Pod Save America - Trump's "Liberation Day" Crashes the Stock Market

Episode Date: April 4, 2025

Donald Trump's drastic new tariffs wreak havoc across the global economy, sending markets tumbling and powerful countries reconsidering their alliances—and it turns out they're based on fake math. T...ommy and guest host Emma Vigeland, co-host of The Majority Report with Sam Seder, discuss how Democrats can turn Trump's disastrous "Liberation Day" into a win, Judge Susan Crawford's big victory in Wisconsin, and what Cory Booker's marathon filibuster can tell us about where the Democratic party needs to go. Then, Tommy breaks down Trump's tariffs with economics journalist James Surowiecki, who was the first to suggest that Trump's math didn't add up. Later, Tommy talks with former national security advisor and UN Ambassador Susan Rice about Signalgate, Trump appeasing Russia, RFK's assault on our public health, and more.

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Starting point is 00:01:20 will fund trillions of dollars in debt? Or how China is building so much nuclear power. Or what's behind the US egg crisis. I'm Tracy Allouay. And I'm Joe Weisenthal. And we are the host of Bloomberg's Odlots podcast. Every Monday, Thursday and Friday, we pull back the curtain on the financial forces
Starting point is 00:01:36 shaping our world, hosting the most interesting conversations in finance, markets and the economy. Check out Odlots from Bloomberg on Apple, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Tommy Vitor. Both John and Dan are away this week. Happy Liberation Day to them. So we thought we'd take the opportunity to mix things up a little bit and what has turned
Starting point is 00:02:19 into a wild news week thanks to President Trump's announcement about tariffs and subsequent stock market crash. So joining me today is my co-host is the excellent Emma Vigeland. She's the co-host of the Majority Report with Sam Seder and one of the smartest political analysts out there. Emma, great to see you. Welcome to the show. Oh, thank you, Tommy, for the kind words.
Starting point is 00:02:39 I really appreciate you having me on today. I'm very excited to have you on. We are going to talk about the politics of Trump's tariffs, the Democratic Party's big win in Wisconsin, some signs of hope about how Democrats are fighting back, and how to fix some of these lingering divisions between the moderate and more progressive wing of the Democratic Party.
Starting point is 00:02:58 Do you think we can heal the wounds from 2016 today? Can we finally do it? I mean, never say never, but we're gonna, I think, move that ball along. I'm gonna move the needle. I mean, jokes aside, I am really excited to talk to you about this, because I know you come from more of the DSA, you know, Bernie wing of the party,
Starting point is 00:03:19 but you are also pragmatic and constructive and smart and thoughtful, so I just appreciate that about you, and I think it's a good balance in the show and a good conversation to have and a timely one. So you guys are also gonna hear my conversation with a long time economics writer named James Sirwiki about the details of Trump's tariffs and why the White House's tariff math just made no sense.
Starting point is 00:03:41 Then you're gonna hear my interview with Susan Rice. We recorded that on Wednesday. She's the former national security advisor, ambassador to the UN, White House domestic policy council chair. We talk about Signalgate, Trump appeasing Russia, RFK's assault on our public health and a lot more. And then finally, at the end of the show,
Starting point is 00:03:57 you're gonna hear just a brief interview of a conversation I had with my friend Ashley Parker. She's a staff writer at The Atlantic. And Ashley wrote this Beautiful funny tear-jerker of an essay about miscarriage and pregnancy loss Which longtime listeners of the show might know is something that unfortunately my wife Hannah and I have also experienced So that full conversation is available on the Pod Save America YouTube I hope you'll give it a listen, but you can hear an excerpt of it at the end of this episode.
Starting point is 00:04:25 So like I said, packed show, but a great one. So let's start with the tariffs. On Wednesday, President Trump made an appearance in the Rose Garden. He announced his long awaited tariffs on basically every country he says treats America poorly on trade. The specifics here were a big mystery
Starting point is 00:04:41 until the moment he announced them with his big stupid charts, and they were far worse than expected. Trump announced a baseline 10% tariff on all US imports. Far steeper tariffs on countries Trump declared were the worst offenders, including some of our closest allies like the European Union, Japan, South Korea, and others. China got hit with a 54% tariff, they're vowing retaliation. And to make matters worse and more confusing,
Starting point is 00:05:06 Trump's 25% tariffs on foreign-made cars also went into effect on Thursday. So in total, about 90 countries will be affected, including a number of uninhabited islands. So we're gonna stick it to those fucking penguins. So we're recording this on Thursday afternoon, Pacific time, markets have closed for the day. The S&P dropped nearly 5%. Trump got asked about the stock market dip at the White House today next to the roaring
Starting point is 00:05:31 helicopter engines as always and responded with some new spin. Let's listen. I think it's going very well. It was an operation like when a patient gets operated on and it's a big thing. I said this would exactly be the way it is. We have six or seven trillion dollars coming into our country and we've never seen anything like it. What pristine audio. Emma, Trump has clearly made inroads with blue collar voters in the last couple of elections,
Starting point is 00:06:02 especially in communities that were hit hard by NAFTA or other free trade agreements. He believes that tariffs are how he can convince those communities, that he cares about them and that he's fighting for them. How do you think Democrats should respond to that? I think that he's making it extremely easy, even though the facts are that people are gonna be
Starting point is 00:06:24 really harmed if these actually go into effect. You can just basically talk about tariffs as a tax on the poorest Americans. When you look at a sales tax, right? The sales tax is essentially a flat tax on all goods and it is called a regressive tax because the less money you have, the more you're disproportionately impacted by a sales tax. If you're a millionaire, a sales tax on a banana or on some groceries isn't gonna affect you as much
Starting point is 00:06:51 as somebody in the middle income bracket or in the lower income bracket. And tariffs essentially function as a compounding sales tax because they raise the cost of basic goods. And really, like, let's just zoom out for a second and say, okay, Donald Trump wanted to onshore manufacturing, and he wanted to further build up our domestic manufacturing capacity
Starting point is 00:07:15 here in the United States. We would need a, I don't know, billions and billions of dollars of investment. We would need it to happen over a multi-year period to even create the factories and systems and supply lines that would be needed so that we could onshore this manufacturing and produce the goods here
Starting point is 00:07:35 that are now gonna be hit by these tariffs. But he's doing it in reverse, and I don't even think that would work. He's now imposing the tariffs when we don't have the capacity to produce a lot of these goods that are going to be hit with the tariffs and these price increases. And so Americans have no choice but to pay more and more and have their wallets hit here. And it's not entirely clear
Starting point is 00:07:57 what he thinks he's going to gain from this, except I think he genuinely has a complete misunderstanding of trade policy. He thinks he can shake down other countries this way. And frankly, it seems like ever since January 6th, he's been holed up in Mar-a-Lago with very little connection to the outside world and to even the threadbare pieces of liberal society that he was connected to via Ivanka or whatever in 2016,
Starting point is 00:08:26 he's in OANNville and doesn't know left from right. And so my guess is somebody got into his ear, maybe somebody who read that Karl Rove book about William McKinley, who he's now obsessed with, and said that this is going to be the thing that allows us to raise revenue without having to go through the cumbersome process of developing tax policy via the legislature. It allows Trump to act as a king. And I do think the other side of this is that for the industries that are affected by these tariffs, now Trump feels like they're going to have to come to me and they're going to
Starting point is 00:09:02 have to give me goodies like he got from various news organizations with his frivolous lawsuits. It's open corruption and also an open war, frankly, if these go into effect and are more permanent and there still is potential to back off of it, hopefully. It's really gonna harm the lowest income people in our society. Yeah, I mean, I just got McKinley so hot right now.
Starting point is 00:09:28 I mean, I wish he wasn't, but there's just a lot of McKinley emulation happening in the Republican party. You're right though, I was just watching a speech by Rand Paul who was like, hey, this is a massive tax increase and you're trying to do it through this bizarre tariff authority
Starting point is 00:09:43 that has never been used before and you're going around Congress. Like this bizarre tariff authority that has never been used before and you're going around Congress. Like none of this is acceptable or by the book or how it's supposed to go. And to your point about the timeline of revving up American manufacturing, you're hearing some people say, well, there's auto plants in the Midwest
Starting point is 00:10:01 that are operating at 60% capacity and those could go up to 80 or 90 or 100. You're hearing that even from Sean Fain from the UAW. But I was talking to an expert on Monday who was like, I'm not so sure that that capacity is gonna be filled by human beings as opposed to robots. And also retooling and revving back up these factories, even if they exist already, can take a really long time.
Starting point is 00:10:23 So I'm with you. It feels like it's pie in the sky to me. I mean, if we wanted to re-industrialize, again, tariffs can be used in a targeted way. Say if it were just purely for the auto industry and we were trying to develop that capacity, I could even understand that, right? But that's not what he's doing.
Starting point is 00:10:41 These are broad-based tariffs that he's calling reciprocal, but they're not. And the other thing that is just so terrifying is that all of this talk about short-term pain in the stock market, what happens when the Republicans gut Medicaid as they're promising to do with their budget in the fall? 72 million people are on Medicaid that rely on it for their healthcare. Half of the folks on Medicaid are well below the poverty line. These are the people that would be hurt the hardest with this compounding sales tax,
Starting point is 00:11:14 with this regressive tariff that would function as a tax. And so they would be immiserated if the Republicans get their way. And we're seeing, I know Ted Cruz as of right now is coming out a little bit against the tariffs. And as you mentioned, Mitch McConnell and Rand Paul, they dipped their toe into criticizing Donald Trump because by the way, Kentucky bourbon,
Starting point is 00:11:33 Kentucky I think produces over 90% of the world's bourbon. And these tariffs on Canada, those guys are saying, hey, screw you, we're not gonna buy bourbon from you anymore if you're talking about making us the 51st state. So this affects folks in Republican states. And like the 2008 financial crash, the people that are closest to retirement,
Starting point is 00:11:52 whose 401ks do not have the time to replenish, don't have the ability to wait out the short-term pain. Their entire retirement could be cut in half right now because Donald Trump and his buddies are playing with the stock market basically. Yeah, I was just watching Fox News and there was a host named Will Kane who was doing a segment who was like,
Starting point is 00:12:13 look, today the markets are down, the S&P is down, the DASDAQ, the Dow, but what do we mean by down? And then he threw up a zoomed out chart of the market that went back like one year or five years. And boy, you know the cope is strong when these guys are doing a five year chart of the S&P 500 and be like, we're doing like a what's the definition of is kind of conversation a la Bill Clinton in the nineties.
