Mind Pump: Raw Fitness Truth - 1280: COVID-19 - The Death of the Gym Industry?
Episode Date: April 27, 2020In this episode, Sal, Adam & Justin discuss the future of the gym industry in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. Will it survive? This episode features the perspective of leaders in the gym industry, ...from the owner of a local personal training studio to the founder of 24 Hour Fitness. A conversation with Breann Mitchell, Director of The Bay Club Company. How are Bay Clubs handling the shut down right now both with staff and members? (2:30) The interesting strategy they have implemented and how it is working out. (3:45) What are they doing to bring value to members so they can keep paying dues? (4:28) Their plans for re-opening. (5:20) The outlook on the future of Bay Clubs. (7:14) A conversation with Scott Howell, CEO of Red Dot Fitness. How is Red Dot handling things at this moment? (7:45) Ways they’re bringing value and service to their clients to keep some revenue coming in. (9:53) How many members did they lose? (10:50) Their plans on re-opening when they get the green light. (12:08) Optimistic or pessimistic for the future? (13:25) A conversation with Jason Khalipa, CrossFit pioneer, and gym owner. How he is managing his business at the moment. (14:40) How he is working with his members. (15:58) Is he worried about the future of his business? (17:40) How will he move forward when things reopen? (18:38) Will he have to change his business model based on new restrictions? (19:20) Will the average CrossFit box die? (20:17) What does the future look like for the CrossFit box owner? (21:45) Switching to digital the way of the future? (23:13) A conversation with Brendon Ayanbadejo, Super Bowl Winner, and Orangetheory Fitness owner. How have his businesses been impacted? (24:23) Their plans for re-opening. (25:35) How will this affect their membership prices? (26:36) Is he fearful about the future? (27:06) How COVID-19 is affecting the new small business franchisee? (27:55) A conversation with Mark Mastrov, fitness empire builder of 24-Hour Fitness and current President/CEO at Fitness Holdings Inc. How have his businesses handled the shut-down? (29:00) Have they gone digital to try and bring in revenue? (30:03) How they plan on operating when allowed to re-open. (31:00) Creating a strong community and a healthy environment. (33:15) How will they profit with fewer people in their facilities? (34:37) Mark’s candid take on the impact of COVID-19. (36:20) What is the future of the entire gym industry? (37:18) A Mind Pump candid recap of the conversations had. (39:35) Related Links/Products Mentioned April Promotion: MAPS Prime/Prime Pro ½ off! **Code “PRIME50” at checkout** Special Promotion: MAPS Anywhere ½ off!! **Code “WHITE50” at checkout** Visit Everly Well for an exclusive offer for Mind Pump listeners! **Code “mindpump” at checkout** Bay Club: Sports + Fitness Red Dot Fitness Jason Khalipa Brendon Ayanbadejo Orange Theory Fitness Fitness Holdings Inc Tonal: The World's Most Intelligent Home Gym The Nearly Invisible Interactive Home Gym | MIRROR Mind Pump Free Resources Featured Guest(s) Breann Mitchell (@bod_by_bree) Instagram Red Dot Fitness (@red_dot_fitness) Instagram Jason Khalipa (@jasonkhalipa) Instagram Brendon Ayanbadejo (@brendon310) Instagram
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If you wanna pump your body and expand your mind,
there's only one place to go.
Mind, up, mind, up with your hosts.
Salta Stefano, Adam Schaefer, and Justin Andrews.
Today's episode of Mind Pump is a unique one.
It's becoming very clear that the $90 billion brick and mortar segment of the fitness industry
is one of the hardest hit segments of our economy.
Jim's studios and group class facilities will order to be shut down by local, state, and federal governments
all around the world, and there's tremendous uncertainty over when they'll be able to reopen
and what that'll even look like.
These fitness businesses rely heavily on human contact and on sharing equipment.
Are they even going to survive a post-COVID world?
Are consumers even going to want to go back to working out the way they did before?
Here at Mind Pump, we have our own opinions on this situation.
But we wanted to
ask fitness leaders who are being directly affected by this crisis. Adam Justin and myself gathered
up who we consider to be amazing representatives of different segments of this fitness space.
We interviewed people like Brienne Mitchell from the high-end country club type fitness company,
Bayclubs. Scott Howe, a local owner of the successful personal training studio,
Red Dot Fitness. Jason Calipa, a successful owner of the successful personal training studio, Red Dot Fitness.
Jason Calipa, successful owner of multiple CrossFit type gym locations. Brendan Ayand
Badejo, who owns almost 50 group exercise ornish theory locations, and the godfather of the
gym industry, Mark Mastroff, who founded 24Fitness back in the day, and who currently owns hundreds
of big box gyms like Crunch, UFC Gems, and many others.
Now we figured if anyone could shed some light in the current state of the fitness industry
and predict what the future for this particular space would look like, it was those people.
Look, are the Gems going to even survive?
Are group exercise facilities going to be forced to change their models forever?
Is there a hope for the fitness space?
You're going to find out in today's Mind Pump episode.
So we start by talking to Brienne Mitchell,
who's the director of fitness programming of Bayclubs.
Now Bayclubs are massive, high-end fitness and health
facilities that are more like country clubs than gyms.
So I start out by asking her how Bayclubs
is handling the shutdown right now,
both with staff and with members.
So we actually decided right when this happened to not lay off any of our employees.
We noticed that a lot of companies around us in this space were laying off their employees
and we kind of came together as a team and our CEO is very, very transparent and we had
a lot of calls right off the bat.
He said, look, we're gonna put our heads together,
we're gonna grind, we're gonna figure out
how to do this as a team.
And we're all gonna cross the finish line as a team.
So we decided not to let go of our staff
and instead just work on providing value
for our members in this time
and then going out to membership basin
kind of telling that story.
So making phone calls and having conversations just saying, listen, we would love for you
to stay with us.
We're going to give you the option of 100% dues, 50% dues, or zero if you're having financial
hardships.
But look, the money's not going for our profit.
We're actually just trying to keep our entire staff on board.
Our membership responded really well and we're able to do that.
So she explained a very interesting strategy.
Then I wanted to know how well it was actually working for them.
