Planetary Radio: Space Exploration, Astronomy and Science - DART smacked an asteroid! So what’s next in planetary defense?
Episode Date: November 2, 2022The success of the Double Asteroid Redirection Test was just one more step toward protecting our world from wayward asteroids and comets. NASA Planetary Defense Officer Lindley Johnson, and Kelly Fast..., the agency’s near-Earth object observation program manager, return to our show for a discussion of where we go from here. Sarah Al-Ahmed will tell us about an article that locates the water on and under Mars, while Bruce Betts gets us ready to enjoy the upcoming total lunar eclipse. There’s more to discover at https://www.planetary.org/planetary-radio/2022-johnson-and-fast-pdcoSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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DART smacked that asteroid. Now what? We'll find out this week on Planetary Radio.
Welcome. I'm Matt Kaplan of the Planetary Society with more of the human adventure across our solar system and beyond.
DART, the Double Asteroid Redirection Test, was a brilliant success.
DART, the Double Asteroid Redirection Test, was a brilliant success.
No one is happier about this than Lindley Johnson and Kelly Fast of NASA's Planetary Defense Coordination Office.
But Lindley and Kelly will tell us that we're not yet where we need to be to avoid a catastrophic impact on our world.
My conversation with them is minutes away.
We're even closer to checking in with Sarah Alamed. The next host of this show will drop by to share an article by our
colleague Jason Davis about the water on Mars. Want to work for the Planetary Society? Sarah
will also tell you about a couple of job searches underway. Bruce Betts will tell us when and where
to enjoy the total lunar eclipse, that is,
days away as this episode becomes available. The interstellar dust does not spell out
Surrender Dorothy, but the green cloud otherwise looks like it could be the work of a wicked witch,
and that's why it tops the Halloween edition of our free weekly newsletter, The Downlink.
And that's why it tops the Halloween edition of our free weekly newsletter, The Downlink.
Down below is the Hubble Space Telescope's image of asteroid Dimorphos with dual trailing tails.
You'll hear it mentioned in my conversation with Lindley Johnson and Kelly Fast. Think it's hot outside? Probably not as hot as an exoplanet dubbed GJ1252b.
is an exoplanet dubbed GJ1252b. How hot? Gold and silver would melt into pools on its surface.
That's based on data from the Spitzer Space Telescope. As always, there's much more in store at planetary.org slash downlink. Sarah Alamed has another couple of months as our
digital community manager. Sarah, welcome back.
Of course, it's our intent that you be heard regularly on these programs, leading up to
when you take over with the first Planetary Radio episode of 2023.
You must be excited.
Looking forward to that.
Oh, I am.
And it's so exciting to begin my training on this job already.
I've had such a great time.
I hope that continues.
I hope you're able to say
that you enjoyed this transition period
once you reach January 4th.
In the meantime,
we've got other stuff to talk about,
starting with an article
by our terrific colleague, Jason Davis.
What a great writer.
On October 25,
he posted this piece called
Your Guide to Water on Mars,
which is as good a brief guide to where we're going to find H2O on the red planet as anything that I have read.
People want to hope that there used to be life on Mars in the past.
We know that this planet used to have oceans of liquid water, but something changed at some point.
have oceans of liquid water, but something changed at some point. So getting an overview of what was the situation in the past, what is it like now, and how we can use that water going forward with
our science exploration is very useful. But it's just not the planet it used to be. And that's a
little sad for me. How do you feel about that, Matt? That like Mars used to be a place covered in water and
now it's just a dusty rock. I love those animations that simulate what Mars may have
looked like billions and billions of years ago. They're generally done with careful scientific
accuracy, so they don't show stuff growing all over the place. They just show all that water.
Maybe someday we'll terraform it.
But in the meantime, as Jason has written about, there's still quite a bit of water hiding away
up there. There is. And it's really useful to know how we can get at that for a few reasons.
We want to find life or maybe where life used to exist on Mars. So water as we know it for life is
useful, but we can also use that water for things like creating fuel, or if we're going to send humans there, create human habitats, we might want that water for them to drink, to create plants, or maybe if we're going to get really fancy with it, we can use that water and some Martian dirt to 3D print some habitats or something.
That would be really exciting.
Most of the water on Mars is locked up in water ice caps
at the poles. Trying to get at that water at the poles is a little difficult because it's easier
for us to send space missions to Mars somewhere near the equator. We need that cushion of
atmosphere to really kind of slow down our spacecraft when they're incoming. So we try to
head around that area. Finding water in other places outside of those poles is also very useful.
Rofers on the surface have been looking at hydrated minerals that were formed on Mars in
water. And if we can crunch those up, we can get to water there as well. But an easier way to
actually get at the water on Mars is probably in ice under the surface. The surface is covered in this dusty layer. But when the Phoenix lander
was on Mars back in 2008, it actually just a little bit under the surface found water ice
sitting there waiting to be harvested. And after it was uncovered, of course, that water sublimed,
it disappeared over time. But knowing that there is water right under the surface in a frozen form could be very
useful to us.
I am looking at those wonderful images.
I remember when they were grabbed.
