Lex Fridman Podcast - #410 – Ben Shapiro vs Destiny Debate: Politics, Jan 6, Israel, Ukraine & Wokeism
Episode Date: January 23, 2024Ben Shapiro is a conservative political commentator, host of The Ben Shapiro Show, co-founder of The Daily Wire, and author of The Authoritarian Moment and other books. Steven Bonnell, aka Destiny, is... a liberal political commentator and a live streamer on YouTube. Please support this podcast by checking out our sponsors: - AG1: https://drinkag1.com/lex to get 1 month supply of fish oil - Policygenius: https://policygenius.com/lex - ExpressVPN: https://expressvpn.com/lexpod to get 3 months free - InsideTracker: https://insidetracker.com/lex to get 20% off Transcript: https://lexfridman.com/ben-shapiro-destiny-debate-transcript EPISODE LINKS: Ben's X: https://twitter.com/benshapiro Ben's Instagram: https://instagram.com/officialbenshapiro Ben's YouTube: https://youtube.com/@BenShapiro Daily Wire: https://dailywire.com Destiny's YouTube: https://youtube.com/destiny Destiny's X: https://twitter.com/TheOmniLiberal Destiny's Subreddit: https://reddit.com/r/Destiny Destiny's Website: https://destiny.gg Destiny's Instragram: https://instagram.com/destiny PODCAST INFO: Podcast website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8 RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/ YouTube Full Episodes: https://youtube.com/lexfridman YouTube Clips: https://youtube.com/lexclips SUPPORT & CONNECT: - Check out the sponsors above, it's the best way to support this podcast - Support on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/lexfridman - Twitter: https://twitter.com/lexfridman - Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/lexfridman - LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lexfridman - Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/lexfridman - Medium: https://medium.com/@lexfridman OUTLINE: Here's the timestamps for the episode. On some podcast players you should be able to click the timestamp to jump to that time. (00:00) - Introduction (07:21) - Liberalism vs Conservatism (12:34) - Education (28:51) - Trump vs Biden (49:16) - Foreign policy (1:02:13) - Israel-Palestine (1:17:10) - Russia-Ukraine (1:28:50) - January 6 (1:44:48) - Abuse of power (1:54:46) - Wokeism (2:01:27) - Institutional capture (2:15:21) - Monogamy vs open relationships (2:20:14) - Rapid fire questions
Transcript
Discussion (0)
The following is a debate between Ben Shapiro and Destiny, each arguably representing the
right and the left of American politics, respectively.
They are two of the most influential and skilled political debaters in the world.
This debate has been a long time coming for many years.
It's about 2.5 hours and we could have easily gone for many more.
And I'm sure we will.
It is only round one.
And now a quick few second mention of each sponsor. Check them out in the description.
It's the best way to support this podcast. We got AG1 for health, Policy Genius for insurance,
ExpressVPN for privacy and security on the interwebs and inside tracker for biological data that leads to health.
Choose wisely my friends. Also, if you want to work with our amazing team or was hiring,
go to lexfreedman.com slash hiring. Or if you want to get in touch with me for whatever reason,
go to lexfreedman.com slash contact. And now onto the full ad reads. As always, no ads in the middle.
I try to make these interesting, but if you must skip them, friends, please do check out our sponsors.
I enjoy their stuff. Maybe you will too. This episode is brought to you by AG1, an all-in-one
daily drink to support better health and peak performance. I have to be honest, I ran out
of it two days ago. It was one of those moments when you realize how big of a part of your life a thing is.
You really do realize that when a thing is gone, most intensely, most viscerally.
And it's actually the little things that form the foundation of a peaceful existence.
Those little rituals, those little habits, those little comforts,
they make life so at once mundane and at the same time just perfect.
Just right. Anyway, I've recently been doing
daily exercise of some sort. So it's either grappling,
running, or weightlifting. One of those. And at least one
hour. I think like a lot of things it's just easier to do a thing every day than like five times a
week. Because if it's every single day it's just there. You can't escape the day without doing it
and it somehow makes it easier to do it. Anyway, I do age one twice a day. Once after the workout.
You should try it out.
They'll give you a one month supply of fish oil when you sign up at drinkag1.com.
This episode is brought to you by Policy Genius, a marketplace for finding and buying insurance.
When I'm thinking about life insurance, I'm thinking about three things.
First, the stoics and meditating in your mortality
second
Matthew Cox that episode I just did where
He tried selling insurance. That was the first thing he tried to make his dad proud and then that didn't really work out so he went to
mortgage fraud
So you should definitely send that episode as a fascinating one and then the third thing
I think about is better call Saul which is a show that I finally finally started watching and it's incredible
Dare I say it might actually be better than Breaking Bad the original show from which it's a spin-off
That might be the only spin-off show in the history of television that is
Better than the original.
I know strong words, but it's damn good.
Anyway, that guy makes me think of sales
and selling insurance and so on.
Anyway, back to the first point,
which is meditating your mortality,
and you should meditate on your mortality
for philosophical and psychological purposes,
but for pragmatic purposes,
you should also actualize that into getting some insurance.
You can do that easily, efficiently, in a modern way with Policy Genius.
You can find life insurance policies that started just $292 per year for $1 million
in coverage.
Head to PolicyGenius.com slash Lex or click the link in the description to get
your free life insurance quotes and see how much you could save. That's policygenius.com slash lex.
This episode is also brought to you by ExpressVPN. I've used it for many years to protect myself
on the internet. Everybody should be using a VPN and express VPN is the one I stand behind
There's a big sexy button. It used to be red. It's a different color now. Let me see
It's like
The the power symbol is red and glowing from different colors into maroon
magenta
It's like modernized. I get it. You gotta You gotta update with the times. It's still sexy though.
Not crude, bold, simple red. It's more like fluorescent like glowing. It's funny when
companies change the look of things to make it seem and feel updated. Like for example, Google, it does, it works, I get it.
But I still a little bit miss the old Google logo.
Just like that ghetto HTML look
from like the early, early days.
It still works.
I don't know, the simplicity of that.
There's a kind of authenticity
to how crappy that Google logo looked. Anyway, and there is the old times with ExpressVPN. I've been with them forever. I mean, long,
long, long before they were a sponsor. I've used them. I've loved them. They brought joy
to my heart. Anyway, you too can share in the joy by going to expressvpn.com slash lexpod for an extra three months free.
This episode is also brought to you by Insight Tracker, a service I use to collect information
from my body via blood data, DNA data, fitness tracker data to then make lifestyle and dietary
recommendations on how I can be a better version of myself.
Just imagine the raw sensory waterfall of data coming from the human body and using
that data through the very kinds of neural nets that are being used in larger language
models to make predictions, recommendations, summarization, integrating, simplifying all
of that data that's not human interpreted at all and making it human interpretable.
That's the future.
Anyway, inside trackers taking steps towards that future.
The very basic thing is you should be making decisions about your life in part using data
that comes from your own very own body.
That's what Insight Tracker can help you with.
Get special savings for a limited time when you go to insighttracker.com slash lex.
This is the Lex Freeman podcast.
To support it, please check out our sponsors in the description.
And now dear friends, here's Ben Shapiro and Destiny.
Ben, you're a conservative Destiny, you're a liberal. Can you each describe what key
values underpin your philosophy on politics and maybe life in the context of this left-right
political spectrum? You want to go first?
Yeah. So I think that we have a huge country full of a lot of people, a lot of individual
talents, capabilities. And I think that the goal of government, broadly speaking,
should be to try to ensure that everybody's
able to achieve as much as possible.
So on a liberal level, that usually
means some people might need a little bit of a boost when
it comes to things like education.
They might need a little bit of a boost
when it comes to providing certain necessities,
like housing or food or clothing.
But broadly speaking, I mean, I'm still a liberal,
not a communist or socialist. I don't believe in the total command economy, total communist takeover
of all of the economy. But I think that broadly speaking, the government should kind of like kick
in and help people when they need it. And that government can and should be big?
Not necessarily. I noticed that when liberals talk about government, especially taxes, it seems like they talk about it for taxes' sake or bigness' sake.
So people talk about taxes sometimes as like a punishment, like tax the rich. I think taxing the rich is fine, and so far as it funds the programs that we want to fund.
But Democrats have a really big problem demonizing success or wealth, and I don't think that's a bad thing. I don't think it's a bad thing to be wealthy,
to be a billionaire or whatever,
as long as we're funding what we need to fund.
Ben, what do you think it means to be a conservative?
What's the philosophy that underlies your political view?
So first of all, I'm glad that Destiny
already coming on as a Republican.
That's exciting.
I mean, we hold a lot in common in terms of,
you know, the basic idea that people ought to have
as much opportunity as possible and also in so far as the government should do the minimum amount necessary to interfere in people's lives in government ought to be involved, but also at what level government ought to be involved. And I have an incredibly
subsidiary view of government. I think that local governments, because you have higher levels of
homogeneity and consent, are capable of doing more things. And as you abstract up the chain,
it becomes more and more impractical and more and more divisive to do more things. In my view, government is basically there to preserve certain key
liberties. Those key liberties pre-exist the government in so far as they are more important
than what priorities the government has. The job of government is to maintain, for example,
national defense, protection of property rights,
protection of religious freedom.
These are the key focuses of government
as generally expressed in the Bill of Rights
and the Constitution.
And I agree with the general philosophy
of the Bill of Rights and the Constitution.
Now that doesn't mean, by the way,
that you can't do more on a governmental level again
as you get closer to the ground,
which by the way is also embedded in the Constitution.
People forget the Constitution was originally applied
to the federal government, not to local and
state government. But if I were going to define conservatism, it would actually be a little
broader than that because I think to understand how people interact with government, you
have to go to kind of core values. And so for me, there are a couple of premises. One,
human beings have a nature. That nature is neither good nor bad. We have aspects of goodness
and we have aspects of badness.
Human beings are sinful.
We have temptations.
And what that means is that we have to be careful not to incentivize the bad and that we should incentivize the good.
Human beings do have agency and are capable of making decisions in the vast majority of circumstances.
And it is better for society if we act as though they do.
Second, the basic idea of human nature, there is an idea
in my view that all human beings have equal value before the law. I'm a religious person,
so I'd say equal value before God, but I think that's also sort of a key tenet of western
civilization being non-religious or religious, that every individual has equivalent value
in sort of cosmic terms. But that does not necessarily mean that every person is equally
equipped to do everything equally well. And so it is not the job of government to rectify
every imbalance of life. The quest for cosmic justice, as Thomas Sowell suggests,
is something that government is generally incapable of doing and more often than not,
botches and makes things worse. So those are a few key tenets. And that tends to materialize
in a variety of ways. The easiest
way to sum that up with the traditional kind of three legs of the conservative stool, although
now obviously there's a very fragmented conservative movement in the United States,
would be a socially conservative view in which family is the chief institution of society,
like the little platoons of society as Edmund Burke suggested, in which free market and property rights are extraordinarily valuable
and necessary because every individual has the ability to be creative with their property and to
freely alienate that property. And finally, I tend toward a hawkish foreign policy that suggests
that the world is not filled with wonderful people who all agree with us and think like us. And those people will pursue
adversarial interests if we do not protect our own interests.
Can I ask a question on that? I'm so excited for this conversation because I consider you to be
really intelligent. But I feel like sometimes there are ways that conservatives talk about
certain issues that seem to defy logic and reason, I guess.
And I'm sure you feel the same way about progressives, but even some liberals for sure.
Before I ask this question, it's going to relate to education.
We can agree broadly speaking that statistics are real and that not everybody could do everything.
So for a grounded example, my life was pretty bad.
I got into streaming and I turned my life around and that
was really cool. But I can't expect everybody to do what I
did, right? Like everybody being able to join the MBA or to be
like a streamer, of course, everybody has different
quality, sure. Okay, so I used to be a lot more libertarian when
I was 2021. And one of the things that dramatically changed kind
of my view on government manipulation of things in the, I guess in society, when
it came time to deal with my son and the school that he went to.
And one of the things that I noticed was when it came time to send my son to school, I could
either do private education or I could do public.
Personally, I did 12 years of Catholic private education.
However, the public schools in Nebraska, depending on where you lived, were very, very, very good.
And I opted for a certain district. I bought a house there. I moved there. And then my son was
able to go to those schools. And he's been going through those schools. And the difference of
availability of technology, like these kids are taking home iPads and first grade, they've got
like huge computer labs and everything. Do you think that there is some type of, I don't want to
say injustice or unfairness,
because I'm not even looking at it that way,
just pragmatically, that there might be children
that are in certain schools,
that if they just had better funding
or more access to technologies or things available to them,
that those kids would become
more productive members of society,
that would like a little bit of a help,
that they could actually achieve more
and do better for all of society?
So I think that on the list of priorities, it comes to education the availability of technology is actually fairly low on the list of
Priorities sure things I've heard our food availability and I think air conditioning
I think of the two biggest ones that I hear but I mean the biggest thing in terms of education itself
Not just the physical facilities that we're talking about mm-hmm
Would actually be two parent family households,
communities that have fathers in them is actually the number one decicer according to Roland Fryer
and many studies done on this particular topic. And the idea that money alone,
that investment of resources is the top priority in schooling is belied by the fact that LAUSD,
which is where I went to school when I was younger, they pour an enormous amount of money into LAUSD.
We're talking about tens of thousands of dollars
very often per student,
and it does not result in better schooling outcomes.
And so when you say, if we could give every kid an iPad,
would you give every kid an iPad?
The question is not,
if I had a replicator machine from Star Trek,
would I give everybody an enormous amount of stuff?
Sure, I would.
Every resource is finite, every resource is limited,
and you have to prioritize what are the outcomes
that you seek in terms of the means
with which you are seeking them.
And so, again, I think that the question is,
I quibble with the premise of the question,
which is that, again, the chief injustice
when it comes to education on the list of injustices
is lack of availability to technology
or that it's a funding problem.
I just don't think that's the case.
Sure. And I can half-regure with you there,
but I don't think any amount of changes in the schools
will create two-parent households.
Right? We can't bring a...
I totally agree with you.
So that's why I think that the fundamental educational problem
is not, in fact, a schooling problem.
I think that it pre-exists that.
Sure. But then I feel like we're...
Now, I feel like this is kind of the conservative merry-go-round
where it's like, what can we do to help with schools? So two of the things that I've seen,
I think that are usually brought up in research is one is air conditioning,
that children in hotter environments just don't learn as well. And then the second one is access
to food. So like kids that are given like a breakfast or lunch that's provided at school,
like increases educational outcomes. Now I agree that neither of these things might be determinative in like, well, 20% of kids
are graduating and now 80% of kids are graduating or these kids are all going, you know, from
with their GEDs into the workforce and now these kids are all suddenly becoming engineers.
But in terms of where we can help, do you think there should be like some minimum threshold or
minimum baseline of like at the very least, every school should have a non-leaky gym
or every school should have,
if children can't afford lunch or breakfast,
like some sort of food provided
or every school should have these like baseline things.
So again, I'm gonna quibble with the premise of the question
because I think that when it comes to, for example,
food insecurity, school food programs,
again, you can always pour money into any program
and at the margins, create change.
I mean, there's no doubt that pouring money onto anything will create change in a marginal way.
The question is how large is the margin and how big is the movement?
Right? So the delta is what I'm looking at. And so I think that the, you're starting at a second order
question, which is what if we ignore what I would think are the big primary questions of education,
namely family structure, value of education at home, how much you have parents who are capable or willing to help with homework. What are the incentive
structures we can set up for a society that actually facilitate that? How local communities
take ownership of their schools is a big one. All of these issues we're ignoring in favor of,
say, air conditioning or lunch programs. And so in a vacuum, if you say air conditioning and
lunch programs, sounds great in a vacuum. In terms of prioritization of values and cost structure,
are those the things that I think are going to move the needle in a major way in terms of public
policy? I do not. And in fact, I think that many of them end up being disproportionate
wastes of money. I mean, I've talked before pretty controversially about the fact that an
enormous amount of school lunch programs are thrown out. Like an enormous amount of that food ends up
in the garbage can.
Is there a better way to do that?
If there is a better way to do it,
then I'm perfectly willing to hear about
that better way to do it.
But it seems to me that one of the big flaws
in the way that many people of the left approach government
is what if we hit every net with a hammer?
And my question is, what if the net isn't even the problem?
What if there is a much bigger substructure problem
that needs to be solved in order to,
if you're shifting deck chairs on the Titanic,
sure, you can make the Titanic slightly more balanced
because the deck chairs are slightly better oriented.
But the real question is the water
that's gaping into the Titanic, right?
Yeah, and I agree with you 100%,
but again, I feel like we're on the conservative
merry-go-round then of never wanting to address as many-
That's not a conservative merry-go-round.
I can give you 10 ways. Well, sure, but so like here would be the merry-go-round. I would say that like there any conservative merry-go-round. I can give you 10 ways.
Well, sure. But so like here would be the merry-go-round. I would say that like there
is a minimum funding for schools that I think would help children. And then we go, well,
the thing that would help them the most is two-parent households. Then I go, okay, well,
two-parent households actually aren't the problem. The issue is access to things like
birth controls that people don't have children early on. And it's like, but the issue isn't
actually birth control. The issue is actually you need a certain amount of money to move
out early and to get married and then to have a two-parent household.
So it's actually like economic opportunity.
No.
Well, it's not, you know, just two-parent households.
Yeah, but like what is the, what are the precursors for-
Don't fuck people before you married and have babies.
Sure.
Done.
That's great.
We can say that and try to fight against, you know, however many hundreds of thousands
of years of human evolution, but people will have sex and people will make babies.
And then they used to get married.
The vast majority of people in this country with kids used to be married.
The vast majority of people with kids in this country now are not married increasingly.
Obviously, a societal change. Something changed. It wasn't human evolution.
But a lot of those things in terms of resting on whether or not people get married have
to do with financial decisions. Do you have the money?
People are worse off now than they were 50, 60 years ago when the marriage rates were higher.
People are delaying the start of their careers because education is going to be increasingly
important.
So, in other words, people are richer now and they have more education now, and yet they're having more babies out of wedlock now because they're richer and have more education.
I'm saying that one of the biggest indicators for whether or not somebody's willing to get married is how much money both people are making if they can move out of their household.
People don't tend to want to get married at 22 when they've just finished college, when they don't have the money to move out and they can't afford a house.
