The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz - PTFO - Are You Smarter Than an NFL Quarterback?
Episode Date: December 5, 2023A fierce debate — about no less than the meaning of intelligence itself — has broken out in the world of football scouting, as star quarterback C.J. Stroud puts together one of the best rookie QB ...seasons ever... after bombing the new Wonderlic test. But can this S2 Cognition exam actually predict how your brain impacts athletic performance? Pablo puts himself to the ultimate test of mental agility, with a little help from Alex Smith — and with a LOT of expletives. Watch on YouTube: https://youtu.be/inuwR73XKw0 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
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Welcome to Pablo Tore finds out I am Pablo Tore and today we're going to find out what this sound is.
I did notice you had some pretty thick soles on.
Okay, there a log soul is a fashion choice.
It is a fashion choice.
Right after this ad.
You're listening to Giraffe King's Network. So I'm playing Hurt today.
Yeah, I can tell.
You sound like you should not be here, according to 2023 standards of what we do with sickness.
I was...
Are you serious?
I know.
Okay.
I have tested negative for all viruses. You've been clearing your throat. I was, are you serious? I know. Okay.
I have tested negative for all viruses.
You've been clearing your throat.
That I know of.
Into the microphone for like the last 10 minutes.
And so I just want to know what's wrong with you.
So I went to a holiday party on Friday.
And I, just because I was talking loudly
over like the din of the room.
So it's not that you're hungover.
Is that your gas bag too much?
Come on, dude. I'm just constantly, I'm like drinking my tea. It's not that you're hungover. Is that your gas bag too much? Come on, dude.
I'm just constantly, I'm like drinking my tea.
It's f**king.
You sound like you're gonna choke.
I should point out that I've been thinking a lot
about choking recently.
Okay.
So I was watching the NFL this weekend, Cortez,
and I've been monitoring one particular subplot.
And it involves a team that has been choking the Carolina Panthers.
The Panthers you may remember just fired the head coach, just fired the quarterback's
coach.
Josh McCown.
Josh McCown, love that dude.
The people that the fans of the Panthers are going to war with though seem to be anybody
who told them that Bryce Young was gonna be awesome.
Right. Bryce Young the number one overall pick.
23.
Out of Alabama, he just did this against the box on Sunday.
Young will throw at 4,000.
He's directing traffic for Thiel and Thiel had, he can't get into intercepted.
And try to win fields.
That makes the Panthers now one in 11, I believe.
Correct.
One in 11, Bryce Young has been dog shit all season,
and they traded up to take him.
Remember, he was gonna be the savior,
but instead, he's been failing every exam
and choking repeatedly.
It's the first in 10 in Young.
I don't even think it's picked off.
And here comes the veteran
Chase by long that is a big six
Here's Bryce young it's got time here and he throws it is intercepted. It's to Ron blinning again
It's bad that footage cut my heart like it really hurt me as a short king
Mm-hmm because I'm rooting for the fellow short king.
And he's embarrassing us out here.
I'm just cough laughing.
It's horrible.
So the thing that makes this all
that much more horrible for the Panthers
is that CJ Stroud, who's the quarterback
out of Ohio State, who they took number two
overall, the Houston Texans did.
Right behind Bryce Young.
Right behind Bryce Young, just beat the Broncos on Sunday to the Houston Texans did right behind Bryce young
Just beat the Broncos on Sunday to get the Texans into playoff position. They're now seven and five and he's been
Fucking awesome. Yeah, he's been looking like this ton of fun to watch
57 passes without a pick.
Stroud, tosses it up there and cut by Jordan.
That's just CJ Stroud having a ridiculous amount of ability.
Stroud, to the endzone, touchdown, take down.
CJ Stroud leads a magical drive.
This young man is special.
Yeah, the dude has set records for passing yards to 12 games for a rookie quarterback.
He was an offensive player of the month in the AFC in November.
He just won back-to-back games with game-winning drives.
First rookie to do that, and I believe 40 years.
It proves nobody knows anything with quarterbacks.
It is one of the hardest things to do on all the sports,
is to pick quarterbacks.
Correct.
It's incredibly difficult.
No one is confident in doing that.
No one should be confident at least.
But one way that they try to figure out
who is actually a potential franchise guy
is that they test for intelligence, right?
Because this is not just an athletic position,
it is a position in which your brain,
your decision making, your processing,
all that stuff is incredibly important.
And so this is a storyline that came up
when CJ Stroud played the Falcons in week five.
After the Wonder McTas, the scores weren't great,
shaking a preseason debut, some said,
but since then, he has impressed.
He's been unbelievable.
And now, if I was in charge of the players' association, there is no way any of my players
would ever take a Wonder Lake test again because it's completely unfair.
And this kid has just been awesome.
Lost the body, beautiful placement.
