Planetary Radio: Space Exploration, Astronomy and Science - Another Goldilocks World and the Space Telescope That Discovered It
Episode Date: February 12, 2020The planet has the less than romantic name TOI 700 d, but its discovery has generated passion among those searching for another Earth, including Emily Gilbert. The graduate student is lead author of a... paper about the new world. TESS, the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite, played a key role in its discovery. MIT planetary scientist and astrophysicist Sara Seager returns to tell us about this powerful tool and more. We also visit with the leader of NASA heliophysics research as she awaits launch of the Solar Orbiter. Look out! The rubber asteroids are back on What’s Up! Learn more and enter the contest at https://www.planetary.org/multimedia/planetary-radio/show/2020/0212-2020-tess-toi700d-seager-gilbert.htmlSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Another Goldilocks world and the powerful space camera that helped us discover it, this week on Planetary Radio.
Welcome, I'm Matt Kaplan of the Planetary Society, with more of the human adventure across our solar system and beyond.
We've got so much for you this week. Planetary scientist and astrophysicist Sarah Seeger is back to tell us about TESS,
the space telescope that is revealing new exoplanets.
One of those worlds is in the fabled habitable zone of its dwarf star.
We'll learn about it from Emily Gilbert, the graduate student who served as lead author
of one of three papers about TOI-700D.
We'll also hear about the beginning of a mission to learn more about our own star.
And out there beyond it all waits Bruce Betts with this week's What's Up,
including the return of the rare and dangerous rubber asteroids.
Sounds like a lot, but there's so much more going on in space exploration.
Here are a few headlines from the most recent edition of The Downlink, collected by Planetary
Society editorial director Jason Davis. Welcome home. NASA astronaut Christina Koch is back on
terra firma after 328 days in low-Earth orbit. She now holds the record among women for the longest single spaceflight.
And she says she looks forward to someone else breaking that record.
NASA's Mars 2020 rover has been packed up and shipped off to the Kennedy Space Center.
The launch window opens in July and runs into August.
And the Russian space agency, Roscosmos,
reports that all 13 science instruments have been installed on the lander
that will carry the European Space Agency's Rosalind Franklin rover
to the Martian surface.
Same launch window as the NASA mission, of course.
You'll find these stories and more at planetary.org.
And soon you'll find much more, including great space images,
cool facts, and announcements from the Planetary Society,
and it will all be delivered to your inbox.
Stay tuned.
The Sun is about to gain a new satellite.
The Solar Orbiter mission was launched from Cape Canaveral
on the evening of, how appropriate, Sunday, February 9th.
The joint ESA-NASA mission will eventually go into a more or less polar orbit around our star,
revealing those poles with cameras for the first time.
Former Planetary Radio associate producer Mary Liz Bender, now with Cosmic Perspective,
was there to watch the Atlas V lift off.
Here's a report she shared with us
just two days before this launch. I just got back from Kennedy Space Center after the pre-launched
NASA science briefing for the Solar Orbiter mission. There I found a room of very excited
scientists. Among them was one of my favorite people to talk to, Nikki Fox. She is the director of the Division of Heliophysics at NASA.
Nikki has worked closely with the Solar Orbiter team,
and she was also the project scientist of the Parker Solar Probe mission.
We last talked just after the Parker Solar Probe launch in August of 2018,
and now I am so glad to have had the chance to talk to her again
just a couple of days before
the launch of its sister mission, Solar Orbiter. I was extremely excited the last time we talked
because I just watched the Delta IV Heavy lift off the pad, and I was very excited. I think you
actually introduced me as a very excited Nikki Fox, and I was indeed. I was over the sun with
excitement with the Parker Solar Probe launch and equally as excited now to see Solar Orbiter go on Sunday.
You remember. That's amazing. That sparks my memory. You said, I'm over the moon. I'm over the sun.
That's true. And I was.
I describe myself as a launch junkie. This is the most exciting thing for me.
I think I got the bug very early. I worked on the Van Allen probes
and I was very blessed to work with the team very closely and see all that last minute preparation.
Obviously with Parker, I was down here for the last six weeks working with the team.
And so I know what they're going through. So even though I haven't had the opportunity to be in the
clean room with Solar Orbiter, I know the excitement that this team is feeling.
And so, yes, we cannot wait to see that rocket lift off the pad.
Yes, I say this all the time.
So I'm a launch junkie, and I don't have any intimate connection really with this thing except to feel like humanity is doing this amazing thing together, right?
But I always say that watching a night launch is like watching a sunrise in the middle of the night.
It really is.
And, you know, you see the spectacle of it.
Then you hear and then you feel the pressure.
And there is, you know, yes, it's wonderful.
Daytime launches are really nice.
I don't want to knock our daytime launches.
But, man, the sight of that thing going during the night is just amazing.
Can you tell me about your involvement with this particular mission?
I know you answered a lot of questions today about Parker Solar Probe,
really great data coming back from that right now,
but what has been your role in the heliophysics division for Solar Orbiter?
Well, so I started working with Solar Orbiter a number of years ago
when I was still the Parker Solar Probe project scientist,
and I worked very, very closely with Daniel Mueller.
