Pod Save America - “The Old Man and the CPAC.”
Episode Date: March 7, 2023Donald Trump says indictments won’t stop him from running. Ron DeSantis tells his Florida story here in California. Joe Biden balances public safety with self-governance in opposing DC’s crime ref...orms. And Semafor’s Dave Weigel joins the pod to take us through the weekend’s GOP shenanigans at CPAC. For a closed-captioned version of this episode, click here. For a transcript of this episode, please email transcripts@crooked.com and include the name of the podcast.
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Welcome to Pod Save America.
I'm Jon Favreau.
I'm Jon Lovett.
I'm Tommy Vitor.
On today's show, Donald Trump says indictments won't stop him from running.
Ron DeSantis tells his Florida story here in California.
CPAC is down to the most hardcore MAGA grifters.
And Joe Biden balances public safety with self-governance in opposing D.C.'s crime reforms.
And here to take us through all the weekend's GOP shenanigans is a reporter who was forced to endure CPAC in person.
Semaphore's Dave Weigel, welcome. Good to be here. My 16th CPAC, by the way,
so I'm glad you have me. Wait, what number? I usually don't get to go on a podcast after
they're over. 16? 16 CPACs? Yeah, yeah. That's so many CPACs. That's a lot.
Since the days when they thought George Bush won existed, which is not really a thing anymore
at CPAC or the conservative movement.
But since people would wake up at like 3 a.m. to go see George Bush.
Yeah, I guess there's like a few CPACs a year.
So it's not right now.
There are there used to be just one.
That's part of the story.
OK, I'm doing too much talking for.
No, no, no.
Before we begin, I think, Lovett, you have.
Yeah, you have.
You have a little housekeeping for for us.
Yes.
You bet I do.
We've got a special episode on the Love It or Leave It feed with Ike Barinholtz, Mitra Juhari, Poppy Liu, and Dave Stassen, who's one of the producers of History of the World Part 2.
We did a very funny episode as part of the launch of History of the World Part 2.
And I've seen it.
It's great.
And the episode is really funny.
And everybody should check it out.
Nice.
I love it.
All right, let's get into it.
Donald Trump dominated a conservative political action conference
that was both emptier and more extreme than ever.
The twice-impeached loser of the last election
handily won the 2,000-person straw poll with 62%.
Ron DeSantis, who skipped CPAC, came in second with 20%.
Failed Michigan gubernatorial candidate Perry Johnson, who skipped CPAC, came in second with 20 percent. Failed Michigan
gubernatorial candidate Perry Johnson, who I hadn't heard of until yesterday, came in third
with five percent. Nikki Haley got three percent. No one else broke one percent. Trump said right
before his more than hour and a half speech that he, quote, wouldn't even think about leaving the
race if he gets indicted and then tried to frame his candidacy as a vehicle for revenge uh here's a clip in 2016
I declared I am your voice today I add I am your warrior I am your Justice and for those who have
been wronged and betrayed I am your Retribution I am your Retribution see some of that Stephen
Miller speech writing is back. Some Old Testament stuff
there. You really can feel it. Right? You get the... Dave, what were some of the biggest applause
lines from Trump's speech? And like, what was the general reaction from the CPAC crowd to Trump?
Well, the crowd was there to see Trump. And we had spent three days and more people came on
Saturday just to see Trump, just to get in that room. Rapturous for everything and rapturous for just like what I'm kind of used to
in a Trump stump speech now.
And he hasn't made that many, but I still have the muscle memory
for what kind of promises he makes.
He's been, I would say, was really striking how little applause there was
for anyone but him because Nikki Haley was there and half filled the room.
You mentioned, as you mentioned, Mike Pompealey was there and half filled the room. You mentioned,
as you mentioned,
Mike Pompeo was there,
filled it less,
lost the crowd a little bit
as it was going.
And I try not to do
the theater criticism version
of things,
of watching a speech
and nodding.
No, you should.
That's what we're here for.
But it was,
none were making an argument
that you could sum up as,
Donald Trump used to be president
but he can't win again. They would kind of hint at it. Haley hints at how we've lost the popular vote But it was none were making an argument that that you could sum up as Donald Trump used to be president.
And but he can't win again. They would kind of hint at it.
Haley hints at how we've lost the popular vote. Seven of the last eight elections.
Hint, hint. He actually lost it. And Pompeo talks about how he was tough on China and Trump was not to sum that up.
Just people didn't react to that at all. Like no one reacted to the lines that were, hey, there's this guy who's going to speak later and he can't win. No one reacted, totally sitting on their hands. Every Trump line hit. Yeah. As usual.
It's funny. Nikki Haley and Michael Pave are observing Republican politics very closely for
a long time. And the one thing we know really works for them is subtlety. That's the move for
them. When you were talking to some of the attendees, were they as into Trump as they
always have been? Or did you detect people being open to some alternatives, even if the sort of oblique lines from from Haley and Pompeo didn't really hit? one person who said they would steal it, which is actually a pretty common view.
One person who said they thought Biden could win again because they underestimate him.
The rest were basically anyone can win.
Trump had it stolen from him last time.
But this is the sample size,
but this is about as half as big as CPAC in its prime.
And if I didn't actually go to the 2020 CPAC
that Borat was at,
like the one where COVID was coming down,
you have the clip of Mike Pence saying, as of today, there are 27 cases of COVID-19.
I wasn't at that CPAC.
I skipped that.
I was just covering Democrats, like everyone dropping out for Biden.
But I remember it used to fill that whole National Harbor Conference Center, and it didn't anymore.
And a lot of people left because of the scandals around, well, one scandal around Matt Schlapp,
which he has denied making an unwanted sexual advance on a Herschel Walker staffer there in court.
He says he didn't.
Most Republicans will say he didn't, but a lot of them said, well, it was a great year to skip.
So, like, Fox Nation skipped after spending a quarter of a million dollars. The RNC spent eighth of a million dollars previous years. They skipped this
one. A lot of people just said it's not worth it. Maybe they'll come back. And it didn't have
the function it used to have. Well, there's Donald Trump or well, there's a Republican field.
Who else is in this? It didn't have that function. It just was about a Trump restoration with some
other people allowed to come along and hang out.
I didn't hear the only conversation about like who should run for vice president.
It wasn't about Haley. It wasn't about Pompeo or anyone else.
It wasn't about Perry Johnson, who I knew I know more about, but I'm not sure it's worth spending time on him.
It was Carrie Lake. Carrie Lake was there on for the Reagan dinner and she won the VP.
It was just it was just a Trump crowd that thought he won the
election. She won her election. Even though that means they're technically both now president and
governor, they should run for president and vice president. That was the mood.
Tommy, love it. Anything stand out to you guys from Trump's speech?
I mean, I noticed, you know, as with any sequel, you got to kind of up the stakes.
So we went from concern about socialism to Marxism is coming. So everybody keep an eye
out for that. I noticed he flip-flopped on early voting. We're now saying we need to swamp the left with early votes, mail-in votes, same-day votes until we eliminate ballot harvesting. We will become masters at ballot harvesting. That was interesting. They've sort of realized the political implications of telling lots and lots of people not to vote a way that makes it easier for them to vote.
people not to vote a way that makes it easier for them to vote. I always take note of the isolationist language. There was a lot of like, we should be in East Palestine, Ohio, and not in
Ukraine. We should lock down our border, not the Ukrainian border. That's a very extreme sort of
MAGA, America First version of it. It did make me think though, is this all that different than
John Kerry in 2004 saying we should be building firehouses in Indiana, not Iraq.
Right. I mean, there's sort of always a version of this in politics.
It was it was a little bit different than that.
I would say it was different than CPAC one year ago because CPAC 2022 is the same weekend that Russia invades invades Ukraine.