And this is what this kid has done so you know the
Wonder Lake test who gives a rip it is rare that I agree with Mark Schlerath I will say
stink manly man off but I do agree with Schlerath here like why are we testing these guys in
this manner but Mark Schlerath was also crucially incredibly wrong about the details in that
call because the Wonder Lake test actually I don in that call. Because the Wonderlick test, actually,
I don't know if people know this,
the Wonderlick was stopped as the thing
that every player had to take at the combine,
the pre-draft thing last year.
Okay.
So last year, it was for the first time
not required for every prospect to take it.
The thing that CJ Stroud did bomb, though,
the test he did fail, the intelligence test
that he got an 18 out of 99 on,
okay, was called the S2 test.
That sounds like a terminator robot, not like a SAT test.
The S2 is the thing that's replaced the wonder lick,
and it's the thing that has also raised the eyebrows
of like our smart and nerd friends.
So I've been talking to them all month
about this test, what they think of it,
and a lot of them think it's just bulls**t.
Because in part, CJ Shroud is awesome
and because Bryce Young, who sucks,
got a 98 out of 99.
What a nerd.
But what is not controversial is the fact
that intelligence testing is kind of the holy grail
in the NFL for quarterback specifically,
and also in sports as people try to figure out,
okay, scouts executives GMs,
who's actually talented enough to be a superstar,
to be a franchise guy for a team.
And so what I wanted to do was figure out, okay,
who's somebody who is,
themselves, a number one overall pick, a phenomenal test taker, and someone who played like
utter dog shit as a rookie quarterback in the league. And I wanted to find out from them,
can we actually test for intellect? Can we actually measure how smart somebody is in a way that
actually matters to their performance as an athlete.
Yeah.
Whether this is bullsh** or not.
Yes.
Yeah.
Absolutely.
Are you gonna take the test?
Well, yourself.
Now that you mentioned it.
Oh, come on, dude.
Ivan, are you still waiting?
I'm so horrible.
You're still so bad.
I've been waiting.
I've been taking these tests.
This is ridiculous.
Are you doing a bit?
I, like, just, like, what is this?
I should probably take another test.
Before I take those tests.
You should take medicine.
I'm gonna take multiple tests.
Okay.
Mm. I want you to know that I think you've used an intelligent person.
Thank you.
I mean, listen, I don't want to come up with any Harvard Ivy League jokes for you.
I feel like every person I know from Harvard or the Ivy League, they just,
they just drop it randomly in sentences like more often than not.
Like nobody else talks about their alma mater as much as much as people that went to Harvard.
You know, it just, it just constantly comes out.
But no, thank you.
I appreciate that.
I was kind of hoping you would say what you just said
in response to me, complimenting you in that way.
So I could point out that in fact, yes, I did.
I did go to a certain school outside of Boston.
Yeah, that's right.
Is that like a junior college or something?
Okay, so that is the voice of my old friend
and European daily colleague, Alex Smith, who graduated
from the University of Utah in two years and got taken number one overall in the 2005 NFL
draft by the San Francisco 49ers.
In no small part, by the way, because of his intellect, as no less than Mel Kuiper Jr.
explained repeatedly at the time.
But the offensive coordinators in San Francisco were a nightmare for Alex because he had seven of them.
And then he got traded to the Kansas City Chiefs where he became the personal tutor to his backup.
Patrick Maholms.
I have an Alexman. I'll forever say it, man. It probably made my game jump three steps.
When I could have took three years to get those three steps.
I had seven offensive coordinators and six years in San Francisco, man.
I mean, he literally had to learn to a trial by fire
and he taught me how to not make those same mistakes.
And so that's how Alex Smith helped make
the greatest young quarterback who has ever lived.
And that is how Mr. Smith wound up going to Washington
where his new head coach, Jay Gruden,
had again a familiar scouting reports.
One thing about Alex, he's the smartest guy I've ever been around
without a doubt.
I know a little bit about your biography,
not a lot of it, but a little bit.
I mean, you took some, like your dad was the principal
of your high school, which means that you took,
you're already kind of like rolling your eyes
at this memory. Well, yeah.
So my junior senior year, when, you know, all my friends were especially senior year,
taking like, like, class loads and, you know, senioritis and, you know, doing whatever they
want, kind of having fun.
I didn't even get to make my schedule, like my dad was the principal.
So, academics were obviously really important.
So, I took every AP class there was.
What a nerd.
I ended up taking, I think it's like 14 AP tests
by the time I left high school.
That's so many more than I ever.
It was so much.
It was a lot.
All of which brings me around to this idea
that in the NFL, you got labeled smart guy.
Some of your NFL coaches have called you literally
the smartest guy they've ever been around.
It's so funny. I remember, you know, even getting ready for the draft, then
was kind of the same thing. You're going to take this wonderlick.
But wonderlick test tells NFL Scouts how smart their prospects are.
It goes way beyond football. The wonderlick test is also frequently used by
Fortune 500 companies to help assess possible new hires.