And we really wanted to collaborate,
and we wanted to get these missions working together
because they are so much better as a team.
And so I've had a long involvement with the Solar Orbiter team,
but since I moved down to NASA headquarters,
I'm sort of in charge of making sure that everything is perfect for launch on Sunday.
And so I've worked extremely closely with our counterparts at ESA,
with our folks here
at NASA's Launch Service Program,
with ULA,
and just making sure
everything is ready to go.
NASA has a couple of instruments
that are flying on Solar Orbiter,
but it's more than just those instruments.
It's really that team
of 10 instruments working together.
And so the team here,
all of the different stakeholders, all of the partners,
just all pulling in the same direction for launch on Sunday.
I really loved the vibe of the excitement over the international collaboration on the science especially.
How do those decisions get made or how do you all talk to one another and say,
hey, we've got something over here we think you'd like to work on?
Or how do people raise their hand to work with NASA and ESA?
It's pretty much like that.
We work very, very closely with all of our partner agencies.
And we meet together and we say, hey, there's this opportunity.
Would you like to take part in it?
So there are lots of collaborations with heliophysics, the sort of notable ones are Ulysses and SOHO.
Now, of course, Solar Orbiter adding to that legacy.
And so, yeah, it really is just, hey, there's an opportunity,
would you like to join us?
And we're always looking for ways to work together to really do things better.
That's exactly how it happens.
For Heliophysics, the thing I love about it is, honestly,
wherever you go in the solar system, we want to go with you.
We will take data from anywhere.
We work really closely with our planetary colleagues and now with our astrophysics colleagues as to, hey, what is the information we're learning about our star?
How can we help you apply that to other stars?
And so, you know, I just love science.
The sun has been, you know, it guides us.
It's there every day.
We sometimes argue about which was the first branch of science.
I always say it's heliophysics because everybody looked up at the sun
and stared at it and wondered what it was.
And so we are now sending missions up close to really explain what's happening at our star.
It's the source of life, right?
I mean, so essentially you are studying almost every branch of science when you study the sun.
Absolutely, yes.
We put years and years into these missions.
Daniel said he's been working on this mission for 13 years.
Parker Solar Probe, I'd worked on it for eight when it launched.
You know, I mean, you've put a lot of work into it.
And it's not like we have another mission just sitting there
that if something goes wrong here, we can launch it.
This is our one shot at doing this.
And so, yes, we're all nervous, but it's really just pure excitement. We can't wait to see Solar Orbiter join Parker Solar Probe.
They're sister missions. We've always thought of them like that, and we can't wait for them to
get up there and start working together. But as always, it's a great time to be a heliophysicist.
Cosmic Perspective's Mary Liz Bender talking with NASA's Nikki Fox just two days before the beginning of
the Solar Orbiter mission. The legacy of the Kepler mission lives on. As of mid-January,
more than 4,000 exoplanets have been confirmed, and most of these were discovered by that space
telescope. There are thousands more waiting for confirmation, and now the list of worlds is growing thanks to Kepler's daughter, TESS.
We'll focus in a few minutes on just one of these, a roughly Earth-sized planet known as TOI-700d that orbits in its star's habitable zone.
But first, for an overview of TESS and the current state of exoplanet research, I called on Professor Sarah Seeger.
She is an astrophysicist and planetary scientist at MIT, where her team teases evidence of exoplanets from the data returned by TESS.
Sarah, welcome back to Planetary Radio.
It's been a while since we've talked.
In fact, we may mention those previous appearances because they'll be pretty relevant to today's discussion.
But it's great to have you back on the show.
Thanks, Matt. Great to be back.
Let's talk about the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite before we get on to other things.
As I mentioned to you a moment ago, we have not talked about in depth on this show.
It's come up because it's done some great work.
But we haven't brought it up in depth since the launch, It's come up because it's done some great work, but we haven't brought
it up in depth since the launch, which now was nearly two years ago. Has TESS been meeting
everybody's expectations? Absolutely. TESS has, I would say, even been exceeding expectations.
That's great. I saw in looking at the website that it was going to cover the sky, what, 200,000 stars in two years.
But we're not talking about it ending its mission in April, which would be the second year anniversary, are we?
No, not at all.
In fact, TESS has been extended.
It has passed a review at NASA to get an extended mission.
So it'll be going for another two or three years.
And honestly,
TESS could go on indefinitely. Its orbit is incredibly stable and it doesn't need much fuel.
It really doesn't need much at all to keep going. Is that especially good news? Because I mean,
the longer you stare at these stars and the planets that pass in front of them,
the better off you are? That's right. It's better to stare at an object longer because the more transits we see, the more planets we can find. Right now, TESS is mostly finding planets that have periods. Their year, the time it takes to go around their star, is less than about a month.
So it would be way better if we could stare at the same stars, you know, over and over again and find
much longer period planets. Also, if we can stare more often, we can bin the data down and we can look for smaller and
smaller planets. Finally, TESS's prime mission covers about 70% of the sky. During the extended
mission, TESS has a chance to fill in the rest of the sky. That's great. Did we learn the basics of
this through Kepler and the great work that that immediate ancestor of TESS did?
