Stuff You Should Know - SYSK Selects: How Trickle-Down Economics Works
Episode Date: March 17, 2018The concept of trickle-down economics is tied to Ronald Reagan, but the idea's been around and in use since the 20s. It's simple: Give more money to the wealthy and they can use it to rev up an econom...y. But is the whole thing just a scam? Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.comSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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On the podcast, Hey Dude, the 90s called,
David Lasher and Christine Taylor,
stars of the cult classic show, Hey Dude,
bring you back to the days of slip dresses
and choker necklaces.
We're gonna use Hey Dude as our jumping off point,
but we are going to unpack and dive back
into the decade of the 90s.
We lived it, and now we're calling on all of our friends
to come back and relive it.
Listen to Hey Dude, the 90s called
on the iHeart radio app, Apple Podcasts,
or wherever you get your podcasts.
Hey, I'm Lance Bass, host of the new iHeart podcast,
Frosted Tips with Lance Bass.
Do you ever think to yourself, what advice would Lance Bass
and my favorite boy bands give me in this situation?
If you do, you've come to the right place
because I'm here to help.
And a different hot, sexy teen crush boy bander
each week to guide you through life.
Tell everybody, ya everybody, about my new podcast
and make sure to listen so we'll never, ever have to say.
Bye, bye, bye.
Listen to Frosted Tips with Lance Bass
on the iHeart radio app, Apple Podcasts,
or wherever you listen to podcasts.
Hey everybody, it's me, your old pal Josh.
And for this week's SYSK Selects,
I've chosen how trickle down economics works.
It sounds boring, but it'll actually knock your socks off.
It's so interesting.
And maybe Ronald Reagan will make an appearance.
Who knows?
You'll have to listen and find out.
Enjoy.
Welcome to Stuff You Should Know, from HowStuffWorks.com.
Hey, welcome to the podcast.
I'm Josh Clark, and there's Charles W. Chuck Bryant
and Jerry, and they're snickering and tittering.
And that makes this the stuff you should know.
Yeah, we've got sidetracked before talking about
things that trickle.
Names.
Names that trickle.
Yes.
Like the famous race car driver, Dick Trickle.
Say hello, dude.
I swear to God.
Look him up.
I will.
Don't image search.
Just look him up.
Okay.
Invasion specify race car.
Yeah.
That's a good idea.
You're a Google master with your Google foo.
Yes.
And we, the three of us are apparently all eight years old
again.
Yep.
Speaking of trickle, Chuck.
Hey, happy birthday.
Oh, be quiet.
Jerry, you have a big mouth.
You're always talking.
Well, I usually remember, but I didn't today,
so happy birthday.
Thank you.
I appreciate it.
And this will be out several weeks later, but.
Right.
I'll get to relive my birthday all over again.
Exactly.
Thanks, man.
Have you, Chuckers, ever seen the movie Ferris Bueller's Day Off?
Yeah, I knew we'd go there at some point.
In this one?
Yeah.
Because of Ben Stein?
Yeah.
Oh, okay, good.
So you know the answer then.
Something the OO economics, anyone?
Voodoo economics.
Yeah.
When they're in econ class, the guy who says Bueller,
Bueller, that's Ben Stein.
Remember he had that show when Ben Stein's money?
Which was really his money.
Yeah, it was, wasn't it?
I think so.
I think that was like legit, yeah.
I think maybe like they gave it to him if it wasn't one
or came out of a salary, who knows?
Probably.
But before that show came on, he was in Ferris Bueller's Day
off as an econ professor.
And I believe he does have a degree in economics.
He's also just a great actor and visine pitchman.
But what he was talking about in there.
No, he was Clear Eyes.
Clear Eyes, thank you.
Clear Eyes is awesome.
Yeah, that's right.
That sounded like not Ben Stein.
Yeah, well, that was my, it's as stiny as I get.
Anyway, he was talking about voodoo economics.
And voodoo economics was another name
for trickle down economics, a.k.a. Reaganomics.
And the person who coined the term voodoo economics,
do you know?
John Hughes?
No.
Yeah, it was George Bush Sr.
Yeah, HW.
I remember that.
Yeah, he was running in the primaries against Reagan
for the 1980 election before he came on as his vice president.
And he was deriding Reagan's economic policies,
specifically his belief in trickle down economics
as voodoo economics.