And no one knew what to think yet. So you started to hear some people in the crowd.
And no one knew what to think yet.
So you started to hear some people in the crowd.
I remember talking to a congressional candidate named George Santos and asking for his take,
which is now the mainstream take, that we shouldn't be involved at all.
Like, Russia's not that bad, et cetera.
But I remember a lot of the speeches talked about the bravery of Zelensky.
And they weren't, the narrative hadn't shifted yet to any money spent there as being taken away from widows and orphans in America.
It's also, you mentioned the Kerry thing. The difference between this and that, though, is they're not saying and we should also be spending more money.
And they're saying it when George Bush wasn't like passing infrastructure bills and like going to open bridges.
Biden is. So they're just it's just kind of like a knee jerk line that is not followed up.
And that's why we will instead of Ukraine, we're going, well, I guess it's finishing the wall, but not a bunch of other policy.
Trump has been kind of policy centric in his in his campaign so far.
And no one has really competed with him.
I mean, Nikki Haley barely says what she's going to do, but it's not building more stuff.
It's I'm going to get in there, lock the border back down, stop Medicaid from covering gender, gender identity therapy, all that.
He's been heavy on that, but not we're going to build things.
It's that the country is about to collapse because of Joe Biden.
I mean, he needs to stop him.
Not a fan of the flying cars in the Midwest megacities?
Oh, the Freedom Cities.
That's a policy, though.
The Freedom Cities.
They do sound like just somebody from the UAE just talked to Trump and got him at the buffet.
It's a Saudi Neom.
Yeah.
Somebody showed him that. Like the line. It's a Saudi Neom. Yeah. Somebody showed him that.
Like the line.
He saw that video on Twitter.
Things that no one would want to live in
and no one will ever live in,
but they look amazing on a render
that you can show somebody in a PowerPoint.
That's right.
And I think my guess,
a couple of days ago,
I haven't gone to his brain trust.
My guess is if it looks really cool
in another country,
he does military parades, right?
He went to France.
They marched.
He thought that looked cool.
He tried to do it in America.
Yeah.
I think he's definitely been like
MBS-pilled
by the coolness
of these city designs.
You can tell that his staff
is definitely aware
of the criticism
that all he does
is talk about
his own personal grievances
because you can hear him
try to make the turn
a little bit in the speech
towards the grievances of others
with the retribution.
I am your retribution line.
It doesn't make a lot of sense.
I mean, there were a lot of January 6th people there
and people wearing shirts like, you know,
Ashley Babbitt murdered by Capitol Police.
That was a theme there.
So I think he was leaning into that too.
That was a hit.
He dropped a January 6th song.
He did.
Literally a collaboration with January 6th people who were in prison.
It was him reciting the pledge, I think, and them singing.
I've always wanted them to work together.
A lot of people have been saying that.
I do think in general the crime stuff got, it's getting even darker with each new speech,
even if the policies aren't really changing.
Like he's talked about creating the tent cities before, but now it's for the homeless, the drug addicted and the severely
deranged. He's added as well. He's talking about cracking down on juvenile criminals.
He said on these out of control monsters, young though they may be and impose tough
consequences on juvenile criminals. It's like, yeah, pretty. It's getting pretty dark.
Yeah. There's no point in saying, oh, how hypocritical that thing that Donald Trump
said, like, who cares?
But it is a reversal from the 16 and 20 versions where he was running against a Democrat who
was there in the 90s and said, like, maybe some criminal should go to jail.
And he thought he could drive a truck through that to some Democratic voters.
Still, one of my favorite moments of the 2020 campaign, which is it's
not hard to choose because it was a good campaign was there was like a week when there were
ads in Pennsylvania both saying Joe Biden put too many black men in jail and Joe Biden
is going to get rid of the police near to get murdered.
Yeah.
And he's gotten more.
I mean, he will never talk about the First Step Act again.
Right.
He said now he's now a crime guy.
Yeah.
He's vacillated.
But he now has said a number of times yeah he's vacillated but he now has
said a number of times that he that he that he blames jared pushing him into that he regrets it
and sort of redounding back to his his comfort zone here yeah i mean this is who he was in the
80s like you know central park five trump um so that felt i mean not just stephen miller gave him
a script but that feels very trump like he's watching tv he watches uh you know newsmax or
tucker carlson or something he sees the footage you know i could probably all find the neighborhood
like venice and like downtown la that they get the b-roll he sees that and he's like lock him up
lock him up put him in a put him in a tent city uh out in the desert in palmdale and he seems
even more passionate about crime than immigration even in in the latest couple speeches like he
still has his immigration lines,
but it really seems like he's zeroing in on the crime
is where he really wants to make his crazy mark.
We can mock the writing and it is terrible writing,
but you see Pompeo and you see Haley up there
with these insipid, boring, flat speeches
without much to say.
And Trump gets up there and says,
I am your retribution. And if I'm indicted, I'm going to run even harder. And Trump gets up there and says, I am your retribution.
And if I'm indicted, I'm going to run even harder. And he cosplayed as a candidate,
then he cosplayed as president. Now he's back. And it's very it is powerful in that room.
Also, they sound both they both sound like, you know, neocons from the Bush era, right? Like
Trump started the speech with anti-war pro-entitlement rhetoric.
Bullshit as it may be, like Nikki Haley and Mike Pompeo didn't even really try to go there.
Trump paints the most apocalyptic vision of the future of the country out of anyone by far.
I mean, he literally says, basically, if you don't elect me, you're going to have World War III.
In this context, he's talking about how easy it would be for him to stop the war between Russia and Ukraine. But he means it in all kinds
of ways, like culturally, the world is going to end. Financially, the world is going to end. The
whole thing is a sort of like, it really is kind of an old estimate apocalyptic vision.
And he's going to keep having that lane, if not to himself. I mean, DeSantis had no answer on
Ukraine. Now his answer on Ukraine is the Trump answer. Haley doesn't have that answer. And there's just no shrinking and shrinking and shrinking
pool of Republican voters to talk to if you believe maybe America should take a role in
helping Ukraine win. That's not his position. That's not the one that's going to win.
I think it'd be cool if he said, and if I'm indicted, I'm just going to step back and
really focus on my defense.
So he didn't mention any of his current rivals by name, though he did say this.
We had a Republican Party that was ruled by freaks, neocons, globalists, open border zealots,
and fools.
But we are never going back to the party of Paul Ryan, Karl Rove and Jeb Bush.
We're not going back to people that want to destroy our great social security system, even some in our own party.
I wonder who that might be.
So we've been talking about how Trump wants to define DeSantis and the other candidates as establishment rhinos in the mold of Jeb and Paul Ryan.
How much of a challenge do you think that will be for him, particularly with DeSantis?
With DeSantis, the opening is there because DeSantis was a congressman for six years.
He was there during the, not the first debt limit fight, but let's stop Obamacare.
He signed on to every Ryan budget. So, so the numbers are there for it.
It just, none of that became, became law. Uh,
I think he can do it because DeSantis, he could at least,
he at least, um, stagger him because DeSantis has never,
he just doesn't take questions. People who ask about that. I mean, he, uh,
he's on this bill talking and talk about it, this media tour, uh,
the speaking tour, he talks to friendly media that just ask him how well he's doing.
I mean, he's created or created or handed handed like, you know, for for advice to his friendly media.
So he's like the most veal pen candidate in this race.
He just never he never has somebody ask him about a part of his record.
And this is not like a scandalous part of record.
It's became scandalous because Trump won.
