Pod Save America - Kamala Harris's Path to 270

Episode Date: August 27, 2024

Trump threatens to bail on the September debate, his campaign signals yet another attempt to keep their candidate on message, and his newest big endorser now comes with even more dead-animal baggage. ...Meanwhile, Kamala Harris and Tim Walz prepare to hit the road on a Georgia bus tour and sit for a high-stakes interview. Jon and Tommy break down the state of the race as we head into the final two months, and Harris-Walz battleground state director Dan Kanninen stops by to talk about Harris's pathways to 270 electoral votes—and all the work they're doing on the ground to make sure she gets there. For a closed-captioned version of this episode, click here. For a transcript of this episode, please email transcripts@crooked.com and include the name of the podcast. Tour Dates & Tickets: crooked.com/eventsEmpire City: apple.co/empirecity

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to Pod Save America, I'm Jon Favreau. I'm Tommy Vitor. Good to be back from Chicago, but I really miss not sleeping and eating like shit. What about you? It's weird to not be doing this in a shot of a Michael Jordan statue or 15,000 of our closest friends. Yeah, that was a lot.
Starting point is 00:00:37 Super loud noise all the time behind us, no headphones. Great week though. Very fun. Also, fantastic city. Chicago, it was like what, 72, 75? Every single day, perfect. I maybe wanna move there again. And we barely get to enjoy it.
Starting point is 00:00:51 I walked by the lake one time for about an hour. Did you get out? Smart, no, not at all. Sorry about that. I like two blocks from the hotel maybe. All right, on today's show, the Trump campaign says Trump is serious about ramping up his schedule and staying on message as we head into the fall, and they really mean it this time.
Starting point is 00:01:09 Kamala Harris and Tim Walz get ready for a swing through southern Georgia in their first big interview. Then you'll hear Harris campaign's battleground states director, our friend Dan Cannon, talk to Pfeiffer and me about the campaign's path to 270 and what they're doing on the ground to get there. But first, now that both conventions are over, one of the last and potentially the last big event between now and election day is the September 10th presidential debate on ABC News. But even that might not be a sure thing.
Starting point is 00:01:40 On Sunday night, Trump posted a rant about ABC News on Truth Social saying, quote, I ask why would I do the debate against Kamala Harris on that network? Ostensibly because Sunday's This Week round table triggered him in some way? He also doesn't like George Slapidopoulos. Slapidopoulos.
Starting point is 00:01:58 That could be a thing. He had complaints about Slapidopoulos, John Karl, Donna Brazile. Huh. He was just, he was pretty angry. It's been the same cast of characters on ABC for a while. So, probably should have seen this one coming. So Playbook had more reporting on Monday morning
Starting point is 00:02:12 that there's actually a substantive disagreement between the campaigns about whether the rule should be the same as the Biden Trump debate. The Trump campaign wants the mics muted again when the other candidate is speaking. Okay. But this time, the Harris campaign wants the mics muted again when the other candidate is speaking. Okay. But this time, the Harris campaign wants the mics on the whole time.
Starting point is 00:02:29 Got it. Here's Trump when he was asked about it in an event on Monday. Would you want the microphones muted in the debate whenever you're not speaking? We agreed to the same rules. I don't know, doesn't matter to me. I'd rather have it probably on,
Starting point is 00:02:41 but the agreement was that it would be the same as it was last time. In that case, it was muted. I didn't like it the last time, but it worked out fine. I mean, ask Biden how it worked out. It was fine. And I think it should be the same. We agreed to the same rules.
Starting point is 00:02:59 Same rules and same specifications. And I think that's probably what it should be. But they're trying to change it. The truth is they're trying to get out of it because she doesn't want to debate. She's not a good debater. She's not a smart person. She doesn't want to debate.
Starting point is 00:03:14 On message. I love there's like a takeout order coming in as he's doing a press conference. So perfect. I also liked that he had like campaigns messages, same rules. We agreed to the same rules, gotta be the same rules. And then he just can't help, but just do his own thing.
Starting point is 00:03:28 We're just like, oh, I don't care either way. Put them on, maybe I think I'd rather have them on, but they were off last time. Also we demand the Biden debate. So after that, Brian Fallon from the Harris campaign tweeted basically, great, we're agreed. I like that. Why do you think the Harris folks want Trump's mic on
Starting point is 00:03:44 while Kamala is speaking? Because of what we just heard. He's an angry, undisciplined jerk, and swing voters dislike that about him. When Trump, the Twitter feed, shows up, I think Kamala Harris does well. And also, I think they probably know that Donald Trump is going to get very triggered
Starting point is 00:03:59 by criticism from Kamala Harris. Historically speaking, he's especially thin-skinned when criticized by a woman or a person of color, and they want everyone to experience that reaction in real time. You don't think a lot of voters will find a crazy old man interrupting Kamala Harris every five seconds attractive? No, I don't. I think it'll be incredibly off-putting and people could hate him. It's interesting because I think you were one of the first people before the last debate when they had, when they talked about the mics muted and you were, I remember you saying like,
Starting point is 00:04:31 go on. You know, I don't know if it's a great idea for Biden to ask for the mics to be muted because Trump will be interrupting him, but we won't get to hear Trump saying all this crazy shit. Right, that was my concern. He started barking at him from 12 feet away, but the mics don't pick it up. Yeah. and I think in one of his post debate interviews, Biden actually said that part of his problem
Starting point is 00:04:50 was Trump continuing to yell at him and him not being able to. But yeah, no, I think it's a pretty, I totally get why the Harris campaign wants the mics on. It feels like the Trump campaign seemingly doesn't want that for the same reason. Yeah, I think that's right. I feels like the Trump campaign seemingly doesn't want that for the same reason. Yeah, I think that's right. I mean, we keep reading these background quotes and stories
Starting point is 00:05:09 from frustrated Trump aides who want him to be, talk about policy, stay on the prompter, just generally be disciplined and not be himself. And then the best part is that Trump then complains about these conversations with his aides at rallies. You and I were watching one of these in the bus the other day, right? Remember, he did an audience poll
Starting point is 00:05:28 about whether he should get personal with his attacks. And then when they said yes, he said he was gonna fire whoever told him not to do that. It was great. I mean, I thought it was smart of the Harris campaign to basically, this debate had been happening behind the scenes and they basically made it public. They told Playbook on the record that like, they think that the Trump campaign didn't believe basically this debate had been happening behind the scenes and they basically made it public.
Starting point is 00:05:45 They told Playbook on the record that like, they think that the Trump campaign didn't believe they could keep their candidate under control for 90 minutes, but they suspect that Trump believes otherwise and sure enough, they drove a wedge between Trump and his campaign. That's right, I mean, they know that any kind of story like this about Trump being handled by a staff
Starting point is 00:06:03 is gonna make him mad and it's gonna lead him to want to overrule them publicly, which gets Kamala Harris what she wants. It's also, you know, there's been a lot of reporting, I think, correct reporting about how the Trump campaign until recently was a lot smarter and more disciplined. And we're also seeing them slowly bring back the old names like the Corey Lewandowski's of the world who are not disciplined, who are disruptive and chaotic. And so if Kamala's spokespeople can like roll a grenade into Trump HQ with these background staffs, make him pick a fight with his own aides, that is a huge bonus. And by the way, now he has, you know, they can go back and do negotiations and being
Starting point is 00:06:37 like your candidate just said publicly he doesn't mind if the mics are not muted. If for some reason they can't agree on this and they say same rules, let's just do that, that's easier. I don't think it's like the worst thing in the world for Kamala Harris, but I do think it's much better if the mics are on. Yeah, I think the mics on would be better, but also everyone's just kind of like feeding
Starting point is 00:06:55 the daily press cycle beast here. Yeah. I mean, do you have any doubts that we'll still have a debate? I mean, tell me if you disagree, because I feel too confident in this. But I think this debate happens because at the moment, I could make the case that it's in the best
Starting point is 00:07:09 interest of both sides. Trump is seething at Kamala Harris's good press. He wants to destroy her. He says publicly that he hates her. He says publicly that he thinks she's dumb. That's going to lead to overconfidence. So he's going to want to debate. Kamala Harris and her team, they know she's good at this,
Starting point is 00:07:25 that she'll put the time in, that she's disciplined. And also, though, that most voters don't know her. So this is an important opportunity. I also think the stakes, the downside risk of being seen as ducking a debate when maybe it's the only one, is pretty high. Yeah, I think I agree with all of that. I think that it is in both of their best interests
Starting point is 00:07:44 to want the debate. The reason I'm not a hundred percent certain is because I don't think either of them absolutely needs the debate at this point to win because the race is basically tied. So you could see it falling apart because like, you know, tied race, maybe Trump's up in a couple of battlegrounds, maybe she's up in a couple of
Starting point is 00:08:02 battlegrounds, if somehow this whole thing falls apart, you know, you could see both of them thinking battlegrounds, if somehow this whole thing falls apart, you could see both of them thinking, all right, I'll just grind it out, doing my rallies and interviews on my own until November. But you're right for the reasons you said, for both of them, I think they'd rather have the debate, each campaign.