Because there's apparently some sort of magic
to the whole thing that makes it work rather than sound economic
principle.
Yeah, it occurred to me today when I was studying the stuff
that John Hughes picked this very topic
to represent the most boring thing you could talk about.
I guess so, yeah.
And it took me a few times to figure it out,
because you know, my brain doesn't skew toward understanding
economics.
It's tough to do so.
But I finally did.
And I was like, you know what?
It's not the most boring thing ever.
It's pretty interesting.
And if I came around, that means anyone can.
No, it's just our burden to make it interesting to everybody
else, which we've already failed that spectacularly.
That's right.
So let's talk about this idea.
First of all, trickle down economics
will explain the whole thing in detail,
starting in just a moment.
But we should probably say it the disclaimer.
If you want to drive a fiscal conservative
or a conservative economist, or just a conservative in general,
crazy, mention trickle down economics.
What they call supply side economics,
trickle down economics.
It drives them bonkers.
There's no such thing as trickle down economics.
It's a derisive term.
It doesn't capture the spirit or the thought
behind supply side economics, which
is what they've come around to call it.
But back in the day, it was definitely
called trickle down economics.
And the whole point, the reason why
it was called trickle down economics,
is that the idea behind it is if you place wealth
with the wealthiest people, this idea goes,
they will take that money and invest it into the economy,
which will get things running again.
And as a result, that economic engine revving up
will create more wealth at the top that
trickles down to the lower working and middle classes.
Yeah, like who better to stimulate the economy
than the super rich.
And they will maybe open a business to put people to work.
And then those workers will benefit directly
from that investment that that person made.
Right, so this is the whole theory behind it.
We should also disclaim even further
that economics as a field is so far from science,
it's preposterous.
Yeah.
Most economic theory that you ever
will run into from John Maynard Keynes or Adam Smith
or Jean-Baptiste, these guys are talking about pure economies.
The United States, and I don't think there's
any economy in the world that is a pure economy,
a free market economy.
The United States has things like tariffs,
and we have things like government intervention,
tax policy, monetary policy.
There's intervention in the market,
so you can't ever say, we can't say really what causes
recessions and what brings us out of them,
or whether trickle down economics is effective,
or if it's not, or if it is effective,
is it effective in the long run or the short run,
and what about the opposite way?
Is that effective in the long run or the short run?
We don't know.
People think they do, though.
That is the thing.
That's why this kind of stuff can get people's blood boiling.
Like the point of this one is to just talk about trickle down
economics and the theory behind it
and why it may or may not work, and on the caveat
that we don't know, and neither do economists.
Yeah, I think I left this at a little frustrated
after my research, because I thought
I would come away with an answer.
But I mean, if you look up Reaganomics, which
is another name for Reagan's version of the supply side
economics, you will find 100 articles, well, more than that,
but 100 articles on what a great success it was,
and then the abject failure of Reaganomics.
And no one is going to agree.
I looked at some of these theories and said, well,
that makes sense in an ideal world.
Then I'll look at the opposite and think, well,
that makes sense in an ideal world.
And I don't know if you, like you said,
I don't know if there is an answer,
even though everyone thinks that they're right.
Both people can't be right, both sides.
No, it's true, because these are very opposite, in most cases,
ideas.
Yeah, but what I did find was a bunch of articles
after digging further that said the failures and successes
of Reaganomics.
And I think, to me, that's probably a little more accurate,
because it is in a black and white situation.
Well, part of the problem is, is if you point to Reagan's tax
policies, right?
And Reagan is tied to trickle down economics.
Yeah, and we'll get into the history, like we'll clear all
this up.
But he's not really the first one to implement this.
No.
But he's tied to it.
But if you look at Reaganomics, the problem is this, Chuck.
If you say, well, the 90s were very prosperous.
We had the dot-com boom.
Sure.
And the NASDAQ hit like a record 10,000 points in the 90s.
All of that was from Reagan's policies.
Well, you can't say that that was from Reagan's policies.
We don't know.
We just simply don't know.
Was it something short-term that the Clinton administration
was doing?
Or was it the long-term effects of Reagan's tax cuts?
We don't know.
Yeah, and we're going to get scores of email from people
saying what we do know, but we don't.
No.
So just send your email.
That's fine, but you're wrong.
Well, I guess we should go ahead and say too that just the
name trickle down was coined by Will Rogers, famous humorist
in the 1920s.