We did. Kepler was so incredibly pioneering. It will be a legacy for all time. A lot of what we
do on TESS builds directly on Kepler, the data reduction techniques we use, the data pipelines
even, and all of our strategies and methods. So out of this 200,000 stars in this initial period of operation by TESS,
how many roughly Earth-sized worlds in their habitable zones can we expect to find out of
this data? It's true TESS is looking at 200,000 stars at two-minute cadence in the prime mission,
but did you know that TESS is also
looking at millions more stars? Millions. No. It is. Wow. Because the team found a very clever way
to be able to downlink what we call full frame images. You know, it's so hard to send data back
to Earth. It's a very huge bottleneck. And so we can't send all the stars in the field of view,
but we're able to bend the data on board to stack the data and send 30-minute cadence down to the ground.
And so in addition to studying those 200,000 specially chosen stars, we can also look at so many more stars.
That's fantastic.
All right.
Well, the more you look at, the more of these, I hesitate to use the phrase, but I will, Earth-like planets we're going to find, right?
You do hesitate for good reason, because we really want to reserve Earth-like for the true Earth twin,
the Earth-size, Earth-mass planet orbiting a Sun-like star in a one-year period. TESS, it turns
out, is purposely designed to be very, very sensitive to small planets orbiting very small
stars. They're very different from our sun,
M dwarf stars among the most common types of stars that we have.
So MIT, one of many institutions, but the lead institution in many ways for dealing with
test data. I mean, what's it like there? Is it a busy place? Is you and your colleagues
search for these worlds? It's very busy, very busy. And it's
actually mostly young people getting the hard work done. Here at MIT, we're responsible for
finding the planet candidates that go out to the community so people can work on them. Here,
we actually brand objects, test objects of interest. So whenever you say TOI this, TOI that,
it actually came from my team's work here.
The computers do all the hard work.
There's the official data pipeline out at NASA Ames that works on the 20,000 objects per month at two-minute cadence.
And here at MIT, we run our so-called QuickLook pipeline on hundreds of thousands of stars
that come at 30-minute cadence.
And the computers churn away, and they present us with a long list of what they call threshold
crossing events.
And it's our job here using more computer programs to find out which ones are worthy
of being designated a test object of interest.
And at the very end of that process, it's going to sound funny to you, but we actually
have humans.
We call it vetting.
Yeah, we have groups and we meet every Tuesday from one to three o'clock.
And it's like a rotating group of trained experts.
And we literally look through the data and there's data products that come with it.
And we try to decide whether it's worth putting it out to the community and giving it an official
TOI stamp so people can look at it further.
That is so cool.
I have to think that over the years that we have been finding exoplanets, you and other folks like your team there at MIT
have gotten better and better at this.
Definitely. You can say that finding planets by transits is actually a very mature method. It is
standard operating procedure.
Your Seeger equation, a twist on the famous Drake equation, you really consider with this only these habitable
zone and sized planets, right? And I noted that one of your factors in the equation, by the way,
we'll put up a link to this somewhere online, maybe through your own website.
One of the factors calls for stars that are quiet. And that's going to come up again when we talk to
Emily Gilbert in a minute. But tell us why that was an important factor to include.
At the moment, we are struggling to find planets around variable stars, very highly variable stars.
It turns out that stars, even our own sun because of its spots, vary with time. Many of these M dwarf stars,
they're just so variable. It's like, wow, what happened? And the star is not just constant with
time. Every time TESS takes an image of it, its brightness is slightly different. And this is
usually due to spot, spottedness of the star and its stars are rotating. So different spots are
forming and are coming in and out of view. It's sort of just a selection effect.
It's a problem with nature that the noisy stars are hard for us to find planets around, and they'll also be hard for us to study planets around later. So this isn't a reference to low activity by the
star in terms of like solar flares, which, you know, I think is one of the things we will talk with Emily Gilbert about because that dwarf star around which TOI 700
D is revolving is a fairly quiet star. But that is another issue, right?
Right. These spotted stars, we think, correlate with stars with flares. So they're just generally
active all around. And these flares are something else. I mean, apparently Proxima Centauri,
our very nearest star to our Earth, to our solar system, which has a planet around it.
Apparently that flared that if you were looking at it at the right time from a truly dark sky,
you would have seen it brighten. Oh my, that's bad news.
Right. I don't know. We're really not sure. Maybe there's intelligent beings on planets orbiting
stars that flare and they're looking at our, and their version of the Drake equation says,
noisy star. Maybe they're thinking, no, there's no way those folks can get energy.
How do they recharge their power grid? We really don't know.
Yeah, we don't know what we don't know, in fact. With that in mind, you came on in 2017 because you were part of the
announcement of the discovery of those worlds around the star known as Trappist-1. Three years
later, are we much closer to finding a planet that has signs of possible life? Yes and no.
signs of possible life? Yes and no. That's the scientist's answer always.
We're no closer in terms of having data in our hands. I don't have a spectrum that I can analyze and give you a yes or no on that. We're still closer because more methods have developed,
more candidate biosyncter gases have been thought of. And the James Webb is closer to launch. So we're
definitely closer in that sense. But no, we don't have anything solid to report on at the moment.
