that roster and i don't
know what the long-term future is because they're rebuilding but not doing a tank build exactly
they're trying to get good again more quickly and when they made their moves at the deadline last
year they tried to acquire players who were major league ready. So they're trying to turn it around more quickly. And there are other talented young position players on that roster. There's also a lot of uncertainty with the pitching staff, starting with Steven Strasburg. And there's not a ton of talent in the system either, seemingly.
ton of talent in the system either, seemingly. So I don't know. I mean, when you're talking about a 13-year deal, who knows, right? You could get good and get bad and get good again in that
timeframe. But I don't know whether the fact that the Nationals are currently not great was weighing
on his mind here or not. It could just be that the terms weren't quite up to snuff.
Right. And like you said, this is likely to be an opening salvo on the part of the
Nationals.
And who knows where they'd be in the course of those negotiations if we weren't in the
middle of a lockout.
Like it could be that they, I mean, it doesn't mean that a deal is getting done.
They could be to the point where he's like, no, sorry, try again later.
Or it could be to the point where they're announcing, you know, one of the most meaningful
extensions in the history of baseball.
So a lot of outcomes, a lot of real range of, you know,
sights and sounds that could be between here and there.
Yeah.
One other story from the NL East is about Digital Truist Park.
This is the dumbest thing I've ever seen, Ben.
It is the dumbest thing I've ever seen,
at least since the last thing about the metaverse that I've seen.
There's a lot of competition out there.
I hate it here.
This is the first MLB ballpark that is recreated in digital form.
The press release says the Braves are the first Major League Baseball team
to enter the metaverse.
Press release says the Braves are the first Major League Baseball team to enter the metaverse.
And the various stories about that are just full of tech speak.
Word salad means nothing nonsense.
I'll just give you a little sampling here.
It's exciting to create a new way for our fans to connect with our team and their favorite ballpark, said Derek Schiller, Atlanta Braves president and CEO. The digital version of Truist Park will offer
limitless opportunities to create
unique fan engagements in the metaverse
and we are proud to be the first team
to offer this immersive experience. We look
forward to building enhancements along the way
which will continue to showcase the innovation
of the Braves brand in the digital
world. There are a bunch of buzzwords
after that and then this new
untapped environment will become
a new way for Braves fans to engage with the club and consume content and the organization can create
use cases for ubiquitous consumption through seamless and blended physical and digital
environments I don't know if those were even the worst parts but that's just a sampling for you
here's another quote from show where the goal is to
create a really impressive immersive fan experience for a subset of fans that really are clamoring for
this right now how big is that subset you have people out there that are avid braves fans and
also happen to understand what the metaverse is do they could they let everyone else know and this
is the least believable part of the entire
announcement what this type of digital experience might be like so now to be able to provide that
to them it's extremely exciting is going to open up a world of possibilities blah blah blah so
there's this enormous subset of fans of atlanta that really understand what the metaverse is
and are clamoring for their ballpark to be replicated there this is just such
bunk not more so necessarily than almost every other employment of these concepts but i'm just
bombarded and inundated in these stories because i cover video games and tech to some extent so
i'm just constantly receiving press releases about crypto and NFT and metaverse, and one is less comprehensible than the last. And look, in theory, I'd be on board with an interesting version of the metaverse. I mean, the concept of a metaverse, whether it's Second Life or even more archaic examples,
they go back decades too. So none of this is new conceptually and really all that new in practice.
And I went through a phase where I had a snow crash quote as part of my Facebook profile.
I was in my early 20s probably.
Ben, what is Snow Crash?
It's a Neil Stevenson sci-fi book that is kind of credited with popularizing the idea of the
metaverse or at least having kind of a convincing one, sort of in a Ready Player One way. But in
Snow Crash, first of all, the real real world the meat space is terrible and so you
wouldn't want to be there and maybe we're getting there i'm sorry do they call it the meat space
like like chicken is meat or do they mean meat like i've met a friend no as in we are bodies
that are walking yes exactly you know i i'm out on anything that employs the phrase meat space.
I don't think that's for me.
That is understandable.
But it's like a hellscape sort of.
It's like your typical dystopian cyberpunk sort of setting.
And so you can understand why someone would want to be in the metaverse.
And maybe our real life is getting there, but it's not quite there yet.
And also it's like totally immersive.
And once we get to the point where we have like VR with motion tracking and it's like incredibly convincing and everything.
Sure.
I'd sign up for that.
I have PSVR.
I've enjoyed it.
It's a cool proof of concept.
I have PSVR. I've enjoyed it. It's a cool proof of concept. But I think in order to have a compelling metaverse, it has to be a place where you is actually offering you an experience you can't get anywhere else.