Starting point is 00:12:34 It didn't feel like they're on their, their strongest footing. But on the Democratic Party piece of this, do you think it's enough to make the argument that you're making, which I find very compelling by the way, it's true, against tariffs that there are regressive backdoor way to raise taxes on people? Or does that need to be married up with some sort of positive agenda, even if we have no power at the federal level for four years? I think you've hit on it. It absolutely does need to be paired with a positive agenda.
Starting point is 00:13:00 And talking about the oligarchy has proved to be immensely fruitful for the Democrats because you also have a mascot for yourself right there in Elon Musk who nobody likes. The more they see of him, the more repulsive he is. And frankly, I mean, I, it's, it's quite clear why he's just not somebody that has natural charisma and is obviously saying things like social security is the biggest Ponzi scheme of all time. And we know that social security is one of the most successful programs in the history of our country, if not the most successful program.
Starting point is 00:13:30 It keeps two thirds of our seniors out of poverty. It is self-funding. You fund it and Medicare via the payroll tax and it's set aside in the budget so people don't have to worry about it. It's not a Ponzi scheme. It is a retirement fund that all Americans pay into. So I think talking about social security, talking about our social programs, and of course, a positive vision of we do need Medicare for all. We do single payer. We need some sort of health care plan that is not just improving the Affordable Care Act. And I think Tim Walz has been really
Starting point is 00:14:01 good about this. But tapping into the pain that Americans are feeling where, you know, traditional economic indicators don't necessarily pick up on what folks had been experiencing in the run up to the 2004 election, I should say, because obviously I was hoping Kamala Harris was going to win, but the way that the campaign was run and saying that the economy is good, we just have to improve on it, it didn't prove to be the most salient argument in this time because there are things that traditional economic metrics aren't picking up on, like the fact that rent has never been higher, like the fact that corporations took advantage of inflation
Starting point is 00:14:46 and artificially kept their prices higher in the wake of COVID and took home record returns. And even though Lena Kahn was doing her best, it's quite difficult to get these corporations in line when they have somebody who's running on the presidential ticket who says, hey, if you elect me, she'll go away. Don't even worry about it.
Starting point is 00:15:06 We'll make sure that you get to keep doing what you wanna do in terms of extracting profits from the rest of Americans. And frankly, it's almost as if Donald Trump learned from corporations during COVID, where basically you can take advantage of naturally occurring inflation or persistent inflation in order to cement those prices
Starting point is 00:15:31 and then he doesn't have to address it via Congress, but he can essentially elevate tariffs, impose them on goods and say, what can you do? This is naturally what has to happen and then he thinks he can bend the American people to his will. Yeah, it's worth noting. I mean, on Thursday, Senator Chuck Grassley,
Starting point is 00:15:50 who's a senior Republican, and Maria Cantwell who's a very senior Democrat, introduced a bill that would require approval from Congress for all tariffs within 60 days. Congress also passed a more limited measure regarding tariffs on Canada. Now, pretty big open question of whether the House of Representatives
Starting point is 00:16:05 would ever call up a bill like this, even if it passed the Senate. I'm, consider me skeptical. But the other piece of this that I just wanted to hit on quickly is, what's so kind of bizarre about this tariff announcement is Trump ran on the threat from China. But instead of focusing on China with his tariffs,
Starting point is 00:16:26 we are taking this broad-based approach. We're tariffing all of our closest allies. And then earlier this week, we're reading reports that countries like Japan, South Korea, were meeting with China trilaterally for the first time in five years to discuss how to coordinate their response to US tariffs. That was according to Chinese state media.
Starting point is 00:16:45 So if the rise of China is like the big agreed upon bipartisan risk to the United States over the next century, this seems like the dumbest possible way to tackle it. Absolutely. I mean, we're now getting a reporting about how much further along, both China is on AI. We heard that a few months ago with DeepSeek and how much further along both China is on AI. We heard that a few months ago with deep seek and how much cheaper it is,
Starting point is 00:17:08 but also their electric vehicles. There is some early reporting that shows that BYD, the EV kind of behemoth in China has developed a battery that can charge in the same amount of time that it takes to fill up a petrol tank or your gas tank at the gas pump or at the very least they're close. And so when you think about these tariffs, why wouldn't Canada look to China and say, hey, if the United States is going to treat us this way, we should start
Starting point is 00:17:37 buying from China. We should start buying Chinese vehicles. Mexico, the same thing. And it's even more common sense for our allies across the Atlantic and elsewhere. So, or former allies, I should say. So it's nonsensical, it really is. And like inflation, I was kind of alluding to this earlier, these tariffs don't prevent domestic manufacturers from raising prices. Like they- Oh no, they don't encourage it, yeah raising prices. Like they-
Starting point is 00:18:05 Oh no. The- Don't encourage it, yeah. Right, it encourages it because frankly, they can just blame the tariffs. Like corporations did with inflation really in 2022, 2023. And in part, I think, because they were pissed that the Biden administration was doing some more enforcement
Starting point is 00:18:22 with Lena Con and with Jonathan Cantor and that part of the administration domestically that I was very much a fan of. And so, yeah, I really do think he's opening the door for more price gouging. And instead of inflation this time, US companies can just blame tariffs and say, what else can we do? Yeah, that's exactly right. I mean, if the tariffs are successful, prices will go up. No matter what prices are going to go up. Okay, we're going to take a quick break. And then you're going to hear my conversation with James Sirawicki about the substance of Trump's tariffs announcement and why basically every economist seems to think that the way these tariffs were calculated
Starting point is 00:18:57 was just complete nonsense. We'll also talk a bit about the stock market reaction. James has written about economics for outlets like Fast Company, The Atlantic, The New Yorker, and is the author of the book, The Wisdom of Crowds. So stick around for that. And then after the interview with James, Emma and I are gonna talk about how a fringe right-wing conspiracy theorist is making personnel changes on Trump's national security team
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Starting point is 00:21:04 and get your kids the full body nourishment they need to grow into healthy adults James sir wiki welcome to pot save America. Thanks for I'm young. So let's just start with the basics What did president Trump announced yesterday? so what he announced was that the United States will be imposing tariffs on I Would say almost every country in the world. It's a little unclear. There's some countries that weren't on the list, and we know that Canada and Mexico were exempted because they already have these other tariffs that they put on. So what Trump said was that these were what he called reciprocal tariffs. In other words,
Starting point is 00:21:40 that he was imposing tariffs that were pegged to the tariff rates that these countries impose on us. And as he described it, basically, they were half of the tariff rates that these countries are imposing on us. So if you saw it, he had this kind of prop, because of course Trump was doing something like visual or whatever TV-ish. He had this big prop with the country's names on them and it had one column that was the supposed tariff rates that these countries are charging and then the tariff rate that we will be imposing in response basically. So that was essentially the message he was sending. But as it turns out, the tariff rates that these countries are supposedly charging, the way the Trump administration
Starting point is 00:22:26 calculated those was kind of odd. Yeah, can you explain that? I mean, I think the math was basically the US trade deficit with each country divided by the imports from that country, and they declared that the resulting percentage was, quote, tariff charged to the USA, including currency manipulation and trade barriers. This was described by former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers on Twitter as quote, this is to economics what creationism is to biology, astrology is to astronomy, or RFK thought is to vaccine science. As I mentioned to you before we started recording, I basically failed the last econ class I took. So could you just explain this to a dumb person?
Starting point is 00:23:06 Yeah, so let's just start from the beginning. So when Trump introduced these, he went through and he went through different countries. He would talk about China and what good negotiators Vietnam is and everything. But the way he described it was the way it read on the chart, which it said tariff rate, and then underneath it, it said tariffs, so the and then underneath it, it said tariffs.
Starting point is 00:23:25 So the actual tariffs that people in countries impose on US exports plus what they're calling non-tariff trade barriers. So that would be things like, I don't know, there might be special regulations that make it hard for American companies to sell in this country, or the Trump administration likes to call value-added taxes a non-tariff trade barrier. I think it's nonsense, but they tend to do it. So when it first came out, I think we assumed that that number was somehow assembled out of those things. Even though the numbers, when you looked at them, didn't really make sense. They were like way too high for some countries.
Starting point is 00:24:02 They were too low for others. It was totally unclear where they were coming from. So, but Trump said, this is what we are being charged by other countries. But what the reality is, is exactly what you said. What they did was they just took our deficit with, with, with these countries. And one thing that's important is just the deficit in goods. So services were not included. This is just like manufactured goods or agricultural goods and the like, right? So they took our trade deficit. That's just the amount we sell to a country minus how much we buy from it. And then they divided it by the total number of imports we get from that country. And so I don't know, like Indonesia, our trade deficit with Indonesia is like 18 billion
Starting point is 00:24:46 and total imports are 28. You divide 18 is 64% of 28. And so Trump said on the chart, it says Indonesia's tariff rate is 64%. Needless to say, that's not the actual tariff rate Indonesia is charging. It has nothing to do with the actual tariff rate Indonesia is charging. It has nothing to do with the actual tariff rate Indonesia is charging. The real point, I think, the reason this is important is I think what it shows is that for Trump, it's something we knew, but it's worth being reminded of. For Trump, basically any trade deficit is bad. Any trade deficit is evidence that we're being ripped off. And so they basically came up with this method that made countries' tariff rates look a lot higher
Starting point is 00:25:29 in a lot of cases than they actually are. Just a quick question on trade deficits. First of all, what is the like 30 second explanation of what a trade deficit is? And why do you think Trump thinks it's bad? And what is the reality of the kind of the nature of a trade deficit? Well, trade deficit is pretty simple. I mean, it involves if you're running a trade deficit, you are buying more in dollar terms, you're buying more from a country than you
Starting point is 00:25:53 are selling to it. And again, again, it's not countries that are selling to each other. It's companies within those countries. But you know what I mean. One thing that is important to note about the trade deficits that Trump used to calculate these quote unquote, imaginary tariff rates is that he only looked at goods. So the United States runs a huge surplus in services with the rest of the world and with a lot of countries. And he just excluded all those because, I don't know, I guess because he's only interested in manufacturing
Starting point is 00:26:24 or whatever. But so trade deficit is you buy more than you sell. those because, I don't know, I guess because he's only interested in manufacturing or whatever. So trade deficit is you buy more than you sell. So sometimes that is because countries are making it hard for you to sell in their country. So they either have high tariffs, which raise your prices, or maybe they have these sort of non-tariff trade barriers. In the old days, there would actually be literal quotas, right? You could only sell so much, or maybe they had these sort of non-tariff trade barriers. In the old days, there would actually be literal quotas, right, you could only sell so much, or maybe you couldn't sell cars at all or whatever it is. There are many, many fewer of those now,
Starting point is 00:26:51 and they tend to be hidden a lot better. So for Trump, as I said, like, if there are trade, if there's a trade deficit, it's a sign that there are these trade barriers that are keeping us out. But the reality is that sometimes it reflects what used to be called comparative advantage. Countries just specialize in something and are having to get very good at it, and we want to buy stuff from them, and we want to buy more of that from them than they want to buy of whatever it is we're selling.