It is not a 1980s thing.
It had been around for a while.
And he said, quote, the money was all appropriated for the top
in hopes that it would trickle down to the needy.
And that's where it started to get a derogatory feel
around that name.
For sure, since the 20s.
And over time, especially since the 80s,
the people who championed trickle down economics
or this particular version of trickle down tax policy
have tried to distance themselves from the term
trickle down.
Because it does seem elitist, and it seems like a big wealth
transfer, which in fact it is.
Let's talk about this.
Trickle down policy isn't necessarily associated with
Reagan's tax cuts.
The whole idea behind trickle down, as I said already,
is you take wealth and you give it to the wealthiest people.
That's what's done.
It's a wealth transfer.
And it's usually done at a time when you're in an economic
slump, so you're hoping to revitalize things.
Yeah, it's the government trying to smooth out rough spots
in the national economy.
AKA recessions.
So you're transferring wealth.
You're transferring wealth, though, on the premise
that that money is going to be reinvested, reinvigorated.
You used to reinvigorate the economy, right?
So it is a wealth transfer.
But with the one we're talking about today specifically,
we're talking about Reagan's version.
So it's a wealth transfer through tax cuts, right?
So when Reagan came into office, he took over a tax policy
where the highest tax rate was like 70%.
The highest earners were paying 70%
on their highest income.
Yeah, and he got that down to about 50.
Yeah, which still seems incredibly high today
in an age where we're paying like 35%.
The highest earners are.
So the point is Reagan did it through tax cuts.
But that doesn't mean like trickle down economics
doesn't equal tax cuts necessarily.
It's trickle down.
That's one way of putting more money into the hands
of the wealthiest people.
Exactly.
It's really a question of supply and demand.
And I guess we can go back through time a little bit
to Jean-Baptiste Sey who you mentioned, a 19th century
French economist.
And his philosophy has been misinterpreted a lot
as supply creates its own demand.
It's not exactly right.
What he was really saying is products
are paid for with products.
And money just had like a temporary function.
Yeah, like if you are somebody who produces something,
when you produce that something, that item,
when you go make that shoe, and you're
going to sell your shoe, which is the whole reason you made
the shoe in the first place, and then with that money,
you can go use it to buy other goods and services.
So the production of that shoe created
a wage for you, which in turn stimulated consumption, demand,
from you for something else.
Yeah, product is paid for with product.
The misinterpretation that supply creates its own demand
is just a bastardized version.
And that basically means that there would never
be a failed product, like you can just produce and produce
and produce, which isn't sound.
No, that's insane.
And I think Say would have said that that is not true as well.
Well, he did.
He did during his lifetime even say, well, no, I mean,
it's possible that there is such a thing as overproduction.
I mean, if you think about it, during the housing market crash,
it's starting a few years ago, there
was a glut of homes on the market.
And it's not like the people who were building homes
just merrily went on building homes and building homes
and building homes, like once the demand ceased,
they stopped producing and we still had a glut on the market.
And the ones who were still just sinking money into built,
like building just stopped basically.
And it was because there was an oversupply
because demand had ceased.
So the idea that if you produce it,
demand will come on a short term basis
is just kind of a fallacy.
Yeah, but in the earlier days of this country,
a lot of big thinkers agreed with him, like Jefferson.
But the tide turned later on in our country
with the introduction of Mr. Keynes, Keynesian Economics.
Yeah, so we've talked about in our audiobook.
Yeah, we did.
Stuff you should know, super stuff guide to the economy.
Yeah, which is probably super outdated.
I wonder.
But there are some, I think there's some evergreen content
in there.
Yeah, I mean, it was like an economics 101 course.
Yeah, that's true.
With us.
Yeah.
But so the basis of Say's law is that if you stimulate
production, then you'll get the economy going again.
And it was implemented for a while,
like some of the early 20th century presidents,
like Hoover, among others, like Harding and Coolidge.
Yeah, JFK?
Well, JFK later, but early on in the 20th century,
Harding and Coolidge both implemented
this kind of what's called supply side policy, tax policy.
Say's law.
Right, where if you stimulate production
through lowering taxes at the top,
and we'll tell you in a second how those two are correlated,
you can get the economy going again.
Well, Hoover also followed the same policy.
And under Hoover's watch, the Great Depression happened.
Yeah, which would cause any just regular thinking person,
even if they don't understand economics,
to think, hey, we're doing it wrong.