The wonderlick test has been a staple of NFL player evaluation
since the 1970s.
The Wonderlick tested math vocabulary and logic
and had visual puzzles.
Folks out there probably Google Wonderlick questions
at this point they can get on,
but like, it has nothing to do with football, Pablo.
It's actually like this very logical based.
Oh, I want it, this is why I summoned you here,
is to ask if you remember what you got on the Wonder lick.
I think I got like a 40 or something.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
So Alex Smith, we're the record here.
Got one of the top 10 published quarterback scores
on record, a 40 out of 50, 50 points scale,
50 questions, 12 minutes.
Slacker.
Yeah, I know, I know.
What the fuck do you get wrong? There's the difference right there. Harvard. Yeah, I know, I know. What the f*** do you get wrong?
There's the difference right there, Harvard and Utah.
You know what, but hold on though,
because the wonder lick for people who don't know,
how do you describe what it is, what it was?
This was easy pickings, Pablo.
And I even, the crazy part is,
you know, you, once you declare to come out pro
and you get an agent,
like I took three or four practice wonderlicks
and they graded with, you know,
they, you get the results back time.
So I, I mean, I walked into that, really, really comfortable,
you know, but certainly I thought about some of my peers,
like, depending on your background, where you grew up,
like, again, this had nothing to do with football.
So I cannot emphasize enough what you're saying there as,
yeah, by the way, the number one overall pick in 2005
to the 49ers because I took a wonderlick test
of practice tests today, right before this.
I got a 44.
There we go.
So you'd have been a hell of a quarterback, Pablo. And I want to say, for people who don't know,
and I only got to, so it's timed.
Yeah.
So the time is real.
I only got to 49 questions.
I didn't answer all of them either.
I think I answered all but three.
Exactly.
So I can get progressively harder for everybody out there.
They start really easy in the back half of it.
They take longer the word of year.
It's funny. Like I went back and looked at the questions
I got wrong because that's how I'm a kid
who f***** had SAT tutoring before the SAT, of course,
because I went to, I don't know, maybe you've heard of it,
I went to Harvard.
I studied my ASA for that thing.
Here's a sample question from the wonder
look I took today.
Which word does not belong?
Okay, four options.
Optician, orthodontist, dentist, optometrist.
I'm going optician.
You got this right.
So, okay, so I was like, are we just insulting opticians here?
Like they didn't have the credentials of the,
is that what the, right answer?
That's why that's the right answer.
The other three all work on people, right?
And optician it is.
Oh, like the glasses?
Yeah, oh wow.
Okay, now an album, which is a Marist.
I don't know.
I'm guessing, right?
I'm guessing.
I chose Dentist because it didn't start with an O.
But all of which is to say that these questions
have a lot to do with quarterbacking.
No doubt, I'm glad you, I honestly,
I don't know if anybody's actually like revealed what these tests
are like.
How did you take it, by the way?
Was it on like a scantron?
Not a scantron.
Like a bubble, just like a stapled sheet of paper, like in the corner.
And I'll never forget the three days, the whole world like descends, football world that
is descends on Indianapolis and-
Yep, you're honest. You're honest. Yeah, you honestly are, you want to talk about like cattle,
like poked and prodded and at the hospital a long time
because I mean, if you sprained your ankle in high school,
they're gonna MRI it and look at it.
Obviously, the vast majority of the combines physical.
And it's an audience of scouts and GMs and coaches.
Like it's so crazy.
It's crazy.
And you're up there.
And they measure every single part of your body
and call it out.
Yup.
And like, you announce it.
I mean, it's uncomfortable.
The wonder-like range of results,
um, Ryan Fitzpatrick getting a 48 makes sense.
Uh, you're getting a 40 makes sense.
At Eli getting a 39,
uh, Colin Kaepernick got a 38, Andrew Luck got a 37,
Roma, Tony Roma got a 37, Aaron, I just got a 35.
Like some of this does track just broadly speaking,
but at the same time, when Dan Marino gets a 16,
it's weird that this was so important
and unchallenged for so long.
Yeah.
And the lack of football, which is obvious to you, raises the question of like, what does
intelligence, for a quarterback specifically, what does that really mean to you?
Well, going back to your original question, like the fact that I could take a few seconds
to, you know, for me, make a educated guess that it was optician has absolutely
nothing to do with me doing my job at an NFL level, like the actual intelligence that is
required.
Hey, come on now.
Hey, one at a time, huh?
Locked in, one at a time.
You know, the seconds that take place between me getting the play call in my ear, stepping
into the huddle, calling the play, like having to regurgitate that, obviously having to digest
it, potentially give out reminders to anybody.
Hey, Ginoz coming?
Hey, just trying to look him up.
Great job, hey, great job.
We break the line, we get up to the huddle.
I have my pre-snap tells as I'm looking at the defense.
Is it first in 10, or are we in the third down, like what's the situation of the game?