Starting point is 00:27:19 Sometimes that's just going to happen. Sometimes it's a product of just climate, right? So we buy coffee from Indonesia, we buy bananas from Honduras or whatever, and those are not necessarily rich countries. They aren't necessarily countries that have a huge amount of appetite for American goods. Maybe they do, maybe they don't. But it's not surprising that in some situations like that, you're going to have a trade deficit. Or like an example, a lot of people have cited in the last couple of days is this little African country called Lesotho. So Lesotho had the highest tariff rate listed on Trump's chart. It was 99%, which was the maximum
Starting point is 00:27:57 you could get. And the reason for that was that we imported like 240 million from them and sold like 2.8 million. But the reason is that Lesotho has tariffs, but that's not why. The reason is that Lesotho sells diamonds and we buy diamonds from them and they're a poor country, a relatively poor country, that American companies are not necessarily going to spend a lot of time investing trying to get into that market. And so the idea that the answer to all these trade deficits is just like get them to lower their trade barriers and everything will be solved, which Trump's commerce secretary, Howard Lutnick, keeps saying over and over again. I think it's just like incredibly simplistic, but it's simplistic in a way that totally fits the way Trump sees trade. So it kind of makes sense. Yeah. And there was a suggestion that they may have done this math using chat GPT. Have you seen this?
Starting point is 00:28:52 I did see this. People who suggested that, yeah, because if you ask a variety of AI things, a question about like, what's an easy way to devise a tariff policy that will theoretically balance trade and I think that's what AI answers basically. It may be that it's also true though that this is like an incredibly simple formula. I mean, it's just not a complicated formula. It really embodies this idea that not just that trade deficits are bad, but that if you have a trade deficit, it's the result of some nefarious actions on the part of the countries you're trading with, basically. JP Morgan wrote that Trump's announcement would raise just under $400 billion in revenue or 1.3% of GDP, which would be the
Starting point is 00:29:42 largest tax increase since the Revenue Act of 1968, which was used to pay for the Vietnam War, a bunch of great society programs, a lot of spending. Who was going to bear that cost? And is there a credible argument in your view that this could bring back manufacturing jobs? I wouldn't be surprised if tariffs like this do have some impact on overall manufacturing. I mean, my general take on the manufacturing question is that factories today are just not that labor intensive and because factories are much more automated
Starting point is 00:30:17 and that the desire to somehow, or the imagination that we're gonna be able to bring back five, 10% of our workforce to factories, I think is really ill conceived. And the other truth is a lot of factory jobs are just not that well paid today. They're not exceptionally well paid and I don't think they would become so. I think the bigger question about is who's going to pay for it? And the answer there is, I think working in middle-class people and also American companies that import a lot of goods, either resell them or actually to use them to in turn
Starting point is 00:30:53 make whatever it is they're making. I mean, we do have global supply chains. And so just today, I guess, Stellantis announced they were laying off like 900 workers at an auto plant because of some of these tariff issues, I think with Canada or Mexico, I can't remember which. And I think that the foreign producers will probably eat some of the tariff costs. In other words, they'll reduce their profit margins some. American importers who are the ones that actually pay the tariffs literally, they will probably eat some of the costs, but some of it is just going to get passed on. And that's especially true for, one of the things that's amazing about this is he's, I mean, this is so obvious,
Starting point is 00:31:34 but it's worth stating again, like he's imposing tariffs on basically everything we import. Right. And that includes things that we have no hope of making. He's importing tariffs on coffee. You know, we grow a minuscule amount of coffee in Hawaii. It's pretty much the only place we can do it. So there's all this agricultural stuff. And then, you know, if you think about manufacturing, it takes a long time to open factories. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:31:56 Or even retool them. Or retool them, yeah. And, you know, there is a reality that like companies that have been doing this for a long time have expertise and the idea that we're just going to be able to replace them, I think is really foolish. And then the last thing I'll say, sorry, I'm going on here, but is the other big problem with the manufacturing thing is Trump is injecting so much uncertainty into the economy that
Starting point is 00:32:20 I just think it's very hard for any CEO to convince himself, okay, you know what the thing to do is we're gonna invest billions in the US, and we're sure that everything is gonna turn out fine. I think that is the key point, which is that all these companies just want to know what the rules of the road are gonna be. One years, two years, five years down the road
Starting point is 00:32:40 so they can make massive CapEx investments. We're recording this, it's now 1126 a.m. Pacific on Thursday. The S&P 500 is down, holy shit, 4.28%. That suggests, wow, that suggests that Wall Street analysts were very, very wrong in their predictions about what Trump was going to announce because, you know, they were trading flat for a while. It seemed like they thought Trump would delay the tariffs or announce something more minimal or have a bunch of carve outs like you did last time for big companies or sectors.
Starting point is 00:33:08 Um, did that whiff by wall street surprise you? A little bit, but I do think that, um, I, I cut them a little bit of slack because the obvious problem with Trump is you literally never really know what he's going to do. Like he could very, he could have woken up yesterday and been like, ah, you know what? Ah, forget it. We'll just make it 10% flat or 10% plus 20% for some of our bigger ones.
Starting point is 00:33:36 Or they could have actually really done reciprocal terrorists, which is what he had originally suggested they were going to do back in February when he talked about this back in February. So I cut them a little slack on that. I do think, this is something I've been talking about for a long time, I do think people consistently underestimate how much Trump just loves tariffs. I agree, yeah. He really loves them.
Starting point is 00:33:58 And he really does think, and always has, I mean, Trump doesn't care, from my perspective, I don't think Trump cares about almost anything, Certainly in politics, like I think almost no issues matter to him. But trade is one that has always mattered to him since, since the eighties. I mean, he's really always been obsessed with it and has always had the same position. But the second thing is that the goal is to get rid of every trade deficit with every country. It's not just even to like balance the trade deficit globally, which would be hard enough. He ideally, I think, wants to get rid
Starting point is 00:34:30 of every single trade deficit with every, even like little tiny countries he wants us to not have a trade deficit with. And I think Wall Street just thought he would be more rational and less in love with tariffs than he actually is. Yeah. He just fundamentally doesn't seem to believe in the fact that there can be win-win transactions where I give you money for a thing and I'm happy that I have the thing and not sad that you took my money. Yes. No, no. I mean, I think that is it. I mean,
Starting point is 00:35:00 I think his entire view of the world is zero sum. Like that's his entire view of the world and there's either a winner or a loser. And if you're buying, especially if you're buying without like driving hard bargain to begin with and trying to, you know, get the other person to drop down, then, um, then you're losing and, and, and more, it's worse than losing. You're getting ripped off and he hates that more than anything. James Sirwicki, thank you so much for doing the show. I really appreciate it.
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Starting point is 00:37:22 posted at TextPlan.us. Texting enrolls and terms and conditions posted at textplan.us. Texting enrolls for recurring automated text marketing messages. Message and data rates may apply. Reply stop to opt out. Okay, we are back. Still have Emma Vigeland, co-host of the Majority Report with Sam Seder here with me. Okay, Emma, so apparently Trump found some time on Liberation Day to meet with a far-right conspiracy theorist named Laura Loomer.
Starting point is 00:37:49 Now, if listeners have never heard of Laura Loomer, consider yourself lucky. In the past, she has said that the 9-11 attacks were an inside job, that the White House would, quote, "'smell like curry' if Kamala Harris were elected, and she once handcuffed herself to the front door of Twitter's office building, while wearing a yellow star of David
Starting point is 00:38:05 like the ones that European Jews were forced to wear during the Holocaust because Twitter had banned her from the platform. Despite all of that, Trump met with Loomer for 30 minutes on Wednesday to hear her case for why he should fire members of his national security team. And then, according to the New York Times,
Starting point is 00:38:22 fired six NSC officials, including the senior director for intelligence, international organizations, and legislative affairs. Emma, how does this person get into the White House in the first place, let alone make personnel decisions? Like, what do you think this tells us about decision-making in there? I think Donald Trump's circle is as small
Starting point is 00:38:43 as it could possibly be. I mean, Laura Loomer was laughed out of the room and should be in any room. I mean, she's an absolute nut job, but she ran for Congress down in Florida and was so crazy that even the Republicans down in there didn't vote her out of the primary. And then all of a sudden she's hanging out
Starting point is 00:39:05 with Donald Trump and appearing on his plane. I really, as bad as Trump one was, you gotta think about who are the people that we're rooting for in terms of voices of reason here in Trump 2.0. In the first administration, okay, you have Rex Tillerson, Exxon Mobil executive, not a good person, but somebody who's at least a functional human being. Brince Priebus, I think he might've resigned
Starting point is 00:39:28 within the first hundred days because of how bad it was, but there was an effort to get establishment Republicans who were at least adults and not little babies and toddlers in the room. Basically over the past few months, who has been advocating for breaks on the car? It's been people from the outside, like, I mean, honestly, Steve Bannon, who was a white nationalist
Starting point is 00:39:50 trying to say, maybe you shouldn't install Elon Musk illegally in the treasury and let his neo-Nazi griper 19 year olds steal the data that of every American, their social security number, their bank information, all of that. Maybe you shouldn't do that. And Bannon justifies it on, of course, xenophobic and nationalistic grounds, but that's all we have right now. And then you have Laura Loomer, one of the craziest people I could think of off the top of my head. Truly.