Right.
So Roosevelt came along.
That's right.
Roosevelt held the opposite view.
And he was very much a Keynesian.
And he was operating at the same time
that Keynes was writing and working himself.
And John Maynard Keynes said, no, no, no.
You guys have it backwards.
You don't stimulate the supply.
You stimulate the demand.
Then all of a sudden, if you have a housing glut,
and you suddenly have people who have more money to spend,
they'll take care of your housing glut,
and then things can get back to normal.
We reach equilibrium again.
Yeah, he was about short-term ideas, short-term fixes,
maybe lower interest rates, maybe taxes, fiscal policy,
taxes, and spending.
Basically what you hear a lot about these days,
Keynesian economics kind of lasted a long time
until probably Kennedy and then Reagan.
So there's only been a handful of US presidents
who really endorse the trickle-down theory,
like wholeheartedly.
Since the 20th century.
So yeah, the Keynesian policies ruled.
And it was very much about cutting taxes for the lower
and middle and working classes, increasing taxes for the rich.
Because if you're a government, you still need revenue, right?
So you can't just cut taxes for everybody.
If you cut taxes for one group, you
kind of need to increase it for another,
because you still need your money coming in.
Of course, you could also take the radical step
of figuring out how to eliminate waste and bloat
in government.
That would help a lot.
But we're not talking about that in this one.
We're talking about trickle-down economics.
That's right.
So then along comes Kennedy, who says, hey,
my dad was pretty rich, so I'm kind of thinking
that this trickle-down thing might work.
So he got into supply-side economics.
And then when Reagan came along, he really
championed this whole idea.
And it was out of a result of some guys in the 70s
saying, there's this whole other thing
that we've been ignoring, which is this trickle-down tax policy
that we should implement.
And they got Reagan into it, and he implemented it.
Yeah.
And after this message break coming up here in a sec,
we are going to talk a little bit about,
if it doesn't sound like it makes sense to you,
there is a certain curve that we'll explain that
might clear it up for you.
I'll see you next time.
OK.
On the podcast, Hey Dude, the 90s called David Lasher
and Christine Taylor, stars of the cult classic show, Hey Dude,
bring you back to the days of slip dresses and choker
necklaces.
We're going to use Hey Dude as our jumping off point,
but we are going to unpack and dive back
into the decade of the 90s.
We lived it, and now we're calling on all of our friends
to come back and relive it.
It's a podcast packed with interviews, co-stars,
friends, and non-stop references to the best decade ever.
Do you remember going to Blockbuster?
Do you remember Nintendo 64?
Do you remember getting Frosted Tips?
Was that a cereal?
No, it was hair.
Do you remember AOL Instant Messenger and the dial-up sound
like poltergeist?
So leave a code on your best friend's beeper,
because you'll want to be there when the nostalgia starts
flowing.
Each episode will rival the feeling
of taking out the cartridge from your Game Boy,
blowing on it and popping it back in,
as we take you back to the 90s.
Listen to, Hey Dude, the 90s called on the iHeart radio
app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Hey, I'm Lance Bass, host of the new iHeart podcast, Frosted
Tips with Lance Bass.
The hardest thing can be knowing who to turn to when
questions arise or times get tough,
or you're at the end of the road.
OK, I see what you're doing.
Do you ever think to yourself, what advice would Lance Bass
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or wherever you listen to podcasts.
All right, so we're going to talk about the Laffer
Curve, which was also in Ferris Bueller.
Oh, was it?
Yeah, he says Laffer Curve, but in high school,
I had no idea.
But I was like, what are those words together?
I don't understand.
Laffer was a person.
L-A-F-F-E-R.
And the Laffer Curve helps explain a little bit
why trickle down economics could possibly work.
Is that a good, neutral way to say that?
I would say so.
The idea of the Laffer Curve is that the relationship
between taxes and revenues is a curve instead
of a direct relationship.
So at a certain point, let's say you own a company,
you make and choose, and you gross $10 million
through the first two financial quarters.
And you're taxed it, let's say, 50%.
And if you make any more money, then you're
going to jump up into that 90% tax category.
You might slow down production.
You might halt production altogether and say,
you know what, I'm going to take off the rest of the year.
Maybe even put these people out of work for four to six months.
Furlough.
Furlough, because I don't want to be taxed anymore.