We did lose quite a bit that opted out, but we've been able to at least for a good chunk
of a lot of our salary employees took a slight reduction in pay, but it was more important
for us to pay our frontline staff.
So we've kind of talked about it.
We're protecting that frontline staff and then the higher earners are taking a little bit
of a dip.
So to answer your question, we did see a lot of people that opted to not pay their dues,
but they're more on a freeze right now until we can open our doors.
So we didn't necessarily have people that quit their membership completely.
They're just opting out for right now until we can open.
I thought that was really cool that they kept most or all of their staff.
Then I asked her how they're planning on bringing value
to members so that they can keep paying dues.
I jumped in, you know, kind of seeing that this was going to happen.
I've been emailing Matthew Stevens our CEO,
just saying, Hey, listen, I think we could take some stuff online
if we need to and it's funny because it went from a week,
the week before of me saying, this might sound crazy, but if we need to go online's funny because it went from a week the week before of you saying this might sound crazy but if we need to go online just know I got some
ideas and we can do this to the next week going okay we got to go online tomorrow
so we quickly pivoted and you know we represent four different quadrants we
got hospitality sports family and fitness and with all four quadrants we put a
programming task force together and we went online
literally overnight. So we're doing online content for, you know, I'm managing all the online
fitness content, we have sports content and we have family activities and content online.
So that all sounds really good. It sounded good to me, but I kept thinking to myself, how are
you guys going to plan on reopening when the laws change and the governments allow us to operate our businesses?
We're working really hard right now because we have the square footage in the real estate to, you know, respect social distancing and obviously we are implementing insanely.
You know, high quality sanitation, SOPs, but we have an entire team right now working on what those SOPs are going to look like.
So pushing for being part of the essential business and phase one to open up our doors.
And so for group exercise, I'll just start with that one.
We specifically are going to take all those classes either outdoors or in a place that has high
ceilings. So tennis courts, pool decks, basketball courts, open-tourch fields.
Like, for example, in LA specifically,
just because I'm based there, I can speak to that.
We have in our Rijondo Beach location,
we have a 22,000 square foot turf outdoors.
So we can definitely host classes out there.
We have a huge, huge,
a court that the clippers used to practice on
at our El Sigano property, as well as a half court.
So we're just taking everything either outdoors
or to a spot that has really high ceilings.
Every space will most likely be a bookable space and we have that option through our app
where you reserve space in the club.
And then we're kind of thinking of fitness as, fitness pods.
So you kind of work out with, maybe you work out with your family and like people that you've
been social distancing with.
And that'll be be bookable space. So everything will be reservation-based, everything will be,
have everything has detailed SOPs to like what kind of tool and what kind of spray do you use
to clean that when the member is finished using it. And because we have kept our entire staff,
we have a great option of you know you might not be training all your clients, but hey you're being
paid for your hours. So why don't you come in and you're not part of the team
That's gonna help you know direct traffic and clean equipment in between use
Well in the end she expressed her outlook for the future of Bay clubs and she said you know focus on what you can change
Leave what you can't I thought that was really really good advice. I'm definitely a positive person
So I could just preface with that.
But I do.
I really think that in times of adversity, you have two options.
You can sit there and focus on the things that you can't do, or you can go, wow, what
are the things that I can do?
We're going to actually jump in, we're going to do what we can, and we're going to save
the fitness space, and we're going to make sure that we can do this in a safe and healthy
way.
Next, I talked to someone from a seemingly opposite part of the fitness space.
Scott Howell owns a local successful personal trainer gym here in San Jose called Red Dot.
In fact, we've actually filmed some videos there ourselves in the past.
His facility much smaller than the typical Bayclubs, which are these 100,000 square foot facilities.
His facility is closer like 6,000 square feet.
He depends almost entirely on personal training
for his business.
So I started out by asking him
how they're handling things at this moment.
Yeah, I think the first thing was just,
let's stabilize things a bit.
Let's understand what this is going to mean.
And I think one of the challenging parts about it was,
is we were fed kind of that,
well, this is going to be for a few weeks,
not really knowing what the timeline was, which challenges a little bit.
But you know right away, you shut mid-month down in the fitness business and that cash flow
stops or is about to stop, you're going to be in big trouble.
So what are the things you have to do?
The first thing you got to do is just kind of make sure your team is organized to respond. So get the staff together, help them try to understand what we're doing, be
transparent about it, not try to paint any pretty pictures. You just got to be up front
with them so that they're ready to respond for you. And I think they appreciated that about
us going in. So they appreciate it as, you know, they appreciate it as kind of coming
forward and go, here's what this means.
The second thing was kind of stabilizing the membership
and the people that were already in our funnel.
And I think we have probably an advantage over a lot
of different fitness businesses
and that we already have our clients trust.
They believe we're in it for them 100%.
So it was getting communication out
to how we were going to handle this situation.
And initially, we started hearing news that we were just going to be restricted. There
was going to be social distancing before the shutdown. So we had already had some communication
with about what we were doing as a company to keep them safe, to keep the operation going,
to let them know that we're there to work for them work with them and for them if they had
Things they wanted to discuss like potentially not coming in because they didn't feel safe
How could we help them you know outside of the gym then you went into how they were bringing value and service to their clients to keep some revenue
Coming in we got out in front and now you're seeing kind of everybody doing it one of the ways was okay
Let's let's make sure we're doing some webcast sessions. Let's get them going, right? Let's try to keep them moving the best we can.
The next thing was, is, okay, we have all these personal training clients. Well, online
coaching, online training is not, is not anything new. We just hadn't been doing it before.
So we very quickly began to onboard a platform in which we could deliver our services online
and virtually, virtually meaning, you know, you might be on one side of the Zoom call or the Facetime call,
the Skype call, and I'm on the other.
Another one would just be like, okay, I'm going to provide you some programming,
and here's what you do, send me a list of your equipment,
what you have available, ability to and what you don't,
and really just trying to communicate with the membership every day.
They were getting an email from us every day and our coaches were reaching out to their clients
every day just trying to stay in contact.
Okay, so the big question is how many people did Red Dot lose?
And the number of six members.
So what we did was, we were working with people to push payments,
but this is people that are going to listen, I just can't do this.
