Legal AF by MeidasTouch - Trump SHOCKED by Kamala HITTING Metric HE FEARED Most
Episode Date: September 21, 2024Kamala’s post-debate bump to put her at a +5 points nationally has arrived, and leading Republican pollsters and strategies say it’s over for Trump whose “contemptuous” and insulting debate pe...rformance just cost him the election. Michael Popok breaks it all down in his latest hot take. To boost YOUR NAD+ levels up to 50%, Go to https://qualialife.com/LAW for up to 50% off and use code LAW at checkout for an additional 15% off. Visit https://meidastouch.com for more! Join the Legal AF Patreon: https://Patreon.com/LegalAF Remember to subscribe to ALL the MeidasTouch Network Podcasts: MeidasTouch: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/meidastouch-podcast Legal AF: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/legal-af MissTrial: https://meidasnews.com/tag/miss-trial The PoliticsGirl Podcast: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-politicsgirl-podcast The Influence Continuum: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-influence-continuum-with-dr-steven-hassan Mea Culpa with Michael Cohen: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/mea-culpa-with-michael-cohen The Weekend Show: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-weekend-show Burn the Boats: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/burn-the-boats Majority 54: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/majority-54 Political Beatdown: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/political-beatdown Lights On with Jessica Denson: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/lights-on-with-jessica-denson On Democracy with FP Wellman: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/on-democracy-with-fpwellman Uncovered: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/maga-uncovered Coalition of the Sane: https://meidasnews.com/tag/coalition-of-the-sane Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Do you think Kamala won?
And does that mean she may now win the election?
I think more accurately is that Donald Trump lost.
And this is not the worst debate performance
I've seen in my career, but it's very close to it.
The conversations about people eating dogs and cats,
calling the leader of Hungary
one of the greatest world leaders,
repeatedly missing the opportunity
to focus on inflation and affordability,
and the complete inability to present his point of
view without completely tearing into her, into Joe Biden, into whomever was in his
sights. It was a pretty negative performance, pretty pessimistic, cynical, contemptuous.
And I think that this will cost him.
Yes, I'm trying to decide if I want to go on record
and the answer is yes.
I think that he loses because of this debate performance.
This is Michael Popak, Legal AF.
67 million people saw Donald Trump blow up his campaign
and lose the election on that debate stage.
So says Frank Luntz,
longtime Republican pollster.
He almost never gets it wrong.
You just heard him there on Piers Morgan saying what we all saw, that not only did Kamala
Harris win, but Donald Trump lost to the American people, trying to appeal to that 5% of the
electorate that hadn't made up their mind yet.
The election is over, according to Frank Luntz. Now look look what's happened in the polling since the
Kamala Harris kicked Donald Trump's butt up and down that debate stage. She now has a durable
starting to harden five percent
National lead over Donald Trump post debate, post Taylor Swift effect, her 5
to 10 million voters and new registered voters voting for Kamala Harris, 47 to
42% of the national polling in the latest Reuters Ipsos poll.
That's up a one point but puts her at a five point margin. I'm going to tell you
what the importance of the five pointpoint margin is in a moment.
In the consult survey, also 50 to 45, a five-point margin,
she's up three points since the debate in that.
And then you have the telltale statistic off the debate
that 53% of the American people
in a compilation of surveys believe that Harris won and only
24% believe that Donald Trump won.
Think about that.
That means that MAGA knew that Donald Trump lost that debate.
The average poll shows that people think that Kamala Harris won that debate by a 23-point
margin.
Why does it matter?
Usually there's three debates.
For those that don't follow presidential debates well,
there's usually three debates.
Usually the first one matters the most,
the middle one slightly, and the third one,
because it's so close in time to the election,
matters also.
We've watched candidates lose all three debates,
or there'd be a two-to-one, or a tie, if you will,
after three debates.
But since we're only gonna have one debate
because Donald Trump knowing that that debate format
where it shows that he's addled, that he's not well,
that he's debating against a professional,
showcasing Kamala Harris as the commander in chief
and future president of the United States
that she's going to be is not helpful to him.
Frank Luntz saw it as well. You heard the quotes. I mean, just to be clear, this is not a democratic
pollster. This is a Republican conservative pollster. What he had to say about it is the
people that came in after hearing Donald Trump, when he was asked by Piers Morgan, do you think
Kamala won? Does that mean she may now win the election?
Lunds replied, I think more accurately
is that Donald Trump lost.
And this is not the worst debate performance
I've seen in my career, but it's very close to it.
The conversations about people eating dogs and cats,
calling the leader of Hungary,
one of the greatest world leaders,
repeatedly missing the opportunity
to focus on inflation and affordability
and the complete
inability to present his point of view without completely tearing into her, into Joe Biden,
into whomever was in their sights.
Said he was also critical on what he did, Donald Trump did in the spin room and on truth
social and the tirades.
Basically Frank Luntz said, and I quote, I've never seen a candidate more determined to
blow an election.