So if you look at that on a graph,
if you tax people 100%, they're not going to work.
If you tax people 0%, you're not getting any money.
So in the middle of there is the curve.
Right.
It basically, Laffer's Curve suggests
that the correlation between tax rates and tax revenue
is not totally positive.
At some point, it starts to go back down.
Yeah, that's called the prohibitive range.
At a certain point, people don't want to be taxed in that range.
Yeah, and it's not even necessarily
that they are not working any longer
because they resent being taxed.
What Laffer was pointing out is that there
is this prohibitive range.
And within the prohibitive range,
you remove the incentive to work theoretically.
And Jay McGrath who wrote this gave a pretty good example
where it's like, if you make that money and you are taxed 50%,
that's tolerable.
You still get to keep 50% for yourself.
But when you tax in that 90th percentile,
let's say you're going to make another $1 million,
you have to give $900,000 of it to the government
and you just get to keep $100,000.
Well, you might decide to just go and spend
the rest of the year at your beach house
with the money that you did make, not because you
resent being taxed, but because it's just not worth it
to exert that effort to make that next $1 million
when you just get to keep $100,000 of it.
So at that point in that prohibitive range,
the tax policy is effectively keeping people from working,
inducing them to not work any longer, which
is bad for an economy.
And that's if your income is directly related to your work.
Right.
You could conceivably, if you owned a factory or something,
and you didn't have to really exert any problems,
and you could still make payroll and all that stuff,
it might be worth it to just leave it to these other people
to make that extra $100,000 for you,
rather than go off to the beach house.
But if your effort directly is taxed, then yes,
it would become a disincentive toward work.
Conceivably, we should point out, Chuck,
and Jane didn't do a very good job of doing that
in this article.
Laffer's Curve is a thought experiment.
It's not based on data.
It's not a hard and fast rule or a law.
It's basically an intuitive idea of tax rates
and their effect on tax revenue.
Yeah, but you don't even have to be a business owner.
Let's say you're just a regular employee that
makes a salary.
You have a salary sweet spot as well.
Yeah.
It's great to get promotions and to get raises,
but if you're really climbing the ladder at a certain point,
you might think, man, I got a big raise,
and I'm making barely any more money
than I made before this big promotion because I've
been kicked into a higher tax bracket.
So that's the prohibitive range, and it can apply to you.
I mean, you can't.
You don't stop working.
No, but you may say, I don't actually
want that promotion because it's going to be more responsibility
and really not much more money, so I'm
going to hang out right here rather than keep going.
Yeah, in my little 20% range or whatever it is.
Right.
So that's Laffer's Curve.
Yes.
And that's a kind of the basis of trickle-down tax policy.
It's the idea that, OK, there is a point where you can tax too
much, and now you're actually slowing down the economy.
So based on Laffer's Curve, when you're looking at it
through trickle-down policy, there's
a point then that, like you said, there's a sweet spot
as far as tax revenue goes.
And it creates this seeming paradox
where if you cut tax rates at a certain point,
you'll actually increase tax revenue
because people will be incentivized to work more
throughout the year.
And the other basis of trickle-down theory
is that you are going to put more money or keep more money
with the wealthiest people who under this idea
are more likely to invest it.
Right, back into the economy.
Right, and when they do that supposedly, allegedly,
the economy booms.
Yeah, what you can't account for is just the single person.
This is looked at in the broadest terms
because somebody could make all their money
and just sit on it in the bank, which isn't reinvesting it.
That is a really, really, really big point.
You'll remember back at the beginning of this recession
that Fed was doing everything it could to cheapen lending
and still has been.
And it didn't do anything.
Lending still dried up.
Like you have to take into account things like insecurity,
fear, just being human.
Yes, being human, we're not necessarily rationally
maximizing actors humans are.
Like there is such thing as fear and the idea
that maybe hoarding money is best.
So what's possible then if you follow this trickle-down tax
policy is you're taking money from everybody else
and giving it to the rich.
Or if your head just spun because you're
a fiscal conservative, what you're doing
is allowing the rich to keep more of their income.
But they're not doing anything with it.
Right.
At least as a short-term fix, that's not a good idea.
Because you can probably bet that eventually the rich are
going to take that money and invest it back in the economy.
But it's not necessarily.
Yes.
But when's that going to happen?
You can't really say.
And part of the other problem with it
is that you are then also basically handing money
out at a fire sale.