I've lost
my job, you know, and I think I'm going to get hired back or I'm furloughed. I'm coming
back. I'm coming back as soon as this thing's over. I just, I reasonably cannot do this
right now. Can you move my payment date? So we've been moving some payment days. Some
people might look at that as a cancellation, but I don't. We look at that as, hey, you've made the commitment to us.
We're making the commitment to you.
We're just going to move that commitment a little further forward, and that's
retotely reasonable.
The other part of that is we've had, obviously, if there's only been six people
that have actually canceled, and we've moved several payment dates,
maybe four or five times that.
The rest of those people are hanging in there with us either one because we're
continuing to provide them service and again 30% of my business is that is that that group training
aspect the rest of its personalized services so we've found a way to deliver that one way or another
at least at a level high enough to where they've hung on. I was blown away when he said only six
members that's unbelievable I think that's a testament to their quality service.
But how would they reopen when they got the green light from lawmakers?
Yeah, lots of questions to be answered.
We actually got out in front of that a bit when the social distance, the six feet of space
and things were kind of laid on us the week before the shutdown.
Here's the way it basically works is we never really have more than 20 to 30 people at any given
time in the facility.
It's usually more like 20 to 25 on our busiest times or peak hours.
So you guys see those, that's the 6am, 5am, 6am in the AM or PM.
And so when you do the math, you pencil out the math.
There's more than 10 feet of space per person if, you pencil out the math. There's more than 10 feet of space per person
if you really penciled out the math.
Now, certainly people are gonna be in closer contact
than that, passing one another by,
as things would be on the sidewalk
or on the park outside right now.
But we could easily pivot to manage if we had to,
if there was some stricter restriction
saying our group classes,
which we only have eight to 10 people in any given time, we could manage the size of those classes and then add additional
classes to make up for the smaller class size to move things around a little bit. Everything
is by appointment only. So in fact, we can manage every single hour and every single body
on the floor if we had to.
Then I asked them if he was optimistic or pessimistic about the future.
Both. I think I always are on positive. That's just a choice that I make.
I think the unknown about what restrictions might be made is a little bit of a concern,
but not really. It's more of I would just like to know what they are so that we can plan for them, so that I'm sure we can work through them. I think the biggest
done known is, how long is it going to take for people to feel really comfortable and safe coming
back, that being one? I really feel we've done a good job and the feedback that we received,
that tells me that the people will be back sort of right away. We're still going to have,
you know, we're still going to have some people that are going to be a little cautious, of course, and they should be natural.
I'm also a little bit concerned about the long term with regard to,
you know, the things you kind of start hearing about like, well, hey, this is just the first wave
and then come December or flu season the next year, we're all going to get mailed by this thing again.
That's, that's a little bit of a concern for me. Judging by how we've kind of responded to this,
we is in general.
I'm not really optimistic about that.
Now we know Scott personally,
and he's one of the best personal training studio operators
around, so to hear him be concerned,
was very, very interesting.
The next person I talked to was Jason Calipa,
who owns many CrossFit- type gyms around the world.
Now, the CrossFit model is an interesting model. It combines traditional small gym feel with
group exercise type classes. I asked him how they were managing their business at the moment.
I think the answer is obviously there's no easy way around this, but the way we had to do is because
the business we don't know how long it's going to go for. Maybe it goes for a month, two months, three months, whatever.
Well, we know it's not going to go for a month because it's already gone a month.
But point being is that what we had to stay fast to is, hey, the business had its position
and then Jason Cleapam might have its own position.
Here's what I mean by that.
When we put out communication to our staff, we paid them for a certain amount of time.
Everybody, there's a lot of full-timers that have PTO.
So we really fall on a three categories.
Some people we furloughed, some people are currently using PTO, which this would be a good time
to use that.
And then other people are getting paid their normal rate.
And it really is dependent on one very simple thing.
Are they able to work or not?
If they're able to work, we're going to take care of them.
If they're not able to work, we have to kind of draw a line in the sand and say, Hey, if you're a
full-time coach and you can't coach in person right now, the business can't fully finance
you because we don't know how long this is going to go out for.
So that's how they worked with their staff, but what about their members?
We decided that everybody on hold instead of continuing to charge them for a variety of
reasons, but the biggest one being we just like it was the right thing to do.
Someone had signed up, let's just say they paid $250 a month for a certain type of service.
We can no longer provide that same service.
And so we didn't feel like it was fair to continue to build them for that.
Now, other gyms might see other ways.
What we did is we gave four options.
Option A, keep your membership the way it is.
What you really, you had a reenact your membership.
So we said, I was email, and if you keep your membership and the cash flow to the business,
we will then provide that back to you within 120 days of us reopening. So let's just say
we're closed for two months. We will then credit their account for two months within 120 days
of reopening. So this way we could disperse that revenue
over 120, you know, the next six months
to then recoup those people who actually support us
at a full free.
They also got equipment rentals,
which was a part of what we did.
We used DocuScience, we did a large amount of equipment rentals.
So option A was that, and then you get all of our digital platform as well,
which was our Facebook Live, our app,
a variety of different tools we had already in place that we gave them.
Option B was just go digital. That was $40 a month and a lot of people opt into for that.
So instead of paying $200 a month, you option two. Option three was you sign up separately
for virtual personal training. This was a way that we could support our coaches through
this time. Basically, all the revenue went to them. So I was a way that we could support our coaches through this time.
Basically, all the revenue went to them. So I was a third option, right? Was was sign up with the coach for virtual personal training, which you could also bucket with other options. Or option four was keep your
membership on hold. And we look forward to seeing you back in here when the doors reopen.
Then I asked Jason if you was worried about the future of his business. This is an unprecedented time and I think with that comes a lot of anxiousness, a lot of sadness
for lowing people, etc. but also a lot of excitement because we more than ever are going to see
opportunities present themselves in all areas that have never presented themselves before. One of those
being if you had an area in your business that wasn't as successful as it could have been,
this could be a really good time to make shifts
and pivots away from that.
So for us, we had talked about growing our digital
and consumer product for years.
We were really folks on brick and mortar
and then our business to business tools.