Starting point is 00:08:18 Yeah, it'll be a lot of eyeballs, a huge opportunity. And he wants to use the debate to just plant more doubts with voters about her, and she wants to reassure people who might not know enough about her. So regardless of what happens with the debate, the Trump campaign is telling reporters they're launching a new strategy for the fall. More events and surprisingly smaller non-rally events where Trump will allegedly drive a more focused message. He took this strategy for a spin on Monday when he addressed a National Guard Association Conference in Detroit,
Starting point is 00:08:46 where he was officially endorsed by former Democratic presidential candidate turned Trump debate coach Tulsi Gabbard. She's had a journey. Then he kind of sorta stayed on message. Let's listen. Look at what's going on right now with Ukraine discerging into Russia, okay? You're gonna end up in World War III. Kamala Harris is letting terrorists come into our country at record numbers and letting jihadists pour into our homeland
Starting point is 00:09:18 by the thousands and thousands and thousands. Can't do that. Kamala Harris and Tim Walz are promising the exact opposite. They want endless war, open borders, voting rights, and free healthcare for illegal aliens. Soviet-style price control, censorship, unlimited migration from terrorist hotspots. Does the new strategy involve a horse tranquilizer? Yeah, that's weird.
Starting point is 00:09:46 I mean, also, like your boss likes one thing, big rallies and crowd events. And you're gonna say, actually, we're taking your toy away, you're doing small events now? That's not gonna go well. This reminds me a little bit of 2008, when McCain picked Sarah Palin and Sarah Palin starts having these big rallies and their message
Starting point is 00:10:05 about Obama was he's the biggest celebrity in the world and all he can do is do these big rallies. And so then we decided as a campaign to like have Obama do these smaller events. And then I remember one day there was the split screen where Barack Obama who could command these like huge crowds was like in a library with kids and he was like reading the kids like George W. Bush,
Starting point is 00:10:26 my pet goat style. Yeah, 9-11. And so there's Obama with a small little crowd and he's sort of trying to do like an early childhood education message and then there's Sarah Palin with this huge fucking crowd. It's like, no, no, no, we can't do that. Fix this right now.
Starting point is 00:10:37 That's the whole point. No, no. The big rallies are the whole point for Donald Trump. Yeah, I don't know why you take that away from him, but he's not gonna be disciplined no matter where he is. So give up. What did you think of the on message Trump? I don't know if you take that away from him, but he's not going to be disciplined no matter where he is, so give up. What did you think of the on-message Trump? I don't know if it was much of a message.
Starting point is 00:10:47 So my favorite is when off-message, or at least off-promptor Trump, disagrees with on-promptor Trump in the same event. So this is my favorite example from the speech today. This is verbatim, by the way. Trump says, The National Guard is America's first and last line of defense, and you do not get the credit you deserve. But actually you do, because deep down everybody knows it.
Starting point is 00:11:06 You get a lot of credit in your own way. It's so funny. You can tell when he's reading the remarks for the first time and then reacting to them like that. I just, like, whatever. That's his message, I guess. He wasn't doubting Kamala Harris' racial identity. He wasn't calling Tim Wall's tampon Tim
Starting point is 00:11:26 as he did on Twitter last night. He did it at the event too. Oh, he did it today too? Sorry, I missed that part. Okay, so he wasn't really on message. But I think even that message, they haven't, it doesn't seem like they've settled on a message about her that seems effective to me.
Starting point is 00:11:41 Like, why is he talking about Russia, Ukraine? He was all over the place. So the prompter remarks and then he did a rally speech on top of it. I thought, I mean, yeah, there was a lot of talk that he was low energy. One thing I thought was interesting was he was joined by Tulsi Gabbard,
Starting point is 00:11:55 who was an army reserve officer and then served in Congress as a Democrat. When you have Trump going from the RFK, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. endorsement, and then you have Tulsi Gabbard on stage. I think that's kind of an interesting, like bipartisan narrative. Now, sickos like us know this is a misleading narrative
Starting point is 00:12:11 because Tulsi quit the Democratic Party in 2022, and RFK Jr. is a dino. You know, he's a Democrat in name only, literally. He is just a anti-vaccine person. The rest of the speech was the greatest hits. I did think the emphasis in front of, um, a military audience, basically that, you know, the Afghanistan withdrawal was a mess and Trump is the
Starting point is 00:12:31 one who will keep the U S out of wars could be compelling, but it's just mixed up with all this other junk. I mean, to your point about sickos like us, I do think in these, these bigger rallies or events or whatever, like we're the only ones paying close attention and watching this whole rally other than the people there.
Starting point is 00:12:49 Right. And so all of this is about just like what message headline do you want to generate every day and they're not coming anywhere close to doing that. No, and they have no control over what the headline of the day is because they can't control their boss.
Starting point is 00:13:01 Do you think there's any value then to the Trump campaign signaling a new strategy, new strategy that their candidate is surely going to be unable to follow? Or are they just looking for a narrative reset or what? I can never tell if this is because Trump's staff just constantly talks to him in the press, if this is undisciplined people just kind of like mouthing off. But it does set up the easiest gotcha in the world
Starting point is 00:13:23 if you're going to be like, we're going to do small, tighter rallies. And then he goes off script for 45 minutes. Yeah, I was trying to think about this. Like you do have, you have a structurally close election and a press corps that's just gonna get bored of the Kamala honeymoon narrative. And so if you still have a tied race a few weeks from now,
Starting point is 00:13:43 or even if Trump, you know, gains a point or two, maybe they then want the coverage to treat that momentum as if it was like fueled by a new Trump or at least a new Trump strategy. So it's like, let's go where the, let's go where the puck is headed. That makes sense. Yeah. I guess, I don't know. Cause I do think we're already seeing it in some polling. Like this is, it remains a close race.
Starting point is 00:14:05 It was always going to be a close race except when a extenuating circumstance like Joe Biden's debate performance happens. Donald Trump versus a generic Democrat, a generic or, or, uh, most Democrats against a generic Republican, we're still going to be like within five points. So everyone should just, you know, buckle up
Starting point is 00:14:23 and it's going to be a close race. So a CNN story this morning said that the increased pace of events is a quote, direct response to the enthusiasm spike from Democrats since Harris replaced Biden atop their ticket, sourcing that to people familiar with the plans. We love a source familiar. Okay.