You're saying, hey, here's a bunch of money.
Invest it back in the economy.
And have we mentioned the bargain basement rates
you can get on all of these businesses over here
because the economy is in a recession.
Yeah, like an infomercial.
Yeah, very much.
And it's like it is literally a wealth transfer.
And under some circumstances, like the recession
that we're still coming out of now,
it is a wealth transfer and an asset transfer
in that the people who have the most money, the wealthy,
also have the most buying power.
And they have the best bargains.
Yeah, Thomas Sowell is an economist.
And he won't call it trickle down economics
because he thinks it literally benefits the workers immediately
and first because in the idealized version,
they're going to reinvest.
And the very first thing that's going to happen
is they're going to put people to work
and people are going to have jobs.
So yeah, he's not going to call it trickle down theory
because he thinks it works literally the opposite way.
I read a column in the national review by him.
And he's like, you'll never find a legitimate economist,
a history of economic theories and policies and analysis.
You'll never find trickle down economics anywhere.
Like it drives him crazy that people call it that
because it has such a negative association and elitist
wealthy association.
Yeah, and if you're during election time
or if you see these big tax cuts for the wealthy,
if it makes your blood boil because you think these people
are obviously in the hip pocket of the politician,
that may be true.
But you can still remove yourself from that
and look at the theory itself and does it work or does it not.
And we will do that after this message.
Stuff you should know.
On the podcast, Hey Dude, the 90s,
called David Lasher and Christine Taylor,
stars of the cult classic show, Hey Dude,
bring you back to the days of slip dresses
and choker necklaces.
We're going to use Hey Dude as our jumping off point,
but we are going to unpack and dive back
into the decade of the 90s.
We lived it, and now we're calling on all of our friends
to come back and relive it.
It's a podcast packed with interviews, co-stars, friends,
and nonstop references to the best decade ever.
Do you remember going to Blockbuster?
Do you remember Nintendo 64?
Do you remember getting Frosted Tips?
Was that a cereal?
No, it was hair.
Do you remember AOL Instant Messenger
and the dial-up sound like poltergeist?
So leave a code on your best friend's beeper
because you'll want to be there when the nostalgia starts
flowing.
Each episode will rival the feeling
of taking out the cartridge from your Game Boy,
blowing on it, and popping it back in as we take you back
to the 90s.
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Stuff you should know.
So, Chuck, let's do just that, um,
passionless rundown of how a trickle down supply side
tax policy works.
Yeah, I mean, it's got to be passionless with me
because I have no idea.
I like, I can't argue hard for any side.
Because I read so many articles disputing one another
completely that I have no idea.
So, OK, so we're in a recession.
And there's a discussion.
Is it supply or demand that you want to stimulate?
Well, with supply side economics,
trickle down is what you'd call it in the vernacular.
You want to stimulate the supply.
Because under this belief, if you stimulate the supply,
the people who are producing stuff will have stuff for sale.
And people will buy it.
And more money will enter the economy.
And things will get back to normal.
Because the basis of this is that people
still work during recessions.
And since they're working, they have money to buy things.
Not everybody's working, but you can handle the idea
that not everybody's working by getting production going again
because that creates jobs.
And that, in turn, generates even more income.
That is passionless.
So how do you do that?
Well done.
According to trickle down supply side tax policy,
you cut the tax rates of the wealthiest people.
You incentivize them to keep working harder and harder
because they get to keep more and more of it themselves
on the hope that rather than keeping it themselves hoarding,
they will inject it into the economy
through things like investing, expanding their businesses,
hiring more people.
Opening new businesses.
And taking that investment and making more money themselves.
But in the meantime, spreading the wealth around
through things like wages and tax revenues.
Through minimum wages.
So that is supply side tax policy.
And whether it works or not, the jury's still out.
I did find something from faireconomy.org,
which I have to say I don't know whether they're
nonpartisan or liberal.
They definitely didn't strike me as conservative.
So take it however you want.
But they took the tax rates, the top tax rate,
and its changes from 1954 to 2002.
And they took the changes to that top tax rate,
the highest tier, which is the one you're
supposed to cut under this type of tax policy.
And they juxtaposed it against four different economic
indicators.
Growth in the gross domestic product,
which is kind of like the indicator of the overall health
of the economy.
Income growth rate, which is how the average American's wealth
grows, I think changes to unemployment
and the growth of the hourly wage.
