PBD Podcast - "Time Travel Is Inevitable" - David Kipping on Wormholes, Dark Matter & Life Beyond Earth | Ep. 462

Episode Date: August 26, 2024

In this interview with Patrick Bet-David, astrophysicist David Kipping dives into the mysteries of the universe, exploring everything from wormholes and time travel to the possibility of alien life. Get ready for a mind-expanding conversation on what lies beyond our world and the future of space exploration. --- 🇺🇸 VT TEAM USA GEAR: ⁠⁠⁠⁠bit.ly/4cwKbJp⁠⁠⁠⁠ 💰 DONATE TO COOLWORLDS LAB: https://bit.ly/3AF9T15 📺 COOLWORLDS YOUTUBE CHANNEL: youtube.com/@CoolWorldsLab 🎟️ MINNECT LEAGUE CHAMPIONSHIPS: ⁠⁠⁠bit.ly/4aMAar8⁠⁠⁠ 🏦 THE VAULT 2024: ⁠⁠⁠⁠bit.ly/3WQYZN7⁠⁠⁠ 📱 MINNECT: ⁠⁠⁠bit.ly/3T0AX15⁠⁠⁠ 📕 CHOOSE YOUR ENEMIES WISELY: ⁠⁠⁠bit.ly/3ST1rS8⁠⁠⁠ 👔 BET-DAVID CONSULTING: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠bit.ly/3X8s7kq⁠⁠⁠ 📰 VT.COM: ⁠⁠⁠bit.ly/4duVS4u⁠⁠⁠ 🎓 VALUETAINMENT UNIVERSITY: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠bit.ly/4dpzyJE⁠⁠⁠ 💬 TEXT US: Text “PODCAST” to 310-340-1132 to get the latest updates in real-time! ABOUT US: Patrick Bet-David is the founder and CEO of Valuetainment Media. He is the author of the #1 Wall Street Journal Bestseller “Your Next Five Moves” (Simon & Schuster) and a father of 2 boys and 2 girls. He currently resides in Ft. Lauderdale, Florida. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/pbdpodcast/support

the game. to wager Ontario only gambling problem call con ex Ontario at 1-866-531-2600. Bed FGM operates pursuant to an operating agreement with iGaming Ontario. Your teen requested a ride but this time not from you. It's through their Uber Teen account. It's an Uber account that allows your teen to request a ride under your supervision with live trip tracking and highly rated drivers. Add your teen to your Uber account today. The first time you see that part of you wants to kind of like think, hold on,

that's ridiculous. But if you actually think about it a bit longer, you might be kind of terrified by that prospect. I think that's actually something that's very disturbing. Let me really think about it. There's only 10,000 of you in the world right now. Professional astronomers. Wow. Yeah, professional. J.D.V.S.T. is like a time machine.

You're looking at light which has traveled for billions of years to reach your eye. I myself am using it in October, which I'm very excited about. It's kind of ridiculous to say out loud, but an interstellar propulsion system that we're designing in my team. I think he's put in a hundred million dollars of his own money so far into this. So he's serious. I mean, this is the biggest investment I've ever seen in something like this. It's much harder to live on Mars than it is Antarctica, put it like that.

Antarctica has an atmosphere that we can breathe. Do you think man landed on the moon? We actually bounce lasers off the surface of the moon, off these mirrors. And before you know it, you get an infinite number of these particles collected between the two wormholes. The instant you form the two wormholes, they immediately collapse due to this effect. It will be like a nano-chip, like a tiny, tiny spacecraft that will weigh like just one gram. It will be stretched out into a tiny, thin sail. And this very thin sail will be pushed by a laser beam. I don't know what's in maybe

they put shrooms in this tea, maybe there's ayahuasca, what did you put in this tea Rod? Did you put something in there? I want to do whatever I can in my life to try to advance humanity's mission to try and achieve that. I think I'm not gonna solve it, I'm one person, but maybe I can add a small piece to the puzzle and we'll get there together Did you ever think you were making I feel I'm so excited taste sweet victory. I know this life meant for me Yeah, why would you bet on Goliath when we got pet David value taming giving values contagious this world of entrepreneurs I told David when he walked in, I said, David, I'm about to have a workout. My brain is going to have a workout today because we're sitting down, anytime you sit

down with these astrophysicists, you just have to know your brain is going to go all over the place and every time afterwards I feel my brain, I feel swole. It's like the muscle's coming out, it gets cut up. So that's the goal today. David Kipping, prominent astrophysicist, known for his significant contributions to the study of exoplanets and the development and innovative techniques in astronomy. He's held positions at institutions such as Harvard University, Columbia University, where he continues to advance the field of astrophysics.

And you also have a YouTube channel as well. That's right, the Cool Worlds YouTube channel. Which I love. I mean some of the stuff, you sit there, you're going through the whole thing, you get millions of views with your content as well. We'll put the link as well below for people to go through it. But I've got a bunch of questions I wrote down. Random questions for my own self. Some of the stuff that may seem innocent to you, some of the stuff that may be like, why is he asking me a question? Who cares about that? But regardless,

they're important to me. And let's see what this is going to turn into. Okay, so a story comes out recently talking about Earths rotating in reverse direction. I don't know if you saw that or not, I'm sure you have. So scientists have confirmed that the Earth's inner core, Rob, if you want to pull up the story, has started to rotate in reverse direction according to a research study published in Nature. Scientific community has been struggling to confirm the phenomenon for years, but the new evidence supports a 2023 hypothesis about the inner core's rotation rate."

Now, some are saying, man, you've got to be careful with this because this is the end of time, this is this, this is that. What does it really mean when the earth's core is now starting to rotate in reverse? I think with this story, it got a little bit misrepresented. So first off, full disclosure, I'm an astronomer. I do not study the insides of the Earth. I'm not a geologist.

When I was at college, I took geology, so that's one of the subjects I studied. But this is a story which I think, from the outside, seems to be misrepresented. So my understanding of what's actually happened is that there are inner layers of the Earth which are rotating. And imagine that there's two layers, and they're rotating in the same direction,

but one's going faster than the other one. And then what's happened is, even though they're both going the same direction, the inner one or the outer one is now going faster than the other one. So they're both still the same direction, the inner one or the outer one is now going faster than the other one. So they're both still rotating in the same sense. It's just that the relative motion as to which one's going faster has changed. That's what's flipped. So it's a reversal in the differential speed between them, but not the absolute speed.

So they actually are still going in the same direction. But of course, that doesn't make a very snappy headline. So I think a lot of the confusion was people misrepresenting this story a little bit and seeing it as though it really was like the inside was completely flipped over. So this inter-core intrigued researchers since his discovery of Danish seismologist Ing Lehmann in 1936 and how it moves its rotation speed and direction has been at the center of a decades long debate. A grown body of evidence suggests the core spin has changed dramatically in recent years

but scientists have remained divided over what exactly is happening and what it means part of the trouble is that Earth's deep interior is impossible to observe or sample directly. So, what is the risk? Based on just what you know about, I'm your astrophysicist, not a geologist, but what is the risk if it does go the other way? What do we know if it does do it? Like what's the big deal if it does? I think the risk for us is probably the magnetic field is a big obvious risk. So, you know, we are bombarded by cosmic rays, high energy radiation from space, and that's striking the surface. If you're underneath the ocean, you're dwelling in the ocean, you're not deep under down, you're probably fine. You're not going to be affected by this cosmic radiation.

But if you're on the surface and we suddenly lose that magnetic field, that's what gives us like aurora borealis, the northern lights. Without that, we're going to be exposed to far higher levels of radiation. And so this is thought to be potentially a crucial criteria for looking for planets which could have life on them, we want them to have strong magnetic fields. If the Earth's magnetic field, and we actually do think over millions and millions of years, it does flip. So the North and the South Pole do flip periodically.

We see that in the geological record. I remember learning that at college when I was studying geology. You see these magnetic lines on the sea floor, which kind of strip over. So the magnetism of the surface, as you look at different layers of the ocean bed, have actually flipped in their magnetic behavior.

So we know the Earth's magnetic field does flip. The question is, how fast does that flip happen? Does it happen overnight? And so you go to bed at night, and you've got a strong magnetic field. And while you're asleep, suddenly the field switches off, but it goes back to normal and just the other direction. Fine.

Or does it stay off for tens, thousands of years, which would be very bad. That could actually severely impact life on the surface, including us. We just don't know. But it is likely that it will flip again in the future. And But it's not a crisis if it does. It depends. We don't really know. We've never sat through one. So we know we've got this geological record, but that's so Granular, it's not giving you that fine detail find out by the way. How do they know that's happening? So this I mean they know this from looking at the when you look at the ocean bed

There's these layers of material which sediment which fall onto the bottom of the bed and that's basically like a time capsule So if you dig deep down, you're seeing a layer which corresponds to hundreds of millions of years ago. And you can measure the magnetism of that layer, and you see that it is flipped compared to the next layer and the next layer, and it's going opposite and opposite and opposite. So from that flipping, you can tell basically from the thickness of these sediment layers roughly how long the Earth's magnetic field is flipping.

So I don't remember the exact number, but it's sort of millions of years or so you see this flipping happen. So it is inevitable, I think, that the magnetic field will flip. And we certainly think when we talk about astrobiology and the search for life in the universe, that having magnetic field should be a really important criteria for life. So I certainly hope, and I think you should hope as well, it doesn't happen in our lifetime, because it could be a bad bad day Yeah, that makes sense. So obviously We will be praying for that not to happen. Yes based on it. It could be confusing time We took for a guy like you astrophysicist, you know somebody who goes to school and you're studying this topic, right? One what makes you study a topic like this like since you were kid, was this something where you were fascinated with it? And then two, now that you have, and you're in it, and you've

read all these papers, you've written papers, you've been around all this, the community, what's keeping an astrophysicist up at night? Well, I was always fascinated by the universe, I have to say. So ever since I was like five, six years old, about the same age as my son, we were just talking about as we came on, you know, he's got the same kind of bug as my son, who we were just talking about as we came on. He's got the same kind of bug as me. He just has all these questions about the universe, and space, and everything, really,

but especially astronomy. And so I was like that. And I remember getting this book that my parents bought me. And it was an annual of the planets. And it had a page all about Jupiter, and all of its moons, and then Saturn with its amazing rings. And it had even more moons. And the size and mass of these things was just

mind-blowing. I just couldn't believe what was out there and how large and vast the universe was. So I really caught the bug. I got into science fiction a lot when I was a teenager. I was watching all the Star Wars, Star Trek stuff, loved all that kind of stuff. And then when I was at high school, I remember my my teacher, my high school teacher said to me, you know what, you should, you know, here's some physics books. me, you know what, you should, you know, here's some physics books. I would maybe look into particle physics and quantum physics and stuff like this.

So I started to read books on that. I got hooked into that world. I kind of left astronomy, did my degree in physics, and then towards the end of my degree in physics, I came back to astronomy because there's so much left to discover. I think in physics, we often get the feeling, at least I had as a student, that to make progress at this point requires billions and billions of

dollars. It requires huge teams, hundreds, thousands of people, and you will be, you know, accredited down there as like the 5,000th person who contributes to this. And some people get a kick from that, but I'm more, you know, maybe entrepreneurial and I like doing things by myself and driving something forward. In astronomy, you're never going to run out of stuff to discover. There's a hundred billion stars just in our own Milky Way. There's only 10,000 astronomers on planet Earth.

So each of us has millions of possible star systems that we personally could just have as our own star systems to study. There's only 10,000 of you in the world right now. Professional astronomers. Wow. Professional. Interesting. Yeah. And is there a community where you guys all get together?