Starting point is 00:40:20 If you were to gun to my head, I would say in politics, she's in the top five potentially. Yeah. head, if you were to- Truly. Gun to my head, I would say, in politics, she's in the top five potentially. She's the voice of reason right now saying, hey, maybe some heads have to roll after there was this massive embarrassing display where Mike Waltz added the editor of the Atlantic to a Signal group chat, basically displaying that it seems like the Trump administration is illicitly enacting their communications and probably across a variety of different agencies on a commercially available encrypting app, seemingly to avoid the scrutiny of the presidential records act, which Trump was so
Starting point is 00:40:55 angry about because some of that was used in the Mueller probe when his transition team went through the official channels and after he won in 2016. So there's so much illegality here. And because Trump also has scared so many of the other Republicans, and frankly vetted his administration to make sure that there was nobody who isn't in the cult and people aren't leaking, we don't know how bad it is
Starting point is 00:41:23 in the same way that we knew in 2016 because some of those adults in the room were talking to the Washington Post or the New York Times or whatever. Yeah, they were hanging out with Maggie Heidman on the after hours. Yeah, I mean, it's funny, like Laura Loomer is genuinely crazy, but she also called bullshit when Pam Bondi invited a bunch of influencers
Starting point is 00:41:41 to the White House and then handed them literal binders that you would take to second grade that said Epstein files that had seemingly nothing in them. She was like, what are we doing here? This is a joke. You're kind of making light of a horrific case of abusing young women. That's true, right.
Starting point is 00:41:56 You're right. I mean, in this case, I mean, there's a report in Politico that Mike Walz had set up like 20 signal channels about various issues that should never be discussed on signal. Like the entire NSC process has apparently been made up on signal. So that's nuts. But yeah, I mean, having Laura Loomer in the White House, it did make me think about all the stories we were reading just a few weeks ago about how Suzy Wiles, the new chief of staff was running a tighter ship and like keeping all the fringy people at bay.
Starting point is 00:42:25 It doesn't seem like that's the case anymore. And just like to nerd out for one second, I mean, some of these jobs we're talking about, like the senior director for intelligence means you're the person on the national security staff that is overseeing all the most sensitive covert action programs, compartmented intelligence collection, the like the intelligence budget,, the how we collect stuff,
Starting point is 00:42:48 the sources and methods stuff, the most sensitive shit that the intelligence community does. And when I was in the Obama administration, it is unimaginable to me that anyone outside of the NSC staff would know who had that job, let alone have an opinion about who should work there, let alone allowing some crazy lady to the Oval Office to lobby.
Starting point is 00:43:09 And so, I don't know, just reading this made my head spin with the absurdity of it all, though I guess I shouldn't be surprised because Laura Loomer, who said 9-11 was an inside job, was on the Trump plane when he went to the 9-11 memorial a few months ago. And yet, the Trump administration is now deporting student activists protesting against the genocide in Gaza
Starting point is 00:43:35 under the guise of saying that it is combating anti-Semitism. This is the guy that said that there were good people on both sides in Charlottesville. I still remember that. Elon Musk is the guy that was endorsing the Great Replacement Theory via tweet until the ADL had to tell him, maybe you shouldn't say that and was sig-hiling at the inauguration and was endorsing the far-right German party that said we had to move past remembering what we did here in Germany.
Starting point is 00:44:06 I mean, it is unbelievable the level of gaslighting that this administration engages in because they really don't care about what facts they're presenting. Steve Bannon, again, to bring him up back in the day said, we just have to flood the zone. And I do feel like the administration here has almost perfected that to a degree because there is so much insanity that it's difficult to sink your teeth into anything or get a hook. And that's why I think Signalgate freaked them out.
Starting point is 00:44:37 It's because it was the first time they were on their heels for quite a while. And so I think hitting them on that, their incompetence, as they say, it's actually DEI or whatever. And that we're hiring based on merit. That's why we hired the Fox and Friends host, from the weekend, the weekend host who has no real experience to be our secretary of defense. Hitting them on their incompetence just as a political matter and the oligarchy stuff, having these billionaires, not just Musk,
Starting point is 00:45:05 Besant, Howard Lutnick, whose firm, Cantor Fitzgerald, he handed over to his two sons who were in their 20s. They have major holdings in cryptocurrency and in commercial space. That's why he's on board with this Musk agenda. They're all getting rich. I do think that that's a really easy way to attack them. And it's not dissimilar from how they were attacked the first time around, but I do think it's more
Starting point is 00:45:29 salient than the public's mind. And if the Democrats are smarter, and I think they're starting to kind of understand the virtue in what a lot of us who are supportive of Bernie Sanders and myself, I also was a fan of Elizabeth Warren's politics, saw in them is hitting this kind of underpinning of economic pain that a lot of Americans are facing. There's no reason that the Democrats should be losing working class votes to Donald Trump, given exactly what we're seeing with tariffs and the compounding tax on the poor
Starting point is 00:45:59 that he's gonna implement if he's allowed to. That's a really good point. I mean, let's talk about America's least favorite oligarch. So that takes us to Wisconsin. So some good news for everybody. I mean, folks probably know by now that in Wisconsin, Judge Susan Crawford beat Brad Schimel in the Wisconsin Supreme Court race
Starting point is 00:46:18 by about 10 points, so it's a shellacking, dealing a very satisfying and I think critical slapdown to Elon Musk, who spent, I read like 26 million on this race, maybe it was more, and for all intents and purposes, put himself on the ballot when he flew there, stood on stage, put that stupid fucking cheese head hat on his stupid head and just made the whole thing about him. And so, you know, Emma, I wondered, you know,
Starting point is 00:46:43 you sort of alluded to this. Do you think that this victory is a reflection of the fact that Democrats now do better in off years and in special elections, or do you think there's something else happening here with kind of like the Elon oligarchy piece? I do think it can be both, right? Democrats always overperform in special elections. The voter base has evolved over the time that I've honestly been paying attention to politics where Democrats have kind of cornered the market in many ways on high
Starting point is 00:47:12 propensity voters. A lot of folks that vote for Donald Trump, it's why Democrats overperformed in 2022 and why I was wrong in assessing that Kamala Harris would win this last election cycle is because I thought that abortion would be enough to carry the day. I forgot this country really hates women. Andrew Tate's back in the country for some reason. And, you know, we're appointing people who've been incredibly accused of sexual assault to the highest positions in Trump's government,
Starting point is 00:47:37 Trump himself, et cetera, but I digress. You know, they do overperform in special elections, but it's how you overperform, I think that that matters. And with this focus on billionaires and the hoarding of the money and the ransacking of our federal government for their own ends and the fact that Musk buying this race was so at the forefront. I mean, this is the most expensive judiciary race in history because Elon Musk said $81 million.
Starting point is 00:48:02 Crazy insanity. And also he said that this was gonna be the determining factor in whether or not Western civilization survives. Existential. Wow, I mean, gotta say, I don't know, Tommy, but I feel like I'm looking around and I'm still in the West.
Starting point is 00:48:18 We're still here. I'm in a high-rise or a taller building now in downtown Brooklyn, nothing's fallen yet. But I think people are sick of the fact that billionaires have this outsized influence in our politics, and we should be harnessing that energy in the way that Wisconsin did it. Also, you have to give credit to Ben Wickler,
Starting point is 00:48:38 who has been really phenomenal up there in terms of organizing the Democratic Party and taking back what looked like a horrible situation, as you know, in the early Obama years. Yeah, yeah, it was a really, really bad situation. Ben's done an incredible job. But I agree with you, it is a both. There's a lot of reporting out there that Wisconsin Republicans basically
Starting point is 00:48:59 hit their turnout goals they wanted to hit. They wanted something like 230,000 more votes than they got in Dan Kelly's race, who was the Supreme Court candidate in 2023. But Democrats just turned out even more people. Turned out an additional 265,000 votes. And so there was something, there was some special energy there,
Starting point is 00:49:16 but all of it I think does help explain why Republicans pulled Elise Stefanik's nomination to be the US ambassador to the UN, because they are absolutely right to be worried that they would lose a special election right now to replace her, or really any special election. Oh, you know, she bought a new wardrobe. She got all excited.
Starting point is 00:49:34 She was gonna be in fancy New York City and turns out, mm, she's gotta go back and be a representative. Back to Congress. So good, it makes me so happy. I'm sorry, but we've got to enjoy that Scheidenfreude. It's the only thing that we have going on right now. That's all we got. That's all we got.
Starting point is 00:49:51 Well, let's talk about the Democratic Party, because ever since November, the Democratic Party, we've been engaged in some recrimination, some infighting, yes, but also I think a pretty good faith, bit of soul searching about who we are and how to run going forward. And more recently, the debate has been less about policy or ideological lines and more about how hard to fight.
Starting point is 00:50:11 So I assume Emma, you're on team fight, team fight very hard. Of course. If so, like what are you seeing out there that feels smart tactically or I don't know, just genuinely inspiring you? Well, as we talk about tariffs, this is a good way to just say,
Starting point is 00:50:27 Chuck Schumer giving away all of our leverage is a huge reason why we're in this situation with tariffs because the continuing resolution that was not a continuing resolution, it was a dirty CR in the dirtiest sense, it basically removed Congress's ability to review these tariffs. And so now you have this bipartisan bill with Grassley
Starting point is 00:50:49 and I think Cantwell that is supposed to say like, hey, can we reassert our authority over tariffs? Cause Donald Trump just did a really bad thing. Well, look, the democratic leader in the Senate just gave that leverage away. And I think obviously in my view, Schumer's time, he's on borrowed time as leader of the Democrats in the Senate. I don't see how the Democrats can continue to have him as leader, especially
Starting point is 00:51:11 after the midterms in 2026. But yeah, there are some bright spots. I think that it was encouraging to see the House all stand together on that continuing resolution vote. It is encouraging to see some members of the party speak about billionaires, speak about the oligarchy. It's encouraging to hear, I heard Tim Walz on Molly Jong fast show, talk about how next election cycle, people are going to be expecting universal healthcare
Starting point is 00:51:39 as a part of these proposals. Going bold again is really important. And I try not to pigeonhole my politics, right? Because I'm a DSA member, right? And I'm someone who obviously believes strongly in something like Palestinian liberation, but I can also encourage my listeners to vote for Kamala Harris,
Starting point is 00:51:57 because that's the best option within our set of circumstances. And I can appreciate Bernie Sanders' outside politics and how incredible it is to get people involved with Elizabeth Warren's inside politics and influencing Biden to appoint Lena Con as I keep singing her praises throughout our conversation. But there is more consistency here, I think,
Starting point is 00:52:22 than there was in the wake of 2016, where there was a lot of anger within the party. And I think there still is that. But there's also just a universal desire to fight, and it crosses ideological lines. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and her ability to honestly meld Bernie Sanders' outside movement with the inside game of Elizabeth Warren is one of the most impressive things that I've seen in politics in quite some time. She's getting centrist democratic lawmakers to say, I will write a check if you primary Chuck Schumer.