So now we had to recharge.
So we've grown our e-commerce like,
I mean like a gazillion percent since we switched over.
We've grown our end consumer product and so now we need to do is look at our brick and mortar and say,
hey, where any of these underperforming and is this a good time just to call a duck a duck and
and and and shift out? Since CrossFit is a class-based business, I want to Jason to tell me how they
would move forward when things reopen with the inevitable restrictions from new laws.
You know, it's really going to be based on what the government mandates.
So let's just say they say six-foot apart.
Well, what we're going to have to do is go in there and say, all right, let's look at
we used to base our business model off of a hundred square feet per person.
So let's just say a two thousand square foot floor, which you know, your guy's location
in San Jose was probably give or take two three thousand square feet
I can't remember exactly what it was but if you took that you could accommodate 20 to 30 athletes in a hundred square foot
Like diameter now we're probably going to ramp that up to about 200 square feet
So I imagine our class size will be cut in half wow classes cut in half
Does that mean that they would have to double their membership fees?
That's a really great question as well. I've had that same concern for restaurants. So if
a restaurant built their business model based on 12 table tops and now they have to cut
that down to 6, are they even going to be able to reopen? I think the answer would be
from a restaurant perspective is that you will have these 6 table tops inside, but then
you're going to have to compensate it or support it with to go orders.
And I'd like to say that's a similar model to what we're going to have to do, which
is going to be potentially keeping the price in the way it is.
Cap classes have class reservations, and then also have maybe expand our class schedule,
open gym hours more, and then maybe grow personal training in one-on-one.
So at this time, I don't know if our fees are gonna be more.
I don't anticipate that, but I think we're gonna be able to pivot
to more open gym model, personal training model,
more inside our brick and mortars.
Now Jason is very skilled, he's experienced,
and he's one of the most successful gym business owners we know.
I asked him his opinion surrounding the current average crossfit box owners.
These are people who may not be as skilled or experienced as he is. Actually, what I really
said was, do you think the average crossfit box is going to die?
You know, and this is a really interesting question. I think a great way to relate to it is like
in the hospitals and this is not a non-political statement. But you have someone who's maybe, you know,
80 years old has been in and out of the hospital for a year.
And then the thing that just puts them over the edge is COVID, right?
Let's just say, right?
But they were already unhealthy leading up into that point.
And in terms of like, the individual is already in out of the hospital a ton, right?
They already had other underlying issues.
Same thing I could see in the CrossFit space where for the last six months or a year,
they've had underlying issues, right? They've been going into the, you know, business hospital for
months and months and months. And now this is the thing that just kind of like wakes them up and says,
hey, you know what? Maybe this isn't for me or just puts them in that rut or maybe it's looked at as
a way out from a social pressure perspective that they don't think there'll be as much pressure that it's looked at as much of a failure.
And so because of those things, and I'm not disagreeing with those things, right?
But because of those, I think you'll see people, more people than you think close-up shop,
not just because of COVID though.
I just want to be clear on that.
But more because their business wasn't where it needed to be for a year, and this is a
great opportunity to get out.
So that was a really interesting point.
So what should the average CrossFit Box owner do right now?
You know, I've been trying to support the CrossFit business market for over a decade, and
I've put on business seminars, you name it, where you donate money, whatever.
I talked to OnAverage on probably a thousand owners easily a year in person easily and on
average through all of our analysis the average crossfit gym owner takes home
about twenty five hundred dollars a month to three thousand that's take home
right so and their owner operated so they're they're when they say their business
makes forty thousand a year it actually doesn't because it's
paying them that as their salary to operate it. So essentially, they have a job that's
paying them $40,000 a year that they really like. And because of that, there's not much
reserves in the tank. And so if you're shut down for two, three months, you know, a lot
of these businesses though, they've been able to shift to online and their consumers are very dedicated
them because they feel that hometown close knit group. But once you go from 30, 60 days,
you know, allegiance only goes so far before people start looking at their bills and realize
they're paying a premium for service they're no longer receiving. So if this thing goes
out another three, you know, another month, another two months, you're going to see some
major challenges hitting hitting the market for sure.
Then I brought up how a lot of CrossFit box owners are trying to switch to digital to continue
to stay profitable. Right now you need a shift. Everybody agrees on that, right? But if you
shift too hard and you try and become something you're not
You might get stuck being one foot in one foot out on everything. Here's my knee to that
If you were born a brick and mortar guy
And for the last decade you've been brick and mortering and then all of a sudden you shifted to zoom classes and live classes because you had to
Well, if you go too deep down the rabbit hole on digital and
You there's gonna be a time where you need to make a decision. What do you want your business to
stand for and do you have the resources in mind to grow and is digital just this thing you're
going to do to cover you in the interim or is it going to be a fundamental piece of your
business? And if it is going to be a fundamental piece of your business, he'd be carefully
not distracted in one way or another when the brick and mortar opens because right now you're locked in the leases, you're locked
in the personal guaranteed stuff. When it reopens, if you're two folks on digital, it could
hurt your brick and mortar. If you're two folks on brick and mortar and you're not doing
digital, it could be detrimental as well. So you'd be aware of those things and make sure
you have the staff and the bandwidth to accommodate it and know which way you're going to win.
The next person we talked to was Brendan, Iann Badejo.
He's a friend of mine.
It's X NFL player, Super Bowl winner turned entrepreneur who found massive success
owning and operating multiple Orange Theory locations.
In fact, at the moment, he owns close to 50 of them.
Now, Orange Theory is group class workouts, which we think will be hit hardest
by the pandemic due to the group model.
Like every other gym, Orange Theory locations are all currently totally shut down here he's
telling me how he's handling his 500 employees and their tens of thousands of members you
know so what we did is we shut everything down so members can't cancel members can't do
anything we froze the entire system and that was a corporate move so over a million members instantly got froze from when the shutdown happened
You know mid-March we furloughed
99% of our staff we kept about 10 people in place
Mostly executive accounting HR a little bit of marketing and then some of our top leadership
Studio development sales and operations so on and so forth
So there's about 10 people I even laid myself off because I want to make sure the business
is healthy when we come back and I have one of the higher salaries in the company.