I'm glad you mentioned the James Webb, the JWST, James Webb Space Telescope, of course.
The first time you came on the show, we met each other at Northrop Grumman,
right next to where that great infrared telescope was coming together.
But that was more than five years ago. It sounds like you're still very much looking forward to
this powerful new tool starting to do its work. Not just me, but our entire exoplanet communities
waiting, literally waiting and excitedly, expectantly wanting James Webb to be launched and be taking data.
You would not believe how many people are in this field right now, even as compared to 2017.
Now, sadly, we've got this little interruption of at least some infrared data because, I mean,
we were just talking about it last week on this show.
We've lost the Spitzer Space Telescope, that other infrared instrument
that has been doing such great work out there in space.
What does that mean for you and for the exoplanet community?
Spitzer was a workhorse for exoplanets.
I would wish we could look at the glass as half full in this case, because Spitzer was
supposed to stop operating, I want to say, five to 10 years ago.
It's incredible how the scientists and engineers were able to keep Spitzer was supposed to stop operating, I want to say, five to 10 years ago. It's incredible how
the scientists and engineers were able to keep Spitzer working. And it's been so great
recently, mostly for validating exoplanets by looking for them from space or by trying to
characterize them by their secondary eclipse or by what we call their thermal phase curves.
It's definitely sad to see Spitzer wrap up. All right. Well, like we said, if everything goes well and NASA is still hoping that this happens next year, 2021, we'll have the JWST out there.
spectra from these planets that might tell you, hey, look, there's some oxygen or some other sign that could be an indication of life? Well, yes and no. No, yes and no.
Once again. I will say that everyone, including myself, is working as hard as possible to make
sure that in the limited lifetime of the James Webb Space Telescope that we're able to get all
the data we need. It's a bit tricky because we don't have any Earth-like planets that the James Webb
can observe. It doesn't have the capability, nor do we have any, that we will be able to work with
and understand in detail. We're kind of going blind in a way because all these planets around
M-dwarf stars, they're very different from Earth. And we really, we're working hard to expect
the unexpected and to plan for what might be out there. So we're trying to make sure that as a
community, we cover all the right planets at the right wavelengths, and that we just have that
great data to work with. So we're hopeful that we'll find it. But you know, life has to be there.
We have to choose the right planets. Life has to be generating gases that accumulate in the atmosphere.
You know, the debate goes on as to what data telescopes may be able to return spectra that would actually say to us, yeah, this could be life as opposed to some non-biological process.
Do you see progress in that area as well? Yes, there's been a lot of progress, somewhat to the negative in a way, because oxygen is our
favorite biosignature gas. Here on Earth, our atmosphere is filled with oxygen to the 20%
by volume. But without life, without plants and photosynthetic bacteria, we'd have no oxygen.
And in the last few years, since we've talked, people have been working hard
to come up with false positive scenarios. What if you found oxygen and it wasn't related to life?
So people are working on scenarios with corroborating gases in the atmosphere.
And it's funny because someone comes up with a new scenario where oxygen could be a false positive.
And then a couple of years later, someone shoots that scenario down. So we're
making progress here. I think we'll be ready. But it's good science, right? I mean, you want
people to be shooting those down. We want people to be shooting those down. We want to know what
we need, what information we need. It's tough, though. I liken it to a forensic crime scene.
You're going to have clues, you're going to have evidence, but you've got to put the story together.
Wow. Yeah, it is a detective story, isn't it? Before we go, as I said, we're going to have clues. You're going to have evidence. But you've got to put the story together. Wow. Yeah, it is a detective story, isn't it?
Before we go, as I said, we're going to be talking to Emily Gilbert at the University of Chicago in just a moment or two.
And, of course, she is just a grad student.
And yet she was the lead author of one of these three papers that you are also a co-author of.
also a co-author of. Do you see this as something very positive that we're seeing grad students and sometimes even undergraduates popping up as people who are doing, making great
contributions to our knowledge in planetary science? Yes. TESS is a wonderful data set,
and there's so many planets, so many stars. It's just fantastic to see so many young
people like Emily Gilbert really jumping on the data. And it's great to see them be able to find
and work on such amazing new planets. Sarah, I sure look forward to that launch and first light
from the James Webb Space Telescope. And I don't think I will want to wait longer than that to have
another conversation with you. Maybe it'll happen before
that, but can I get you back on the show when that big thing unfolds, fingers crossed, out there in
space? Absolutely. Thank you, Sarah. Great to talk to you. Thanks, Matt. That's Sarah Seeger,
professor of planetary science and physics at MIT and a MacArthur Fellow, among her other honors. She is waiting for more data, which is arriving,
but we'll see far more of it when the James Webb Space Telescope begins to do its work.
We're far from finished with this week's show.
Just pausing for a minute to remind you that there's much more out there across the expanse for us to discover,
which is a not-too- too subtle way to tell you that
we are once again brought to you by Amazon Prime Video's The Expanse, Season 4. I just had a
listener ask me if she should start by reading the books or just dive into the TV series. I love the
books and highly recommend them, but the show is so very good and so true to the books where it
matters that I'm just fine
with anyone who wants to start with Amazon Prime Video, and I remain indebted to Jeff Bezos for
rescuing the show when it was dropped by SyFy. To review, season four finds the crew of the
Rassanate exploring worlds beyond the wormhole-like Ringate. Actually, one world in particular that offers riches to any settlers from Earth,
Mars, or the Belt who can reach it and survive.