Starting point is 00:52:54 And that is incredible given the fact that she came into politics as a democratic socialist and a rabble rouser who was going into Nancy Pelosi's office and helping the the Sunrise Movement stage protests. But I think that with this kind of insurgent movement of younger progressives in the House, there is a lot of anger I think at some of the folks in the Senate who are institutionalists. But I get the most hope from folks in the House, Democrats in the House, and also our governors who, whether it's Pritzker, Whitmer, Walls, what have you, they understand what it's like to respond to Donald Trump
Starting point is 00:53:32 as somebody who's in an executive role, not someone who's legislating or negotiating with Republicans or treating our budget as contract law or as if we're doing a merger or something like that. It's somebody who knows how to lead and somebody who knows how to respond to Trump's actions, not as somebody who's gonna tweak around the edges, but using the bully pulpit to cut through the noise,
Starting point is 00:53:57 because I'll shut up in just a second, Tommy, but we are in such a corroded media environment, and especially on the right, they're just eating up this slop on the internet. How do we break through? How do we break through? And having a simple message doesn't mean we're stupid. In fact, it means we're better at politics. And I think Democrats have to stop resting on our laurels and thinking that just because our policies are better than the Republicans, that's true. It doesn't mean it's self-evident to voters and it doesn't mean they're dumb because they don't get it. It's also because people want a clear coherent vision and a way to
Starting point is 00:54:35 differentiate yourself from the other side. And it's not about converting those Republicans. There were so many people that stayed home and just didn't show up. Those are the folks we need to be activating. And I think they were depressed because of the foreign policy of the administration and seeing their tax dollars going to the slaughter in Gaza. And also just the fact that they didn't feel like they were being offered anything transformational
Starting point is 00:55:01 on the economy, so they'd rather just stay home and not vote for anybody. And those are the people I think we have to target. And we had a candidate for a long time. It was just self-evidently too old. Well. To your point about resting on his laurels, one person who was not resting on his laurels this week
Starting point is 00:55:17 was Senator Cory Booker from New Jersey. He delivered a marathon 25-hour speech on the Senate floor. Booker broke the record for the longest floor speech in history, which had been held by a horrible racist senator named Strom Thurmond when he was trying to block civil rights legislation. Here's a clip of what Cory Booker had to say during part of this long speech.
Starting point is 00:55:39 I rise with the intention of disrupting the normal business of the United States Senate for as long as I am physically able. I just found out that the community violence intervention money that you allowed me to fight so hard to get into that bill is being clawed back by Donald Trump. You're revoking somebody's visa. Make a phone call. Tell them that.
Starting point is 00:56:01 You have 30 days to leave. But there should be due process. I've had farmers from New Jersey to Texas coming to my office about this president freezing contracts that we approved in a bipartisan manner. I am inadequate, you are inadequate. We're senators with all of this power, but in this democracy, the power of the people is greater than the people in power.
Starting point is 00:56:23 This is a moral moment. So my view on Cory Booker, on Bernie and AOC during the town halls, Ro Khanna's town halls, all the members of Congress and in the Senate who are filming vertical video and clearly not comfortable with it and don't wanna be doing anymore, it's like good for you.
Starting point is 00:56:42 Like keep putting up shots. I'm proud of you guys. Like more is more. I think the point you made earlier is the most important one, which is we worry way too much about what we say and not about whether what we say is reaching people and breaking through is the hardest part.
Starting point is 00:56:55 So we just gotta keep putting shots on goal. To your point about a simple message, my constructive criticism for Cory Booker would be, again, I'm really glad he did this, but my one note to him would be like, it was not always clear to me what he was filibustering about, like what the core simple message was
Starting point is 00:57:10 or purpose of the filibuster. A lot of the messaging I saw was about the fact that he did it, which of course is cool and I'm proud of him, and I think it's awesome, but I think we need to be like, look, the State of the Union protest was you don't have a mandate to cut Medicare, right?
Starting point is 00:57:26 Representative standing up there shaking his, what's his name, forgot his name? Al Green, Al Green. Al Green, Jesus Christ. How could I forget Al Green's name? Al Green shaking his hair, you don't have a mandate to cut Medicare. That was amazing.
Starting point is 00:57:35 Bookers was less clear. To your point earlier too, I mean, I think Democrats do worry a bit about expectations management. I know you heard that a lot early on, like we have no power, we don't have the Senate, we don't have the House. Even the Tim Walz comments you mentioned earlier about how voters are going to be expecting
Starting point is 00:57:53 universal Medicare, like on the part of me, like the angel on my shoulder, that makes me excited because I would love to see us move to a universal system. The anxious political operative on my shoulder thinks back to the 2020, 2019 debates where we were all fighting about how fast we were gonna implement Medicare for All, right? And ultimately the votes were just not there. The political will wasn't necessarily there.
Starting point is 00:58:18 So I don't wanna raise people's expectations and then let them down and have another generation of people feeling like, oh, the fucking Democrats, they had promised so much and they don't deliver. But I guess right now in this moment, all I want to see is people fighting and doing things and like putting their hearts out there and making the case. And I think that's why I thought what Cory Booker did was good.
Starting point is 00:58:36 I agree with you. And I think, you know, to bring it back to your comment a little bit earlier about Biden and his inability to really, he was unable to use the bully pulpit for like two years. At all. At all. And we're getting more reporting about his condition and, you know, I really do think he set Kamala Harris up to fail in many ways and I think that was a dereliction of his
Starting point is 00:59:01 duty to the country. But it also was a problem in which the Democrats didn't perform democracy. So a lot of the messaging in this election was rightly, as we're seeing, that Donald Trump is an existential threat to democracy, as he demonstrated on January 6th. Okay, but first you have to sell to the American public
Starting point is 00:59:21 that democracy, as you're describing it, not just as a virtue, but in practice is something that needs to be protected. And you may think that's self-evident back to our point about how the Democrats feel like they should be above communicating these things. You may think that it is self-evident, but why is democracy so important to protect? And I think Cory Booker agreed with what you had to say about like maybe the lack of specificity or perhaps I would love if it was, you know, focused on those broad-based social programs
Starting point is 00:59:51 a little bit more. But overall, it's a really good thing because at the very least, you are performing services to your constituents. You are performing the act of standing up to somebody who is an authoritarian and showing folks what it's like to be politically empowered.
Starting point is 01:00:09 There's an old phrase, you'd rather be strong and wrong than basically weak and losing. And I really do think the Democrats could be okay with being strong and wrong and swinging for the fences and then maybe not necessarily delivering on everything. Although I think that the conditions now, given what we've talked about with oligarchy, given what we've seen with Donald Trump
Starting point is 01:00:30 and how he's so carelessly wielded the executive branch for whatever the hell he wants. Like, I think a lot of Democrats are going, why can't we do that? Why can't we have a president that acts in a manner that addresses the urgency of our both, you know, economic situation, but also when it comes to systemic racism or the Supreme Court or abortion rights. I mean, there's a lot of ways that I think Democrats can show that they are democratically responsive because when it comes back
Starting point is 01:01:06 to Biden, a primary would have done this, right? You would have heard Democrats speak about and hash this stuff out. You would have heard what these different Democrats stand for, even if Kamala Harris wasn't the nominee in the end. And that would have been a performance of democracy that would have bolstered the underlying message
Starting point is 01:01:27 about Trump's threat to democracy, because you would have shown that you took it seriously in practice. And I think that when I speak to people who are not really politically engaged, just kind of your everyday person, I have some family members, right? They'll say, well, the Democrats are liars too.
Starting point is 01:01:44 Biden was so old and what did they do about it? And I think that like, again, when we bring it back to this information age, having a president that couldn't use the bully pulpit and who chose not to perform democracy because he wanted to hang onto power for another term was a really, really bad cocktail to give to the American public with Trump on the ballot.
Starting point is 01:02:05 Yeah, he was self-evidently too old. And there was a suggestion in 2019 in a Politico story that he would be a one-term president and viewed himself as a bridge to the next generation. I think all of us bought into that and believed it. And I think the 2022 midterms happened. The White House started to believe its own spin and decided that only Joe Biden could win again.
Starting point is 01:02:24 And then, you know, you're reading, I don't wanna belabor these books, but there's only Joe Biden could win again. And then you're reading, I don't want to belabor these books, but there's all these Biden books coming out. And you're starting to read anecdotes about like top aides in the Biden campaign, talking about how disastrous the debate prep was, and how Biden had no second term agenda and couldn't articulate what he wanted to do.
Starting point is 01:02:41 And then also at the same time saying that it was wrong for him to have dropped out or to have gotten pushed out. And I'm just like, how could you possibly believe that? It's like, it was not only Joe Biden. I mean, the sin was Joe Biden running for reelection, but then the month between the fucking debate and him dropping out just absolutely screwed Kamala Harris, foreclosed any chance of doing some sort of mini primary type thing that made her, I think she ultimately would have been in the nominee
Starting point is 01:03:09 no matter what, but that would have made it look like it came through a legitimate process and not this coronation via a Joe Biden statement. He just sort of screwed us throughout that whole time period. And I think, and Kamala Harris, she's okay, she's not a victim, and Kamala Harris, she's okay, she's not a victim, and I had some issues with how she ran her campaign.
Starting point is 01:03:29 Obviously I thought the elevating of Liz Cheney was insane, but I feel for her in the sense where I think a lot of women have experienced this in their professional lives. I am not shading Sam Cedar here, I just wanna be clear, but older men who often think that they know better and will talk down to you and are dismissive of you broadly because a lot of the reporting is that she was broadly sidelined
Starting point is 01:03:56 and he elevated the fact that he wanted to appoint a black woman as his VP instead of just doing it. And I think that gave this opening for the Republicans to attack her in this like racist and misogynistic way. And the fact that he didn't really groom her as his successor, there should be probably a bit of soul searching on the Biden side as to why they were so dismissive of somebody who has great credentials and who has been a senator, attorney general, went to Howard, smart person, their politics were similar, why they didn't choose to give her a leg up and elevate her as Biden's potential successor instead of just throwing her in
Starting point is 01:04:39 at the 11th hour when Biden couldn't do it. And then he was calling her and saying, don't break from me at all, even though obviously my approval rating is in the gutter. So there's misogyny and racism on that side too, in my view, that hopefully Democrats begin to examine about themselves and some of the leaders in the party, frankly. And, you know, frankly, they kind of kneecapped her
Starting point is 01:05:03 publicly in the days following the debate performance by releasing that memo that crapped on a lot of people, including me, but the self-important podcasters. But talked about how all the polling showed that Joe Biden was beating all of his rivals, including Kamala Harris. It was like, guys, you're shitting on your own vice president. What are you doing here?