Like, is there the annual convention when everybody gets together and meets each other or no? Yeah, there's a few different organizations like the International Astronomical Union, IAU. That's the organization which famously demoted Pluto. And that's probably its most famous thing that it ever did. And people still have a lot of hard feelings about that and there's also the American Astronomical Society the AAS and that has about

3,000-4,000 astronomers who regularly attend that meeting and so I'll probably be there in January What do you guys do when you guys are together? We just hang out and need nerd out of our space. We just geek out, we bring our lightsabers. Is that literally what it is? No, no. We just geek out. Yeah, we're like light sabers. No, no. I wish.

No, we share our results. We're like, here's the latest cool thing that we've been working on. It's just kind of exhausting. It's a series of five minute talks, five minutes, five, five, five minutes. And you get just bombarded with all these new discoveries. And then you're just on the plane home.

You're like, whoa, like, all this new stuff that I've just learned and discovered, what am I going to spend the next year working on? This is amazing, all this stuff happening, but it's a lot to digest. There are so many people working on this. YARO ALBATS, MD Is it more coming from a place of, oh my God, this is so awesome, I've got so much more to learn? Does it ever get to, whoa, if that actually happens, that's pretty bad.

And let me find out a little bit more about this. Which one is it? Is it more the childlike excitement to learn, or does it ever get to a point of, this just got serious? A bit of both. I mean, yeah, sometimes you'll hear a talk that will kind of scare you. I mean, especially if it's about the politics or the financial situation in astronomy or something like that, because we'll have those talks at these meetings as well.

There'll be people talking about the NASA budget or the cost overruns of missions. And that can be pretty scary, quite frankly, because our careers and progress is ultimately linked to the funding to these organizations. Other times, it's something kind of terrifying or thought provoking. You've had Avi on the channel for Avi Loeb.

And he's been talking about how Oumuamua, this interstellar asteroid, or at least we assumed it was an interstellar asteroid, he was saying, well, you know, maybe it's something else. Maybe it's actually an alien spacecraft. And look, the first time you see that, part of you wants to kind of like think, hold on, that's ridiculous. But if you actually think about it a bit longer, you might be kind of terrified by that prospect and think that's actually something that's very disturbing. Let me really think about it. And I think we owe it to people like Avi, as controversial

as that idea has been, to give it due process and due thought. And when we have these new ideas, they shake things up and they force us to move forward. So yeah, those are actually kind of the most interesting talks. So at this point, I was looking up what percentage of the universe hasn't been explored and, been explored and what we don't know about. You'll see the number 95%. We only know 5%. In the ocean they'll say 94% we don't know, 6% we know. So those two numbers are relatively around the same thing.

So if we don't know 95% of it, we only know 5% of it. Can you zoom in on that? We only know 5% of the universe. Remaining 95% is still a mystery and unknown universe of new particles and force-of-waste discovery. Okay, if that's the case, where are you at with, you know, if there's another, you know, living aliens out there, how do you process that? Are you more from the community of saying, no, I don't think there's anything there. I think it's just what people want.

They want that to exist because it's exciting, it's exhilarating. That means all these movies, Alien, ET, Phone Home, these things are real. Guys like this exist. Are you like, no, I hate to kind of be the bearer of bad news. There's really nothing like that out there. Let's just say first thing about this number, this 5% number or 4% number here. So that's actually talking about the fraction of normal matter in the universe, what we call baryonic matter. That's the same kind of things that's desks made out of, you and me are made out of, protons, neutrons, atoms, electrons, things like that. But the other 95% is dark matter and dark energy. So that's what it means by that statement.

But even that's not true, because we don't know about 5% of even all the normal matter. The vast majority of normal matter is so far away from it. You're saying even less than 5%. Oh, a minuscule of, I mean, what do I know about a star that's on either side of the Milky Way? Nothing. We haven't, we don't even know about its existence, quite frankly.

A star on the other side of the Milky Way is undetectable to our telescopes. So we know about only really the stars which are in our local neighborhood, maybe about a vote of 100 million to a billion of them. There's a, you know, at least a hundred billion stars around Milky Way and there's a hundred billion galaxies outside the Milky Way of which we know hardly anything about their microscopic, you know, the terms of these stars and the planets, that kind of properties. So, you know, I don't know how you put a percentage on that, but we know next a fraction of a fraction of a fraction of that number, I'm sure. And then, you know, we're coming back to this, what

could be out there in terms of life and, and aliens and this kind of thing. Look, that number, I'm sure. And then, you know, coming back to this, what could be out there in terms of life and aliens and this kind of thing, look, that's the reason I got into astronomy. I was fascinated by that question. And I said, like, I was watching Star Wars, Star Trek, and I would look up at the stars thinking about that question, wondering if there was someone out there who would hopefully fly by in a spaceship and beam me up and show me the stars and the universe. That was my dream. So I've

always hoped that there was life out there. But as a scientist, my job is to decouple and divorce my wishes and desires away from objective truth. My job as a scientist is to seek objective truth, not what I want to be true, but what is actually true. And that's pretty much the only game in town which does that in terms of, you know, a human endeavor that we actively participate in. And so I think that's beautiful, but it does require a lot of conscious effort to, hey, what do I want to be true? If I want that to be true, I should probably be pretty skeptical about any time I see something where I think that if I see a UFO

And I really want that to be aliens because it would just be so cool and so interesting if that was true Because I want that to be true as a scientist I have to be extra skeptical of that of that possibility And so that's where your your skepticism and you and the skeptical brain of a scientist really kicks in. So I try to be just agnostic. Let's get data, let's get the evidence, and when the evidence becomes compelling, overwhelming, then we'll go for it.

But we certainly don't have that evidence at this point. We don't have that evidence at this. So you're saying, so you don't believe there's aliens out there. You're not a person I believe. I neither believe nor don't have that evidence. So you're saying, so you don't believe there's aliens out there. You're not a person I believe. I neither believe nor don't believe. It's just I want to do the experiment. You want to know or not know.

That's what you want to know. Yeah. Okay. Have you, how much research have you done speaking to people who claim they've seen? Have you spoken to others who have? And when you have, what do you ask them? I've spoken to people, not in like my podcast or the channel, but you know, many do you ask them? I've spoken to people not in like my podcast or the channel, but you know, many individuals you meet in life. Like I remember my high

school teacher told me that I went back to my old high school and he told me a story of when he saw a UFO. I've had, yeah, my, like my, my sister and sister's fiance at one point was telling me stories of UFOs he'd seen. So I've had many people, because they are an astronomer, they think maybe I'll be able to debunk this or explain what's going on. But I can't. I mean, you can't take a first-hand story like that and explain it. It's just not enough information. I mean, I don't have any equipment to observe or go back. So... Out of your 10,000 peers who are other astrophysicists or astronomers, out of the small community you're part of, what percentage of them are. There are UFOs out there. I

Think I think it's small. I've never done that poll but I think I think the idea Let's put it this way. I think the idea that UFOs are aliens. I think would be small I think the idea that there are unidentified things in the atmosphere would probably be quite living living I don't I don't think that'd be high but it depends what you mean If it's a drone. Is a drone living? If it's a Chinese drone? No. Do we count that? Nope. Yeah. So I think if you're thinking about something that's truly extraterrestrial, I think the fraction is quite small. That people believe that what we are seeing is truly evidence of aliens. Is there another planet that's very close to Earth, kind of like us, where there could be a civilization?

Yeah, I mean the closest star system to us, Proxima Centauri, actually has a fairly Earth-like planet around it. We don't know quite how Earth-like it is, but if you, you know, it's called Proxima b. Proxima Centauri b is the name of the planet. It's only a little bit larger than the Earth, and it's in the right distance away from its star that it could have liquid water on its surface. But that's about all we know about it. We just know basically its size and how far away it is. How do you get there? What's the freeway exit on this? This is 4.2 light years away. That's a long ways route. That's not Delta Airlines or United.

There is an attempt to go there. There's a project by Yuri Milner, who's a Russian billionaire. He lives in Silicon Valley now. And he's actually trying to get all the tech gurus in Silicon Valley together and scientists together to try and fund a mission called Breakthrough Starshot. I think he's put in $100 million of his own money so far into this. So he's serious. I mean, this is the biggest investment I've ever seen in something like this.

Comparable to the moon. How far is this comparable to the moon? The moon is a few light seconds away. I think like two light seconds away, something like that. And this is four light years away. So it's four years divided by two seconds. So far, far, far, far further away. Far further away. Yeah. You mean with this mission, they want to travel at 20% the speed of light, which is totally unprecedented.

If you took the fastest thing so far, that's the Voyager 2 spacecraft, it would take Voyager 2 about 10,000 years at its current speed to get there. They want to get there in 20 years. So that's a huge speed up a factor of 500 speed up So to do that you can't have a vehicle like a conventional space shuttle or a spacecraft that someone would sit inside It will be like a nano chip like a tiny tiny spacecraft that will weigh like just one gram

It'll be stretched out into a tiny thin sail There will be just maybe 20 or 50 atoms across incredibly thin and this very thin sail will be pushed by a laser beam. Now, light has pressure. You know, we don't notice it, but this light shining in my face, it's actually slightly pushing me back at a very, very minute force. But I'm so heavy, it's not enough to move me. But if you make a very, very light, thin sail that's highly reflective, it can be pushed.

So they're going to bombard that with a massive laser, gigawatt laser from the ground that will accelerate it to speeds approaching the speed of light, ideally, and then get it to fly past Proxima Centauri. You won't be able to stop there. It will just go straight past and hopefully just snap a couple of photos. And then somehow, the question is how,

beam that data back to the Earth so we'll have the first ever true photo of another world. So this is not a person or group of people that are going to live in a, you know, whatever spaceship for 20 years to go there, see what it looks like and stay or come back. That's not the case. I mean, we wish we could do that, but no one really knows how on Earth you would do that. That's just complete science fiction.

We don't have any propulsion system that could possibly get humanity to another star system in in our lifetime Okay, so so as of right now, how much do we know about this about this? You know, what's it called? Yeah, what is it? I want to say the name or approximate center of B How much you know, how much do we know about it precious little? It is around a very straight well a very strange star but also very common star So the star is actually the most common type of star in the universe is called an M dwarf And this is what this star is it's in a triple star system called the Alpha Centauri system There's Alpha Centauri a and B which are very pretty close to each other I think they're sort of the orbit of Jupiter around the Sun away from each other. And then there's Proxima which is really far out on a very

wide orbit around this binary star system. And then this little star is very diminutive. It's about I think one-eighth the mass of the Sun, so a very small star. You can't really make stars that much smaller than this, else they wouldn't even be stars anymore. They'd be failed stars. So it's one of the smallest stars you can have. And around this very dim red star we find this little planet Proxima Centauri b. We think it's actually additional planets in this system There's probably a planet We call the first planet that was discovered planet B

And then we go up the alphabets the next one C and D And I think there's evidence for a C and a D at this point astronomers are still arguing about the reality of those two but it looks like a multi-planet system with an Earth-like planet in the habitable zone. And that's about as much as we know. We don't know much about its atmosphere. We don't know about its surface. We certainly don't know about life on it. People have searched for radio signatures.

They've beamed our most powerful radio telescopes and listened. Do we hear a communication? We don't see anything. It's completely silent, as far as we can tell. So as far as we can tell, it's just another Earth. And probably there are a lot of Earth rocks out there. These stars, we have worries about them as being possible habitats for life.