And I guess you could say that Digital Truist Park is giving you an experience you can't
get anywhere else because there is no baseball right now.
So it's a little on the nose that during a lockout in lieu of games, we just get this
empty ballpark where you can wander around virtually but why would anyone
want to do that i don't know can you like do a cheat code and then put a hot tub where one
doesn't belong can you get infinite money and then and then alter truest park can you redecorate
truest park to take all the chop references out because like yeah that's the question you know like i might be interested in
that i just you know i don't think that everything about baseball needs to be accessible to someone
who is like roughly 50 years old right i think you want things that appeal to a whole range of people
we've talked about that a lot on the show i'd like them to pick a different thing to appeal to young people like who is this for who who among who amongst the good people of the
greater atlanta area is is is hoping for this like who are the i don't a subset a large subset of
people who understand what the metaverse is here I read it. Here's the thing, though, because they reference in the release
that there are a whole range of fan engagement opportunities.
And you know what is telling to me about the release?
They don't name one.
They don't actually say,
here's the first one we're doing.
It's just like wander around the empty.
There are a few vague bullet points at the bottom here.
So create and customize avatars.
Okay, I'm salivating already.
Explore exclusive areas
of Truist Park and the Battery Atlanta
including the Braves Clubhouse, Monument Garden
and more. I mean, alright.
I guess you can't go in the clubhouse in the real
Truist Park so you can wander
through an empty one virtually.
Enjoy exclusive content,
performances and meet and greets,
whatever that means.
So it is like Second Life.
Sort of.
Meet and interact with other Braves fans from around the world.
Experience Braves history through interactive features.
Celebrate the Braves 2021 World Series win.
Play games.
Find Easter eggs.
Win prizes and more.
I don't know.
I mean, I guess if you can't get to the real Truist Park, I could see wandering around once to get the lay of the land. It's like, as friend of the show Bradford William Davis quipped, the Braves would rather build their stadium in the metaverse than a black neighborhood.
Yeah. I just don't see the appeal. I'm all for, as you said, catering to a different audience. And there can maybe be some fun Fortnite style things where maybe you have a concert there that's accessible to people without spending some exorbitant amount or being able to access the place. in the market for let's wonder around a semi-photorealistic recreation of a ballpark
i just with other avatars just not really high on my list now i'm now i'm picturing you're walking
around digital truest park right you've customized your avatar and you're walking around and then
zooming by you is the acuna from field Vision that doesn't look like him at all.
And you're just like, bye.
Yeah, this is dumb.
We shouldn't do this stuff.
I mean, it's not that we shouldn't do it.
It's just that like, why do it?
You know, there's so many things we could do.
There are so few actual hours in the day.
This took work, right?
Like some developers, plural,
had to sit around and like figure this out and spend time on it and you know
when they're like moms ask them what they did with their week at the end of the week when they call
their moms are gonna say this and their mom's gonna pretend to know what they're talking about
but not and you're gonna say developer that's because you know my mom she's in her 50s or 60s
she doesn't know what that means that's not why she doesn't care.
You should sit with that.
Sit with it and think about what you've done.
Yeah.
Make a metaverse I would want to visit.
I don't know that the technology is quite there yet, but someday in my lifetime, I imagine
there will be a metaverse that appeals to me.
Just not yet.
But who knows?
Maybe give it a few more months of lockout, and maybe I will be lining up to visit Digital
Truist Park just to get some sort of fix.
And look, I know that not everyone can be there physically, but if what you're interested
in is a tour, all of the ballparks give you tours.
They'll give you a tour of Truist.
They won't.
I don't think they take you through the clubhouse when they do
those. But the reason you want to see the
clubhouse is because you want to see the players
there. You don't care about an
empty clubhouse. You think you do,
but then you're going to go in there and you're going to be like, oh yeah, lockers.
Huh. Funny.
Just to everyone who is sending me these
press releases, I am once again asking
you to just
demonstrate one appealing application
of this. Aside from with NFTs specifically, the environmental ramifications and just the
general scamminess of it, I have yet to really hear one suggestion of why this will make my
video games better and what it will enable me to do that I can't currently do.
And if you can't answer that question, then I just don't know why I should care or why I should spend
any money on these things. My favorite thing about all of the press releases I get about NFTs and MLB
is that they all say you get this exclusive, like enter to win this exclusive NFT. And then you read
like what you get and there's the nft and then
there are all of these literal physical and real world experiences that go with the nft and i'm
like so you don't actually think the nft is cool which is why you're giving people two free tickets
to sit behind i was like that's not you know what it's not a non-fungible token, sirs. You're just doing a ticket giveaway that comes with a QR code.
What are we doing?
I hate it here.
Yeah.