It wasn't that long ago by Phoenix.
Just a few inches or centimeters underneath the surface.
And there is this white stuff, which sure enough is water.
Very exciting stuff.
which sure enough is water. Very exciting stuff. Jason also, he goes into even more of how we might harvest this water at some point. Seems like a lot of trouble though to start crunching hydrated
minerals when you may just have to dig down a little bit. Hey, I got an idea. We could build
canals. Right back to the canali of old days. Yeah, build canals, harvest out all the water in there,
create our own little water ecosystem on Mars. It'd be wonderful. Some spacecraft have been
looking at different water deposits, both in icy form and potentially in lake form.
Don't get too uber excited about this, but we do have some evidence. Mars Express back in 2018 flew over the southern cap, the polar
ice cap, and found evidence that there might be an actual liquid water lake under that ice cap.
And of course, we've done more observations since then going back over it. And some people have
suggested that maybe it's not liquid water, maybe it's frozen carbon dioxide with some minerals mixed
in there. But even just that suggestion is really exciting. And looking at those locations from
above, the topography over those supposed lakes looks very similar to the stuff over frozen
underground lakes we see here on Earth. So that's really exciting too. But until we do more science, until we go back and
try our hand at harvesting this water, who knows how it's going to go.
Which of course, all of us at the Planetary Society hope that this exploration of the red
planet continues apace. There is one other thing I know you want to mention before we let you go,
Sarah, and that is a couple of opportunities that we have at the Planetary Society,
both of them related to what you've been doing
and what you will be doing.
Oh yeah.
I've been at the digital community manager
at the Planetary Society for two years,
which means I've been managing our social media audiences
and in the background,
working on this digital community app project.
But now that I'm moving on to Planetary Radio, we need someone to step into my old role. So something that we're trying to fill
right now is a six-month temporary position for our new digital community manager. So if you feel
like you want to interact with our Planetary Society audiences and really get involved in
our social media and maybe this app, that would be the job that you want to apply for. Another
thing that's really going to help us out as we make this transition is we're
looking for a freelance audio editor to come in and help me put the show together.
But this person will also help us put together our monthly space policy edition with our
chief advocate and senior space policy advisor, Casey Dreyer.
We're really hoping that we can bring someone on quickly.
So if either of these jobs are exciting for you,
please go to our website.
You can find these job postings at planetary.org slash careers.
It's a great organization.
I can tell you from many years of personal experience,
it's a great place to work with terrific colleagues
like the one we've been talking to.
Sarah, I look forward to continuing these conversations
and then listening to you as you host Planetary Radio the one we've been talking to. Sarah, I look forward to continuing these conversations and
then listening to you as you host Planetary Radio and participating in that digital community,
which will be premiering sometime early next year. Thanks very much.
Thanks so much, Matt.
Remember that you can leave a message welcoming Sarah and or saying goodbye to me using our new toll-free number, 844-PLANRAD. Thank you once
again to all of you who have already emailed me so many wonderful messages at planetaryradio
at planetary.org. A quick break now and then an uninterrupted conversation with Lindley Johnson
and Kelly Fast about saving the world.
Hello, I'm George Takei, and as you know, I'm very proud of my association with Star Trek.
Star Trek was a show that looked to the future with optimism, boldly going where no one had gone before. I want you to know about a very special organization called the Planetary Society.
They are working to make the future that Star Trek represents a reality.
When you become a member of the Planetary Society,
you join their mission to increase discoveries in our solar system,
to elevate the search for light outside our planet,
our solar system to elevate the search for light outside our planet and decrease the risk of Earth being hit by an asteroid. Co-founded by Carl Sagan and led today by CEO Bill Nye, the Planetary
Society exists for those who believe in space exploration to take action together. So join the Planetary Society and boldly go together to build
our future. Lindley Johnson and Kelly Fast have been my guests many times. Lindley is NASA's
Planetary Defense Officer and the lead program executive for the Planetary Defense Coordination
Office, created by the agency nearly seven years ago. His colleague,
Kelly, manages the Near-Earth Object Observations Program that is also part of the PDCO.
The success of DART led me to inviting them back for a discussion that puts this test in the much
broader context of an international effort to save our planet from the space rock that will
someday threaten to do to us what one did to the dinosaurs 66 million years ago.
Lindley and Kelly, welcome back to Planetary Radio. You know, we've been following the DART
mission very closely. I was able to congratulate Nancy Schaubo, the coordination lead for the mission, and the
entire team just hours after the impact. And we ran a lot of that live coverage on the show that
just came a couple of days later. But this is my first opportunity to congratulate the two of you
and the Planetary Defense Coordination Office, because you have received great credit,
your office, from that team, from all of the people that we have been talking to about
planetary defense.
So thank you for this leadership, which, who knows, may someday just save the world.
Thanks a lot, Matt.
And as I always like to say, planetary defense is a team sport.
It takes expertise, guidance and contributions from a wide range of folks for the DART mission.
As you're aware, that's not only a U.S. team, but an international team that has worked on that project and continues to finish it up now with the international observations
that are going on. And I'm going to come back to that international angle across all of planetary
defense. How about those images? And I'm not just talking about the DART images before impact,
but all the other beautiful ones, including from, speaking of international, in Le Chia Cube.