Boom, I snapped the defense. Is it first in 10, or are we in third down? Like, what's the situation of the game? Boom, I snapped the ball.
I hate it!
I'm out!
I'm out!
And then now we're talking in like fractions of a second,
like microseconds here.
You're analysis and decision making and processing.
Like to go from like A to B to C, you know,
and then God forbid the right guard doesn't block his guy,
and then all that s***t's out the window.
Alex Smith stuffing up in the pocket trying to keep the play alive now he'll run.
Break out of the pocket, don't get sacked. Now at this point find a guy on the run,
make a play.
Smith, flush from the pocket.
Uh oh, he goes on the run and it has come. It just has nothing to do with deducing which one of the words didn't go with the other
three.
Right, right.
So this was a thing that they mandated at the combine until last year.
Honestly, the most important thing of all that, that all the crap that I just went through,
is not so much do you have the intelligence
and processing, but kind of do you have
the guts, the confidence, the calmness,
given the stage to do it all?
And that's probably even more important.
The pressure, like performing under pressure.
Yeah, like, does, do you have it there?
Yeah. Yeah, yeah.
And how do you measure that?
I wanna help people who scout players
and talk about sports with the vocabulary
of this whole exercise.
If it's not intelligence, which can mean
you ace the verbal part of the SAT,
which I can imagine both of us did.
It's what is processing.
What does it mean?
Is it decision making?
How are you characterizing what this skill is
if it's not intelligence as has been previously defined?
What would you love to test for when it comes to a quarterback
that you're about to potentially
give nine figures to?
It's kind of the ability to get into a flow state.
Given just large, strong guys trying to rip your head off. Now Miles Garrett is just crushing the left tackle,
playing and play out, and he's hit you 15 times.
They've been hitting you all day.
You've been getting beat up and crushed,
and then all of a sudden a big third down in the fourth quarter,
can you sit in there and like lock in?
There's so many people's job on the line.
Not only your teammates and coaches and the scouts,
but I'm talking like the equipment room,
the film guys, the trainers, and all their families.
Yes.
Can you lock in?
Time slows down almost.
And you're so locked in on what you have to do
to execute a play.
So in the midst of all of that stuff, like external distractions, internal distractions,
right from the pressure of the situation in the moment, that it just is your own flinching.
You described a very unique job.
Like I just think about Brock Purtey.
Mr. irrelevant, 2022, with the 260 second pick in the 2022 NFL draft, the San Francisco 49ers
select Brock Perty, a quarterback from Iowa State.
I mean, he was a four year starter at Iowa State.
How was it that nobody was able to identify what it is that, you know, like those traits?
Right. Last pick of the draft is what he ends up being despite identify what it is that, you know, like those traits?
Right, last pick of the draft is what he ends up being
despite all the stuff that, again,
with hindsight, we can now discern.
Yeah, so is there a test that, like,
you know, you could administer?
That simulates.
I know there's new tests as far as like processing
that they put kids through.
Yes, no, that's so, so to get to where the NFL is going now,
they've tried a couple of replacements.
S2 cognition delivers the leading digitally valuation
that is scientifically validated
to measure these cognitive abilities
that have been unquantifiable until now.
The S2E Val is designed to analyze how athletes see,
think, and react to in-game split-second decisions.
It shows who the game breakers are and how to develop them so that you can build to win.
Okay, so that, to be clear, is a marketing video for S2 cognition.
This is the company that has become the de facto replacement for the WonderLeg test,
as F.R. mentioned, in terms of how the NFL measures the brain power of college players.
And the S2 actually first took off a major league baseball, and this test, they say, is
all about trying to measure cognition, how quickly the human brain reacts and processes
information.
Like in baseball, for instance, is this pitch a fastball slider change up curveball?
That's the sort of speed of decision making that they're testing for. And here in football,
it's basically about solving puzzles as fast as possible.
It's blocking out the noise, having a feel for the pressure, adjusting when things break down.
But the problem now with S2 cognition is that the biggest thing breaking down is the quarterback who aced their test.
Because rice young did get 98 out of 99 on his S2 exam and that did help him get pick
number one overall by the Panthers. And the Texans by contrast got
CJ Stroud and his 18 out of 99 on the S2, which is again, utterly abysmal. And CJ Stroud
is not just the best quarterback in the 2023 draft. It seems like what CJ is doing. It's
the greatest rookie season we've ever seen. Yes.
In the hardest position in sports.
Yes.
And there's not a single thing that he's, you know,
from a maturity, from a processing,
from the actual physical play on the field
that hasn't just been absolutely astounding.
And this is coming from a guy, Pablo,
that I've had one of the worst rookie seasons
in the history of football.
To see what he's doing and how hard it is
and how easy he's making it look is just,
it's ridiculous.
Something that does suck is when your test is got leaked.
Yeah, it's s*** me.
It's very clear, Alex, that the NFL sports in general,
but specifically with quarterbacks.