Well, speaking of hating it here, another little bit of news that we wanted to touch on.
There was a verdict shortly before we started recording in the Eric Kay trial.
So this has been going on all week.
It has been pretty big baseball news in the absence of the regular course of baseball news.
And a jury in Fort Worth has found the former Angels communications director, Eric Kay, guilty of distributing fentanyl that resulted in the death of Tyler Skaggs, the former Angels pitcher.
He was also convicted on a charge of conspiracy with intent to distribute controlled substances.
And TJ Quinn of ESPN and Sam Blum of The Athletic and others have been reporting on the trial from
on the scene. And I don't know that I have a whole lot to add from a legal
perspective here, but it's just a sad story all around. And it's made some headlines,
partly because other major leaguers have been testifying, including Matt Harvey,
and they have acknowledged either using or distributing various drugs of abuse, including opioids. And so I think there
has been some concern about how prevalent is this in major league clubhouses. Not that it's
particularly surprising to me that it would be an issue in major league clubhouses because it's an
issue everywhere, right? Or at least in this clubhouse. And when you have athletes who have
disposable income and also have a lot of aches and pains that they may be incentivized to repress
and maybe also have more ready access to ways to get these things if they are so inclined,
it just doesn't shock me in any way. And you just have to hope that teams or that the league are providing the help that they need and hopefully in more of a therapeutic form than a punitive form so that future Skaggs cases can be avoided. Yeah. using steroids or whatever i mean players are people in the world and so they are gonna do the
things that people do and this is just there's there's no happy outcome to this i i guess maybe
skaggs's family gets some sort of closure that there is a verdict in the case but obviously it
doesn't bring him back so it's just kind of a depressing
story all around that you hope can maybe help avert future occurrences of this kind of thing.
Yeah. And the testimony of Matt Harvey inspired Terry Collins to share a bunch of very personal
information that I think that you hit it just right. What we are hoping for in instances
like this is therapeutic intervention to make people well and to give them the help and support
that they need to deal with not only whatever sort of underlying medical issues, whether they're
physical or mental, are sort of driving their use of substances and also the use of those
substances themselves. And obviously,
like using opioids and cocaine is different. Like I don't mean to equate all of these things
together, but I think that you are far more likely to be able to achieve those ends to have
meaningful therapeutic interventions and provide real support that helps people if they can trust
that their personal information will be kept personal. I don't think that Terry Collins engaged in a HIPAA violation or anything like that, but
I think that part of that intervention is going to be predicated on trust.
And I know that Harvey was called to testify and he gave testimony in open court and some
aspects of his story and sort of experience with these things are obviously part of the
public record now and they are certainly newsworthy.
But not all of the stuff that Terry Collins talked about was part of his testimony.
In fact, a lot of it wasn't.
And so I think that it goes to show that we collectively have to think carefully about how we talk about this stuff publicly.
And as media members, I think that we should ask questions about what purpose does it serve to report this?
Are we doing it because we think that there is a public interest being served here? Are we doing
it because it's salacious and it's going to generate clicks? And if that's the reason,
especially when it comes to issues like this, that's not enough, in my opinion. I think that's
irresponsible and it doesn't serve the next generation of player well, because if you know
that these kinds of things are going to
be out there for public consumption, why would you go to the team who you might be skeptical of
to begin with? Because your relationship with them is collaborative, but at times this is going to
potentially impact your playing time. So you might already have sort of reservations about engaging
with them honestly.
And then something like this happens and it's like, why would you bother?
And that's not going to serve anybody.
So everybody just like take a beat and think, do I have to run this?
Because the answer is not always yes.
Sometimes you can eat it.
Just spike an interview.
It happens.
It's fine.
Yep.
Agreed.
We've done a lot of complaining in this episode.
I don't mean to, but we've had complaint-worthy topics.
So what are you going to do?
Unfortunately, when there's an absence of positive baseball news or normal baseball news,
even just hot stove stuff that we like to speculate, it kind of clears the floor for everything else.
And right now, everything else tends to be this trial or Trevor Bauer
or the labor negotiations, just not stuff that's particularly fun to talk about.
So all the more reason to hope that actual baseball and games start sometime soon.
It is instructive,ive i hope for everyone that
like yes in in the absence of baseball baseball sure sucks so yeah who knew the players are pretty
important here to our enjoyment of the game itself should we touch briefly on the the reports that
mlb wants to contract the minors further well Well, let me rephrase that. Oh, jeez. Wants to
limit the number of players in the minors.
They did not actually propose the elimination of teams.
I should be clear about that. Great. Yes.
Although that might be the endgame. Yeah.
Yeah, well, we're already
committed to just
kind of going through all
of the news this week, even though none
of it is particularly fun. So, sure.