He said that the former president's debate performance
was cynical.
He was pretty negative, Lunt said.
It was a negative, pessimistic, cynical,
and contemptuous for the American people performance.
And I think that will cost him.
Yes, I'm trying to decide if I want to go on record.
And the answer is yes.
I think that he loses because of this debate performance
to which you heard Morgan reply, wow.
There is a reason I said earlier in the hot take,
five points matters.
If you listen to every political strategist
on both sides of the aisle,
they say the magic number for national polling
before we get to individual electorate,
battleground state electoral vote counting
is four to five points.
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When a candidate gets to four to five points
in the national poll, it usually means they're gonna do well
state by state in the electoral poll
in the seven battleground states that matter.
Now, when she was first nominated,
and after a good round of first couple of weeks in the honeymoon
period, she was up about one point Kamala Harris, maybe a point and a half, maybe two points at best.
And then we went into the debate and now we see that jump over the last couple of weeks and off
the debate and off of Taylor Swift to a durable four and five point lead in the national poll.
That is a great thing.
And that is what Frank Lawrence is also commenting on
in his Piers Morgan interview,
that we've got 67 million people who watch that debate.
I mean, forget the 81 million people lying,
the Kamala used so effectively to cut Donald Trump.
81 million people fired you.
67 million people saw this unwell, unkempt, cynical,
tyrannical person who was contemptuous of the American people. And I'm so pleased that we
finally got over that hump now as we move out of September into October with a four and five point
national polling bump that now Donald Trump is gonna have to try
to close that gap over the next you know 40 or 50 days almost impossible. There's
only about 5% of the electorate on average that hasn't yet made up their
mind and that's it but that's important it's important that's why these polling
numbers are 47 42 and it doesn't add up to 100. There's
still this group of undecideds that were battling for the heart and soul of America. But this is big
news. Frank Luntz saying that Donald Trump's debate performance, which will not be repeated
because he's not going to argue, he's not going to have another debate. It's over. It's in the can.
Put a fork in them. Is the single most dispositive
event in the last two months for Frank Luncey's lost the election, according to this pollster,
done. And there's no recovery from it. We've got to continue to work hard for the campaign,
of course. So you've got a five point national lead. Yes, for those that don't follow this
closely, we vote in this country and this electorate state by state and electoral vote by electoral vote to get to 270.
But there is usually a proxy for somebody who's going to do well in the battleground
states and that is the national polling average when it tips over and gets to four to five
points.
And now Kamala Harris has it and she's not going to let it go.
Not at the rate the Republicans now are overreacting and overcompensating and trying to substitute
social media attacks and social media memes and pet eating and cat memes and bringing
in crazed right wing, alt right wing podcasters and social media figures to be the chief
strategist for Donald Trump going forward. He's gassed. When you have a
poor campaign, a debate performance like that on the campaign trail, you go out
the next day and you go to rallies and you go to towns and you go meet with
local newspapers and you go give local interviews on radio and television.
Where's Donald Trump? He hasn't done that. He is quietly quitting his campaign.
That's why Frank Luntz said,
he's just exploded.
I've never saw somebody that's so intent.
He's not shooting himself in the foot.
He's shooting himself in the head.
Kamala Harris is out giving interviews
and local interviews and TV interviews
and going to multiple cities within the state
and promising to come back to Pennsylvania time and
time and time again than the other battleground states, even the way that Hillary Clinton didn't
do. You come off a bad debate performance, you have to go out there. That's what Joe Biden was
the reason. One of the reasons he had to resign, he had to not go for reelection is because there
was no energy after his poor debate performance. There was no recognition that he had to go out and talk to the American people or that
he could.
Kamala Harris, on the other hand, interview after interview after interview, rally after
rally after rally.
While Donald Trump does what?
Phone in a Newsmax, phone into Fox News, press conferences.
He thinks he's going to win this fight for the soul of America by mean tweets on
Truth Social, a failing social media platform that has about less than four million active users or
followers, and then hope that corporate media follows those tweets and amplifies them and gives
them more coverage. Forget it. Kamala Harris is going to win this election the old-fashioned way.
She's making her closing argument now to the American people as only a former prosecutor
can do and she's closing the deal with the American people.
She answered the question on the debate stage about who she is and what she will be and
the policies that she will present.
Now she continues to flesh that out.
You campaign in prose.
You have to govern, right? You, sorry, you campaign in prose. You have to govern, right? Sorry. You campaign in poetry,
you have to govern in prose. She's in her poetic mode right now and doing exceedingly well. We'll
continue to follow it all in the Midas Touch Network and on Legal AF. Join me on Wednesdays
and Saturdays at 8 p.m. Eastern time for Legal AF. We sit at the intersection of law and politics,
so you don't have to.
We do it in a way that I think you'll find out.
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So until my next hot take, until my next Legal AF, this is Michael Popak reporting.
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