Starting point is 00:14:40 I would also note Trump's truth post the morning after the DNC that said, my administration will be great for women in their reproductive rights. That sounds it. Just wild. Maybe the first time he's used that phrase, followed by a campaign statement sprinting away from conservative positions on IVF and contraception. Another data point here, JD Vance, who will reportedly be camping out in the blue wall states,
Starting point is 00:15:05 especially Pennsylvania as part of this new strategy, reiterated on Meet the Press that Trump would veto a national abortion ban. Do you think the Trump campaign is genuinely nervous or this is just what a campaign normally does to try to win? I mean, I think that they thought when it was Joe Biden running,
Starting point is 00:15:24 and maybe even before the debate, they thought that the campaign was over and that they were gonna win 400 plus electoral votes. You saw that Tim Alberta at the Atlantic did this long piece where he spent all this time with Suzy Wiles and Chris LaCivita, and they were so cocky, and they were talking about this historic, you know,
Starting point is 00:15:41 sweep of MAGA through the country. Trump was barely doing events. He was just golfing every day. And now they know it's a toss-up. So I think they're definitely trying to get him to refocus, be more disciplined, mop up some problem positions. Unfortunately, you can't mop up the choice of JD Vance, but maybe there's gonna stick him in a state
Starting point is 00:15:58 and never see him again. But those tweets you just read aloud about protecting reproductive choice or Trump vetoing a national abortion ban, don't believe that for a second. It's bullshit. But it's a good strategy to try to get ahead of those attacks before the debate, or just attacks generally about abortion.
Starting point is 00:16:16 It makes me think they're seeing something in their polling that abortion is really hurting them, which should not be a surprise to any of us. But it's good to know that they are seeing this too. And part of it, I think, is you're also seeing this sort of widening gender gap. I bet that's a lot of it. And, you know, if we get to the point where,
Starting point is 00:16:35 you know, Kamala Harris is winning women by more than Donald Trump was winning men, then that's sort of ballgaming. And more women turn out, I think. Right, so that's kind of it. I also think that whether the campaign's rattled or not, Trump is clearly rattled himself because of anyone, he knows the value, the political value
Starting point is 00:16:55 of attention and celebrity. And he's looking over at Kamala Harris, and he's thinking that like her popularity is sort of like reaching into more celebrity status. And he doesn't like that. No, not at all. And he, you know, he saw Obama's celebrity translate into massive electoral victories.
Starting point is 00:17:10 Yes. So we haven't really talked about RFK junior's endorsement of Trump since it actually happened on Friday. We were flying home. Trump and Kennedy appear together at an event in Arizona where Kennedy said Trump will make America healthy again, which he's now abbreviated as Maha. Which I didn't realize until I was sort of looking at Twitter this morning and I see
Starting point is 00:17:32 all these like hashtag Mahas everywhere. Maha memes. Sounds like something you get deboned at the table at an expensive restaurant. Really weird. Yeah. Good luck with that buddy. Rebranding MAGA, okay, RFK Jr. Yeah, and then he had this long tweet too
Starting point is 00:17:50 where he was trying to redefine MAGA. And he's like, I know some people don't like it, but it's actually, it can be kind, and it can be welcoming. Yeah, there's an audience. And Donald Trump goes on a 10 tweet thread just out of his fucking mind. Yeah, the audience have won for that RFK tweet
Starting point is 00:18:06 trying to redefine Make America Great Again for Sheryl Hines, his wife, who I believe is furious at him reportedly about this decision. He said at one point he said she would divorce him if he endorsed Trump, so. Oh wow. Do with that what you will.
Starting point is 00:18:19 Kennedy said on Fox this weekend that Trump did not offer him a cabinet position or anything else in exchange for his government. Though he later said, he talked to me about a unity government. So I don't know what the fuck that means. What? Uh, yeah. Unity government with like someone who, like, who got no votes.
Starting point is 00:18:36 By far the biggest news about RFK right now involves yet another dead animal, Tommy, in a newly unearthed interview with town and country in 2012, his daughter, kick Kennedy, who has reportedly been spending time with Dunkin Donuts spokesperson, Ben Affleck. It's just a whole nother story we can get into. Yep. She said that when she was a kid, her dad
Starting point is 00:18:58 cut off the head of a dead whale with a chainsaw and tied it to the top of their minivan to bring it home. Key quote, as if you needed a quote, every time we accelerated on the highway, well, whale juice would pour into the windows of the car and it was the rankest thing on the planet. We all had plastic bags over our heads
Starting point is 00:19:20 with mouth holes cut out and people on the highway were giving us the finger, but that was just normal day-to-day stuff for us. Why don't you close the windows? with mouth holes cut out, and people on the highway were giving us the finger, but that was just normal day-to-day stuff for us. Why don't you close the windows? That is incredible. If you have a whale carcass on your roof, close the windows.
Starting point is 00:19:33 How many stories like this does this family have? Infinity. First of all, I wanna say, Kick Kennedy is a cool name. And when Hannah and I were figuring out what to name Lizette and James, I did not know that random verbs were available to me as options. Yeah, her little brother, Punch Kennedy.
Starting point is 00:19:51 Is that true? No. Shimmer Vitor. Also, did you know that Connor Kennedy, the Taylor Swift ex, is also RFK Junior's kid? Yeah, I did know that. These family gatherings must be wild. You got Ben Affleck, you got Taylor Swift.
Starting point is 00:20:05 Talk about a black sheep though. Zero vaccines. RFK, yeah, no vaccines anywhere. I would like you to rank the whale head, the dead bear cub, and the brain worm in order of which creeps you out the most. Brain worms run away number one for me. Disgusting, worms are generally disgusting
Starting point is 00:20:27 and anything in your brain I think is like actual nightmare fuel. For the, to rank the other two, I need some more information, which is what kind of whale. Because it works. Really? Well, the blue whale is the largest thing ever known to live on the earth.
Starting point is 00:20:40 Do you wanna do Charlie's bedtime? So he has been obsessed with Happy times. Types of obsessed with types of whales, types of sharks. He's very into marine life right now. And he has lots of questions. And you're a big marine life guy. Call me anytime.
Starting point is 00:20:52 But a blue whale weighs between 100 and 200 tons. So that's a lot of head for your roof. Now, even like a beluga, a baby beluga, if you will, that's still, I think, like 1,000, 2,000 pound whale. So what I'm getting at is you're're talking about like a hundred pounds of head on the roof and all the associated juices. So, I'm guessing, so baby bear is gross because it's sad that it's a baby,
Starting point is 00:21:14 but I think it's probably brain worms one, whale head two, bear three. Your rank. So, it depends on which category, right? Like if you rank them by stories, like insanity of the stories, it's gotta be Bear Cub first. You think even chainsawing off the head of a?
Starting point is 00:21:31 I just think that in terms of how hard I've laughed, like watching the video of him tell the Bear Cub story to Roseanne is maybe the hardest I've laughed all cycle. I was literally crying. Me too. Crying, laughing. And there's so many holes in the story. If you talk about like what I'd rat, like personally,
Starting point is 00:21:48 I would not want the brain worm. Sure. But of all the stories we've talked about on this podcast, when I just said the words, whale juice would pour into the windows of the car, I came closest to actually gagging. These poor kids. Of all of the different stories.
Starting point is 00:22:02 That is fucking gross. Have you ever seen the video of the rotting whale carcass on the beach that explodes? Oh, yes, I have. Because they go to the juices and anyway, Google it, YouTube it. Anyway, now that we've had a few days of coverage and we got the whale story in, what do you make of how the Kennedy endorsement
Starting point is 00:22:17 is playing for Trump so far and how much it might matter? Like, it's hard to tell. So I watched parts of the Kennedy press conference and I watched parts of the Kennedy press conference, and I watched parts of the Trump event where he introduced him. And RFK got a huge ovation at Trump's event. That probably tells you something about,
Starting point is 00:22:35 as Kamala Harris would say, the Venn diagram of overlap between their voters. Probably a little more MAGA. Trump said that RFK, he wants RFK to investigate chronic health problems and childhood diseases. And my favorite part of the pitch was Trump praising Kennedy for his commitment to providing safe and healthy foods to kids.