They're dying to figure out who the smart ones are because we now know, oh, it turns out the brain is an important thing.
It's an important body part. This whole thing that processes and makes decisions.
No doubt. You know, and, uh, I think there's only one thing left to do, man.
I think you got to take the S2 10.
Maybe we should see if we still got it, Pablo. You know? All right, Alex Smith, on behalf of both of us, overachieving,
standardized test takers, I vow to take this f**k test and see if I am a better quarterback and CJ Stroud. That's after the break.
Alright, so in front of me is a rig. White keypad, seven buttons,
athlete, identity, confirmation,
big green button that says launch,
and I got like 45 minutes, so let's,
let's fucking find out how good I am.
Oh boy.
Oh boy.
Ah, fuck. Ah, f***.
Ah, f***.
F*** does that mean?
Mm.
F***.
Motherf***.
F***ing f***.
F***.
All right, so what you need to know about the S2 test
before we get to my test results here is that
is absolutely nothing like the Wonderlick.
Insofar as there is none of that SAT-style vocabulary in reading comp and basic math question
bullshit.
The book smart stuff that Alex Smith and I clearly mastered in our AP classes.
Because the S2, it turns out, does not need you to have learned a single factor formula
or definition before even sitting down to take it.
It is mostly just a series of shapes, of abstractions, of balls and diamonds and triangles that flash
across a black screen for fractions of a second.
And you gotta react, according to a set of instructions that were designed by a scientist who was watching me
here in our studio this entire time behind the glass.
So, so Brandon Alley.
Yes, hello.
Hi.
You're a neuroscientist.
Correct.
You're the man who just subjected me
to whatever the f*** that was
and I apologize for cursing
although.
It will make you curse.
No problem, too.
I was going to say, how unlike my experience is the sample of athletes?
How many now that you've tested over however many years?
Yeah, we've tested about 40,000 athletes over the last nine years.
And your response is on par.
There's a bit of, I don't want to make this all about me, but we need to at the top here, because
I experienced a bit of like standardized test taking PTSD, as I was becoming self-conscious about what my results were saying about me and apologies for the sweat
that I think pooled all over your hyper-responsive keypad.
Yeah, no, I totally understand that, right?
And that is a unique aspect of what we do.
You know, we're in the science sphere,
we're evaluating athletes for a variety of reasons,
but obviously test anxiety and getting that sense of, okay, I'm not doing well here.
And one of the things that our test is built on
is trying to find what your cognitive capacity is
on these things.
So we're pushing the limits.
We're intentionally making it.
Yeah, we're trying to make you fail
to fail like you were f***ing with me.
Well, we were, Paolo.
Not far from it, right?
So, you know, I can understand that sense of failure.
And when you think about elite athletes,
they're not used to failing.
So they don't know oftentimes how to deal with that.
Now, obviously we have on the other side of the spectrum
front office saying, if they can't handle this,
then how are they gonna handle a Sunday?
So of all of those people, among the NFL class,
who are the people who stick out to you as guys who just ace this thing?
Yeah, there are a number of players that I think that we can talk about simply because they've
been in the media. Yeah, yeah, yeah. When you start thinking about, you know, your Josh
Alan's, your Brock Purdy's Patrick Mahomes, Drew Burys, Joe Burrows, those guys scored really, really well.
Like we're talking like a plus.
Yeah, above the 90th percent of the 90th.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Because somebody scored above the 90th percentile, does that mean they're going to be Patrick
Mahomes or Drew Burys?
No, it doesn't.
It just means they have the cognitive wiring and capacity to do that.
I want to get to how we got here with S2 as this instrument that is both incredibly valued
by all sorts of people across the NFL and just prolifically sh** on recently.
Yeah.
Yeah, so let's anchor it in the present tense and the controversy.
Let's teach the controversy, you're in, right?
Because the last draft has become,
it feels like this crucible of public opinion for you guys.
Number one overall is Bryce Young out of Alabama,
a guy who is familiar with the S2 test reportedly.
He scores a 98, which is,
as someone who just took this test, unfathomable, right?
I am in awe of whoever can do that,
just on an objective level.
But on the other end, we have CJ Stroud, who scored reportedly in 18. And CJ Stroud,
the S2 test was the reason, purportedly, that CJ Stroud was not taken number one overall.
Right. And so, how do you react to all of that?
Yeah, well, I mean, obviously it's a numeracy thing, right?
So when people were writing about us about Brock Purti,
who hates the test as well.
Who hates the test?
And then last guy taken and is playing very well,
Josh Allen, Joe Burrell, all these people came out.
They kept saying, oh, we need more data.
That's not real.
But then when CJ takes it, you know, and then,
so now we get s*** on for one test.
Yeah, so what are searching CJ's throughout S2?
Yeah, it's just not good for my mental health, right?
Yeah, I imagine.
For sure.
Embles control hard to manage in that case.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, so it goes.