Why not?
We should say that not long after Jeff Passan reported this, that it was clear that the union plans to oppose this proposal. So on Valentine's Day of all the days, Passan reported that Major
League Baseball is seeking to substantially reduce the size of the domestic reserve list,
which is the sort of roster limits that teams can carry in their affiliated system.
Right now, that number is at 180, so you're going to have 180 players.
And the league has reportedly proposed keeping that number at 180 for 2022, but allowing the commissioner's office to reduce the maximum number of players
to as few as 150 over the rest of the collective bargaining agreement and i know there was some conversation
in the the facebook group about sort of how how cohesive do we as you know people who engage with
the game view the owner's interests to be because they are 30 different clubs and some of them
operate very differently from one another in terms of their priorities and i think that this is a really sort of easy example for me of how while they are
they operate differently there does seem to be in the in the last several rounds of labor
negotiations whether we're talking about this cba or the negotiations to bring back baseball in 2020, that we are sort of managing to the guardians
in a lot of circumstances, because not all teams want to have big affiliated systems,
right?
Some teams probably want to go down to 150.
And if they want to try, I say that they should be able to do that.
But I also think that if the Dodgers want 250 dudes who they pay appropriately, and
that is a caveat that I think we need to attach to all of these things.
But if they have 250 dudes who they want to pay a living wage to to play baseball to
see if one of them is, you know, who is thought to be a marginal player is actually very good
or developable into a useful big leaguer, then I think that they should have
the ability to do that too. And I think that we are seeing in a lot of different aspects of the
game sort of this move to manage the margins super, super tightly in a way that reflects
a cheapness that I don't think we want to become standard across all 30 clubs. It's very
concerning to me, especially in a moment, and I'm going to let you talk about player dev, where it's
like player dev's never been better than it is right now. Like, aren't you incentivized in this
moment to have more guys than fewer because your organization has never been better positioned to
sort of help realize the potential of those
players who are themselves the best athletes we've ever seen play the sport. Like this just
seems totally ass backwards to me. Yeah. There are ways in which new technology maybe gives you a
better sense of a player's present performance or potential more quickly than might have happened in the past. Or you could
argue that perhaps certain technology that's available off the field enables training and
improvement that does not involve games. You know, if you can go to a bullpen and use your
RepSoto and your Edgertronic, et cetera, to refine your grip, then maybe you can make more progress
off the field than you would have made
in who knows how many games in the past. So there is that strain of thinking that, hey,
we have these tools available that can help players make the most of their abilities
more quickly or in a different context. On the other hand, there is also, I think,
a greater appreciation of the power of player development as a potential difference maker, and I guess to use that term in inefficiency.
Even though we have these high-tech tools at our disposal, we don't know anything. And lots of players can come out of nowhere and can make overnight changes that we didn't know they had the potential to make.
And therefore, if we cut everyone who doesn't look amazing immediately, then you are ruling out the potential for so-and-so to add a pitch or change a swing and go to the right training
facility and show up as a new player who is suddenly much better. And some percentage of
players will just have to do something else and call it a career who otherwise might have made
it eventually. And I think teams are investing more in coaches, certainly, at the major league level and throughout the minors, really.
I mean, they're devoting more resources to player development.
And this seems to be something that started with the Astros and maybe some other teams that I guess thought kind of paradoxically, like, we have an edge in player development.
in player development and the best way for us to exploit or maintain that edge is actually to downsize because we can get a better sense of our players' potential quickly compared
to other teams.
And so the smaller the minors are, the more efficient we can be and the greater the edge.
But I think that is probably mostly an ownership perspective or maybe a very high level executive perspective and not a coaching perspective or a rank and file front office person perspective or certainly a player perspective.
I think a lot of people in baseball are all for having more talent to choose from.
And yeah, certainly most players won't make it and will eventually have
to move on to something else. And you could quibble with, well, what is the ideal number?
I mean, in the past, minor league systems have been bigger, they've been smaller. So what they
have been in recent years is not necessarily what they've always been or what they always have to be.
necessarily what they've always been or what they always have to be. So these things can be in flux to some extent, but still, it just seems short-sighted to downsize if the real rationale
is just we're going to save some pittance, some small amount of money in the green scheme of
things and also offer less access to baseball, potentially, People who just want to go see minor league games, people who might not make it in the
majors, but could eventually enrich the pipeline somehow by becoming coaches or who knows what
else because of the expertise that they acquire as pro players.
It just doesn't seem like it should be a high priority with all the other issues that the
sport is facing.
Let's just have less baseball and fewer minor
leaguers and fewer teams. It just doesn't seem like it should be toward the top of the list.