And this is not like a scandalous part of the record. It's became scandalous because Trump won and you're not allowed to be interested in slicing back entitlements in Trump's Republican Party. He's never asked. So I think I think if he forces DeSantis to an answer, I think that's the first thing I think DeSantis it comes down to the nickname. He's been testing out even more nicknames. And if you want to cast DeSantis' establishment,
maybe you go with Ron Deestablishment,
which apparently he's testing out.
Ron DeSonest.
But then he's also been testing out Tiny D, which... I don't know. What do you guys think?
Grown adult.
Grown adult.
I wonder who the freaks are when you're saying...
That's what Lovett was asking me that before we were recording.
Who are the freaks?
Let's see. We don't know who the freaks are. I'm saying that's what love is before we're recording they're a little i want to i'm i'm just let's see i we don't know who the freaks are i'm like there's you know there's there's homophobia under freaks i'm just it's something to keep an eye on so i'll keep our
heads about us you can't be a fun freak well sure you can't i don't think that's what trump would
mean i think if we when he was the first to call call rove in the bush years you can think he's
talking about ken melman talking about the pro-gay uh side of the republican party they're trying to kind of uh excommunicate yeah
the uh the the tiny d thing um you know it's because his last name starts with d and it could
be a reference to his penis and he's short yeah i hadn't thought about it that way you get it but
surprising i feel like trump's attention span i'm on true social, where his id comes out,
he wants to share these things that kind of malign DeSantis
as a weirdo, as a kind of ambitious, creepy guy.
He shared the pictures of DeSantis at a party
with high school people, maybe.
So I think it's a matter of time before he,
Paul Ryan Republicans, that's not where his heart's going to be. He wants to call this guy a fucking creep, and he's going to get there, and it's just a matter of time before he this Paul Ryan Republicans. That's not where his heart's going to be.
He wants to call this guy a fucking creep and he's going to get there.
And it's just a matter of time.
Mm hmm.
Yeah, I he's been trying.
And within the media, I will see people react as if this is the this is it, guys.
Like this will be getting ready for Trump going negative.
Just no one on the right ends up caring.
Just no one on the right ends up caring. I think there's such strong closure around their media system that I'll mention more than ever. I mean, even five years ago, I'd mentioned a Republican voter or something I'd heard. More than ever, if it's like a Trump pushback against DeSantis, they haven't heard much about it because he does it on true social. He doesn't do it when he does the Newsmax newsmax or john solomon interview um i mean he needs to he needs to say
more out loud i think for for them to for people to become aware like there's a video clip of him
attacking and he's he's been he does he does have like the the poster version of his of his attacks
and then the one that he will go out and deliver yeah that's interesting because like we were
talking about how desantis has avoided criticizing trump directly because he's worried about pissing
off Trump voters. I wonder if the reverse is true as well, where like Trump doesn't want to go too
hard. Again, truth social aside, for example, he didn't mention DeSantis' name. He, you know,
didn't. He said, oh, I wonder who I'm talking about. I wonder if he's doing that because he
knows that a lot of Republican voters actually, even though if they love him, they like Ron DeSantis as well.
Well, like the ecosystem is different than it was in 16 and then 20 was the president.
So it's different. But he used to he used to tweet things.
Everyone in the media is on Twitter. People in the media would write.
I remember I think it's CNBC still has the image that pops my head every time of this is breaking news.
Trump tweet like the guy around like it's announcing the land invasion
um and he doesn't do that so he will he will post some stuff on true social people on true social
like kind of see it and if you love trump already you say i wish you wouldn't and you move on um
but he's not tried to like that's what's there are many things different about this race weirder
about this race that is the biggest one thus far is that the media is just is just having
we're covering something that is happening next to the the DeSantis Trump battle and nothing they're doing
is is being trafficked through the mainstream media. It's just like people will will report
back to like Maggie Haberman, John Swan or whatever. He had this insult. And that's it.
Like he's not going on. But it used to be I mean, I remember being Wisconsin with like Ted Cruz.
Trump had tweeted some stuff and everyone in the press corps was like, what do you make of this tweet?
And Cruz would say, I don't like it.
Well, there was that gathering in Palm Beach and Trump could have gone much harder than that.
It's like, forget, it's like there's still, he's leaving a little bit of like an off ramp for people that are, you know, DeSantis curious or for people that skip CPAC to do Club for Growth.
He's still leaving space for those people to come home.
I just, I still find the Rhino thing hard to believe.
I watched DeSantis' Reagan Library speech,
and there is a very establishment-y vibe about him.
He's at this presidential library.
He's not like the Gipper.
He's not like a thousand-watt smile with his jokes
that he's told 10,000 times about Hollywood,
but he's there with his wife and his four- and six-year-old,
and they're telling stories,
and he's trying to have a personality and seem like a human being,
but he's more optimistic than Trump.
What I thought he said that needled Trump a bit
is he said, you didn't hear from my team
lots of leaking and backbiting.
We just got stuff done.
We did it efficiently
and we beat the libs over and over again.
That felt like a direct shot at the Trump White House. And then he said, he talks about how we did an
outsourced decision making on COVID to Fauci and creating, quote, a Fauci and dystopia or a,
quote, biomedical security state. So it does seem like DeSantis is just really laying down
a path to go hard at Trump over COVID handling. Yeah. Everything you mentioned is about Trump.
He does that in his book, too.
I mean, everything I pulled out from his,
I did like a speed read right as soon as it was coming out.
And the stuff that jumps out is,
it's not just how he retells the stories, but he'll mention.
And then the White House got this wrong.
Or even the way that he, the whole Disney thing,
which I don't need to recapitulate the whole thing,
but basically he legislatively,
the way he took away the Disney
State in Central Florida was attaching it at the very end of a special session. He has a whole
section about how smart he was going behind the scenes to do that implication. There are some
Republicans who are unable to smartly do anything behind the scenes. It leaks the front page of New
York Times. It leaks on. They do a 60 minutes thing about it. Not him. I mean, he just knows
how to move in there with the SEAL team and attack and win and get out.
I think you cover this, too. There are a number of times in the book where he talks about DeSantis talks about how he was ready to do the right thing.
He had to wait for Trump to come on board. I wanted to move the the the embassy to Jerusalem.
He had to get Trump on board. I wanted to do this on covid and Trump did or didn't know what he was going to do.
do this on COVID and Trump did or didn't know what he was going to do.
Yeah, because I would say it's even establishment.
It really is.
He is the like the Tea Party seed planted in 2011.
That is him.
That is the Mark Meadows version of things.
A lot of these guys melded with Trump and their brands got crossed with Trump.
But he is more more of a 2011 like we need to destroy the left's march through institutions.
And Tea Party was it was I mean, it's some argument you could make about barely about finance, like the budget is not smaller after the Tea Party fades away.
It was about we didn't realize our country is being taken away from us.
How do we get it back?
And his answer 10 years later is, well, I figured it out.
You just, you know, like win supermajority control of a state and pass bills and watch
them cry.
And like what he's doing in New College, that's that general story of I use the power of the state to dismantle the academic left. Trump was president for four years. Trump didn't
do that. Trump never thought of attaching. So that's that point you make about the book. That's
totally it. If you read it as who isn't good at this, the answer in the book is always Donald
Trump. Yeah. Yeah yeah he says you don't
see a drama in palace intrigue you see surgical precision and execution that's right just that's
about trump um no no kellyanne conway in the santa's world yeah i so i can't imagine that
trump's just back to trump and cpac for a second i can't imagine trump's comments about um running
if he's indicted are too surprising to anyone. But he also said that an indictment would
increase his poll numbers. Tommy, what do you think about that? I mean, it's stupid. Maybe
it would be the case. I over-remember well. Who was the New York Times columnist who said that
the FBI just gave the nomination to David Brooks, right? So I think any kind of prediction like that
is silly. Trump is obviously going to make the silliest version, which is it will help me 10 times more than you think. But I take nothing at face value from him. And I think the attitude was, well, is this going to be their answer to the Dobbs decision? And neither the Republican candidate nor any voter thought that way.
