The Infinite Monkey Cage - How to think like a mathematician

Episode Date: March 4, 2023

Brian Cox and Robin Ince are joined by comedian Jo Brand, mathematicians Prof Hannah Fry and Dr Eugenia Cheng, and xkcd webcomic creator Randall Munroe to discover how thinking like a mathematician co...uld solve some tricky everyday conundrums. From the optimal strategy to finding your true love, to how to fix a wonky table in the pub, thinking like a mathematician can help you in some very unlikely situations. They discover how mathematical thinking can help answer some truly out of this world questions as well: how much soup would it take to fill the solar system? What would happen if you shrank Jupiter to the size of a house? Not problems we'd encounter in everyday life maybe, but all questions sent to Randall Munroe for his "What If?" series of books. At first glance the questions may seem impossible, but, as it turns out, maths and physics can provide an answer to these headscratchers, as the panel discover.Executive Producer: Alexandra Feachem

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Starting point is 00:00:00 This is the first radio ad you can smell. The new Cinnabon pull-apart only at Wendy's. It's ooey, gooey and just five bucks for the small coffee all day long. Taxes extra at participating Wendy's until May 5th. Terms and conditions apply. BBC Sounds. Music, radio, podcasts. Hello, I'm Brian Cox. And I'm Robin Ince and this is the Infinite Monkey Cage. We are back from our Australian holiday. All of us, as you can see, heavily bronzed by the olden rain that you managed to bring to Australia.
Starting point is 00:00:31 How, what are the chances of us having a month of rain in Australia when you promised it was going to be all lovely and like spring? Well, all I'm saying is don't travel with him he brings the moors with him he's like terrible heathcliff figure and i refer that heathcliff figure not lawrence olivier playing him cliff richard in the awful musical anyway today's show is basically it's a rebuttal to i'm sure everyone here knows someone who goes i don't even know what was the point in learning maths at school all of those kind of stupid things where you had to learn about, you know, Euclidean geometry and algebra and quadrilateral
Starting point is 00:01:10 equations. Quadrilateral equations? Yeah, yeah, yeah. I remember I'm playing the part of someone who doesn't like maths. Yeah, it was very convincing. Can I just say, Robin, you don't need to ask someone who doesn't like maths, because I bloody hate maths, so let's just focus on me.
Starting point is 00:01:28 Do you? Do you genuinely not like maths? No, I didn't really like it. I think it was my first maths teacher. He just would go on and on and on, and we would want to finish the lesson, and then he'd just go off at a tangent. Thank you. Mathematicians are often seen as otherworldly types living in an alternative universe of numbers it's not this otherworldly eccentricity that we're looking at today on today's show we're looking at
Starting point is 00:01:56 pragmatic mathematics can thinking like a mathematician make life more livable is there better living through mathematics today we're joined by two mathematicians, one cartoonist and someone who definitely knows how to divide up the cake and they are. I'm Professor Hannah Fry. I am a professor of mathematics at UCL and the elusive solution that I am looking for is a way to tell people that without them immediately asking me a very hard sum. tell people that without them immediately asking me a very hard sum. And I'm Randall Monroe. I'm a cartoonist. I draw XKCD and write books where I answer people's ridiculous questions using science and math. And the elusive solution that I'm looking for is I've been texted a lot of six-digit codes that I am not allowed to tell anyone. And I want to know when I can finally share them because there
Starting point is 00:02:43 are some really cool numbers in there. Hi, I'm Dr. Eugenia Cheng. I'm a professor of maths and scientist in residence at the School of the Art Institute of Chicago. And the elusive solution I'm looking for is how to fit an infinite amount of chocolate in my finite stomach. Oh, that was mine. stomach oh that was mine um hello i'm i'm joe brands i do a bit of catwalk modeling and i'm hoping to be the next prime minister um and the elusive solution i'm looking for is how to stop people treating me like a halfwit now i'm getting older this is our panel. Hannah, before we get into the how do we live a better life and those kind of things, I wanted to start rigorously at the beginning. So what is mathematics? Oh, an easy one then. Sure, thank you. Okay, so I think that mathematics is a way of thinking rather than a thing itself. So I think it's about searching for patterns.