That survival is made far less likely by the magnificent ruins
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Great characters, spectacular action and vistas,
and human nature at its best and worst.
That's The Expanse with episodes streaming now on Amazon Prime Video. spectacular action and vistas and human nature at its best and worst.
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We've learned about tests and related efforts from Sarah Seeger.
Let's go now to the University of Chicago to learn about just one newly discovered world.
Three papers about it were published just a month ago, and the first of these featured our
next guest as its lead author. Emily Gilbert is a graduate student working toward her PhD.
Emily, thanks very much for joining us on Planetary Radio, and congratulations on the
publication of this paper about this new world, which, who knows, may not be so different from
our own. Again, thanks for joining us.
Thanks so much. I'm so excited to be chatting with you.
Tell us a little bit about TOI-700D. I hope that someday it'll get a more romantic name than that,
but I guess that'll do for now. We just last week, in our tribute to the Spitzer Space Telescope,
We just last week, in our tribute to the Spitzer Space Telescope, we were talking about the Trappist-1 worlds.
Now, this one, your paper and the two others about it, only just were published at the beginning of January, toward the beginning of January.
There still aren't that many of these worlds that are in the so-called habitable or Goldilocks zones, are there?
No, I think we have somewhere around a dozen planets that are roughly Earth-sized and in the habitable zone. I guess this would be
the latest addition? Yes, as far as I know, this is the most recent one to come out. Can you tell
us about this world? Yes, so it's around an M-dwarf star. So an M-dwarf star is a smaller and cooler
and redder star than our own sun.
And so what that means is that it puts out less light. So in order to be the same temperature as
Earth, the habitable zone is much closer in. So this planet actually orbits its star once every
37 days. So it's a very close in orbit. One thing that we think is unusual about this planet is that
we expect that it's tidally locked. So what that means is that the same side of the planet always faces the star, like the moon does
with Earth. So you always see the same side of the moon from Earth. We think that the same side
of the planet always faces the host star, TOI 700. I want to come back to that fact, but you also have noted some interesting things about the star that TOI 700 d revolves around.
I guess it's not as active as a lot of other dwarfs in its class.
Yes. So M dwarf stars are known for being historically very, very active.
So you'd see things like stellar flares, so big increases in the amount of light that the star is emitting over time. This could be really, really harmful to a planet. But luckily, both for detecting the
planet and in terms of planet habitability, we don't see any flares in the entire 11-month test
light curve. Well, that's good news, especially considering how close it has to be to be in the
habitable zone. What else is happening in that system? I've read about at least
one other world. Yes. So the system has three planets total. So the naming convention for
exoplanets goes that the star is body A in the system. So there's TOI 700, the host star,
and then TOI 700b, which is a basically Earth radius size planet orbiting once every 10 days. And then there's
TOI 700 C, which orbits every 16 days and is closer in size to Neptune. And then TOI 700 D
is the third planet we know, the outermost planet, and that's the one that's in the habitable zone.
Have we ruled out the possibility of still more planets beyond 700 D? Or will that depend on more powerful instruments?
There's the possibility that there could be more planets in the system. TESS will observe this
system again for another year starting in July. So we're looking forward to more data there. We'll
see if there's anything else. And there's also the possibility that the system hosts planets
that don't transit. We are detecting the planets using the transit method.
So as a planet passes between us and the star,
it blocks some amount of light from the star
and you see a dip in the amount of light over time.
It's called a light curve.
If a planet is inclined relative to the system,
it might not transit from our point of view.
And so we wouldn't be able to detect it through this method.
We talked about this some last week
when we considered the TRAPPIST-1 worlds, which it was just a matter of luck, I guess, that all seven
of those planets are in the plane from our viewpoint where they cross in front of their
star. And so we know about these three now, right, at TOI 700? Yes, definitely very fortuitous for
the TRAPPIST system. It's a really, really cool system.
Let's talk about this first paper that you're the lead author of.
It's an amazing, it's almost a who's who of people working in this area.
Among your co-authors, people that have been on this show, Courtney Dressing, Lucianne
Walkowicz, Lisa Kaltenegger, Sarah Seeger.
It's quite a group that has been pulled together for this work that you led. Definitely. Also, I'm really excited all the people you named are women, which is really cool.
Yes, absolutely. And I noticed that for all three of the papers, that it looked like
the majority of people who worked on studying this planet were women. And that certainly seems
like it fits the trend we've seen in planetary science. Yeah, it really makes me happy.
It was a massive group effort in order to get all of the data and all of the information
that we needed.
So we did a whole bunch of ground-based follow-up to both characterize the host star, because
a lot of the planet parameters are dependent on the parameters from the star itself, and
then also to make sure that the transit signals were real. And so we
wanted to know that what we were seeing was planets and not something induced by the spacecraft or
something like a background eclipsing binary that could be masquerading as a planet signal.