Wow, 99% furloughed.
That's tough.
I asked them how they planned on reopening.
You know, if you're going to be in the workout, you're wearing some type of covering over
your face.
If you're coaching the workout, not only will you have a covering over your mouth and
nose, but you also have a mask covering your eyes.
What the period is in between classes and then what the amount of members are that we're going to let inside of the class.
And just talking, we don't know the situation just yet. You know, typically we can hold anywhere from 26 to 45 people.
We're talking about letting in 12 to 20 people. So one third of what we would normally
let into the class is what we're talking about right now
in terms of safety.
Keeping members off the ground because we know that airborne
stuff can fly out of your mouth, and it can fly onto the ground,
and then you're touching the ground and transfers to your face.
So no exercises on the ground.
And then a nice cleaning in between classes,
whereas normally we do
every class every hour. Now we're talking about 15, 30 minute gaps so we can go in and disinfect
the studio before. Okay, so Brendan said class sizes would have to be cut by 60%. Now
wouldn't that mean membership prices would have to increase to make up the difference?
You know, we just have to eat it. Understanding that members will come in and they'll take classes
and just trying to get them in.
Just imagine, you know, some of our studios are pushing up on 15, 1600 members in a 3,000
to 3,500 square foot studio.
So we know that we're going to lose some members.
We know members, some members aren't going to feel safe coming back just yet, but we want
to get people back in when it's safe and solely ramp up back to normal, but we don't know
when exactly normal is gonna be.
Then I wanted to know if Brendan was fearful about the future,
and if he thought normal would come back,
or if he expects things to be different permanently.
Yeah, I mean, I think there is gonna be a new normal
coming out of this, and what is that new normal?
Is that new normal where we distance ourselves
and we really have social distancing
when everything's healthy and everything's fine?
Is the new normal,
gonna be at home workouts in our business
and never return back to what it was.
So, you know, those are kind of some of the fears
that I do have.
And of course, I'm like you guys,
I'm super positive and optimistic
is to the outcome,
and especially when we have a vaccine,
but who knows when that's gonna be?
What's gonna happen kind of in that interim period?
What's gonna happen in November
when they say things are gonna start to ramp up again? So there's so many unknowns and a lot of fears. I'm not
going to sit here, you know, you know, in the bed all day. But those are definitely things
that I think about that do cause a little bit of stress.
Okay. So Brendan obviously has many locations and has lots of financial support. But what
about the small orange theory location owners? That's what I asked him his opinion about.
We have backing. We've been really smart with our finances. We have really, really smart people
on our financial team that are helping us get giving us advice. Our board meets every week and
we have to vote on what we're going to do in certain situations and circumstances. Whereas,
you know, the brand new franchisee, new entrepreneur doesn't have all those resources and all that
access and brain power
to help them navigate an assistant.
It's actually even more complex for them to get their money and do the right applications.
We had our finance team was on it from the start and they worked all night.
They worked 36 hours straight to get our funding in and even leapfrog people because we
had all of our paperwork done.
Whereas, the typical franchisee, they have their family to take care of, they're busy thinking about the business and what
they're going to do with their rents and whatnot.
So we just had a huge leg up because our team is so strong.
So it's going to be tough for those small companies to bounce back for sure, no doubt
about it.
Now our last conversation was with who we considered to be one of the smartest people in the
gym business.
Mark Masteroff wrote the book on creating successful gyms when he founded 24-Fitness.
Now he's currently the president and chief executive officer at fitness holdings worldwide,
which has their hands in too many gym brands to even mention.
Among them is Crunch, UFC gyms, and many, many others.
So we started talking about how they responded to the shutdown.
We closed and we stopped building our members
We took a look at the landscape and said hey, do we keep our employees down and we're gonna open in two weeks
Or do we think we're gonna be shut for six to eight or ten weeks and we have to
furlough our folks
What do we do? So with our our most of our brands? We furloughed a vast majority of our people
So they came to me immediately get out and and achieve unemployment checks that the government put out and then we filed for the PPP loans
to see if we would be able to get some of the small business loans so we could pay our employees.
That's kind of where we ended up with I think the vast majority of our companies and brands.
So they essentially stop billing everyone. I then asked Mark if they went digital to try to
generate at least some revenue. We didn't see this as an opportunity to try and go, you know, make money in a sense
that we were going to create a digital platform and charge our members or charge non-members.
And I'd be curious to see if anybody was able to do that and pull that off in a meaningful way.
We just took our platforms and if we had digital support, we gave it away for free.
And if we didn't, we created streaming through either YouTube
or through Instagram where people could take live classes
from our instructors and we just stayed in contact
with our members.
So I don't think any of our businesses are thriving
because we have zero revenue coming in right now
from any of them.
They're just shut down.
We're not charging anybody anything. We don't feel that's the right thing to do.
And we're waiting for the green light to get back open.
Crazy zero revenue. That represents millions of dollars every month when you consider the vast majority of his locations.
I then asked Mark to provide some details in regards to how they would operate when they're finally allowed to reopen. The CDC has put out some guidelines on what they think we should do as a business.
And then Georgia came out yesterday in Alabama with the first two to open with guidelines
for gyms and what they felt you should look to do.
Most of what is what we had in place already in our thinking, but what you're probably
going to see is similar to what other countries around the world have already implemented such as Asia.
You're going to take people's temperature when they come in the front door to ensure that they're not of temperature, and if they aren't, you'll allow them to come in and start to exercise.
Everybody's going to have to wear a mask and a face guard of some type to get into exercise.
You're gonna limit the number of people based on whatever the requirements are.
Utah came out at one person for every 200 square feet of a force base.
Other places are using social distancing, you know, six to ten feet apart.
You're gonna change your facilities.
You're going to change your facilities. You're going to space the equipment out
accordingly. You're going to spread your cardioct accordingly. You're going to put a lot of stations
that offer cleaning solutions so people can spray down and wipe down equipment if they want to
before they use it. And after they use it, you're going to continue to talk to your members about,
you know, washing their hands in warm water for 20 seconds with soap,
or using the, you know, the products that you put in there
for them, you're gonna make sure that everybody spaces
inside your facility and you'll probably limit the number
of people that come in and you might use the one
per 200 or one per 150 to kind of get to a number
that makes it comfortable.