Because we have changed the moral status of marriage in the culture, meaning that everyone, poor, rich, and in between, used to get married.
That it, by the way, a huge percentage of marriages in the United States used to be
what they would call shotgun marriages, meaning that somebody knocked somebody up,
and because they did not want the baby to be born outside of a two-parent household,
they would then get married.
Do we think that shotgun marriages, though, are a way to bring back equilibrium to education?
Yes, absolutely. Yes, 100%. Do we think that...
Do we think that...
A mother and a father, because that is the basis for all of this, including education.
Do we think that shotgun marriages are... Well, let's say this. Do we think that that's
a reasonable direction that society would ever take? Or is this like it was the reasonable
direction for nearly all of modern history?
Yes, but history moves in one direction.
Right?
Why?
Because of time?
People don't think that's a... In what way?
In what way is this? I don't think we've ever regressed social standards back to like,
oh, well, let's go 100 years back and do things that used to exist before.
I think we're the entire left right now is arguing that we regress social standards
by rejecting Roe versus Wade.
So that's obviously not true.
The Roe versus Wade is not a social standard.
It's a Supreme Court ruling.
Yes.
But number two, if you read the actual majority opinion on Roe v. Wade,
we can see that socially we actually never made huge progress on how society viewed abortion.
This has always been an incredibly divisive thing.
Even that was, I think part of Alito's writing on it
was that things like gay marriage, for instance,
we've kind of moved past and it's not really
as debated anymore, but abortion was never a subtle topic.
Despite Roe v. Wade's, like, casey.
The notion of the arc of history constantly moves
in one direction is be lied by nearly all
of the 20th century.
What do we mean by that?
I mean, first of all, women's rights, civil rights, barbarism, communism, Nazism, all
of that was a regression from what was happening at, for example, the beginning of the 19th
century and the 20th century.
In what way?
Nazism and communism were a regression from what was going on in 1905.
Well, in terms of communism being a regression, for instance, I'm not a communist, but the
industrialization of the Soviet Union happened a communist, but the industrialization
of the Soviet Union happened under a communist society.
The industrialization.
So the murder of tens of millions of people.
Yeah, there is.
I consider that a regression.
Sure.
A moral regression, which is what we are talking about now,
moral regression.
And you're suggesting that moral regression,
I wouldn't term a return to traditional values
in moral regression, you would.
But your suggestion is that history only moves
in one direction.
And I am suggesting that history does not only move in one direction, it tends to move actually back and forth.
Sure. I don't think that all of history moves in one direction. There are going to be wars,
there are going to be times of peace. I think in general, we're more peaceful now than we
have been in the past. But I think when we look at the way that people live their lives,
I think that we tend to move in a certain direction socially. So when it comes to things
like racism or when it comes to things like slavery or women's rights, I think that there are two huge things that probably aren't changing
in the US. And one is access to contraception. And one is women working jobs. I think that
these two things are probably huge things that are moving us off of shotgun marriages
or getting married very early on. And I don't see those. Do you think that those two things
are going to change fundamentally?
First of all, what the data tend to show is that actually more highly educated people,
as you were saying, tend to get married more.
So the idea is that women getting an education somehow throws them off marriage.
It's the opposite.
Usually, women are not educated.
But those women are getting shotgun marriages.
Those women are having children.
Yeah, but now you're shifting the topic.
My topic was how to get more people married.
And then you suggested that higher levels of education are delaying marriage and making
it less probable.
And what I'm telling you, because this is what the data suggests, is that actually as
you raise up the educational ladder, people tend to be married more than they are lower
down on the educational ladder.
If you're a high school graduate, you're less likely to be married than if you're a postdoc.
I agree with you, but that's because one of the biggest precursors to getting married
is having like a level of economic stability.
So as people get more educated, they obtain this economic stability,
and then they're in a more comfortable position to explore more serious relationships.
There's another confound there.
I mean, the confound is that people in stable marriages tend to be the children of stable marriages.
And there's only one way to break that cycle, which is to create a stable marriage.
And that is something that is in everyone's hands.
Again, this notion that it is somehow an unbreakable, unshatterable barrier to get married and have kids.
I don't understand where this is coming from.
Why is that such a challenge?
I don't think it's unbreakable or unshatterable.
I was just, the initial point was for school, if we can provide a minimum level of educational
stuff for children, that'd probably be good.
But when we retreat back to, well, it has to be the families that are fixed first, fixing
families is a multivariate problem that has so many to do.
I am fine. Within my local community, we all vote. Again, I've suggested that there's
a difference between local community and federal. I'm fine with my local community voting for
school lunches or air conditioning or whatever it is that we all agree to do because the more
local you get, the more homogeneity you get in terms of interest and the more interest you have
in your neighbors. All of that's fine. I'm part of a very, very solid community. In our community,
we give to each other. We have minimum standards of helping one another. All of that's fine. I'm part of a very, very solid community. In our community, we give to each other. We have minimum standards of helping one another. All that's wonderful. When it comes to the actual problem of education,
what I object to in the political sphere, and this happens all the time, is everybody is arguing on top of the iceberg
about how we can move the needle 0.5 percentage point as opposed to the entire iceberg melting beneath them.
And we just ignore that and we pretend that that's just you know sort of the natural consequence of thing the arc of history
suggests that people are never going to get married again. Well, I mean actually what the
arc of history suggests realistically speaking is that the people who are not getting married
are not going to be having kids and what it also suggests that people who are married are going
to be having kids and so the demographic profile actually over time is rather going to shift
toward people who are having lots and lots of kids. I'm married, I have four kids.
Everyone in my community is married.
It's like minimum buying in my community is four kids.
And so what's happening actually in terms of demographics is that the people who are
more religious and getting married are having more kids.
And so if you're talking about the archivistory shifting toward marriage, I would suggest that actually
demographically over time, long periods of time, not over one generation, over long periods of time,
the only cure for low birth rate
is going to be the people who get married
and have lots of kids.
Yeah, I don't necessarily disagree with any of that,
but I'm just saying that, again, on the,
on the Europe side, when I bring up the term,
marry-go-round, I think that there are good conversations
to be had about people getting married
because stable families produce stable children
that are less likely to commit crime,
that are more likely to go to school,
that are more likely to be productive members of society,
et cetera, et cetera.
I'm not gonna disagree with you on any of that. All of that is true. It's crime, that are more likely to go to school, that are more likely to be productive members of society, et cetera, et cetera. I'm not going to disagree with you on any of that.
All of that is true.
It's just frustrating that sometimes when you bring up any problem, all of it will circle
back to other things that makes it seem like we can't make any progress in any area without
like fixing something.
In what way?
I mean, I literally just told you that on the local level, I'm fine for people voting
for air conditioning.
Yeah, but so for instance, on the local level, so for school funding, school funding is done,
I think generally per district.
So what do you do when you have poor districts that can't afford air conditioner for their
schools?
I mean, the idea there would be that presumably if the society, meaning the state, and I generally
don't mean the federal state, I mean, like the state of California, for example, decides
that everybody ought to have air conditioning, people will vote for air conditioning, and
that's perfectly legal.
And I don't think there's anything morally objectionable about that per se.
I also don't think that that's going to heal anything remotely
like the central problem.
And I think that what tends to happen in terms of government
is people love arguing about the problems that can be solved
by opening a wallet and nobody likes to solve a problem
by closing their sex life to one person, for example,
or having kids within a stable religious community.
Like the things that actually build society,
I'm fine with arguing about each of these policies.
And whether we apply them or not
is a matter generally of pragmatism, not morality.
It's a matter of incentive structures, not per se, morality.
Because incentive structures do have moral underpinnings.
There's such a thing as, for example,
if you're gonna use a welfare program,
you have to decide how effective it is to what crowd it applies,
where the cutoffs are, does it disincentivize work, does not... All of these are pragmatic
concerns. But on a moral level, the generalized objection that I have to people on the left side
of the aisle is that they like to focus in these conversations very often it feels as though it's
a conversation with people who are drunk searching under the lamp for their keys.
The problems they wanna look at
are the problems that are solved by government.
And then all the problems they don't wanna look at
which are the actual giant monsters lurking in the dark
and not particularly solved by government
are the ones they want to ignore
and assume are just the natural state of things.
And I don't think that's correct at all.
And I one billion percent agree.
And then obviously my criticism for the conservative side
is the exact opposite where there are parts where government could remedy some issues.
For instance, you know, children having sex with each other and producing other children out of wedlock, like sometimes having after school programs is nice to prevent that.
Like I didn't have time for these things when I was in school. I was doing football practice. I was doing cross country practice. I went in early for a band, you know,
I agree with you that sometimes people only focus on one end of the problem as a I hate to be that guy.
But as somebody that have you ever watched the wire? Sure I'm not gonna say the wire is real life example
But like obviously there's only so much you can do in a school when the children coming in are so beyond destroyed because of the family life
And everything prior to them even getting to school that day
So I agree government is not like the solution to broken families that would never be the case and it's actually not the solution to
Education depending on the kind of solutions
that you're talking about.
Some solutions, yeah, some solutions, no.
Yeah, the only thing I'm looking at is,
as I said earlier, just like these minimum threshold things
where it's like, where can government make?
Cause you mentioned marginal, which I think
is a really good way to look at things.
There are marginal costs and marginal utility to things
where the first thousand dollars per student you spend
might give you a huge return,
but the extra 20,000 after is just a waste of money.
Yeah, I think these are all pragmatic discussions.
Sure, of course.
And actually, this is what we used to hash out in legislatures
before they turned into platforms for people grandstanding.
But yes.
Sure.
OK, yeah.
As we descend from the heavens of philosophical discussion
of conservatism and liberalism, let's go to the pragmatic muck
of politics.
Trump versus Biden, between the two of them,
who was in their first term the better president,
and thus who should win if the two of them are, in fact, our choices,
should win a second term in 2024? Ben?
Sure. So in terms of actual job performance, you have to separate it into a few categories.
In terms of actual performance in foreign policy,
I think Trump's foreign policy record
is significantly better than Biden's,
the world being on fire right now,
being a fairly good example of that.
And we can get into each aspect of the world being on fire
and where the incentive structures came from
and how all of that happened in a moment.
When it comes to the economy,
I think that Trump's economic record was better than Biden's.
Doesn't mean he didn't overspend.
He did, he wildly overspend.
But he also had a very solid record of job creation. A huge percentage of the gains in the economy went to people on the lower end of the economic spectrum. Actually, the gross income
to the average American rose about $6,000 during his term. The unemployment rates were very, very
low before COVID. I think that you almost have to separate the Trump administration
into sort of before COVID and during COVID
because COVID obviously is sort of a black swan event,
the most signal change in politics in our lifetime.
And so governance during COVID is almost its own category,
which we can discuss.
But in terms of foreign policy, in terms of domestic policy,
I think the Trump was significantly better
than Biden has been.
And that's on the upside for Trump. On the downside for Biden, obviously, you're talking
40 or higher inflation, you're talking about savings being eaten away, you're talking about
everything being 20 to 30 percent more expensive. You're talking about massive increases to the
deficit, even at a rate that was unknown under Trump. The deficit under Trump raised by about
a little under a trillion dollars every year up until 2020. Again, 2020 was COVID year,
so everybody decided that we're going to fire hose money at things. But then Joe Biden continued
to fire hose money at things in 21, 22, and 23. That obviously is, in my opinion, bad economic
policy. And then you get to the rhetoric and you get to the stuff that Donald Trump says. And as I
have said before, my view is that on Donald Trump's epitaph, on his gravestone, it will say
Donald Trump, he said a lot of shit. I Donald Trump, he's had a lot of shit.
I think that Donald Trump does say a lot of things.
I think that that is basically baked into the cake, which is why everyone who's bewildered by the polls is ignoring human nature, which is at the beginning, when you see something very shocking, it's very shocking.
And then if you see it over and over and over and over for years on end, it is no longer shocking.
It is just part of the background noise like tinnitus.
It just becomes, you know, something that your brain adjusts for. And so,
do I like a lot of Donald Trump's rhetoric? No, and I never have. Do I think that that is
just positive as to his presidency? No, I do not. When it comes to Biden, again, I think he's
underperforming economically. I think that his foreign policy has been really a problem. Even
the things I think he's done right are I think
band-aids for things that he created by doing wrong. And when it comes to his own rhetoric,
you can argue that it's grading on a curve because Trump was coming in with such wilds
rhetoric that just a maintenance of that wild rhetoric doesn't really change again the baseline.
For Biden, he came in in the same way that Obama did on the sort of soaring rhetoric
of American unity. I'm the president for all the Trump came in, he's like in the same way that Obama did on the sort of soaring rhetoric of American
unity. I'm the president for all. Trump came in, he's like, listen, I'm the president for
what I am. And I'm going to say the things I want to say. I'm beyond the toilet. I'm
tweeting. We're like, okay, you know, that's what it is. With Biden, he came in with, I'm
the president for all Americans. I'm trying to unify everybody. And that pretty quickly
broke down into a lot of oppositional language about his political opponents in particular
and attempt to lump in, for example,
huge swaths of the conservative movement with the people who participated, for example, in January
6th or who are fans of January 6th. And, you know, the sort of lumping in of everybody into
Mago Republicans who wasn't personally signed on to an infrastructure bill with him. That sort of
stuff, I think, has been truly terrible. I thought his Philadelphia speech was truly terrible. And again, I think that you do have the problem of he is no
longer capable of certainly rhetorically unifying the country when every speech from him feels like
watching Nick Walenda walk across a volcano on a tightrope. It really is like you're just sort
of waiting for him to fall. I mean, it's sad to say, I mean, the other day he was speaking for what was in
effect his campaign kickoff and this is in Valley Forge.
And I mean, Jill rushed up there like off that, off as soon as he was done, Jill
rushed up there, you know, like she'd been shot out of a cannon to come and try
to guide him away.
So he didn't become the Shane Gillis Roomba.
And, you know, that's not really, you know, let's put it this way.
It does not quiet the soul to watch Joe Biden rhetorically.
Again, it's a different problem than Trump's problem.
But that's my analysis.
This is one of the areas where we get into this.
I don't understand if there's like brain breaking happening or what's going on.
I don't know what world we can ever live in where we say that Trump is less divisive for
the country than Biden. I think it is so patently obvious. Trump is less divisive for the country than Biden. I think it is so
patently obvious. Trump is so divisive. Not only does Trump make an enemy out of every person in
the opposition party, he makes an enemy out of his own party and every single person around him.
Like we all watched him bully Jeff Sessions. We all watched him bully his own party on Twitter.
We all watched all of these people walk away from him. Even recently, I think
party on Twitter, we all watched like all of these people walk away from him. Even recently, I think, his secretary of defense, Esper and John Kelly, the chief of staff,
were saying, I think Trump is a threat to democracy.
You've got all of his prior people that were around him, some of his closest allies.
You've got Bill Barr that won't co-sign a single thing that he says.
You've got all these people that he used to work with that all say Trump is a horrible,
evil person
He is ineffective as a leader. He doesn't accomplish anything and he didn't you know to say that Biden has failed at bipartisanship when we you know
We've gotten the chips act. We've gotten the IRA. We've gotten the ARP
We've gotten the bipartisan infrastructure bill when we've got like all this major legislation that is working in this historically divided Congress as
opposed to Trump that got us tax cuts and deficit spending I
Don't understand where we ever are in this world where Biden is somehow more divisive
than Trump.
Even the speeches that Ben is bringing up, they always bring up.
I remember that one, I think we might have even done it on our episode, the one speech
that Biden gave were at one point that the background is red.
And-
That was the Philly speech I referenced.
Yeah, and they're like, oh my God, it's over.
This is the end.
And then meanwhile you've got Donald Trump,
coming into office saying things like,
if you burn the flag,
you should have your citizenship revoked.
Or talking about MSDNC,
that I'm gonna investigate every single one of these
media organizations for corruptness.
I'm gonna open the libel and defamation laws.
I'm gonna take all of these guys to court.
You've got this weird project 2025 stuff where,
is it John Paschal, I think, is talking about, you know, we're gonna, we're gonna investigate
all of these people and we're gonna try to throw crimes at all these people. Trump is like the
most divisive president I think we've ever had in, at least in my lifetime of being an American
citizen and the rhetoric from him is just it's on a whole other level in terms of the demonization of political opponents
I mean, this is a guy that's known for giving his political opponents bad nicknames, right? Like that's what Trump does
You know, like it's funny, but even as a resident of Florida if Florida had another natural disaster
Do you think Trump would withhold aid because you had I think that was one of the few nice things that DeSantis actually said about Biden was that like, hey, listen, you know, when the buildings collapsed
in, I think that was in Miami Beach, yeah, that, you know, for the hurricane stuff that
Biden was there, he was saying, if you guys need aid, however many billions you can have
it. Meanwhile, Trump, I think, was threatening to withhold federal funding from blue states
that wouldn't, I think it had to do with the National Guard stuff, the deployment of the
National Guard that they weren't like doing enough for the riots.
And Trump was threatening to withhold aid from some of these blue states.
Yeah, Trump is literally the most divisive person in the world. I don't see how on any metric he is ever succeeding in the divisive category.
In terms of the economy, I do think it's funny that Republicans are very keen to say that, like, well, we can't really grade Trump, you know, post-COVID,
because obviously COVID messed everything up, which is fair.
But pre-COVID, what did Trump do?
Yeah, he did deficit spending tax cuts.
He presided over historic low interest rates and an economy that was already blazing past
the final years of Obama.
We were posting all-time highs and all the stock markets in 2013 onwards.
Unemployment rates were falling.
Now, under Biden, unemployment rates are even lower than they were under Trump. But it sucks that for Trump, we can say, well, we can't really hold
him accountable for 2020. That was COVID. Well, all we have for Biden is post COVID. We don't
have any pre COVID Biden economy. And it was the same thing for Obama too, coming in right
after the housing collapse as well. And it sucks that Republicans are able to walk out
of office, having burned the entire American society to the ground economically.
And now we've got to try to evaluate, okay, well, what did Obama do during his first two
to three to four years just trying to recover from where the housing crash left it?
And then we look at Biden now who's trying to recover from COVID and now we're grading
him on a totally different scale than what Trump is being graded on.
Yeah, that, that sucks, I think.
We can go into...
Can you comment on the foreign policy?
On the foreign policy, I'm going to be honest, I am very liberal, I'm very not progressive.