Well, all of them, The whole experience was amazing.
I must say that even as we were watching the DART images come in, the views of Didymos and Dimorphos before the impact,
we couldn't help but sit there analyzing what we were seeing, comparing to what we knew prior to that, getting to see those details. I mean, there was the planetary defense aspect,
but certainly just the fact to be able to get to know
some other small bodies in the solar system,
looking at Dimorphos, the rubble on the surface,
wondering what type of impact there might be.
Would there be a plume?
And looking at that, it was like, oh my goodness,
there's going to be a plume.
And then, as you said, those images afterwards from the Chia Cube, from the ground-based telescopes,
like from the Atlas telescope that we fund, just those beautiful plume images,
incredible data for planetary defense, but just so exciting, you know, just from a science and
a public perspective to get to experience this. We have that Hubble captured image with those
double tails. My gosh, did we create a comet? That's really going too far, isn't it?
I was an attendee for the Division for Planetary Sciences meeting remotely, and I remember one
presenter mentioning active asteroids and then saying, by the way, we just created another active asteroid.
Lindley, during the live coverage, I don't know if you know it, but I saw you in the background in some of the shots there at APL, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab.
Not surprising to see you there.
That's where I like to be in the background.
Kelly, where were you on that amazing day?
Oh, boy, I had a small part in the Impact broadcast answering a few questions.
And then when that was done, I rushed over to the guest event and watched with everybody else on some of the screens that were there at APL.
And so I was just enjoying with them.
But then Lindley was there in the Mission Operations Center watching firsthand.
I wish I had been there, you know, along with our boss, the science guy.
It looked like quite a party for planetary defense.
I saw Bill there.
He was having a good time.
Oh, yeah.
He knows how to have fun.
Bill there, he was having a good time.
Oh, yeah.
He knows how to have fun. In my newsletter, I said that we now know that we have the ability to avoid the fate of the dinosaurs.
Lindley, is that a premature statement, or are we now close to that?
Well, maybe a bit premature.
Maybe a bit premature, but we have successfully demonstrated that a technique like a kinetic impactor can have an effect on the velocity of an asteroid, change its speed, and therefore will be able to change its orbit. I think there's some yet to understand about everything we'd like to about that interaction.
yet to understand about everything we'd like to about that interaction.
You know, we were pretty confident that this was going to happen. But until you actually do something like this, you never know how exactly it's going to turn
out.
And I think there are a few things in addition that we will learn about this with closer
examination of all the data that the investigation
team is getting now, anxiously await their report out of how successful they think they were and
what things maybe they didn't expect. I was actually surprised by how quickly we were told
after the fact that, sure enough, DART had done what we had hoped, not just impacting, but deflecting the course of this little moonlit asteroid.
Was that something that you folks expected to hear so soon and that it would be such a dramatic change?
Well, I know that the team had calculated kind of a wide range of period changes that would be possible, you know, all based on physics.
So it was all reasonable, but it ended up being towards the higher end, which was great.
And so that allowed them, you know, with confidence to come forward earlier to brief NASA headquarters so that everybody, you know, felt comfortable with this and to go ahead and come out with these results based on the light curve data
and also based on radar, having different techniques confirming each other.
And so it wasn't outside of the realm of possibility,
but it was nice to be able to come out and say something even sooner than conservatively planned.
come out and say something even sooner than conservatively planned.
Yeah. Part of the reason for that is that the after impact observations were better,
more successful in being able to collect the data than we thought they might be after the impact. So we thought it might be a week or so before there was enough clearing of the ejecta and such that reliable optical observations could be taken.
But that turned out not to be true.
Some of the southern hemisphere observatories were able to get pretty clean light curve data in that first week.
Then the other major contribution there was the radar, Goldstone
radar. We didn't actually know how successful that was going to be. First of all, whether the
radar would even be available that quickly for various reasons, maintenance being one of them.
That 70-meter dish is getting pretty old. Also, it's scheduling because that
radio antenna gets used for all of our interplanetary communications. So scheduling
that asset is a real challenge sometimes. It turned out to be available, get good clean data,
not only just to be able to detect the two objects,
but also have enough signal noise that they could actually do some imaging. That data coming in
pretty quickly, within a few days, also led to the confidence that we could announce a lot earlier
than we had anticipated. You know, I didn't think of this until now,
but had it still been available to us,
would the late lamented Arecibo radio telescope,
that most powerful radar instrument,
would it also probably have been put to use?
Oh, certainly.
Some of the better radar imaging work was actually done bistatically,
as we would have probably used Arecibo.
But in this case, the Green Bank 100 meter was used.
When you say bistatically, do you mean that there were two radio telescopes involved?
Yeah. Goldstone transmits and Green Bank receives.
Oh, I see.
That's how the bistatic works.
I won't go into the great detail about how that all works.
Don't want to absorb too much of your program here.
Yeah, be lost on me anyway, I think. But that is fascinating. I didn't know that that takes place.
largely ground-based facilities so quickly.
