The Daily - The Sunday Read: 'The Case for the Subway'
Episode Date: March 14, 2021Long before it became an archaic and filthy symbol of everything wrong with America’s broken cities, the New York subway was a marvel.In recent years, it has been falling apart.Today on The Sunday R...ead, a look at why failing to fix it would be a collective and historic act of self-destruction. This story was written by Jonathan Mahler and recorded by Audm. To hear more audio stories from publishers like The New York Times, download Audm for iPhone or Android.Â
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My name is Jonathan Mahler.
I'm a staff writer for the New York Times Magazine.
And though I haven't used it in a few years,
I have a license to walk the tracks of the New York City subway system.
I've even got a laminated card that I carry in my wallet
that says I'm allowed to go in the hole as the subway's tunnels are known.
To get that license, I had to take a day-long course
that ended with the class actually walking the tracks.
And as part of walking the tracks, you have to prepare for the arrival of a train. You do that by tucking your body into a
tiny little hole in the wall called a clear-up spot. You wait for the train to come. You see the
light. You feel it. You hear it, and it flies by your face.
And as it comes by, you're just thinking, don't move, don't move, don't even scratch your nose.
I got my license to walk the tracks in 2017 when I was researching a story on the New York City subway system.
How it works, how it doesn't work, and what it would take to fix it.
When I wrote this story, I was basically sounding an alarm. When the subway is in desperate shape,
the city is in desperate shape. And the subway badly needed help. And it badly needed money.
That hasn't changed. If anything, the subway is in much worse shape now.
Ridership plummeted during the pandemic, of course.
And without those fares, the subway system makes even less money.
When I think about New York City starting to reopen, and I hope it happens soon,
I think about all the places people are going to want to go again.
To museums, to concerts, to Broadway, to Yankee Stadium.
And they're going to need the subway to do it.
The subway is almost this physical piece of democracy in action.
It takes you anywhere you want to go.
Anyone can ride it at any hour.
It's truly a marvel.
But that's only if it isn't so badly neglected
that it's falling apart and can't take you anywhere.
So here's my story from 2018,
The Case for the Subway, read by Robert Fass.
This was recorded by Audem.
Audem is an app you can download
to listen to lots of audio stories from publishers
such as The New York Times, The New Yorker,
Vanity Fair, and the Atlantic.
Long before it became an archaic, filthy, profligate symbol of everything wrong with
our broken cities, New York's subway was a marvel, a mad feat of engineering and an audacious gamble
on a preposterously ambitious vision.
The effect it is to have on the city of New York is something larger than any mind can realize,
said William Gaynor, the New York mayor who set in motion the primary phase of its construction.
A public works project of this scale had never before been undertaken in the United States,
New York's project of this scale had never before been undertaken in the United States,
and even now, more than a century later,
it is hard to fully appreciate what it did for the city, and really, the nation.
Before the subway, it was by no means a foregone conclusion
that New York would become the greatest city on earth.
Hundreds of thousands of immigrants fleeing poverty and persecution were arriving on its doorstep every year,
but most of them were effectively marooned,
herded into dark, squalid tenements
in disease-ridden slums.
The five boroughs had recently been joined as one city,
but the farms and villages of Brooklyn,
the Bronx, and Queens
might as well have been on the other side of the planet from Manhattan's teeming streets.
Bound up in the fate of the city were even larger questions.
Would America be able to manage the transition from the individualism and insularity
that defined its 19th century frontiers
to the creative collaboration and competition of its fast-growing urban centers.
Could it adapt and excel in this rapidly changing world?
Were cities the past or the future of civilization?
And then came the subway.
Hundreds of miles of track shooting out in every direction,
carrying millions of immigrants out of the ghettos and into newly built homes, tying together the modern city and enabling it to become a place where anything was possible.
neighborhood called Long Acre Square into Times Square that helped turn a single square mile surrounding the Wall Street station into the center of global finance that made Coney Island
an amusement park for the masses. It was the subway that fueled the astonishing economic
growth that built the city's iconic skyscrapers. Other cities had subways, but none threaded through nearly as many neighborhoods
as New York's,
enabling it to move large numbers of workers
between Manhattan and the middle-class boroughs,
a cycle that repeated itself every day,
generating ever more wealth
and drawing in ever more people.
As New York evolved over the decades, the subway was the one constant. The very thing that
made it possible to repurpose 19th century factories and warehouses as offices or condominiums,
or to reimagine a two-mile spit of land between Manhattan and Queens that once housed a smallpox
hospital as a high-tech university hub. When the city is in
crisis, financial or emotional, the subway is always a crucial part of the solution.
The subway led the city's recovery from the fiscal calamity of the 1970s. The subway was at the
center of the rebuilding of Lower Manhattan after the September 11th attacks. The subway got New York back to work
after the most devastating storm in the city's history
just five years ago.
The questions we are facing today
are not so different from the ones
our predecessors faced 100 years ago.
Can the gap between rich and poor be closed,
or is it destined to continue to widen?
Can we put the future needs of a city and a nation above the narrow present-day interests of a few?
Can we use a portion of the monumental sums of wealth that we are generating
to invest in an inclusive and competitive future?
The answer to all of these questions is still rumbling beneath New York City.