Starting point is 00:22:53 Remember this is the guy who fed college athletes McDonald's every time they came to the White House. Anyway, like Kennedy's message, it was muddled, it was weird. He made it sound like he'd like cut some backroom deal and then also he's gonna stay in, on the ballot in some states. So like none of it really makes sense.
Starting point is 00:23:10 The polling on this has shown that RFK pulled votes pretty evenly between Trump and Harris. The RFK was doing better with Latino and black voters and so if he's able to peel off some of them, that could be a problem. But that might've been a legacy from the polling about RFK from the Biden era. So my guess is it's a wash.
Starting point is 00:23:32 Yeah, and it's maybe too early to tell still. Nate Silver like reran his model without RFK Jr. said that basically nothing changed. We had a poll out today, maybe the first big national poll since the debate and from Echelon, by the way, it has Trump 49, Kamala 48, but they also, they ran it with Kennedy and then without Kennedy,
Starting point is 00:23:53 but still with the other third party candidates. And it maybe helped Trump a smidge more without Kennedy in the race. But when they did the four way or five way now without RFK Jr., Kamala was up like 48, 47. So it's hard to tell. It's all, I think, around the margin of error. So it's sort of tough to figure it out.
Starting point is 00:24:13 Right. Is Robert F. Kennedy, is he going to endorse and then go do work in key battleground states? Or is he going to endorse and then just like go collect dead corpses of animals around his house? So, you know, it'll make a difference. And what audiences is he speaking to that aren't already Trump people or, you know,
Starting point is 00:24:30 so I don't think it matters too much. ["Dreams of a New World"] Kamal Harris and Tim Walz have been off the trail since the convention meeting with advisors and just letting the vibes permeate. We also know that she's already started debate prep at Howard University with long time Hillary Clinton spokesman, Philippe Reines playing Donald Trump. Who went full method last time. Full method.
Starting point is 00:25:00 He was like in character for months. Yeah. I wonder if Philippe has done that to himself again. I wonder if he ever left. We should reach out to Philippe and see what kind of response we get back. If he sounds like Trump or not. On Wednesday, Harrison Walls are going to head out on a bus tour through South Georgia together.
Starting point is 00:25:15 And on Thursday, Harris will hold a solo rally in Savannah. We're going to hear from the Harris Campaign's battleground states director in a minute. But what do you make of Harrison Walls targeting Georgia for their first post-convention travel? OK, I'm going to do my best Dan impression here. So it suggests that they think there are multiple paths to get her to 270, 270 electoral votes.
Starting point is 00:25:35 I mean, when Biden was a nominee, it really felt like the only path to 270 was Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and the Nebraska Second District, right? The other paths would involve Sunbelt states, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and the Nebraska Second District. The other paths would involve Sunbelt states, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and maybe North Carolina. That just seemed off the table, because actually Trump's numbers
Starting point is 00:25:50 had been improving in those states, because, well, we'll get to that in a second. Kamala going straight to Georgia suggests that her team really thinks that they might win the state. I mean, it's not like a quick trip, it's a two-day bus trip. So the reason for the previous calculus with Biden was he was doing well with older, whiter voters,
Starting point is 00:26:11 but struggling with young voters, black voters, Latino voters. Kamala Harris has improved the party's standing among all of those groups, which opens up these sunbelt states. So basically, whereas before losing Pennsylvania was basically game over for Democrats, this means there could now be viable alternatives.
Starting point is 00:26:28 And Pennsylvania and Georgia both loomed so large for each campaign because I think if Kamala Harris loses Pennsylvania, it becomes really tough for her to find a path to 270, even winning a lot of the other swing states. Conversely, if Trump loses Georgia, he would need not just Pennsylvania, but another Biden state and maybe two, depending on which ones it is. So if Kamala Harris can win Georgia, she goes a long way toward putting Trump away. I also think that for all the reasons you just said,
Starting point is 00:26:59 they wanted a, the Harris campaign wants to send a message at post-convention that they're not just camping out in Blue Wall States, right? That if they do really see, which they do see multiple paths to 270 as Dan Cannon will tell us soon, then they want to tell everyone like we're going for it. And also if, you know, even if the easiest path to 270 remains Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin and Nebraska too, while you still have time, now is the time to go to Georgia and Arizona. If it's October, you know, maybe, and we see the polling change or whatever,
Starting point is 00:27:29 maybe you're back in those three blue wall states all the time, but at least now you should go to Georgia. And by the way, this is how you win Georgia, if you're Kamala Harris and Tim Walz, and honestly, this is sort of how Joe Biden won it as well. Like you go to, obviously you win it in Atlanta and the suburbs, right? Like you try to get a huge vote share,
Starting point is 00:27:51 huge margin out of there. But a lot of these like rural Southern areas that are like heavily black population in Georgia and probably haven't been visited by either campaign in a while ever, ever, like you want to cut those margins. You want to increase black turnout. And it's you want to cut those margins, you want to increase black turnout and it's great that she can do that.
Starting point is 00:28:07 You know, and she can have a message in, in, in Southern Georgia that's, you know, economically populist and I don't know, and Georgia's, and Georgia has a weird relationship with Trump for a, for a, you know, a purple, sometimes Republican leaning state. Yeah. I mean, back to the sort of discipline of the Trump campaign and whether they've changed their tune on some things. I mean, Trump just seemingly, like a week ago, put to bed this little online feud he's been having
Starting point is 00:28:31 with Brian Kemp, the very popular Republican governor of Georgia, so they're clearly trying to get him to take the state more seriously. Yeah, if nothing else, you wanna run down Trump's margin in these rural counties in every state, basically, including Georgia. I mean, at the end of the day, campaign strategists Trump's margin in these rural counties in every state, basically, including Georgia. I mean, at the end of the day, campaign strategists
Starting point is 00:28:47 will both talk a big game and try to suggest that they have an opportunity to win as many states as possible. But what you should look at is their money and their candidates' time. And the fact that Kamal Harris and Tim Walz are spending two days in Georgia, suggests to me that they think it's a very real target.
Starting point is 00:29:05 Yeah, and you know, Plough told me on that last episode of The Wilderness, he's like, head fakes don't make any sense. He's like, it's too expensive. He's like, if you're gonna, you don't say like, oh, you know, head fake meaning, we're gonna seem like we play in one state only to like lure the other campaign in and whatever else.
Starting point is 00:29:23 He's like, if we're going to a state, we're gonna play in the state, we're gonna spend the money. Especially at Georgia else. He's like, if we're going to a state, we're going to play in the state. We're going to spend the money, especially at Georgia, where, you know, you've got the Atlanta media market. Yeah. The North Carolina is shockingly expensive to play in on TV. So word has leaked that Harris and Walls are going to sit for an interview together during the Georgia swing.
Starting point is 00:29:38 We don't know yet with whom, as you all know, the political press has been really into Harris doing an interview. They've been a little annoyed that she hasn't done one yet. Any chance that first interview was with us? Surprise, maybe? Maybe you guys didn't tell me? Yeah, what if, what if, what if, love it just did it on Fiji or something. That's where he is right now.
Starting point is 00:29:57 Yeah. I think several months ago, John, there was no chance of us getting that interview. And now maybe there's a slim dimension. There's more paths for us. More paths for us. More paths for us. We know more people. Fewer people in the organization
Starting point is 00:30:08 want to kill us currently than a month ago. Let's want to take some bets on what, outlet? Yeah, oh that's fun. My money's still on 60 Minutes. 60 Minutes. Just because it's a big audience. That's the one to do. It's the obvious easy one.
Starting point is 00:30:22 But if we put odds on it, we could go, you know, down the way. I wonder, I could see Lester Holt. Lester Holt, I like Lester Holt. A Lester Holt or a Norah O'Donnell are both like, you know, they're good solid interviewers who are respected because they're, they don't lean one way or the other. Yep.