Doesn't this also say something about how much more sophisticated we have become in observing objects like this?
Well, yes.
I mean, as you know, there's such a large population of small bodies out there,
and that's why we have planetary defense at NASA and trying to track them to know if any pose an impact threat and also fantastic science targets.
But as we learn each time, you know, we keep learning, there's more to learn. And they're
all individual, they're part of populations and families, but they have their personalities. And
so having these close up observations are really helpful for better understanding our remote
observations, like light curves, like radar, like spectroscopy,
all the things that we can do from the ground, because we can't send spacecraft to all of them.
But to be able to have spacecraft at some to understand their properties and to tie that into
what we're able to do from the ground and to better understand the ground-based data,
that will really help us to better characterize the larger population of asteroids out there,
which is especially important for planetary defense
and understanding what could potentially happen
in the event of an impact.
You also remind me of all that stuff
that's coming back from Bennu very soon now
and all those scientists who can't wait
to get their hands on that material
collected by OSIRIS-REx.
Lindley, speaking of needing more data, we have this one data point now from an impact, unless you go back to deep impact a lot of years ago, which really wasn't sent to do this.
great to have data from maybe five or 10 more DART-type missions impacting different kinds of asteroids to really teach us what we need to know? Well, sure. You know, if you had unlimited
resources or any number of things that you'd like to do. You know, yeah, this is one data point, so to speak, but I think it's a pretty
rich data point. And I think there will be kinetic impact tests done in the future. I think there are
a few other priorities that we have in planetary defense first, though. And of course, the first
one is we need to improve our capabilities for finding these objects and knowing where they are and where they're going.
So the next highest priority planetary defense mission is the NEO Surveyor, getting that capability on its way to the launch pad and into operation so that we have time to find these things well ahead of time.
time to find these things well ahead of time. Every year that a capability like that slips is one less year that we might have if there were an asteroid on its way to Earth. So
that is our highest priority thing. Also, as Kelly was saying, our ability to observe these things
and learn about their character from the ground is improving more and
more. Every time we do these kinds of things, it's very much an iterative process, but there's still
nothing as good as actually getting a spacecraft out there to look at it and do a more up-close
examination so that we know what we're dealing with. So as the planetary science decadal says, another priority is a rapid reconnaissance capability.
If we do find a asteroid on its way to Earth, we don't have a lot of time.
We're still talking several years, but perhaps not decades.
Being able to get out there fairly quickly to get a look at it prior to deciding what is going to be the best
technique that could be used against it to change its trajectory. And so that also gets into
some other things that we want to try to do, and that is kinetic impactor, you know, may be one
tool that we will not have in our toolbox if we're ever faced with such a threat. We'd like
to have two or three tools because in our studies of this, it all really depends on the scenario,
what might be the best way to interact with the asteroid and change its orbit. So testing some
other techniques, I think, would be higher on our agenda than doing another kinetic impact test.
I think we will eventually get back to that as we sustain our planetary defense efforts.
But we should test some other techniques like a gravity tractor or an ion beam deflection.
There are some other ideas out there as well that we should take a look at. Our boss, the science guy, once again, he still likes to talk about those laser bees
that the Planetary Society helped develop
at the very early developmental stage.
You know, a swarm of spacecraft out there
shooting not ions, but photons at asteroids to divert them.
Just last week on the show, I had Melissa Brucker,
principal investigator for SpaceWatch, Eric Christensen, same job for the Catalina Sky Survey.
They both told me how much they are looking forward to the launch of that spacecraft you just mentioned, NEO Surveyor, the mission led by their University of Arizona colleague, good friend of this show, Amy Meinzer.
As you know, Planetary Society is a big proponent of this project and so excited to see it moving forward.
Unfortunately, I didn't get to visit Amy while I was at the University of Arizona.
Timing was wrong.
She was at JPL for a major mission development review.
So I didn't get to see the camera that's coming out of her lab. At the risk of boring some listeners who've heard this
many times before, would the two of you talk about why it's so important we get this infrared
telescope out there in space? Well, I'll lead off and kick to Lindley that, as you said, you spoke
to Melissa and Eric and about the efforts to find and follow up asteroid discoveries and our ground-based efforts. They're
doing a fantastic job and they're racking up discoveries every year and they're doing their
best to really optimize how they're doing it to be most effective and to do it as quickly as
possible, but they still have limitations and have to wait for the asteroids to kind of come
close enough to be discovered. So really everybody, you know, the community over the years keeps looking at, you know,
how do we speed this up?
And the planetary decadal and previous decadal, or rather, academy studies and other reports
kept pointing to the need for a space-based infrared telescope.
And so to actually see this coming together is really encouraging because that would be the way to really accelerate efforts to find near-Earth asteroids to better understand
their sizes and to maybe see the populations that are harder to see from the ground. And so
to have NEO Surveyor in concert with the ground-based telescopes, that's going to be
really powerful. And as Lindley noted earlier,
the longer we wait, the more of a chance there might be something out there that we're going to lose the lead time on. And so it's so important to keep moving forward with this.
There is no quicker way to get a full handle on the population of hazardous objects that are out
there than a space-based IR telescope specifically designed to do this job.