For all the changes in transportation technology
since the first tunnels were dug,
the rise of the automobile,
the proliferation of bike lanes and ferries,
our growing addiction to ride-hailing apps
and dreams of a future filled with autonomous vehicles, the
subway remains the only way
to move large numbers of people
around the city. Today,
New York's subway carries close to
6 million people every day,
more than twice the entire
population of Chicago.
The subway may no longer be
a technological marvel,
but it continues to perform a daily magic trick.
It brings people together, but it also spreads people out.
It is this paradox, these constant expansions and contractions, like a beating heart, that keep the human capital flowing and the city growing.
New York's subway has no zones and no hours of operation. It connects
rich and poor neighborhoods alike. The subway has never been segregated. It is always open,
and the fare is always the same no matter how far you need to go. In New York, movement, anywhere, anytime, is a right.
Most countries treat subway systems as national assets.
They understand that their cities are their great wealth creators and equality enablers,
and that cities don't work without subways.
The public-private corporation that runs Hong Kong's subway expects 99.9% of its trains to run on time, and they do.
If you are traveling to the airport,
you can also check your luggage at a central downtown train station
and not see it again until you've landed at your destination.
Imagine.
China has been feverishly building new metro systems in cities across the country,
a recognition that subways are the only way to keep pace with the nation's rapid urbanization
and the needs of its citizens.
And it's not just new cities that are seeing major investments in their subways.
Two decades ago, the decline of London's underground became a national crisis.
Now it's moving toward running driverless
trains. For that matter, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, recently embarked on a 40-year,
$120 billion project to build out its mass transit system. New York City's subway, meanwhile,
is falling apart. If you are a regular rider, you know this firsthand.
But even if you aren't, it has probably become difficult to ignore all the stories about the system's failure.
The F train that was trapped between stations for close to an hour without power or air conditioning.
The Q train that derailed in Brooklyn.
The track fire on the A line in
Harlem that sent nine passengers to the hospital.
The cumulative impression of all these miserable underground experiences, and all these stories
about miserable underground experiences, is that the situation is hopeless, that the subway
cannot be fixed.
The subway has been wrecked, and in this era of short-term thinking and government mistrust,
public works projects with benefits larger than any single mind can realize
are no longer possible.
But it is possible to fix the subway,
and we must.
Our failure to do so would be a collective and historic act of self-destruction.
1. Who wrecked the subway?
The Metropolitan Transportation Authority, the government agency that operates the subway,
uses the catch-all word incident to describe all the various events that impede the system's healthy
functioning. Every one of these incidents triggers an investigation resulting in an incident report,
a minute-by-minute account of what went wrong and the steps taken to resolve the issue.
Thousands of these reports are produced every month. A random sampling of incidents from a single recent day
include signal trouble,
switch trouble,
unruly persons,
track circuit failure,
delayed by track-slash-work gangs,
water condition,
fire-slash-smoke conditions,
debris on roadbed,
brakes fail to charge,
and sparks issuing.
Among the most common were excess dwell time and insufficient capacity slash crowding. Translation, too many passengers, not enough
trains. All these problems lead to one really big problem. The trains are terminally late,
obstructed daily by a cascade of system failures.
During the first three months of 2017, three-quarters of the subway's lines were
chronically behind schedule. The worst offender, the two-train, was late nearly 70% of the time.
For a delayed rider wondering whom to blame, it's tempting to begin with the people you can see, the 7,000 or so men and women, track cleaners, inspectors, flaggers, and other orange-vested MTA employees charged with preventing these incidents and keeping the trains moving.
On a steamy morning in August, I sat among a small group of them in a dingy,
defunct public elementary school in Gravesend, Brooklyn,
that serves as the MTA's transit learning center.
Taped to the classroom wall were yellowing tabloid clips of a different kind of subway horror story. Man Under, Rail Horror, Hit Third Track and Lived.
Man Under, Rail Horror, Hit Third Track and Lived.
A tableau that lent the one day safety course,
a requirement for all MTA employees and contractors.
Some of the flavor of those grisly low budget driver's ed videos designed to scare teenagers straight.
If you should do something silly today, like get hit by a train,
you cannot sue New York City Transit,
my instructor Jim Fortin said as he distributed release forms to the class.
It's a common occurrence.
A passenger is killed on the tracks pretty much every week.
The course would end with a walk on a live track.
If I survived the day, I would receive a laminated license
qualifying me to work in the tunnels
of the New York City subway system,
in the hole, as it is known.
Fortin walked us through
the potential hazards that awaited us.
He taught us the proper arm motions to use
if we ever found ourselves needing
to signal to an oncoming train to stop.
After a short multiple choice test and a break for lunch,
we were issued orange vests, flashlights, helmets, and safety goggles.
Our group walked to a nearby N station, rode a few stops,
transferred to the R and got off at 53rd Street,
where we walked to the end of the platform and climbed down a ladder onto the tracks.
Fortin soon directed us to what he called clear-up spots,
small, shallow openings built into the walls of the narrow tunnels
that we had been taught that morning to identify.
A train was coming.
I stuffed my flashlight into my back pocket
and tucked myself into the tiny space,
remembering Fortin's instructions. Get in, get centered, don't move. I could hear the train
approaching and see its headlight out of the corner of my eye. In about 30 seconds, a string
of 45-ton steel cars was thundering by just 18 inches from my frozen body.