I'll probably come off as more hawkish than others, because I'm not a big fan of this,
which also, if Ben agrees, I think people like Trump are going to be the most dovish,
isolationist people ever. They don't want to do anything internationally.
They just want to protect America, be at home, protect our economy, don't do anything internationally,
which is why he was constantly undermining NATO and constantly attacking the European Union
and cheering on the UK for brexitting away from the EU.
I think that being said, I think that Biden has done a phenomenal job when it comes to foreign policy.
I think that the coalition building was so important for Ukraine, Russia, and I'm so
happy that he decided to go to our European allies and our NATO allies and try to build
a coalition of people to help Ukraine so that that wasn't only the United States.
Personally, especially after doing a whole bunch of research, I do tend to side with
Israel over Palestine and a lot of the Israeli-Palestinian conflicts.
I'm glad that Biden, while remaining a staunch defender of Israel, is trying to rein in some
of the more aggressive posturing towards the Palestinians and the Gaza Strip.
I'm proud that Biden said, hey, listen, we're going to delay some of these attacks.
Hey, listen, we are going to allow humanitarian aid here.
Hey, listen, we are going to try to not kill as many Palestinian people down there, while still signaling that he would be a staunch supporter of Israel
in the conflict, assuming the civilian casualties don't go too high. For foreign policy, I
mean, blemishes. I mean, the biggest one you can give to Biden is Afghanistan and the
poll out there. But man, are we gonna talk about, you know, the Inspector General report that says
one of the biggest reasons why the Afghanistan pullout
was so disastrous was because of the Doha Accords,
where Donald Trump headed talks
that didn't even include the Afghanistan army.
I mean, like these were disasters.
But like when Biden took office,
we had 2,500 troops left in Afghanistan.
Like what was the options even afforded to Biden
at that point?
Obviously you've got the abandonment of the Kurds in northern Syria, you know, for the Turkish
armies to lay waste to. I can talk about Iran and North Korea, although I'm not sure where
then would land on those, but yeah, that's a broadly... That's a lot from both the way you want
to pick at something we disagree with here. Well, I mean, there's a lot. So, I mean, so I want to
ask a few questions on each one of these. Yeah, sure.
So let's let's talk about divisiveness for a second.
So there's no one who can make the case that Donald Trump is not divisive.
Of course, he's incredibly divisive.
It's a given.
Do you treat Biden's rhetoric with the same level of seriousness
that you treat Trump's rhetoric?
Or I should probably put that the other way around.
Should we treat Trump's rhetoric with the same level of seriousness as Joe Biden or say Barack Obama's rhetoric?
I'm going to try to be concise. Broadly speaking, especially in studying Israel, Palestine, and
you could rush up, I try not to take politicians out their word because sometimes they just say
stuff to say stuff. I understand that. But broadly speaking, I'm going to look at the
rhetoric and the actions and I am going to grade them the same. So yes, I would hold Biden and
Trump to the same standards. Right. So my am gonna grade them the same. So yes, I would hold Biden and Trump
to the same standards.
Right, so my feeling is, and this is one area
where for clarification, we're gonna have a division,
is that I of course don't treat Trump's rhetoric
in the same way that I treat Biden's or Obama's.
He's utterly uncalibrated and he says whatever he wants to
at any given time, and it doesn't even match up
with his policy very often.
Can I ask you, like, for our head of state,
our chief executive, shouldn't rhetoric be
arguably one of the most important things that he does?
I mean, the answer would be yes. And now I've been given a choice between a person who I think
in calibrated ways says things that are divisive and a person who in uncalibrated ways says things
that are divisive. And so the evidence that Joe Biden is divisive is every poll taken since essentially August of 2021.
He he is by all available metrics, incredibly divisive.
A huge percentage of Americans are deeply unhappy, not only with his performance,
but don't believe his uniter.
They're they're that's just the reality.
And that may just be a reflection.
I mean, honestly, we may be putting too much on Trump or Biden personally.
It may just be that the American people themselves are rhetorically divided
because of social media
and social media can in fact be accessible.
And all that.
One thing that I would ask you about that though,
is I agree, especially when you look at the favorability,
but sometimes when I look at these polls,
when you start to disaggregate them by party,
I wonder if it's actually, is Biden historically divisive
or I'm trying to think of a really polite way to say this,
the people that like Trump worship Trump
I don't know I like one of the most prescient things that Trump could have probably ever said was that I could kill someone on
Fifth Street and nobody would so I'll make on a bullseye
Is it really that Biden's certainly divisive or is it that every single Trump supporter will always say that Trump is great?
I know I the reason I would say that that Biden is in fact historically divisive is because Republicans felt much more strongly about
Barack Obama, I agree then Joe Biden actually but they didn't feel as strongly about Barack Obama than Joe Biden actually.
But they didn't feel as strongly about Trump as they did about like Romney or McCain.
Right. In what way? I mean, the allegiance to Trump.
Oh, no, there's certainly more allegiance to Trump than it is to Romney or McCain,
largely because Trump won in 2016. But beyond that, the point that I'm making is that if you're
looking at the stats in terms of divisiveness, Republicans always find that Democratic president
divisive. The question is where the rest of the country is. of divisiveness, Republicans always find the Democratic president divisive.
The question is where the rest of the country is.
And right now, there are a lot of Democrats
who either don't agree with Biden or find a divisive.
There are a lot of independents who find him divisive.
So when we're comparing these things,
I don't think there are leagues apart
in terms of the divisive effects of what they say.
And I'm separating that off from the inherent content
of what they say, because obviously what Trump says
is more divisive just on like the raw level.
I mean, if he's insulting people as opposed to Joe Biden doing MAGA Republicans, like if I were to just, if I were an alien come down from space and look at these two statements,
I'd say this one's more divisive than this one.
But then there's the reality of being a human being in the world and that is everyone has baked Donald Trump into the cake.
And Joe Biden, again, started off with a patina of being non-devisive and now has emerged as divisive.
If you don't mind, I actually want to get to the foreign policy questions because this one is actually slightly less interesting to me.
Sure.
Well, can I add just one quick thing, I guess, like, because we can say the reality of it and we can look at opinion polls.
What if we look at like legislative accomplishments, like Biden is working on a 50-50 divided Senate.
Donald Trump had both House of Congress and the Supreme Court and
got like no major legislation passed.
Well, I mean, he did lose Congress in 2018.
But prior to that, we got the infrastructure bill, I think, in one year, which Trump promised
for his entire presidency.
He didn't get anywhere on it.
Well, I mean, yes, his Republican base was not in favor of mass spending on infrastructure,
and neither am I.
So there's that.
I think that's mostly a state and local issue.
But they were in favor of mass spending for tax cuts?
That's not a spending.
I mean, it is.
I mean, effectively it is, right?
Effectively it's not.
Well, if you're cutting tax receipts,
but you're not changing the level of spending,
like Biden did with the IRA.
Again, we have a fundamental philosophical difference here.
I think that when the government takes my money,
that is not the government somehow
being more fiscally responsible.
And when the government allows me to keep my money
I don't see that as the government spending
I see that as my money and the government is taking less of it. That's great
But at the end of the day the government is still going to be in a deficit spending and they're gonna have to borrow money from the treasure
Right, we have a spending problem in other words not a receipts problem is the case that I'm making the problem with with Donald Trump
Is not that he lowered taxes the United States has one of the most progressive tax systems on the planet
And in fact if you wish to have a European style social welfare state, well, you actually need to tax the middle class to death. I mean,
the reality is that the top 20% of the American population pays literally all that taxes in
the United States after after state benefits and all of this. So if you actually wanted to have
the kind of social welfare state that many liberals seem to want to have like Northern
Europe, for example, you'd actually have to tax people who make 40, 50, $60,000. And I don't
want that. I agree with that.
So-
But how do you explain the lack of legislation?
I mean-
If he's like such a uniter.
Because I think the Republican Party itself
is quite divided and I think that Trump's-
But isn't that his job?
He's the head of the Republican Party.
He's the president, Republican president
of the United States.
I mean, again, I don't think that Joe Biden
has passed wildly historic legislation.
The other thing-
The structure of it was the largest like-
So here's the problem.
If you're a Republican,
the only bills that you can get consensus on
tend to be bills that either,
that, let's be real about this,
that are tax cuts because,
as you would, I think, agree with,
when it comes to polling data,
Americans constantly say they want to cut the government.
And then the minute you ask them which program,
they have no idea what they're, right.
Exactly.
And so trying to, it's much harder to come up with a bill to cut things than it is to come up with a bill to add things.
Which is why spending was out of control under Trump as well.
But there are some Republicans who still don't want to spend on those things, right?
So inherently, the task that this goes back to the first question, the task that Republicans think government is there to do,
is different than the task that Democrats think that government is there to do.
So the way that the very metric of success for a Democratic president versus a Republican president,
namely, for example, pieces of legislation passed as a Republican, one of my goals is to pass an
early no legislation because I don't actually want the government involved in more areas of our life.
I want to ask a couple of questions on the foreign policy. Sure. Yeah. Okay. Wait,
real real quick. Just so for instance, like Donald Trump wanted to punish China and he wanted to
bring a microprocessor manufacturer the United States. Biden did that with legislation with a Yeah, okay, wait real real quick just so for instance like Donald Trump wanted to punish China and he wanted to bring
Micro processor manufacturer the United States Biden did that with legislation with a chips act you talk about like spending being out of control and I mean I can agree with that
I think anybody looks at the numbers has to agree with that
But why not pass legislation like the inflation reduction act which is at least like spending neutral right like why are there not bills
Where Donald Trump could take well
I mean at first so I think that whenever the government says something is spending neutral, it rarely materializes that way.
That is not going to be a spending neutral bill.
Sure.
But there's a difference between like, at least they say it's spending neutral
versus this is a $500 billion bill over like 10 years.
I mean, well, but again, I don't see a tax cut as a matter of course,
spending neutrality.
The big problem is they keep spending, not that they are allowing me to keep
the money that I earned and they did not earn.
But.
OK.
So then just to understand, so if somebody just did massive, like,
reductions in tax receipts,
so tax cut after tax cut after tax cut, but they didn't change spending at all, you wouldn't
consider that an increase in deficit spending or out of control spending, you would just
say they're just tax cuts?
No, the opposite. I would consider it a wild overspending.
Okay.
Meaning, so then was it under Trump then when he did the tax?
I mean, the deficit spending by the way under Biden is way worse than it was under Trump.
Of course, but we're in post-COVID, right?
COVID ended effectively, I mean you live in Florida, COVID effectively ended in the state
of Florida by the middle of 2021. Even if you're a vaccine fan, by April-May of 2021,
there was wide availability of vaccines. Whether or not you liked the vaccines,
and at that point, we were done. I agree, but we're in a post, how many
trillions of dollars have been dumped in worldwide that are like leading to inflation, right?
The inflation is like a worldwide issue right now because of the economy shutting down for a year or two.
It's not like those effects are gone in one year, right?
COVID might be gone, but the after effects of all the stimulus spending and the unemployment and everything else.
The definition of inflation is too much money chasing too few goods.
So pouring more money on top of that makes for more inflation. That's what it does.
Sure, I agree.
But like there's also the definition of when do you deficit spend is when economies
are headed for recessions, right, rather than when economies are doing really well, like they
were under Trump and he was deficit spending, whereas Biden can at least make the argument
that I should I ought to be deficit spending because the economy is heading for potential
recession. So here's the thing, I don't think that the economy was actually headed for a session
in. In fact, if you look at the economic statistics,
no, they're still saying that there's like a recession coming, right? Right. But that was largely because of the after effects of inflation, meaning if you look at the economic statistics. Every economist said it was. No, they're still saying that there's like a recession coming, right?
Right. But that was largely because of the after effects of inflation,
meaning if you inflate the economy, what you are going to end up doing is bursting a bubble.
And then when that bubble bursts, you'll get a recession.
I mean, that was the basic idea, right?
The question was whether you're going to get the soft landing.
But if you actually look at, for example, the employment statistics or the economic growth
statistics in the United States, what they look like under the last years, Obama and then Trump,
I mean, is what the chart looks like. It looks like this. And then it hits March of 2020. It goes like that.
Yeah. Right. And then by like September, it bounces back up, right? It's a V shaped recovery. And then it starts to peter out. Sure.
A lot because of the American recovery plan, right? That Biden did as well.
I mean, four million jobs, yeah.
No, I'm not going to attribute it to that because the rates of growth in in job growth from September October November
We're actually very similar to the rates of job growth after Joe Biden took office
Well, you see is actually kind of a straight line
I mean what the chart looks like get all in any case. Okay, so on the foreign policy stuff
This is getting him strews, but on the foreign policy stuff. So
The the questions that I have with regard to Biden on foreign policy
Very very simple question.
Do you think that the situation in the Middle East is better now than it was under Donald Trump?
Probably.
That's a hard one.
The factors that I'm making right now are like, obviously, you've got the Israel-Palestinian war that's going on right now
Which is kind of bad, but like broadly speaking
I'm not sure how much that affects the Middle East as much as like the collapse of Syria
2013 Syrian civil war sent millions of immigrants throughout all of Europe, which was under
Which was under Obama and continued under Trump. Trump didn't do anything to alleviate any of the Syrian civil war
In turn, I did Syria end up as a preserve of Russia again. How did Syria do anything to alleviate any of the Syrian civil war.
In turn, I did Syria end up as a preserve of Russia again.
How did Syria end up as a preserve of Russia? Yes, why did it end up being essentially a client state of Russia?
I know that Putin enjoys access to the ports down there.
I don't know.
I mean, the reason is because Barack Obama suggested that there was a red line
that would be drawn in the face of chemical weapons use.
Bashar al-Sahid then used chemical weapons in Syria, and Barack Obama was unwilling to then
essentially create consequences for Syria
in the form of any sort of Western strike.
And so instead he outsourced to Tera Shah.
This is 2013, 2014.
Do you think there might have been some hesitancy
after seeing how Libya ended up
that maybe us like intervening?
Who was president during Libya?
Yeah.
Sorry, but what does that have to do with anything?
I'm just saying that there might have been like a mistake learned. The point that I'm making is that actually the Middle East, I mean like it's how the but what does that have to do with it? I mean, it might have been like a mistake
learned that actually the Middle East. I mean, just historically speaking was historically
good under Donald Trump. I mean, it's very difficult to make the case that either before
or after Trump were better than during Donald Trump was a good. I mean, the Syrian, I don't think
that Trump contributed to the Syrian situation and improving much. I mean, he did wreck ISIS,
which was in the...
I mean, ISIS had been getting wrecked by the Kurds in Iraq, by every single person, by Assad's army,
by Putin, by Turkey.
Literally, everybody was fighting against ISIS at that point.
There was a spike in violence, and then the Trump...
I mean, you get credit for when you're president, presumably.
I mean, things got better with ISIS under Trump.
I mean, yeah, they did.
I mean, things got worse with ISIS under Obama. For sure. He called they did. I mean, things got worse with ISIS under Obama.
For sure.
He called them the JV Squad.
Sure.
And then they became not the JV Squad.
Yeah, but I don't know if ISIS is originating in Syria
and Baghdadi and all of the growth of that
is necessarily Obama's fault.
I know that we like to say that Obama created ISIS.
I don't know if you say that, but I've heard that saying a lot.
I think that's a little bit simplistic.
I don't think that when I'm looking at actions that presidents have taken, the biggest criticism I have for Middle Eastern policy is,
I think the Doha Accords were a disaster. And I think that's one of the biggest blemishes that
we have right now. I would also argue that moving the embassy to Jerusalem was also kind of silly
and arguably contributed to some of the conflict we see right now between Israel and Palestine.
I'll argue precisely the opposite, especially given the fact that after the movement of the
embassy to Jerusalem, the Abraham Accords continued to
sign and actually expand. And that if Donald Trump had been elected, I have no doubt in my mind that
Saudi Arabia would now be a part of the Abraham Accords. In fact, that was basically pre-negotiated.
And then when Joe Biden took office, Joe Biden took a very anti-Saudi stance on a wide variety of
issues. The biggest single effect in the Middle East of Joe Biden's presidency. And again, I agree with you that not every foreign policy issue
can be laid at the hands of a president. Joe Biden's main approach to the Middle East was
very similar to the Obama approach, which is why the Middle East was chaotic under Obama
and chaotic under Biden. And that was to alienate allies like Saudi Arabia and Israel, and instead
to try to make common cause or cut deals with Iran.
What that did is incentivize terrorism from Iran.
What we're watching in the Middle East is Iran attempting to use every one of its terror proxies in the Middle East.
And it was specifically launched in an attempt to avoid what Biden actually was trying to, which was good,
which was after two years of failure with Saudi Arabia, try to bring them into the Abraham Accords, right?
That was what was burgeoning at the end of last year.
And Iran saw that and Iran decided that they were going to throw a grenade into the Abraham Accords. Right? That was what was burgeoning at the end of last year. And Iran saw that. And Iran decided that they were going to
throw a grenade into the middle of those negotiations by essentially activating Hamas.
Hamas activates, Hamas commits October 7th. Israel, as a sovereign nation state, has to
respond to the murder of 1200 of its citizens and the taking kidnapping of 240. Israel has
to do that not only to go after its own hostages and try to restore them, but also to reestablish
military deterrence in the most violent region of the world.
Qizbala gets active on Israel's northern border.
Qizbala is an Iranian proxy.
They get active on the northern border.
The Houthis in Yemen get active.
These are all, the only reason all this is happening
at the same time is because Iran is doing this, right?
And not just that, they're threatening global shipping.
If you're talking about the effects of global supply lines,
which I totally agree, had a major inflationary effect on the economy thanks to COVID,
right now the cost of shipping is nearly double
what it was just a few weeks ago.
And that is because a ragtag group of Houthi barbarians
are attacking international shipping
and forcing everybody to stop using the Babel Mountain
to demonstrate instead of going around
in the Cape of Good Hope in Africa.
All of that is the result of the fact
that Joe Biden reoriented the United States
in the very early days in favor of a more pro-Iranian stance,
he appointed Robert Mallet to negotiate the Iran deal,
who as it turns out was using proxies.
Many of his aides were actually taking money from Iran.
The Biden administration, literally one of their first acts
was to delist the Houthis as a terror organization
and sanctions against the Houthis. These are
all moves that Biden made very early on. They were disastrous moves. But when it comes to
domestic policy, I think he hasn't been nearly as damn much as domestic policy.