There have been several studies over the last decade that confirm that.
Also, the most recent planetary decadal survey reinforces that point as well.
NEO Surveyor is designed from the ground up to do this job and do it relatively quickly, even though it will still take about 10 years for all of the objects
that could represent a hazard to the Earth to come within viewing range
because, you know, these orbits wander all over the solar system, so to speak.
You know, their orbital paths are defined, but they are all over the
solar system, at least between here and Jupiter. So it takes a number of years for them to come in
close enough into Earth's vicinity for us to pick them all up.
Do we still think that there are about 25,000 of the biggest of these space rocks, you know, the ones that NASA was directed to find 140 meters
or what is that, 460 feet or so in size,
the ones that could really ruin the day of pretty much everybody on Earth.
That is our current estimate of the population.
Now we study that every few years.
And in fact, we have a study going on right now to update that estimate.
In the next year, we'll probably have results of that study, announce the results of that study,
and we'll see what the latest data shows us is that remaining population.
I am sure we will be covering that when it happens on Planetary Radio,
and even though you may be talking to somebody else by that time, how would you characterize our success at this effort? I mean,
really one of the most rewarding things for me to have watched over the 20 years or so that I've
been doing this show is the growth of both public and institutional awareness of near-Earth objects, the threat
that they present, and the advances they make.
Really, the advances we have made in detecting them, in tracking them, in characterizing
them, and now in deflecting them as well.
But it really seemed to kick into high gear with the creation of the Planetary Defense
Coordination Office.
And I note that that was only going on seven years ago.
I guess PDCO is coming up on an anniversary.
Yeah, we have our seventh anniversary here in January.
Not that a lot of work didn't precede that.
You know, any mission of this sort, well, it takes a lot of things, but it takes at least two things.
And that is having the assets that have the capability to do the job.
And it takes the will to do the job.
It takes people that understand the problem and be willing to step up and do something about it. It took us a while to, first of all, understand that there still is a hazard there
and to collect enough information, data about it,
to understand the level of the potential hazard.
And that was all well and good for the astronomers and the scientists
to maybe understand that, but it takes more than that
to have a viable
space program. Communicating that information in an understandable way to those that need to
make those kinds of decisions takes some time as well. And sometimes you have to craft a message
two or three different ways before it penetrates through all the other things,
all the other priorities that you're competing with in a way.
But working as at NASA for 20 years, and I worked at the Air Force for 10 years before that, and
that seems like a long time, but iteratively, more and more every year, more and more people
began to understand what we're dealing with there, and more and more support behind it.
dealing with there and more and more support behind it. NASA getting serious about it mid part of the last decade and that led to the establishment of the Planetary Defense Coordination Office
and more understanding and then support to our budget is what all has allowed us to get to the
point we are. Not that we don't have a little further to go. So we continue to beat that drum
and get us where we need to be with launch of the EOS Surveyor and a planetary defense program that
is at a sustainable level out into the future, because this is a legacy project. This is
something that we Earthlings, in guiding our spaceship earth through the solar system need to pay attention to is the debris that might lie in our way.
It's a dangerous place that we live and we are preparing to deal with those dangers at least.
I'm very proud that my organization, Planetary Society, I think we've played a little bit of a role in helping people be aware. Kelly, I think it also,
with apologies to the thousands of people who suffered in a real way from it, it probably
doesn't hurt this effort to have something like a Chelyabinsk every 10 or 20 years.
Well, yeah, sadly, that was sort of a wake-up call that impacts still happen in the solar system.
The Shoemaker-Levy 9 impacts with Jupiter in 1994 was a wake-up call.
And Chelyabinsk, unfortunately, was a wake-up call that was far too close to home.
But it helped remind people, and maybe it was one of those events that helped to push efforts along.
But as Lindley noted, kind of quietly noted noted that he's been working this for the past 20
years and even 10 years before that when he was at the Air Force.
And I've only been in this the past decade, but it's kind of those quiet efforts of just
and persistent efforts of over decades to try to keep running the ball down the field
and working with the rest of the community that's been working this so hard.
And then also, like you said, the communication. I mean, Matt, you're 20 years doing this with Planetary Radio and circling back to this topic over the years. That and just all
the other events happening at NASA really helped, I think, to get the message out there to the point
where most recently with the DART impact, a lot of the reporting was very, very well informed and not as sensational as maybe it has been in earlier years.
The message is getting out there in a realistic way. We just went through a pandemic. There's
other situations that are higher likelihood that we have to deal with, but this is still something
we don't want to forget about. As Chelyabinsk showed, you know, it can happen that we can have an asteroid impact. We might not have
anything like that again in our lifetimes, but we need to know. And if we have that,
the capability, we've got the technological know-how, then it's time to, it's time to get
to that point. And that's what Lindley and others in the community have been working so hard for,
for so many years. We now have the knowledge and the technology to prevent this from ever
being a major natural disaster. I think it is prudent to take those steps to make sure that
asteroid impact isn't one of the natural disasters we need to fall victims to.