It was terrifying, but also thrilling,
like the entire Industrial Revolution was speeding past my face.
At point-blank range, subway cars seem invincible.
In fact, they can be laid low by something as insignificant
as a broken bolt or a can of soda,
which, when resting against the third rail,
might heat up and ignite a scrap of newspaper causing a track fire,
the source of hundreds of delays every month.
Every inch of the system's rails is supposed to be checked
twice a week for imperfections.
Much of this work happens overnight,
when the frequency of trains on this 24-hour system decreases
and workers are able to move more freely on the tracks.
While the rest of the city is sleeping,
there's a whole industrial ballet going on underground
that most people have no idea about.
John Samuelson, a track inspector
who now runs the Transport Workers Union of America,
told me, it's like friggin' Brigadoon down there. And yet a recent study found that only 3% of the
tracks in stations meet the MTA's own standards for cleanliness. Workers face an even more insidious
challenge than trash in the form of water.
Many parts of the system are below the water table,
and its lines course through neighborhoods that were once lush farmland.
On a dry day, the MTA pumps 13 million gallons of water from the system.
Over time, the water corrodes the system, rusting and rotting its infrastructure, and yet sealing and grouting these leaks
often requires
rerouting service on lines,
further frustrating riders.
Next year,
the L train will begin
a shutdown that will last
at least 15 months
for repairs to its
East River Tunnel,
which flooded
during Hurricane Sandy.
Some 225,000 people
will have to find a new way to get in and out of Manhattan
every day. No matter how diligent they may be, 7,000-odd orange-vested maintenance workers
are simply not enough to keep the deteriorating system, with its 665 miles of passenger-carrying
track enough to reach all the way to Indianapolis, on schedule.
All the real problems must begin elsewhere, further up the chain of command.
Pretty much every decision that destroys your commute happens not below ground but above it,
in an unmarked building on the west side of Manhattan called the Rail
Control Center.
Here, men and women sit at computer consoles behind large wall-mounted schematic track
and station displays in a high-ceilinged, windowless command space, directing the changes
— moving a local train to an express track, taking a train out of service, that
determined the daily transportation fate of thousands, sometimes millions, of passengers.
When I visited the facility several months ago, I was greeted by the official who oversees
all these disruptions, Barry Greenblatt.
A tall, slender man in a gray suit with two big pens in his shirt
pocket and a silver tie clip so tarnished that you barely make out the letters on it, MTA.
Greenblatt is the authority's vice president and chief officer for service delivery,
Department of Subways. It's his job to run the trains. Greenblatt, a 31-year veteran of the MTA,
grew up in Forest Hills, Queens, without a car. I started riding trains and buses by myself pretty
much from the time I was five years old, he told me, after we settled into a conference room
overlooking the command center. He became a bus driver when he graduated from college,
fulfilling a childhood dream, and has been an employee of the MTA ever since,
gradually moving up the ladder to his current position.
We operate the trains, he said. We try to run them on time. 5.66 million average daily riders,
5.66 million average daily riders, 1.7 billion annual riders.
Right now, there are 585 trains out there.
We will run 8,477 one-way trips over the course of a day.
We hope to have 8,477 on-time trains.
We're not going to do it today.
Greenblatt's morning began with a 2.30 a.m. phone call.
An operator moving a train out of storage at a yard in East New York, Brooklyn,
had driven through a stop signal, damaging the switch beneath him.
The first question we would ask is whether it is going to have any impact on service,
Greenblatt said.
A few hours later, at 5.10 a.m., he received a text message about another incident. A passenger had called from the Park Place station near City Hall to
report that there was smoke on the tracks. Seven minutes later, the New York City Police Department
reported via an internal communications line known as the Six Wire, that a transformer may have exploded in the station.
Greenblatt managed the response.
Service on the two and three lines was rerouted,
and several teams were deployed to Park Place to figure out what was going on.
They soon discovered that a chunk of metal about 18 inches long
had fallen onto the tracks,
breaking through the third rail protection board and shorting out the power.
If you bridge the third rail, which has 600 volts of electricity,
to the signal rail, which has 12 volts of electricity, Greenblatt said,
it's going to blow things.
The Rail Control Center's chief officer, Paul McPhee,
showed me a picture on his phone of the charred board,
which looked as though it could have been pulled from the fire pit at a campsite.
It took about two and a half hours for the temporary repairs to be completed and full power to be restored.
The trains could now start running again, but were required to move at reduced speeds in the vicinity of the station.
We're operating in a degraded mode right now, Greenblatt said.
System-wide, the biggest source of subway delays is simple overcrowding.
In the 1990s, after a derailment killed five passengers
and a collision killed a train operator,
the MTA started actively slowing down its trains.
This has reduced throughput, the number of trains that move through the system at any given time,
which has increased crowding. And when the subway becomes more crowded, it grows slower still,
with trains stuck in stations while knots of passengers fight their way in and out of cars.
stuck in stations while knots of passengers fight their way in and out of cars.
As ridership grew from 2012 to 2016,
the end-to-end running time during peak hours on the numbered lines increased by more than six minutes.
Average train speeds are now slower than they were in 1950.
The subway could be both faster and safer if all of it were controlled by a computer-based signal system,
which would automatically ensure that trains are always operating at the maximum safe speed,
with the narrowest possible distance between them.