Hold on, let's do- Sure, sure. So just on a couple of Middle East things. So one of the big things
that threw the Middle East into disaster was what we all traumatized by it now was the
Iraq evasion, which I'm on a Republican president. You agree with that, right?
Sure. The deposition of Saddam Hussein and everything that followed after probably contributed more
to the growth of ISIS and the destabilization of that entire region, probably more than
anything else. I think that prior to Bush for Clinton, and even at the beginning of
Bush's presidency, we were on some kind of road to normalcy with Iran, which I think
has to happen, whether we like them or not, until Bush, for whatever reason, decides to
throw Iran into the axis of evil.
It means to me that we're on a road to normalcy with Iran in the 1990s.
Do in the way what?
That we're on a road to normalcy with Iran in the 1990s.
My understanding is that from the late 90s and prior to the axis of evil labeling of
Iran, that there was going to be some path forward to where we could start to normalize
relationships with them.
I find that very difficult to believe and I don't see a lot of evidence.
I mean, we can just disagree on that.
Sure. Yeah, sure. We can disagree on that.
But I know that the after effects, just quick note,
the after effect of the Iraq war that was the most devastating
was the increase in power of Iran.
I agree. Yeah.
Because of the destabilization of Iraq and Iraq not having a
government there that was functional for at least a decade and was in fact
the Sunni government, right?
Originally it was the Sunni government disbanding.
The Sunni army was one of the worst things that the Bush administration
did ending all the former both parties
I'm sorry. Yeah all horrible under republican president
But just agree that the yeah that that probably contributed more to ISIS to the growth of power in Iran
Maybe even to the de-civilization of Syria probably more than anything that Obama did
Also the when we look at Iran funding people in the region, I don't disagree with that as well.
I think Iran is the number one instigator of bad guy things right now in the Middle East. Iran,
the IRGC, I supported when Donald Trump killed Soleimani. I think that was a great thing.
I think that Iran is a major problem. However, I don't know if the path forward is constantly
being a belligerent to Iran or trying to figure out some road to normalcy. I don't know if the
collapse of Iran or the destruction of that country, considering how unpopular, yeah,
he totally even is there, like the citizens of Iran. I don't think our big supporters of the
government there. I feel like moving on a path where, you know, let's do our nuclear inspections.
We had that Iranian nuclear deal that Trump pulled out of. Let's do the nuclear inspections.
Make sure you're not on a way to nuclear weapons. Let's unfreeze some funds. Let's move in some
direction where we get on a good term with you. I feel like that's the most
important thing that needs to happen in the Middle East. As much as people like to look at the
Abraham Accords, who cares if, what was it, Bahrain, I think Oman, I think the UAE and Morocco,
yeah, all of these people, even Saudi Arabia, already have de facto normalization with Israel
anyway. They're all trading. No, to pretend that anybody even 15 years ago would have been talking about normalization,
Saudi Arabia and Israel is insane. They were already on that path. They had already been
trading. They were already de facto trading partners with each other. They had already
been collaborating and doing things. That's a wild claim that Israel and Saudi Arabia were
going to normalize 15 years ago. 15 years ago might have been a wild claim.
But after Turkey, after Jordan, and then in the past like 20 years of like economic relations
and ties with each other, all of the leadership in the Middle East, and you'll agree with this,
look at Israel, then they go, okay, well, we've got Palestinians who, you know, God bless them,
do nothing. And then you've got Israel, which is on a region with no natural resources,
has somehow become like an economic giant.
They're good at trade with their populations educated.
They have military power.
All of the leadership in these Middle Eastern countries are wanting to be friendly with
Israel and are engaging in trade de facto with Israel.
And the idea that like the UAE and Bahrain were brought in to say like, oh, well, now
we're going to officially say this.
I just...
Those are the first steps toward obviously the formation of a new Middle East in which
Economics would predominate over sectarian conflict the chief obstacle to that is Iran I agree notion that you that that negotiations with the ayatollah. We're going to be a solution to any of this is
Do we think absolutely tonight? Are the is it the Abrahamic courts? That's convincing Saudi Arabia to take a stance against Iran
No, I mean there are already fighting with each other, right?
I don't think the Abrahamic courts moved us
any closer towards any type of real peace in the region.
What has to happen is something has to happen with Iran.
There has to be some diplomatic bilateral communication there.
No, what has to happen is the containment of Iran,
which was what was taking place
with the increased normalization
with the Sunni Arab world and Israel
combined with significant economic sanctions.
The notion that there's this far-fetched notion in foreign policy circles that diplomacy can
sort of be wish-cast out of thin air, that if you sit around a table that you can always come to
an agreement with somebody, the Ayatollahs do not have common interests with the United States.
They do not. And this idea that they are willing to take money in exchange for, for example,
some sort of peaceful acquiescence to Israel's existence
is obviously untrue.
They're literally funding.
Hasn't that been the case though?
That you've had a region with tons of sectarian violence
for a long time and then finally Turkey was like,
you know what, this isn't worth it.
The United States paid them a lot of money.
They had conversations with Israel and you know what?
The economy, the economic gains.
I mean, the relation and the same thing with Jordan.
The same thing with the Turkish politics. mean, Jordan's saying the same thing with
not to get into Turkish politics.
Sure, yeah.
But the situation with Turkey was actually quite warm
between Israel and Turkey in the 90s
when you had the sort of secular Muslim regime
in the 90s, but they signed Eastern.
But they signed Eastern.
And now Erdogan has joined in the fray,
and Erdogan is significantly more radical than what he was.
So sorry.
If I said Turkmen in Egypt, my bad.
Yeah, okay, so yeah.
Right, so yeah.
So in terms of like Egypt and Jordan, right?
Were the first two big ones.
You need, here's the thing.
Is it possible that you could theoretically come to a deal
with Iran only with a new leadership crew?
Okay, this is true for every peace agreement in the region.
You could not, Israel could not have made peace with...
Well, they made peace with Egypt and Sadat was the leader for Yom Kippur.
They did not make peace with Nasser.
The point is that this is a different regime. You need a different regime.
But I'm saying the same regime that did the part of the Yom Kippur war
was the same regime that negotiated peace with Israel.
I mean, that's true. It is also true that that is a relationship that could be cultivated specifically because
It was Sadat who made clear he was gonna come to the table
Mm-hmm have the Iranians ever made clear that they would come to the table over for example the existence of the state of Israel
Oh, no
That is not a thing that's going to happen
But I think people probably every single one of their proxy every one of them not only calls for the destruction of the state of Israel
They also call for the destruction of America.
I mean, this is literally the Houthi slogan.
They're busy hitting ships and their slogan is literally
Al-Hu'aqbar, death to America, death to the Jews, death to Israel.
It doesn't fit on a bumper sticker, but it's not all like Hetchie,
but that is in fact their slogan.
The notion that the regime that propagates that is going to be approached
with diplomacy is not only wrong.
The problem is that it's easy to say,
the stakes of diplomacy are, okay,
so we try to talk, right?
Jaw-jaw is better than war war.
Sure, the only problem is that in the Middle East,
weakness is taken as a sign that aggression
might be an appropriate response.
That is how things work in the Middle East.
And the fact that Joe Biden, rather,
came into office with an orientation toward continuing the Biden, the Obama policies in Iran has led to conflagrations, these sort of brush fires breaking out everywhere that Iran has borders with either the West or Israel or both.
Right. Any place that's happening is leading to brush fires because again, the logic of violence in the Middle East is not quite the logic of violence in other places in the world.
By the way, I think the logic of violence in the Middle East is actually closer to what
most international politics looks like than we wish that it were.
I mean, I think that's part of what's happening in Ukraine as well.
So you think that...
Which brings me, by the way, here's my question about Ukraine.
Sure.
We'll just go around.
And then you can see this in the corner.
So you think that for Iran, a country that has been sanctioned for God knows how many
years, now you think that for Iran just continuing to sanction them and contain them is an effective way,
is more effective than trying to engage them in bilateral or multilateral peace talks?
Yes, 100%. And the proof is in the pudding.
Before we go to Ukraine, can I ask about Israel? So you're both mostly in agreement.
But what is Israel doing right? What is Israel doing wrong in this very specific current
war in Gaza?
Um, I mean frankly, I think that what Israel's doing wrong is if I were Israel, okay?
Like again, America's interests are not coincident with Israel's interests. If I were an Israeli leader, I
Would have still have up and I would have knocked the bleep out of Hezbollah early.
What does that mean?
What does that mean?
So, I would have, I would have, Y'all go on to, as the Defense Minister of Israel was encouraging Netanyahu,
who's the Prime Minister, and the War Cabinet, including Benny Gahn.
So, whenever people talk about the Netanyahu government, that's not what's in place right now.
There's a unity war government in place that includes the political opposition.
The reason I point that out is because there are a lot of people politically who will suggest that the actions Israel is currently taking are somehow the
Manifestation of a right-wing government Israel currently does not have a quote-unquote right-wing government
They have unity government that includes the opposition in any case
Yovgal was urging in the very early days of the war that Israel should turn north and instead of hitting Hamas
They should actually take the opportunity to knock his ball out because this ball is significantly more dangerous to the existence of the state of Israel
Then Hamas I actually agree with that as far as what Israel has been doing wrong in the actual war. I mean, I think that
Again from an American perspective, I think that Israel is doing pretty well from an Israeli perspective fire Israeli
I would actually want Israel to be less
Loose about sending its soldiers in on the ground level.
So Israel's attempting to minimize civilian casualties,
and the cost of that has been the highest military death toll
that Israel has had since the 1973 Gomkippur War.
I mean, I personally know through one degree of separation,
three separate people have been killed in Gaza.
And that's because they're going in door to door.
It's because they're attempting to minimize civilian casualties.
And they're losing a lot of
guys in this particular war. The problem that Israel has had, historically speaking, is that
Israel got very complacent about its own security situation. They believe the technology was going
to somehow correct for the hatred on the other side of the wall. Okay, so are people have to live
underground for two weeks at a time? Well, some rockets fall, but at least it's not a war. And that complacence, you know, bred
what happened on October 7. So to me, what Israel did wrong was years and years and years
of complacence and belief in an Oslo system that is at root a failure, because you cannot
make a peace agreement with people who do not want to make peace with you. So that that's
what I think is really doing wrong. I have a feeling that there's going to be
wide divergence on this point.
Maybe.
So in terms of broadly speaking,
I generally oppose settlement expansion
is a thing that Israel does incorrectly
that I think is kind of like provocative
to at least all the Palestinians in the West Bank.
And I probably energize his hatred
in the Gaza Strip for them as well.
In terms of conducting warfare, the one thing that I always say to everybody, especially
Americans, is you can't evaluate things from an American perspective.
It's very stupid.
It happened a lot with Ukraine where people were like, oh, well, didn't they work with
the Nazis?
And like, weren't the Soviets the good guys?
And it's like, well, in other parts of the world, it's not quite as simple.
And I think the same is true for Israel-Pal, Palestine, that a lot of Americans will analyze the conflict as just being one between only Israel and Palestine,
which is not. It's a conflict between Israel and then Palestine has beloved Houthis and Iran.
Right now it is. I think that the however one area where I'll break with Ben is, is I think that
minimizing civilian casualties and everything is very, very, very important. I think on the Israeli
side, I don't think it's important so that the US will stay with them,
because I think the US is probably going to stick with Israel as long as I know
they're going to be crazy. And I don't even think it matters for the international community.
It definitely doesn't matter for the UN because Jesus Christ.
However, I think it's really, really, really important that I think that
in the Middle East, broadly speaking, I think that leadership,
especially in the Gulf, has gotten over the Palestinian issue.
I think that leadership is kind of like they don't care as much anymore. But the populations
still care quite a bit. And I think that the main issue that Israel could run into is if the
civilian death toll does climb too high, and if they start to hit this 40, 50, 60,000 number of
civilian casualties, they run the risk of the civilian populations in the surrounding Middle Eastern states becoming so antagonistic towards Israel
that they start to take steps back towards normalization in the region.
So for instance, I know that Bahrain, I think, already pulled out there ambassador to Israel.
My guess is going to be it's temporary.
I know that on the public speaking side, you've got a lot of people condemning Israel
for the attacks and on the private side,
you've got people telling Israel,
please kill all of Hamas because this is untenable
and nobody wants to work in the situation.
I don't know if this ended up being true or not.
I'm guessing it didn't,
but I saw on a couple of Twitter accounts,
it was leaked that potentially Saudi Arabia
was considering installing a government in the West Bank
that they would run.
No, I mean, I think Israel would love nothing better than that,
but that is not something that's happening.
One of the big problems in the Middle East is literally no one wants to preside over the Palestinians.
No one. In the Arab states, Israel, no one.
So I think the issue, and I think, and I'm largely actually, I'm very sympathetic towards the Palestinians
because I think that for, since 48 and onwards, I think that all of the Arab states super gassed them up on that.
They wanted the Palestinians to fight because they wanted to fight with Israel.
However, as time has gone on and they've realized that it's kind of a lost cause, states have
started to drop out.
So you're getting these bilateral peace treaties with Egypt and with Jordan.
You're getting multilateral agreements like the Abraham Accords.
And now the Palestinians are looking around and like, okay, well, you guys told us to
fight all this time.
And now the only people that we have supporting us are Iranian proxies.
So the Palestinians are in a very weird spot where they've like lost all their support.
Yeah, I think that I think that Israel, what I would say to be quote unquote critical of Israel is Israel needs to take strong steps towards peace that probably involves them enduring some undue hardship.
involves them enduring some undue hardship. So not the October 7th attacks because Jesus, that's way too much.
But other types of attacks that they might have to deal with that might cause some civilians
to die that they don't come out over the top with and retaliate with if there's ever going
to be peace in that region.
However, another thing that I've always said is a huge problem between Israel and Palestine
is I think that both sides think that if they continue to fight, it will be good for them.
But the problem is one side is delusional.
I think Israel wants to continue to fight because they get justifications for the annexation
of the Golan Heights.
They get justifications for expansions, especially in the Area C that I think they're probably
going to try to annex soon.
They get justifications for the increased military posturing towards the Gaza Strip
and the embargoes. Israel is right that if the conflict continues really the situation only improves for Israel over time
But the Palestinians also all believe that if they keep fighting they thought this since 2000 under air fat that if they just keep fighting
They'll get better gains too, but that's not the case. They're different between Palestinian
Citizens and the leadership when you say that I love all people
I love all people around the world.
And I think that when we analyze issues,
I think that we have to be very honest
with what the people on the ground think.
And the idea that Hamas is just this one-off thing
in the Gaza Strip is not only incorrect
with the situation on the ground,
it's also incredibly ahistorical.
And the idea that like the Palestinians in the West Bank,
of which I believe the most recent polling shows,
I wanna say 75 to 80% support the October 7th attacks. Palestinians in general want to fight in violent conflict with
Israel. That's not just the position of the government. That's not just people. There's a
reason why Abbas doesn't want to do elections in the West Bank. And it's because the Palestinian
people really do want to fight with Israel. But to combat that problem is like, you have to get the UN on board.
We've got to do an actual addressing of the Palestinian refugee problem, which is handled like a joke right now.
Iran has to be brought to the table in terms of negotiations.
There has to be huge efforts made to economically revitalize these Palestinian areas,
even though they're one of the highest recipients of aid in the world.
You have to do something about the embargo and the blockade and the Gaza Strip, which isn't just maintained by Israel,
it's also maintained by Egypt. You should ask why. Yeah, there's a lot of things that have to
happen to fix that problem. But the reality is, is I don't think Israel really wants to,
because they get to continue their expansion into the West Bank. And I don't think anybody
around the world really cares that much. So a month, we won't be talking about that.
I will argue with that. The idea that Israel does not want to end the conflict is belied by the history of what just happened with the Gaza Strip
So when we talk about settlements for example Israel did have settlements inside the Gaza Strip
There are 8,000 Jews who are living inside the Gaza Strip in Gush Katif up until 2005 they withdrew all of those
People I mean took them literally out of their homes
And the result was not the burgeoning of a better attitude toward the state of Israel
with regard to, for example, you know, the Palestinian population in Gaza. In fact,
it was more radical in Gaza than it was in the West Bank. The result was obviously the election
of Hamas, the October 7th attacks in which unfortunately many civilians took place,
took part in the October 7th attacks. There's video of people rushing who are civilians and
dressed in civilian clothing into Israeli villages.
They're always the same thing.
Well, no, no, that is 100% true, obviously.
And when it comes to, you know, Area C and Israel's, you know, supposed deep and abiding desire for territorial expansion in Area C, Area C.
So for those who are not familiar with the Oslo Accords, and again, this is getting very obstruous, but the Oslo chords are broken down into three areas of the West Bank. Area A is under full Palestinian control.
That'd be like Janine and Nablus, the major cities, for example. There's area B, which is mixed
Israeli-Palestinian control, where Israel provides some level of military security and control.
And then there's area C. And area C was like to be decided later. It was left up for possible
concessions to the Palestinian Authority if the Oslo
Accords had moved forward. Those are disputed territories. There is building taking place in
areas he by both actually, no one talks about this, but by Palestinians as well as Israelis.
And the question is whether if Israel stopped building, there have been many settlement
freeze in the past, including some undertaken by Netanyahu. And it actually has not done one iota of good
in moving the ball forward in terms of actual negotiations.
Again, the biggest problem is that the leadership
for Palestinians has spent every day since really 67.
It's not even 48, because between 48 and 67,
Jordan was in charge of the West Bank
and Egypt was in charge of the Gaza Strip.
And at no point did either of those powers say,
hey, maybe we ought to hand this over
to an independent Palestinian state, which was originally
the division that was promoted by the UN partition plan in 47. Because of that, the leadership
posed 67 and really starting in 64. The Palestine Liberation Organization was founded in 64,
and it called for the liberation of the land. In 64, they had the West Bank and they had the Gaza Strip.
So they're talking about Tel Aviv.
When it was founded in 64, the basic idea,
as kind of indicated by that, was Israel will not exist.
And that was a promise that's been made
by pretty much every Palestinian leader in Arabic
to the people that they are talking to.
Yasser Arafat famously would do this sort of thing.