Even though three quarters of all stars in the universe are like this type of star, these red dwarfs. Three quarters. Most stars in the universe are like this guy. We're the freaks of the universe living around a sun-like star. I always think that's wild. People don't realize that. Like we live around a single star system, not a binary star system. That's already kind of odd. About half of all stars are in binary star systems. And then on top of that we live around a yellow star, a sun-like star. Only about 10% of all stars look like our own sun.

I knew there's 75% of them, or there's a big bracket below that which look like these guys, these M-dwarf stars. These stars are amazing. They live for trillions of years. Our sun's on the way out, only has about a billion years left, and then the Earth will be uninhabitable. Whatever we do with climate change,

whatever we do to the planet. How much should we have left? Less than a billion years. We have less than a billion years. So the sun will not engulf us at that point. I think people normally think the sun's gonna gobble up the Earth. That won't happen for about five billion years. We have less than a billion years. Yeah, so the Sun will not engulf us at that point. I think people normally think the Sun's going to gobble up the Earth. That won't happen for about five billion years, but way, way before that, the Sun is increasing in power.

So its luminosity is growing gradually over time. It's already increased by 30% in the last four billion years. So it's already been growing in power significantly. If it gets much more powerful than it currently is, it'll tip us out of the habitable zone altogether. Irrespective of what we do on this planet human beings. So even if humans are long gone, Earth will still be pushed out the habitable zone in about a billion years. So when that happens, maybe Mars might become habitable for a short while as the Sun continues to warm, but it really is kind of an end point you might think to life in this solar system.

Whereas these stars, these emdwarf stars, they can go for trillions of years. That's far older than the current age of the universe and so I think it's a mystery. I call this the red sky paradox. How can we don't live around one of these stars? There's more of them. They seem to have more Earths around them, as far as we can tell, than Sun-like stars and they live far far longer. So that seems like I've got everything going for them. And therefore it's kind of interesting and perplexing as to why when we look up in the sky, we don't see a red sky, as I call

it, like the red star sky. Let me ask you, how do you know these stars live for trillions of years? That's a good question. Obviously, no one's empirically observed that to be true, because the universe is only 14 billion years old, 13.8 billion years old. So we think this to be true based off our understanding of stellar theory. We certainly know there are no... when stars eventually die, stars like the sun, they will eventually become a white dwarf star.

Stars which are more massive will become black holes or neutron stars. And so when we look at all the dead stars that we see out there, we can kind of figure out how heavy it used to be before it died, and we know that there are no red dwarfs which have ever died yet. We don't see any stars which look like the remnants of a red dwarf star. So certainly we know for sure they live for a very long time. The reason why we think they live for a very long time is because their luminosity is so... it's like the candle that burns half as bright burns twice as long. Cand candle that burns half as bright burns twice as long. Yeah.

Okay. Right? Because there's a certain amount of wax. Makes sense. There's a certain amount of fuel. Right. And if it's only just a tiny little flame on there, it's going to take a long time to churn through all of that fuel.

That's a good visual to be thinking about. Yeah. So these stars, they actually have a huge amount of mass. They're about 10% the mass of the Sun, so they have a huge amount of mass. They're about 10% the mass of the sun. So they have a huge amount of hydrogen to burn through. But their luminosity is not 1 tenth of the sun. Their luminosity is like 100th or even 1 thousandth out of the sun.

So they're very, very dim. And because of that, they take a long time to burn through their fuel. They're also extremely efficient. Unlike the sun, they have convection all the way through into their core. So like in your tank of water in your home that turns over and heats the water in your house, there's a convection cycle. So as you put a heater at the bottom, you'll get hot water at the bottom

of the tank. It will then rise because hot stuff expands, like a hot air balloon, it'll expand, it'll float to the top, and then it will get cooler and it will sink back down to the bottom. Now in the Sun, that doesn't happen, that only happens basically at the very top of the atmosphere. When you're close to the core of the Sun it's producing so much energy it's like a nuclear furnace that's just blasting out in your face and you can't, nothing can sink down because the power coming out is just too intense so we call it the radiative zone. But these stars they're so dim that everything can churn and because they can churn

They get to gobble up every last hydrogen atom if they want to or very close to All of them is all the hydrogen in there in there in the star they can use over time So that's why we think we think they should last for trillions of years. So if we rely on the Sun, what do they rely on? Well the planet around the red dwarf, you mean? Yes. For their energy source, they would just have to be closer to the star to get enough energy. They would have to be closer to the sun? To their sun.

To their sun. Yeah, which is this red dwarf star. So that's why this planet is actually much closer in than Mercury is around the sun. It's very, very proximal to Centauri B. How many suns or red dwarf planets, how many of those are out there? In the Milky Way there's about a 100 billion stars and it's about three quarters though, so 700.75 of that is essentially 75 billion red dwarf stars we would estimate to be in the Milky Way.

Like a Sun. Yeah, but they're not all catalogued. We just think that in like the Sun there's probably about 10 billion. Oh like the Sun probably about 10 billion. Like the sun, there's 10 billion. So let's say 10 billion suns, 75 billion red dwarfs. But to be clear, we haven't catalogued all those stars. Those are just estimates. So right now, when we look out, what do you call it, when you're sitting outside and you're

looking out a, what are the tools you guys use? Telescope. Telescope. How far out is the most advanced telescope today? In terms of its physics, how far out can it see? How far out is the most advanced telescope today? In terms of its physics, how far out can it see? How far out can it see? I mean, you're probably talking about JDUST for that. So JDUST, the James Webb Space Telescope, is this NASA's latest toy. That's the one?

Yeah, it's the successor to the Hubble Space Telescope, launched a few years ago. I myself am using it in October, which I'm very excited about. You've never used it before? Not yet. Okay. What's special about it? It's massive. It's six and a half meters in diameter. So it's the largest space telescope we have.

It's also an infrared telescope. So instead of seeing invisible light, it sees in the heat essentially. And the beautiful thing about that is it can penetrate through dust. So visible light gets blocked by dust and in space there is a diffuse cloud of dust that kind of obscures your vision But if you look in infrared light, you can just peer straight through it and go all the way to the side of the universe So this thing is seeing

Galaxies which are in the process of forming and so we are seeing galaxies that are of order of of forming. And so we are seeing galaxies that are of order of 100, 200 million years old, which is that's 0.1 billion years old and the entire universe is 13.8. So this is a tiny, tiny fraction. I guess the furthest we can see back in total is actually not from this telescope at all, but would be what we'd call the Cosmic Microwave Background or CMB. That's a useful thing to check out. If you can Google that, you'll see this beautiful picture of dots, which is again like a... Yeah, there we go. So this is taken in millimeter and radio wavelengths. And this is light, which has traveled for 13.8 billion years

and is just reaching our telescopes, the light that you're seeing in this image. And so it left the, it's whatever, emitting it was basically a cloud of dust and material when the universe was 380,000 years old. So this is the oldest light we can see. It's actually impossible to see light before this point because before that point,

the universe wasn't transparent, it was opaque. Before this point, there were no atoms. So protons and electrons were not bound to each other. And so light just couldn't even travel through the universe before that point. So it's never possible to see light before that point. Why is this important to astrophysicists? Oh, this is a hugely important image. It teaches us about the origins of the universe. It's one of our

strongest evidences for what we call, you know, essentially the Big Bang Theory. The, you know, the origin, understanding how much dark energies there is, dark matter there is. It's a fascinating thing about it is that it's so homogeneous. And that has been a real, it was a puzzle for a long time. So these little differences you see in the image, if you scroll down a tiny bit there on that image, they're tiny. So this thing, this whole thing, all the light is about... What's the red represent? Hotter regions and the blue is colder regions.

So the... Yellow is whatever, intermediate? In between. Okay, got it. Yeah. So this whole image is about 2.7 Kelvin. So very close to absolute zero. Very, very cold light that you're seeing here. When it was emitted, it was very hot light, but simply the expansion of the universe itself has cooled it down over time now the differences here are tiny I can't remember these I know we took like milli Kelvin micro Kelvin differences between these regions and those hot regions

They're slightly denser and the blue regions are slightly colder And so these differences the over densities are what gave birth to galaxies. If this was completely smooth, I mean, is there any differences here, then you wouldn't have stars, you wouldn't have galaxies. It's the fact that you get slight over densities in different regions. This is shown what? This is shown all of the galaxy? Or what is this shown? That's the whole universe.

That's the whole universe. That's the whole sky. That's the whole sky. Yeah. And, and okay, so... That's the whole universe in a single image. So if that's the case, what's the end? What is there an end?

The way this shows there's an end to a universe. No, there's no end. This is a wraparound image. This is like your full sky. You know, you imagine like you do like your 360 camera, but is there an end? We don't think so. We, as far as we can tell, the universe just goes on and on and on in every direction. So it does seem, you know, we can actually measure from this image, you can actually measure the curvature of space itself. And so an open question is if there was a wraparound universe, you could travel in one

direction of space and eventually come back to the same position. So the universe could be like a big sphere, like the Earth is, like a big sphere, but in like a hyperspace kind of dimension. Now when we look at this, we don't see any curvature. As far as we can tell, the universe is completely flat, very, very, very flat. Now that is consistent with a universe that just goes on forever and ever in all directions. Perhaps there is an end like this table has, like it just suddenly cuts off. We don't know. We don't know. But we don't see it. As far as we can tell, everything we can see, it just goes on and on. So let me ask you a question.

This telescope I just looked at, is it true that the cost to make it right by central link was 10 billion dollars? Yeah, unfortunately, it was when it was first projected to be built, it was I think $500 million, ended up overrunning by a factor of 20 in cost and 16 years in launch date. 16 years it took to build it. No no no it took longer than that. It was originally supposed to launch 16 years prior to when it did. So it was massively set back both in terms of cost and who gets to use this? Anyone, you could use it. So you can write a proposal to NASA.

There's a cycle coming up October 25th, I think the date is coming up. You just Google, if you want to, JWST cycle four. That's what to search for, JWST cycle four. And then you can write a proposal. Yeah, call for proposals, click that, and it has instructions for what you can do to write, anyone in the world can write a proposal.

And what are they looking for, to say yes to you? They're looking for compelling science cases to try and use the telescope to do something that only that telescope can do. Now this is such an expensive telescope, you don't want to do something that by the way you could do with any other old telescope. There has to be something unique, that only the best telescope that we've ever built could do this one thing. That's why we're using it in October to look for exomoons, which has never been found before.

We think these will be the first things. These are moons orbiting planets like Proxima Centauri B. It's never been found before and we believe that this telescope could find moons around planets which are as small as the moons we have in our solar system, such as the moon or Ganymede around Jupiter or Titan around Saturn. This is something uniquely that only this telescope can do and so that's why we think we have a good case, and they agreed. Since they have put it out there for people to use, 2021, I think I saw 2021,

$10 billion, 16 years, you know, all these things, we're talking about this. What have they discovered? What has been their biggest discovery that any kind of astrophysicists have found? There's been a huge, it's hard to know where to begin with, it depends on which field you're talking about, but I think some of the most newsworthy things people have been talking about have been the discovery of these galaxies and black holes in the very, very earliest points in the universe. So, J.D. Wistie is like a time machine, as we kind of already alluded to. You're looking at light which has traveled for billions of years to reach your eye.

And so some of that light is 13.7 billion years old. Now that means you are seeing a galaxy at the earliest point in the universe. Now we didn't think that galaxies should be around 100 million years after the Big Bang. That seems too soon, right? Because it takes a certain amount of time to build stars for those stars to collect together to form galaxies,

and then they have to swirl around, and you have to form this disk, and then you have to have the black hole in the center. There's a lot of structure there. It takes time to build that, but we are discovering galaxies in these images that JBC are capturing. They sort of shocked us, because we just didn't expect these things to form as fast as they did.