Instead, much of the subway uses a signal system that dates to the 1920s and 30s. What that means didn't really hit
home for me until I visited the signal repair shop at the 215th Street rail yard in Manhattan.
Technicians were hunched over cast iron gadgets, stop motors, compressors, track relays, that looked
as if they belonged in the workshop of an eccentric
antique collector. In the machine shop downstairs, I saw workers making mounting brackets and ball
bearings. Even the system's most basic parts are so obsolete that they have to be manufactured
in-house. A lot of the equipment we really can't purchase, the MTA's assistant chief of signals,
Salvatore Ambrosino, told me as we watched a technician assemble a tiny motor. Our only
option is to rebuild. What would rebuilding the subway actually look like? Replacing the signal
system is just one in a long list of needs,
some of which were recently compiled by the Regional Plan Association,
a civic group that has been studying New York infrastructure for decades.
Most of the system's 472 stations need some kind of major repair or wholesale renovation.
Elevators need to be added. Fewer than one in five stations are even partially accessible
to people with physical disabilities.
Cracked tiles and rusty columns need to be replaced.
Stairwells and entryways need to be enlarged.
Flood-prone openings need to be waterproofed.
Ventilation plants need to be rebuilt.
All the platforms need to be sealed off from the tracks
with automatic sliding doors
to prevent passengers from throwing trash on the rail bed
and block them from falling, jumping, or being pushed under a train.
Sharp turns in tunnels throughout the system
need to be reconstructed so that they are less severe,
allowing for higher speeds and thus more trains.
The Regional Plan Association stopped there, but you could go further. The roadbed beneath much of
the track needs to be chipped out and replaced with fresh concrete and new drains. About 3,000
of the system's 6,400 cars date to the 1960s, 70s, and 80s. About half of those need to be rebuilt with modern
motors, wheels, and brakes, as well as open gangways between the cars to increase capacity.
The other half need to be replaced altogether. In the meantime, Greenblatt and his staff take
it day by day, managing incidents as though they are an inevitable force
of nature. When I asked him about the so-called F train meltdown that became a media sensation in
June, hundreds of passengers were stuck in a tunnel for more than 40 minutes in a 40-year-old
train that lost power. He told me he was surprised the incident received so much attention.
When he left work that night, it had not felt any different from any other day on the job.
And in a sense, it wasn't. The F train meltdown was just one of the 8,122 incidents reported during the month of June. I don't know if I like the word meltdown so much, Greenblatt said.
Things happen.
It is Governor Andrew Cuomo who, by a strange quirk of New York history, is ultimately responsible for the subway.
As governor, he appoints the chairman of the MTA, a sprawling government bureaucracy with 70,000-plus employees overseeing nine bridges and tunnels,
two commuter railroads, the New York City bus system, and the subway, as well as a
plurality of its directors. More to the point, he effectively controls the state budget that funds
the authority. It was Cuomo who pressed the MTA to complete its endlessly delayed construction on
the first phase of the Second Avenue subway, three new stations, two new miles of track,
before the end of 2016,
and who presided over its opening in January 2017
like a proud parent.
In the months that followed, though,
the subway's many underlying problems
burst open like a broken water main,
and angry riders made a point
of affixing the hashtag
Cuomo's MTA
to their proliferating complaints on social media.
After initially trying to shift the blame to the city's mayor, Bill de Blasio,
Cuomo has of late been trying to recast himself as the subway's can-do savior.
He convened an advisory panel called Fix NYC
to study the idea of implementing a congestion pricing plan to help subsidize mass transit.
He created an open competition called the Genius Challenge, come up with a viable plan to fix the subway and win $1 million. And on a rainy, windswept night in early September, his press office invited a small group of reporters and local camera crews
to assemble in a soggy, grime-caked ventilation room beneath the Union Square station
to watch him roll out his latest plan.
Spotlights hung from rusty columns.
A dozen or so chairs were arrayed before a lectern and a video monitor.
A little before midnight, Cuomo made his dramatic entrance through a large vented manhole,
climbing down a metal ladder in pressed chinos, tasseled boots,
and a windbreaker bearing the New York State seal,
and announced that he was doubling the fine for littering in the subway to $100
and buying some new jumbo-sized vacuum cleaners to clean the tracks.
The moves were part of Cuomo's $836 million NYC subway action plan,
which was unveiled last summer by the newly installed MTA chairman Joe Lota,
who had also run the authority several
years earlier. The matter of who is going to cover that $836 million remains a matter of
some controversy. Cuomo offered to pay for half and said the city should cover the rest.
de Blasio refused, noting that the city had already given the MTA, which it did not control, billions of dollars in taxes.
The plan remains only partially funded.
This is a familiar quandary for the subway.
When the MTA first took control of the system in 1968,
the idea was to use toll money from bridges and tunnels
to subsidize the subway,
but this scheme supplied only a small part of what was needed.
For years, the state and federal governments picked up the shortfall.
But beginning in the 1990s, Governor George Pataki and the Republican-controlled Congress refused to cover the MTA's rising costs.
It has been scrambling for new streams of income ever since.
Cuomo, for all his homilies about American greatness
being the product of what we built,
has also rejected some efforts to add new revenue sources to the subway.
In 2015, a state assemblyman from Brooklyn, Jim Brennan,
wrote a bill that would have steered a small but escalating percentage
of state personal income tax to the authority.