Starting point is 00:03:46 I think it's about building absolute truths on one another. And I think it's about being playful with ideas. I think it's those things together. Or the other thing that it could be, if none of that works as a definition, I think it's also, what's that phrase? A bit like pornography. Difficult to define, but you know it when you see it
Starting point is 00:04:05 But you can't be building absolute truths on one another can you? Because that implies that you can derive all the patterns. Look, don't worry about the bottom too much Russell and Molly All the axioms Okay, they did try and do this at the turn of about
Starting point is 00:04:22 1900s or so, the mathematicians were like hang on a second we've got all of these truths built on truth built on truth what's at the bottom have we really made sure that we've got solid solid foundations here so um they went right back to basics there was one guy who uh decided to try and define the concept of two-ness um he spent seven years and then just gave up couldn't couldn't manage it Bertrand Russell also tried to define, or tried to prove, sorry, that 1 plus 1 equals 2. And if I remember rightly, it took about 300 pages of very dense mathematical notation. And then when they wrote the proof, said once arithmetic addition has been defined, then it will follow that 1 plus 1 equals 2.
Starting point is 00:05:03 Basically, it's really, really hard to do. You can't do this stuff. And then, you know, some other people came along and said, actually, I think you really can't prove this. There's always going to be some things that you just can't prove. And then so we just sort of gave up and don't worry about it too much. Does that give you confidence, Jo, that basically
Starting point is 00:05:19 it's not possible to prove 1 plus 1 equals 2, and so we give up at that point? I kind of went into a coma halfway through. Because I wouldn't even think you'd need to prove it, you know. But as I've already said, I'm not a mathematician. I found it... I really struggled with it at school. I mean, my maths teacher said to me I was very average, which I thought was quite mean of him.
Starting point is 00:05:44 Don't worry, I've got bloody loads of those. I can always tell when you've had dinner with Giles Brandreth. It just picks up on it, doesn't it? Do you know what? I'm proud I've never had dinner with Giles Brandreth, but I might do now, he suggested. Following on, how can, then, such an abstract logical framework, and as you said, even the foundations of that framework, we can argue about the 300 pages.
Starting point is 00:06:10 But how can that be applied to everyday life? Oh, in all kinds of ways. Because the thing is that then you have this series of rules that are sort of separate from people that you know to be true, and then you can play with them and manipulate them in any way that you like. And then there are certain things that are just absolute facts, right? Like, for example, okay,
Starting point is 00:06:31 let's say you're at the North Pole and it's zero degrees, right? And then somewhere on the equator, it's like 40 degrees. You know as a fact that there's going to be somewhere along that line from the North Pole to the equator at every possible temperature in between the two. It has to be the case.
Starting point is 00:06:50 And that is like a mathematical fact called the intermediate value theorem. But then once you have that as a fact, that if you have something that sort of changes slowly and incrementally, and you've got these two points, zero and 50 in that example, and you kind of move through it, there has to be a point in the middle, then you can take that idea and you can apply these two points, 0 and 50, in that example, and you kind of move through it, there has to be a point in the middle,
Starting point is 00:07:06 then you can take that idea and you can apply it to different situations. For example, if you're with a mathematician in a pub, right? I mean, unusual event. I wanted to. I don't understand it. I said, he'll have a pint and he'll have a pint, and you bought no pint. Oh, wow.
Starting point is 00:07:25 He drank them both. You see why these things are important. OK, so, you know when you're in a pub and, like, there's a bit of a wobbly table and then people sort of get a bit of card and they, like, shove it underneath the bottom? You don't need to do that. You don't need to do that because the intermediate value theorem
Starting point is 00:07:39 tells you a way to mathematically fix a wobbly table, right? So if you imagine you've got four legs, OK, so you can set up the table so that three of the legs are touching the ground and one of them is floating in the air. And then if you imagine rotating that table so those three legs stay attached to the ground, if you rotate it,
Starting point is 00:07:57 then either the free leg is going to stay in the air or at some point it's going to hit a bump, right? So if you just sort of imagine ignoring the laws of physics for a moment right so that that can't do sorry try brian try um if you imagine that it could like pass through that bump well then that means if you carried on rotating the table there'd be a point where the tip of that leg would be below the ground right so at one point it's above the ground at another point it's above the ground, at another point it's below the ground, which means there has to be a perfect point in between the two where that fourth leg is touching
Starting point is 00:08:30 the ground. And so, now you never have to have wobbly tables. Only slight caveat with this is that there's no guarantee that the table will actually be flat. But it works every time. So it's a completely idealised No, I mean, actually, no, it properly works. It properly works.
Starting point is 00:08:45 Does it? So you just rotate the table and it will find... So you don't have to put beer mats underneath the leg or anything. Just rotate it. Yep. Can I give you another application of the intermediate value theorem? I'm so glad you mentioned it. It's one of my favorite theorems.