And similarly, there's detection of black holes, which are very massive objects as well. That takes time to build a black hole, right? You can't just have one star collapse and make a giant black hole. The biggest black hole you can make that way is probably like ten times the mass of the Sun. But we are seeing black holes in the millions of times the mass of the Sun. So the only way those could form is the combination of stars coming together, smashing together and forming by coalescence these giant black holes. And we're seeing those in these images as well through quasars. So those are challenging us. We're trying to

figure out like did we screw something up in the theory? Is there some new processes we don't understand? And I think that has been, you know, that's what good science is. It's like challenging existing theory and proving that maybe there's something else out there we haven't thought of. Got it. So and you guys are going when you said? What month? October. October, so we're coming up pretty soon. Are you excited about it? Is it like exhilarating or?

It's pretty wild, right? Because I'm going to look up into the sky. This thing's actually not even in orbit of the Earth. Where is it based at? It's orbiting the Sun. No, no, where is the actual telescope at? Yeah, it's orbiting the Sun. It co-orbits the Sun along with the Earth. So there is a position, it's kind of, imagine the Sun and then the Earth and then behind the Earth there's a gravitational well called... So it's in

space. It's in space called L2, Lagrange point 2, and it lives in this little gravitational well. It's about four times further away than the moon is. It's... So this is four times? Yeah. That's why it was expensive. That's why it takes $10 billion to do this. Who funded it? It was mostly funded by the US taxpayer. So we funded it.

Yeah. But ESA contributed as well, and the Canadian Space Agency contributed as well. But it was primarily NASA. Mostly from NASA. Yeah. OK. And so where do you go to be able to use it?

You don't have to go anywhere. You just tell where do you go to be able to use it? You have to go anywhere. You just write a, you just tell them what you want to do. You write a program, you write a proposal, and then you work with the engineers. They give you the findings? They give you the data. So the way it works for us is you get to ask how long do you want to hold onto the data privately for?

The maximum is one year. Because it's US taxpayer money, so you can't hold onto it forever. So we said, okay, we'll take the full year. We're going to have the data just for ourselves one year. Then after that year, it becomes global. Everyone can access that same data point after that point. But during that year, we're obviously kind of in a time crunch to try and analyze the data and get it out to everyone.

Does the telescope have any form of AI where it's individually learning and getting smarter or no? It needs to be, okay, it needs to be influenced to be able to seek. Why didn't they create a self-learning technology as a telescope that's constantly working every second of the day? You know, there are some telescopes which are trying to figure out how to use smart scheduling like this.

There are some telescopes which are called survey telescopes where they basically do one thing, but they do it over and over again. And they just take an image of the sky, then they shift, and another image of the sky, and they shift. And you want to do that in a very clever way. So that's where AI is coming in. You can use AI to optimize how you tile the sky

and deal with maybe Jupiter's in the way on July 5. So you don't want to point at that region of the sky when Jupiter's photobombing your image. So you need to account for all these different variables. And that's where smart scheduling comes in. But for GST, it's not that type of the sky when Jupiter's photobombing your image. So you need to account for all these different variables, and that's where smart scheduling comes in. But for JVST, it's not that type of telescope. It's not a survey telescope.

Yeah, Ruben's a good example of a survey telescope. JVST is not a survey telescope. It's one where human beings write in ideas, and it's supposed to be for the most innovative and fresh perspectives that humanity has to offer. Is it like chat GBT for astronomers and astrophysicists that you have to ask for to give you the information and go get it for you? Or is it more like Google, hey, what is this? Let me go get it. To put it in context where the average person understands it, how does it like, even when

you want the request, right, here's what we want the findings to be. How long does it take to get it to you? Is it overnight? Is it one day? Is it a month? No, it would take a few days. I mean, the whole process from start to finish, let's go through it quickly, is there's this

call for proposals, astronomers all around the world and everyone else can write proposals to say, I want to do this, I want to do this, I want to do this. So we put in our proposals, I think it's three or four pages of text, and you say, here's what I want to do, JWSE is the best thing to do it, and we're sure we can do it. So this is your, it's like a business plan, you know, your business plan for the telescope.

So you put that in, and then it goes to a committee of astronomers who rank these proposals. And I think last year, there was somewhere between 10 and 20 times more observing proposals than there was available time on the telescope. So they couldn't give everybody the time.

They had to cut it down by about a factor of 10, what people asked for. So they only take the top 10% best ideas, which are ranked by human beings, no AI involved, and then those best ideas are eventually scheduled onto the telescope. And again, that's the engineers who work at Space Telescope Institute John Hopkins University Down there in Baltimore and those guys then help you schedule these observations They collect the data as soon as they collect it the you know They have to transmit the data back to earth has to get some preliminary analysis by by Space Telescope Institute some calibration

And then it comes to my computer and then we've got a year to do what it's all humans. It's all humans. Okay, that's interesting that we don't that is so weird to me that we are in this season of technology of being able to make videos with your face and your audio and your voice and it's such so much technology that self-learning continuously getting smarter and smarter and smarter that this is waiting for us to feed it to get smarter So maybe when did they start building this how long ago was on when they started you said 16 years ago? More probably 20 over 20 years ago over 20 years ago So maybe you know so much has advanced that some of the stuff that they use I don't know the world to know how long it takes to build something like this. Is there another one right now in the works that's like the super

innovative one that they're building? Yeah, there's a successor to this one that's being planned called the Habitable Worlds Observatory, HWO. It's not being built yet, but people are starting to plan out what it might look like and come up with designs and things. And this guy will try and take an actual photo of an exoplanet from afar. So instead of flying a spaceship past to take a photo, it's gonna try and block out the starlight.

So imagine like if you look up at the sun, you put your thumb over the sun, you could actually use that blocking out of the light to make it easier to see stars or whatever nearby. It's gonna try and basically do the same thing for stars. So try and block out the star, but not block out the planets, which is very, very difficult to do, to do both of those things. A planet is a billion times fainter than a star. A planet is a billion times fainter than a star.

Yeah, so that the earth is. So that's a huge compression factor that you have to remove starlight. Got it. Very, very difficult. And the launch date for this is 2040. By the way, so when we're talking about, so we're talking about 16 years from now, when we're talking about the Proxima Centauri B, is there any technology right now for us, even with the one you were talking about, the telescope or the new one that they're coming out with, where you're going to be able to look at it and say, what is there? That's a lake. That's an ocean.

That's a mountain. Is there anything like that that'll be here by 2040? Not unless we do something radical. So, you know, there are some interesting ideas. So one crazy idea, which maybe you'll like, is the idea of turning the sun into a telescope. And I've certainly proposed a similar idea of turning the earth into a telescope. I'll tell you the sun one first. So this is, the sun is a gravitational mass, and so all gravitational masses bend light. So actually, you know, if you go all the way back to I think 1929, Arthur Eddington, who won the Nobel Prize, I believe, for this, showed that for the first time.

During a total eclipse, he took a photo of a star that was close by to the sun, and then he took a photo of the star at a different time, and you notice it shifted position because the sun, when things are close to the Sun the Sun's gravity Bends light into a curve around them so gravity bends stuff now anything that bends light is a lens So just the same way you know if you're wearing glasses. Yeah, or a magnifying glass It's just bending light so the Sun can be a lens You just have to find the focus point and the focus point ends up being way beyond the orbit of Pluto. So this is in the very outskirts of the solar system. But in principle if we flew out there 500, 600 times further away from the sun than the Earth orbits

the sun, so really far out there, there is a point which is a focus point, and that's a gravitational lens where we could pull a telescope and it would effectively collect the entire power of the Sun in terms of the amount of light it could receive. Now that thing could resolve kilometer scale, rivers, lakes, mountains, that kind of stuff on the surface. That's what we need. I mean we need to see what's out there, right? Yeah, so this is a interesting proposal. It's very difficult to fly that far away from the earth and have infrastructure. It's just kind of a little bit sci-fi at this point to have significant space infrastructure that far out from the Sun.

The furthest thing we have is Voyager 2, which is now basically dilapidated. It's falling apart. We can barely hold on to simple transmission with it. It has these magnetic tapes which are falling apart on it. Its batteries are running out. So it's very difficult to have stuff out there, but that would be the ultimate telescope. And so I think if there are aliens out there, that would be the telescope they would build. Because you can't build a better telescope than an entire star. Can that happen during our lifetime? It would take an enormous investment.

What's enormous? I think you'd be looking at Apollo era levels of funding for this single objective. So you're probably talking about maybe $200 billion, something like that. So what? I mean, $200 billion is what is worth to us. Apollo was what? $25.8 billion in 1960, right?

Between 1960 and 70, approximately $257 billion when adjusted to inflation. I got you. Okay. So $250 billion to do this. The question then becomes, if you put all the countries together, the top ones, top 20 powerful, US, China, Russia, you know, you take France, Germany, all the guys that have money, India, and you say, hey guys, collectively let's do this. What is it worth for us to know if there's civilization out there? Yeah, it's hard to like answer the question, what is the value of blue sky research sometimes?

I know people ask that a lot. What is the value of NASA? But look, here's the thing, every dollar that we've put into NASA on average returns to the economy, it's estimates vary, but between $7 and $14 per dollar. How do they measure that? By looking at the the patents the you know The material development you look at like medicine materials communications environmental monitoring and even tech consumer products You know what that does to me Rob

Here's what it makes me think about in these uncertain times if there's anything we need is we need people to believe the future looks Bright so you if you've heard about me saying this mission to you, we're on a mission to get a million people to wear this gear. And this is what we're doing. If you buy one of these hats, there's a category of buying one hat, getting the second one free. If you haven't yet worn this gear publicly, go ahead and test it out. Buy some of the gear, wear it in public, and see how many people will stop by and say,

you also watch Evaluating? You also follow PBD Podcast? I do, too. Place your order. Go to vtmerch.com, click on the link above or below, place your order, and represent the VT and the PBD Podcast gear. Do you know who AOC is in America? Yeah.

Okay. AOC wants us to put $30 trillion with Bernie Sanders. Tap in climate change, $30 trillion with Bernie Sanders, type in climate change $30 trillion. Now if you put climate change $30 trillion, that is their plan. Zoom in a little bit so I can read it. Overall global damage are estimated to be $38 trillion with a likely range of $19-59 trillion. But I'm talking about the green deal, yeah, just put that in there.

Let's see what comes up. So the plan was it was going to cost us, the U.S., $30 trillion. Can you find that, Rob? Somewhere just happened. AOC climate change, $30 trillion. So this whole thing that was proposed with $30 trillion, just control F30 to see if you find it or not. Okay, maybe I'm going to find it. But this whole thing with $30 trillion that was proposed to us for climate change, okay? There is no promises like what it's going to do. There wasn't like, you know, here's what we need to do.

Here's what we're going to get. This is what is going to come with it. Right? There was nothing like that. There was a lot of, you know, wishy-washy promises of what it is. But if you sat there, and I'm telling you, you told the taxpayers, hey guys, let me tell you what we're going to do. Would you like to know once and for all if there is civilization out there?

You want to know if there's aliens? Guess what? No more Area 51. No more anything like that. What if we could tell you on every single planet out there, if there's water, ocean, people live in aliens, any of that stuff, what if we could do something? What would be that worth to you? Then the taxpayer would be able to sit there and say, I think a lot.