Cuomo's staff dismissed the idea.
They said the MTA wouldn't be able to spend the money.
The construction industry was already at capacity, Brennan told me.
Of course, when I would talk to Tom Prendergast,
the chairman of the MTA at the time,
and his top people, they would go,
yes, yes, we can spend the money, give us the money.
In fact, the MTA has often proved all too capable of spending money,
with construction costs well beyond what other cities spend on similar projects.
It's fair to blame the whole New York political
establishment, Cuomo, de Blasio, and their counterparts stretching back decades for
presiding over the subway's decline. But the real political problem is, at root, a structural one.
The subway subsists on an ad hoc patchwork of taxes implemented and overseen by a governor
who represents millions of voters
well beyond the greater metropolitan area.
Brennan estimates that New York City
is responsible for 55% of the state's revenues,
but that doesn't change a fundamental political reality
for its governors.
People who don't ride the subway
don't want to pay for the
subway. You might say the subway is a victim of the same rural-urban divide that has come to define
American politics today. A more parochial version of this divide exists in the city itself,
where representatives of car-centric outer borough neighborhoods continue to fight congestion
pricing plans
that could deliver hundreds of millions of dollars
every year to the MTA.
How much money does the subway really need?
The Regional Plan Association
has done some preliminary estimates
based on the current cost of MTA projects.
They calculated that renovating the 30 stations
most desperately in need would run
$14 billion. Dealing with those sharp turns to increase speeds and capacity would cost $5 billion.
Adding 61 track miles with new stations, mainly in neighborhoods without subway access and with
large and generally low-income populations that are heavily dependent
on mass transit, would run another $62 billion. Replacing the signal system would cost $27 billion.
The group didn't look at replacing or overhauling cars, but a recent MTA contract priced them at
about $2 million each, so buying all of the new cars that are needed would cost nearly $3 billion.
Just this partial list,
I haven't included the platform doors, for instance,
brings the total to about $111 billion.
It's a big number, but not when you put it in context.
New York City and its environs
generated $1.7 trillion in gross
metropolitan product in 2016. That's roughly 9% of the nation's overall GDP. How much of that
activity is dependent on the subway? About a year before Hurricane Sandy, a state-funded group of scientists and engineers produced a comprehensive and, as it happens, prescient report on the damage that a hundred-year storm surge could cause to the system.
One of the study's authors, Klaus Jacob, a geophysicist at Columbia University, told me that losing the subway for a month would cost the city about $60 billion in lost economic output.
The reality of this apocalyptic scenario hasn't sunk in.
Absent sufficient resources, the subway has been left with diminished ambitions and empty spectacles.
Inside the ventilation room at Union Square, Cuomo delivered some remarks about the scourge of garbage in the subway
and then led the group out onto the waterlogged tracks.
A few industrial-strength vacuum cleaners stood waiting.
The governor posed for a picture with a Starbucks cup he had picked up off the rail bed
and then took a turn on the hose of the 83 horsepower Vactron, sucking up watery gunk
that would no doubt be back with the next heavy rain.
2. Why We Must Save the Subway
The subway has been saved before, and the man who saved it was Richard Ravitch. Stocky, white-haired, and gruff, Ravitch, now 84,
is the type of civic maher you don't see much anymore, an urban idealist who has spent his
career moving back and forth between the public and private sectors. His grandfather fled the
pogroms in Russia and, classic New York story, created a successful construction business from nothing.
He lost everything in the Depression, and then his son, Ravitch's father, made his name
building apartment buildings on Central Park West.
Ravitch followed his father into the real estate business.
In the 1960s, he served on President Lyndon Johnson's National Commission on Urban
Problems, and in 1973, after 12 years of trying, he completed Waterside, a $78 million, 1,470-unit
development for low- and middle-income families on the East River, just south of the United Nations.
A couple of years later, Ravitch played a critical role
in rescuing New York City from its fiscal crisis,
helping to persuade the Teachers Union
to invest $150 million of its pension fund
in a new series of city bonds.
And in 1979, he was named chairman of the MTA.
Ravitch didn't need the job or even really want it.
He waived his salary and took to wearing a bulletproof vest in public
after someone threatening to kill him shot an MTA police officer at his office.
But he was a child of the New Deal and a passionate believer in the subway,
which at the time was in even worse shape than it is today.
During the fiscal crisis, drastic funding cuts had spun the subway into a downward spiral of
deteriorating tracks, malfunctioning cars, increasing crime, and falling ridership,
a steep decline that tracked the city's own post-industrial collapse.
To reverse the trend, Ravitch prepared a detailed breakdown of the costs of repairing and replacing all of the system's outdated equipment and proposed a sweeping plan to help fund the work.
He argued at the time, the transit situation, though lacking the drama of imminent bankruptcy,
though lacking the drama of imminent bankruptcy,
represents an equally grave threat to our economy,
the social equilibrium,
and the survival of the greatest city in the world.
The subway's importance to the city begins with a single, durable economic principle.
Cities create density, and density creates growth.
Economists call the phenomenon agglomeration.
Not only does geographical proximity reduce costs,
but it also facilitates the exchange of knowledge and spurs innovation.
It's a principle that holds true for better and worse, and regardless of the industry.