Starting point is 00:30:40 But they're also not like, they're not just like looking to get you. Now the question is. And she, and she had tough, she's had notoriously tough interviews with both of them. With Lester, yeah. but they're also not like, they're not just like looking to get you. Now the question is- And she had tough, she's had notoriously tough interviews with both of them. With Lester, yeah. The question is, will the press count an interview
Starting point is 00:30:53 if it's with a progressive host? Like if you did a Rachel Maddow sit down, would anyone- Absolutely not. No, okay, that's not the case. They will knock down it. Even though Trump never leaves his Fox News. Exactly, complete double standard. And she will just not get credit for it,
Starting point is 00:31:05 which is absurd, but I'm betting they know that. NPR. I don't know. A local Georgia. I would do a lot of local interviews. I mean, I think what they probably should do after this big interview going into the event is just do a ton of local press, a lot of local TV.
Starting point is 00:31:20 They should. What do you think are the toughest questions she'll get and how should she answer them? Should we just, let's do some interview prep. Should we bucket them? Yeah, let's bucket them. So there's one bucket that's probably like, what did you know and when did you know it
Starting point is 00:31:34 about Joe Biden's health? I hadn't even thought about that one. Probably get a lot of those. Like, do you think that's that hard? I think obviously the guys can do the job through the first term. I mean, we now know that as obnoxious podcasters and others were trying to push Joe Biden out of the race,
Starting point is 00:31:52 he was negotiating a massive hostage deal with Russia to get a bunch of Americans home. So clearly the guy can do the job. And I think she'll probably say something like that. She'll use that as an example. She'll use all the legislation they passed together as an example. She'll talk about, we know, we saw him,
Starting point is 00:32:06 we saw him at the DNC on Monday night. Yeah, like 2 a.m. Give a speech that was like a rousing speech for the crowd. Yeah, like there's plenty of answers to that, I think. Yeah, that's pretty easy. Okay, second bucket maybe positions you took in 2020 that you walked away from now. I think that's like the first one they ask her.
Starting point is 00:32:21 Yeah, so John, aren't you going to ban fracking? I think, look, on all these they ask her. Yeah. So John, aren't you going to ban fracking? I think, look, on all these issues, my values haven't changed. But I've always been realistic and pragmatic. I said that during my DNC speech. And also, that's how Joe Biden and I governed over the last four years. We worked with Republicans to rebuild America with an infrastructure bill.
Starting point is 00:32:40 We made private health insurance more affordable for people and brought down the cost of prescription drugs. And we worked with one of the most conservative Republican senators in Congress to put together a really tough border bill that Donald Trump killed. So we know what it's like to be pragmatic and work with the other side. What I'm hearing from you is you value winning.
Starting point is 00:33:00 My values are winning in general election. In it to win it, she should just say that, I'd be fine with that. Yeah, we worked with what's his name, the super white looking guy, the vampire one, Lankford. Lankford. He did the immigration. Well, that's the third bucket in my little notes here.
Starting point is 00:33:12 Immigration, the border, what is your role in the sort of policy generally been over the years? Now, there is some helpful data for them where apparently, I can't remember if it was crossings or like contacts at the border are down something like 50% after the executive order. So they'll probably point to some successes, but people are still pretty concerned about the border generally. Yeah. And I do think that's the best. I think the border is actually the easier one there
Starting point is 00:33:40 because she can say, yeah, you know what? People are concerned about the border and that's why we want to pass. That's why I've said that if I become president, we'll pass this border bill, that this bipartisan deal that was written by a conservative Senator. And you know, Joe Biden had to take action on, we had to take action on our own when Donald Trump killed that deal.
Starting point is 00:33:58 And guess what? Crossings are down, but we got to do more. Right? Like I think, I think that's an easy one. I think on inflation, she could probably say, you know, the steps that Joe Biden and I took brought inflation down faster than almost any other country,
Starting point is 00:34:11 but we have a lot more to do to bring down costs and I'd love a Congress that would be willing to do more. Like Republicans just blocked a bipartisan bill to extend the child tax credit. That would lower costs for people. Why aren't they passing that bill? Because it would hurt my campaign, because it wouldn't help Donald Trump.
Starting point is 00:34:27 That's crazy. Yeah, I think what has been so great about her campaign and message so far is that Kamala Harris seems far more unburdened by what has been, and doesn't feel as obligated to defend the Biden record as much as paint a picture of what she's gonna do going forward. And I think that's a lot better in this context.
Starting point is 00:34:43 She will not probably be starting the answer with, I'm the guy who passed the Inflation Reduction Act. And I'm, you know, like it's, she'll, the balance of what we've done and what we need to do will be much more weighted towards what we need to do. Yeah, for a variety of reasons, we'll probably get zero I'm the guy responses. And then if it was me, I would love to know
Starting point is 00:35:04 how she differs from Biden on Gaza policy, whether she will be willing to increase pressure on Netanyahu to end the war. If there's anything we can do in the next few months, I mean, I'm of the personal opinion that Joe Biden might not be running again, but that he is going to be very personally engaged on all things through the remainder of his presidency,
Starting point is 00:35:23 especially foreign policy, especially the BB Netanyahu account. So I just don't think she's going to have a lot of space to change things. But I think she should signal that she will do things differently going forward. I think the progressives want to hear that, but also the war's been going for 10 months. Like whatever we've been doing has not affected change in the way that we, the United States wants. We want a ceasefire that we, the United States wants. We want a ceasefire. We want the hostages back. We want to end the war. And showing some sort of space between her and Biden and the willingness to do something different, I think, would be meaningful. What could she say that is, like, meaningfully different in terms of, like, where do you differ with him?
Starting point is 00:36:00 I'm trying to remember who floated this idea. I think it might've been Peter Beinart in the New York Times was like, what she should say is I will enforce current law, specifically the Leahy law, which says you cannot give military or material support to military units that have been accused of gross human rights violations and use that kind of blanket statement as a signal that we would condition aid to some of these units in Gaza that have been accused of human rights violations. You know, you can go deeper than that, but I think that's, you know, that would be signaling a pretty
Starting point is 00:36:35 large change because the Leahy law has never been applied to Israel before. But you could also, there's other ways to do it. I mean, I think you could have an advisor go out there, someone like Phil Gordon, who's our top foreign policy guy and give an interview and do some of this work for you. You know, so I'd like to see something. One question I have is how forward leaning should she be
Starting point is 00:36:55 on saying that she has changed those past positions that she's taken during the 2020 primary? Do you, I mean, because I'm sure if you're an advisor and you're writing out the talking points, you do something like I just did, but she'll get pressed by some interviewers and she'll certainly get pressed in the debate. I wonder if at some point you have to say,
Starting point is 00:37:16 you know, I learned over the last four years governing an entire country with Joe Biden that you've got to be more pragmatic. And, you know, like, I wonder if she sort of signals a cleaner break with her past positions than just trying to be more pragmatic. And, you know, like I wonder if she sort of signals a cleaner break with her past positions than just trying to skirt around it. Yeah, I think I would advise her not to be cute with it and be like, look, I spent four years as vice president
Starting point is 00:37:35 and I learned a lot of new information and I changed my mind. But if you do that four or five different times on a bunch of issues, I think you can, you could string it together in a way for the Trump campaign that makes her look bad. Yeah, you need to do fracking, you need to do Medicare for all,
Starting point is 00:37:50 and you need to do border policy. And then some of the ones like, sure I'd blame plastic straws and that kind of stuff. Were we for banning plastic straws? Unfortunately, too many people are. Sorry, that's just my unpopular position. Yeah, you love it. Go ahead, come at me straw people, I love straws. I'mning plastic straws? Was she? Unfortunately, too many people are. Sorry, that's just my unpopular position. Yeah, you love it. Go ahead, come at me straw people, I love straws.