CJ has a phenomenal quarterback, right?
He reads defensively.
He's seemingly very good.
He's getting proud of boys. He's super accurate, right? He reads defensively. He's seemingly very good. He's proud of all.
He's super accurate, right?
All of those things.
But look, you know, we are not allowed to talk about
what CJ specifically scored.
We're not allowed to talk about his effort on the test.
It hurts us that the public can't look at all of our data.
Yeah, it kind of, it sucks.
It sucks for me, for sure.
But the people who use the product
have access to all of that data.
Those data are owned by the NFL consortium teams
and they have say on that
and there's not a chance in hell.
They would let us release scores.
We've seen all of these stories.
I certainly personally feel like there was leaks
that were intentionally happened for a specific narrative. Well, I should personally feel like there was leaks that were intentionally
happened for a specific narrative.
Well, I should say that like the way this all gets out is because this reporter Bob McGinn
gets access seemingly to a trove of S2 test results and S2 is the new wonder lick. And so
this is now frayed with great meaning. Right. And various front offices, including by the way,
the Panthers front office and ownership, David Tepper, the owner of the team,
seems to be an analytics guy with stock and desk too.
All of this stuff seems to be a way of decoding,
the intelligence and the likelihood of success
as these various teams see it in these players.
Yeah.
And your response to just the tests that were leaked,
just because I want to get it on the record here,
is what? Because the 18 is like, that's a thing you guys are going to wear,
seeming to know. Yes, for all time. I hear about it forever. And that's part of being in
pro sports. Like, look, it's a tough business, right? And undoubtedly every year,
something negative comes out behind the draft, right? And we just happen to be on it
this year. So again, a low score doesn't mean you can't play, right? It doesn't mean you're not going
to make it. A high score doesn't mean you're going to be an all pro quarterback. We're more interested in how to CJ, how to Bryce process information. Nobody has a crystal ball.
But it is worth pointing out here that what Brandon and S2 are selling is the closest thing,
currently, to a crystal ball on the matter of a player's brain power. What they specifically
claim using their unpreprietyeled sample and analysis is that a quarterbacks
Wonderlick score, for instance, accounts for less than 0.1% of an NFL quarterbacks eventual
career passor rating.
But a quarterbacks S2 score, that explains or predicts roughly 30% of that same NFL career
passor rating.
It's a thing which raised the eyebrows
of my most statistically fluid friends,
just as a matter of magnitude,
when I explain this to them.
Because what you should know here is simply
that 30% is f***ing enormous.
If you think there is an NFL team out there
drafting a player based on S2 alone,
you don't know sports, you don't know football.
That is just not ever going to happen.
Now, if there was some narrative built out there
that hey, we're gonna take this player
because he scored 98,
or we're not gonna take this player
because he scored 18, I think people are happy to use S2 as a scapegoat rather than saying, oh, we could
potentially be making a mistake, right? So there's no team out there that is drafting off
of S2. S2 is one piece of the puzzle. You've got to put it in context of this kid's play
speed position, right? So let's take a guy like Miles Garrett,
fastest defensive end ever, right?
Now, Miles did great on the S2,
but let's say he didn't.
As a defensive end, if you can run over somebody
around somebody to get to the quarterback,
it doesn't matter how many f**king objects you can track.
Right? Am I right?
I was gonna make this point.
So it's just one piece of the puzzle
that management is using to help reduce uncertainty
when you start thinking about, okay, how does he make decisions?
So if it's a receiver that can run 4-2 and we've had that, can we handicap that 4-2?
So if he's slow on the decision making, maybe he plays like a 4-4-4-5 guy, that's helpful.
Not saying, okay, well, he's going to go on the S2, we're not going to take him.
But let me ask it this way, because I now like to imagine you watching football on Sunday,
and if I'm you, I'll put it that way, because I don't want to assume your cognitive wiring,
I am rooting for the guys who ace this test to be awesome, and I'm rooting for the guys
who bombed this test to be terrible. That I'm greeting for the guys who bomb this test
to be terrible. That's a, that is an interesting way to think about it. I think if I was concerned
with Johnny and Columbus Ohio, who is a CJ Straled fan and that's who I was trying to impress,
or that's who I was trying to work for. I could see that.
The teams that we work with across all sports,
that's not the way they use the tool.
They're not going to call me tomorrow and say,
you know what, CJA had five touchdowns
in 500 yards yesterday.
Rending this contract.
Yeah, like that's just not the reality of it.
It's, we have a lot of dialogue around players
about how they're best gonna be utilized,
what situations are gonna do well,
and what situations are gonna struggle in.
It's not, should we take CJ?
Right.
Should we take Bryce?
Honestly, and that's the f***ed up part of this whole thing
was like when people started s***ing on us,
they act like we said something.
First off, we said nothing at all.
With the leaks, yeah.
Like we, I hope to God, CJ tears it up.
We love that.