He'd speak in English and talk about how he wanted a two-state solution, and then he'd go back to his own people and say,
this is a Trojan horse, and we're gonna... If Israel could, if you think that Israeli parents want to send their kids at the age of 18 to go and monitor Jannin and Nablus and be in...
in Hanyunas, you're out of your mind. You're out of your mind. Israelis do not want that. In fact, Israelis didn't want that so much that they allowed rockets to fall in their cities for full on 18 years in
order to avoid sending soldiers en masse back into the Gaza Strip.
True, but I think Israel does want to continue to expand settlements into the West Bank, right?
They want to continue to build. They want to have more Jerusalem, East Jerusalem as well.
Well, I mean, East Jerusalem is already banana. So East Jerusalem is, according to Israel, part of Israel. That's not a settlement.
Okay, so there's that. With regard to, you know, does Israel have an interest in expanding settlements in the West Bank?
What, why would they not until there's a peace partner? Sure. That's what I mean. But I'm saying
as long as the conflict continues, like, because even when you talk about the... No, but your
suggestion is that they're incentivizing the conflict to continue so they can grab more land.
Well, no, let me be very clear. I don't think there's like a plan... Like, so some people say,
for instance, they'll take that one quote from Netanyahu, and they'll try to say that, like,
he was funding the people in the Gaza Strip by allowing Qatari Mahni to come
in, even though he was actually speaking in opposition to Abbas allowing the Gaza Strip
to fall for Netanyahu to clear it out for him and they give it back, etc.
I'm not claiming those theories.
I'm just saying that I think that Israel will take a relatively neutral stance towards conflict
and enduring because as long as the conflict endures and as long as the settlements can
expand, I think that benefits.
I think that ultimately benefits Israel.
I think there would be very, let's put this way, if suddenly there arose among the Palestinians
a deep and abiding desire for peace approved by a vast majority of the population with
serious security guarantees, I think it'd be very hard pressed to find Israelis who
would not be willing to at least consider that in return for not expanding bathrooms
in a froth.
I kind of, I would have agreed with you on October 6th. I think we're probably a year or
two away from that right now. No, no, but the point I'm making is that Israelis now realize
that the entire peace process was a sham, meaning the people who are on the other side of the table
were using it as a Trojan horse in the first place. The death of Oslo is not the death of
Israeli hopefulness. It's the death of the illusion that on the other side of the table was anyone
worth bargaining with. That's what's happening. And that's that on the other side of the table was anyone worth bargaining with
That's what's happening And that's why you have this sort of insane disconnect right now between the United States and the Israeli government again
It's a unity government
No one in Israel is talking about making concessions to the Palestinian authority for a wide variety of reasons including the fact that
Mahmoud Abbas is fatah continues to pay actual families of terrorists who kill Jews
So the market fund young right and and which is from the the moderate West Bank, right exactly
That's the...
So, again, the taste in Israel for this is...
Even the people who are the Chilonim, right?
Those are the most secular people in Israel.
Which was, by the way, the place that was attacked on October 7th.
I mean, what people should understand is that October 7th
was not an attack against settlements in the West Bank.
It was an attack on peace villages that were essentially disarmed.
And many of these people who were killed were peace activists.
We're literally trying to work with people in Gaza
to get them job.
I mean, it's just, it's mind boggling.
That's why you've had this ground shift in Israel.
The next 20 years in Israel is gonna be about security
and economic development, period, end of story,
everything else goes second, third place.
And I will say, I agree, essentially,
with everything you're saying,
not to loop back on another topic,
but this is one of the reasons then why I was so critical.
I don't wanna say critical, but like kind of nonchalant
about the Abraham Accords,
because they didn't address anything
with the Palestinians whatsoever.
They brought up countries that weren't super relevant
to the conflict, they didn't bring in Qatar,
which is where a lot of the money and support
for the Gaza Strip comes from,
they didn't involve Iran at all,
they involved bilateral relations.
No, but it totally changed the mentality.
And this is why, what I'm seeing right now,
this is why, listen, I think that Biden has done better
than I certainly expected him to do
in terms of support for Israel.
Like Obama was way less supportive of Israel than Biden by every metric.
With that said, the rhetoric that he's been using recently
and the blanket have been using recently about Israel needs to make painful
concessions for peace.
Israel re-centering this issue at the center of relations in the Middle East
is doomed to failure.
The magic, the magic is strong word.
The benefit of the Abrahamic chords was proof
of what you're saying, which is true, which is that all of these surrounding countries in reality
have abandoned the idea that there is a centrality to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. That is not
the central conflict in the Middle East. And by the way, one of the reasons it's not the central
conflict in the Middle East is because actually, ironically, because of the rise of Iran, right?
It's Sunni states that are largely signing up with Israel because they're realizing they need some sort of counterweight
to a burgeoning nuclear power in Iran.
Can we talk about Ukraine?
Sure. You have a disagreement with what,
with what Destiny said.
My main problem with Biden's policy with regard to Ukraine
is that he outsourced the end goal
of the war to Zelensky early on. Now, that might make
sense if that goal were something that he was willing to fund to the point of achievement,
or if Zelensky could have achieved it on his own. But right now, and this has been true since
pretty early on in the war, as point Henry Kissinger made, that pretty early on in the war
was very clear that, for example, Crimea was going nowhere. The Russians had control of Crimea, barring the United States,
giving permission to fly F-16s over Crimea. Nothing was going to change over there. The same
thing was true in most of the Donbass, right, in Luhansk and Donetsk. That was not going to change.
Zelensky stated goal, and you understand it, he's the leader of Ukraine, right, is that there was
a predation on his territory in 2014, and that the Russians sent their little green men across the border, and then they took all of these areas. And so he is the leader of Ukraine, right, is that there was a predation on his territory in 2014 and that the Russian
sent their little green men across the border and then they took all of these areas. And so he
is leader of Ukraine is saying, okay, I want all of that back. Now, the reality is that the US's
interests had largely been achieved in the first few months of the war, meaning the revocation
of the ability of Russia to take Ukraine and just ingest it. And two, the devastation of Russia's
military capability. I mean, Russia has just been wrecked
I mean their military is in serious straits because of the war in Ukraine from an American perspective
I'm very much pro all of that
I think that we have an interest in Ukraine maintaining the buffer status against a
Territorially aggressive Russia
I think that the United States does have an interest in
degrading the Russian military to the extent that it can't threaten the Baltic states or threaten
Kazakhstan or other countries in the region.
The problem I have with Biden's strategy is
as always, I think that it's a muddle and I think muddles tend to end with
misperceptions. War tends to break out and maintain because of misperception.
Misperception of the other side's strength, the other side's intentions and all of the rest. People misperceive what's going to happen.
They say, I'll cross that line and nothing will happen, right?
This is what Putin thought.
He thought, I'll cross that line.
They'll greet me as the liberator.
And because the United States just surrendered
in Afghanistan, essentially, they won't do anything.
And the West is fragmenting,
because NATO's fragmenting and all the rest of this.
And obviously he was wrong on all of those scores.
The problem for Biden is that,
as with virtually every war, no end line was set.
And so it became out recently that is widely reported
that actually there was a peace deal
that was on the table in the first few months
that Putin was on board with
that basically would have ceded Luhansk and Donetsk
and Crimea to Russia in return for solidification
of those lines, American and Western security guarantees
to Ukraine, right?
Ukraine wouldn't formally join NATO
but there would be security guarantees to Ukraine.
We're ending up there anyway.
It's just taking a lot more money
and a lot more time to get there.
And do you think Trump would have helped push that piece?
Yes, and I think that Biden actually did Zelensky
a bit of a disservice because Zelensky knows
where this war is gonna end and it's not gonna end
with Luhansk and Donetsk and Crimea in Ukrainian hands.
It's just not going to, and he knows that.
What actually, in my my opinion Zelensky
needed was for Joe Biden to be the person who foisted that deal upon him so that he could then go back to his own people and say
Listen guys, I wanted all those things
But the Americans weren't willing to allow me to have all those things and so we did an amazing job
We did a heroic job in defending our own land
We devastated the Russian military even though no one expected us to But we can't get back those things because it's unrealistic to get back those things
because America basically, they're a big funder and they're the ones who want the deal.
Instead, what Biden said, and this was reported in the Washington Post last year,
the Biden administration said, we're going to fight for as long as it takes with as much as it takes.
And when they were asked until when, they said whatever Zelensky says.
And that's not a policy.
That's just a recipe for a frozen conflict
with endless funding.
Now, it may be that Putin has walked away from the table
and that deal is no longer available.
If that deal is available right now,
I certainly hope that's being pursued behind closed doors.
My main critique again, of Biden,
is that when you outsource the end goal
to another country without stating
what America's interest is, that's a problem.
I also think that Biden did really quite a poor job
of sort of explaining what America's realistic interests are.
I don't like it when American leaders,
it's weird for me to say this, but I'm not a huge fan of the
we're in it to protect democracy kind of rhetoric,
because frankly we are allied with many, many countries
that are not democracies and that's not actually how foreign policy works.
We should, as an overall, you know, 30,000 foot goal, advance democracy and, and rights where we can.
But the reason that we were fighting in favor of Ukraine and when I say fighting, I mean giving them money and giving them weaponry.
The reason that we were doing that in favor of Ukraine is not because of Ukraine's long history
of clean voting and non-corruption.
The reason that we were doing that
is to counter Russian interest in the region.
I mean, it was a pure, real, politic play.
And that real, politic play is hard to deny
no matter what side of the aisle you're on.
I think that what many Americans are going to,
are reverting to is we have no interest there.
Why are we spending money there,
not spending money here and that kind of stuff?
And that argument can always be applied unless you actually articulate the reason why it is good for Americans
beyond simply the ideological for the United States to be involved in a thing.
So for example, I think right now, when Biden is taught, I think that what Biden just did, the United States as we speak,
is striking the Houthis. I think that that's a really, really good thing.
I think that's a necessary thing. I think American people should understand why that is happening.
It's not because of quote unquote ideology, it is.
I mean, on a very root level,
but really it's because you're screwing up the straights.
I mean, you can't do that.
You can't screw up free trade.
And Americans have an interest in not seeing all of our prices
at the grocery store double and triple
because a bunch of ragtag pirates,
you know, akin to the Barbary pirates from 1800
are bothering everyone, right?
So Ben said a lot there.
Do you disagree with any aspect on the Ukraine side?
A little bit, yeah.
I think on the macro, I agree, baby,
we get at the weeds a little bit on some things.
On the final thing that he said though,
I wish that Americans could have honest conversations
about foreign policy.
I think that it would just be better for everybody.
I don't know if it's, you know, red scare after
the Cold War, where it was like literally, you know, the behemoths, you know, we're fighting
against communism. And we felt like after 91, every single foreign policy decision needs to be able
to be explained in like seven words, like he's the bad guy, and that's it. I wish we had more
honest conversations about what our foreign policy interest is in a particular region, because I
don't think most Americans honestly could even articulate why
Israel would be an important ally or why it's important to defend Ukraine against Russia
or why should we care about Taiwan at all.
I don't know if most Americans could articulate anything there,
even though they might have very strong opinions about why we ought to be involved in certain conflicts.
So I do agree with that.
I wish we had more honest conversations about foreign policy.
In terms of how Biden has handled Ukraine, conflicts. So I do agree with that. I wish we had more honest conversations about foreign policy.
In terms of how Biden has handled Ukraine, the things that I liked the most were one, that he was very clear in the beginning about what we wouldn't do. So Biden's saying that we're not
going to do not a red line, no fly zones over Ukraine. We're not going to be deploying troops
on the ground in Ukraine. We're not going to be doing anything that would have US soldiers and
Russian soldiers crossing swords with each other. That's not going to happen.
I liked that he made that very clear at the beginning. And I liked that he coalition built
between NATO and the EU to get people to send funds, training soldiers, airplanes,
and everything to Ukraine. I thought those two things were really good. In terms of basically
writings, the Lensky Blank Check, I would like to hope that Biden and the entire United States learned a lesson from Iraq and Afghanistan
that open-ended missions with unlimited budgets and no clear goal are like the worst foreign policy decisions you can ever do.
They've like defined US foreign policy for the past two or three decades, which is unfortunate, but seems to be the case.
My feeling would be, and this is just a feeling, I don't know if internal cables
have leaked that say otherwise, is the Biden administration has probably always had a quiet
position of at some point there's going to be an off-ramp here.
And I think even a month or two ago, I think those talks were being leaked, that discussion
had begun with Zelensky looking for an off-ramp.
But publicly, of course, the United States is never going to come out and say, we are
going to support you guys to fight as much as you want for three months.
And then after that, it's no more.
Obviously, that can't be the statement.
It's always going to be that we're going to support you in your fight against Russia.
And we've tried that under Obama with Afghanistan.
It was terrible.
Sure. Yeah, you can't escalate the troop levels to X, but only for six months.
And then we're. Yeah, you can't. You just can't do that.
It's always going to come off as we're going to support you forever
and as long as it takes and as long as you need whatever we have to do to defend freedom and democracy in your country and any other statement would be absurd
So I can understand why it feels like on a public level a blank check and an indefinite time period was granted to Zelensky
But I don't think that's going to be the case. I think I again
I hope we've learned our lessons in the Middle East about the forever wars that this isn't going to be a forever funding to Ukraine to fight
For as long as they want. I do disagree. I feel like we're playing a little bit retrospectively saying that, like,
well, it's obvious that they're not going to capture the Donbass. It's obvious that they're
not going to capture Crimea. I agree for Crimea, that was incredibly obvious. But it was also really
obvious that in two weeks, Russia would own Kiev and Ukraine was going to be Belarus 2.0.
I think that even for a lot of military people and analysts around the world, that that was an expectation
or at least a significant probability.
Nobody knew the phrase that's thrown around now is Paper Tiger, that Russia's military
was as ill-equipped as they were.
So I can understand why, especially if you're Ukraine and if you've repelled an invasion
from one of the world's largest armies, why you might feel like, well, fuck it, let's
fight for a few months, let's fight for a year, let's see what happens.
And I can understand the United States supporting them, but I agree that there has to be some
reasonable off-ramp, but we're not going to fight forever.
I think the U.S. State Department has already begun those conversations with Zelensky to
look at what that off-ramp looks like.
But yeah, I'm not too sure, other than like explicitly stating publicly, like, you can
only fight until this date.
I don't really know what else I would change.
I don't think the Biden administration should have done that
I don't know what else do you think Biden should cut this deal on on the funding meaning
There's like six there's this 105 billion dollar deal
It's been held up by debate between Republicans and Democrats over border right so basically it contains 60 billion dollars for Ukraine
$14 billion for Israel another several billion dollars for Taiwanese defense against China
And then include some border funding and some border provisions dollars for Israel, another several billion dollars for Taiwanese defense against China,
and then include some border funding and some border provisions.
Republicans want the border funding and the border provisions because we can get into the
illegal immigration issue, but that's a pretty serious issue.
And Biden and Democrats have been unwilling to hold that up.
And that seems to me like just from put aside Republican Democrats, seems like political
malpractice, meaning there's a widespread perception in the United States that the border is a
disaster area.
Joe Biden wants these things.
Many Republicans don't want these things.
If he caves on the border stuff, he gets all the things that he wants and he's gonna be able to go back to the moderates in the country
and say, I did something about the border. It seems like such an obvious win.
If he caves on the border stuff, you mean on the Ukraine stuff?
Yes, because then he gets the whole package.
He can go back to his own base and he can say, listen guys, I wanted to be easy on the border.
The Republicans forced me to it, but we needed the Ukraine aid. We needed the Taiwan aid.
Yeah, you're honestly, you're gonna be more educated than me on this. The Republicans forced me to it, but we needed the Ukraine aid. We needed the Taiwan aid. Right.
Yeah.
That's you're honestly, you're going to be more educated than me on this.
I don't like, or maybe, maybe I just don't know enough.
I don't like the principle that when we negotiate things in the United States, there's like
50 million hostages at all points in time for every single thing.
Like, oh boy, here comes the debt ceiling.
What do the Republicans want?
What do the Democrats want?
Oh boy, like here, you know, we can't fund our government but I mean obviously the the
argument is going to be that if the Ukraine funding doesn't come in this bill and if Biden and his administration feel like it's really important that you know
Let or not you know, not only but as a single issue. It's not going to pass
so
I would say that at this point and I don't know what the conversations look like between the Biden administration is the ones
I would say at this point that it's probably fair to start making
what the conversations look like between the Biden administration and Zelensky. I would say at this point that it's probably fair to start making contingencies on the
money that we give to Ukraine that listen, this conflict has waged on now.
Now we need to start looking for a potential peace.
We can't just write you an unlimited check.
If those strings are attached, I'd be okay with it.
But the broader question of, is it okay to make this particular piece of legislation
with all this funding contingent on the Ukrainian funding?
I mean, that just seems to be the way the government works now, unfortunately.
Quick pause.
Bath and break.
One of the big issues in this presidential election is going to be January 6th.
It's in the news now and I think it's going to get bigger and bigger and bigger.
So question for Destiny first.
Did Donald Trump incite an insurrection on January 6, 2021.
Absolutely. This is probably ignoring every other issue we've talked about, of which I
think there are plenty that I would say disqualify Trump from holding office. I think that the
conduct and the behavior leading up to and including January 6th, I think is wildly indefensible. I am excited to see Ben trying to, yeah.
The three to four stages are the taking,
what I think any reasonable person would say,
knowingly false information about elections being rigged,
or ballot boxes being stuffed, or Ruby Freeman,
running ballots three times in Georgia,
taking that knowingly false information
and trying to call state secretaries
and stuff to have them flip their electoral vote.
That was horrible.
The plot that Eastman hatched in order to have these like false slates of electors where
all seven states had citizens go in and falsely say that they were the duly elected electors
that could submit votes to
Congress. That was insane. That happened. Asking or begging Pence to accept these false states of
electors initially and then just say you should just throw it out completely and throw it to the
House delegation, which was majority Republican. That was absolutely unbelievable. And then
on the day of January 6th,
trying to capitalize on the violence by him,
Giuliani, and Eastman making phone calls
to senators and congressmen saying,
well, don't you think maybe you guys should delay the vote a little bit?
Don't you think they're just really mad about the election?
I think he said to McCarthy, they're more upset than you.
His utter dereliction of duty and not doing
anything to stop the riot writing that happened on January
6th, because he was too busy taking advantage of it. I think all of these things are horrible.