Starting point is 00:08:56 Mine is much more ridiculous, though, because I once used it to settle an argument with an American about whether baby carrots exist. Because in America, they don't have baby carrots, right? They have baby cut carrots. They use machines to cut carrots down into a baby size. But the intermediate value theorem... Well, they didn't have baby carrots, because
Starting point is 00:09:13 it grows, right? That's the intermediate value theorem. You did it! You applied the intermediate value theorem. So at some point... LAUGHTER APPLAUSE So there has to be some point in the middle before it became a big carrot when it was a little carrot. It's the intermediate value theorem. Can you just state the intermediate value theorem without vegetables?
Starting point is 00:09:35 Let me see if I can, because you have to get the assumptions right. And the assumption is that the function is continuous. That's the key. And that's actually quite difficult, a quite difficult definition. that's the key and that's actually quite difficult that a quite difficult definition and so as long as the as long as it's continuous and it hits a certain point and then another point that's higher up then it will have to hit every point in between at some point there's a there's a an example in in your book um which is a more serious serious example where you can use mathematics to try to think more clearly about problems and it was a famous
Starting point is 00:10:05 case of the in 2018 of the of the bakers that refused to bake cake for a same-sex wedding yes so i'm a pure mathematician which you is usually taken to mean that i do stuff that's so abstract it's absolutely nothing to do with real life well first of all what's real anyway what is real life do we exist but what to, what's real anyway? What is real life? Do we exist? But to me, I agree with Hannah that maths is really about thinking more clearly. And for me, having abstract things means that I can find... It's about spotting patterns,
Starting point is 00:10:35 and it can include patterns between different ways that people think. And often, there's an analogy between someone's argument and some much more ridiculous argument. And that if we can spot that analogy, then we can figure out what is going on with those arguments. And the example I think you're referring to
Starting point is 00:10:50 is where there's some lawsuit in America where some Christian bakers refused to bake a cake for a same-sex wedding. And someone on Twitter, because everyone on Twitter is great, someone on Twitter said, that's like forcing Jews to bake a cake for a Nazi wedding. Very Twitter. There is an analogy.
Starting point is 00:11:10 And so here's the thing. It's very tempting to just yell at people and go, oh, my God, that's so dumb. And then they yell at you and go, oh, my God, you're so dumb. And then that's the internet. But I think it's more productive to acknowledge the very, very violent sense in which there actually is an analogy between those two things, which is at a very high level, saying, yes, it's forcing people to bake a cake for people they disagree with. But on the one hand, it's people who committed mass genocide against them and tried to kill off their entire people. And on the other case, it isn't. And so for me, abstract thinking is about very carefully being able to construct
Starting point is 00:11:45 arguments and find the sources of differences between arguments which can actually help us to empathize with people see there's something that often doesn't get put in the same sentence abstract maths and empathy and so i'm trying to show because i really believe it's true that abstract maths helps me to understand what other people really mean so it's a it's a mode of thought which so you're saying that it's it's useful because it disconnects you from the the the emotional sort of in a way yes abstract maths is about making comparisons between different situations finding out what is similar about them but at the same time seeing what is different about them and so that when we have arguments with people,
Starting point is 00:12:26 instead of just going, you are wrong, you idiot, and then they go, you are wrong, you idiot, you're OK, here is a sense in which you have a point, and here is a sense in which I have a point. And now we can go a bit deeper and find out where the root of those differences is rather than just kind of yelling at each other. I mean, Randall, it's interesting,
Starting point is 00:12:42 we're dealing there talking also about ideas of the abstract and you get i mean some of the things that you've dealt with in the what if books and also online is a wonderful way of seeing that i think very often people hide that abstract thinking and you have kind of opened this this fantastic door of saying whatever the most wonderful or strange quandary is that you have i'm gonna try and work out how we can get through it. Yeah. One of the things that to me is really fun about these tools of math and abstract thinking is that they don't care whether the question you're asking them is ridiculous or not. And so you can like, you can apply the same math to the question of what is the tidal force created
Starting point is 00:13:22 by the moon to like, what is the tidal force created by a large wheel of cheese sitting nearby. And you can use the same equations, the same math to figure that out. That, to me, is really exciting, that I can just take these tools and not just apply them to the things you're supposed to in school, but to anything. So give us some examples of the rather surreal examples of that mode of thought. The intermediate value theorem, someone asked a question that applies it in a way that I had never thought about before. Eventually, all of the stars are going to burn out. Sorry if that's
Starting point is 00:13:58 a spoiler. And I knew this. I did a physics degree and they talked about this. And then I also knew that if you go really far forward into the future, all of the stars will be at absolute zero at some point. Everything will cool down, all of the remnants that are left behind of these dead stars. And what had never occurred to me was that meant at some point in between, there would be a point when the stars were about room temperature. And so someone asked, when will that time be? And can I go touch one? And I had never thought about that before. And that led me to
Starting point is 00:14:34 think, okay, how on earth would you even approach this problem? How do you figure out what year that's going to be? And how would you get near one of these stars? What would it be like? None of these are things that are going to happen. But it turns out you can take scientific papers and demand these answers out of them. And if you can figure out how to do the math right, they give them to you. It's not going to be for a while. There's some maths in this, actually, because you can't cool something down to absolute zero in a finite number of steps no the the universe may go on forever though so it's going to get closer and closer so is it possible to cool something down
Starting point is 00:15:11 to absolute zero when you can't do it in a finite number of steps if the age of the universe is infinite that sounds like a physics question but we can actually even do an infinite number of things in a finite length of time. We don't even need to go all the way to infinity. Because you all did it today. So this is one of Zeno's paradoxes. How did you all get here? Well, first you had to cover half the distance to get here.