Yeah. I think when you talk to player dev people, they will acknowledge that the margin for error,
the error bars that we have on these things lend themselves to bigger systems, not smaller ones.
Because if you're going to keep reducing the size
of the player pool like this you're doing one of two things either you're comfortable outsourcing
some amount of this stuff to independent baseball and just waiting for one of these guys to pop up
somewhere else and then you scoop him up and bring him into affiliated ball which i think some teams
are both comfortable with and have shown an acumen for right like you know the brewers do this stuff all the time they just pluck dudes out of indie ball and are like
this is a big leaguer now isn't that cool or you have to be really really really sure you know who's
good because otherwise you're going to end up releasing players who could be contributors and
i don't think that either of us think that like every player in the affiliated minor leagues right now is going to be a big leaguer or an all-star,
but I don't think that we think we know exactly which ones are going to be. People surprise you
all the time and in, in both directions. So it just seems like it is creating very, very thin
margins for error at it, at the cost of not saving very much money like it's
just you know and even if those guys don't make it to the big leagues like the future big leaguers
have to play against somebody so i don't know it's just joe said this when we had him on like
baseball's just never been better than it is right now in terms of the quality of the players
and i've said that a bunch before and i think it's true like we are living in a golden age in terms of the quality of the players. And I've said that a bunch before, and I think it's true. We are living in a golden age in terms of the quality of athlete
we are seeing decide to play baseball,
and that we are instead getting so wound up around these questions
of reducing the most meager of expenses at the margins.
It's just like it's impossible not
to read that as a huge missed opportunity to engage with the sport as it is and get people
really excited like it is so it should be so easy to do that because they're so good
they're so good you know that's a good thing we can say about baseball like baseball players
still really good you know yeah controversial Yeah. Controversial.
And not just in the metaverse, please.
Oh my God.
I'm sorry.
I'm going back to it for a second.
Who is it for?
Find me one, one,
one Atlanta fan
who really gets it.
Who is,
like,
it's not even that there,
I am skeptical
that there are a lot,
although I am,
I'm skeptical that there is one.
Yep.
All right.
One last thing I wanted to mention, and this is not a listener email, but it should have been, and I'm insulted that it wasn't.
But this actually came up with our friends on Hang Up and Listen a few weeks ago, and I've been meaning to mention it.
in a few weeks ago, and I've been meaning to mention it, but they put a prompt out for their listeners, I believe inspired by Amina Khyme's tweet that was about soliciting suggestions for
ways to make sports better, some kind of off-the-wall, off-the-beaten-path proposals,
and ultimately they ended up choosing one that is hockey-related. It was like a way of settling
games in overtime. Instead of taking
players off the ice, it would be adding pucks to the ice. So the multi-puck idea where you'd have
two or three or four pucks on the ice at any one time and things would get wild until the game is
resolved. That was the winner. But one of the finalists that was suggested is a baseball idea
called the scramble. So let me run this by you. And it was suggested is a baseball idea called the scramble so let me run this by you and
it was suggested by a hang up and listen listener named cory diamond and i will just read from the
episode transcript here that stephan fatz has said at the time this is a baseball rules change
cory says that he was kind of bored when a batter hits a harmless fly ball to end the inning.
So I guess that's the problem he is trying to solve here.
You get a can of corn.
Everyone's just trotting off the field for the third out.
There's no suspense or excitement.
But what if the batting team could score a run after the third out is made?
I give you the scramble.
If a runner is on the base, a base is occupied when the last out is made. I give you the scramble. If a runner is on the base,
a base is occupied when the last out is made,
he can still attempt to score a run,
but all of the defensive players
need to be off the playing field
before the runner crosses the plate
in order to count as being off the field.
So basically, the runner who's still on base,
he has to score, he has to cross home plate before all of the defensive players are off the field. They need to cross
the foul line between home and third or home and first, whichever on the side of the field that
their dugout is on. So it's like tagging up, kind of, but you have to cross home before all of the defenders cross the foul line
on the side of the field that their dugout is on. So this sounds strange probably, but there is a
lot of strategy involved because it would be tough to do. Like if you have a runner on third,
then how are you going to get your right or left fielder, let's say, over the foul line on
the opposite side of the field before that runner crosses home plate? And what if the ball is hit
to that fielder? Or what if that fielder would normally be backing up? So you'd have to decide,
do you immediately start running if you're a defensive player? If there's like a fly ball
in the gap, it's between center and right, do you think the center fielder is going to get it and if so do you just immediately
sprint for the foul line or do you back up the center fielder as you traditionally would or
do you position your fielders differently do you if you know that you need to get someone over the
left field line you know do you switch your outfielders so you have the slowest guy in the corner that is closer to the foul line?