I look forward to seeing the Jack Smith indictments play out in court, maybe even the George
Rico case. But yeah, I think all of these things are unfathomable. And I think when
you look at the plot from start to finish, clearly the goal the entire time was to circumvent
the peaceful transfer of power. That was the goal from start to finish, clearly the goal the entire time was to circumvent the peaceful transfer of power.
That was the goal from start to finish, whether it was through false claims, whether it was
through illegal schemes or whether it was through violence at the Capitol to delay the
certification of the vote.
Ben?
So, I'm glad you're excited.
It's always fun.
So there are two elements to incitement of insurrection.
One is incitement, the other is insurrection.
So incitement has a legal standard, so does insurrection.
Neither of those standards are met.
So if you're asking me morally speaking,
did Donald Trump do the right thing
between November 4th and January 6th,
I said, I will continue to say no, he did not.
I think he was saying things that are false
with just factually false about his theories
with regard to the election,
about the election being stolen, about fraud.
This is all adjudicated in court.
He did not even bring many of the claims
that he's brought publicly and all the rest of that. If we're talking about incitement of
insurrection as a legal standard, it doesn't mean any of those standards. When it comes to incitement,
it has to be incitement to immediate lawless action. That's the standard for incitement.
And I'm very meticulous in how I use this because I happen to speak publicly a lot, and that means
there are lots of people who listen to me, which means some of those people are probably crazy.
And some of them may go and do a crazy thing. Did I incite them?
The media tends to use the word incitement very loosely with regard to this sort of stuff in the same way that Bernie Sanders
Quote incited the congressional baseball shooting. He did not Bernie Sanders has a lot of things
I disagree with I think Bernie's a schmuck doesn't matter. He did not incite that so saying bad things is not the same thing as
Insighting violence inciting violence the legal standard in the United States,
is I want you to go punch that guy in the face.
That's inciting.
With regard to insurrection, typically in insurrection,
and there are some descriptions in case law,
though none in statutory law as far as I'm more,
the typical description in case law
is the replacement of one legitimate government
of the United States with another by violent means.
The notion that Donald Trump coordinated any such insurrection
is belied by the FBI itself. The FBI put out a report in, I believe, August of 2021, suggesting
that there was no well coordinated insurrectionist attempt coordinated by the White House. In
fact, what you had was Donald from thrashing around like that weird alien in the movie
Life on a favorite side of Jake Gyllenhaal or is like kind of thrashing up against this
glass box, just an alien just thrashing up against the glass box. That I think
is more what you were seeing from November 4th to January 6th. And then again, the claim that
January 6th itself was an insurrection. So virtually, I'm not aware that anyone was charged
with actual insurrection. There were some people who were charged with seditious conspiracy. There
are insurrection statutes that do exist known as charged under those particular statutes.
seditious conspiracy. There are insurrection statutes that do exist. No one was charged under those particular statutes. There were some people who you could say informally had insurrectionist
ideas. Those would be the people who wanted to hang Nancy Pelosi or kill Mike Pence. And those
people are in jail right now. And the election went forward. The election was certified. Mike
Pence presided over the certification. Mitch McConnell presided over the certification. Joe
Biden has been the president for the last three years. So Donald Trump, by the way,
was still president at that point. If he had actively wanted to do what other people who
have actually launched coups have done, he would have theoretically called the National Guard not
to put down the riot, but to actually depose the sitting government of the United States in the
name of a specious legal theory. He did not do that. He did not attempt that. Nobody working for
him did that.
The most you can say I think about what everybody was doing
is that, you know, and I want to say everybody.
We can talk about Trump because this is really about Trump.
He used a phrase that Trump was disseminating knowingly false
information.
The word that's carrying a lot of weight there
is the word knowingly.
So knowingly implies a nowhere.
Do I think the information who's
disseminating was false? Yes. Do I think that Donald Trump has unique capacity to
convince himself of nearly anything that is to his own benefit? Absolutely. And I
think that that's actually what Donald Trump was doing there. And the evidence
of that is Donald Trump being a human and all of us watching him for the last
several years. So, you know, the idea that that he knew it to be false, I'm not
even sure those standards apply in any like just assessing him as a human
Which is really what we're being asked to do because there's an intent element to this crime
Does Donald do you think that today Donald Trump knows that he lost the election? Absolutely. So I I don't actually
I think when we so I'm glad that you have the attorney background when we are assessing mens rea when we're looking at certain criminal statutes
Where intent is required to reasonable person standard, right?
What a reasonable person have known that they were.
No, it depends on the men's right standard.
So it's not the same in every case.
If you have to establish individual intent, then it's not enough to say a reasonable person
should have known that would be enough for negligence statute.
Sure.
Usually when you're talking about reasonable people, person statutes, just legally speaking,
a reasonable person statute is should a reasonable person have known that's when you get to like
manslaughter.
You can't do a reasonable person standard on like first degree murder.
You have to establish actual motive in first degree murder.
But for first degree murder, you don't need the statement of I plan to kill this person
or I intend to kill this person.
We approve that state of mind.
You need a special evidence.
Correct.
Yes, sure.
You could prove it. So I feel like my feeling for Donald Trump was there were all these people around him
that he trusted to investigate election fraud. He trusted Barr in the DOJ. He asked Pence,
his vice president, to look into it. He asked his chief of staff. He asked his legal counsel.
So many people that ostensibly, he trusts them if he's asking them to look into it.
And when all of them looked into it and reported back to him, no, we found nothing.
Unless we're going to literally make the concession that Trump might actually be
a delusional psycho man, at that point, should he not have realized like, well, okay, maybe
there's a nice thing you should have realized the day of the election that he lost the election.
But that's not, but that's not the question.
Sure.
But I'm just saying that like at that point, should he not have known that for him to go
and propagate those claims that he'd asked all of the people he trusted to research, and
then for him to take those claims to
Michigan into Georgia and then publicly and to try to convince people to throw out the election
You don't think that you're doing the same thing you're averting to should a reasonable person have known
Yes, a reasonable person should have known did Donald Trump now
That's that's it. That's a different that's a different question
And so conflating those two questions is gonna get you into some message here by the way
This is why Jack Smith charged the way Jack Smith charge. Yeah, which was a pretty exciting. Jack Smith did not charge conspiracy.
Jack Smith did not charge the insurrection.
He did not charge the dishes conspiracy, right?
If he, the reason is because-
But I think for Jack Smith-
Jack Smith is a good lawyer.
What he's doing is he's actually broadly,
I would say pretty obviously expanding statutory coverage
in weird areas in order to cover a thing
that doesn't quite fit into any of these legal categories. But the point that I'm making is that Jack Smith is on my side of this.
He doesn't think that he can actually establish the intent necessary to convict under a seditious conspiracy or
an insurrection. I agree with that, but I think a lot of the underlying facts though because he does bring up those calls to
Raffensperger and Georgia. He does bring up in the indictments that they were knowingly false information.
So it seems like that's going to be part of the case, maybe not to convict on any of the
four particular charges that he mentioned, but it seems like that's probably going to
be part of what he's going to have to establish in court to convict Trump.
So I want to look at the actual text of the charges.
So I'm sorry that I don't have the memorized one.
I believe one's a fraud charge that generally does not apply to cases like this.
Generally, the fraud charges like you're trying to steal money from the government.
Sure, fraud has been used pretty broadly in the past though. It doesn't have to just be because
Smith has done oral arguments in response to a lot of the claims by Trump's lawyers. This was one
of them. The infinite civil and criminal immunity was another one of them where he cites past cases
where these types of things, because I think it was to defraud of civil rights, I think was the
fourth charge. Right. The defraud of civil rights is usually somebody standing in the actual like
voting house door and preventing you from voting. Not, you have a specious legal theory that you espouse in court about whether those votes
should be thrown out.
Sure.
Although I don't like the, when we say specious legal theory and novel application, which
I do agree some of these, in some ways is novel, I don't think we've ever also had a
president try to do this before.
It is a novel situation where somebody has resisted the peaceful transfer of power this
clearly in some of the other ways. Well, if you're talking about the legal the legal cases that I mean, that's not true, but gore suit in 2000
I mean, so that so like if I'm in the legal comparable to gore if this was comparable to gore
I'm not saying it's comparable to gore
I'm saying that if the idea is that espousing a legal theory in court amounts to de facto
some form of election or
Denial or interference in some way that that can't
that that's not as the general principle it's over-inclusive sure Gore wasn't
trying to decertify the vote though for states right they challenged their thing
to the Supreme Court they lost their case in the Supreme Court and then power
transfer happened right and Donald Trump had a bunch of legal challenges and then
he had a rally and then there was a riot and then he left power yeah but but the
Eastman theory of what Pence could do
in Congress is a far cry away.
A truly shitty theory.
I mean, make no mistake.
It's a really shitty theory.
But not just shitty.
I think that if any Democrat had done this,
I feel like we'd be looking at it in a far different lens.
As in we would be using terms like attempted coup,
subversion of peaceful transfer of power.
If a Democrat vice president had tried to
essentially say that in Congress they could throw away the vote.
So I think what I want to get to here actually so we can be more specific is why are these
terms important? We agree on largely speaking what happened. I think the characterization
of the term we are we we keep out of bouncing around between two different categories.
And I wanna make sure we chat.
We kick dump the legal stuff.
Okay, so we're just not looking at insight.
Cause as you said, Jack Smith,
nobody's charging with incitement.
And I don't believe insurrection is part of that.
So we get dumping legal.
I just in terms of like a president
that is trying to prevent the peaceful transfer of power.
So what do you call that a bloodless coup or a coup
or whatever contemporaneous term you wanna use.
Right, so prevent the peaceful transfer of power
with all means or using means that are inappropriate,
not quite the same thing.
Using means that are inappropriate or illegal.
Okay, inappropriate, okay, so illegal, I don't think so.
I don't think that these charges actually meet
the criteria for the various charges
and we can discuss each case if you want.
Sure.
As far as inappropriate, sure,
I think in tons of inappropriate stuff. I mean,
I inappropriate seems not... The reason I don't like the word inappropriate though is because
then conservatives are very quick to say, well, sure, he was inappropriate, but everybody was
inappropriate. I mean, I'll concede that he's more inappropriate than others. I just don't see that
as inappropriate. Sure. Okay. That's important to me, though. Does it not bother you that like
Donald Trump sought through legal and extra legal and and Trump magical
ways of trying to entrench his power as president passed when he should have been able to? Is
that not something that was incredibly troublesome?
I mean, the question to me is the bigger question that I think the Democrats are trying to promote
in this election cycle, which is this means he is a threat to democracy sufficient that
if he were to win the election, there would not
be another.
Is that not easy?
But he tried to do that last time.
Could he not try it for next time?
I mean, he could try to do whatever he wants, presumably, and he would fail the same way
that he did last time.
Why do we think that?
Because he failed.
Because he failed once in a number of years.
Because they would say, right, in three hours, yes.
Like let's say hypothetically, good lord, save me. Let's say hypothetically, Giuliani was the next
head of the Department of Justice. Giuliani was the next Attorney General. How would he be confirmed?
Well, I'm not entirely sure if because so much of the Republican party despite feeling like they
don't support Trump when it comes time to actually back him in Congress. Also, I'd have to check
whether he would be barred by criminal conviction from holding.
I don't know the answer to that.
Sure.
Yeah.
Well, yeah, we're at this, especially the four-tenth amendment where figuring out a lot
of this right now.
Yeah.
But I mean, like, say if not Giuliani, say if there are any other number of insane people
that Trump could theoretically put on his side of the government that wouldn't tell
him no next time, because there were a lot of people that rebuked him.
There were Republicans in a lot of the states, right? Raffensperger is one of them. There were Republicans
in his own administration. You've got Rosen, you've got Barr. There was his own vice president.
But theoretically next time, and I feel like last time going in, I'm going to do a little
bit of mind reading a macro, maybe a history. I think that Trump kind of thought, one, I don't
think Trump knows much at all about how the government works. I think we probably agree that.
I think Trump probably thought that if he had people that were like at least in his party and kind of camp,
that they'll basically do whatever needs to be done to give him what he wants and with no respect for process.
But now that he sees it, well, that's it's not enough to just have allies.
I need people that are fiercely allegiance to me.
Would we not be worried that a guy that tried to essentially steal the election for real
wouldn't try to pick people that
would be more amenable to his
plans in the next administration?
I believe in the checks and
balances of American government.
I believe they worked on January 6th.
So if you're asking me,
do I think that Trump has bad intent
or could have bad intent with that
sort of stuff?
Sure.
Do I believe that the guard rails
held and will continue to hold?
Also, sure.
So if somebody was running and they blatantly said, Guard rails held and will continue to hold also sure so you so
if somebody was running and they
Blatantly said like I I don't want to use the fascist word, but if they said like I want to be an authoritarian I'm gonna abolish all elections you would say
Sure, he's saying that but like I don't think he can actually do it
So it's okay if he runs for president
You don't care at all as long as you feel like the guard rail I might prefer other candidates
But I think that also one of the things that you do is that politicians, again, this would be an exceptional circumstance, but politicians
constantly make promises about the things that they are going to do and then don't fulfill.
And we tend to take those out in the wash, meaning that, you know, the, if I promise
that day one, as Donald Trump has pledged to do, that he's going to deport literally
every legal immigrant into the country, do I think he's actually going to do that?
I mean, I really highly doubt it. He didn't do it last time he was in office. That's just,
there are many examples of this. I agree. Do I think, here's my question,
do you think the guardrails are going to fail to hold? I'm not sure. Really? Yeah,
because I think the issue is, is one, when it's election time, Republicans are spineless in office.
And I don't know how many congressmen would support what he wants just because they want to
win re-election or because they think it's inevitable
Anyway, I mean I think that one of the one of the things that happened in 2022 is Democrats ran directly on this platform
And a bunch of Republicans lost who are running on this platform literally every Secretary of State ran on the Donald Trump
We should deny elections platform lost in every state sure
But other republicans that have been offices this sure
But I mean like look at what happened with like a Kinzinger Kinzinger Cheney, right? Who were very like staunchly anti-Trump after J6
for that select committee, right?
Kinzinger didn't even run again.
And Cheney lost her election, but I think the widest margin
that anybody has ever lost an election ever.
Like all of you has followed this.
People who were not even born voted against it, yes.
I guess it's just, it's a surprising position to me
for if we're looking at like principled stances
of government, the idea that a man who has
And I think we both agree on this that Donald Trump's
Donald Trump's only allegiance is to Donald Trump, right? We agree on that the only thing he cares about is Donald Trump
It's the only thing care about I think it's certainly the largest thing. It's the largest thing he cares about, right?
So you've got a man who only cares about himself
Well politics, I mean it may be more but that's not even it may be more with Trump
But it's certainly not you know, I think that the issue with Trump too though is I
Think he's even a threat to the Republican Party in which I think I think he would mostly agree with me
Maybe not overall but on every individual point Trump picks bad candidates
He has no concern for the future the Republican Party like for instance. I think there is a chance
I don't think it'll happen because of the polling looks now, but if Trump didn't get the nomination
I think Trump would say screw it and run as an independent because he thinks he can win or whatever.
Right?
I doubt that he would do that, but theoretically, he could.
It's possible.
Yeah.
Again, Trump has, he was really content to throw Georgia the two runoff elections under
the bus because Rappensburg is going to support him from the election.
So what is all this in service of?
What's the generalized argument that you're making?
Do you believe, I'll go back to my question, do you think that if Trump wins,
there will be no more elections? Is that like what, what percentage on it? What percentage do you think
that that's a reality? If Donald Trump becomes wins, I think there is a 100% chance that he will try to
prevent the peaceful transfer of power in terms of would he succeed? I can guarantee you he will not
do that. Why is that? Because he's in a second term and he's no longer eligible and he will believe
he won and he will leave. Yeah, but has Donald Trump himself joked about running for a third term?
That's it.
I think that having a third term.
What has Donald Trump not joked about?
I mean, forgot it.
I don't, okay.
Hold on.
If you want to prevent him from creating a revolution, you probably should actually
just appoint him president and then he can't run again.
Here's another broad argument that I don't like in favor of Trump.
And this was brought up earlier in terms of like, we talk about like not grading presidents
on a curve, but then earlier we said we take Biden to read our characteristics. Oh no, I totally agree, Trump. No, I 100% grading presidents on a curve but then earlier we said we take Biden to read a
No, I totally great Trump. I know I 100% great presidents on a cover. Are you kidding? Oh, okay?
I great pretty much everybody on a car that I feel like I don't treat my seven-year-old
I feel like that I treat my nine-year-old sure but I don't like that
It feels like we're treating Donald Trump like a seven-year-old or a nine-year-old
I think we should treat him like the president of the United States
I don't think having a president that has taken like concrete steps to prevent the transfer of power
Which he did with the electorate sham which he did with Pence and what he did with trying to capitalize on the J6 violence.
A president has taken concrete steps towards accuing the government, essentially. I don't know why
that guy, we'd say, well, you know, it's Trump, it is Trump things, the guardrail's held, I'll
probably hold next to him. So let me say, we shouldn't, do you mean that he should be actually barred
from office? I'm just talking about support for him. I don't think Republicans should support
Trump. You lose your incumbent advantage.
The guy's obviously self-destructive.
He's destructive to the political party itself.
You think he should be on the ballot?
You think there's a case to be made to remove him from the ballot?
I think there's a case to be made.
But man, the phrasing for as much as our governmental founding fathers and everybody else wrote
nice amendments and wrote nice and some of the phrasing is very, very, very, blech.
And the section three, not requiring any type of actual conviction, I don't have a strong
feeling on it.
I will say I'm very interested in reading the majority opinion from the Supreme Court.
I seriously doubt the Supreme Court is going to uphold that states should be able to decide
if they leave them off the ballot or not.
I think for the political future of the United States, it's probably not healthy that the leading
opposition candidate is now going to be barred from the ballot. It's probably not healthy for us.
Because then what? You understand about threats to democracy. That would be a pretty serious one.
I've applied across the board, by the way. It would be. However, that threat to democracy was
earned by Donald Trump and the conservatives that supported him. I think conservatives made a
dangerous gamble when they threw Trump into office, and now
like all of the fallout from that is something that we all as Americans have to deal with.
I mean, I think that the unprecedented legal theory that a state can simply bar somebody
from the ballot on the basis of in an informal way believing that he is quote unquote an
insurrectionist is pretty wild.