Kelly, I want to come back to you for a moment because I didn't let you respond. When I talked about the advances that we have made and how much better prepared we are now
to find these objects and do all the other stuff we need to learn about them.
And, you know, I mentioned Space Watch, Catalina Sky Survey, both of those principal investigators
gave lots of credit to the PDCO and NASA for making it possible to do the work that
they do. But that just, I mean, there are so many resources that NASA is in support of, these sky
surveys, and so much of the other stuff that we've already talked about on the show. Is there anything
else that you want to call out? I mean, I think of like the Minor Planet Center or CNEOS, that center run not far from the Planetary Society at JPL.
Right. The Near Earth Object Observations Program, it handles the funding of all the non-flight
activities in the Planetary Defense Coordination Office, which are the surveys, the telescopes
looking every night to find the asteroids and all the follow-ups, like when you spoke to Catalina and to SpaceWatch.
As you said, there are other activities that are really, really important because it doesn't help
to observe an asteroid if you don't know something about where it's going to be in the future.
And so the program does fund the Minor Planet Center, which is the
International Astronomical Union recognized repository for small body measurements,
position measurements from all over the world of all small bodies, not just near asteroids,
but that's funded by the program. And then the Center for Near-Earth Object Studies,
they take those data that are submitted to the Minor Planet Center,
and they look at the orbits of these objects
way out into the future to try to determine
if any pose an impact threat
and to really do that precision orbit determination.
We had a kind of a little exercise case earlier this year
when an asteroid that ended up being designated 2022 EB5
ended up being discovered in space and then impacting Earth,
and their prediction was spot on.
And so it was a nice little exercise with an asteroid
that only would have made a pretty fireball,
but helps us to know we're ready for the future.
We have the Asteroid Threat Assessment Project out at NASA Ames,
which does the impact modeling of
what happens to an asteroid as it passes through Earth's atmosphere and what would the impact
effects be with what survives to the ground. And all of that was very valuable for this
large interagency exercise that was held earlier this year with other U.S. agencies looking at the roles in the
National Near-Earth Objects Strategy and Action Plan. Plus, we also have efforts that characterize
asteroids that do spectroscopy to look at their physical properties, which feeds into what the
impact effects might be of an object. So all of those things really tie in closely together to
give that all of the data needed should we ever find
ourselves in an impact threat situation to be able to pull all of that together. And so a lot of
really important research just going on day to day through the program and coordinating strongly
with our interagency and international collaborators around the world, the International Asteroid Warning Network.
As Lindley said, this is planetary defense.
It's a team sport.
And so it's really important to grow the activities at NASA to the appropriate level
so that we do what Congress tasked us with and what Decatur is pointing to,
but also to collaborate and to assist with activities around the world since it
is such an important team sport.
It's not an accident that the word coordination is in our office name, Planetary Defense
Coordination Office.
There's a lot of work to coordinate all the efforts that go into this.
You could think of the PDCO as being the coach for Planetary Defense.
Planetary Defense Coaching Office.
I want to circle back, Lindley, because I said I would, to that international participation.
Have you seen growth in concern and interest in planetary defense initiatives growing around
the world in parallel with what we have seen in the United States?
Well, certainly. Actually, Kelly can give you some firsthand knowledge about this. But
from when we started more organized international effort back in about 2007, because it had been
identified on the program for the United Nations Committee on Peaceful Uses of Outer Space as an activity that needed to be at least studied by the international space community, if not agreements made on what should be done.
That effort started back in 2007 as part of an action team that the committee had set up. There was maybe
a handful of representatives from space agencies like NASA and ESA, a European space agency, that
were involved in those original studies and such. we pulled some of the other major agencies in
in the course of four or five years, which then led in 2013, sort of as the emphasis put on it
by Shelya Bensk, a recommendation as to what the international community should be doing.
At the very same time that Shell events happened,
I was actually in Vienna at the committee meeting,
subcommittee meeting actually,
preparing to present our recommendations
for the establishment of the International Asteroid Warning Network.
Shell events happened the morning, the day before we were to do that.
Talk about cosmic timing.
Yeah, well, that's the second time in my planetary defense career that cosmic timing came into play.
That really put an emphasis, explanation point, if you will, on our recommendation for establishing
these two international entities. They are not UN, United Nations entities.
They are international collaborative efforts, a coalition of the willing, if you will.
And all they started off fairly small with only a few members.
That membership has grown now.
We just had meetings of these two entities last week. We are now 18 space agencies and space offices, national space offices, are members of that, full-fledged members of that organization. And we have a couple of more that are looking at joining as well.
They have been observers in the last couple of meetings,
and we fully expect them to submit their petitions for being admitted to membership here in the next meeting or two.
Kelly can tell you about the IWANS growth as well.
Yeah, the International Asteroid Warning Network has now grown to 40 signatories from 20 countries.
There's a lot more participation now from everyone ranging from space agencies and institutes and universities down to very capable, independent and amateur astronomers,
all contributing to the observation effort, whether survey or follow-up or characterization or orbit determination.
And so it's come a long way from that meeting in 2013 that Lindley mentioned with that Chelyabinsk exclamation point.
And those are just the official members.