The free market economist Edward Glazer has pointed
out that the junk bonds and leveraged buyouts of 70s and 80s Wall Street were as much the product
of human collaboration as they were of corporate greed. The urban planning professor Elizabeth
Currid-Halkett coined the phrase the Warhol economy to describe how this same sort of cross-fertilization and idea-sharing works in New York's art, fashion, and music worlds.
As industries grow, they attract and create new connected ones.
Book publishers beget book agents, tech startups beget venture capital firms, and so on.
It all begins with the ability to pack large numbers of people into small spaces
and then unpack them at the end of the day. Without the subway, this process breaks down
and the city dissipates. Ravitch took his case to editorial boards and legislative leaders,
but there was a problem. no one wanted new taxes.
So Ravitch cold called David Rockefeller,
the longtime head of Chase Manhattan Bank.
I said, Mr. Rockefeller, this is an audacious request, but
would you get up at five in the morning and let me show you the subway system?
He told me one afternoon in his office at Waterside, and he said yes.
Ravitch then suggested that Rockefeller bring along the chairman of MetLife and
the president of AT&T.
All three went and saw the dirty graffiti-scarred system firsthand.
As Ravitch tells the story, that was all it took.
Rockefeller called the majority leader of the state senate and
told him to give Ravitch what he needs. The tax package passed and Ravitch ultimately raised
$7.7 billion, more than $17 billion in today's dollars, much of which was spent replacing cars,
refurbishing stations, and increasing maintenance. The turnaround was not immediate.
A year after Ravitch's tax plan was enacted,
annual subway ridership dropped below one billion.
But before long, as the system gradually became safer,
more reliable, and less unsavory, it started to trend up.
By 2015, ridership had hit 1.7 billion,
a level not seen since the late 1940s.
The rejuvenation of the subway has been intertwined
with a protracted period of staggering economic prosperity,
agglomeration at work.
New York rebuilt the subway, and the subway rebuilt the city.
It was one of the great urban renaissance stories of our modern era.
But now that the city is thriving, it faces another challenge, perhaps an even greater one.
How to spread this staggering wealth more evenly?
The subway might again be a central part of the solution.
the subway might again be a central part of the solution.
If the story of the subway is the story of density,
it is also the story of land,
and more to the point, the story of land value.
Before the first tracks had even been laid, real estate speculators were gobbling up farmland
and empty lots along the proposed route
and then quickly flipping their parcels at huge premiums to builders.
When the subway recovered from its last major crisis,
it again began throwing off enormous returns for the owners of the land above it.
From 1993 to 2013,
the average price for a co-op or condo in Tribeca rose from $182 per square foot to $1,569.
In the process, prime real estate in Manhattan was transformed
from a place where people lived and built businesses
into a high-yield investment in which absentee owners
parked their money and watched it grow.
As Manhattan's business district centers became denser and
its scarce real estate more expensive, the growth started to spill out,
following the subway's snaking lines across the river into Brooklyn and Queens.
Developers build things where the subway works, and
we build far fewer things where it doesn't.
Jed Walentis, the 43-year-old principal of the real estate development company Two Trees Management,
told me recently over lunch at a cafe in Dumbo, Brooklyn's answer to Soho.
We put density where there's transit.
Walentis, who was wearing the familiar Brooklyn uniform of jeans,
New Balance sneakers, and a blue hoodie, and his father, David,
own a good chunk of Dumbo, an investment that has made them rich,
house in the Hamptons, vacations, heliskiing,
beyond the wildest dreams of most New Yorkers.
I've known Valentus since the early 2000s when I rented a desk in one of his many
buildings in the neighborhood, a turn-of-the-century factory that has since been converted into
multi-million-dollar condominiums. This is pretty representative of Dumbo's overall trajectory over
the last two decades. It's a stark transformation that would have been impossible to predict when
his father first started buying up the neighborhood's underutilized properties
in the early 1980s before it was widely known as Dumbo.
What enabled it to happen wasn't just the neighborhood's excellent subway access,
it's sandwiched between the F line and the A line, or the city's economic recovery,
or even the exodus of rich people
priced out of Manhattan by even richer people, the transformation of Dumbo required something
much simpler, a change in the zoning law. For years, the neighborhood had been restricted to
only manufacturing uses, a legacy of the city's losing battle to retain industrial jobs in the 1960s.
In the late 90s, Valentus and his father were able to persuade the city to jettison these old rules
and allow them to completely remake the neighborhood, filling old factories with loft
apartments, design and tech-centric offices, retail stores, artists' studios, and new condo towers.
In the subsequent 20 years as the neighborhood changed,
average condo prices rose from $200 per square foot to more than $1,500.
More recently, Valentas has pushed north into Williamsburg,
leveraging similar rezonings there to turn a former textile factory into the trendy
Wythe Hotel near the L train and a 19th century domino sugar refinery, J, M, and Z, into three
million square feet of office space, retail stores, parks, and apartments. Like most good government
tools, zoning sounds boring, but it is in, a secret means by which cities are shaped and fortunes are made.
If the subway delivers density, zoning determines where that density goes by doing things like
placing limits on how tall buildings can rise or how many dwellings they can contain.
New York's zoning codes are Byzantine, the product of years of pushing and
pulling between the desire to allow the city to evolve and grow and the impulse to keep development
in check. These codes have helped preserve the city's historic buildings and neighborhoods while
preventing its streets from being forever cast into darkness by endless rows of skyscrapers.
from being forever cast into darkness by endless rows of skyscrapers.