How high is your confidence now that what you believe this planet to be is actually the case?
Well, that leads us into paper two,
which is the Spitzer confirmation. Using all the ground-based information, we were able to rule out
astrophysical false positives, and the Spitzer confirmation allowed us to rule out instrumental
false positives. So that helped us to confirm the planet. Say something about the array of
instruments that is available now. I mean, you've talked about the use of ground-based telescopes and Spitzer, of course, which sadly is now out of action as of a couple of weeks ago.
And TESS, which is still very much doing its work up there, carrying on the legacy of the Kepler spacecraft before it.
Do you feel fortunate to be living in this time when
we can do this work that simply wasn't possible not very many years ago?
Oh, definitely. The field of exoplanets is a very new, young field, at least relatively speaking,
in terms of the millennia of astronomy studies. And it's really, really incredible the things
that we can do nowadays. And how? Let's go back to 700D.
You said it's tidally locked.
The third paper that was presented, along with yours and the other one, sort of looked
at that and came up with some models.
Are you familiar with that work?
Yes.
So that work was done by Gabrielle Suisa and a whole bunch of her collaborators.
They were looking at different
climate states of TOI 700d. They picked a bunch of different compositions and pressures and just
modeled the planet under these conditions to try and see what would happen. There were two big
takeaways from the paper, some good news, one with some bad news. So I'll start with the bad news,
is that if the planet does have an atmosphere,
it will likely be very difficult for us to detect it with James Webb. So James Webb won't be the
one to characterize this planet for us. Too bad. I know. I was really sad when I saw it.
Now, before you go on to the good news, why is that? I mean, JWST will be so much more powerful than any infrared tool that we've had up there before.
What is it about the atmosphere of this world and maybe its relationship to its star that may keep us from characterizing it?
The strength of the signal is about the same level as the JWST noise floor.
So you'll end up just losing the signal in the noise.
JWST noise floor. So you'll end up just losing the signal in the noise. But I think this is actually true of a lot of M dwarf planets that James Webb is going to look at. And the problem here is that
the atmospheres are so small. Like if you look at pictures of Earth taken by astronauts on the
International Space Station, you can see the very thin blue line that is Earth's atmosphere.
And that's what we're trying to detect for planets
100 light years away. So it's a really, really precise measurement that's really hard to detect.
Well, I'm still going to keep my fingers crossed because as with so many of the other
space telescopes and ground-based telescopes that have seen first light in the last, oh,
I don't know, 30 years, they end up being capable of doing much
more than we might have expected. So out of ignorance, I'm not giving up hope. What's the
good news that you said you have? Yes, the atmosphere is extremely stable. So under a whole
bunch of conditions, the planet was able to maintain its atmosphere. This bodes well for
prospects of habitability, which is really good. Because it's tidally locked and one side always faces the star,
has very interesting atmospheric heat redistribution.
And what ends up happening, if the planet is to have an atmosphere like ours,
all the clouds converge on one side of the planet.
So if you take a look at some of the artist's interpretation of what the planet looks,
you'll see a giant cloud spot.
And it's very, very cool. We'll post links to some of those images and the press release,
which is how I learned about this great work by you and the other two groups.
About this world 700 C, the one that's closer in size to Neptune, you mentioned in your paper that while 700d may not be a great candidate for study by James Webb, maybe 700c is?
Yes. So you could probably observe the atmosphere with planet C.
So it's a much larger planet.
So we expect that similar to the gas giants in our outer solar system, it doesn't have a surface like Earth and then an atmosphere on top of it.
It's just a large ball of gas.
And therefore, it's much easier for us to probe the atmosphere.
I should note also that you are a co-author in the other two studies that were published
at the same time.
Yes.
So I worked very closely with both Joey Rodriguez, the lead author of the Spitzer paper, and
Gabriel Suiza, the lead author of the atmospheric modeling paper.
We all kind of joined forces to kind of divide, the lead author of the atmospheric modeling paper. We all kind of
joined forces to kind of divide and conquer on some of the different aspects of this work.
On top of that, we each had a whole host of co-authors helping us along the way.
Huge crowd, which is worth looking at as well. I want to note, because I like to do this,
that you're a grad student there at the University of Chicago.
This was not something that used to happen where a grad student was given the right to be listed as lead author on a paper of such significance.
That's another important development, isn't it?
Definitely. I am so, so grateful for this opportunity to have
led this paper. Definitely want to thank my small army of advisors, Tom, Josh, Alisa, Lucy, Anne,
who supported me through all of this, gave me this opportunity, and point out that Gabby,
the author of the third paper, is not even in grad school yet. So it's truly amazing the
opportunities we're giving to students now. And I think it denotes a
certain growth in generosity from more established faculty members who in the past, I'm not naming
names, but decades ago might have, you know, pushed your name down in the list if it had been there at
all. There's one more person that I want to bring up. I don't know if you've met Alton Spencer, but
my goodness, it's impressive enough to be talking to a grad student who's a lead author, but he's a high school student? Yeah,
I haven't met him personally, but we have a whole bunch of interns who come every year at Goddard.
I was actually an intern about five years ago. It's great that they let them just jump into
projects, do super cool research, and it's really exciting for them.
