Legal AF by MeidasTouch - Trump Gets News HE FEARED MOST on his Conviction

Episode Date: June 19, 2024

The 34 count felony conviction of Donald Trump is finally showing up in polling, and it is creating a 8 to 10% drag on Donald Trump‘s ability to get reelected. Michael Popok analyzes recent polling and talks about the impact of the convictions and upcoming sentencing on Trump’s ability to overcome President Biden‘s natural electoral advantages. For 15% off your order head to https://LaundrySauce.com/LEGALAF and use code LEGALAF Visit https://meidastouch.com for more! Join us on Patreon: https://patreon.com/legalaf Remember to subscribe to ALL the MeidasTouch Network Podcasts: MeidasTouch: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/meidastouch-podcast Legal AF: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/legal-af The PoliticsGirl Podcast: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-politicsgirl-podcast The Influence Continuum: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-influence-continuum-with-dr-steven-hassan Mea Culpa with Michael Cohen: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/mea-culpa-with-michael-cohen The Weekend Show: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-weekend-show Burn the Boats: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/burn-the-boats Majority 54: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/majority-54 Political Beatdown: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/political-beatdown Lights On with Jessica Denson: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/lights-on-with-jessica-denson On Democracy with FP Wellman: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/on-democracy-with-fpwellman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Your team requested a ride, but this time not from you. It's through their Uber Teen account. It's an Uber account that allows your team to request a ride under your supervision with live trip tracking and highly rated drivers. Add your team to your Uber account today. Michael Popak, Legal AF. Donald Trump's convictions have seeped into the water supply and are now showing up in polling in which people are refusing to vote for a convicted felon, convicted of serious felonies. This is what we thought would happen at that important intersection of law and politics on Legal AF. And now it's starting to show up in the polls. It's a little bit of a lagging indicator. People were polling too quickly after the 34 count conviction for Donald Trump. Where is the polling data? Why is his support so great? Is his support

so great? Not according to at least three or four major polls that have come out in the last two weeks. We are nine days or so from a major debate between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, which I presume, just as Joe Biden did amazing during his State of the Union, he will do great here. There's no better debater than Joe Biden, ultimately, especially against Donald Trump. We're only less than a month away

from the sentencing of Donald Trump on those 34 accounts. And what is it showing about the, what was razor thin margins, even in the 2020 election? Donald Trump has to capture every vote he got the last time. Plus, he has to pick up substantially more votes to overcome Joe Biden, the incumbent president's natural electoral advantage and popular vote advantage. Remember, he won the popular vote by over seven million. Nobody believes that the election was rife with fraud. No thinking human being denies the outcome of the election. So let's take it as an article of faith. Let's take it as an article of truth. Joe Biden won by seven million votes.

Now when you go state by state, as is required by our way of dealing with the electoral count and the seven battleground states, Donald Trump doesn't have a vote to lose. He lost all the major battleground states, even in Wisconsin, where he's out campaigning now, he won by one percentage point. What are the polls showing? Let's do it this way. It shows that there is at least an 8% leakage, hole in the bucket, of voters who had voted for Donald Trump that will not vote for Donald Trump because of his convictions.

I don't mean that. I mean his criminal convictions. And I don't mean that, I mean his criminal convictions. It has seeped into the water table and it's starting to show up in polling. The majority of Americans believe that Donald Trump committed serious felonies according to latest polling. Of that majority, 10% are Republicans.

10% of the Republican base believes that Donald Trump was not convicted on a witch hunt with a lawless and reckless prosecution by a biased judge and a biased prosecutor and a biased set of jurors, but that he committed serious felonies. That's why I'm saying it's about an eight to 10% leakage and Donald Trump can't afford any leakage. I know you're picturing him now in adult diapers, but what I'm trying to get across is that he had to capture his entire base from last time plus,

and he's not getting the plus, or he's getting a leakage of 8 to 10 percent that's coming out the back of the the back of the pale and therefore he can't win based on these numbers. One-fifth of independents, 20% of independents won't vote for Donald Trump now that he's been convicted. Think about those numbers. Donald Trump needs the lion's share of independent votes. 20% won't vote for him. One out of five. And in Biden, let's give an example how that's shown up in polling. Biden, President Biden had been down in Michigan by four points.

He's now up in the polls in Michigan. That's almost a five point or six point swing in polling since the convictions have seeped into the water table. Biden is up in Wisconsin and Trump only won Wisconsin by one point. And the Biden campaign is doing finally what they needed to do, which is to lash Donald Trump and tie him to his criminal convictions, like an anvil and throw that anvil over the boat. That's what they have to do. They have to remind people, Joe Biden is doing it now.