A lot of strategic implications here.
An earlier version of the scramble allowed the outfielders to leave the field by scaling the fence.
But then Corey, the listener, quickly realized that that would be ridiculous, unlike the actual idea he settled on here.
So you'd have to decide what your if you have to get a running start so that you can
beat the guy on third base who's running for home to the foul line on the opposite side of the field
just a lot to consider here but it would be frantic and kind of fun i don't know whether
it's a good idea or whether the problem is bad enough that this needs a solution necessarily but i kind of like the
visual of everyone just dashing every which way instead of just slowly trotting off the field and
tossing a ball to a fan instead everyone would just be in motion immediately i want to see them try to climb the outfield walls Yeah, there might be safety issues there
I don't know, and some walls are too high to scale
And you've got fans right there
So you'd have to configure your ballpark in order to do it
But I kind of like the idea of the shift basically
But for the scramble
So that you have to take into account not just the batted ball distribution and the likelihood of being in the right position to make that out, but then also your ability to actually cross the foul line in time.
Wow.
And then it also inspires potentially strategy on the part of the scoring team, right?
Because let's say you have a situation that this might apply to late in game.
Do you pinch run?
Right.
Yeah. You know, if you have like a very slow runner at second, because you could do it at second,
right?
It's not just from third.
Yeah.
I think you could do it from any base.
Because you could do it at second, right? It's not just from third.
Yeah, I think you could do it from any base.
So let's say you have a really slow runner at second base or even at first base.
And then you also have the vroom vroom guy.
You have vroom vroom. Vroom vroom is on your bench.
Do you substitute for the slow runner with vroom vroom in potential anticipation of being able to do this, is the calculus different than it would be just because you might end up with a ball in the gap
and you want Vroom Vroom to run anyway?
Is the run expectancy there meaningfully different?
I don't know.
It would be total chaos.
Oh, yeah.
If you're the better at the plate,
then do you try to direct the ball?
Are you more likely to try to hit a fly ball because it's sort of a sack fly situation?
Right. Even though not really because two outs, but you could still potentially score someone.
So do you try to hit the ball in the air and maybe try to direct it to one field or the other, which is tough to do.
I don't think that most batters actually have the ability to direct the ball very reliably or
routinely in today's game, but it would be a consideration. And then is it a consideration
for the pitcher as well? Are you more motivated to try to get ground balls, let's say, because you
don't want to give the runner on third time to
score potentially. And then what is the burden on the umpires too, who not only have to watch where
the ball is, but then also have to somehow keep their eye on every fielder to see when they cross
the line. And it would be very difficult because how could you watch, know the right fielder or the left fielder and see
whether they're crossing the line before or after the runner who is sprinting from third is crossing
home plate that would be pretty impossible you'd need eyes in the back of your head so
i think you'd need you'd need a crew in the press box probably right you'd need like or back in new
york i think that i think you couldn't call that on the
field reliably you'd end up going to reap like you'd have to go to replay pretty often i would
think yeah or tracker and um you know right yeah hawkeye stat cast type solution that is tracking
the body positions relative to where the foul line is so maybe yeah maybe you could have an
automated solution there where you have like some sort of
squid game scenario where everyone has to make it there or else the big scary doll detects that
they didn't something like that i don't know i know you haven't seen we want to make baseball
as much like squid game as we possibly can so i think that you're onto something there it's like
yeah yeah when i think of baseball i think of mercilessly mowing down people in debt.
You know?
Yep.
We were going to answer emails,
but we've already recorded for an hour or so.
Yes, we have.
Anyway, I don't know that the inning ending fly ball
is close to the top of the list of problems
that we have to solve either. But I like
the visual of the scramble and some of the strategic implications here when it comes to
outfield alignments and positioning and batted ball distributions and stuff. There's a lot of
strategy that could go into this. So I like it in that sense. And I like the idea of the mad dash instead of just the leisurely amble off the field.
What if they did it as an extra innings rule?
Yeah, right.
I like it more than the zombie runner, I think.
I want to get rid of the zombie runner and the monkey's paw.
Right.
Yeah.
Well, I had collected some emails, but oh, well.
Give me one email. Let's end on one email. Pick one. who says, I was thinking about this the other day and would like your thoughts. In this scenario, an eccentric billionaire who follows baseball but does not own a team
is rubbed wrong by a player for some reason or another.
Let's say they don't like the cut of Carlos Correa's jib.
There are people who don't like the cut of Carlos Correa's jib.
They never want to see him play again.
They've decided the best way to do this is to sign Mr. Correa to a contract
that would pay him a guaranteed amount to never play baseball again.
How much do you think they would have to offer a star level player to never play baseball again?