I mean, that's that is-
We can say it's pretty wild, but there is an amendment in the Constitution, the 14th
Amendment, that says that if they have engaged in this, they shall not be or you shall,
I don't remember the phrasing because it doesn't require conviction, but it's a self executing
arguably thing. If we're getting into constitutional law, I mean, there are a number of provisions
that suggest that this is number one, not self executing. The minority opinions in the Colorado
Supreme Court case are pretty thorough. The number one contention, which is that this is not
self executing, because other elements is not self-executing
because other elements are not self-executing, that ignores subsequent actual law that happened.
I mean, the Congress passed a law, for example, in 1872 defining who was an insurrectionist,
who was not an insurrectionist for purses of elections. In 1994, Congress passed a law that
specifically defined insurrection as a criminal activity so that somebody could theoretically
be convicted of insurrection and therefore ineligible to run for office. It is unlike, say, the analogues that are
used by the majority opinion, like age. Obviously, this is not the same thing. We can all tell
what somebody's age is by looking at their birth certificate. I can't tell whether somebody
is an insurrectionist without any reference to a legal stature or definition of the term.
I would also be careful with that because remember, one of Trump's first like big political
actions was challenging Obama's birth certificate
And I thought that was dumb at the time
I like that you both said 100% chance that Trump will try to go for third term and zero percent chance
Which is the term he's done man. Are you kidding? I even want to give it a try and hands up high as me like I'm a two-term president
I'm the only president since Grover Cleveland
He would know but but since Grover Cleveland who served two non consecutive terms I kicked your Biden out of office. I'm the only president since Grover Cleveland. He wouldn't know. But since Grover Cleveland, who served two non-consecutive terms,
I kicked Joe Biden out of office
and I kicked Hillary Clinton out of office.
Dude would be like, he'd be living largely,
kidding, he doesn't want the presidency anymore after that.
I just think that the, I think it's scary that like Donald
Trump, it feels like for all of the accusations that are made
sometimes against Democrats, like Biden is ordering Garland
to investigate Donald Trump and blah, blah, blah.
It seems like Donald Trump would actually do that
with his DOJ, would give them orders.
He didn't.
He didn't.
Well, he kind of did though, right?
So for instance, with Jeffrey Clark,
Jeffrey Clark went to Rosen and Donahue and said,
hey, listen, I need you guys to sign off on a letter
that we're gonna use essentially to bully states
into overturning their elections by saying
we found significant election fraud.
And part of that threat was Jeffrey Clark saying, listen, if you're not going to do it, Rosen,
you know, Trump's going to fire you and just make me the acting attorney general. That was the
threat that he carried. And I think Trump repeated that threat in a meeting later on that was, I
only rebuked when I think like half the White House staff said, if you do this, we're resigned.
Okay, so it's a slightly different topic because now you're getting into all the election
shenanigans and all this, but Trump is saying he threatened to fire his acting attorney general
if he wouldn't carry the same platform, essentially.
Like if Trump could order his DOJ to do something, would he?
It's not beyond the pale for him, right?
It's not beyond the pale for him to order them to do it.
And then it's not beyond the pale for them
to reject him doing that, which is the story
of his entire administration.
Whereas Joe Biden orders his DOJ to do things,
and then they just do them.
Well, we can get into the specifics there.
This is one of the big problems that I have with, I mean, for example, all the talk about
Trump tyrant, Trump executive power.
I mean, Joe Biden has used executive power
in ways that far outstrip anything that's outstrip.
Every president has been stretching and stretching
and stretching executive power.
Joe Biden has gone well beyond anything Trump
even remotely attempted to maintain
via just pure executive power
I actually Trump's use of executive powers nowhere near even what Obama's was I mean Trump in ability to get border policy passed
Literally had him using executive power to march the military down to the border to do border policy. I mean I mean Joe Biden
Literally used the occupational safety and hazard administration to try to cram down vax mandates on 80 million Americans. That's insane
Sure, I literally said I cannot relieve student loan debt and then tried to relieve and Hazard Administration to try to cram down Vaxman dates on 80 million Americans. That's insane.
He literally said I cannot relieve student loan debt
and then tried to relieve hundreds of billions of dollars
in student loan debt.
Yeah, but what happened to that?
It got struck down by the Supreme Court
and then they still did it.
They still did it.
Biden brags about it.
For what he was able to relieve,
which I think were related to particular types
of student loan debt, but I'm just saying that like,
well, the guardrails are holding with Biden
as much as they're holding with Trump. The only difference is, is that once Biden, you
know, exhausts his executive power, he's not running around like lying to people or trying
to extort people or trying to and can cock insane schemes.
Well, I mean, here's the way I would think of this. Think of the guardrails holding as
the filter. Okay. Meaning like the coffee is in the filter. Some of it's, you know, what you want is going to get through and all the stuff, the guardrails prevent the other
stuff from getting through. Now the question becomes, what liquid are you pouring into the filter?
Okay, meaning so if I'm, if filter exists, if the guardrails hold, and if Donald Trump can't
steal elections, what's the policy that comes through the other end of the filter? The policy I
get from Donald Trump on the other end of the filter is a bunch of stuff that I like. The policy
that I get from Joe Biden on the other end of the filter is a bunch of stuff that I like. The policy that I get from Joe Biden on the other end of the filter is a bunch of bullshit I don't.
So that's the basic calculation.
Okay.
So then the idea is essentially that Donald Trump's rhetoric is insane, but we don't
care.
Donald Trump would probably try to steal an election if he could, but he probably won't
be able to.
He's not going to do it again.
I told you.
He's not.
You don't get any.
Why not?
Because he won't be eligible to be on the ballot in...
I mean, by the way, you want to talk about 14th Amendment?
That's where the 14th Amendment applies.
Okay, that's where it actually applies.
Meaning you cannot...
He is not qualified to be on the ballot in 2028 if he is the President of the United States.
States can literally, in self-executing fashion, take him off the ballot.
Just like he's past the age of 35, once you have been President two times, you're no longer
eligible to be President of the United States.
Then you actually have a strong little position.
Yeah, but like keep them off the ballot.
Why would the 14th Amendment stop if he thought Vice President Pence could unilaterally decide the outcome of the election?
When he's not on the ballot?
So now your theory is that he's gonna get reelected and then in 2028, he's not even gonna be on the ballot
and he's gonna direct his new Vice President, Kerry Lake, to simply declare him president of the United States when he has not been on a ballot?
I don't know what the scheme would be.
I think we can kind of laugh and say there's no scheme we could even concoct.
But I think that the machine gun, he's going to walk into this.
I think the issue though is that the idea of electing another president that has tried
to circumvent the peaceful transfer of power using extra legal means and then pretending
we can't concoct a single scheme that he could try to circumvent the peaceful transfer of power using extra legal means. And then pretending like we can't concoct a single scheme
that he could try to circumvent other legal processes
to have a third term or two, have a longer term
or to install who he wants as the next president.
I just, when a person has already shown you who they are
and with every single person around him agrees with that,
when every single person that's worked with him,
save for the, what, Sidney Powell, Eastman and Giuliani,
which I don't think even,
I don't think anybody would wanna throw their lot in with those three.
It just seems wild to me that we would say like,
yeah, we're just going to go ahead and trust this guy with another term of president,
but like he can't run for a third term, so it's fine.
When there's like 50 million other things he could compile.
And I'll make you the case that if you want him not to make election trouble,
you should elect him president in the next election cycle.
And then he will be ineligible.
That, okay.
I find that to be a wholly unconvincing argument.
Well, recently in the news,
the presidents of Harvard, Penn and MIT
failed to fully denounce calls for genocide.
And that rose questions about the influence
of DEI programs at universities.
And so maybe either looking at this or zooming out
more broadly at identity politics at universities or identity politics
Wokeism in our culture. How big of a threat is it to our culture to Western civilization?
So obviously I'm gonna say it's a huge threat. The reason that I think there's a huge threat
I want to give a definition of wokeism because people are very often accused of not using wokeism
Properly or believing that it's sort of a catch-all phrase. I don't think it's a catch-all term. I think that
wokeism has its roots in postmodernism, which essentially suggests that every principle is
a reflection of underlying structures of power and that therefore any inequality that emerges
under such a system is a reflection, again, of that structure of power that used to be applied in sort of Marxist ways.
The suggestion being that economic inequality was the result of misallocation of power in the structure preserved by an upper crust of people who wanted to cram down exploitation on people.
That was sort of the Marxist version of postmodernism and then got transmuted into sort of a racial version of postmodernism in which the systems of the United States are white supremacist in orientation
and are perpetuated by a group of people who are in fact in favor of the preservation of white power and white supremacy.
That is the generalized theory of critical race theory as proposed by, for example, Jean Steffancek and Richard Delgado in their book on critical race theory, that has taken a softer form that we refer to as DEI.
The key in DEI is the E, meaning equity. So equity is a term that does not mean equality. People mix it up. Equality is the idea that we all ought to have equal rights, that we all ought to be treated equally by the law.
rights that we all ought to be treated equally by the law.
Equity is the idea that if there is an inequality that emerges from any system, it is therefore due to discrimination.
And the best way to tell whether somebody has been victimized is by dint of their
race. And we can tell whether you're a member of an oppressed group or an
oppressor group by the intersectional identity that you carry and by the nature
of your group's success or failure predominantly along economic
and power lines in American life. This means that if one group is predominantly successful
economically, they must be a member of the victimizing class. And the only corrective
for that would be, as Ibram X. Kennedy likes to suggest, effectively anti-racist policy
is racism in the service of destroying racism, that you're going to have to, that you're going to have to, you know, discriminate on the basis of race in order to correct for
discrimination that's baked into the system. That's incredibly dangerous. It leads to a victim
victimizer narrative that is unhealthy for individuals and terrible for societies. It
relieves people of individual responsibility. And it destroys the very notion of an objective metric
by which we can decide meritocracy.
And meritocracy is the only system human beings have ever devised that has positive
externalities in literally any area of life.
Every other distribution of wealth, power done along other lines that is not having
to do with merit has negative externalities.
Every system having to do with merit has positive externalities because presumably the most
effective and useful people are going to succeed under those systems. That's the very basis of meritocracy. And the
externalities of that mean that other people benefit from the meritorious and excellent
performance of those people. Maybe you'd be good to get your comments. You're all stomping ground
Harvard. Do you think the president of Harvard should have been fired? I mean, I think she's
been fired not over the plagiarism allegations. I think she should have been fired. I mean, I think she's been fired not over the plagiarism allegations. I think she should have been fired based on her performance just at that congressional hearing.
If the word black had been substituted for Jew in that statement by Elise Stefanik that she was
asking about or trans or literally any other any other minority in America, maybe with the exception
of Asian, then the answer would have been very different coming from Claudine Gay. You know,
with that said, I don't think the firing of Claudine Gay really accomplishes very
much. Did she get what she deserved? Sure. Does that mean that the underlying DEI equity-based
system has been in any way severely damaged? No, I think that this is a way for universities,
as true for Elizabeth Penn also, to basically throw somebody overboard as the sacrifice to maintain the
underlying system that continues to predominate at American universities where they spend literally
billions of dollars every year on DEI initiatives and diversity hires and diversity administrators
and all of this. I mean, one of the class of education escalating is in the massive administrative
function that is now undertaken by universities as opposed to teaching and, you know, class
of dorms and such.
You guys probably agree on a lot of this, right?
Kind of, maybe, yeah.
I don't know what makes things do this, but it feels like we can never, like, have a
good thing and then have it end as a good thing.
Things always get taken to their extreme and then we have to fight on those extremes.
Like I would argue that back in my day,
we called it SJW, Social Justice Warriors,
before it became woke,
and it's like 2013 onwards, whatever.
Like there are aspects to wokeism that I think are good.
Like I like the additional representation
that we have in media now.
I like how as much as people complain
about the internet and how it's regulated,
that there are way more groups
that are represented on the internet,
whether we're talking ex the platform formerly known as Twitter or Facebook
or whatever. I think in some ways, or whether we're pushing women's achievements in school
and in the wider workforce, I think that these are all good things. The issue that you run into
is people don't ever have a stopping point. And I think people kind of get lost in this woke for woke sake thing,
where we start to see these very weird warpings of these like academic, I guess, arguments
that are used for really horrible things. So, for instance, I think that you can talk
about in the United States, things like white supremacy or things like oppression or certain
demographics, especially with like Jim Crow laws and pre-Jim Crow. And you can even talk
about effects from that. But then when you run into this weird world where we've kind of warped these
things so that like not only is white supremacy still as present today as it ever has been,
well actually black people in other minorities can even be racist. They don't have the power to
because we're going to use a different definition of racism. And we can only talk about punching up
as opposed to punching down. And then we're actually going to say it's totally okay for these people
to say or do whatever they want. And it's never bad. But like white people who have always been
the oppressors, even if you're like a trailer
park guy whose family is addicted to meth, you know, you have all this privilege, et cetera,
et cetera.
I think that you run into these issues where it woke us and it starts off as like a really
good idea.
And I would argue has achieved really good things, especially in regards to like women's
education and everything.
And then it just gets so academia, so there's a word there, academic, whatever, when you
take something and you put it in a school too much and then it comes out of some Frankenstein,
you know, cancer baby of like horrible things,
such that today when I'm reading stuff,
and I know Ben is the same way,
like if I even hear somebody say the word,
like anti-racism, I'm probably ignoring every other thing
you have to say.
If you utter the word like colonial anything,
I'm probably gonna say you probably don't have anything
good to say.
Yeah, a lot of it has just taken way too far.
But you know what I will blame on some of this is I will blame conservatives for some
of this because I think one issue that happens, and I think Ben might even agree with me here
too, is I think there's two huge problems that have happened in the United States, I
think broadly speaking, is that one, we become more different than we ever have been.
And two, we become more similar than we ever have been.
And when I say this, what I mean is that we're splitting off
into these groups, and then these groups
are enforcing this insane homogeneity
between these two separate groups.
And I think one of these schisms has been
conservatives' reluctancy to participate
in things related to higher education.
So for a long time, conservatives are saying,
oh, you know, the educational institutions are against us,
you know, Rush Limbaugh talks about how evil the colleges are
and blah, blah, blah. And then what happens is,
conservatives are less and less willing to engage in them.
So then you get this scenario or this environment where everybody that's engaged in
academia on the administrative side are
are fucking insane.
They're like even more so too.
And I also want to draw a distinction between like the administrators and the faculty
because oftentimes when you're reading story after story after story of all of these insane admins that are pushing further
and further left, usually the faculty is fighting against it. A lot of the tenured professors,
a lot of people in their department are saying, hold on, well, we actually don't agree with this.
But I feel like because conservatives for so long have demonized these institutions,
rather than critically evaluated them and tried to have honest critique and engagement that
they've just completely broken off.
And when you only have a bunch of lefties or righties together, all they'll do is they're
veer off even more into their insane directions.
I feel like that's a big problem that we run into in the country to where conservatives
have totally broken off some conversations broken away from where they won't participate
on them anymore.
And then the people that you have left just run as far to the left as possible.
Certainly when you look at certain institutions,
I think that one of the things that people
on both sides of the aisle are constantly looking at is,
has the institution suffered such capture
that there is just no capacity to fix it?
And when you talk about the universities,
I'm not gonna blame conservatives
for the failure of the universities
because they haven't been present in major positions
at universities since effectively the late 1960s.
You can go read Shelby Steele's work on this where he talks about how, you know, he used
to be, he's now a conservative black person, he was a liberal black person at the time.
He was actually quite a radical black activist at the time in the 60s.
And he talks about walking into the office of liberal administrators who are largely
on his side with regard to civil rights.
And being a radical, him claiming that the systems
of the university were inherently broken,
were inherently wrong, unfixable.
And he talks about this, it's a very evocative episode
where he's talking about how he's smoking.
And as he's smoking, the ash is growing more and more
and the ash falls down on this very expensive carpet.
And the president of the university
who's listening to him rant and rave,
he said Shelby
Steele says I thought he was going to say something about this. I mean I was wrecking like a thousand
dollar carpet in his office being a jackass and instead I could see him wilt inside. I could see
him collapse. He didn't have the institutional credibility or the intellect or sort of the
spiritual strength to just say listen I agree with you on some of these things but you're acting
like a jackass and what you see in the late 1960s and early 1970s is in fact the collapse of these institutions
to the point where by the time I was going to college, there was this radical disproportion
between conservatives and liberals. And the problem is that when it comes to a system like the
universities, basically, I have to separate the universities off into two separate categories.
One is STEM, where the universities are still pretty damn good. American universities, when it
comes to STEM, are still leading universities in the world.
Harvard's main creations these days
are coming from actual hard science field.
Then you have the liberal arts field
in which you basically have a self-perpetuating elite
because that's actually how dissertations work.
If you have somebody who's very far to the left
and you decide that you're gonna write a dissertation
on the history of American gun rights,
the chances that that is going to be approved
by your dissertation advisor are much lower
than if you happen to write something that tends to agree with
the political positions of your dissertation advisor. Now, listen, I think there are open
and tolerant professors, even in the liberal arts at these universities. I went to these
universities, right? I went to UCLA, went to Harvard Law School. When I was at Harvard
Law School, one of my favorite professors was Lani Gouignère. Lani Gouignère, what
they tried to appoint her, I believe, secretary of labor under Clinton, and she was too liberal
and she got rejected. So she was like a full-on communist by the time I went there. She was great. We had
debates every day. It was wonderful. She used to write me recommendations for my legal jobs
after we left. Randall Kennedy, I don't agree with him very much. Randall Kennedy was a terrific
professor. There are some professors who are like this. Unfortunately, there tends to be in these
echo chambers more and more ideological conformity that is rigorously enforced and it is by left
on left. So for example, when I was at Harvard Law School, the president of the university
was another president who ended up being ousted, Larry Summers. Larry Summers had been the secretary
of treasury under Bill Clinton, and he made the critical error of suggesting that perhaps the
dearth of women in hard sciences in prestigious positions was due to possibly two factors that
people were refusing to talk about. One was the possibility that women
actually didn't want to be in hard sciences
at nearly the rates that men do, which happens to be true.
And two was the distribution of STEM IQ, right?
Which is something that you certainly
were not allowed to talk about.
The idea that the men's bell curve
when it comes to IQ, particularly on STEM subjects,
tends to be shallower than the women's bell curve.
