Legal AF by MeidasTouch - Trump May INSTANTLY Be Removed from MORE BALLOTS
Episode Date: December 26, 2023Trump may be banned by the Maine Secretary of State from the presidential ballot next week under a quirk in Maine law. Michael Popok of Legal AF explains how the fact that 8 different Colorado judges ...each agreed that Donald Trump engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the Constitution of the United States and violation of the 14th amendment, may influence the secretary of state’s decision next week as well the likely appeal to the United States Supreme Court. Thanks to HIMS! Start your free online visit today at hims.com/legalaf for your personalized ED treatment options. Remember to subscribe to ALL the MeidasTouch Network Podcasts: MeidasTouch: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/meidastouch-podcast Legal AF: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/legal-af The PoliticsGirl Podcast: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-politicsgirl-podcast The Influence Continuum: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-influence-continuum-with-dr-steven-hassan Mea Culpa with Michael Cohen: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/mea-culpa-with-michael-cohen The Weekend Show: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-weekend-show Burn the Boats: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/burn-the-boats Majority 54: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/majority-54 Political Beatdown: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/political-beatdown Lights On with Jessica Denson: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/lights-on-with-jessica-denson On Democracy with FP Wellman: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/on-democracy-with-fpwellman Uncovered: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/maga-uncovered Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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So the Michael Popok legal AF ever heard of Sheta Bellos secretary of state of Maine. No, it's not a
jeopardy quiz, but you're going to hear a lot about Sheta Bellos next week because she's about to
make a ruling as to whether Donald Trump will or will not be thumbs up or thumbs down on the main
ballot for primary and for the presidential election next November. It's not just Colorado.
That's considering these issues. We're still waiting
for ultimate rulings in states like Michigan. As the US Supreme Court will likely get an
appeal from Donald Trump as early as January the 4th of the Colorado decision that banned
his being on the ballot. Now we're up to Maine. And this is a decision at first that gets
made by the Secretary of State of Maine because
they have a unique constitution that determines that the Secretary of State upon a petition,
not a lawsuit, but a petition directed to her, has to determine the eligibility of people
on the ballot.
She's already held it hearing.
She's reviewed the petition.
She's asked for briefing, including of Donald Trump himself.
Donald Trump has taken the position that
Maine has no role in the process of deciding who goes on the ballot for president or not.
It has to be the Electoral College and the Congress, which is the fundamental argument even in
Colorado of the dissenting justices, just to be clear before I move back to Maine. In Colorado, it was four to three.
But the four to three was as to whether the Colorado Secretary of State had the power
and the authority to take Donald Trump off the ballot.
It wasn't four to three as to whether Donald Trump was an insurrectionist or engaged
an insurrection or rebellion as that term is used under the 14th amendment.
In that case, it was unanimous.
All seven justices in Colorado, let's make it eight, including the trial judge, believed
that Donald Trump engaged in insurrection or rebellion against his oath and against the
Constitution of the United States.
That's getting little press.
Everybody's focused on it was four to three in the four were the Democrats and the three
were the Republicans, even the Republicans didn't challenge the fact finding done by the
court, the trial court level in Denver, Colorado, in which that trial judge found in her
in after a week long trial that Donald Trump did engage an insurrection or rebellion that
the dispute, the falling out between the four and the three in Colorado, was over what
you can do about it.
Two of the dissenting justices said, and that Congress do it.
Yeah, sure, he's an insurrectionist and engaged the rebellion and all that, but he wasn't
convicted of it of a crime, even though that's not a requirement under the 14th Amendment of our Constitution, and let Congress do it, why
are we dealing with it in Colorado?
That was, I'm giving you the summary of my artist rendering of the dissents, but that
was the dissent.
Again, seven justices of the Colorado Supreme Court found that he and that Donald Trump
engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the Constitution
and the fight and the debate and the falling out was over what to do about it.
Now we're back in Maine.
In Maine, it's not in the court system.
It's with the Secretary of State because the unique qualities of and provisions of the
main Constitution and election law says that that's where it should be.
So she, Shenabellos, the first woman secretary
of state of Maine, it's fallen on her shoulders, her broad shoulders to make this decision.
She said after reading the briefing and having an open hearing on the 15th of December,
she's going to make a ruling as early as next week. Now there's a shadow that's being
cast on this decision making because it is likely that by January 4th or earlier,
as permitted by the Colorado Supreme Court, Donald Trump's going to take an appeal as to whether
Colorado got it right about their constitution, about their Secretary of State, and about who
should be making the ultimate decision as to whether someone belongs in the ballot,
the Secretary of State of that state, for instance, or Congress in the electoral college as Donald
Trump argues.
And if they make that ultimate decision, and it's in favor of Donald Trump, and many of
these decisions being made by secretary of states may actually fall by the wayside, but it
depends on the unique aspects or provisions of the
constitution of that particular state.
And so what we have so far is that Shana Bellow's Secretary of State Bellows can certainly
make her decision next week.
If I had, if I was a betting man, given the fact that as I said, eight different judges
who have taken a look at the issue, think that Donald Trump violated the 14th Amendment, section three, the insurrection, uh, disqualification
language. And then the fight is owned. The rub is only over what do you do about it? What does
the state do about it? Do we put it over to the Congress? Do we put it over to the electoral
college? Does the state have the power now, it's already been decided.
Even by former 10th Circuit Judge, now Associate Justice of the Supreme Court, Brett, sorry,
Neil Gorsuch, that things like who goes on the ballot and off the ballot, even for a presidential
candidate is the province of the state, not the federal government.