If we assume that Correa will get a larger contract than, say, Corey Seeger, 10-325, do we think that 10-400 would get it done?
Do you think the billionaire would have to include perks in the contract?
Annual trips to exotic locales for him and his family the plus sides of this is that i imagine a player would
not have to pay an agent to negotiate this contract so more money in his pocket no chance of a life
changing injury more time with family you might still need an agent to negotiate your lifetime
going away deal but yeah i don't know that we've answered this specific question.
I know that hundreds of episodes ago,
we discussed a scenario of how much would you need to pay
like a Cy Young award-winning pitcher
to go pay in NPB or KBO at the peak of his powers,
let's say, when he might not be motivated to do that.
Otherwise, this is an even bigger lift here because you're not just
saying that you can't play in this league. You're saying that you have to retire right away,
presumably, right? You're not allowed to go play indie ball or go play international ball. You just
have to call it a career, I assume. So if those are the stakes here, you just have to go away and stop doing the thing that you have heretofore devoted your life to, then you're going to have to pay for that privilege.
these were the terms, like the league and the union might not let you do this contract. I think that they would intervene and say, you can't do this contract because it's not great for the sport
to like pay talented players not to play. So I think that you'd meet resistance from both ends
on this one if you were obvious about it. I imagine that, well, I don't know. I think that
there are players who are very good at baseball who don't really love the sport all that much. Like they don't dislike it, but like they have a work a day kind of job relationship to it, even though it is, you know, it's very hard and it obviously not a you know wake up and be a baseball nut and all you
want to do is engage with the game like i think that there are guys who don't have that relationship
to the sport or there are guys who start out having that relationship to the sport and then
their life circumstances change and maybe they're like i really love baseball but you know i wouldn't
hate to see my family more than i do so i think that there are guys for whom this number might
be lower than you might
expect. I think the quality of the player probably has something to do with it because I do think the
idea of sort of awards and potential post-career accolades like the Hall of Fame is very meaningful
to a lot of players. And so to buy someone out of this, that potentiality depending on when in their career it is and i
would imagine that it would have to be probably like mid-career right because you have to be in
the sport long enough to bug someone so bad presumably yeah but you know if you if it's a
player who is further along in their career you probably don't have to pay them as much because maybe they don't expect to net huge lucrative contracts anyhow.
Right.
Yeah.
But like Carlos Correa, I think you'd probably have to do at least $150 million better than
the deal he's going to sign this offseason, which I expect to be quite lucrative despite
our circumstances right now.
I think it has to be at least $150 million more.
Yeah.
Just as there are players who would probably walk away for less than one would expect,
there are probably also players who wouldn't walk away for any number, right?
Yeah.
Especially if they're like Carlos Correa and they've already made a decent amount of money
in their careers.
They could retire today if they wanted to, right?
I mean, you know, Carlos Correa can retire right now with his, what, $27 million in career earnings. Like, he'll probably be okay. So, you know, the fact that he is not doing that suggests that, well, yeah, maybe he's doing it because he wants to make hundreds of millions more, but also maybe he enjoys baseball. There are a lot of players who enjoy baseball and would not want to stop playing baseball before they have to.
And it's not just the money.
So there's no amount that you could pay them.
It's non-negotiable, I would think, because many of them are probably already pretty wealthy.
If it's a player who's prominent enough that you really want to pay them to go away, then probably they have made a decent amount of money already.
And also, there would be a bit of blowback to this probably, right?
Like you would be, just as players are sometimes reviled for turning down a lot of money in contract offers,
I bet a player would also be reviled in some quarters for accepting a lot of money to stop playing baseball, right?
Because a lot of people would say, oh, this is a dream.
It's your adult getting to play a kid's game in pajamas,
and you should just do it for the love of the game,
and it's disgraceful that you could be paid off not to play.
And so for the rest of your life,
you would be the guy who accepted a payout to give up his vocation, right?
And so that would come with a cost too.
And you'd have to factor that into the price or maybe there would be no price that would cover that.
So I think that's part of the problem.
Of course, most people would walk away from their respective careers, I think, if they were paid a certain number, right?
if they were paid a certain number, right?
You know, I think that most people,
if presented with a big enough check to retire or at least to do something different,
would say, yes, please, here is my number, right?
But I think if a baseball player did that,
people would not necessarily all be understanding about that.
And there's a status that comes with being a big leaguer.
So even if the actual playing of the games
is not indispensable for you and even if you'd be happy not to have to travel or be away from
your family or whatever like you get to be famous and emulated and a celebrity and people care what
you do and what you say and that kind of thing can probably be pretty intoxicating too.
So again, you're going to have to factor it into the price.
And so if you were to say to most people, what amount would I have to pay you not to work?