As a matter of fact, that is what drives a scientist.
Okay, right, the 98s crushing it, no sh**.
The 30s crushing it.
We can learn something from that.
We can learn something from that athlete.
What makes him special?
Is it that his coordinators are really good
at programming around him?
Is it that this dude can overcome?
Or is it as you experienced today?
If you mailed it in and gave 80% effort today,
what do you think your school would have been?
I, I, let's just say on the effort level, I maxed out.
Yeah, so I was struggling to get my head above water, man.
So I'm not going to comment on CJ's effort because I wasn't there.
But I should add here that a source told us here at Publicatory finds out that CJ Strouds
score was flagged with the words questionable data in real big letters,
on the top of his S2 results, and apparently about 10-20 players get flagged like this on average
every year, sometimes because they just didn't try or do care, or were too tired to do either.
And we did, of course, reach out to CJ Stroud for an interview to clarify all of this and more,
but a Texans official wrote us this, quote,
We slash he are moving past the S2 test, and we're not looking to give it any more life.
That story and test are far in the past for CJ.
End quote.
Which just means that the best we have, at the moment in terms of self-scouting from CJ Stroud
is what he told assembled reporters
back in April of this year.
I'm out of test tape, so I play football.
The people who are making the pigs know what I'm gonna do.
So that's all that matters to me.
There's a whole bunch of people who know how to coach better,
you know, to play quarterback better,
you know how to do everything on social media,
but a man in the arena, that's what's tough,
is stepping in the ring to his nose.
So, and I'm standing on that.
I want to voice that skepticism from like my NFL expert friends,
who when I DM them and I'm saying,
this S2 thing, what do you think?
My smartest friends, what they say is,
this is not the same as bullets flying on a field.
This is not actually,
like, and I suppose until further notice,
a gaming laptop with shapes moving around
cannot possibly replicate what it is
to be out there on a football field.
It cannot.
Let me take your argument a step further
because we work with special forces
and we work with law enforcement, okay?
So, literal bull is flying.
Yeah.
Impulse control for a quarterback,
you throw a pick.
Yeah, it's costly, it sucks.
Impulse control for a cop who can't control the impulse
to pull the trigger when somebody pulled out a cell phone
is life-changing.
Mm-hmm.
So, again, we're doing our best. We're taking the best tools in the
cognitive sciences to measure that impulse control system. Can I predict how an officer will operate
when he feels like his life is in danger? I cannot. I will be the first to admit I cannot.
What can I do? Can you give me a really good proxy
for whether we feel like his brain is capable of doing it?
That's what we're doing.
We are not telling you, CJ Stroud is gonna go out in suck.
CJ Stroud is gonna go out and throw for 500 yards
and five touchdowns against the box.
That's not our job.
Well, what you are saying is that given this range of outcomes
based on our archive, our database of thousands
upon thousands of examples,
here is what the probability is looking like.
If you score X, what will happen to you in the NFL?
Right.
And again, as we've talked about with a lot of variables,
it's gotta be locked in.
He's gotta give his full effort.
He's got to give a **** about this test.
If the 18 for C.J. is legitimate,
he is proving a lot of people wrong,
including us about whether our test measures exactly
what we can do.
What I will say is that he is beating the probabilities,
not proving us wrong.
And so if there is anything that the CJ Stroud experience has taught you, what is it?
I think that CJ has taught us that there are probably many players that have overcome limitations,
whatever they may be, to be highly successful.
There are a lot of ways that one can be successful in the NFL, and it's not reliant on one thing,
like arm talent or decision making or S2 or whatever it is.
There are a lot of ways to be successful, and you need a lot of tools to be successful. And I think that, again, maybe I'm shooting myself in the foot here, but we've been trying
to predict human behavior since the beginning of time.
And it turns out we're really bad at it.
I was gonna point out, Brandon, my general rule of thumb when it comes to the NFL draft or
a draft in any pro sport is that nobody really
f**king knows anything.
It's hard.
It's hard.
I mean, the bus straight in the first round alone
is like almost 50%.
So again, if you're gonna knock us for being wrong,
even 20% of the time, we're still all right.
We're still helping make informed decisions.
All right, so give me the truth, Brandon.
You actually did very well on the S2 test.
I just want to tell Dominique Foxworth,
one of my best friends in the world,
former NFL cornerback, to go f*** yourself.
Okay.
Now, now let's talk about this in reality.
Yes, please, please.
So I'll just go down by each one.
Okay.
We'll go over here your score.
So perception speed.
All right, performance test.
It's never good when you're like, is the right answer to 10 questions in a row?
A.
You're at the 34th percent.
Yeah, that was horrifying to me.
Which, these are also age-dependent.
It's okay, you're right.
So your ability to search through Visual Chaos
and locate a target.
I saw when I meant to press it,
this is moving fast, man.
All right, oh, f***.