Okay, cool. If it's worth a lot to you, is it worth $250 billion over the next 20 years? I think so. So here's what it's going to cost. We have to collectively pay for this. The U.S. has committed to the $250 billion. 70 billion of it's going to be U.S. China's committed to this much, and this is committed to this much, and here's what

we're going to do with the next 20 years. I think a lot of people would be for it. Yeah, you're singing my praises. I would love that to be true, for sure. I think there are, I do have some, I mean, A, can we collaborate with these other nations, right? Because collaboration internationally, especially on these science projects, has been an all time

late. It's really struggling right now because of what the political challenges that the world is facing. So that's one issue. Another issue is, you know, I'm not sure that the, the, the U S public are as enthusiastic about planets as maybe you might imagine. There was a Pew poll in 2023, for instance, that showed that about 69% of Americans, I do believe that NASA and America should be a leader in space. But there was a number in there, and there's 20, 23 people, maybe you can try and dig it up, that found

that it was something like 16, 17% thought that looking for life in the universe or looking at planets was an important priority. So there were people out there who do think it's cool science and worth doing. But I don't think it's most people's top priority. I think they normally think about tourism, space tourism, maybe, yeah, having human astronauts go to Mars, things like this, and maybe higher priorities. Obviously, I feel like looking at planets and life in the universe is incredibly important. But- So what did people say?

What was the percentage of people that are interested in that? I think it was around 16, 17 percent, some of us us that thought that looking for life around planets was a top priority 16 or 17 percent? Around this kind of number, yeah That was from memory. I looked at this a while back. There you go. Yeah. Search for life in planets that could support 16%. What's the light blue? The lightest blue and the middle one? What is it? So top priority important, but lower priority and not too important. Okay, so let's just say 16 plus

44. 60% is somewhat important, right? But what do you think it was during the Apollo era? Because that's the comparison. During the Apollo era, what fraction of Americans thought that getting to the moon was more important? Well, who was president at the time? Right. So they... Who was the president? During the moon landings? Apollo era. Who was the president at the time? Who was the president? During the moon landings?

Apollo era, who was the president at the time? John F. Kennedy? Yeah, well, not during the moon landings. I know he did, but he sold it, right? So meaning someone has to cast a vision. So say I'm a president and I get up and I say, listen, so many of you want to know about aliens, right? I would literally talk to the American people.

I say, you want to know about aliens? How much you want to know about aliens? All of you guys are interested in Area 51. What do you want me to do? You want me to go into Area 51, grab a camera here and just kind of do it live and show you everything? Of course we can't do that. But how about this?

What if instead of us sitting here claiming, give us $95 trillion to fix climate change, which is not even a guarantee and you're going to have to pay all this money for the next 20, 30 years. What if I can tell you, hard cost, $250 billion, the next 20 years we're able to build a telescope to put it next to whatever planet it is for us to be able to look at every single planet out there to find out where is their actual civilization or aliens living there. What is that worth to you? I would like as a president for us to be able to figure that out and get the answers to

you within two decades, because that could protect our civilization. I think today, if the right president sold that, I don't know why, maybe they put shrooms in this tea. Maybe there's ayahuasca. Rob, what did you put in this tea, Rob? Did you put something in there? Maybe it's what I'm eating right now. I love the enthusiasm.

I'm not going to argue with you. I would love to know, but who would say to that though? I really think so many people. Okay, so let me go back to another thing you said earlier. So you said the earth has roughly a billion years left. Okay. Yeah, for complex life. For complex. What is complex life? Like multicellular, not just bacteria. I think beyond that you can imagine some bacteria clinging on in caves and deep underground But yeah creatures animals like us I think there's less than in about a billion years. No matter what we do. Everybody's wiped out Yeah, it's actually co2 exhaustion that wipes us out. Strangely enough co2 exhaust We lose it's because we lose co2 because of us using it ourselves. No, no, no

It's what happens is as the Sun increases in luminosity This has actually been going on its entire history So when the earth and people often say well the earth had much higher levels of co2 in its past is true But the Sun was cooler in its past It wasn't as luminous and there's that they're anti correlated to each other So as the Sun increases in luminosity you have this co2 rich ball of atmosphere on the earth That ink whether it gets more and more luminous It causes more evaporation of the oceans and then then you get this rainfall come down. As the rain comes

down, it dissolves carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere, and you form carbonic acid. That then hits the ground and forms limestones. So carbon gets pulled out of the atmosphere from precipitation and other weathering processes, and it basically gets locked up underground and that is that is forced by the Sun's increased luminosity. So as you increase the luminosity of the Sun you decrease the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. We've seen that throughout history and it will continue to happen. What eventually will happen that CO2 levels will drop below about 10 ppm. So currently it's about 400 ppm in the atmosphere, eventually it will fall below 10 ppm. So currently it's about 400 ppm in the atmosphere. Eventually it will fall below 10 ppm. Once that happens, plant photosynthesis ends.

At what point do we die? At 10? About 10, just because you can't have photosynthesis. And we're at 400 right now. So between 400 and 10 we're okay? Yeah. Well plants are okay. There's not really so much us, it's just you can't have plants. You can't have plants kind of us. Okay, and then the sun. When you look at the articles, you'll read articles saying the fact that the Sun's got five billion years left, right? I mean, it says, when will the Sun die? And you'll kind of pull it up and there's a bunch of

different articles written about it. Here's what will happen when our Sun dies. Billion years from now, right? It says five billion years. The Sun gives energy to life on Earth and without the star we wouldn't be here, but even stars have limited lifetimes and someday our sun will die. You don't need to worry about the solar death anytime soon. It's likely not to happen for the next five billion years, etc., etc. So earth, a billion. Sun, five billion, according to what we read. Maybe you can correct me and it's a different number. Climate change is a big topic, okay? A lot of people talk about climate

change. You give me 93 trillion dollars, I can fix the problem for you. I mean a lot of politicians in America, I don't know if you're in your country, you have politicians in our country. Well I'm American. I'm an American now. I mean UK, where you came from. I originally am British but now I'm naturalized. Where you based that up? New York. Okay, so here you see it with all the politicians that want all the money to be able to fix climate change. As an astrophysicist, you're not a politician, you're not a political guy, you're a scientist, you're an astrophysicist. When you hear politicians make promises that they can fix climate change with 93 trillion dollars, I'm curious, how do you process that?

can fix climate change with 93 trillion are fundamentally altering the chemical composition of our planetary atmosphere. That is a very dangerous experiment that we are doing. And we are not sure what the consequences of that will be. But many of our models, our best models of the projections, generally look very bad for the future in terms of the economic impact and hardship it will have on the US, but all over the world. I mean, you're seeing it already. Like, you know, in Florida, where we are right now, a lot of insurers are running out of the US, but all over the world. I mean, you're seeing it already. Like, you know, in Florida, where we are right now,

a lot of insurers are running out of the state, running out of Miami. No question. You're in California. California for fire, here for hurricane, additional things. Yeah, for flooding, things like this. And so that's, I think, one of the things I worry about is, I don't know with this plan you're talking about,

whether investing that amount of money will fix this problem. It's not obvious to me how we can fix this. You know, the only way to really fix this is to get the CO2 out of the atmosphere that we've put in. That's the only true fix. And we don't have a technology which can do that in any feasible economic sense. Let me ask, who is the most qualified scientist to be able to actually tell us a way to be able to address it?

Is it Astro? What kind of scientist would it be? I mean, we have an office just around the street from us called NASA Goddard Institute for Space Science, NASA GISS. And one of the directors there, Gavin Schmidt, is a good friend of mine. Our kids go to the same school. He's the director of that institute. And they do all the analysis of the measurements of Earth's climate and the temperature. And they make projections about how the temperature and the sea level and hurricanes and things like this will change over time. So this is where you

can, if you go to this website and ask a guest, you can actually grab all the data from any measuring state, in any measuring stations they have, you can grab the data and look at it yourself, look at the trends, look at the global trends, sea level, whatever you wanna look at. And their models, obviously a lot of the models

that they're using are informing, I assume, some of the policy that you're talking about. And so I think, you know, having, I've had Gavin come onto my podcast and talk about some of the work he's been doing. But he's not really thinking about solutions. This office is not an office which is planning, like, here's a mitigation strategy. They're just collecting the data and telling you

what's likely to happen and what's currently happening. But in terms of mitigation, I think that's where you're seeing both politics and even some corporations start to come in and add their own inventiveness of how to solve this. So you've got things like direct air capture. These are these giant wind turbines that are trying to suck air out of the atmosphere

and pull the CO2 out. And people are trying to innovate and think of how to do this. But none of these technologies, at least for my money, are anywhere near the level needed to reverse. If you want to go back to pre-industrial CO2 levels, you're talking about using basically 100% of the Earth's entire electricity supply

until the year 2050 continuously, even assuming you had 100% thermodynamic efficiency machine. So it's just ludicrous. I did a whole video about this. Thermodynamically, we can't reverse the damage we've done at the atmosphere. We can't. Right now, with our current technology, it's fanciful that we could ever get back to pre-industrial levels with the limitations of our current energy supply. So let me qualify what you just said and correct me if I'm off. One, you're saying we have people, civilization has negatively impacted climate change.

One, you're saying that. But two, you're saying all the money in the world couldn't fix the problem today to eliminate the CO2. All the money in the world wouldn't be able to fix that today I Think if you're if your version of fix is pull is reverse the damage Yeah, and pull the co2 out then I don't think we can fix it what you're saying. That is the only way to fix it That's what you're saying though, right? I think our best bet at this point is threatened is try to Mitigate preventative like you can't it's there's gonna be pain, but how painful do you can't, it's, there's going to be pain.

But how painful do you want it to be? It's going to be pain whatever at this point. I think there's just no way around that. It's going to be painful. Unpack that. What do you mean by that? You know, you can, there's these different scenarios. So you talk about like RCP scenarios,

or like these climate projections. And there's like RCP 3.5, 4.5, and the worst case is 8.0 that I've seen. And these are projections as to like, I think 8.0 is like the business as usual. Like you basically just don't give a damn about the environment and you just keep like doing whatever the hell, yeah, 8.5,

you just do whatever the hell you want to the atmosphere and burn as much coal and oil as you possibly want. So I don't think that's very realistic that we're gonna be on that scenario. But even already the 4.5 and the 2.6, which have pretty serious consequences for the planet. Positively. Yeah, even those I think we're struggling.

I think we're not on brand for. I think we're already diverging away from those scenarios in terms of our impact. And these are going to have, I'm not sure what the numbers are, but you're talking obviously trillions of dollars, as you said, of potentially damage to homes, to businesses, to the economy. That's what I worry about is the, I don't worry about this as an existential risk. I think people sometimes think like humanity is going to be extinguished by climate change. I don't think that's likely to happen. I just think we're going to make our lives a hell of a lot harder. And the

economy is going to really struggle under the burden of so much damage happening to our buildings and in our lifetime. Yes I think it's only my lifetime. Yeah, I expect that to happen. Yeah, okay. It's already happening I think you're saying you're saying if we go the way we're going right now, you're saying we're still gonna be around for a billion years That's what you're saying. The Earth will be. The Earth will be. Will we be around? I don't think humans will be around. Why not? Well, the species of humanities, depends how you date it, but less than a million years old, I would say. So no species has ever survived in the in the paleontological record for a billion years. There's no single species which has persisted that long.

Purely for self-destructive purposes or could be an outside? Species just change, evolve. You don't have anything, things evolve over millions of years' time scale. So even if there was a descendant of us, there'd probably be many, many descendants of humanity by that point, right? We'd probably split, you can imagine some grave disaster happening to humanity in the future. Maybe it's climate change, maybe it's something else, but maybe some complete reset. And we diverge, we go back to live in our continent separately from each other,

and then they would eventually speciate and form separate species over millions of years from each other. I mean, there's very long time scales. And then those descendants would evolve and adapt into new species, and they'd be competing with other descendants of other species. Things evolve and adapt and change over time to the changing environment. How different is that than what we have today? How is it different? I mean, it's not different. Things are evolving right now.