They're like, hey, that's Trump.
They're probably rooting him or whatever.
They didn't factor it in.
For the hardcore MAGA voter, he needs to spin it, though, because Ron DeSantis is not going to be indicted for anything.
And he needs to make it a badge of honor.
You didn't get indicted i did
he did you're pushing them so hard where why aren't they indicting you yeah but he has like
has plenty of things that like the the wrong people attack him over just not like the he has
he has other things like he's been at war with with like the uh federal government the education
education department the he criticized the mar-a he can do that mara like a writer
should say he can do that stuff he just like will not personally be indicted so trump needs to
do this is not like this is really only as a trump thing there's never been another republican
who benefits from from actually you know like committing a crime and being charged for it
they'll say that i'm being railroaded but yeah i i don't know how that's going to play out i think
it does give him a short-term burst because everyone talks about him and every other republican Republican will react by saying this is terrible, this is a miscarriage of justice.
I don't think it's like that.
If DeSantis runs a good campaign, I don't think that's going to be the definitive stop.
I also think that if there is a segment of the Republican Party that could potentially decide the primary
that is very concerned with electability, you know,
Trump running with a couple indictments
might weigh on them
a little bit more than you might think.
Yeah.
It doesn't bother me.
Yeah.
Yeah, it's just a thought.
It didn't help Hillary Clinton
when she was investigated in 2016.
It certainly didn't.
It certainly didn't.
Before we move on from CPAC, Dave, any other notable moments or messages from that circus while you were there for those couple days? I wrote about how much talk there was about China throughout every panel.
And also partly because some people had had had backed out, like I mentioned, these Steve Bannon's group with this Chinese exile, you know, new federal state of China had a huge sponsorship and multiple booths and high tech audio audio visual room.
Because I was interviewing them to get some facts about this group that Steve Bannon supports that wants to overthrow the Chinese Communist Party.
And I was like, who can I talk to for the facts?
And they brought me onto their TV set and just interviewed me.
And I said, well, while we're here.
You were the facts guy.
How many volunteers are at the conference?
But then the Epoch Times network, the same thing. There were a ton of anti-Chinese Communist Party media.
And this has been going on for years, like three, at least three or four years, that a lot of the Chinese exile following Gong, like, let's, we cannot have peace
so long as Xi Jinping is premier. They really were feeling themselves and they were much more present.
And that attitude that everything stemmed from this coming conflict with China, which people
like Joe Biden are making worse, which Trump tried to win. We blew past Pompeo. But like,
that's the point he's trying to make that no one's listening to is that Trump actually got kind of snowed by these guys.
I wouldn't.
I think he is attitudinally correct, like right there with the base, but just they're
not paying attention to him.
But the idea that China just literally they try to destroy us with the COVID virus.
They tried to destroy Donald Trump personally by releasing it when it was an election year.
They they're stealing our IP.
They're spying on us.
All that much more kind of like a great power conflict.
Even though they're moving away from from neocon attitudes, it's more like what I would hear from John Bolton 10 years ago at CPAC.
And you were not hearing the same.
We are in a midnight struggle for for Taiwan.
It's really it's not new.
I mean, this is like who lost China is as old as this version
of China. But I wasn't hearing it at previous CPACs. The move was, let's deescalate. It's the
libs who want to bomb people and get into foreign conflicts. They're not saying we want a war with
China. It's that we need, what's it, Vivek Ramaswamy, who was also there, who's running
for president based on his book. Anti-woke platform. Yeah, and his anti-woke platform
is like, we need a declaration
of independence from China,
cutting off all manufacturing,
all drugs,
go back to 1998
before we had trade sets.
That was like not,
I think it didn't show up
as many articles
because it was less
of a headline grabby
than Trump
or like the anti-trans stuff.
But that was like,
ran through everything.
Every other panel was,
and also the Chinese
are behind this.
And also they're giving us fentanyl.
And also they're addicting
our kids to TikTok, etc.
Incredibly conspiratorial. Yeah. I mean, speaking of the anti-trans rhetoric there,
one of the more horrifying moments was when Daily Wire host Michael Knowles said that, quote,
transgenderism must be eradicated from public life entirely.
The whole preposterous ideology. He and the Daily Wire then threatened to sue anyone who interpreted his
comments to mean that he was calling for harm against transgender people. What do you think
about his attempt at drawing a distinction there? Love it. Yeah. What does he mean? Well,
you look at what the anti-trans far right actually advocates for when they say they want to,
when he describes his ending transgenderism, which is they want to punish doctors,
provide evidence-based care to anyone,
teens, adults, anyone.
They want to ban that care.
They are doing that.
They're banning it in Mississippi and Tennessee
and elsewhere.
They want to punish teachers
who support and embrace trans kids.
And they want to make those teachers afraid
to even talk about LGBT issues
because they're not sure exactly
where the law is going to end.
They want to punish parents
who support those kids.
That's what they're trying to do or they are doing in Texas. And more broadly,
they want to convince parents that if your child says they are trans, they are being deluded. They
are part of a hoax. You should spurn them and not listen to them. This isn't real. They want to ban
trans people for using bathrooms that match their gender, which is another way of saying they want
to make it unsafe for trans people to exist in public. They want to stigmatize and ban gender nonconforming
performances of all kinds. They want to malign nonconforming people and the entire medical
community as a danger to children while claiming that in order to protect kids, they have to do
medically, scientifically unjustified examination of kids in order to comport with an anti-trans
moral panic about sports. And as they do all of
that, they then mock anyone who trans, non-binary, just gay or queer, or just not comporting with
standards of masculinity and femininity. They want to ostracize anyone who does that as being
depraved and a harm for children. So not only are we going to tell you what your gender is,
there's only one way to be that gender. So it's live exactly how we tell you to live. Then you have our permission to exist. So no, I don't think there is a distinction. When they say they want to end the ideology, they do mean they want to make it impossible for trans people or non-binary people to exist in public life.
to exist in public life. Uh, and so they are part of an eradication campaign as all, uh,
fascistic movements do. They like to troll and pretend they're not saying what they're obviously saying. Claim offense when you point out the implications of what they're actually saying.
Uh, you know, it's, um, we're here to fix you is what they want to say.
Like that's like Michael Knowles is kind of a slimy, like B team propagandist at the daily
wire. And he knows exactly what he's doing here. He
chose the word eradicated for a reason. And he chose the word transgender ism for a reason,
because he wants to make clear that he doesn't think transgender people have the right to exist,
but then get offended when you point out how dangerous that language is, or the logical
extension of that language. And I agree with you, it's a distinction without a difference,
because he has said previously that transgender people quote are not a legitimate
category of being and therefore cannot be the target of genocide but that doesn't make it
better you can't tell people that they are illegitimate these are human beings it's a group
of people you're saying you don't exist that you that you you can't exist you can't live your life
in the way you want that is the definition of dehumanizing language. And so, yes, this guy is
like a B-list troll, but he also has influence. Until very recently, he did a podcast with Ted
Cruz, until Ted Cruz dumped him to go take the show to iHeart. But he's not the only one talking
like this. It's like TPUSA, it's Candace Owens types, it's the Daily Wire. And they try to gloss
over it with like faux intellectual language sometimes.
And then Charlie Kirk will go and say, man, we should take care of these trans people the way men did in the 50s and 60s, meaning physically harm them.
And so I do think it's worrisome.
It should be called out.
We should refuse to play his little word game.
And if he wants to sue people that say as much, fuck you, sue them.
If someone gave a speech talking about eradicating Judaism or Christianity or Mormonism, what do you think the reaction would be? Yeah.