And they found that the correlation was basically
statistically non-existent.
That when you lower tax rates or raise tax rates,
but specifically in this case, when
you lower the highest tax rate, it
does nothing to improve the GDP, to improve hourly wages,
to improve median wealth.
Just statistically speaking, over the course
of this 1954 to 2002, lowering the tax rates
did nothing for those things.
So speaking from that, and you can say,
well, it doesn't really do anything.
Yeah, well, with Reaganomics, I think, well, again,
I say most people agree, but no one agrees.
It did help inflation if it was because of his policies.
But tax revenues didn't see much change at all
under those policies.
We're not even getting into the part of Reaganomics
where he'd shut down trade with a lot of countries,
keep it in house, and the effect that had.
And I've gotten varying answers on how long, after a presidency,
can you even look back with a good judgment of the policies
really take effect 10 years later when you're going to see.
Or no, it's more like 20 years.
Or no, you can see it immediately with short-term fixes.
So the whole thing is very frustrating,
because no one agrees.
Everyone thinks they're right.
Yeah, that's the frustrating part,
is everybody thinks they're right.
Obama's policies are almost virtually
the exact opposite of Reagan's.
Well, that's funny you say that, because that's
not necessarily true.
In a lot of ways they are.
Well, in that he kept the Bush-era tax cuts going,
he's actually kept lower tax rates than Reagan did.
And Reagan's always pegged with the trickle-down economic
theory, right?
Obama's got this other one going.
It's called quantitative easing.
So with Reagan, it was trickle-down tax policy.
Under Obama, it's trickle-down monetary policy.
And by pumping money into the markets through the Fed,
it's actually helping, because of this income inequality,
it's helping the wealthiest Americans by far,
without anything trickling down really
to the lower working and middle class Americans.
So trickle-down policy doesn't necessarily just
mean tax policy, it can also mean monetary policy.
And we've got a very specific trickle-down policy
being carried out under Obama's entire two terms so far
through quantitative easing.
Either way, there's a vast transfer of wealth
going on right now, just as there was in the 80s.
Yeah, I'd suggest people read up on their own
if they want to jump in this argument.
This one kind of also, once you really start looking into it,
especially if you go beyond what helps and really step back
and look at what's being done and the effects of it, forget.
My idea is the best way to cure a recession theoretically.
Like if you just get out of that mindset
and you look at economic policies
and you look at them through the lens of income inequality,
then suddenly conservative and liberal and Democrat
and Republican all just kind of fade away.
And basically, everybody has reason
to feel like they're being talked out of something
very valuable.
I came up with an idea, I'm sure I'm not the first person
to come up with it.
Uh-oh.
Josh Enomics?
I wonder if you did cut down on the tax rates for the wealthy
to about where they are now.
This is like bargain basement tax rates, frankly.
35%.
It used to be at 90% in the 60s.
90 was the highest.
Now it's 35%.
Well, in much of the world.
It was 50% under Reagan.
Yeah, much of the world pays a lot more taxes than we do.
Oh, yeah.
So 35% I think is fair for everybody.
And to say the least, if not unfair because it's so low.
Right.
But let's say that it's fair.
You keep the tax rates low on the wealthiest earners
and you let them build up as much money
as they want in their lifetime.
But when they die, you tax their estate like there is no tomorrow.
Oh, yeah.
And I wonder, first of all, you increase revenue.
Sure.
But you also prevent dynasties.
You want to prevent dynasties?
Sure.
I have an article about how those who inherit wealth
tend to invest it less.
They tend to hoard it more because they didn't have any means
of accumulating wealth other than a windfall.
I think if you just look at it statistically speaking
and you look at rather than, again, on an individual basis,
if you look overall when wealth is inherited rather than earned,
the inherited wealth is less often invested in ways
like that create new jobs than the wealth that's earned.
And it's the same thing.
If you won the lottery or something like that,
you should be terrified of losing that money
because you didn't do anything to earn it.
So there's no guarantee whatsoever
that you will ever earn that money or have that money again
once you spend it.
If you amass a fortune in industry and lose it,
you did it once, there's a likelihood
that you could go do it again.
Yeah.
So you're more likely to take more risks with that wealth.
But people work to take care of their families
for generations to come.
That's what their goal is.
Right.
So let's say you have $100 million estate.
And you have one kid.
And your estate is taxed at 90% when you die.