Sometimes I'm pressing it, and then I see it
right as I press it, and I'm like, oh, that was a pick.
Ah, f***.
You're at the 41st percentile.
OK.
Yep.
Your ability to broaden your attention
and track many moving objects.
All the balls are moving.
I have to follow the balls that I've been highlighted.
This is like watching three card Monte.
Man, I'm gonna be terrible at this.
Yup, way off, very good.
There's so many F***ing balls.
15th percent time.
That felt like I should be
like I should be in a home somewhere,
like doing that test.
Don't let me out in public.
It's not easy.
No.
Yep.
You're instinctive learning.
F***ing is that mean?
Oh, this is the, we're taking drugs
and hallucinating stuff part of the tests.
I've been waiting for this.
What feels like someone on LSD.
I see what's happening.
No, I don't see what's happening.
Oh, I'm terrible at this.
Motherf***.
If somebody who thrives on positive validation,
that was existentially disturbing.
You're at the third percentile.
Struggle-verded?
Third percentile.
Struggle the little bit.
Third.
We scored you compared to NFL players.
So this is not scored to the general partners.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Right.
So your worst area of performance
is what we call instinctive learning.
Okay.
And that is your ability to pick up on probabilities.
Right.
So if somebody lined up in a formation and they did the same thing every time they lined
up in that formation, life would be easy, right.
But let's say they only run a certain play, 70% of the time out of that formation,
and 30% of the time it's a different play.
Over time, we can pick that up.
So guys like Drupes was the best that we've ever tested,
honestly, over the 40,000 athletes at this skill.
How about the other one else, please?
Decision complexity.
Yeah.
68%o.
So very good at executing the rules once you know the rules. So once you know I need to go opposite or I need to go
Same you're able to execute that really tracks with my with my particular
Childhood complex psychologically, but yeah
Impulse control 76% hell. Yeah. Yeah distraction control 71% all right
76% of. Hell yeah. Yeah. Distraction control, 71% of. All right. And your ability to improvise 74% of. Now those are encouraging numbers. I should point out that in my household, the 74
is an F, but relative to the scale of that is. And I felt like almost at the elite level. Yeah.
And then we actually have a secondary measure. So this is just how you're wired as a human being,
when you're forced to make a decision within less than half a second.
So four of our tasks, you were forced to respond less than half a second.
Right.
Are you wired for speed?
Are you wired for accuracy?
I want you to go ahead and guess Pablo, because you did have a failure in one of the the forced to redo.
I was forced to redo the practice test because why?
Because I was taking too long.
And so I'm going to say, again, true to my personal psychological
insecurities that I am an accuracy man.
You are way wired for accuracy in your speech.
That's yes.
As a journalist, as a fact checker, I believe that this is a virtue.
So could you give me, this is where the guy who took the LSAT twice and then almost became
a lawyer and guy who studied his ass off for the SAT wants to know, give me the scores.
So if you can give me just per category, what my results are.
So your overall score was at the 40th percentile,
which is average.
Okay, very.
And we can't forget that aspect.
So average is between the 40th and 60th percentile.
We're not a typical IQ test,
so we don't have a bell-shaped distribution.
It's an even distribution here.
So the same amount of people score a two as a 98, right? And as a 50, you were in the average range.
So if you ever heard, and this is again, just the one overall score, so it's a scored a 50. That is dead average for an NFL player. Yep.
So yeah, that's your S2 proof.
So I'm gonna go home unilaterally
and just tell everybody that I outscored CJ Stroud
on the most prominent cognitive processing intelligence tests
in professional sports.
And to that, you say what?
I would say that's a very dangerous thinking process
to get yourself into because to BCJ Stroud,
you're gonna need a whole lot more than an S2 score, right?
You're gonna need a little bit of height,
a little bit of size, some arm talent.
A 10 to three quarters.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
So that's not bad.
I did notice you had some pretty thick soles on,
but a lug sole is a fashion choice.
It is a fashion choice. Brandon. Yeah,
no, I like the fashion. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, very fashion to Shay, to Shay,
very saying there's a chance. I'm saying Pablo, if if if Flagfoot ball is in the 2020 Olympics,
you might be a guy I'm giving a call here relatively soon. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. Anybody needs a non-instinctual moron?
I am, I am apparently eminently qualified. So I'm sitting here at my keyboard now, having found out that CJ Stroud and I are not
so different.
No, not because we both got blown out by Bryce Young on the S2 test, but because I personally bombed the LSAT in real life,
the first time I took it.
Because I, of course, wanted to go to law school.
But instead, what happened because of that test is that I wound up pursuing my very first
job in sports media at sports illustrated?
Which
changed my whole entire life
Which is all to say
Standardized tests
sometimes
Because sometimes the test you fail
Minds up becoming one of the greatest things that ever happened to you.
Whether you consider yourself a test taker or not.
This has been Pablo Tre finds out a metal-lark media production, and I'll talk to you next time. you