Yeah, I think everything is constantly in a process of flux. You're not saying we'll be extinct. You're not saying that. Or you're saying that it's also a possibility. It's possible. I can't, I don't have a crystal ball. I don't know what's going to happen. The possibility of extinction would require what?

An outside event. You're thinking comet event you're thinking comet you're thinking Are you thinking more outside or are you thinking we will self-destruct and we will destroy ourselves, right? So I'm a little bit maybe There's no speculation have to let's just put that Yeah, my personal view on this is that Intelligence which we are an example of an intelligent being on this planet, has not been on this planet for a very long, for the entire history basically, until fairly the last few hundred million years, you start to see things like octopus, ravens, smart birds, dolphins, humpback whales and humanity. All of us are intelligent species.

Now it seems like if you go back 600 million years ago, everything was basically single-celled on this planet at that point. So you have these major transitions that happen in Earth's history. Now my kind of crazy tinfoil hat theory, and I'm not an evolutionary biologist by any means, but my crazy tinfoil hat theory more from an astrobiology

perspective is that intelligence bestows survival advantages, clearly, because we've dominated this entire planet through our intelligence, not through physical strength by any means, and therefore anything that bestows an evolutionary advantage will persist. Maybe it won't be humanity, but other species will continue in some form to have intelligence. And so that's really interesting. It means that even if it won't be us, I think there will be Intelligent creatures on this planet that will go through probably periods of rising and falling of civilization over the next billion years Now that's pretty interesting because it means there'll be people one day going back to the moon Maybe it's like an octopus or a squid or a bird or a raven some descendant of those

Landing on the moon and seeing the Apollo landers and thinking, this is pretty wild. There must have been some kind of ape that, look at these footprints, some kind of ape that was walking around on the surface of this thing. We are not the first ones here. And maybe they'll actually struggle to get to the moon because we've burnt most of the oil in the ground. And they're thinking, hey, where's all the uranium gone? Where's all the oil gone? Why is it so hard for us to get an industrial age going? It's almost as if someone was here before us and so yeah, I do think intelligence will persist and that gives me a lot of hope when I look for alien life out there because if

If in it, you know, you're a pessimist and you think nuclear wars around the corner or we're gonna extinguish ourselves through climate change Whatever it is, then maybe you put humanity lifespan at maybe a million years or a few thousand years for technology, something like this, which is a blink of an eye in cosmic timescales. It's nothing. And therefore, when we look out for aliens, if they're the same as us and they extinguish themselves so quickly, it's hopeless. We're never going to find anyone. But if intelligence just keeps popping up, it goes goes down a valley then it comes back up and it

Rises and falls just as evolution has shown us in the past Then that gives me some hope that that we might detect something out there if intelligence really is a persistent Phenomena and so I kind of like to think of intelligence as as an infestation Humanity I think could be an infestation in a sense not in a not a sensor I'm comparing this to a rodent and we're some poisonous thing to this planet, but that we're very difficult to eradicate. We're on every continent, in every environment

you can imagine this planet. We are there, we have buildings, we have structures, we have farming, and we adapt to those environments and we thrive in them. And I think to totally remove humanity from this planet, I don't think it's possible. I think we're gonna persist. But it will be descendants of us

and they'll adapt and evolve to new conditions because that's what biological evolution tells us will happen. It'll be descendants of us? Yeah. Yeah. But that's not anything out of the ordinary. No, of course not.

We are descendants of somebody. We are descendants of somebody. And we are different from our ancestors. Sure, sure. In the same. No, of course not. We are descendants of somebody. We are descendants of somebody. And we are different from our ancestors. Sure, sure. Biologically, tell me what you mean when you say biologically. Well, just the size of our head is significantly larger than it was a million years ago.

Why do you think it was? What's your reasoning for it? I mean, we know that to be true, obviously, from collecting skulls. Why? Why? Why? Because it most likely provided an evolutionary advantage through natural selection.

Got it. So having a larger brain gave you an advantage that meant you could out-compete the next tribe over, right? Because you could build better traps and you could capture more food. There was a guy in the army who wore an eight and a half hat. He did not have an advantage. I'm not gonna lie to you, I remember this guy.

And we had a nickname for him, and won't say it, but at that time, we'd always give him a hard time. But we wore 7 1 4, 7 1 2, this guy was 8 1 2, he was legit, but wasn't good at math, wasn't good at a lot of things. So, okay, so Elon Musk, okay, he wants to, he's a humanist, right? Colonizing on Mars.

What is, he's a humanist, right? Colonizing on Mars. He's a very smart guy, okay? This is not a guy that's just, you know, have three shots of tequila and says, hey guys, I'm going to go colonize, you know, I'm going to have life on Mars, right? For somebody as smart as him to say something like that, what are his hurdles of that becoming a reality? You know Mars is a very hostile environment to live on. I mean it's much harder to live on Mars than it is in Antarctica. Put it like that. Antarctica has an atmosphere that we can breathe. That's the most obvious basic thing. Its temperature is actually similar to Mars.

It's not that different from Mars, the temperature in Antarctica to Mars. So the temperature is very similar, but Antarctica is covered in ice, so you've got plenty of water, so you've access to water, you have breathable air. All you really have to do is wear a coat and some protective gear and you can survive in that environment. You're not going to survive in Mars under those same conditions. You know, Mars is a place that has no surface liquid water, as far as we can tell. There's ice on the polar caps, but how much we don't truly know. It doesn't have, even the atmospheric pressure is so low

that it would kill you, let alone the lack of a breathable atmosphere. And on top of that, it lacks any, there's no boat that can come and save you. Like if you need infrastructure to be delivered or water or supplies to be delivered quickly, it's just totally inaccessible. It's going to take 18 months or something to get the next care package delivered.

So it's going to require, it's going to be the greatest survival challenge for humanity. When you hear them say that, what do you think? I think it's a I mean yeah it's it's some of my colleagues kind of think it's ridiculous and think it's just totally crazy that we'll ever do this. I've always felt like it was if someone wanted to spend their own money to try and do it like all power to them let them try and do it. I get the the philosophy the philosophy is as long as we're all on planet Earth we're at risk because all it takes is one giant meteor or one nuclear war or any we know whatever Cataclysm you want and we're all gone. And so if your objective is to preserve

The species then it totally makes sense that you would want to have a second base and where that base be on the moon or Mars I don't really have a strong opinion, but I think there are definitely advantages on Mars, because it's at higher surface gravity. It does appear to have a bit more water. The temperatures, there is some atmosphere, at least, whereas the moon has no atmosphere at all. So I think there are, but it's further away.

So that's another challenge to how you actually get there in the first place. How do you actually service it and have infrastructure go back and forth? But I think it's a cool goal. I don't want to live on Mars I mean, like I said, would you want to live in Antarctica? Like if some said do you want to live in Florida don't live in Antarctica? I want to live in Antarctica and I certainly don't want to live in a place that's even worse than Antarctica, which is Mars So I have no desire personally to live on Mars. It'd be cool to visit for a week, but it's so far away

You can't really do that. So I don't know, if someone wants to try that, go for it. And you know, people are lining up coast to coast to be the first astronauts to Mars. I think if you put out a call for astronauts for Mars, there'd be no shortage of volunteers who'd be willing to end their life on Mars, if that's what it took to go there. And you need people like that to push the envelope. I just don't want to do it myself. That's where it's like, you have to divorce maybe how you feel about something versus someone else putting their life at risk. You have any desire to go into space or no?

I'd love to go to space. Yeah, I'd love to do a cruise in orbit, see the earth from space. It's been a dream of mine since a kid, but only as a paying, probably tourist, I expect that to happen. And I would be okay with that if it became something where you could spend, I don't know, $10,000, $20,000, go up, do a few orbits. I... Nothing to be out there for a year and explore and, you know, as a big project, that's not something you're interested in.

No. I mean, you've seen, is these Starliner astronauts there, which are stuck there at the moment? Yeah, the Boeing moment when I saw that to the lady and the guy yes 25 January they'll be able to come back and it whether yeah they're probably stuck there till February looks like at this point which is and in a space NASA doesn't see the starliner astronauts that way NASA doesn't say they don't like that word yeah but I think they are kind of stuck there unfortunately yeah and they seem pretty chill about it they don't like that word. But I think they are kind of stuck there for them, unfortunately. Yeah, and they seem pretty chill about it.

They don't seem like they're being used. Well, they're trained for that. So let me ask you this question. So do you think man landed on the moon? Yeah, 100%. You're saying 100%. Tell me why you say 100%. Because we can see from, you know, the imaging of the surface of the moon.

So you have like these orbiters which are currently going around the moon. Again, you can download the data. Anyone can download the data, this NASA public data policy that we have. And you can download that data and you can see the tracks of the rovers, of the astronauts as they drove around. And you can line them up to the video footage of them driving around the surface. You can see the landers, you can see, you know,

the infrastructure that was left there. You can even, there's even mirrors that were put on the surface of the moon. It's called the laser ranging experiment. And they left these mirrors there, and we actually bounced lasers off the surface of the moon, off these mirrors. And using that, we can measure how far away the moon is.

Every day we can do that. So we can measure how far away is the moon today. And we've been doing that for the last few decades, and as a result we know that the moon is receding away from us at about one inch per year, about four centimeters per year. And this is due to the tides that the the moon raises on the earth and dissipates energy Through the tidal action on the planet. So this is actually, you know, one of the most amazing experiments I think it's actually now getting quite dusty

They can they can also tell from the lasers the late the response time is not only getting longer But the amount of light returning is diminishing so they can tell that dust is slowly but the amount of light returning is diminishing, so they can tell that dust is slowly accumulating on these mirrors, and even infer from that the micrometeorite rate that's happening on the Moon. So, yeah, when you look at all the amazing stuff we can do, there's obviously Moon rocks that we have. You know, we know about the origin of the Moon from the Moon rocks. We took those Moon rocks that the Apollo astronauts brought back, we measured the isotopic ratio of oxygen 18 to oxygen 16 from those rocks,

and by looking at that oxygen isotope ratio, we were able to tell that it was identical to that of the Earth, and that was a... obviously there's many of the differences in the rocks, but that particular ratio was identical, and that told us that the moon used to be a part of the Earth, which is pretty wild. So actually, the origin of the moon was that it was at one point in its history

part of the Earth. What happened? So this is called the Giant Impact Hypothesis. So it's thought that when the Earth first formed, it was actually larger than it is today. Would have been what we maybe would call a super Earth. And it was this big ball of molten lava, and there was this episode in the history of the solar system called the late heavy bombardment that we believe happened. We can see that because we see Mercury's been covered in

meteors, we can see lots of evidence from simulations of looking at how Jupiter moves through the solar system, so we have lots of evidence of this late heavy bombardment, and basically there was just a lot of crap around, just a lot of stuff moving around the solar system and this Mars sized planet that we call Theia a Mars sized planet Drifted too close to the earth with the super earth Smashed into it and that Mars sized planet basically totally vaporized. It was destroyed in totality But it knocked off a huge chunk of the earth and that huge chunk is what formed the moon

And that's why the moon has The same isotopic ratio in its rocks that the earth has that is is this the I'm looking at a run a giant Impact hypothesis Rob just pull up to the impact hypotheses. Rob, just pull up the Wikipedia to it and show the picture. Is that kind of what you're saying to the right? Yeah, I think most of the time you see a simulation, it's actually more of a grazing impact than a head-on like that, just because people experiment with the geometry and see how the outcomes are in these supercomputer simulations. But yeah, that's essentially what you're looking at this kind of Incredible

Collision which have happened four and a half billion years ago. Wow. I'm looking at these simulations right now There's a bunch of them online It's possible that actually life had already been on the earth at this point and it was basically totally wiped out from that From that impact and then life had to get going again after the impact So that's a really interesting question. Did life form before the impact and get totally wiped out? What do you think? I have no idea. I mean, it'd be a huge discovery if it was true.