You may, which some of our brands are doing,
you may create an app where you basically book your workout.
So if you wanna come in at nine in the morning,
you're one of the number of people
that are allowed in at that time.
And you'll have a slot that you can come in
and use or workout.
Then you may come in at off hours.
If you wanna be one of a few people come in at two
in the morning when no one's here.
So, you'll try and get back to some normalcy.
You'll be able to come in and do your cardio, do your strength workouts. Classes will probably start a little bit later and we might wait two to
four weeks and see what our members think and then do the same thing in our classes where we'll
spread it out. As Mark was talking, I kept thinking you have locations all over the world with
potentially different laws in each different jurisdiction. So I asked him about this.
You've got federal and state governments and you've got local, county.
You just don't know who's going to be the final decision maker.
But it'll ebb and flow, I think, as each day goes by, and we'll adjust accordingly.
But our goal is to create a really strong community and healthy environment for everybody.
So they can at least get out of their house and get a little exercise in.
We don't wanna see the disease spread, of course.
What's really interesting is that
we really found none of our staff contacted the COVID
other than I think two of our corporate staff in New York
had gotten it, but in our gyms, our facilities
throughout all of our portfolios,
we did not have any reports of people attending the virus.
And then we didn't have any members of contact
to say, oh my God, I got the virus.
I worked out there yesterday.
So we think that either it already worked through
a lot of people earlier in the year,
like it had in the Bay Area,
where we know a lot of people had it
in December, November, January, February,
just never reporting it, no one knowing what it was.
And we think that the healthy person who's exercising, who's got a strong immune system,
who doesn't have a lot of inflammation in her body, who's getting after it,
is going to be a person that blows through this, like, as well as anybody.
As he was explaining the reopen process, I asked how they would profit
with less people in the facilities. I mean, how is that possible?
Depending on the brand, he brands a little bit different in the strategy behind it.
But what you can do is take your pricing up.
So you can say, look, we're going to take our pricing to a higher price point.
We're going to have less members,
but that means we're going to have less people working out.
We'll probably still get to the same revenue number
and hopefully the same profit number,
but we'll have less people to do it.
And some people are going to feel more comfortable in that environment with there's less people in the gym. Then you have your high volume
gyms where you're down to lower price point 10 to $20. And there you you have to be able to
again space everybody out, which is kind of what I think you're going to be forced to do. I think
it's a smart thing to do is to create that social distancing and make sure you protect yourselves.
Don't touch your mouth, your nose, your eyes, your face.
Keep your hands away from that.
Make sure you wash them clean them really good.
Get your exercise in and then get out.
It's no different to me than potentially
going to the grocery store and picking up,
30, 40 products going up and down the aisles
and checking out, you're being exposed
to a lot of things you're touching.
So you just gotta make sure you keep your hands clean
and don't touch your face.
So hopefully all that comes together.
But we end up with plans to get it that says,
you know, what is it if the world ends?
What is it if the virus basically stays here for a year?
What is it if, you know, if you get into all that,
it's just too much, too much work.
You have to stay a little bit more on the positive side
that says, all right, some of these markets
are gonna start opening by May, you know, later than June,
there's gonna be rules that govern you.
You're going to go back to work
and you're going to work with your members
to create a really safe and effective environment
within your community.
You're going to help your community get through this
and you're going to let people talk to each other
and try to feel like they're back to life a little bit.
Now, since I know Mark personally,
I mean, I started my career at 24-Aufenteness
back when he used to own the company,
I wanted to know his personal opinion on the whole thing.
So I asked him candidly, what do you think?
You know, we've been locked down and we're heading all the way probably with Gavin.
I would guess to the middle of May the 1st of June.
So if that's going to be the case, the issue is that people aren't working and they're
not going to put food on the table.
And how long can you shut society down and how long can you fund society before it gets
a point of no return?
That's really the thing you start thinking about.
Can really you take 90% of the U.S. population tell them that they have to sit at home of
which probably half of those aren't working because some are still working from home and
getting paid, but maybe as many as half of them are not working and say, you have no
income for three months. A lot of people don't have cash savings to
get them through three months. So that's going to be, how do we work out with my landlord,
my car payment, my insurance, my food. It starts getting to a different conversation.
Because Mark is such an influential figure in the gym industry and someone who is full
of gym business knowledge and experience, I wanted to know how he felt about the future of the entire gym fitness industry.
I feel pretty positive. I think there's going to be some fallout where some people financially
won't be able to make it through. So that'll reduce a little bit of the footprints out
there. Hopefully it won't be too bad for our industry. But there'll be some brands that
decide strategically to make a decision to maybe file bankruptcy and close some of their
product and keep some of their product.
There'll be some people that feel like, I don't want to do this anymore, I just want to move on.
And then there'll be a bunch of people that are just going to get after it.
We had a very strong presence in Asia when SARS came through.
And so it was a similar situation.
You were shut down like this for a period of time. But like the Chinese were able to get through the COVID-19 much quicker than most,
the star situation came and went within probably 90 days and we got back to work.
And what was super interesting back in SARS was that we were very slow during that period
and we were shut down for a while. But when we got reopened, we did a lot of work on Bloomberg and CNN and CNBC and Steve
Kleinfelter was our president out there at the time.
And Steve was on TV almost daily talking about having to get into exercise and build up
your immune system to fight SARS.
And we came back out of it and just crushed it.
The club just grew like crazy.
So we may find a similar thing here where people start to recognize that I need to exercise.
And whether you're doing it at a gym, whether you're doing it at home, through digital,
whether you're getting out into the park, you're walking in your neighborhood, you need
to get more active.
It's very simple.
You gotta get your body leaner.
It's gotta be more fit and you gotta get inflammation out of it.
So you gotta watch your diet
because this disease is hitting the obese very hard
and it's hitting the people of age very hard
and it's hitting the people with bad
or poor cardiovascular heart systems.
So our industry can help.
And I've always been a believer
since when I first started this industry
is that we know you can't get to the gym every day.
So work out at home, work out on the road in a hotel, run, excise, play tennis, play
hoops in a park, do something to keep active on a daily basis.