And if they didn't say Jewish people, right? Like, come on. And this, you know, look, this is
influential. Another Daily Wire person spoke at the bill signing of the Mississippi law.
Matt Walsh. Matt Walsh. some of the most incendiary violent rhetoric uh
proudly embraces the fact that he uses violent rhetoric uh around trans people it talks about
going to war against them and so the other just point i would make too is that like the this is
the context of the current this is the context of the state of politics around trans policymaking. You have outright bans. You have fascistic, violent rhetoric emanating from very big media organizations on the right. It is everywhere. It is on Fox. It is at CPAC. It is in the states. It is coming from powerful people inside of states.
inside of states. And then you have a very stupid conversation playing out on Twitter,
dancing on the end of a pin about the meaning of the word bias. And people really do need to get their heads out of their asses and stop focusing so much on the intra-liberal debate taking place
among a very small group of people and actually focus all of their ire and all of their attention
on the actual threat that is playing out right now. Does the coverage that emanates from the New York Times, does that affect the coverage
and the impact in the politics in places like Mississippi and Tennessee and elsewhere?
It absolutely does.
But we should focus on the actual ongoing emergent threat right now.
I was thinking if the New York Times didn't exist, they'd still be doing that.
Yeah, in those states, that would still be happening.
I mean, a lot of the people in these movements,
in these social conservative movements,
look at what happened in the UK.
I think they're speed running it in ways
that are politically a little riskier.
The UK, this is a whole different topic,
but the UK, it crosses party lines.
A lot of the momentum for rolling back
like self-identification and transgender rights
comes from like this thing called the LGB Alliance, like this fairly this fairly fringe group but there are a lot of i'm a gay
man i if i was a gay man and i i was given hormones and i was 10 i would have i wouldn't
have grown up to be who i really am that's kind of absent here it is just the the matt walsh uh
um the matt walsh and michael knowles version of things and in your it's very coherent and i feel
like that is um that like these things are just racing
through state legislatures. There's no opposition that matters to them when they pass. But as a
political cause, it is concentrated completely within the Republican Party. And because it is,
I think it's a little bit less, let's worry about these children and more of that sort of
patent in front of the flag rhetoric of we need to stop this right now.
We were at war against this idea.
I think any of you, any of your people, especially conservatives have been called out.
The idea you could just obviate like an entire idea and way of being somehow legally and it will go away.
I think that that's what happens when you just get so hyped up and you're not listening to yourself.
You don't have it's not a strategy. It is just I want those people to go away. And and we've got
momentum. So let's let's let's pass the make them go away forever law. It doesn't really make sense,
but they don't have left wing allies telling them to moderate these things like they do in the UK.
Yeah, the it's and it is all very there is a, you know, it is very frustrating that this is the
what is happening in our politics and meanwhile
there's a vast kind of anti-woke ecosystem the barry weiss's and jk rowling's and bill mars and
now dave chapelle's of the world all kind of talking about the the the way in which this
whole debate is an imposition on them and the allegations against them that is incredibly
frustrating but politically i feel like we have to move we have to go past them and focus on the actual laws and the substance of the actual bills that are moving through the
state houses, and then make a larger argument about these people like Michael Knowles,
and all these, these right wingers who they just want to tell you how to live in every way they
want to, they want to tell doctors what to do and teachers what to do and parents want to do.
You know, when Mark Kelly, there's a great moment that Mark Kelly had in that debate right before the election where he said something about
that skeleton. What's his name? Blake Masters. We all know guys like this. And Michael Knowles
is another guy like that. And we need to get back to a larger argument about the way in which they
are trying to tell people how to live their lives and tell parents how to parent and teachers how to teach and get it out of this kind of bias, broader debate that plays out
amongst very engaged progressives online. Great segue, because one of the people who's trying to
tell people how to live their lives like that is Ron DeSantis. So let's dig a little bit more into
his speech at the Reagan Library in California that happened on Sunday. Let's take a listen.
speech at the Reagan Library in California that happened on Sunday. Let's take a listen.
It's ideology run amok. That's why the quality of life has declined in places like San Francisco and New York City and Philadelphia and Chicago. It's all rooted in that. And that woke ideology
rejects the core foundational principles that have made this country great. So in Florida, we say very clearly, we will never, ever surrender to the woke mob. Our state is where woke goes to die.
Tommy, you were talking about what you thought of the speech. I'd like to hear
more. It struck me as this is like the first like full Ron DeSantis speech that I've listened to.
I thought it was interesting that he began by trying to tell like the Florida story,
the story about Florida.
And it was much more of like a general election intellectual pitch about what's happened in
Florida than I had expected from Ron DeSantis.
A lot of economic data.
Yeah, which made it really wonky and a little boring.
And then he gets to the culture war stuff at the end of the speech.
And that's where all the applause lines come in.
But it's interesting because we were just talking about Trump's speech and Trump sort of flips it.
Trump didn't speak about the economy and inflation until an hour 30 minutes into the CPAC speech.
And DeSantis does most of the beginning of the speech all about that.
I thought that was interesting.
And that to me was what like gave off the establishment vibes and sort of the Reagan vibes.
I mean, DeSantis also has this little sort of war of words going with Gavin Newsom, where
like Gavin Newsom attacks him in the press and puts up posters in Florida or in Texas
about how great it is to live in California.
And they go back and forth.
And it frankly benefits both of them.
So I wonder if part of that was just needling Gavin Newsom and talking about how much better
it is to live in Florida or have a business in Florida than California, which has seen net outflows of residents and blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
He's like, I was growing up in Florida.
You never saw a California license plate.
Now you see them all the time.
Yeah.
They used to worry us.
You know, so, you know, I there is there there's a piece of the message that's like, I'll do all the culture war stuff, but I'm also good at the job and I'm competent and I'm a little less of a psycho.
And if he wins the primary, he can just sort of drop the last quarter of the speech or at least minimize it.
Right. The anti-woke stuff is why he's famous. The economics is more why he's popular.
When the national press covers his CRT, anti-diversity, anti-gay, anti-trans stuff,
that's what covers the news. But then the part that probably had the biggest impact is
a bonus for teachers or raising teacher salary minimums, right? So he has been very smart,
and we should be aware of that too. He's a great electability argument too,
which he barely won in 2018. And then he kicked Charlie Chris ass in
2022 by like a million votes. Yeah, he doesn't even say as much as he could. I mean, that they
like got a super majority. They now have like no Democratic opposition to speak of. Like they
humiliated like everyone up and down, up and down the ballot. It's also it's also coherent. So the
thing that if you're like going to Reagan Library to see him and, you know, you're like a deputy
undersecretary of something and you retired, you know know like Sherman Oaks and you want to see him you want to hear more
about the economic stuff it's more that he is a um like Trump although Trump kind of came around
to it it's kind of ham ham fisted like the DeSantis theory of how the world works is just
there is an incompetent elite who was revealed by COVID to be incompetent we never need to listen
to them and if and if hey if they were wrong about COVID, what else are they wrong about?
I bet everything.
I bet they're wrong about everything.
So look at our tourism data.
And then while you're looking at it,
look at our school choice program.
Look at our bill that makes it illegal
for a fourth grade teacher to have a rainbow flag
in the room.
Expiritated that, well, they're wrong about COVID.
And that actually, as just like an icebreaker,
as a way to get an audience going has been very effective. And he's built on it with this very,
you know, I think liberals think you mentioned Orban in Hungary, and that might spook people.
In Florida, not really controversial. There's cross-pollination that they talk about between
a European state that figures, all right, we don't trust the experts. We're going to build
our own national national state and go back to traditional values. Exactly what he's doing.