We have no way of actually essentially observing that, but if it was true, I mean, that life started twice. If life started twice, it means life is everywhere. But yeah, look at this thing. It's smashed together and then you can see this debris start to coalesce. Sometimes in these simulations, they actually form multiple moons or two moons. And what often happens in these simulations is, because you can just get one moon here in this case, the moon here would have been much, much closer to the earth. You see this?

Yeah. It's super close. And that's why, you know, I told you the moon is moving away at one inch per year Right. So if you rewind that clock back for that one inch per year Yeah, and you account for the acceleration due to tidal effects It actually ends up being right there where we see it in the simulations at the right point This is called the Roche limit. It's basically the closest distance gravitation where you could form an object So the moon formed at this close in distance where it can coalesce, and it's been gradually receding away from the Earth ever since. David, what's the likelihood of something like this happening again? This is one of the reasons why we want to look for exomeons.

This impact could be the reason why we're all here. Right? So had this collision not happened, the Earth has plate tectonics, right? And those plates rub against each other. It turns out that's probably quite critical for the emergence of life on this planet. You have this interaction of these carbon cycles and nitrogen cycles where material can be recycled

as it subdues and it kind of lands on the bottom of the seabed, it eventually subducts under different plates. This is the earth's recycling mechanism. If we didn't have this, when something died like a whale and it just landed on the bottom of the ocean bed, its carbon could potentially be stuck there forever and just locked up forever and eventually there'd just be no carbon left for things to make plants and trees and animals out of. But the fact is that those, that

reserve of carbon gets subducted back into the magma and then gets re-released through volcanism. So this is, you know, one of the ways in which the earth recycles material. Now had this impact not happened, it is possible that we would not have plate tectonics. The reason being that rather than having a series of very thin lids like this, which can rub against each other, it would instead just form one very, very thick giant lid all the way around, which which couldn't move and we think that's what's happened to Venus If you look at Venus, it just has one giant thick lid. We call it a stagnant lid has no plate tectonics That's why probably it's not a very hospitable place for other reasons as well And so if Earth had formed a stagnant lid in the same way Venus did and which probably would have happened without that giant impact

I think Then none of us would probably be here in terms of complex life on this planet. So it seems like there's a lot to thank for that giant impact. A lot to thank for that giant impact. But it's also very likely that there could have been civilization right behind it. Would anybody have survived that impact? I don't think there would have been a right behind it? Would anybody have survived that impact? I don't think there would have been a civilization then because Earth formed, let's say like 4.6 billion years ago, this happened at 4.5. So you've got a

hundred million years at most for life to get going. And it took on... There's plenty. Is it? I mean it took four billion years to get from single-celled organism to us. The second time around. Maybe there was a firsted organism to us the second time around. Maybe there was a first time around, but the second time around, we know for sure it took four billion years. So can it do it in a hundred million years? That seems, that seems very tight. Right. You're asking for a factor of 40 quicker for evolution to play out.

It's amazing. Like when you actually think about it, your life is like a split second. Right. Like in the bigger scope of things, we are just regular. Like this, listen, you think you're important, relax buddy, you're outta here, next. It's so wild when you look at it from- In time and space. Yeah, it's so interesting when you look at it from,

it's actually humbling, you know, for you to have some perspective when you really start thinking very highly of yourself. And say, yeah, I got this degree, I made this much money, I'm doing that. You're not that big of a deal, bro, just relax. Well, have you ever heard of Carl Sagan's Pale Blue Dot speech? You've never seen this? Maybe check it out afterwards, you should listen to it, guys, online.

It's a wonderful speech that Carl Sagan gives gives and it's a photo of the earth taken from about the distance of Neptune and the outer edge of the solar system. And this is a photo of the earth and the earth you can in this image is in that sunbeam there is that little tiny speck of light. That's the earth. And he says he's, he's beautifullyquent, and he says, you know, every person who's ever lived, you know, every general, every religious leader, every lover, every child, every grandparent,

everyone you've ever known, everyone you've ever hated, everyone you've ever loved, everyone lived on that tiny speck of light, suspended in a sunbeam. And that's what we're all fighting over, right? In these wars, we're fighting over a fraction of a dot. That's what we're fighting over. And just the madness of it,

when you look at it from a cosmic perspective, is baffling. And that's why I love astronomy. It is said to be the ultimate humbling experience. How about, I know again, you're not a geologist, but how about again the worries about some of these volcanoes? Like when you think about, you know, the volcano in, Rob, what's the name of it in Yellowstone? What's the name of the volcano? There's a name for the volcano. The caldera. The caldera, right. How about the caldera where it has erupted three times?

I think one of them was 2.1 million years ago, 1.3 million years ago, and 640,000 years ago, and we're overdue for it to erupt again. And every time it erupts, some 80% of America gets destroyed every time it's erupted, right? It's a bad day. It's a rough day when that happens. What is the influence with what we're experiencing right now? We're manmade, like we can screw it up

for it to erupt once again. Do you think about that at all? I don't think we're doing this affecting that. That's just gonna do its own thing and go off. Well, do you like it or not? Yeah, I don't think we have any control over that. It's frustrating, but there's no way we can influence that right now.

But the thing is with these, we're overdue. It's the same with meteors. People say, OK, we're overdue for a dinosaur killing asteroid at this point. But the thing is, we're overdue. If you go to the casino, you've probably gambled and gone to Vegas sometimes and played a few hands. And you know the gambler's fallacy.

So if you lose a few hands in a row, or win a few hands in a row, you might think, well, therefore I'm due for the opposite behavior to happen at this point. And that's a fallacy. Like, statistically, if I roll a dice and I get a six, it has no bearing as to whether I roll a six next time or not.

It's completely disconnected. Now, over enough time time these events will accumulate, but I certainly don't think that the fact that it hasn't happened for a long time should make you any more scared. If it had just happened yesterday, you should be just as scared of it happening tomorrow as if it had not happened for 10,000 years or 100,000 years. The risk is the same in every single point of these, of these kind of totally random events like this happening. So you're suggesting everybody stop listening to the podcast and go to the casino right now. That's what you're saying. If they lose, keep playing. Don't worry about it. It's going

to put things around the corner. It's not exactly what I said, but you're sure. That's kind of how I took it, folks. Listen, get off the podcast, go to the local casino. So is this a part of like, look, if it's gonna happen, it's gonna happen. There's nothing we can do about it. But again, we, as civilization, us, as people, we, we, we, there's a part of us that likes the next, oh my God, what is it? You know, it's gonna happen, you know, it's like you're going, you should never go into that building. All right, guys, let's go into that building. You know what I'm saying? Let know, it's like you go in you should never go into that building. All right guys

Let's go into that building. You know I'm saying let's see what's inside it Right that that that cave right there if you go into that cave rumor has it 19 bears have lived there and over 728 people have been killed in that cave the last 20 years do not go there. However, a lot of people do go there because there's around 700 million million of gold all the way at the end. But I'm telling you, don't do it. David, we got to go. It's something about this. Well, the haunted houses and these people go around these crazy, insane asylums in the middle of night and you're thinking like, why are you doing this to yourself?

It's the commercials. You're like, do not go into the garage. The kid goes into the garage. But no, I think, you know, on the, have you seen a simulation on the caldera? Have you seen a simulation on the eruption? I don't think I have. Do you have a simulation worth watching on what it would look like? I mean, see if you can find a short one, not one of the bigger ones, because the bigger ones I have but it's a it's a pretty terrifying prospect I imagine have you ever walked on a volcano I've been to Yellowstone okay yeah and we've climbed a couple of volcanoes before yeah I walked an active volcano in Hawaii ten years ago my wife told me not

do it I went there with a guy named Jose with a guy named John and a couple other people Lexi and I want to say Amy was with us yeah and we went there with a guy named Jose, with a guy named John, and a couple other people, Lexi, and I want to say Amy was with us. Yeah, and we went there. It was like the lava was right in front of us. It was right in front of us, and you're looking at it, and the lady in the morning says, you got to get there at 3, 4 o'clock in the morning, or else the ranger's not going to let you through. So we got there very early.

And then we made a pass to ranger, and he says, don't do it. And he says, if you smell something that smells like this and it starts raining, turn around. It's not good for you to be there. And then he says, on the volcano you're walking. If you step on it and if it capsules, like if it breaks, you're dead, because it just sucks you in. One of our guys, Jose, we're walking, at this point we've been walking for five hours. He goes, he's stepping on black, dry volcano at this point. He steps, all we hear is chh-chh-chh, and you see the rain and the smell comes. We look at each other, the love is right in front of us. And it's such a beautiful thing to see. That's right.

Oh my God, it's such a beautiful thing to see. Super hot, it's so confusing with everything that's going on. And we said, guys, it's probably a good idea for us to just turn around, to just get out of here. And that's exactly what we did. We said, did you find one, Rob, or not? Just play the second one right there. Sounds like walking on an icy lake, like we hear that. Yeah, exactly. Not that one. The one below it, Rob. The one below the simulation. Is that the one you clicked on? Yeah, you can put this on 2.0.

This is just an example of saying when it happens and you got to drive away. Look at that. It's like a nuclear bomb's going off. Seriously, so now he's driving away. Right? And he gets bigger and bigger and and bigger and now it's chasing you Dante's peak right? Yeah, that's right down things. Yeah, same kind of thing

I mean that's Hollywood right that is Hollywood at the highest level and you're seeing the explosives No matter how far you get it just keeps getting closer and closer to to you. By the way, there's an image that shows if this volcano was to erupt, how far out its reach would be. Can you pull up that image on the reach, what it would be? It's just worth knowing. Guys, we just want to make your day a little bit more smoother, less things to worry about. Look at this here. Oh, I'm all right.

I'm in New York. We're fine. By the way, look at us. We barely miss it in Miami, okay, in South Florida. We are barely robbed. Like we, that's Pompano. Pompano gets hit. We don't get hit, right? And Houston is safe. Everybody else. So, what is yellow? Is that, you're safe or not? Yeah, go to it to see what the dip what the different things means Thickness and millimeters for the ash that's gonna be in the atmosphere. Okay, so your coffin all in that region basically Yeah, you've got serious breathing. What does what does blue mean Rob? Is it telling you anything or is it just the thickness of ash? Holy shit thickness, and I believe that's millimeters

Yeah, that's like Pompeii levels of bad day right there. You've got people encased in ash. It's a bad day. It's definitely qualified as a bad day if you go through something like this. You don't wanna be stuck in a thing like this. What's this, Rob? The same thing, it's just showing the impact zone

if the caldera volcano erupted. I would say don't obsess about these things. You can obsess about these things. No, we want to. We want to obsess. There's meteors, there's gamma ray bursts, there's supernovae. Which one's worth obsessing about? Any one of these guys? I think trying to enjoy your life is worth obsessing about. That's what it is. I love it. What a great mentality to have. So folks, enjoy your life. Go to Yellowstone. Take a vacation there, right? Go walk over the volcano and see what you can do with it.

But let me talk to you about another thing. You ever seen the movie Interstellar? Oh, I love that film. Okay, so I love it as well. I remember who I watched. I don't remember where we were. We were in the most random place. We could have been in Baltimore, some weird place.