Starting point is 01:05:22 But anyway, so the final question for you, like the flip side of our mostly happy, including Kamala Harris, was like, guys, you're shitting on your own vice president. What are you doing here? But anyway, so the final question for you, like the flip side of our mostly happy, mostly constructive talk is there are some corners of the internet, mostly Twitter, where it feels like 2016 never ended. It's like 2016 Groundhog Day. You see moderates pointing the finger at leftists
Starting point is 01:05:39 and blaming them for election losses. You see the kind of more red rose DSA crew angry that liberals are punching left or suggesting that anyone who doesn't hold, you know, the kind of like the maximalist policy position is a sellout or a corporate stooge or whatever. How do you think we get past this? Like, can we heal these divides
Starting point is 01:05:57 or is it just the reality that intra-party fighting always feels and is the worst because it's your friends fighting with your friends? I think it's a tough question. I do think we're in a better position as I said earlier than after after 2016. I'm hopeful that folks deploy an intersectional analysis of why the Democrats lost. And it is very much a lack in my view, a focus on broad-based social programs with a vision that we haven't seen like since the New Deal or really since Medicare or Medicaid.
Starting point is 01:06:38 These are the kinds of things that we're due. It's time to propose these kinds of broad social programs for people. that's a huge part of it. But I also think that COVID broke a lot of people's brains where in an extremely reactionary time period, there's a me too backlash where I don't know if I can remember such a anti-feminist moment. I mean, really since like the tabloids
Starting point is 01:07:03 and the way that they treated women in the early 2000s, but that seems so small ball compared to the normalization of this kind of thing at the Trump administration level. I think we can heal these divides by having a shared vision of boldness going into 2028. I think a lot of the the base is I think a lot of the base is frustrated by the lack of fight in the Democratic Party, which aligns much more with how a lot of us felt back in the day. And you see this bear out in Chuck Schumer's poll numbers. They want Democrats to be fighting and they don't want to constantly be cutting deals. They don't want to have to meet these fascists halfway because it is the bitch slap theory of politics
Starting point is 01:07:46 and it's all Donald Trump knows. Even if you don't win the fight, you've got to show that you can fight them because otherwise they're gonna walk all over you. And I think that the base is behind that as a broad vision for how the party should move, anti-oligarchy and also fighting, right? And we didn't have that in the wake of 2016.
Starting point is 01:08:07 There was just arguing and there was a lot of Bernie supporters saying, hey, we were right the whole time. These were the kinds of politics that we should pursue. But as I said earlier, I guess I'm somebody that's taken some grief on the internet from even my side because I was somebody who saw a lot of value in Elizabeth Warren's politics and antitrust and going about making people's lives better within the set of circumstances that are given to us, right? And so I can say, like, yes, I support decommodifying housing. I support a universal health care program. I support free college for all
Starting point is 01:08:44 and a foreign policy that is a lot more humane than what we've been seeing. But I can also understand that we have to have the requisite dexterity to respond to the far right fascist elements that we're with right now. So we can't all be perfect allies. We have to come together and perhaps through that process of coming together and fighting Donald Trump, we will come out the other end with a more cohesive vision of how to move forward.
Starting point is 01:09:11 But I do think that this anti-oligarchy stuff can't just be for the benefit of electoral politics. This has to translate into the Democrats taking on campaign finance reform and totally agree and also pairing that with broad-based social programs that tax the rich. We have to tax the rich. We have to return to higher marginal tax rates. I'm not even saying we need to go to what it was like in the post-World War II era where we were at our most industrious and the country was growing, I'll settle for pre-Reagan numbers, but really these billionaires are out of control and
Starting point is 01:09:51 governments, what they do, they redistribute wealth. It's just a question of how we choose to redistribute this wealth and we are at such catastrophic levels of income and wealth inequality that frankly many people in our body politic are not making sane choices about who they're electing for president. So how do we make sure that we cut off some of these reactionary elements, make sure that people's basic needs are met, and we are past due for a broad-based social program like a Medicare for all or something that helps people in that manner? Yeah, I'm with you. Like a shared vision of boldness, candidates that look like they're fighting. Barack Obama ran on not taking PAC money and a whole bunch of efforts to clean up Washington
Starting point is 01:10:32 in the wake of the Jack Abramoff scandals of 2006, which old heads might remember. I totally agree with you that economic inequality is completely out of control and figuring out some just clear, simple formulation for how you're gonna get it in line, whether it's a billionaire's tax, whether it's Elizabeth Warren, you know,
Starting point is 01:10:49 2% of assets, whatever it might be. And then I do think like for the next four years, we just have to go about coalition building where we're all mindful of the need to build the biggest possible tent. Like the coalition to end the war in Gaza in the Trump era has to include like the isolationist, Rand Paul, Republican types, and then the far left.
Starting point is 01:11:13 And those of us who care about the people in Gaza can't be purists. We can't say that you have to say the word genocide to be a part of this coalition. You can't say you have to believe exactly what I believe because that's just bad politics, right? The lesson from around the world. That's hard for me, but yeah, I'm trying.
Starting point is 01:11:30 I know. Look, I mean, you mentioned Obama. I was 14, right? And then right into 2008, that was what, Obama's candidacy is why I cared about politics. It's literally what got me interested. And it was truly his opposition to the Iraq war. And I think that sometimes there's this consensus
Starting point is 01:11:47 in Washington that there are people that don't vote on foreign policy. And I don't think that's true anymore, especially when you can see children whose brains are falling out of their head and their fathers are mailing over their carcass on your phone. Like this had an effect of really muddying the waters of the morality of the two
Starting point is 01:12:07 political parties that can get elected in this bipartisan system. And I think that the Democrats really are doing a disservice if they don't reckon with how they damage their brand with young people by supporting this. Look, no, I'm not arguing that. No, I know. I've been opposed to this war from the very beginning. I'm talking about the way we talk about issues, the way we decide who can be part of a coalition or a movement and just making sure it's as broad as possible. Because authoritarian movements everywhere, they do well when the opposition,
Starting point is 01:12:40 the left usually, is divided. That's how they succeed because they rarely get 50% of the vote. They're like winning with pluralities at like 43, 44%, you know, sort of Trumpian numbers. And I think it's just a good lesson to learn. But we covered a lot of ground, Emma. Thank you so much for doing the show today.
Starting point is 01:12:57 It was great talking with you. I really appreciate it and hope to do it again soon. I would love that. Thanks so much for having me, Tommy. And I really appreciate all the work you're doing, your bright spot in this insane media environment. So thanks so much.
Starting point is 01:13:09 It's true, thank you. Okay, we're gonna take a quick break before we get to my interview with Susan Rice, but before we do, I just wanted to say that we would be really grateful if you subscribed to the Pod Save America YouTube channel. You guys are probably seeing all these reports and studies about how Democrats are getting crushed
Starting point is 01:13:24 by conservatives on YouTube. That is a real problem because a lot of people, especially young people, use YouTube primarily as a search engine. And what they find is right-wing garbage. So please subscribe to Pod Save America, help us grow, help us get good information pushed into the YouTube algorithm. And also, as long as I have the mic here and Dan and John can't stop me, subscribe to Pod Save the World, my foreign policy show with Ben Rhodes. We talk about the biggest stories in the world every week and how they intersect with policy in Washington. New episodes of Pod Save the World drop every Wednesday. Okay, when we come back, you're going to hear my interview with Susan Rice.
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Starting point is 01:16:07 My guest today served as the U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations, National Security Advisor to President Obama, and as Director of the United States Domestic Policy Council. Susan Reyes, great to see you. It's great to be with you, Tommy. All right, Susan, we're talking on Wednesday, April 2nd, which is Liberation Day, according to Donald Trump. Speaking of liberation, though, last night, Democrats
Starting point is 01:16:29 finally got a win, both electorally and spiritually, thanks to the good people of Wisconsin. Susan Crawford crushed her Republican opponent in the state Supreme Court race there. How are you feeling about how the Democrats are fighting back, now that we're a few months into Trump 2.0? Well, I think we're starting to get our footing and maybe a little bit of rhythm Susan Crawford's victory was
Starting point is 01:16:53 Tremendous it shows that People are very very unhappy with what Trump is doing and what Musk is doing this They made it a referendum on themselves and they got their asses handed to them. So that's encouraging. And also great to see somebody like Cory Booker stand in the well of the Senate for 25 hours. God knows how he managed to do that
Starting point is 01:17:19 and beat Strom Thurman's filibuster record. How do you not pee for 25 hours? How do you not pee for 25 hours? How do you not pee for 25 hours? I don't mean to focus on the stupid shit, but come on. No, I know that's the right question we're all asking ourselves, right? I have to believe that Depends may have had something to do with it, but maybe not.
Starting point is 01:17:38 I don't know. Credit to him, I love seeing people trying, fight in your own way. Exactly, and you know, and Booker is eloquent and thoughtful and you know, that's fighting, that's guts and that's vigor. And it's literally physical vigor, which is kind of what we all need.
Starting point is 01:18:01 We need a shot in the arm, we need people to be out there calling BS, standing up and insisting that we're not gonna roll over and play dead while Trump tries to steal our democracy and ruin our standing in the world. Yeah, speaking of physical vigor, what territory do you think will annex in Trump's third term? Will it be like Mexico to make it easy logistically?
Starting point is 01:18:24 Are we gonna go for a nice island like New Zealand or Tasmania? How are you thinking about this? You know, nobody elected Trump to rebuild or build an American empire that we never had. I think this is extreme hubris and will not work well for Trump much less for the United States.
Starting point is 01:18:44 Yeah, it always starts as trolling, then he starts to believe his own trolling. And so I take it seriously, but um Mostly it just pisses me off like hey buddy I don't think your approval rating is gonna be at a place where you're gonna be able to win a third term But that's just me and I you know Tommy all these things are crazy But you know imagine how Canadians are feeling feeling. Canadians who have been our closest friend, ally, partner, longest peaceful border in the world, intimately connected to our economy, our peoples are intimately connected, and Canadians are pissed. And they're like, to hell with you.
Starting point is 01:19:21 We're not coming on vacation. We're not buying your products. How do you turn on a dime and stab us in the back? And the anger up there and Trump's efforts to try to cow them into becoming the 51st state, not only are you gonna backfire, but it's gonna be really, really, really hard to repair that damage. Yeah, I mean, it really is remarkable.
Starting point is 01:19:46 I mean, Mark Carney, the new Prime Minister of Canada, gave a speech last week where he basically was like, the old cooperation, the old relationship with the United States is now dead. I think a lot of the reaction you're seeing, which I'm hearing from people too, Canadians are genuinely really pissed and angry. And a lot of that is the 51st state, quote unquote, jokes.