He has to drop his gloves. Time to drop the gloves, Joe. We know your grandfather-in-chief. We know your moral compass-in-chief. We know your adult in chief. We want you to be reelected. But in order to get reelected, you gotta drop the gloves. And you gotta talk about Donald Trump being what he is,

a misogynist, a rapist. Not because you're saying it, but because juries have adjudged him to be that. And I believe in this jury system in America as part and a pillar of our democracy. He has to continue to remind the American people in his closing argument. President Biden has to continue to remind

the American people in his closing argument that he's running against a convicted felon who's a misogynist and a rapist and a fraudster. And that can't be the America that we all want to live in, to have our country headed by him, to have the restoration of the Trump presidency, which is going to be based on retribution and vendettas and going after political enemies and deporting and or putting in internment camps people who came to this country for freedom. That can't be our America. It's one thing to talk about the criminality of a president like Nixon. It's another thing again to vote a criminal into the presidency. I do laundry a lot, but I wasn't a big fan of my old laundry detergent

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slash legal AF promo code LEGALAF for 15% off. Wake up America. Stop falling for these deep fake or what is Donald Trump called them cheap fake AI, you know, cut and paste of Joe Biden on a stage and acting like, you know, he's, he's, he's, he's frozen. He's freezing. He's freezing again. He's not freezing. It is a edit that has been made to the video to make you think that Joe Biden wasn't frozen on the stage and led off by, by, by Barack Obama. You know, he was staring just like the guy behind him was staring at the audience and making a connection and they needed to wrap it up. And so, you know, listen, uh, Obama's always wrapping things up. He's yelling for Clinton to get on Air Force one.

Come on, Bill, come on, Bill. Obama's always impatient. So that was just impatient. Obama. Remember he's to, to Obama. Remember, to us, it's President Joe Biden. To Barack Obama, it's my vice president. Come on, Joe. So that's all that was. And when he looked off when he was doing the G7 summit, he was looking at a parachute as he was packing his parachute. If he had a wider lens, you'd see what he was looking at. Instead of acting like, oh, he's staring off into space again, it was embarrassing. Maloney from Italy had to take him by the hand.

Ridiculous, ignore all of this. You will see Joe Biden. You will see the person that is responsible for our domestic policy successes, our investment successes, our investment in the American people successes, and yes, our foreign policy ultimate successes in the way that's being managed

to the Secretary of State and the Department of Defense. And you will see that on the stage during your debate. You can make your choice. If you thought, well, I don't know, he doesn't give a lot of speeches, he doesn't give a lot of press conferences, you'll see him in the debate, just like you saw him at the State of the Union,

just like you saw him when he gives his lectures. And by contrast, Donald Trump's convictions, which is what I started the hot take with, are showing up in polling. Now look, I've always said, the only poll that matters is election day, and when you're at the polls. The rest of this polling is sort of, you know,

there's that old line, I think it's Mark Twain. There's three types of lies. There's lies, there's damn lies, and then there's, and they usually put in their statistics. And I'll say there's polling statistics. And I get that. But sometimes they're right. And what they catch are these micro movements of sentiment.

We've always known that people consistently report in their polling that if Donald Trump was convicted of a crime, it would change their outlook of him and their willingness to vote for him. their outlook of him and their willingness to vote for him. And now we're saying it, eight to 10% leakage, at least 20% of independents who won't vote for him. What was once close races in the battleground states starting to turn back towards the incumbent, the president and the power of the incumbency on a successful record.

And we'll continue to follow it because it's important. And this is where that intersection of law and politics, we have to go into it in great detail. We do it on Wednesdays and Saturdays at 8 p.m. Eastern time on Legal AF, where we sit at that intersection. And now we're seeing it from how the legal system has impacted the politics in real time.

We report generally on the legal part, but we sit at that intersection of law and politics for a reason, because it would be boring if we just did the politics part. It'd be boring if we just did the law part. We got to do both. And that's why this polling sort of pulls it all together about everything we've been talking about

for the last four years on Legal AF, our podcast on Wednesdays and Saturdays, 8 p.m. Eastern time on this Midas Touch YouTube channel. You knew that, you're already here. Free subscribe, help them get to 3 million free subscribers. I don't know if you've heard, but we don't have outside investors. We don't.

Nothing, nothing influences my content, Ben's content, Karen's content, any other contributor's content. We don't have an editor, right? We speak the truth. From our perspective, No Smoke or Sunshine, we do it right here. And if you like what I'm doing, leave me a note, comment, thumbs up,

and find all my work on the Midas Touch YouTube channel exclusively, look under Michael Popak, under contributors and playlists, and then you can pick up our podcasts also. If you're an audio podcast person, pick it up from every major podcast platform. That was a mouthful. Under Legal AF. So until my next hot take, until my next Legal AF, this is Michael Popak reporting.