But they have also had the effect of restricting the supply of housing,
which has driven up prices,
especially in neighborhoods with desirable buildings and good subway access.
I rent studio apartments for $3,400 a month, Valentis told me.
It doesn't make any sense. New York is facing an
affordable housing crisis. In response, the city is incentivizing developers to build below-market
rate housing with property tax exemptions, while also adding regulations that require them to
incorporate more affordable housing into their higher-end projects.
But securing one of these affordable units is not easy.
Of the roughly 2,300 apartments in Valentis' Domino project,
about 700 will be reserved for lower-income tenants. The first 105 affordable units were recently made available
at monthly rents ranging from $590 to $964,
87,000 people entered the lottery for them. Walentus is a developer. If you want housing
to be more affordable, he says, build more houses. The way to put downward pressure on
rents is not to have fear of making things better, he told me.
It's to make things so pervasively better
that people have more choices.
In his words, it's insane that so little of the wealth
that the subway generates flows back into the system.
In Hong Kong, the company that runs the subway
also controls the property around it,
earning huge amounts that it
can then reinvest in service enhancements. The MTA, by contrast, is largely cut out of the land
profiteering that it enables. Of the authority's roughly $16 billion budget in 2017, about $460
million came from a tax on residential real estate transactions.
An additional $520 million came from a tax on commercial sales.
To put those numbers in perspective, several years ago, a group of economists calculated that the land in New York City,
just the land, not the buildings on it, was worth about $2.5 trillion.
buildings on it, was worth about $2.5 trillion. One thing New York City has plenty of is money,
and much of it is bound up in real estate, a kind of blank canvas with unlimited economic promise.
Toward the end of our lunch, I asked Valentis a hypothetical question.
What if the MTA could offer the real estate community development rights
as a kind of bargaining chip?
Would it underwrite subway upgrades
and expansions into underserved areas
in exchange?
Oh yeah, he said without hesitating.
It's just math.
You can make the money
come right out of the air
with a pencil.
The subway has made
a lot of people very rich,
and without carefully constructed zoning laws
that foster inclusive growth,
it can create the kind of gentrification
that contributes to America's growing income divide.
That divide has been especially acute in New York City.
The Fiscal Policy Institute, an economic think tank, reports that
between 1980 and 2015, the share of the country's income going to the wealthiest 1% increased from
10% to 22%. In New York City, it went from 12.2% to 40.9%. The subway can help narrow that divide
by doing what subways do best,
increasing density.
For all the recent growth in neighborhoods
like Dumbo and Williamsburg,
large pockets of the city remain underpopulated
and underdeveloped.
Many of these neighborhoods already have good subway access.
One of them is in a section of Brooklyn called East New York.
East New York is predominantly black and Hispanic,
with a small South Asian community.
Its median household income is about $35,000,
and some 35% of its 35,000 or so residents
live below the federal poverty level. East New York was
gradually hollowed out by the same cycle of disinvestment that ate away at a lot of formerly
middle-class neighborhoods in New York and other American cities over the course of the 1960s and
70s. The city's manufacturing jobs had disappeared, and the white middle-class flight from the
neighborhood was underway, helped along by avaricious real estate brokers who issued
alarmist warnings about East New York's future. In the process, East New York became a victim
of what economists call spatial or geographic inequality. As its population shrank and its
demographics changed, stores closed and city
services declined, perpetuating the cycle of poverty. And so for the most part it remained,
until recently, when the gentrification that had been pushing east across Brooklyn along the L
train began to creep into East New York. A neighborhood that had long been starved of resources
was now in danger of being hit by a wave of development
that could push out longtime residents.
What was to be done?
The answer will be a kind of grand experiment in urban planning,
made possible, of course, by the subway.
East New York was recently rezoned
to invite both residential
and commercial development
to revive the neighborhood,
but with a combination of regulations
and incentives that will ensure
that half of the nearly 6,000 units
of new housing would be affordable.
This time, as the subway draws
new residents to a neighborhood,
the city will take a stronger hand
in shaping its demographics and trying to ensure that its existing population isn't priced out.
The hope is that the whole neighborhood will become more dense and the resulting
prosperity will be widely shared, all with just the stroke of a pencil and the subway.
The concept dates to Mayor Michael Bloomberg's era, when the Obama
administration awarded New York a grant for cities looking to build more affordable housing near mass
transit. de Blasio has now turned it into an early cornerstone of his promise to build or preserve
300,000 affordable apartments around the city. In addition to the subsidies it will provide to
developers, the city has pledged to contribute $250 million to building schools, parks, and a
new community center in the neighborhood. This sort of targeted investment has never been done
before in any community, the local city council member Rafael Espinal told me, as we toured the neighborhood on a recent afternoon.
Espinal, the son of Dominican immigrants,
grew up in the adjoining neighborhood of Cypress Hills
and was an important advocate for the rezoning
over the objections of some who argued that the increased development
would only accelerate gentrification in East New York.
If we didn't move forward with this plan,
the reality is that people here would have been displaced, he said, as we passed the construction site for one of the
neighborhood's first new developments, Chestnut Commons. It's a mixed-use development built around
an apartment complex with 274 units of affordable housing. More than 80 units will be set aside for households earning
up to $25,770, some of them specifically reserved for formerly homeless families.