Your kid still gets $10 million.
If your kid inherited $10 million,
you're a wealthy person and your kid inherits $10 million.
I think you can get your eternal rest easy knowing
that your kid's going to be OK with the $10 million
for the rest of his or her life.
I think that's fair.
Yeah.
That's enough to set him up in business for sure.
That's enough of a leg up that most people don't have.
That's fine.
You don't have to agree with me.
I'm just saying.
I think it's like when I hear about Bill Gates is only
going to leave his kids so much money or whoever.
Was it Bill Gates or Warren Buffett or someone?
They both are.
They pledged like a significant amount of their estates.
Right.
To not just leave that to their children.
I think that's great.
But I think that's like it should be a person's choice
and the government shouldn't make that decision for them.
Like government making decisions like that just
that makes my blood boil.
But that's tax policy, man.
Like they can make that decision while you're alive
or when you die.
It's still your income being taxed.
In either way, it's like are they taxing your inheritance
before your death?
Well, but it isn't tax policy because Josh Enomics isn't.
No, but the very fact that there are taxes
and that it's progressive means that the wealthiest people pay
more, the more you earn, the more tax you pay.
So why does it matter whether it's now or when you die?
And that's not an entirely, that's
kind of a glib interpretation because I realize what I'm
saying is normal taxes now and then a heavy tax when you die
to prevent dynasties and to increase revenue.
I just don't think it'll disincentivize work.
Because I think while you're alive,
you still want to make money.
The people who are dedicated to amassing hundreds of millions
or billions of dollars, that's not
going to prevent them from making money while they're alive.
It's not.
They're still alive.
And their kids still get a slice of the pie.
Right.
But what about their kids' kids and their kids' kids?
Well, then it's up to their kid to go out and through his own
effort or her own effort amass their own fortune,
just like everybody else's.
Everybody gets to start at zero, although those rich kids
still get that leg up of 10% of the estate.
It's just my idea.
I got you.
Josh Enomics.
Josh Enomics.
Man, we're going to get some letters for that one.
You got anything else?
And hey, let me say that I think people
should be able to live much more meagrely than they do.
I'm not a proponent of people leading these lavish,
wasteful lifestyles.
But I think if you've made your money in a legitimate way,
then that's your right to do so, I guess.
I wouldn't want some government putting their hand in my pocket
and saying, hey, you worked really hard for all that.
Give me 90% of it.
Well, I mean, who does?
Nobody wants that.
Especially when you look at government wastefulness
or if you don't want to fund war or something like that,
then it makes it even harder to bite.
Yeah, the whole thing makes me want to drop out
and move to an island or someplace in the woods very
quiet to where I don't have to even
think about any of this stuff.
I got my little garden.
I got my chickens and my goats.
You need to go make some money so you can do that.
Yeah.
I want just a little nine bedroom house.
And on like 120 acres.
With the staff.
Yeah.
All right, are we done with this?
We're done with trickle down economics.
If you want to learn more about it,
you can read this article on howstuffworks.com.
Just type trickle down economics into the search bar.
And since I said search bar, it's time for listener mail.
I'm going to call this one, the waiting is the hardest part.
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The reason I'm thanking you is because I
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I just sent out my application to dental school
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Through my waiting, I always find myself
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Through my long days at work this summer listening to you
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You're thinking of the Caleb that won our contest
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Follow us on Twitter?
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On the podcast, Hey Dude, the 90s called David Lasher
and Christine Taylor, stars of the cult classic show, Hey Dude,
bring you back to the days of slipdresses and choker
necklaces.
We're going to use Hey Dude as our jumping off point,
but we are going to unpack and dive back
into the decade of the 90s.
We lived it, and now we're calling on all of our friends
to come back and relive it.
Listen to Hey Dude, the 90s called on the iHeart radio
app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Hey, I'm Lance Bass, host of the new iHeart podcast,
Frosted Tips with Lance Bass.
Do you ever think to yourself, what advice would Lance Bass
and my favorite boy bands give me in this situation?
If you do, you've come to the right place,
because I'm here to help.
And a different hot, sexy teen crush boy bander each week
to guide you through life.
Tell everybody, yeah, everybody about my new podcast
and make sure to listen so we'll never, ever have to say bye,
bye, bye.
Listen to Frosted Tips with Lance Bass on the iHeart radio
app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to podcasts.