Starting point is 01:20:06 But there is the economic piece. I mean, we're recording this before we learn what Liberation Day actually means in practice in terms of the tariffs. But Donald Trump is talking about crushing their economy. And we should just be clear that if we crush the Canadian economy, that will irreparably harm our economy too.
Starting point is 01:20:23 Absolutely. I mean, Donald Trump is banking on the fact that people are stupid, but people are not stupid and people understand when it hits them in the pocketbook. You know, the estimates range from 2000 to $4,000 that these tariffs are gonna cost the average American family. And it's going to hit the people at the lower end
Starting point is 01:20:43 of the income scale the hardest, whether it's buying a car, buying your beer, you know, you name it, your vegetables, your fruit, it's going to be brutal. And Trump ran on a platform of lowering costs, which he seems to have forgotten in his, you know, his Imperial rage. And, you know, people are not going to let him forget that that is what they thought they voted for. And instead, they're seeing the their prices go up because of these stupid tariffs that have no clear-cut strategic objective, that they're just getting screwed as he dismantles the federal government and the programs that people rely on, whether
Starting point is 01:21:34 they're in red states, blue states, rural areas, urban areas, people of all different backgrounds. This is not going to end well for the American people, first and foremost, quite sadly, but it's not gonna end well politically, I predict, because people really did not think this is what they were signing up for. No, no, we were not signing up for a fight with Canada.
Starting point is 01:21:58 It's just crazy. So as I said at the top, you were President Obama's National Security Advisor for several years. In the last week or two, we learned that Mike Walz, who's President Obama's National Security Advisor for several years. In the last week or two, we learned that Mike Waltz, who's Donald Trump's National Security Advisor, he's been holding principal committee meetings about bombing Yemen on Signal, which is a commercially available communications app.
Starting point is 01:22:15 The Washington Post reported that Waltz and his staff have also been using Gmail for government work, including sharing, quote, "'Highly technical conversations with colleagues "'at other government agencies involving sensitive military positions and powerful weapon systems relating to an ongoing conflict, end quote. And we learned that Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth
Starting point is 01:22:34 has been bringing his spouse to meetings with his foreign counterparts. Susan, what the fuck? What are the national security implications of this just, like like reckless behavior? Yeah, WTF is exactly the right question. This could not be more reckless, negligent, and dangerous behavior.
Starting point is 01:22:57 The work of managing the national security of the United States is serious business. And there is nothing serious about the way they are approaching it in the Trump administration. First of all, to conduct highly classified, both deliberations and conveying of operational, sensitive operational information in advance of military activity conveying the effects of the strikes on a commercial app is extremely dangerous. All of that is inherently classified. And if you know the first damn thing
Starting point is 01:23:36 about national security and secure communications, you know there is a reason why every senior government official that was on that chat, perhaps except Witkoff, but probably him too, have access to 24-7 secure communications so that the Russians and the Chinese and the Iranians and the North Koreans can't hack into it. They can all hack into your cell phone, get on your signal, and understand the contents of a conversation.
Starting point is 01:24:05 We know that. And by the way, Tommy, just to remind people who we are talking about, we're talking about Marco Rubio, who headed the Senate Intelligence Committee. Right. We're talking about John Ratcliffe, who had been the director of national intelligence. He knows better.
Starting point is 01:24:22 We're talking about Tulsi Gabbard, Pete Hegseth, and Mike Walz, all of whom were military officers and knows better. We're talking about Tulsi Gabbard, Pete Hegseth, and Mike Walls, all of whom were military officers and know better. So this is deliberate recklessness. And then you dig into how they are deliberating. It was the most unserious, superficial, half-assed approach to considering a serious topic, which is bombing Yemen and the Houthis, and the regional security, global security, economic, diplomatic implications of that, they barely scratch the surface of the kind of deliberations that should be done. And then they have the audacity to send out the NSC spokesperson to tout how great their deliberations
Starting point is 01:25:07 are and how thoughtful and deep. It's a joke, but it's not funny because it really is putting our national security at risk. Yeah, I mean, I can't think of any prospective military action I've ever seen that wasn't classified. It's just like that kind of information is inherently secret and going to be protected by the US military
Starting point is 01:25:27 and the United States government. But I totally agree with you. I mean, I think this question about the deliberations has gotten a bit lost. You're absolutely right. Like I don't like JD Vance. I didn't agree with him blaming Europe for some reason in his sort of thinking about bombing the Houthi rebels,
Starting point is 01:25:41 but at least he offered an opinion. Everyone else is just, we're like, well, we're gonna blame Biden for this. We. Everyone else were like, well, we're going to blame Biden for this. We'll say, well, Biden was weak. And Stephen Miller comes in and says, well, the decision was already made. So basically, it's a discussion of when are we going to bomb, not whether this is going to be an effective solution, whether
Starting point is 01:25:59 it'll actually deter the Houthis. They didn't seem to take a look at the last year of the Biden administration bombing the Houthi rebels, which failed to deter them. It was pro forma. And by the way, it hasn't deterred them yet. And they've been going at it for over two weeks. But Tommy, it's an interesting point here.
Starting point is 01:26:17 Because if you really read that signal text chain carefully, and I have, you'll see that it was actually the vice president's intervention that turned that chat into a classified discussion. Mike Wallace was careless, put Jeff Goldberg on there, but basically he was using it initially for pretty superficial purpose. Tell me your points of contact. Vance jumps in with his two cents, which makes you wonder, did he miss the first meeting on this, the one with the president?
Starting point is 01:26:49 Was he not invited or was he too chicken shit in that meeting to raise his concerns? I don't know which it was. Good question. But then he raises them on the text chat chain and gets into some questions that really should have been carefully considered in advance of any decision making.
Starting point is 01:27:07 What are the economic implications? What will it do to the price of oil? Have we protected our facilities in the region and our allies and partners? What about the Europeans? All these are things that should have been discussed and considered. He throws them in at the last minute. Mike Walz then should have thrown a red flag and said, stop. This is a classified conversation and let's take it to the situation room and let's discuss this again. The vice president can reopen a conversation, make his point of view heard. That's when the principals should regather in person and have that conversation.
Starting point is 01:27:46 And if that changes their recommendation to the president, then the president ought to hear that, and then he makes a decision. Yeah, or to bare minimum, just jump on your high side email, which is sitting on your desk at the computer next to the one you're currently typing on, guys. It's not that hard. But they're typing on their phones, I think.
Starting point is 01:28:02 Yeah, I think they're probably. Which is even worse. Their personal phones. And what cop was in Russia, maybe. So, you know, let's do on that for a minute. OK, separate question for you. So the Trump administration in the last few months, they've gutted global public health infrastructure
Starting point is 01:28:16 by destroying USAID. And then domestically, we have Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., leading the Department of Health and Human Services, where last week he pushed out a guy named Peter Marx, who is the Food and Drug Administration's top vaccine regulator. In his letter of resignation, Marks wrote, it has become clear that truth and transparency are not desired by the secretary, but rather he wishes subservient confirmation of his misinformation and lies. Pretty brutal letter there.
Starting point is 01:28:42 Also, thanks to Elon Musk and Doge, we've seen massive cuts to the Center for Disease Control, the National Institute of Health, and other major. And the FDA. And the FDA. And so when you add all of this up, I mean, what do you think the impact is on public health and safety in the United States?
Starting point is 01:29:00 I mean, it's going to be devastating. And you listed all the reasons why. First of all, the work that USAID and the CDC do overseas or used to do overseas to detect emergent diseases, test them, sequence the DNA, understand what they are so we can prepare to defend Americans against them. That's gone. U.S. officials aren't even able to talk to the World Health Organization anymore. It's insane. So we're living in a world where we already have, right this minute, diseases emerging in Africa, hemorrhagic diseases that we
Starting point is 01:29:42 don't know the nature or the origins of in the family of Ebola. We have in the United States an emergent bird flu that could become a pandemic. Meanwhile, the administration just fired the senior veterinarian in the Health and Human Services Department who was working on the bird flu in cows and in chickens. It's insane. Then domestically we're saying we're not going to have the personnel to test our medicines, our devices, our tobacco, all of the things that we rely on and believe to be safe because they have been carefully vetted and approved
Starting point is 01:30:29 by the FDA, we're wiping that out. We're wiping out cancer research at the National Institutes of Health. You know, God help you if you have a brain tumor, you know, of the sort that John McCain had. We've wiped out, you know, research on that. I mean, the list goes John McCain had. We've wiped out, you know, research on that. I mean, the list goes on and on. And, you know, they're doing this under the false guise of, you know, making America
Starting point is 01:30:52 healthy again. We're going to kill millions of Americans. I should say not we, they will be killing millions of Americans, not to mention the lives that they're sacrificing overseas, not to mention the lives that they're sacrificing overseas for no good reason. I mean, cost savings of a couple billion dollars, which by the way is not gonna materialize, but even if it did, Americans' health, the health of 300 million Americans is not worth a couple billion dollars.
Starting point is 01:31:21 What the hell are they doing? I know, it's insane. I mean, I think a lot about the work you guys did at the end of the Obama administration to manage a very scary Ebola outbreak overseas to prevent it from coming back here. And now that capacity seems to just be gone. Right, it's extraordinary.
Starting point is 01:31:37 I mean, and across the board, you know, FDA approvals, research at NIH, the Centers for Disease Control, you know, which, you know, is no longer able to work on infection FDA approvals, research at NIH, the Centers for Disease Control, which is no longer able to work on infectious diseases. What are they doing? Yeah, I don't know. The other stories that are just horrifying me
Starting point is 01:31:56 are these stories about the Trump administration deporting Venezuelan men who have no gang affiliation or criminal record. They're sending them to El Salvador to this transnational gulag, seemingly just because they have tattoos. At the same time, you have ICE rounding up students in the United States who are here legally
Starting point is 01:32:14 because they protested the war in Gaza at some point. What are you watching for as we see this early shredding of constitutional rights due process? And what does it portend in terms of immigration policy or, I don't know, freedom of speech generally in your view? Well, we're in a very dark period, Tommy. Trump, if he has his way, is going to eliminate the rule of law in this country.
Starting point is 01:32:37 And it'll be the rule of one, him. And we can't let that happen. But we've got universities and law firms and media companies and other private sector entities bending over and bending the knee and not recognizing that this is going to affect all of them and all of us. And take the immigration issue that you just raised. I mean, some people might say, well, these are brown people, they allegedly came here illegally, they committed crimes, that's not our problem.