Man, after I talk to all those people, we talked off air, just some candid conversation.
One thing they all had in common was how positive
they were. I mean, we didn't include some of that stuff in their interviews, but at the
end, we were just talking. It was like, everybody seemed very positive about the future.
No, I didn't expect anything less from those. I mean, every person that we interviewed
is extremely successful in their respected space. When we are talking, part of me, I have to be honest
and listening to their response, I'm like, you know,
you have to say that if you're any of them.
It's the same way if somebody were to ask me right now
and say, you know, mine pump is starving right now
or businesses reduced by 50% are you scared at them?
Like, no, I'm gonna be very optimistic
and most successful leaders
are already to be proactive with things like this.
So that part didn't really surprise me.
Yeah, they have to be leaders in their space and show that they have answers for a lot of
this going on right now.
It's like, you know, they have to maintain this positive optimistic attitude in order to
kind of, you know, take everybody with them and going on to the future.
Yeah.
And the other thing to consider too is these people are all from the fitness space,
just like we are.
And I think generally speaking, people in the fitness space tend to lean towards being
self-sufficient.
They tend to be growth-minded.
They tend to feel like they can make things happen.
I mean, when you get into exercise, this is your mentality, to begin with.
So, you know, they were very positive, but I think you make a very good point out of
them.
Well, and in my, this is my opinion. I think only two of these people do I see personally,
I see real positive outcome from this. That was Bree with the large, the large box,
the big clubs, one of the things that we didn't cover and that she didn't really go into
very much, but I'm very aware of with their business model is they are kind of like how McDonald's is a real estate company
before it's a burger company. They're the same way with the gym industry. They have these massive
locations in very high-end areas and they own them. That's not the model for most gyms. Most gyms
look for leases and they're always trying to negotiate really, really low leases just so they
can make as much money as they possibly can and then get in and get out, where they look at it like
this is high property value, like for example, the one that's local near us, like the Lascados area,
I mean, the property value in itself, they have a lot of capital that they can tap in
until they want to, so that really saves their butt. And then, yeah, that is interesting,
because then it allows them to be able to pivot into potentially a different industry.
Well, it just puts them at a lower risk because they've got tons of capital.
I mean, if you bought a location in Las Gatos 20 years ago, I mean, and that massive, they
have to have millions of dollars in equity.
And your mortgage is going to be nowhere near what you would pay for at least these days.
Right.
Again, you're on the property, so you control some of the expenses or a little more than you normally would. The other thing too is that they attract a high paying, high
service member. These are people who expect to pay a lot of money. I know the court side
one, like you said, up in Lascaid, it's thousands of dollars to join, hundreds of dollars a month.
So when you ask people like that who want exclusivity, who want that high service to pay more money
to accommodate for the fact that there's not
gonna be as many members, they're less likely,
I think, to bulk at the price and say
the typical 25-footness member.
Right, they also are built to handle
a small amount of people that have to have spacing, right?
So you have these massive square footage.
I mean, she mentions the outdoor location that they have
that was like 20,000 square foot.
Like, so they have, they are already built
to give everybody lots of space, which is the opposite
to your, like what you're saying,
so with some of these other locations
that they try and squeeze as many people as,
in school.
The other one I think too is when we're talking about
like smaller spaces, the private training, the personal training type of gyms
where it's very high service oriented.
So, you know, their emphasis is more on the actual service
of it rather than the volume of people
actually coming to the gym.
I agree because even Scott said they lost six members
when they saw one down.
That's nothing.
Now, I've worked in personal training for a long time
and I know that the relationship you build
with your client, the trust you build with them,
very different than what you would build
with just a member that comes in and out of your doors
to work out on their own.
And again, these are people who expect to pay more
for a higher level of service,
and personal training gyms don't typically pack
as many people in their doors like a big gym.
So they're more likely to be able to be okay
with the new laws that'll say,
hey, keep everybody six feet or 10 feet apart or whatever.
Not to mention that.
We're also comparing, if you compare these all as boats,
it's a lot harder to turn a massive huge ship
than it is a little tiny boat.
That brings me to a master off.
That has got to be such a tough position.
One thing that he said that I thought was very interesting
was he had to look into all the different governments
whether it would be state or federal
or local governments for all of his locations
because you're looking at hundreds.
You're counting by county.
You're right, you're looking at hundreds,
potentially thousands of locations.
Each one in different areas,
one may say you need to have equipment
that's 10 feet apart. This one may say you need to have equipment that's 10 feet apart.
This one may say you need to be taking everybody's temperature that walks in the door.
These people need to wear a mask, these people don't.
That's a big ship that you have to kind of maneuver.
Now, that being said, if there's anybody that can make the impossible happen,
somebody like Mark Maastrop, and we're talking about, like, again,
he's the king of the gym industry.
I don't know. I feel like he's the highest at risk.
When you look at the dollar for dollar who is going to be hurt the most from this,
everybody we talk to, it's anybody who owns a lot of these mid-sized gyms, I think,
because he, you know, here's the thing. If someone like, you know,
Scott, if you're a small box or small facilities, if those get hit or have to close down,
the financial repercussions
is nowhere near what it costs to operate a UFC gym or a 24-hour fitness type of facility.
Those take millions of dollars in and out.
So you have to shut down a few of those.
That's a lot of revenues.
I think that's going to be one of the most hurt.
Well, I mean, look at the model.
These are big boxes that are cheap per unit.
So what they're looking for is high volume of people, low cost.
So here's a bunch of people paying $20, $25 a month.
Now you're going to say, hey, you have to book a time to work out.
We can't fit as many people in.
Oh, and by the way, because of that, we have to raise your prices.
These are people who aren't willing to.
Completely different model now.
They're going to have, in my opinion, they will have a mass exodus.
I think those gyms are going to have to either charge way more or completely figure out
how to do it differently.
Well, I think a lot of those gyms, too, they start off originally like the Scots with this
value first and like, handling a handful of members and then it grows, it grows,
it grows, and what's happened to facilities like the 24-offitnesses, like the UFC gyms,
is it's become so competitive that it's been a race to the bottom for so long.