Yeah, that's right. That's right.
Yeah, that's right. That's right. The IWAN has worldwide observing campaigns to kind of exercise the worldwide system on the observing side or to improve, check the status of our capabilities, improve them. And you don't have to be a member of IWAN to participate. And so that's been really important too. And so as more participate, we're encouraging them to actually join IWON.
And there's more at iawn.net on that.
But we're very proud of how far things have come and how much fantastic work the participants
have been doing, especially on the campaign front.
We will put up a link among many others
that are relevant to this conversation
to that IWON IAWN.net site that you can explore on this week's show page at planetary.org slash radio.
I'm glad you mentioned the work of amateurs, Kelly.
EO program that we do out of the Planetary Society, assisting mostly amateur astronomers to improve their abilities to help find and now more often track and characterize these
objects.
It's a game that apparently almost everybody can participate in.
Right.
In those cases, I know that there are some of those very capable amateurs that have benefited
from the Shoemaker grants.
I know that some of them are members of IWON. And so that's really fantastic
too. So that contribution, the ripples continue there. You know, last year, I very much enjoyed
having the writer, director, producer Adam McKay on our show. He, of course, made that what I think was a terrific movie, Don't Look Up.
He was joined by Amy Meinzer, who the two of you know well.
We've already mentioned she was the science advisor to that production.
And I just want to congratulate you on being played so well by the actor Rob
Borgen in that movie.
Yeah, I thought he did a fantastic job as well.
He was one of the few characters that came off looking pretty good
in the whole fiasco of that movie, so I was happy about that.
I don't think that there has been,
in the history of this planetary defense effort,
anything quite as visible in the popular media as that movie, even though that movie,
the director will tell you, was not really about planetary defense, but they did a pretty good job,
didn't they? Yeah, well, they did a pretty good job of spoofing just about everybody.
Well, you know, that's the most recent example, certainly.
But Cosmic Impact, Asteroid, Common Impact,
it's been a genre of science fiction since its very start, almost.
And so there have been a number of movies over the years.
Maybe not everybody remembers Armageddon and Deep Impact,
but certainly
our generation does.
They should remember Deep Impact, maybe not
Armageddon.
Armageddon had a great soundtrack.
I like the soundtrack
anyway. But I
like the movies
all the way back to
the movie Meteor back in the
late 60s. Which I'll throw this in there because Lily won back to the movie Meteor back in the late 60s.
Which I'll throw this in there because Lily won't.
In the movie Meteor, Sean Connery played him.
And that's even before, you know, a planetary defense officer existed.
I'll go back even further.
When Worlds Collide, which I actually read the book before I saw the movie, you're right, I guess this is a
genre in filmmaking. Well, let's hope that it stays in the area
of filmmaking the disasters that these often depict. And we can
thank the two of you the PDC Oh, and this worldwide effort. If we
are able to avoid that fate that is depicted in so many of those movies.
Just one other question for you.
The next Planetary Defense Conference is coming up in spring of 2023 in Vienna.
Will I see either or both of you there?
Well, hopefully, if all the asteroids align, you'll see both of us there.
Thank you both very much.
It has been a great pleasure to talk to you yet again on Planetary Radio.
Thanks for all the great work that you're doing.
Keep looking up.
Absolutely.
Thank you, Matt.
It's time for What's Up on Planetary Radio,
and we have the chief scientist of the Planetary Society to walk us through it.
Welcome, Bruce Betts.
Thank you. Thank you very much. Thank you.
From Laura Dodd in California.
You're awesome too, Bruce.
Please don't announce your retirement just so you could get some of the love lavished on Matt.
Oh, thanks to you, Laura, I won't.
Matt. Oh, thanks to you, Laura. I won't. I'll be here. I'll be here with Sarah pining for whatever that guy's name was who used to be the host. How soon they forget. And I'm not retiring.
How many times do I have to say it? I am leaving behind being host. Go on to what's up. Okay. So
in the sky, we got a bunch of stuff. Jupiter and Saturn in the south in the early evening or southeast.
The moon is hanging out between them from the 2nd to the 4th of November.
On the 4th, it's hanging out near Jupiter.
We've got reddish Mars rising in the mid-evening, and it's very bright, very bright, spectacular.
We'll continue to brighten all month as earth and mars grow closer in their orbits now we move on not to another segment but to the cool total lunar eclipse that will be
visible from the americas the pacific ocean and everything in it eastern asia and australia okay
maybe not everything in it things really deep won't see it. I can see Matt's preparing to school me on that.
And that is the night of November 7th through the 8th. So for most people, it'll be on the
date will be November 8th, but it's the night that starts on the 7th. Partial eclipse, when it gets easy to start being seen, will be about 9 o'clock UT, 900 UT,
which, of course, if you're there, means you're bumming because it's daylight.
But if you're, say, where we are, it'll be at 1 in the morning-ish for Pacific time.
You can look up the times and find the maximum eclipse is about two hours later. The
eclipse ends about three and a half hours of good eclipse. Although if you're on the eastern coast,
say of the Americas, the moon will set during totality. But we get to see all of it.