And so if, if that kind of precedent, in a case
called Hassan, is then used by the US Supreme Court, where Gorsuch now sits, that would favor
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What happens next if she decides, let's just, you know, for you know what, and giggles,
let's say she rules as Colorado did did that Donald Trump does not belong on the
ballot and that the petitions have been proven. Then it goes to a trial court level or an appeal
to the superior court of Maine, not the appellate court, but it'll be the superior court sitting
in sort of a palette review position, if you will. will then, there'll be a, they'll be hearing their briefing there
or a argument there.
And then any ruling there,
the loser of that particular proceeding,
which I assume would happen sometime in early January,
may or may not have the benefit of waiting to see
what the US Supreme Court does in their proceeding.
I'll talk about the timing of
that next because we're trying to line up these different time intervals, these different spinning
plates between the federal appeals process through the US Supreme Court and the state process.
And a lot of times what state processes do where they sort of hit the intersection of US Supreme
Court rulings or precedent or ones that are in progress
is that they sort of put a pin in their proceedings waiting to see what the US Supreme Court
does for guidance. They may do that here. So I would think that, let's just play this out.
Secretary of State Bellows sometime next week rules against Donald Trump,
Bansam from the ballot in Maine March, Super Tuesday, March 5th is when he would be on the ballot. We're
running out of time here. Maybe they would stay there a ban of Donald Trump from the ballot
to give him time to take an appeal or to take it to the next level, which in this case
would be the superior court of Maine, failing that two levels of of a pellet court process
in Maine state. And then he could try to jump over to the
US Supreme Court. Could he try a direct to Trump, try a direct appeal? The way Jack Smith just did
skip a couple of these steps, take the case and consolidate it with Colorado at the US Supreme
Court. It's possible. But the Supreme Court would have to be willing to do that. And I'm not sure
he has the votes for that. We just saw they declined.
Jack Smith's strong, strenuous invitation for them to take a direct appeal and cut out the
middle person of the DC court of appeals related to whether Donald Trump has immunity from prosecution
in the District of Columbia case. And so having just rejected that two days ago, I be shocked
if they decided they wanted to leapfrog over a number of levels of state appellate procedure and take the
case directly, but we'll keep an eye on it. And so this is how I think the timing goes.
Really next week, adverse to Donald Trump by Secretary of State bellows in Maine, an
appeal to the superior court and Maine. Superior Court does a quick briefing schedule, maybe over a 10-day process.
Now we're in the middle of January, by this time, what I think will be an expedited appeal
process that's granted by the US Supreme Court will be in the works about Colorado.
And then by the end of January, I think we'll be looking at, we're looking at two events. We're looking at a fully briefed and fully appealed, exhausted appeal process in Maine by Donald
Trump, if he loses.
And at the same time, a fully briefed and perhaps oral argument in the, in the, in the Supreme
Court of the United States related to Colorado, which would then give guidance and would serve
as precedent and cited precedent.
I'm sure in the other states that are looking to ban Donald Trump. Now, we'll continue to follow
events like this. It didn't get a lot of press because all eyes were on Colorado, but now all eyes,
as I said, at the top of the hot tick are on Secretary of State, Shedda Bellos. And we trust that
she'll make the right decision. She's now has guidance from Colorado Supreme Court
in a well written 213 page decision.
And if she wants to sort of put a pen in it for a while,
she could say, I think I need guidance
from the US Supreme Court and see what the US Supreme Court says.
And the fundamental issue with the US Supreme Court
is going to be a couple of things.
One, can a state be the one to decide based on its own
process and procedures and its own hearings and petitions and lawsuits? Can it ultimately decide
who could be on the presidential primary ballot? Who could be on the presidential general election
ballot? Or is that something under the 14th Amendment Article 3 that's reserved for Congress in
some way, even though it doesn't say that in the statute itself,
in the Congressional amendment itself, and these members of the Supreme Court, US Supreme
Court, like to consider themselves originalists and textualists.
They like to look at the literal text, and they say, well, we have to follow the literal
text unless they don't like the literal text, and then they throw it out and do something
else. But if you look at the legislative history around the framing of the 14th Amendment coming out
of the Civil War period and during a reconstruction period in the United States, there was no requirement
that there be an actual indictment, conviction, trial and conviction of somebody for insurrection or rebellion against
the Constitution. It says engaged in doesn't say convicted of engaging in. And I think that was
done for a reason historically. They didn't want to put the country through these trials of former
Confederate leaders and Jeff Davis, the president of the Confederacy, in order to invoke and trigger this provision.
And the second reason is there's nothing in the provision
that says there's a role for Congress.
Congress has its own processes that we'll talk about
at another hot take, impeachment and conviction in the Senate
having, you know, being the lead way
that they can deal with things like this.
But in the criminal court system,
there's no role for Congress and no nothing that's not self-actuating or self-effectuating in
the 14th Amendment itself. But we'll have to see how the six to three mega right wing
of the Supreme Court deals with this particular issue. We'll follow it on legal AF, the podcast,
only on the Midas Touch Network. It's on Wednesdays and Saturdays at 8 p.m. Eastern
time. And it sits at the corner of law politics and justice. I mean, if you like this kind of hot
take, who doesn't like hot takes, you're going to love legal AF. So if you like what I'm doing here,
give me a thumbs up in a comment. It really does help with the ratings. It makes your voice heard
and keeps me on the air. So until my next hot tick. Till my next legal AF.
This is Michael Popock reporting.
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