Starting point is 00:15:40 And then you had to cover half of the remaining distance. And then you had to cover half of the remaining distance of that. And then you had to cover half of the remaining distance of then you had to cover half of the remaining distance of that and then you had to go and so it sounds like that's an infinite number that is an infinite number of things and it sounds like you wouldn't be able to do that in a finite number of time but you did even if you got stuck on the train you did all get here in a finite amount of time so we go around doing infinite numbers of things every day i mean is this partly and i'll ask you actually you run this bit when you're dealing with sometimes these abstract ideas and sometimes these ideas which you know we have have
Starting point is 00:16:09 as you know the laws of physics but is this a bit like when you're philosophically looking at these things that you need to know the laws of physics in the same way that someone to play the piano badly in an amusing way needs to know how to play it well so you need to have the rules to then allow your imagination to go wild within there and create something truly satisfying yeah i think that sometimes you need to know which things are important so you know which ones you can ignore i think that's definitely true like you need you need to understand, like, what is the measurement error in this, you know, in this quantity? Like, how much could this vary? How would it affect the solution?
Starting point is 00:16:51 And then you can know, okay, it doesn't vary enough to matter for the solution. And then you can ignore that. But you can't ignore it until you have first figured it out and known, okay, yes, I didn't need to know that after all. Well, that's what I wanted to ask you,annah because you you deal with the mathematics of cities and sometimes we would imagine that you know the idea of using maths when you're also dealing with emotional creatures creatures that are seen as making irrational decisions that the two might be very hard to join together to take the mathematics of the city so how how do you start out can you give us an example of the mathematics of cities yeah of course okay so i think that when you try and use mathematics with it's like really rigorous rules and like hard coded into the universe and then you try and
Starting point is 00:17:37 apply it to people it's really difficult especially when you're dealing with just like one person but but something happens when you zoom out when you start to look at big groups of people together. It's like the noise in one direction ends up sort of cancelling out the noise in another direction. And so while, you know, so you can do things like, for example, you can say with a really high degree of accuracy how many people are going to use the tube on a Monday morning, right? Or how many people are going to turn up at A&E on a Friday night?
Starting point is 00:18:03 And the thing is, is that each one of those people in A&E has had their own life story, has had their own accident, their own reason to be there. They shouldn't, in theory, be connected to one another, and they're not. But something happens when you zoom out that actually our behaviour collectively becomes really predictable. Is that in some ways disheartening? When you, you know, this idea that people are you know there are a lot of people out there you ain't the boss of me etc and people like to imagine that they are moving you know with a level of freedom away from the context of everyone else but actually the truth is that we are more of a mass as we move around in those patterns so when people first
Starting point is 00:18:40 discovered this that was that was genuinely how people thought about it. So it was a French guy called Quetelet. This is in like maybe 1700s, 1800s. And he was looking at crime across all of France. He had like all of the crime stats. And then he looked and saw that like the number of people who got murdered every year in all these regions of France was basically completely unchanging. And not only that, it was like the type of murder. So there was, I mean, it's like France in whenever it was whenever it was 1800 so there were some excellent um ways of dying right so like there was lots of sort of the same number of jousting deaths um i'm making up like but there
Starting point is 00:19:15 was definitely bludgeoning by a stone that was one um and swords that kind of thing poisoning and those numbers were unchanging year on year on year in every region and so then there was this big debate because it was like well well, hang on a second. If there is this pattern that is really clearly there, how can you punish people for committing murder? Are they definitely doing it under their own steam? Because otherwise, why would this sort of universal law appear? And it's like, how do you take away an individual person's freedom for committing something if that pattern has to be there because of the universe? So the argument is with the murder, statistically, someone has to do it.