Starting point is 00:38:07 I'm different to straws. Straws, those straws are first. I'm learning to go without straws, okay? I'm trying to be a good liberal in California. Is it a tooth thing? Some people have sensitive teeth. Yeah, it is. Okay, okay, fair.
Starting point is 00:38:17 I'm just trying to unpack this. Thank you, I appreciate that. What's the biggest pitfall with the debate coming up? What are you most worried about? With the debate itself? Yeah, like for her and the debate. I think it's just the stakes. That's such a funny, obvious thing to say.
Starting point is 00:38:31 No, I mean, like the last debate ended a candidate's career. So I think there's gonna be some- Yeah, it's a big deal. There's gonna be some eyeballs. We also, listen, we also went from a race where I think, I remember this number from a poll, I don't remember which poll it was, 73% of voters said they had all the information they needed
Starting point is 00:38:49 about both candidates to make up their mind. They all felt like they couldn't learn another thing about these guys and they didn't want to. And that changed the day Kamala Harris got into this race. So she knows that if she's got a great debate, it will benefit her enormously. Even if she has a good debate, people just want basic information about like,
Starting point is 00:39:09 who she is, who she'll fight for, what she'll do. I'm sure there will be this debate, as we head into the debate about how much she should focus on Donald Trump and talk about Donald Trump, because you know, most voters have made up their minds about Donald Trump. And I do think that like, her primary goal should be
Starting point is 00:39:23 giving voters information about her, the voters who don't know enough about her and want to know more who are open to her candidacy, like that's number one. But he is going to try to put her on defense the whole time. And so are the moderators are going to probably ask her some pointed questions.
Starting point is 00:39:37 So you do want to have some offense on Trump just to eat up the time so that you're not spending 90 minutes just taking hits from Trump and trying to defend yourself. Because even if you do that well, it will still be judged as you were on defense the whole time. Yeah, that's a good question.
Starting point is 00:39:53 I think she's gotta be on offense a lot. Yeah. You know, I mean, you can do a lot of framing your positions through, as an attack on your opponent. Yeah, and do a lot of comparison stuff. But yeah, I mean, I hope. I'm gonna do this, he's gonna do that kind of thing. Honestly, it's a good thing that they've been off the trail for a while because I hope they're doing a ton of comparison stuff. But yeah, I mean, I hope. I'm gonna do this, he's gonna do that kind of thing. Honestly, it's a good thing
Starting point is 00:40:06 that they've been off the trail for a while because I hope they're doing a ton of debate prep. Me too. Because it helps. It does. And he's doing policy discussions. Do you believe that? I think he's a liar.
Starting point is 00:40:16 I bet they do real debate preps and he just is too arrogant to say it. Well, also if Tulsi Gabbard is involved in debate prep, which the reporting says that she is, and the reason she is, I don't know if anyone remembers, but in 2020 when she was running for president on the Democratic primary, during a couple debates with Kamala Harris,
Starting point is 00:40:35 she picked Kamala Harris to go after more than any other candidate. And she claims to, I think with some good reason, know a lot of Kamala Harris's positions and how to get her and stuff like that. So I could imagine Tulsi Gabbard just playing Kamala Harris in debate prep. I don't know why you wouldn't do that if you were down to it
Starting point is 00:40:54 unless you're just an undisciplined lazy fuck, which she is. Yeah, or the only reason not to, I guess, is you probably want that person to memorize verbatim some of the Harris lines and maybe Tulsi won't do that work. I think the same article that talked about Tulsi being at prep said that Matt Gaetz was one of their best debate prep secret weapons.
Starting point is 00:41:12 He's good at zingers. I can see that just because he seems like a terminally online individual who would know exactly what Kamala Harris and Democrats have been saying because he just consumes that much information. That sucks. I hate to have to compliment him. I know, but I could, you know.
Starting point is 00:41:27 Well, I don't think it's a compliment. It's one of the worst qualities about us. Or being terminally online. Yeah, that's fair. Come on our subscription show. And then we'll always have that photo of him from Narency with just the Putin-like Botox. Yeah, it's tough.
Starting point is 00:41:41 Okay, when we get back from the break, Dan and I sat down with the Harris Campaign's Battlegrounds States Director, Dan Cannon, on the sidelines of the convention. We decided to save it for today because it's about exactly what we're talking about in this show, how the Harris team is approaching the fall campaign and where they're putting their resources.
Starting point is 00:41:58 Before we get to that conversation, two announcements. Speaking of Battlegrounds, Pod Save America is headed back to Phoenix on September 7th at the Celebrity Theater. Oh, on the road again. We just got home. Two weeks from now? Two weeks from now, yeah.
Starting point is 00:42:11 You should tell Hannah. Yeah, same. Same with Emily. Join me, Dan, Lovett, Tommy, and guest host, Jane Costen, as we welcome Senate candidate Ruben Gallego to ask him hard-hitting questions like, why is Carey Lake like that? Do you think if we invited Care Carrie Lake, she'd show up?
Starting point is 00:42:26 Probably, she would. It's worth thinking about. Should we host a debate? Yeah, why not? It's an impromptu debate for Guy Ago. Sure. I'm sure he'd appreciate that. We'll also be in Philly at the Met Philadelphia
Starting point is 00:42:35 on Sunday, October 6th. For a limited time, we're offering our listeners 10% off select tickets. Use the code WEIRD10 to unlock the tickets labeled DNC offer. Very specific. Get your tickets at crooked.com events today. We would love to see you in Philly. We are also very excited to share that the trailer for Crooked's newest limited series Empire City is here. In Empire City the untold origin story of the NYPD Peabody award-winning host Chenjirai Kumanika takes you deep into the hiddenld origin story of the NYPD, Peabody award-winning host,
Starting point is 00:43:05 Chenjirai Kumanika, takes you deep into the hidden history of one of the largest police forces in the world, from its origins rooted in slavery to rival police gangs battling across the city to the everyday people who resisted every step of the way. It's captivating and immersive look into New York City's past and a must-listen primer for understanding today's debates around policing, especially in this moment as we gear up for another election. This is an excellent show. We've been working on it for years.
Starting point is 00:43:31 Chen Drey is an incredible host. Literally years now. Yeah, he did a series in 2018 called Uncivil that folks might have listened to. It was unbelievable. So when we had the chance to work with him, we jumped at it. So check it out.
Starting point is 00:43:41 Amazing show. So you can listen to the trailer out now, wherever you get your podcasts and follow Empire City on your favorite podcast platform to hear the first two episodes when they premiere on September 9th. When we come campaign, Dan Cannon. Dan, it's great to see you buddy.
Starting point is 00:44:12 Hey Dan, hey John, good to see you guys. Thanks for coming on. Happy to be here. Let's start with the map, okay? Talk to me about how you guys see your best path to 270. The thing I'd say about the race today that's actually pretty similar from the last, really the whole year, is that there are seven or so states and we talk about them all the time, you guys talk about them all the time, but you've got the Blue Wall states in Michigan and
Starting point is 00:44:33 Wisconsin and Pennsylvania and obviously the Sunbelt states in North Carolina and Georgia and then the western states in Nevada and Arizona and they've been close this entire time. I know that some people obsess about the polls bouncing. Not us, other people, not us. No polar coaster. Yes, exactly right. But people look at that and obsess a bit, but in truth, all of those seven places
Starting point is 00:44:52 share the characteristic of having really close races for Senate, for governor, for president, in multiple cycles in a row. And we all know that those election results are way more predictive. We believe there's political gravity in this country. Stuff's gonna snap into a close race kind of regardless. And we never really felt that they were out of reach before.
Starting point is 00:45:09 I think we're strengthened in the Sun Belt, certainly over the last month or so, but I still believe all seven of those places are destined to be very close. I don't think about it, Jen does not think about this, like a blue wall path or a southern path. There's seven places, any one of which could be the tipping point state, and so we have operations built to scale in all of them to win a close election.