We watched the movie and you leave. And you're like, ah, let me go online. Warm hole, you know, this. And so what about this? Can we really talk? Can you really talk to dead people? I mean, is this like the PG-13 version of Ouija board? Can you go out there and do this?

So, one, fiction, two, how real is it for somebody like you? You know, Interstellar had a physicist, Kip Thorne, work with Chris Nolan to try and make the science as legit as they really could. So I have a lot of respect for the filmmaker because they actually, you know, really tried hard to like keep it hard science fiction, which I think is, you know, I always enjoy that kind of stuff. Of course, the end of the movie when he's like traveling through a black hole and then ends up somehow somewhere else, I mean that's a little bit odd. The whole thing that like love is the solution for everything. I mean that's a bit romanticizing. There's no real physical mechanism behind any of that kind of stuff. But it made for a fantastic movie. But the stuff like the you know, the time dilation factors, you know, when they're on Miller's planet in that, you know, with the ocean, where they're walking through the ocean bit, I think every 1.5 seconds, you can hear it in the movie track, it was like do, do, do, and that was like the background base and

every 1.5 seconds, there was a bump. And that was 1.5 seconds in the planet corresponding to one year back on earth due to the time dilation effect and so that was all figured out by kip Thorne like that rate and the Orbit and the the factors and the calculations were all like based off real math So, you know that you can learn a lot from that movie It's it's it's not totally on point, but it it tries to take as few Cheats as it can Okay, so let me ask you is there is there a past? Do you believe there's a possibility or the technology for one or one day?

You know your mom's no longer here your dad's no longer hurry Will you be able to talk to them and have a conversation with them? You think there's a possibility reverse time travel? Yeah, I Mean, I think that's probably prohibited. So, you know Stephen Hawking worried about this a lot He actually held famously a party It was like in 2010 2006 something like this. He had a party didn't tell anybody about it He had a party just by himself and it was the time travelers party for time travelers to come to he really did it And he just sat there in this hall waiting for time travelers to come no one came and then it was kind of a joke

But and then he advertised it after the fact so after it happened he said by the way, I'm gonna have a time travel party on this date and People in the future will be able to recognize the date, location, who it all is, and go back to that point and visit me. And of course, no one came. And he was kind of being a bit tongue in cheek with that. I don't think it was intended as a real scientific experiment. But I think his point was, how come we

don't see any time travelers? If this was a legit thing, you'd think we'd see time travelers or evidence of it by now. And so his argument was that the universe actually prohibits it because it creates paradoxes. So maybe you've heard of like the grandfather paradox where you can go back in time, kill your granddad, and then that means that you don't exist. So if you don't exist, you can't go back and kill your granddad. So if you don't go back and kill your granddad, you do exist.

And so you get this kind of cycle of illogic happening, of non-logical, non-sikita behavior. And so he argued that because of these paradoxes, the universe just prohibits it. So it's called Hawking's chronology protection conjecture. Chronology protection conjecture. And it's a conjecture because he can't prove it. So it's not like he can write down a mathematical theorem and prove that this must be so but he argues

that the universe just really doesn't make sense if reverse time travel happens and so whenever you think of a mechanism by which time travel might happen the universe will always destroy it so an instance might be wormholes which are in interstellar so imagine you have two wormholes and you can form them, there's no time travel involved. I have one here, one here, no time travel involved. But I could always take one and accelerate it close to the speed of light and then come back to the same point and now it would be time displaced, right? Because when you accelerate close to the speed of light that causes time dilation. So now I do

have a time machine. Whenever you have wormholes you can always form a time machine. So now the problem is, you machine. Whenever you have wormholes, you can always form a time machine. So now the problem is this would seem to violate Hawking's idea, assuming these wormholes are possible in the first place. And so Hawking actually showed, and others have shown, that these things, it's kind of like having a microphone next to a loud speaker.

What happens when you do that? What do you hear? What's the sound you get? Boom. Yeah, you get this feedback. Right? There's this super loud sque? Boom. Yeah, you get this feedback. There's this super loud squeak. It's very horrible to hear.

And the same thing will happen with these wormholes. Imagine you have a particle of light, and it will travel through one, and it will come back in time through the other. And now there's two versions of that particle. Then they both travel through. Now there's three versions. Now there's four versions.

And so it's copying itself, just like feedback, with a microphone and a loud speaker. You get a feedback effect of the particle. And before you know it, you get an infinite number of these particles collected between the two wormholes, which destabilizes the two wormholes gravitationally. And so now they both collapse. And so the instant you form the two wormholes, they immediately collapse due to this effect. They can't, so you can in principle make them,

but you can't have them for any length of time because they immediately collapse. So whenever you come up with an idea for a time travel machine, Hawking argues that some mechanism, and that's an example of it, will always, the universe will screw it over for you because it's too clever to stop you from doing that. The universe is too clever to stop you from doing that. I mean not literally not really an agency, but oh no I get what you're saying. I don't think it's gonna be like Mossad or CIA coming and saying hey Rob stop it Don't play with time. It's it's against protocol very interesting. Have you ever played a Ouija board? No never have no Do you know what it is? It's like talking to dead people. Yeah, right? Yeah. Yeah. No, I mean, I'm not. I've actually always said I would, my kids often ask me about ghosts. Like, do

you believe in ghosts, dad? And I always say, look, if I detected ghosts, you know, I would love it. I'd be excited because it would prove that when you die, there's something else afterwards. It would be incredibly scientifically interesting to know that there was something else that happens beyond the biological when you die. Of course there's no in my book you know compelling evidence for this phenomenon but I would always be excited by the possibility of it being true. So you don't believe in Sam Wheat? Sam Wheat? Or Molly Jensen? I don't know what those are. You ever seen the movie Ghost with Patrick Swayze? Oh

yeah yeah those are characters? Yeah Rob you You ever seen the movie Ghost with Patrick Swayze? Oh yeah, yeah. Are those the characters? Rob, you've never seen the movie Ghost? I mean, you can't tell me it's not real. I mean, there's Molly and there is Sam. Proof is in the film. This is a movie based on true story. What happened with this movie? Nah, I mean, listen, Ouija boards, we don't touch that kind of stuff.

I remember as a kid, we had some friends that wanted to play with it. I'm like, just get that thing away from me as much as possible. Let me talk to you about another thing. Space nuclear, right? Space nuclear explosions that they do, right? I think they did one in 58 or 62, I don't know which one. It was a starfish prime high altitude nuclear test conducted by US, a joint effort that they did this in 62 and you know, what is it going to do, what are the side effects are going to be. So one, why do

they do it? Two, what did we learn from actually having a nuclear test in space? I think one of the most interesting, you know, interesting like weaponization prospects of this thing is EMPs, so electromagnetic pulses. So when these nukes go off, they generate these electromagnetic shock waves that travel through the atmosphere and can basically short circuit electronics by detonating it high in the atmosphere. You basically give yourself the largest range possible to hit the surface and create that effect. So I think most of the time people talk about the use of such weapons. It's not so much that you can create damage on the ground through the fireball but that you're trying to basically do a cyber attack essentially and remove all the electronic

capability of the adversary. Got it so if the enemy has certain technology out there or satellites out there that they're watching or they're you know they're doing what they're doing this is my way of getting rid of their technology that the enemy is using. Yeah. I mean, there are ways to protect against it though. So there's like a simple thing that's called like Faraday cage where it's like a chicken wire mesh type thing. You can even buy, I think you can buy like wallets and bags that have this like lined

in the bag. And of course you can get no cell service if you put your phone in one of these bags because it blocks all cell phone signals or radio signals. But it protects your device from potentially an EMP. So if you're a real doomsday and you worry about this kind of thing, you might want to put your precious electronics,

maybe if you have a load of Bitcoin in a hardware wallet for instance, that might be a good instance of like a backup or put it in the basement and put it in one of these Faraday cage pockets or you know sachets or something to protect it. So it's a you know, it can be Like all weapons. There's always a way around it, you know, so this this isn't a foolproof way, but it would be pretty Pretty damaging to to the infrastructure if somebody detonates one of these things. What are you most excited about? Like with all the projects that you're working on, what are you most excited about? You know, I just recently got tenure at Columbia, so now... Congrats. Yeah, thank you. And I think one of the objectives of tenure is

that it gives you the freedom to really just go for whatever you want. Like just take the gloves off and find the things that you're really passionate about, and don't worry so much about grants. And the things we've been talking about, like looking for alien life in the universe, have fascinated me for a long time.

And I've written papers on that topic. But I really want to push harder on that. And also how to get to the stars. We have a project in my team right now. I'm not going to talk about it too much because it's still kind of top secret, but we do have a, it's kind of ridiculous to say out loud, but an interstellar propulsion system

that we're designing in my team. And that's the kind of thing that I would never do unless I was tenured. But me and a couple of engineering students have been working on this project for the last year or two. And we think we have something interesting to contribute to that idea. I don't know if it will work out.

I'm an astrophysicist, not an engineer. But we have an interesting design that nobody's ever thought of that we think could be better than some of the alternatives that people propose, like the star shot thing we've talked about so far. So that's the kind of stuff I get buzzed about is, you know, I had this dream as a kid, looking up at the stars, wondering who else was out there and wanting to touch the stars.

And I want to do whatever I can in my life to try to advance humanity's mission to try and achieve that. I think I'm not going to solve it. I'm one person, but maybe I can add a small piece to the puzzle and we'll get there together I love it. You seem very sincere about it. I've enjoyed listening to you. This has actually been a Very interesting podcast I am going to lobby for you to be able to raise 250 billion dollars so we can find out what the hell is going on Out there with this techno. I'm surprised other people haven't brought it up yet

Because if a president like John F Kennedy was to sell a vision like that, I think a lot of people would buy into it. And if we really are concerned about the future, this could be one way that we can find out for a fact what's really taking place. By the way, if there's anything you would want people to go look at, would it be mainly your YouTube channel or is there a website or a project that you want them to look at? Yeah, so you can check out my YouTube channel. That's cool world's lab at cool world's lab on YouTube We also have the cool words podcast. So just out cool words podcast And they're mostly interviewing scientists and astronomers physicists

thinkers about our place in the universe And then on top of that there's the website cool world's lab comm Where we have kind of a unique funding model for my team So we do the usual thing of applying for NASA grants and federal grants things like this But we also get a lot of people who just donate money to my team out of their own pocket It could be as much of a price of a coffee per month that they're giving so if you hit support At the top of the top of this page, you can become a donor to my research lab, the Cool Words team. And through this through

these donations, we can do stuff that you can't do through conventional federal funding. So like the Interstellar Propulsion System, there's no way, no way I can write to NASA and say, give me, you know, $100,000 to start working on just a preliminary idea for this just to get the ball rolling. They're just gonna laugh you out the room. But thanks to you know support from people who have a bit of vision and so cool you know this is worth maybe investing in the Illuminati Illuminati right there. Yeah. Those are our top donors. Yeah. And this money goes you know through to Columbia doesn't go into my pocket I think that's the advantage of this this is tax deductible. I don't see this money

It's all used for research purely research money So you have the this is not like a patreon where you know people are that's for salary This is just research funds. That's cool. If you want to support real research. This is the way to do it Rob let's put this link below in the description and the chat for people to go check out and support. And again, I've enjoyed spending this time with you, man. I appreciate you coming out. Thank you so much, man. This was great.

Thank you. In these uncertain times, if there's anything we need is we need people to believe the future looks bright. So you, if you've heard about me saying this mission to you, we're on a mission to get a million people to wear this gear, and this is what we're doing. If you buy one of these hats, there's a category of buying one hat, getting the second one free.

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