So when you get to the very end of the bell curve,
what you tend to see is a lot of really dumb guys and a lot of really
smart guys. And so when you're talking about the top universities, maybe that has something to do
with the disproportion. And he's trying to explain that to say that our systems are not discriminating
if we end up with more men than women, maybe more men are applying and more men are qualified.
That's that's quite, he was ousted for that by a left wing faculty and, and, you know, general
alum network at Harvard University.
There's a lot to blame conservatives for
for surrendering the playing field.
I totally agree that conservatives should not have
surrendered the playing field in some institutions.
Colleges were surrendered a lot earlier than 20 years ago.
They were surrendered in the late 1960s, early 1970s.
Yeah, so I think that a couple of things.
So one of the big issues that I have with kind of like this,
I don't know if we call it error of Trumpism or populism, is this total disregard for institutions and this disconnect from participation in the system.
So it's one of the big things that I fight with progressives about who cares because they're all 20 years old, they don't vote anyway.
But it's another thing that I noticed with a lot of people that are Trump voters, Trump fans or whatever, is this idea where we say this institution is irrevocably destroyed. It's
irredeemable. It can't be saved. It can't—nothing that we do can fix it. And I think that what
that leads people to doing is, one, they disconnect further, and then, two, there's a general hopelessness
when it comes to how society is, like, ran or structured, such that you fall into that populous
brain rot of, the only person that can save me is Donald Trump. I can't trust literally anything.
And I think that when you start driving people into that direction, all it does is it further
amplifies all the problems that you're complaining about. So that's one of the reasons why when we
talk about like conservative participation, I want there to be more conservatives that are
trying to participate in academia. But I feel like the leading thought or the leading speaking out
against it is basically saying it's a waste of time. It's completely lost. So I think that the
alternative to that is that you're seeing on the right a
growth of, for example, alternative universities saying,
Yeah, but this is the worst thing.
No, I don't think so at all.
I think competition is a great way of incentivizing some change on behalf of
universities that may have forgotten that there's an entire another side of
the aisle in the United States.
No, no shot.
I don't believe even, I don't think even you think that.
So first of all, let me make clear.
I think the entire educational system at the upper levels,
if you're not in STEM is a complete scam.
I think it's a complete waste of money.
I think it's a complete waste of time.
And I think that it's all, all it is is a formalized,
very expensive sorting mechanism for people of IQ.
That's all it is.
People take an SAT, you go to a good school,
you take four years of bullshit.
I know I did it UCLA.
And then we analyze based on your degree,
where you should go to law school.
I could have gone directly from high school to law school with maybe one year of training and then done one year of law school
and been done. Okay, the reality is that this is a giant scam. And this is again, it's a bipartisan problem,
but it's just a generalized problem.
We have, you want to talk about things that hurt the lower classes in the United States. The bleeding of degrees up is so wild and crazy.
There's so many jobs in the United States that should not require a college degree that we now require a college degree
to do because there was this weird idea that came over
Americans where they mistook correlation for causation.
They would say, oh, look, people who go to college are making
more money than people who don't go to college.
Therefore, everyone should go to college.
Well, maybe the reason is because people who are going to
college were better qualified for particular jobs because on
average, not all the time, but on average, a lot of those people were smarter
and making more money because of that.
And so all you've done is you've now created
these additional layers of stratification.
So a person who used to be able to get a job
with a college degree and has to have a postdoc degree
in order to go get that degree.
A person who used to be able to just graduate high school,
now it's de facto you gotta go to a Juco
and then you gotta go to college
or nobody's gonna look at your resume.
It's really, really terrible
for people who can't afford all of that. It's led to this massive increase in educational cost that is
inexplicable other than this particular sort of bleed up and by the way federal subsidies
for higher education. Again, one of my problems with federal subsidies for higher education,
I'd love for everyone to be able to go to college if qualified to do so and if it is productive.
But one of the things I did when I went to law school is I took loans because a bank said,
I was gonna get my money back if I got a law degree from Harvard. But
you know when you're not going to get your money back? If you're a bank, you're not going to lend
to some dude who wants to major in art theory because is that a good bet? There's no collateral.
Right? If I give a loan for a house, I can go repossess the house. How do I repossess your
garbage college degree from UCLA? There's no way to do that. So one of my, this is the broader
conversation about education in general.
I think the educational system is cruising for a bruising.
And I think all that's necessary for it to completely collapse on the non-stem side where
you actually learn things is for people who employ to simply say, give me your SAT score
and I will hire you for an apprenticeship directly out of high school.
It would cut out so much of the middleman.
But as far as the general point that you're making about institutions,
I may disagree on the education and how far it's gone.
In general, I agree with you.
So in general, I agree,
and I get to use my favorite longest-word in the English language here.
I would consider myself in many cases an anti-disestablishmentarianist.
Nice.
See, I like to drop that because if you're an establishmentarian,
that means you like this establishmentarian is right
I mean anti so can you say that word? That's the one we all learned growing up anti just establishmentarian
But and then some can either group say what about supercalifragilist and then you're right about new ultra-reco-stopic
Yeah, or the science terms. Yeah, exactly. What about the 7,000 letter thing? That's from part of a bio camera
I got my education the Soviet Union. So we just did math
That's why you're a useful person so the union math was that one plus one, how to make that equal
three. We know long words and he streams on the internet and I talk for living. So anyway,
but the point is that I don't disagree that there is a general populist tendency on all sides of
the aisle to look at the institutions and then throw them overboard. I think that some of that is earned by people who are in positions of power at institutions who
have completely undermined the faith and credibility of those institutions. I think you have to
examine institution by institution which ones are salvageable and which ones are not. So I'm not a
full anti-disestablishmentarianism. I'd be partially in that camp. There are certain institutions like
higher education in the liberal arts that I think we may be better off without.
And then there are certain institutions like say participation in American government where when people talk about we need a revolution like no
we don't that's not a thing. We need an evolution. We need change. We can use the system and you know,
but I think you have to establish you have to look at it industry by industry,
you know, just institution by institution on that position or institutions., do you think Biden or Trump would side with you more?
As far as the institutions, I think the institutions in the United States at the governmental level
are robust. I think the social institutions are fair.
Yeah, but I'm just curious on your general view of institutions, do you think Biden or
Trump would side with you more on how you view them?
I mean, I think that in rhetoric, Biden would, and then I think that he would tear out the
face of the institutional way around like a mask like Hannibal Lecter.
I mean, that's not actually resisted some people's calls to like pack the court.
And yes, because I think that his use of executive power was greater than that of Donald Trump,
the power that he had, he used greater effect than Donald Trump.
Donald Trump again, thrashed up against the sides of the box, but could not get out of it.
OK, for just real quick, because on that answer went a lot farther than the initial question.
Yeah, just on the real quick thing, the reason why I, again, my main problem that I feel like we have today in society
is people are getting into their own bubbles.
The idea of having like conservative schools and liberal schools seems like the saddest thing in the world to me.
Like I would want conservatives and liberals going to school together because I think these people need to interact with each other more.
If for no other reason than to say that the other person is not like an actual monstrous, horrible entity that wants to destroy the destroy the country. I think a classically liberal idea for many schools would not be a bad thing.
I think it would be a good thing.
You just wonder if that's salvageable.
And if it's not salvageable, then the answer to that is to actually create an alternative
institution.
I feel like the biggest issue that we have is people are, they sort into these different
like phantom worlds to where even if you live in the same city, there are totally different
worlds that exist between liberals and conservatives.
And I feel like one of the big barriers to people understanding the other side, sometimes
it's just a little bit of information or a little bit of like firsthand experience.
When I, so in terms of information, I'm sure you saw, I don't, I don't know if this is
a full on study, but they were talking about how some huge percentage of students would
change their mind on from the river to the sea when you told them what from the river
was.
What the river was and what the sea was.
Yeah.
Or when you said like, yeah, what does a one state solution mean?
A lot of them, such that the numbers went from 70% to 30% in terms of support would fall.
And it wasn't because you were doing a radical redefining their whole ideology,
you were just giving them a little bit more information.
And then something that I've seen on a firsthand level is when I go and speak or do debates
at universities, sometimes I'm in very, very, very conservative areas.
Some of my fans are trans.
Having a trans person show up and talk to conservatives for a little bit,
not like in a speech, just like in like a bar or setting,
like a lot of them walk away thinking like,
oh, not every trans person is like this insane lunatic
from Twitter that is a fucking, an actual crazy person.
And then for some of my fans when they hang out
with conservatives, they're like,
oh, these guys are actually pretty friendly.
I thought they would have all been homophobic,
racist, trans, trans, and evil,
but they're not, they're just like normal people.
I feel like we need more of that.
I totally agree with that, certainly.
Yeah, and I feel like on our social media platforms,
on our algorithms, in our schools, I feel like we need more of that. I totally agree with that, certainly. Yeah, and I feel like on our social media platforms, on our algorithms, on our schools,
I feel like we're sorting harder and harder and harder
and any type of rhetoric that encourages the sorting
is really bad and damaging.
We need to like continue to mix up.
And there's other things I wanna talk about,
but like opening his mouth and watching him.
Destiny the Uniter, wow.
All right, as we approach the end,
let us descend into the meme further and further.
Ben, you're in a monogamous marriage.
In Destiny, you've been mostly in an open marriage until recently.
How foundational is marriage, monogamous marriage, to the United States of America?
Can open marriages work?
Are they harmful to society?
Ben?
Marriages are the single most important thing
that people can do in the United States
because the things within your control
are easier to control than the things outside your control.
People tend to think about big political change,
obviously about things they can do
to change the entire system.
But the reality is the thing that you can do
that best changes society is to get married
and have kids and raise your kids responsibly.
That is the single best thing that you can do.
Can an open marriage work?
I mean, I think that it depends on your definition of work. So in my version of work, the answer is no,
because what you actually need in order to facilitate the healthy growing of a child is a father and mother
who are committed to each other. All idea, all ideas about there being no emotional components to
sexual activity are completely specious. That they destroy for men than it is for women,
but it's not true for either.
The idea of a full commitment to a human being,
with whom you genetically create children,
which is typically how we've done it
throughout human existence,
is in fact the fundamental basis
for any functional civilization.
It allows for the transmission of culture and values.
It allows for the transmission of culture and values. It allows for the transmission of beliefs and
responsibility. And it is, it gives the great lie to both the communitarian lie and the, and the atomistic individualist lie. The
communitarian lie is that you belong to the giant community of man, which is not true because you have a family. And your
allegiance should be and is naturally to the members of your family first. That's how we learn. And then we expound that out. And it also is a lie to the notion that we are all atomistic individuals with no
responsibilities. We are born into a world of responsibilities. Everyone is born into a world
of responsibilities and rules and roles. And those are good. And if we do not actually socialize our
children that way, there will be number one, no children. Number one, there will be no healthy
children. Number two, there will be no healthy children. Number two, there will be no healthy children.
Number three, there will be not the foundation
for either social fabric, which is the real glue
that holds together society or for a functional government.
So yes, yes, monogamous marriage.
I'm a fan, 15 years married, four kids, yes.
Destiny, what do you think?
I think that when we talk about like relationships
or marriage, I think something that's really important is we have to talk about whether or not children are
being discussed or not. Because I think once you introduce the child aspect, I think the style or
the type of relationship that you do is going to become way more important than whatever exists
prior to that. Like I would agree, for instance, in terms of what Ben is saying that there's probably
going to be some structure that is ideal for the care and the raising of a child.
I think that having a child gives you a much bigger buy-in to society because now all of a
sudden you care about a lot of things that you might not have before because not only do you
exist in society, you can't just run. Now you've got a child that exists there and you've got to
ensure that everything functions smoothly, not just for you but for that child as well.
And arguably, although we're getting into weird places, I guess, in the world now,
like children are the primary conduit for like where you transmit like cultural values and everything.
The one kind of weird thing that we're coming up against that we have been coming up against
now for some number of decades and will continue to is as societies progress,
seems like people are having less children.
And I actually don't know 100% what the answer is to that question.
I do.
I can't show you that. Yeah. I mean, an implementable answer that works, that we know we can get
everybody on board with. It seems like, for a large part of human history, having children,
and it still is, having children is awesome, and children are cool, and children are magical,
and miraculous, and all of this. But you didn't really have much competing for your attention to
have a child, right? When you hit a certain age and you started working, but you didn't really have much competing for your attention to have a child, right?
When you hit a certain age and you started working, especially if you were a woman,
I mean, childbirth is kind of the next step.
And then having a family raising your children and then doing that is kind of the next step.
Nowadays, especially with women being able to work, especially women having access to birth control,
there's a lot available in the world that's competing for the interest of people that could otherwise be having children,
such that we've almost flipped it, such that has been brought up up earlier like wealthy people tend to have less children than not wealthy people.
Or unless you're part of particular religious communities that push childbirth a lot.
I don't know if I would say there exists a moral imperative on an individual to have children.
I think that there's a lot of interesting arguments down that path. I don't know if we're
quite at the point yet where we need to say like, oh my god, we're running out of people,
we need to have more kids. I don't think we're quite
there yet. But we are seeing weird demographic trends that are having big impacts on how countries
are playing out. For instance, the fact that we have a disproportionately huge aging population
that needs to be taken care of with medical expenses and everything that vote in different ways than
our younger population and that when they die off, the way that society is going to look is going
to be a lot different. I'm not entirely sure what the future is going to look like in terms of
pushing people to have kids when every single industrialized country, as they become more
industrialized, have fewer and fewer and fewer children.
Rapid fire questions.
And the answer, my answer was go to church.
Religion. Yeah, I'm figuring, yeah.
Well, we could talk about religion, but that's not rapid fire at all.
Let me ask, this is from the internet.
Does body count matter?
Jesus Christ.
You're really bringing up the red pill stuff.
You avoiding answering?
I mean, it's totally, it depends on who you are.
If you're somebody that doesn't care about it, it doesn't.
If you're somebody that does care about it, yeah, it does, of course.
It depends on the answers, yes.
Okay.
Should porn be banned?
No.
If you could do it, yes. There is no benefit to pornography.
Is it?
Waste of time and destructive to the human soul.
I can't believe I'm asking this question.
Is only fans empowering or destructive for women?
Jesus.
These are rapid fire?
Yeah, just you keep I mean
It's probably empowering for the ones that are making a lot of money off it
It probably feels disempowering for others that feel affected by the culture norms set by women that do only fans
There's my rapid fire answer
It's it's destructive to even the ones who are making a lot of money because when you degrade yourself to being just a set of human
Body characteristics that other people jack off to it's bad for you and it's bad for them
Yeah, is a rap music
Absolutely. I'm all done this or have I evolved on this? Um, so
Again, I'm gonna go to what's the definition of music my original argument about rap was that music involves the following three elements rhythm melody harmony
rap typically involves
Maybe one of those
There there may be a melody, maybe sometimes.
So it depends on the kind of rap.
With that said, I could be convinced on this issue,
but listen, I'm a classical violinist.
I mean, that's how I was raised.
I listened to Beethoven and Brahms and Mozart,
like in the car with my kids.
So is it comparable, is it in the same category
as Beethoven, Brahms and Mozart?
I have a very hard time sticking it in the same category as that.
All right. You're both world-class debaters, even public intellectuals, if I can say that.
Jesus.
Yeah, I know.
I'm going real hard here.
I know. You both care about the truth. What is your process of arriving at the truth?
care about the truth? What is your process of arriving at the truth? I think it's really important to... Everybody will say that they're objective and that they
are nonpartisan. I think it's really important to have mental safeguards for bad opinions.
So for instance, like a couple of things that I'll ask myself is for a particular debate
that I'm having, like can I argue convincingly both sides of the debate? If I can't, I won't bother having the debate because I realize that I'm probably to
partisanly dug in if I can't even represent an opposite argument here. Another question that you
might ask yourself is, well, what would it take to convince you out of a certain position? If you
feel very strongly that Medicare for All is a good system by which to run the United States
healthcare, and somebody says, well, what would it take you to convince you otherwise if you can't even fathom?
Like, what would it take to convince me otherwise?
You're probably too dug into a position.
So I think if you go through life saying, like, well,
I try my best to be unbiased rather than saying,
I try to best my best be aware of my biases
because the latter is more realistic in the former
is literally impossible unless you're a computer.
Yeah. So I think having like actual mental practices
that you engage in to try to counter some of the biases
that you have is more important than trying to pretend
that you're free of all biases
and then consuming all your media from one source.
Ben?
So, I mean, I agree with a lot of that.
I think that the easiest practical guide
is read a bunch of different things
from a bunch of different sources
and where they cross is probably the set of facts
and then everything else is extrapolated opinion from
different premises. That's the that's sort of the short story.
So read the New York Times and Breitbart and they're going
to disagree on a lot. But if the core of the daily wire,
certainly read the daily wire. If you read the daily wire and
you read the Washington Post, and there's a and there's a
nexus of the same thing, then you can pretty well guarantee
that at least,
you know, if it's, if we're all blind men feeling the elephant, at least if we're all feeling the
trunk, we know that there's a trunk there, right? You may not know what the elephant is.
And if you're feeling frisky, then watch Destiny as well.
You've talked about, you know, having a conversation debating Ben for a long time.
What is your favorite thing about Ben Shapiro?
My favorite thing about Ben Shapiro is, at least when we're in election season, he's
very critical of his own party.
I appreciate that.
That doesn't...
I feel like Ben generally tries to adhere more to the fact-based arguments than other
conservatives that I listen to, which is something that I appreciate because it's more fun to
fight on the factual grounds of discussing things like foreign policy or whatever rather than people that only inhabit
the idealistic or philosophical grounds because they don't want to learn about any of the facts.
So I appreciate that. Ben, you've gotten a chance to talk to Desi now. What do you like about the
guy? A lot of the same sorts of things, but it's really fun to see how you do your process. That
is a cool thing. That is a cool thing. And it's a gift to the audience because honestly doing what
we do, so much of what we do is sitting and reading and being behind closed
doors and educating yourself and talking with people. But getting to watch you do it in real
time is a really cool window into how people think and how people learn. So that's a really neat thing.
Well, gentlemen, this was incredible. It's an honor. Thank you for doing this today.
Hey, thanks a lot. Thanks for having me.
Thanks for listening to this debate between Bashar Piro and Destiny.
To support this podcast, please check out our sponsors in the description.
And now, let me leave you with some words from Aristotle.
The basis of a democratic state is liberty.
Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time.