And so he actually only sells it as well as like, unlike Trump, I feel like once he's rolling,
he's the best explaining why why like people liked him in office. The DeSantis version can
be a little more boring than the one that excites people so much, which is like, I am going to personally, it's not just like humiliated Fauci, but I
humiliate like the medical whole entire medical industry, the same people who are providing,
you know, HRT and stuff.
They're probably wrong, too.
They're probably in it for the money, too.
It's like, I don't know how long, but I sometimes hear people think, oh, can you just talk about
COVID forever?
And it's more than COVID.
It's like every time I'm tested, I disagree with the establishment and I'm right. The thing I'm trying to figure out is about this
primary with him and Trump is it seems like DeSantis' argument is it's very intellectual
argument. He's trying to make a case. He's trying to like, it's a head argument, right?
And obviously there's a, I think among college educated Republicans, we're seeing this in
the early polls already. DeSantis is like crushing Trump among college educated Republicans.
But knowing the composition of the Republican Party right now and how most of the party now is non-college educated white folks, I sort of wonder if there are and there's more of them than the college educated set in the Republican Party.
Sort of wonder if that argument will find an audience
as big as Trump's argument.
Yeah, I mean, I feel like the Trump,
what you were talking about,
trying to make him look like
part of the establishment thing
is a good way in.
Just anyone who's been,
who's held elective office
can't be trusted,
which is something like
DeSantis trafficked in.
Like he won his house seat
by beating a guy
who'd served one term
in the state legislature
and he called him a career politician.
Like he knows how this works.
Yeah.
But that DeSantis argument, I mean, he like leonard skinner wrote a song for him he does have that appeal to the beer track voter and he destroyed i mean he had like historic
margins with exactly the kind of voter we're talking about better than trump not just like
miami and palm beach county but like that guy who has the trump flag absolutely i mean the flag i've
seen i've been to florida in a minute but i've seen a lot of like Trump DeSantis flags. It is just convincing people that you should dump him
and put him in power. But I've not met a Trump voter who does not like DeSantis and worse are
like he should just get more seasoning and then be president for eight years after Trump.
And it does seem like and you guys were talking about this with DeSantis's book.
It seems like his argument against Trump that's emerging, and right now
it's a very sort of
oblique argument,
is that Trump was just
sort of messy
and undisciplined.
It's a competence thing.
Yeah, right?
And that like,
the guy,
first there's
an electability argument,
there's also a,
he made decisions,
he wasn't great
at making decisions,
he was kind of impulsive,
you see his behavior,
you don't like his behavior,
I'm like,
just a smarter version of him. Yeah, I'll own the libs without the chaos.
in Yale and I learned I must destroy these people.
He never emphasized that he went there except to say, and I learned,
that they are destroying America from within. They have been
for decades. Not, look at my shiny
degree. Doesn't care about it.
Sometimes people make good points.
Worst person you know.
The worst person I know just made a really good point.
So, here's some of what DeSantis
wants to get through Florida's
annual legislative session that begins this week. Concealed carry without a permit, eliminate diversity and equity programs at state colleges, expand school vouchers, allow death sentences without a unanimous jury, repeal in-state tuition for dreamers, make it easier to sue the media for libel and further restrictions on abortion.
further restrictions on abortion. Lovett, what do you think are the biggest targets on that list for Democrats should, well, I was gonna say, should DeSantis make it to the general, but maybe
to start talking about right now while he's still in the primary? Yeah, so just first of all,
when he did the banning of diversity and equity programs, he said he wants to fight ideological
conformity, which but and the way he's doing it is by banning one kind of teaching and mandating
Western civ. And it's like nothing
makes us more kind of ideologically
heterodox than everybody
does a week on the fucking Greeks and then everybody does
a week on the Romans and then one week on Jesus
then about the Dark Ages.
That's just a small point I wanted to make.
But I was just like,
okay. Trump is talking about architecture too.
It's all just this
it really is just like, I don't know why these things always end up going together too It really is just like
I don't know why these things always end up going together
But that's fascism for you
Oh yeah Trump wants to clean up the building
Yeah they want Roman columns
They want symmetrical columns
Big fucking arches
None of this modern shit
It's 2023 like pave a road
You're against the Bauhaus
What the fuck is going on
So stupid Anyway the fuck is going on so stupid like i would
be trapped with these fucking assholes anyway the point is two two policies i'd pull from that one
further restrictions on abortion florida currently has a 15-week abortion ban that has exceptions for
life or serious injury but not for sexual assault or incest de santis is aware of how bad the
politics on this are he barely references abortion in the the book. I think it seems like he'd
hoped the 15 week ban would get him through, but it won't. Activists feel like he's not leading.
There's a push for a six week ban. He's now embraced that push. The only reason the only
thing that stands in his way is a Republican supermajority and some resistance among Republicans
in in the Senate. So that's that is going to be, I think, something Democrats try to make
toxic with some hard votes, even though they don't have the ability to stop it. And then the other
is concealed carry. Only 14% of Americans want looser gun laws. Most Republicans don't. Most
conservatives don't. Concealed carry without a permit is an 80-20 issue, even among Republicans,
only 35% support it. I think abortion is a big one then the then the permanent concealed carry and then he's going after these fucking dreamers rick scott signed the bill to uh uh allow dreamers to use
in-state tuition by 80 20 americans republicans everybody believes dreamers should be able to
stay and have a good life and it's this cruel thing rick scott went out of his way to criticize
de santis over that the only reason he's doing it is because he's such a fucking loser of an issue. Yeah. I gotta say, too,
that he's dictating
what exactly is taught in our
schools and going through colleges, too.
I don't think it's
super popular across the country
because it doesn't really scream freedom.
Well, that's why he makes the point about we're fighting
ideological conformity. He feels the weakness
that he's going after people's ability to learn what they
want to learn. Yeah, and unlike the sort of Michael Knowles of the world, he tries to scope his
culture war arguments in ways that sound more palatable. He's like, look, we're just telling
teachers you can't teach sex ed to third graders. He's like, what's so crazy about that? He acts
like sort of the left completely overreact. But arguably maybe the most important bill for
DeSantis in this session would be one
that would allow him to run for president without resigning first. Yes, I saw that one.
Keep an eye on that one.
All right, before we go, President Biden caused a bit of a kerfuffle last week when he tweeted the following about the D.C.
Council's changes to the city's criminal code.
Quote, I support D.C. statehood and home rule, but I don't support some of the changes that the D.C.
Council put forward over the mayor's objections, such as lowering penalties for carjackings.
If the Senate votes to overturn what the D.C.
Council did, I'll sign it.
carjackings. If the Senate votes to overturn what the D.C. council did, I'll sign it. This enraged many criminal justice advocates, D.C. residents and House Democrats, many of whom just voted
against repealing the new criminal code after the Biden administration had released a statement that
also opposed repealing the new criminal code on the grounds that, quote, Congress should respect
the District of Columbia's autonomy to govern its own local affairs. OK, so for people who may not know, what's the backstory on this crime bill?
And why can the federal government overturn what the D.C.
Council does?
Well, D.C. is not a state.
Please call in with your comments about this.
I mean, it's in the Constitution as a zone where the government works.
It has a home rule deal with Congress.
It's had rights mostly expanded
since the 60s,
never not really retract,
except when Newt took over.
They took a couple of hours away
because Marion Barry was mayor.
And there is a tug of war
where D.C. representing liberalism,
representing like a majority
black liberalism and urban policy
is a punching bag for Republicans.
That's just been that's been true
for the entire history of Home Rule,
really, since the 60s.
Home Rule just specifically says that Congress can't review
legislation passed by the D.C. city council.
Yeah, Home Rule is referring to the powers D.C. has.
But in case you get out of line, and this is something that a lot of states
have, Florida, good example.