Starting point is 00:45:27 Are you thinking of North Carolina? The way this has been commonly thought of, not by you guys, but by yahoos like us is there are the six, the six that put Biden over the top in 2020, the six that Democrats did very well in 2020. And then there's North Carolina, which is sort of the one potential expansion state. Are you treat them all, is North Carolina in the same category as the other six for you guys? Sure, it was one point three points separating by three thousand votes, right? It's not that much right and and the demographic changes have been good for us in that state over the years
Starting point is 00:45:55 Also, you've got a characteristic there much like in Arizona with Mark Robinson I mean he what his rhetoric and what he stands for he's a living embodiment of Donald Trump and mega extremism in that state. Josh Stein is going to win that race for governor. We're going to link those two guys. I think those politics are just toxic for suburban voters and some of the new residents of that state. So it's a tough place to win Dan, no question about it, but we think about that as one of the core seven battlegrounds. Can you talk about why the demographic changes there? What are the demographic changes that have made it seem more favorable? Yeah, you've got more educated voters coming into the state, you've got folks that are moving in from
Starting point is 00:46:31 from northern states as well, and you've got obviously a population center in the triangle with expansion in the economy, new housing, a really booming place to be. The kind of voters that maybe are not very into politics, they're not necessarily died in the World Democrats, right? But they are not the kind of folks that are attracted to Donald Trump's brand of politics. They just don't want that level of extremism. And we did see some of that in 2016. I mean, Hillary Clinton did well in the suburbs, you know, in North Carolina and nationally, and we lost in some of the rural parts of the state and we didn't quite turn out the cities like we had to. And so I think what we've learned since then is,
Starting point is 00:47:05 it's not enough to have the demographic shifts work in your favor if you just kind of like cleave off a whole section of the state. Which is why having an organizing approach with 173 staff, 25 offices, people have been on the ground since January, where in 2016 we had a team built in July and August. We're just starting really at this point in time in 2016.
Starting point is 00:47:24 That gives you a runway to really engage people and cut those margins in rural North Carolina. Can you talk a little bit about that organizing program in all the states? Yeah. And sort of your strategy for when you have your staff on the ground and your volunteers on the ground, like how they're going about trying to get voters.
Starting point is 00:47:39 Yep. So one big advantage we think we have against Trump Campaign is they've not done any of this. They've got no infrastructure in North Carolina. We've got 24 offices, 25 actually, to their one. They opened up last month. Pennsylvania, 36 offices to three. Nevada, 12 to one. You can rinse and repeat that story across all the battleground states. I don't think Trump cares about having a relationship with any person, but certainly not voters. Right? He's transactional and thinks his cult personality is good enough. But we built 1,600 staff and growing, 300 offices and growing. They're engaging tens of thousands of volunteers who are doing
Starting point is 00:48:13 hundreds of thousands and now millions of voter contact attempts in a week. And that's important on the mechanics of an election. You can register people, you can turn people out, you can cure ballots. There's lots of things you do to win a tight race with that organization. But the other thing it does, I think is really underrated in politics, is there's a presence and an engagement level. People are bought in the election.
Starting point is 00:48:33 All this enthusiasm, the 400,000 people that came to this campaign organically when Kamala Harris became the nominee, there was a place for them to go. Right, so this last weekend, 2,800 events in Battleground States, just that weekend leading into the convention. The Battleground States then shifted
Starting point is 00:48:50 24,000 people in action on Monday. We had 400 phone banks on Tuesday night. We had 500 watch parties coming tonight. Every day there's this new momentum and a place for it to be channeled. And what I think that does is it makes the conversation, whether it's overpaid media or earned media or just in the discourse,
Starting point is 00:49:07 it makes it more real to people when they know someone who's been a part of the campaign, they've seen an event in their community, people that look like them and think like them are part of their area, are connected to this. I think that's how you cut through and actually connect with people in a way that's more real and lasting.
Starting point is 00:49:21 Rumors are, reports are, that on Friday, RFK Junior is gonna drop out. Yeah. Maybe he endorses Trump, maybe he doesn't. We'll put that aside for now. But have you guys thought a little bit about how that might impact the race? I mean I think his stock overall has tumbled pretty far since the early part of the race. He's obviously toxic and has some pretty kooky ideas and has tumbled. So I think less about him at this point, obviously, especially if he decides to exit the race. There are some voters that have been kind of parking themselves with him or,
Starting point is 00:49:50 or ain't really any third party candidate. And for his voters in particular, I think those are people that do not want to be with Donald Trump and MAGA for one reason or another. And so there's kind of sitting over there. So I think our approach has to be to be inclusive, to be welcoming, to say, look, there's a home here. There's a sane place for politics that can responsibly govern this country and you don't want to be with that lunatic. And
Starting point is 00:50:11 it may be a hard sell for some of those voters, but I think that we can make a good case. And so I think less about him, but more the ability to welcome those folks into this campaign. And obviously over the last month, a lot of the Democratic coalition, the anti-MACA coalition has come home. We've seen numbers go up with young voters, black voters, Latino voters all across the board. Who are the folks that you're still trying to get across the board? Who are you? Give me an example of some of your targets. Yeah, I mean I think there's a bit of an all-of-the-above strategy here because every state is going to be so close that we can't have just one
Starting point is 00:50:41 pathway. So you named a few Dan, those are definitely you know places that we've done well I think in last So you named a few, Dan, those are definitely places that we've done well, I think in last month. We still have to push on expansion into the suburbs and do better, even better with Republican women and independent men, especially on reproductive rights, or perhaps on January 6th. People that just cannot be with Donald Trump,
Starting point is 00:51:00 we wanna keep bringing those folks into the tent. I think we have to do really well with union and labor households in places like Michigan and Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. And the fact that the vice president's been endorsed by 12 unions, Sean Fain, you know, enthusiastic again on both the convention and in Detroit, you know, with UAW. Those are huge targets for us as well. And then across rural, you know, America, whether it's in Wisconsin or, you know or Eastern North Carolina, having a presence so that we don't get killed.
Starting point is 00:51:27 It's not 80-20, it's 60-40 or even 70-30 in some places. In Wisconsin, we've got 44 offices, which means a presence there in community, in a state with 72 counties. So we're kind of everywhere with the intent of cutting those margins. Do you guys think you guys will use walls in some of those rural areas to try to drive those numbers down? Yeah, I think so.. I mean and the vice president as well. I think the two of them together actually complement in their values but certainly Tim Walls, you know, the camo hat is pretty great. You've seen us rock that out all week. I have like a list of 12 people want me to bring home
Starting point is 00:51:58 a camo hat. They can't be found anywhere in America. I have not been able to find the camo hat yet. I've been looking for one all week. I know. Same here. One of the biggest challenges this cycle, and it's sort of been a growing challenge over the last several cycles, is reaching voters who just don't pay a lot of attention to politics and sort of don't get their news and information from the places that we all do.
Starting point is 00:52:20 How are you guys thinking about that challenge now? Are more people, I'm guessing many more people are tuned in than they were just a couple months ago. But how do you see that universal voters right now? So I think that's a great way of thinking about what this moment does for us. The race has not fundamentally changed. It is still a very close race, as I said,
Starting point is 00:52:39 with states that are gonna be tight and razor close at the end. But we have enthusiasm in people that can now carry on that message to cut through. John, so, I mean, you know this, it's a fractured media environment. People are siloed, they can curate their own content, they can go down a rabbit hole of their own making
Starting point is 00:52:55 and not really be part of a discourse on a broadcast basis. And if you don't have people that can cut through at the doors or on phones, but also in online spaces, our program is a blended organizing program. If you're a volunteer, just like in real life, we ask you to volunteer in WhatsApp groups, on Facebook chats. A shift these days can mean spending some time
Starting point is 00:53:15 on a message board, having a conversation, the same way you would do a phone bank, right? So we cut through in all the places people have real conversations with real people, and to do that at scale, so what this enthusiasm does is take the infrastructure we built that intention and have enough people to carry forward into those places that can cut through an otherwise pretty fractured media environment.