It would probably be less than their present salary, right?
Like if I said to you, I'll pay you to go away.
And it depends. I mean,
if you're someone who likes their job, even if it's not as remunerative as being a big league
player, you might have a high number. But for a lot of people, they work because they need the
paycheck. And if you give them a paycheck and also a lot of leisure time, then they would accept that,
And also a lot of leisure time, then they would accept that, especially if they're not bound to do nothing.
You know, if they can do something else with their lives, then you could potentially make even more.
So a lot of people would probably walk away for less than they are making to work because they would prefer not to work.
So with a baseball player, I don't know whether that's the case, though. Like, on the one hand, they have to do a lot less labor and they don't have to take batting practice and bullpen sessions and travel around and answer reporters' questions and all of the hassles that come with the job.
And so you'd think, well, they would be willing to accept less than they are paid to do all those things. However, with that job in particular, and given how much time and
effort players have put into getting to that point, I don't know whether that would be the
case. So you might have to actually pay a premium and pay them more to do nothing.
Right. Yeah. And I think that when you're talking about a player, I'm going to test a theory on you.
You tell me if you think this is too wacky. I almost wonder if Carlos Correa's
willingness to participate in the banging scheme suggests that he doesn't have a number at which
he wouldn't play baseball. Because if you're that highly competitive that you are willing to
break the rules in pursuit of an edge like that, then I really wonder.
You're not walking away from money, I don't think.
Yeah, you're right.
If you already have a great team and it's not great enough and you want it to be better and you're already a star
and you're not content with that and you're still looking for an edge,
yeah, maybe so.
But maybe he's more competitive than the typical player.
I don't know.
But I think the typical player,
you would probably still have to pay a bit of a premium. So i don't know but i think the typical player you would probably
still have to pay a bit of a premium so i don't know i'm gonna say you'd have to pay what percentage
overage on what they could stand to make as it is uh i don't know 20 or something there's just
there's a lot of cost associated with being notorious in this way.
Now,
if you could do this in secret,
which as you said,
you might have to in order to get away with it.
So if there's no stigma.
Cause what other explanation could you offer?
Yeah.
Well,
I don't know if you just say you have some sort of injury issue or whatever
that prevents you from playing. I mean, again,
if you couldn't document that, that would be tough to get away with too. Or you could just say,
I'm retiring, right? Like I'm done. Like I think you would probably get less blowback for just
saying, I'm moving on to a new phase of my life and this was not fulfilling for me. And, you know, there are other interests that I want to explore.
Probably people would be more understanding of that than I love baseball, but they paid me a lot of money not to play.
Yeah.
I, yeah, I just don't know.
Yeah.
Yeah.
I don't know.
Cause like you're, you're missing, you're missing out on like endorsement deals and like you said, the prestige and I don't know, because you're missing out on endorsement deals and, like you said, the prestige.
And I don't know.
I think 20% might be low.
Maybe.
Yeah.
And I guess it depends on what tier of player youoto and everything, if you're already set for life more or less, then you have less incentive to do this.
And so in theory, the premium would be even higher or just there would be no number because the marginal value of the next hundred million or whatever just isn't worth it to you.
just isn't worth it to you, right?
So the more you've made already and the more you can stand to make,
the more you would demand
or the more likely you'd be
just not to acquiesce to this under any circumstances
because the difference between 300 million
and 600 million is immaterial to you.
Yeah, maybe.
I don't know.
I think that we would be surprised
both by the number on the low end for a lot of guys and also how many would just have to pay players not to play.
Not that owners are eager to fork over any amount to have players not play.
I think they're happy to not have them play for no dollars, which is currently the tact that they are pursuing.
But I guess this sort of thing is in the air.
I guess this sort of thing is in the air when we have no baseball and no visible players. Then we end up talking about empty ghost ballparks and players retiring prematurely.
Yeah.
Oh, gosh.
We do have a fun draft planned for next time.
We do.
So that's something to look forward to.
Oh, boy.
We need baseball back.
All right.
Well, thanks to everyone for the questions, and I've got some good ones saved we need baseball back. All right. Well, thanks to everyone for the
questions and I've got some good ones saved for a future episode. All right, that will do it for
today. And by the way, I don't think we mentioned this earlier, but we should note that there has
been a new opioid policy put in place since Skaggs' death. MLB and the MLBPA announced in 2019
that players would, as of that time, begin to be
tested for opioids, and that the only players subject to discipline would be those who failed
to cooperate with the initial evaluation or prescribed treatment plan. There are also
mandatory educational programs for teams and players on the dangers of opioid use, so those
changes seem necessary. I don't know whether they are sufficient,
but there has been progress in that area
since the tragic death of Skaggs.
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