Lots of laws in Florida pass like, hey, your city is not allowed to do X, Y, Z.
The difference is you can still elect a like a state rep from that city.
You can't in Congress.
Just you have no voting representation.
So that's the back story.
Congress has the power to do this.
D.C. had been working on updating its criminal code, which has not been updated in decades with a combination.
A hundred years, I believe.
Yes, yes.
There have been tweaks.
But like like the last time Congress overturned some of the D.C. criminal code, it was they they reduced like the criminal penalties for like adultery and sodomy.
And Congress said, no, no, no, no.
We need to keep that on the books.
Congress.
But they've been doing this for a while.
They the mayor opposed some changes, the code that were more lenient.
They were like lowering the sentence guidelines, specifically carjacking, carjacking, the one that gets the attention because there's been a rise in carjacking, just like teenagers jacking cars because they do.
It increased some other penalties.
It created like gun crime penalties that didn't exist before.
But the council didn't do a very good job explaining any of this.
And there was a kind of, to the extent anyone heard about it outside D.C., it was the mayor
was against part of it.
A lot of mayors, I mean, like Larry Lightfoot just went down in flames because there are
a lot of Democrat mayors.
If crime went up under your watch, you either quit or lose.
You need a good explanation for it.
But they dawdled because they're not used to Congress. I think they had confidence in Biden. They had confidence in the Democrats, the Senate. They dawdled and they let
it get into the zone where there's 30 days that you have to overturn one of D.C.'s laws. And their
lobbying was, please save this law because it's not the mayor's letter to the Senate, etc. Their
lobbying was not, we're going to defend this bill on the merits.
We're going to defend how it actually increases penalties.
It was, hey, this is not nice.
Like D.C.'s taxation was that representation.
You're doing you're violating our sovereignty.
So they managed to get a fight with Biden over that without getting into any of the substance of the law, which is Mark.
Mark Joseph Stern at Slate has a good article about the criminal code.
There are things in there that are politically toxic, but like there's any bill, any update to the code,
you can like sell it in a particular way. You can emphasize like, actually, this puts more people in
jail for like violent crimes, or you can not say anything, which is what they did. So there's like
a little political story here about the DC council of Democrats. They're all Democrats having no idea how to like politics, just do politics.
But the larger story is, yeah, they tried to update this this code.
It was a I mean, you had a mayor who I think that the iconic Marion Bero Bowser, the mayor of D.C.
move was she painted Black Lives Matter on 16th Street in front of the White House and then activists painted equals defund the police.
And she painted over that like she is a very symbolic. Let's keep think let's keep the party. Let's keep the
party going while saying all the Black Lives Matter slogans kind of mayor. And none of them
are good at politics. Like none of them. None of them were in a good position to say here is a
great series of reforms that will make the city safer. What they were competing with and they had
no idea about is Republicans going home and see their their their voters see images of D.C. on TV or they'll hear reports about the crime there.
And it's just an easy punching bag to say, I went there and I'm not going to let this
this city that can't govern itself like make it more dangerous.
I'm trying to go to work in D.C.
Yeah, just just a case of just, you know, some good some good policy ideas, some probably
bad policy ideas.
And you're just like awful politics, not taking not taking seriously.
They knew Republican majority in the House of like five, you know, a five seat majority or whatever.
Absolutely cannot wait to like dismantle D.C. laws. They hate it.
Tommy, what do you think of the criticism of Biden?
Well, so, yeah, today's when I mean it's it's important to point out the mayor of D.C. opposed the bill.
Right. Her veto was overridden. says she supports 95 of the bill the part she's worried about are parts
that she thinks would explode the number of misdemeanor cases that end up in jury trials
she's worried if every misdemeanor case goes to a jury trial it will overwhelm the system they'll
never get anything done whatever the other part is this uh you mentioned carjacking if there's a
provision that drastically reduces the penalty for armed
carjacking. The recommended penalty. So right now it's 40 years. You're going to explain.
Today, what I read, and tell me I'm wrong. Today, I read that if someone commits an armed carjacking
and the victim is not injured, the minimum sentence is 15 years. The new bill says the
maximum sentence would be eight years. So it's a big difference according to the mayor's office.
So Biden is getting hit on a
number of fronts. The first is people were saying he's undermining DC statehood and I get where they
are coming from, but this is not a DC statehood bill. He would sign a DC statehood bill. It's a
bill going through the current established, but also dumb process, right? So like he's just
working with the system he's got. The second criticism is people who say he's undermining
criminal justice reform.
But I think what Biden would argue is, I'm in favor of decriminalizing marijuana or reducing drug sentences, but I never came out in favor of cutting in half potentially the sentence for an
armed carjacking. The third criticism is from Democrats in the House who voted for this bill,
thinking Biden put out an initial statement of administration policy that made it
seem like he had pledged to veto the bill, even though the SAP didn't specifically say that.
And now these House Democrats feel like they had the rug pulled out from under them because now
Biden says he will allow the bill to pass. So I think that is a very fair criticism from House
Democrats who are like, yo, no heads up.
Confusing statement of administration policy.
Democrats did a terrible job at every part of this.
Yeah, well, that's still the mystery to me is there's somebody in the White House staff who put out this memo.
It wasn't a veto statement.
It was just like, we're against the bill.
And then there was the president who didn't agree with that.
And that's weird.
That doesn't happen that often.
You guys know that, like, the White House comes to a position remanded by the president once he finds out about it.
There's this weird wonky process. I remember learning about it like six months into the White
House where bills come out and all of a sudden there will be a statement that comes out from
OMB called a SAP, Statement of Administration Policy that sort of lays out how you feel about
it. And that's what this is that we're talking about. And that we're talking about that. And
I guess there's just been no real coordination on how that came out and what it really meant.
Yeah. Very good PR push by the antis, by the Republicans on the carjacking.
He mentions in his, the president mentions in his tweet, that is just a very vivid crime that has gotten a lot of negative attention in D.C.
The irony being most of the gruesome cases are like teenagers who wouldn't be subject to the full criminal code because they're juveniles.
But every time, I mean every it bleeds, it leads
every time there's one of those stories, even I'll be across the country and I'll hear about it. I'll
like notice a Fox News does have as much as there's like closure around conservative media.
Fox News has the power by it ping pongs it to a member, a Republican member of Congress,
that Republican member of Congress made his speech. Fox News was driving a lot of this.
The White House reacts to Fox News and the D.C. Council
doesn't. And the rest of Democrats like Durbin, the rest, I think they just didn't know what's
going on. As far as I can tell, they just had no idea how this is going to play out.
Yeah, I do. It's also, you know, this is a criminal justice reform bill going for whatever
tacit approval to a recently elected Republican House, many of whom have said they want to have
more authority over
D.C. One of the people that has spearheaded the effort to reject this law wants to repeal
home rule altogether. Yeah. And so in that abortion in D.C., you know, repeal the gun laws in D.C.
Yes. And so in that context, they this bill goes from the this bill is they overcome the veto
of the mayor. And the mayor basically says, I won't lobby for this through us, through us, through someone on their team says it's not up to the
mayor to lobby for something she doesn't believe in. Right. Which is just you have a kind of
divided D.C. government sending up a controversial bill in which you need basically democratic
unanimity. Yeah. And once it was clear that it might not might not be able to get through the
Senate, which it was very easily going to lose, you know, your mansion, your cinemas, then a couple others. All of a sudden, it's whether
or not Biden is going to actually veto it and make this a national issue. And clearly they
decided not to. And they'd rather the I'm going to say it's serious of of angry House Democrats
who are right to be angry about this. Yeah. And angry D.C. advocates who are right to be angry
about this than have a national issue in which D.C. Democrats supported these carjacking rules.