As I understand it, he went through the calculations and found a problem with them.
And because of that, suddenly this world looked much more promising.
Yeah. So he was working with Joey Rodriguez, the lead author of the second paper, and Andrew
Vandiver, who were working together. And it was actually someone on our team, Josh Sleeter,
who realized the same mistake. The star was put in with solar parameters. So that meant the star
was bigger and hotter, and therefore the planet was bigger and hotter. And then if you put in
the correct stellar parameters, you end up with an Earth-sized planet in the habitable zone.
So, I mean, just by accident, they considered it the characteristics of our star,
the sun, rather than TOI 700. I think it was just the default if there were no stellar parameters.
Ah, fascinating. Without including solar parameters by mistake.
Thank goodness that got caught. Yeah. It was actually included in
Courtney Dressing's M-Dwarf survey, and I think that's how Josh caught it.
He knew it should be an M-Dwarf based on this survey and then saw that it had solar parameters and knew that something was up.
This is another proof of the importance of community and many people looking at all sorts of things that are happening across the universe.
Thank goodness for all of this. I guess otherwise, we might not have seen these
three papers telling us about this possibly Earth-like world.
Yes, it was definitely a very, very good catch.
So where do you go from here? I mean, you already said that TESS is going to be going back to
staring at this section of space and this system. What about you? Is this exoplanet search and learning more about
them? Is this something you're going to be doing more of in your career? Yes. So I, for my PhD
thesis, I'm studying M-dwarf planet habitability in a very, very broad sense. So I'm also looking
at M-dwarf activity. While TESS is, by name, a planet-finding mission, it's also very good for studying stars.
So I'm using data to look at stellar flares and see how those trends vary across stellar types,
and also continuing with the planet searches.
And then ultimately, I'd like to combine these and see how these flares could affect planets and planet habitability.
Well, you've got plenty to study out there.
And I hope that this is just the first of what will be many conversations
over a long and equally successful career, Emily.
Congratulations again on this great work.
And thank you for taking the time to talk about it with us.
Thank you so much for having me.
That's Emily Gilbert.
She is, as you heard, a graduate student in the Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics
at the University of Chicago.
And she is the lead author of the first of these three papers about the TOI-700 system,
and in particular, TOI-700d, the one that is in the habitable zone, at least the one that we know about so far.
Planetary Radio.
Bruce Betts is the chief scientist of the Planetary Society, among other things.
You know, he runs the LightSail program as well.
I did have a listener say, hey, we haven't heard about LightSail in a while.
You want to give us a little thumbnail update?
It burst into flames and rose from the ashes.
No, I'm sorry.
No, that was Phoenix.
That's a Phoenix.
I get LightSail 2 confused with mythological characters.
A little delusional that way.
LightSail 2 is doing well.
It's still orbiting.
You can check it out at sail.planetary.org. You can follow
links to the Mission Control page to see the orbit and how it's varying.
We had a nice blog very few weeks ago by Jason
Davis explaining, tied to a
technical paper that was led by a Purdue grad student
Justin Mansell, that really,
we're really getting to where we understand this new thing, which is flying a solar sail
in Earth orbit and what the different factors are that go into it. And we're learning from it. And
I'm super happy because various things have worked out and gotten resolved in glitch land
so that we're getting a lot more pictures.
And they're gorgeous. They're beautiful.
Those will be getting released in the coming days and weeks,
and you'll be able to check them out.
But it's cool.
So we're learning stuff about solar sailing,
and we're getting pretty pictures.
And what more could you ask for?
Not much. This is great. It's nice to hear that we're learning stuff that who knows may be useful to other
people. Yeah, well, that's the goal. We're trying to make sure we put all that information out there.
We're connected with the NASA NEA Scout solar sail mission launching in a year or two.
We're trying to learn as much as we can before our spacecraft actually
meets its fiery end as atmospheric drag pulls it back into the atmosphere, but that's at least
months away. Thank you for that. Excellent update. What's up? I mean, I always talk planets,
but we've got all five naked eye visible planets, not counting Uranus, which is challenging to see, but technically is up as well.
Anyway, they're all up right now in the evening west.
You've got super bright Venus dominating the west.
Can't miss it.
For a few days, week or two, you might catch Mercury if you can get a clear view to the western horizon looking below it.
The morning, as I keep advertising, is just becoming a planet party. So if you look in
the east, going from highest to lowest, Mars is in the upper right looking reddish. Brighter Jupiter
is below it to the lower left. Saturn is still pretty low, but you can catch it if you've got
a horizon view looking yellowish. And the moon, we'll be visiting each of them in the coming few days. So on the 18th,
it'll be hanging out very close to Mars. On the 19th, close to Jupiter. On the 20th, close to
Saturn. So pre-dawn person, check out the east on the 18th, 19th, and 20th. You'll see some pretty
views. We'll move on to this week in space history. And it was an eclectic week. All sorts of different stuff.
Going all the way back to 1930, Pluto was discovered. Rapidly coming forward to 1990,
Voyager 1 spacecraft took the pale blue dot image, the solar system portrait.