How can we charge as little as possible and still be profitable?
And that model, I think, in this situation is for sure.
This is exposed to the flaw in that.
Totally.
Totally.
I think that model is not well suited for what we're about to see for the next year or
two with this post-COVID economy and all the laws.
Now, the ones that I think are going to do the worst, that's easy for me.
I think, and I hate to say this because he's a friend of mine, but I think the group class
models are screwed.
Yeah. When you look at the Orange Theory facilities, these are facilities that depend on the and I hate to say this because he's a friend of mine, but I think the group class models are screwed.
When you look at the Orange Theory facilities,
these are facilities that depend on lots of people
in a place working out together with an instructor.
Now you're gonna have to maybe have
two-thirds of the people outside of the class.
The only way they would be able to survive
is by doubling or tripling somebody's fees.
I don't see people paying that much money to take an orange theory class.
Now, I have a lot of insight on that because I had the ability to work for them for two years,
and Brennan is also a friend of mine, and I've seen a lot of the PNL, so I know what kind of margins
they run at. And they are very profitable. It's a very successful model right now, but
someone like Brennan, who's got the capital that he has, they have, they've positioned himself very well.
Maybe he survives this situation, not maybe, I know he is.
I know he will personally survive from this
because the way he's set himself up,
and he has a lot of capital and he's protected.
But if you're a single or two or maybe even three box owner,
I mean, you can't realistically handle that kind of bleeding
for several months in a row
and be able to keep your doors open.
So, yeah, I think you're gonna say huge.
Well, it's more than that.
Then they're gonna reopen.
And normally in an orange theory class, you're standing next to people you're working out
with.
You're standing right next to it.
This is two thirds reduction.
Yeah, you're moving from equipment and sharing equipment constantly.
So how the heck that whole model is gonna probably have to completely change.
The problem is all of the locations are literally built around that model.
In fact, Orange Theories, one of the reasons why they're so successful
is that they bring in more money per square foot than most facilities.
They maximize the square foot.
They maximize the efficient job at doing that.
Now, you know, Crosswood's in the same position.
I mean, I can't really see anything different
in terms of them, you know, having a struggle
to create this group environment,
but now it's spread out.
I mean, like, it's gonna expose a lot of the business owners
that haven't been able to, you know,
whether this storm for sure.
You know, until we had this, these interviews,
I would have actually originally said Orange Theory
would be in a worse situation, but I too believe that CrossFit is, and mainly because
Jason gave some incredible insight on how much money most CrossFit owners are actually
making.
There are margins or reasons.
So last thing I know what I thought.
Yeah, and I know that, and like I said, the Orange Theory's are very profitable.
So if you've got one, you've had one for six months or longer,
and you're running in the green, you could be potentially
profiting, you know, 50 to 100,000 dollars a month.
That's a lot of capital for a lot of small overhead that you have to run with.
So you may be able to hang on a little bit longer.
If you are operating and you're only making 40 to $75,000 a year,
and you have to close your doors for two or three months.
And then also when you reopen, you have to now play by different rules.
Oh my God, we might see more CrossFit gyms close in the next six months than we've ever
seen.
Well, I think it's easy to say, and I think this is pretty obvious that the fitness industry,
the brick and mortar area of the fitness industry is probably one of the hardest hit by far. I mean, so many models are just not going to, you are talking about an industry that relies
on people sharing equipment, people working out together, lots of people in a space, low
cost. That's the main model, is that low cost model. The fitness industry is going to take
a major hit here, but I don't think the fitness industry is going to end I think that they're still going to continue
They're just going to have to find new ways because people still want to be active. They need to be active
It's extremely important for our health. So my overall outlook for the fitness industry extremely positive
But when you break it down to the individual components, I think there's going to be a lot of washout
Well, I think so too and I also think that these guys
I think there's gonna be a lot of washout. Well, I think so too.
And I also think that these guys avoided
the conversation around how behavioral changes
will change forever.
Big, big, big.
What percentage of people have had to pivot themselves?
Personally, when I talk about gym owners,
the people that go with the members that attend,
have had to pivot and change the way they exercise now.
And how many of them are like, hey, you know what?
I bought my at 670% increase right now
in at-home gym equipment.
Huge.
So there's a lot of people that ran out and invested
in having an at-home gym.
How many of them were having success with that?
How many of them were actually really liking that?
And how many of them for sure,
even if they know that maybe in the future
they go back to gyms or like, you know what?
I'm gonna ride the rest of this year out
because I already invested in equipment anyways.
How many people go to these big box gyms
just for the experience of it, right?
It's the environment.
Like, oh, it's like my second home.
I love going, but that's all gonna change
because of all these parameters.
I'm wearing mask now.
I can't talk to anybody.
I gotta be in, be out.
Like, where's the inviting environment anymore?
Totally.
It's like going to the grocery store right now.
Going to the grocery store is anxiety-inducing right now.
You walk in, you gotta stay in particular space
between people, people have masks on.
Imagine going to the gym where you're supposed
to release stress.
You're supposed to take care of yourself
and work out people-awareing masks,
equipment is all spread out, don't go near anybody.
It's a weird kind of scary environment.
And that's for the people who are gonna be courageous enough
to step back in the gym.
I think public fear is gonna linger for a little while. Even if they open everything up tomorrow,
are people going to flock back to these social gathering type businesses? I don't think so. Now,
I do think that the at-home fitness space is going to explode, whether it's gym equipment with dumbbells
and barbells and racks, or the tech stuff like Peloton and some of the other
tech advances.
Tonal, mere.
Huge.
So I think that what's going to, we're going to see a big shift in how people work out.
At the very least, at the very, very least, let's just say everything did go back to normal.
I can't see that happening for at least a year or two years at the very minimum.
And I don't know very many of these gems that can survive for a year or two of, you know,
two thirds profits being taken away.
Right.
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and maximize your overall performance,
check out our discounted RGB Superbundle at Mind Pump Media.com.
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With detailed workout blueprints in over 200 videos,
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The RGB Superbundle has a full 30-day money bag guarantee as your own personal trainers, but at a fraction of the price.
The RGB Superbundle has a full 30-day money-back guarantee,
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