I mean, there's two issues here.
One, you know, there's criticism that the president can't be for D.C. statehood and and and self-rule while still repeal signing the repeal of this criminal code.
And I just think that, like you said this, as of right now, the federal government still has the legal responsibility
to review what the dc council does right like we wish it weren't so but that's the law right now
and i don't know that they can abdicate that responsibility just because they don't like
what the law and the constitution usually do like the council will pass something and then
congress won't do anything about it but what i'm saying is if congress takes it up if the republicans just which they did in this case and decide to pass a resolution
joe i don't think that joe biden the democrats can just say like oh well the reason we're not
doing anything about is because we don't it's because we don't like the law because if the dc
council right decided to outlaw abortion in the district and i suspect that most pro-choice
activists and progressives and us would be saying, hey, Joe Biden and the Democratic Congress, you should step in and do something about that because you have the power to do it.
We probably would.
Yes, I think that's right.
Right.
I also.
So I think we have to separate that from the substance of the law, which people don't people aren't as exercised about.
Of course.
But the reality here, though, is that this is not because the Democrats feel a responsibility to govern D.C.
It is because they know you're you're soft on crime.
You're pro carjacking is a more powerful and potent attack than I was just deferring to the city council, as we all believe we should do.
Right. But I think all of the focus has been on the politics of this and the politics of crime.
But like and obviously the carjacking has received a lot of attention.
And Mark Joseph Stern's piece in Slate is interesting on this.
And it's been widely circulated.
And he talks about how like the maximum sentence for armed carjacking has been reduced from 40 years to 24 years,
even though the harshest penalty for that crime that's usually given is around 15 years.
So he's like, what's the problem, right?
But then like if you look at all the reduced maximum penalties in this bill,
now this is the 5% that Mayor Bowser said she doesn't approve.
Carjacking that includes bodily injury is reduced from 21 years to just four years.
That's the most common type of carjacking.
They reduce the maximum sentence for first degree murder from life without parole to 40 years.
They reduce the maximum sentences for first degree sexual assault, kidnapping, criminal abuse of a minor, and gun crimes at a time when the number of shootings have been on the rise since the pandemic.
So politics aside, was it smart to do that extra 5%?
If everyone agrees that 95% of the bill is great, critics and supporters, great.
And Mayor Bowser basically said, can you fix the 5% that's not great?
And they said no.
Let me play Ron DeSantis here and preempt dcs but like the pattern in dc like in a lot of cities
has been uh they you look at data the data shows most people getting getting getting arrested and
getting put in prison are black and not white and there have been responses to that policy
this was the most considered to them i think the less considered was the 2018 the council
uh lowers the penalties for jumping
the turnstile and riding the metro
for free, riding the bus for free. That has its
own backlash. It's not as bad as this. This was
procedurally what you should do, which
is years of study for doing
this stuff. They had experts. It was really well
thought out. They really did think it out. It was just
they ran into the buzzsaw of
and the reason I mentioned dawdling
because it is complicated. If they just moved faster and this in like october congress's role was done you can
only do this because they passed it late enough and because bowser vetoed it just everyone in the
process made a mistake not knowing that congress would would do what the republicans of congress
said they would do but yeah that is there were reasons they considered reasons why they tried
to reform this.
But it all got caught up in that discussion. The mayor, you also have India.
I mean, I worked for The Washington Post. You have at The Washington Post editorial board, the voice of a city that says, don't lower any.
What are you doing? Like, we need to, like, sell this as a place to live.
That is as good as it was last year, as good as it was 10 years ago.
Don't change this stuff. Like, they're not calling for harsher penalties. They're just they're just saying,
like, why?
Why do any of this
when the city's image
and the actual rate of crime is higher?
And you've even seen people
like that attitude
has been bubbling up.
So as a political issue
for Republicans to pick,
it's a great one.
It's just not as like it's it's again,
like it was something
the city did,
not just because they felt nice
because somebody said
Black Lives Matter 2020.
They're trying to a bunch of things with this bill.
It just they just did it really with poor timing and bad PR.
That's the shame of it, too.
It's just like, well, yeah.
And you know, the politics of this have gone completely south because the D.C.
Council is trying to withdraw the proposal and act like it never happened.
And Republicans in the Senate are saying, no fucking way.
We're going to have a vote on this.
We want the vote.
It's going to be fun for us.
We like this.
But it does. Yeah. So Republicans have basically said, oh, no, you can't. saying, no fucking way. We're going to have a vote on this. We want the vote. This is going to be fun for us. We like this. This is good for us.
Yeah. So Republicans have basically said, oh, no, you can't. No, no takebacks. You can't. You can't withdraw it now, even though the city council is trying to withdraw it. But it does
seem like they could then just fix the most objectionable parts of this. Like you said,
we have 95 percent of a bill that everyone agrees on and then just pass it again.
From a policy standpoint, I do think that's the key for people who really do want to see, you know, criminal justice reform pushed forward, which is the city council should work with Mayor Bowser, fix the things they need to fix, then pass it together.
A line where they send it to a Republican House.
And maybe it may be also then called Joe Biden in the direction of like, you guys OK with this?
Yeah.
And then somebody talked to Joe Biden.
Just have a meeting. earlier in the process.
Have a meeting.
Come on, drop by.
31 House Democrats voted with Republicans
on this initial bill.
So yeah, there was some bipartisan concern
from the very beginning,
including from Congresswoman Angie Craig,
who was very recently assaulted
in her own building.
The day of the vote.
I mean, this is the thing.
And I mentioned Fox,
not just as I'm like,
it's on Fox, so it must not be true. No, it's like when i travel the country and i mentioned oh i've lived
in dc we're the washington post it's become a thing if i'm a republican event they'll ask me
about if it's safe there the same way that people ask if la is safe like it was getting that
reputation and i think the city was like naive about this they just like didn't believe that
it traveled that far people had this thought is clearly, there's a concerted effort by Republicans to paint
mostly black Democrat-led cities
as unsafe sort of urban hellscapes.
They do it to San Francisco,
they do it to LA,
they do it to Chicago.
It's clear what they're trying
to do politically.
There's very overt racial elements
to these arguments.
But yeah, it's something I think
there's a challenge.
There's that that's been happening
for the last 40, 50 years. And then there's the reality of people in these cities who
are genuinely a little worried about absolutely rising uh you know crime particularly when it
comes to gun crime um some other forms of crime have actually gone down but yeah when there's
like more gun crime then people are going to get nervous you know and it's sometimes as simple as
that okay that's our show for today dave weigel uh from semaphore thank you so much for coming and there's like more gun crime than people are going to get nervous. You know, and it's sometimes as simple as that. Okay.
That's our show for today.
Dave Weigel from Semaphore.
Thank you so much for coming
and regaling us
of Tales from CPAC.
You can't see it at home,
but Dave is waving
two gigantic flags
throughout the entire episode.
Which flags?
He's doing Semaphore.
So you actually got the name.
Oh,
I have no idea
what a Semaphore is.
Can you tell us?
It's an art.
It's not.
It's not.
It's an art, right?
It's a communication.
It's a signalling to a boat or a plane can go into the harbor or land.
Semaphore.
Did Ben come up with this shit?
Hey.
He did.
Well, I don't know.
I wasn't there for that part of it.
I was there for like the putting out the publication part.
Right.
And you know what semaphore is.
And we know what it is.
This.
We know what that is.
But the publication?
Semaphore.
Yeah.
It's online. It's online?
It's online.
It has newsletters, one of which I write called Americana.
I get that one delivered to my inbox all the time.
Thank you.
It's a great, fantastic newsletter.
And it's a great outlet.
Dave Weigel, thanks for joining.
Everyone else, we will talk to you Thursday.
Bye.
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