And 10 years later, Shoemaker-Near, near Shoemaker spacecraft,
started orbiting the asteroid Eros. And one year later, an orbiter landed successfully on an
asteroid, which I still think is an amazing feat. And 2013, let us not forget, asteroids hit the Earth. Chelyabinsk had an asteroid, 18-meter asteroid, hit and
disrupt in the sky and injure over a thousand people. So a little reminder, planetary defense
is important. Go to planetary.org slash defense to learn more. Something that we're very interested
in at the Planetary Society, helping to preserve our world.
Boy, not just a lot up in the sky, but a lot to look back on as well.
Quite a week.
Speaking of looking, okay, really not speaking of anything, we move on to random space fact.
I don't know how to describe that.
That was the goal. So NASA astronaut Christina Koch just returned from space, from the International Space Station,
where she set the record for the longest single spaceflight by woman at 328 days.
That places her seventh overall for longest single spaceflight and second for Americans behind Scott Kelly.
The other five ahead of her were Soviet
or Russian, depending on the time frame. You know, I'd been wondering about that. I knew about Scott
Kelly, but I was pretty sure it was some of those Soviet slash Russian folks who were still leading
the pack. They are indeed. In fact, top couple were actually setting their records on board Mir
rather than International Space Station.
Interesting. Wow. We move on to the trivia contest. I asked you, of the planets and dwarf planets in
our solar system, which has the shortest day, to be more specific, solar day? How'd we do, Matt?
You folks out there, you made this one difficult because there were so many clever
comments about this question. And so many of you who said you were entering for the first time.
Some of them had just discovered the show. So welcome, first of all, to all of you. I wish we
had time to read all the clever stuff, but let's start with the winner. And that was Ryan Sexton in Preston, Minnesota. Or am I
getting ahead of myself? He believes it's Haumea that has the shortest day, about 3.9 Earth hours.
That is correct. It's a spinny little bugger. That's the technical term for it.
Well, Ryan, congrats. He also says, first time trivia player and just recently discovered your podcast.
And best of all, joined the Planetary Society.
Thanks for all you do.
Thank you, Ryan.
We're going to send Ryan a copy of Keith Cooper's new book, The Contact Paradox,
challenging our assumptions in the search for extraterrestrial intelligence, along with a Planetary Radio t-shirt from the Planetary Society store at chopshopstore.com.
John Burley takes 283 years for Haumea to orbit our star.
He says, I guess that means a year on Haumea has 635,661.5 days.
Wow, that's a lot.
We had a lot of riffs on that. Robert Cohen in Massachusetts, he said that the minus 402 degree
Fahrenheit doesn't sound like fun, but I like the idea of a 78 minute workday.
sound like fun, but I like the idea of a 78-minute workday. He said, even on Haumea's equivalent to Monday, you're only 19 and a half hours from the weekend. Elliot Popel in California, he looked at
it differently. He said, I should get a promotion. I usually stay at work for two whole Haumea days at a time before going home. Wow, that's dedication.
Wait a second. Not really, not so much. Ola Franzen, one of our Swedish listeners,
it's amazing how physics can work so differently, turning a dwarf planet into an ellipsoid from
spinning so fast, while at the same time also turning my midsection into an ellipsoid
from lying still in bed with a broken leg.
Physics, it's amazing.
We're laughing with you, Ola, not at you.
I promise.
I love this one.
Darren Ritchie will close us out.
He's from Washington, the state, not the capital.
He's from Washington, the state, not the capital.
Honorable mention to Washington, D.C., whose rate of spin is so fast as to be unmeasurable.
However, it does not meet the IAU's definition of a dwarf planet having failed to achieve equilibrium of any sort.
Well done, Darren.
All right.
Question out of human spaceflight.
Who performed the longest solo spaceflight?
That's it.
Go to planetary.org slash radio contest.
Clearly, we're looking back toward the beginning of human spaceflight for this one.
You have... Stop giving them clues.
You have until the 19th.
That'd be February 19 at 8 a.m. Pacific time to answer this one.
And if you are lucky enough to win, we haven't given one away in ages.
How about a Planetary Society rubber asteroid?
And I know, and a Planetary Radio t-shirt from chopshopstore.com.
All right, everybody, go out there, look up the night sky and think about if you had a really
tall cherry picker, you know, one of those devices that lifts you up high,
what fun thing would you do with it? Go to planets. Thank you. Sorry, I got myself all excited with the thoughts.
I hesitate to speculate. Are you looking out your window at the construction project across the street?
No. I'm supposed to sound so random, but yes, there's a giant cherry picker. They're like lifting the guy up to the third floor of a building. It's very exciting.
So I'm sorry.
It wasn't random.
But it was a legitimate thought.
I would just like to be that much closer to everything that's what's up above our heads.
But it's Bruce, the chief scientist of the Planetary Society, who gets a little bit closer each week as he joins us for
What's Up. Planetary Radio is produced by the Planetary Society in Pasadena, California,
and is made possible by its worldly members. You can become a hero of the solar system by
joining them at planetary.org slash membership. Mark Hilverde is our associate producer. Josh
Doyle composed our theme,
which is arranged and performed by Peter Schlosser. Please leave us a rating or review in iTunes or elsewhere. Ad Astra, everybody.