We ended up back at the Broadway Junction subway station, the inspiration for the rezoning plan,
and the home to five different lines and a stop on the Long Island Railroad.
and the home to five different lines and a stop on the Long Island Railroad.
Broadway Junction is dark, dingy, and overcrowded.
Some 100,000 people pass through this station every day,
and yet the blocks surrounding it are largely barren.
The rezoning plan envisions a rebuilt Broadway Junction as the commercial anchor for the whole project.
It takes some imagination,
but if you squint hard enough, you can see it. A brightly lit, newly renovated transit hub,
providing the density needed for retail stores, office space, and government and academic
institutions, bringing new economic energy to the neighborhood and, while we're imagining things,
a much better
subway for the people who live
in East New York.
The revitalized blocks
around Broadway Junction,
desirable to people with more money,
affordable to people with less,
would reduce spatial inequality
and provide current residents
new jobs. And with a faster,
more reliable subway,
those same residents could also commute more quickly,
not just to Manhattan, but to hospitals, nursing homes,
health care clinics, and community colleges in the outer boroughs,
the source of a lot of the city's more recent job growth.
In New York, transit dictates opportunities.
The case for the subway is the case for mobility.
Physical mobility, economic mobility, social mobility.
The business leaders, politicians, and engineers who made the subway all those years ago understood that promise.
And it remains the most profound message of the system even in its
decline. The city can be built, and the people can come, and they can thrive. Millions of them,
then millions more. That revelation has sustained us for more than a century,
and some among us still see within our broken subway the stubborn glimmers
of genius. When Max Diamond was a preschooler in Park Slope in the late 1990s, he turned his
wooden train set into an exact replica of his local line, complete with all four tracks and
the accurate location of each switch. By the time he was eight, he could
identify and describe in detail all the different types of cars in the subway system. By the time
he was 11, he knew the track layout of the entire system, not just the different stops on the
different lines, but the hundreds of places where the tracks connect and the precise locations of the multitude of switches
and signals. In the eighth grade, he started his own YouTube channel, where his subway videos,
which he posts under the handle DJ Hammers, made him something of a celebrity among subway buffs.
In 2016, Diamond was hired by the MTA as a paid intern, and at 21, he now crunches numbers in its performance analysis unit
while he works toward an economics degree at the City College of New York.
We met one fall afternoon at the Fulton Street Station in Manhattan,
just a short walk from the MTA's headquarters,
and boarded a Brooklyn-bound J train, an R42, he said,
dating to 1969.
We got on the first car,
moving quickly to the large picture window
at the front of the train,
as has been Diamond's custom
since he was a toddler,
and wended our way through the tunnels
beneath Lower Manhattan
before emerging into the fading sunlight
on the elevated tracks across the Williamsburg Bridge.
Like most regular riders, I tend to think of the subway as a necessary evil,
the least worst way to get where I'm going,
which made it a little disorienting to spend time with someone who rides the subway for fun.
But in its early years, hundreds of thousands of people
did just that every Sunday.
According to the historian
Clifton Hood,
it was called
doing the subway.
Diamond calls it
rail fanning.
The subway is a very different
sort of marvel today.
What's miraculous at this point
is that it still works at all.
The fact that it does, that even after decades of neglect,
it is still somehow managing to carry New York's economy on its back,
may be the best argument for giving it everything it needs, and
then a whole lot more.
And what is the alternative?
Here's one possible scenario.
New York won't die,
but it will become a different place. It will happen
slowly, almost imperceptibly
for years, obscured
by the prosperity of the segment
of the population that can consistently
avoid mass transit.
But gradually, an
unpleasant and unreliable
subway will have a cascading effect on New Yorkers' relationship with their city.
Increasingly, we will retreat.
The infinite possibilities of New York will shrink as the distances between neighborhoods seem to grow.
In time, businesses will choose to move elsewhere, to cities where public transit is better and housing is cheaper.
This will depress real estate values,
which will make housing more affordable
in the short term.
But it will also slow growth and development,
which will curtail job prospects
and deplete New York's tax base,
limiting its ability to provide for citizens
who rely on its public institutions for opportunity.
The gap between rich and poor will widen.
As the city's density dissipates, so too will its economic energy.
Innovation will happen elsewhere.
New York City will be just some city.
That doesn't have to happen.
Some city.
That doesn't have to happen.
The subway still exists, and the people who operate it still bring a kind of subtle genius to their work.
As we rode deeper into Brooklyn, Diamond told me about something he had seen the night before.
He had been monitoring the Yankees' playoff game on the internet. Not because he cares about baseball,
but because the heavy crowds during the postseason
often spur rare service patterns.
His instinct was right.
Trains started at Yankee Stadium
and went down the D line to 36th Street,
then switched over to the N line to Coney Island,
then continued through the Coney Island terminal before switching to the Q line to Coney Island, then continued through the Coney Island terminal
before switching to the Q line to Brighton Beach, Diamond told me.
This sort of move wouldn't be possible in most other cities
where subway lines operate independently.
But in New York, they overlap and intersect,
making a single, cohesive, interchangeable whole.
It was actually pretty brilliant, he said in a reverent tone, as the blue sky in front of us began to darken. Thank you.