That's a very thorough explanation. And so nobody has any excuse for missing this
unless you live at the bottom of the ocean or half and half.
Giant squid will be challenged to see this, but those giant eyes may help out.
We move on to this week in space history.
1973, the launch of Mariner 10.
First mission to go hang out at two planets, studying Venus,
and the first and only for a few decades to study
Mercury up close. Till Metsinger got there. On to random space fact. Ganymede is the largest moon
in the solar system, but you knew that. But did you know that even though it's the largest moon
in the solar system, more than 14 Ganymedes would fit inside the Earth? No reason for us to feel inferior in this collection of worlds that
we fly around in. Yeah, we'll just ignore those big gassy things. Yeah. We move on to the trivia
contest where I asked you, what video game popular in the 1980, owes its name to William Herschel? How do we do, Matt?
There was not a huge response. In fact, we only got maybe a third of the normal number of entries
for this one. I was surprised. I thought that, you know, this would be a pretty popular one.
Interestingly, and this is maybe a first, Dave Fairchild, our poet laureate, doesn't always prepare a poem.
But with this one, he didn't have the answer.
He said, I have nothing.
Bruce has beaten the poet laureate.
Yes, it has been so long.
I may now turn on my microphone.
No, just kidding.
Don't worry, Laura.
I'm staying around.
Matthew Atzenhofer in California.
Not the winner. I'm sorry, Matthew. He said,
why, it's my favorite game from the 1980s. There was one at the po'boy stand across the street from my family-owned service station where I worked as a kid, and now I'm homesick and hungry.
What's he talking about, Bruce? What video game? Asteroids. Yes. Of course,
you can still find even online. Now they can just shove it into a web browser. Yeah,
because William Herschel, although I hear we have some debate on this that you'll tell me about,
William Herschel is usually given credit for coining the term asteroid to describe Ceres
when they gave up on it being a planet.
Yes, asteroid, or asteroids was the term that we were looking for, that Bruce was looking for.
And you're right.
I mean, we heard, for example, from Robert Johannesson in Norway.
He says, I learned that the term asteroid may not have been coined by Sir William,
but rather Charles Burney Jr., son of Charles Burney Sr., of course, in Norway. He says, I learned that the term asteroid may not have been coined by Sir William,
but rather Charles Burney Jr., son of Charles Burney Sr., of course, a friend and colleague of Herschel's. But wait, Claude Plymouth said it has recently been stated by a noted British
historian that it was Stephen Weston who coined the term asteroid, and he was applying it to Ceres and Pallas.
Oh my gosh, there's more.
Eson Beglu in Ontario, Canada.
Caroline Herschel's younger brother, Frederick William,
coined the term asteroid for minor planets.
He did so after observing and confirming the recently discovered bodies, Ceres.
So everybody connected to Herschel,
but I don't know, there's this conspiracy to take
away credit from Sir William, I guess. I did find out that William Herschel actually discovered
centipedes. So he's also responsible for the video game Centipede. Nice try. I do have one poem for
you from Gene Lewin in the state of Washington. The golden age of arcade games, the 80s are so known,
and fighting in a 2D space is how dart skills once were honed.
They came at you from every angle, zapped the big ones into rubble.
But if you found yourself surrounded, hyperspace could get you out of trouble.
Though this small move of desperation placed you at random in the void
and could drop you directly in the path of a cathode ray tube asteroid.
Wow. Here's the winner. I don't actually have a name. All I have is BP. That's what he or she entered with. BP in Oklahoma, congratulations. The response,
add asteroids. I couldn't have said it better. Thank you, BP. And you are going to be getting
one. A Planetary Society kick asteroid, rubber asteroid of your very own that you can characterize
and track. That's going to be the prize next time as well bruce
since we just finished talking to those two leaders of the planetary defense coordination
office another rubber asteroid for the winner of the contest that bruce is going to introduce right
now what former jpl director or directors have won the u.S. National Medal of Science,
a very prestigious award.
Go to planetary.org slash radio contest.
Come on, folks.
This ought to be fairly easy to Google, right?
Or Bing?
Or DuckDuckGo?
You have until the 9th.
You have until November 9th, Wednesday at 8 a.m pacific time november 9th
get the chance to win yourself one of those fabled rubber asteroids alta vista yahoo
all right everybody go out there look up the night sky and think think about how we would say asteroid if Scooby-Doo
had recommended the word.
Thank you, and good night.
I'll bite. Lay it on us.
We're asteroid.
Thank you, Scooby.
He's Bruce Betts, and sometimes
Scooby, the chief scientist of the
Planetary Society, who joins us every week
for What's Up.
I love you, Matthew. Down boy. Planetary Society, who joins us every week for What's Up.
I love you, Matthew.
Down boy.
Join me again next week for a Sagan Day conversation with Andrew Yen.
Planetary Radio is produced by the Planetary Society in Pasadena, California,
and is made possible by its members who are defenders of Earth.
You can become part of this important quest when you visit planetary.org slash join.
Mark Huberta and Ray Paletto, our associate producers, Josh Doyle composed our theme,
which is arranged and performed by Peter Schlosser at Astro.