Starting point is 01:33:13 It is our problem, Tommy, because people don't understand that we don't know whether any of that is true, except that we know they're brown. We don't know where they're from, we don't know how they got here. If they're here without legal status, we don't know if they've committed a crime. None of that, because none of them have been able
Starting point is 01:33:34 to have their constitutional right to due process. They still have a right to due process. And if they can pick up anybody they like on the street because they don't like their tattoo, or maybe they don't like the color of their the street because they don't like their tattoo or maybe they don't like the color of their shirt or they don't like their haircut or they don't like their dreadlocks or they don't like whatever or maybe they don't like you and you claim that you, Tommy Veeder, are not here legally, that you've committed crimes, and disappear you to El Salvador,
Starting point is 01:34:15 and you will never have the opportunity, despite being a US citizen, to prove otherwise. They admitted they sent one guy down there in error, but oh, sorry, even though El Salvador is our butt boy, we can't get this guy back. That is so maddening. We could make one phone call to Nia Bukele from Marco Rubio, from Trump, from Vance,
Starting point is 01:34:38 anybody and get these people back who are innocent tomorrow. They just don't want to. Exactly. But that could be you, it could be me, it could be any, you know, passport carrying US citizen. Yeah, it is terrifying people and I think understandably so.
Starting point is 01:34:55 I'm jumping around a bunch, but I just wanted to ask, I mean, you have met with, observed, dealt with Vladimir Putin for a long part of your career, too long. Thankfully, not recently. Yeah, thankfully not recently. What is your sense so far about of how Putin is approaching Trump's push for a peace deal in Ukraine?
Starting point is 01:35:17 How do you think he's playing this? Putin's playing Trump like a fiddle and playing him for a fool. And it may be that Trump is finally getting a whiff of that and starting to get a little bit unhappy about it. Look, Putin has no interest in ending the war in Ukraine. He thinks he has the upper hand militarily. He thinks the United States under Trump is not going to sustain military and economic
Starting point is 01:35:44 support to Ukraine. He thinks time is on his side, and he wants to take more and more and more of Ukrainian territory, grind them down. Trump is giving him the time and space to do that with these sham negotiations in which he is demanding everything of the Ukrainians and nothing of the Russians. And so, you know, Trump is playing, is being played by Putin. The question is, will he recognize that and realize that he's being, you know, humiliated
Starting point is 01:36:20 both domestically and internationally and and push back on Putin. But I don't think Trump has a desire to do that. He's got a bizarre affection for Putin and Russia, and he is undermining not just Ukraine, but our whole global alliance network in Europe and in Asia in service of interests that are not American but are Russian and by extension, Chinese, Iranian, and North Korean. And let me just, anyone who's listening and thinking to themselves, well, how do you guys know
Starting point is 01:36:56 what Putin's intentions are? How do you know he doesn't wanna cut a peace deal? Today, Putin announced that he is calling up 160,000 men aged 18 to 30. It's the largest number of conscriptions in Russia since 2011. He is more broadly speaking, trying to expand the size of its military
Starting point is 01:37:14 to over 2.39 million people over the coming three years. Does that sound like a man who's preparing for peace? No, this is a guy dramatically escalating and growing his military and preparing for conflict. Absolutely. I mean, there's no question that that's what's happening. And everybody seems to get it, except Trump and his closest advisors.
Starting point is 01:37:37 Yeah, who just don't seem to care. Last question for you. The Trump administration just pulled Elise Stefanik's nomination to be US ambassador to the UN. There's some reporting today in Politico and other places that the Trump administration has reached out to a bunch of people about taking the job and they've sort of said thanks but no thanks.
Starting point is 01:37:54 It seems like, given the names have been floated, that this role will primarily be focused on running interference for Israel and kind of brow-beating countries Trump doesn't like, but you were the US ambassador to the UN. Can you just make the case for why this role is important, why it's still important under the Trump administration, how bizarre it is that they can't seem to fill the billet?
Starting point is 01:38:19 Well, it's important in the normal scheme because you are, as UN ambassador, negotiating and leading on behalf of US interests globally. You're interacting with literally every country in the world and shaping decisions in the Security Council and the General Assembly and other UN bodies that Can yield beneficial outcomes for the United States our allies in our interests now in this administration You know frankly they it's it's worse than a you know prior Republican administrations where they may disparage the UN you know think John Bolton right John Bolton and
Starting point is 01:39:07 you know where they may disparage the UN, think John Bolton, and criticize it as a hostile anti-Israel institution, okay, well and good, but under Trump, they seem to have absolutely no interest in anything, frankly, that gets done in the United Nations. in anything frankly that gets done in the United Nations. And to the extent that they have engaged at all in the United Nations, they engaged to come in on, in Russia's defense, in the General Assembly and align us with North Korea and other adversaries against our allies.
Starting point is 01:39:43 So it probably will be a crappy job in this administration, to be honest, Tommy, because you'll have no influence, you'll have no real role to play, and, you know, they just seem to have nothing but disdain for any kind of useful interactions with foreign countries. Yeah, you're probably gonna get sent up there
Starting point is 01:40:04 to destroy the organization from within to the extent that you can. useful interactions with foreign countries. Yeah, you're probably gonna get sent up there to destroy the organization from within to the extent that you can. Maybe you'll get invited to the Signal Chat though. That could be cool. Susan, great to see you. Thank you so much for coming on the show and really appreciate this tour of the world we just did.
Starting point is 01:40:18 Great to be with you, Tommy, as always. Take good care. And finally, here's a quick excerpt of my conversation with Ashley Parker about pregnancy loss. You can listen to the rest of this conversation on the Pod Save America YouTube channel and read her essay at the Atlantic. So one thing I also want to talk about in the piece that is really important is you talk about how after miscarriage really important is you talk about how,
Starting point is 01:40:45 after miscarriage, one thing that often happens involves a procedure called the DNC. A lot of people probably don't know what a DNC is, but I won't get into all the detail, you can if you want, but it's essentially indistinguishable from an abortion. And knowing that, having sat through multiple DNCs with Hannah was part of what made the recent abortion political debate
Starting point is 01:41:09 so infuriating to me because very often, women who desperately wanna have kids can't and they have to have an abortion, they have to have a DNC to protect their own health, to preserve their ability to have children in the future. But some of the more draconian laws that were passed in states essentially require women to be literally near death
Starting point is 01:41:29 before doctors are allowed to treat them. And Ashley, I couldn't help but imagine if Hannah and I went through the pain of the pregnancy loss and then we went to a doctor and the doctor was like, hey man, sorry, I can't help you until her organs are failing, I would have been in jail for homicide. You know, that was kind of my reaction.
Starting point is 01:41:48 Yeah. And I mean, I'm embarrassed to admit it, but I sort of, and in my slight defense, I had my pregnancy loss in my DNC before Roe was overturned. So the ignorance is like slightly more acceptable, but I write about this, but I show up for my DNC and I'm signing forms, you know, in all sort of the typical medical forms.
Starting point is 01:42:13 And one of the forms says, you know, I understand that I'm having an abortion and I accept all the risks associated with an abortion. So I literally, I literally called the nurse over and I was like, she's gonna be so embarrassed. I'm like, ma'am, you gave me the wrong form. This is the abortion form, but I'm here for the miscarriage. And like, she got this very like kind, sad look on her face.
Starting point is 01:42:34 And she was like, you experienced pregnancy loss, but what you're technically having is an abortion. And I was just, I mean, again, it sounds dumb, but I was just floored. And then afterwards, I remember my mom, when I was traveling for work, when I was pregnant again, she was asking me, she was worried if I was gonna go, like if I was gonna have to travel to a red state.
Starting point is 01:42:59 I was like, I covered Trump, so he does a lot of rallies in these states with his base. And I thought it was she was worried about like masking I cover Trump, so he does a lot of rallies in these states with his base. And I thought it was she was worried about masking and COVID because obviously getting COVID is bad if you're pregnant. But she was worried that because I had had pregnancy loss and because I was pregnant, what if, God forbid, I had some sort of complication?
Starting point is 01:43:20 She didn't want me to be in a state where I might not be able to get the medical care I needed. Which again, is just a crazy thing to think about when you're doing your job or for any women, when you're going through life, right? Like, can I get the life saving help I may need? I had not even thought about it that way. Like if you are pregnant, should you travel to Texas?
Starting point is 01:43:46 I mean, that is, Jesus Christ, what's happening in this country? Yeah, and just in your defense, I mean, I don't- Thank you, defend me. I didn't know what a DNC was until I learned about it after we needed one. I didn't know that there was, I think people think miscarriage,
Starting point is 01:44:02 like they think of the movies, right? Like blood in a toilet. Like it's, right? That's not what it is. That's a really painful and at times it could be a scarring procedure that can prevent you from having kids in the future. Right.
Starting point is 01:44:16 And again, one of the reasons I wrote this essay is because, and there's nothing wrong with this, but like especially social media is often, it's like performative life. And there's nothing wrong with that. I love seeing when people have healthy babies and I love seeing when people have beautiful weddings and I love seeing nice vacations or tragedy moons,
Starting point is 01:44:37 but it's one thing to post beautiful pictures from Hawaii or of your new baby. And very few people are like, I know what's gonna be an Instagram, a great Instagram post, my sixth DNC. I'm gonna, you know, I'm gonna do like a selfie from the table with the ID. And it's just not out there.
Starting point is 01:44:56 So it creates this sense, like you see all these gender reveals and baby bumps and baby moons and happy families. And I'm so glad for that. But you just don't see the other side as much and I thought it was important. That's our show for today. Thanks again to Emma for coming in. Thanks to Susan Rice for coming by.
Starting point is 01:45:18 Thank you Ashley Parker for talking with me for YouTube. Love It will be back in the feed on Sunday with a special interview with Michael Lewis, the culture changing author of Moneyball, The Big Short, and countless other great books about his new book on the people that make the government work and why he thinks Elon Musk has no idea what he's doing.
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Starting point is 01:46:03 it with friends and family. Pods A of America is a Crooked Media production. Our producers are David Toledo and Saul Rubin. Our associate producer is Farrah Safaree. Reid Cherlin is our executive editor and Adrian Hill is our executive producer. The show is mixed and edited by Andrew Chadwick. Jordan Cantor is our sound engineer with audio support from Kyle Seglin and Charlotte Landis. Madeleine Herringer is our head of news and programming. Matt DeGroote is our head of production. Naomi Sengel is our executive assistant.
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