Starting point is 00:53:34 How are you feeling about the second district of Nebraska? I'm feeling great about the second district of Nebraska. We had a great rally there. We had 7,000 RCPs within a span of six hours for Tim Walls. He, you know, sold the building out, of course. Good team on the ground, and I think that we'll have a great chance to win the second district. I hope so.
Starting point is 00:53:51 I ask that only because I know you guys don't think about paths, but the one path depends on the second district of Nebraska. Have you heard anything about Republicans making another run and trying to turn the state into a winner take all situation? It's not something we track too closely. I think that our message here is to build something on the ground that can be lasting and large.
Starting point is 00:54:10 The fact that Governor Walz came there and you saw such tremendous enthusiasm for his candidacy I think helps on all those measures, but we feel good about it. There's obviously been a lot of focus on, you know, the anti-MAGA coalition coming together over the last month since the vice president's become the nominee and sort of the polls have tightened. Is there anything with Kamala Harris's the nominee that now opened up sort of new challenges for you guys that you hadn't had before when Biden was the nominee? I mean, the challenge that we really have right now, less so about her as a candidate, more so about the fact that it's a different race from a structural standpoint, not with
Starting point is 00:54:44 the voters, not with the polls, but structurally with the people coming in. We have to run a different kind of campaign now in some respects. Yes, we have the infrastructure built. Yes, you have the offices, you have the staff, you have an approach to people in these battleground states. But now we have to meet the demand of literally hundreds of thousands of people coming in and wanting somewhere to go. One, they got to know more about Kamala Harris.
Starting point is 00:55:05 They like her. The first impression's been phenomenal. But we got to fill that with a real story of her bio before the other side does that against us, right? And then arm them with the ability to go carry that forward to other voters. So I think every day, and this is what keeps me up at night to the extent anything does, is racing to meet that demand. You know, we caught the car in some respects, and so the team has to be built fast enough
Starting point is 00:55:25 and stay up, keep up with that, so that we can service that. Is there anything that you think the Trump campaign is doing well that worries you? Well, I'm not sure if there's something they're doing well that worries me. I just know that they have the ability, and he has the ability to completely operate
Starting point is 00:55:41 independently from any ethics or morals. Yes. And so whether it's election interference or denialism or whatever else, you just can't trust that they'll play straight and fair. They won't. Right. And so I think we're prepared for that. And on that point, nothing like experience. We saw this in 2020.
Starting point is 00:55:58 We've had a really good voter protection team, of course, but also a legal operation built way earlier than ever before, taking on challenges even, you know, months or years ahead of, more than a year ahead of the actual election to help set the stage for a strong legal defense in the fall because we know they'll bring stuff that's that's off the wall, but you have to knock it all down of course. And so that's a place that's known, unknown for us how they'll do that, but we know that they'll try and the team is prepared Prior to Kamala Harris becoming the nominee the Republicans were making bones about competing in Virginia, New Mexico
Starting point is 00:56:35 New Hampshire Public polling I've seen shows that those are sort of reverted back to where they are Do you guys have to play any defense there in terms of you have the operations built there at all? We do we don't take any votes for granted You know, we've got a team in Virginia and in Minnesota, right, in Maine and New Hampshire. And we don't expect that we can just not talk to voters and have it work out for us, right?
Starting point is 00:56:52 So, yeah, we'll treat voters with respect and have a good operation there. Doesn't change for us the theory that those four are seven. Yeah, really the seven. And you know, we have folks in Florida too. Florida's not, gonna be 2020 Florida, it's not, you know, the center of the battleground map. That's that's pretty clear. But there's an interest there because there's a ballot measure. There's a really bad abandoned abortion.
Starting point is 00:57:13 The politics there have been untested in some respects. And I'll just point out that what Ron DeSantis has done, which people think works because he's won and now he keeps doing this stuff. But his most extreme politics have not been on the ballot. It's all happened since his election. extreme politics have not been on the ballot. It's all happened since his election. And when it has been on the ballot, Daniel Cameron tried that playbook and lost in Kentucky. So I think Florida's interesting.
Starting point is 00:57:33 We'll test that out a little bit. OK, that's news. Yeah. Interesting. It's interesting. It is an interesting state. Maybe news was a little bit of an exaggeration there, but it was interesting to me. One thing that keeps us all up at night
Starting point is 00:57:49 is whether the data is correct. In 2020, the polls were off by eight points in some cases. I think the Biden campaign had better data than anyone else, but even still, that campaign was in Iowa and Ohio at the end, right? Yeah, yeah. What do you, can you talk a little bit about anything you guys have done or that may give you more confidence that you're accurately assessing what the electorate will look like
Starting point is 00:58:16 in November? Yeah, I mean, I think over every single cycle, and you know this, the Democratic data operation iterates. It does not... We iterated backwards for a little bit, but we're iterating forward again. We're iterating in the correct direction, yes. We're not going back. We're not going back.
Starting point is 00:58:31 But I have a great deal of great confidence that we have a robust operation there that's got a lot of data, a ton of it, a very good approach to how we think about it, a conservative approach to how we evaluate what's real and what's not real. I think people watching this back to the polar coaster just shouldn't worry about the head-to-head stuff too much.
Starting point is 00:58:49 I mean, the data that's the best data, of course, is the actual election results. And we kind of know where that's been. But in terms of our operations and what voters we talk to, how we think about registration, how we think about expanding the electorate, you know, where we have to go, I think we have a really sophisticated operation. Democrats have put a lot of resources in the last several cycles into making sure it's strong, it's robust, and we have access to it. Dan Kannon, uh, what's up? For our listeners who are fired up about Kamala Harris and Tim
Starting point is 00:59:15 Walls, where can they go to help you elect them? Thank you, Dan. Thank you, Dan. I was going to get there. Oh, sorry, sorry, sorry, sorry. They can go to go.comalaharris.com. I'll say it again, go.comalaharris.com. Foambank, Canvas Shift, just get involved in any way you can, and we'll sign you up. They'll put you to work, guys. They will. Sign up.
Starting point is 00:59:37 Dan Cannon, thank you so much for joining us, and good luck out there. Thanks, Sean. Thanks, Sean. Thanks, Dan. That's our show for today. We'll be back on Wednesday with Love It and guest host Simone Sanders-Tamzend, Friend of the Pod, MSNBC host, and of course, former Kamala Harris advisor. Jealous.
Starting point is 00:59:58 Haven't seen Simone in a while. Talk to you all soon. If you want to get ad-free episodes, exclusive content, and more, consider joining our Friends of the Pod subscription community at Cricut.com slash Friends. And if you're already doom-scrolling, don't forget to follow us at Podsave America on Instagram, Twitter, and YouTube for access to full episodes, bonus content, and more. Plus, if you're as opinionated as we are, consider dropping us a review to help boost
Starting point is 01:00:20 this episode, or spice up the group chat by sharing it with friends, family, or randos you want in on this conversation. Pod Save America is a Crooked Media production. Our producer is David Toledo. Our associate producers are Saul Rubin and Farah Safari. Reed Cherlin is our executive editor and Adrian Hill is our executive producer. The show is mixed and edited by Andrew Chadwick. Jordan Cantor is our sound engineer with audio support from
Starting point is 01:00:43 Kyle Seglin and Charlotte Landis. writing support by Hallie Kiefer, Madeline Herringer is our head of news and programming, Matt DeGroote is our head of production, Andy Taft is our executive assistant. Thanks to our digital team Elijah Cohn, Hayley Jones, Phoebe Bradford, Joseph Dutra, Ben Hefkote, Mia Molly Lobel, Kyril Pellivive, and David Tolst.

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.