Starting point is 00:19:52 It's basically. So if you get to the end of the year and you've had like five too few murders, who are they like? Who's going to do it? Pick your stone to bludgeon with. That's for volunteers it's interesting isn't it it's the it's basically the idea behind asimov's foundation isn't it that that given a large enough population you could in principle predict how the future will play out is that is that even conceivably a possibility i mean asimov being asimov said you know you need a galaxy of billions and billions and trillions of people perhaps but then statistically you can start to understand how the future will unfold i mean that's the idea behind those books
Starting point is 00:20:39 yeah so okay i don't think you can i don't think you can. I don't think you can, basically, in short. And I think the reason why you can't is because I'm sitting here saying, yeah, you can make these predictions, but there's still, as Randall said, there's still error. And the thing is that, like, when you start taking those predictions, you start taking them too seriously, then I think that that's where things start to become really problematic. Because then you start applying them to individuals
Starting point is 00:21:05 as though it's like an absolute cold hard fact, like somebody must murder. Like, for instance, I've seen this one academic who claims that he can take somebody when they're born and tell you whether or not they'll be a criminal by the time they're 18, right? And that's like seriously problematic. But I think that the other reason why you just can't do this stuff,
Starting point is 00:21:23 there's just too much noise, really, I think. But you can do it in order to design a better city. Yeah, but only if you don't take it too seriously. Which I think would work, is you could make men stay in after six o'clock at night and there wouldn't be any murders at night at all, apart from maybe a pissed woman. It's true, though.
Starting point is 00:21:47 You do have statistics where huge numbers of, say, you know, one group are committing crimes more than another or crimes are happening at particular times. Or in a city, I would think, mathematically speaking, crimes are happening more often in particular areas of a city where it's easier for people to commit crimes so I mean I would imagine that you can actually predict and and change on on that basis but I don't even know if if town planners use that sort of information do they okay so it's true you can you can you can
Starting point is 00:22:26 look at a city and you can see where the crime hotspots are and you can see how the road network influences that because of course you know quite different types of crime is going to happen on a cul-de-sac versus a really busy high street you can do all of those things the problem is then what do you do about it because what people have tried and this is about five or six years ago there were a few mathematicians who were like hey we can do this so they set up this company that would tell the police where the crime was going to happen that night right and the thing is well okay so there's two big problems here the first is that somehow in that translation it's changed from being a probability really tiny probabilities too here by the way and to like
Starting point is 00:23:05 being a cold hard fact and that that sort of uncertainty gets lost in translation so suddenly you have police turning up to an area being like right you know thinking they're in minority report um and i you know where's the crime so that's kind of one problem but the second problem is that the way that those models work is that they work on the basis of how much crime has been reported from an area and so if you flood an area with loads of police because you think there's going to be more crime that happens there then more crime is going to be spotted so more crime will be reported the police will be doing it so there's this thing they do in chicago where they think there's going to be crime
Starting point is 00:23:41 which is that they play classical music into the street and all the criminals are like, oh, classical music, oh, I'm not going to hang around here, and then they go away. Do they really do that? Yeah, they do. Well, I don't know about the criminals, but they do play classical music in the street. They do play classical music.
Starting point is 00:23:53 They play classical music in the street. All the time, or just on particular crime times of day? I suppose I haven't been there all the time, so I don't know, but I think it's all the time. They just kind of pipe it into the street. But I think that is, I mean, I can see see that even with you know when one of the train stations tube stations just up from here yeah maybe it's euston square they quite often play classical music and you can literally see by the fact that if you are moving in a world that is frenetic but
Starting point is 00:24:19 there is something beautiful around you i can see how that would also have you know that that that effect of not being oh i love beethoven's fifth i'm not gonna murder my grandma tonight i think that's not the irony of the deaf grandmother and that's how it was managed to get there you know but it is kind of but but i can see that you know certain you know if you've got some elgar going on there although do you remember that experiment where they took what's his name is it joshua bell and they stood him in a in a washington dc subway station in a tube station and they gave him a stradivarius and he stood there and he'd been like playing to this sold out crowd like night after night after night you know could
Starting point is 00:24:57 not get a ticket for love no money and there he was in the tube station um with like a hat a bucket hat waiting for coin and basically no one stopped at all. No one gave them any money. Except every child who walked past stopped and listened. Isn't that beautiful? That gives me so much hope for the future. And one of the things that I think it's like when we talk about maths, I don't know if you find this when you go around doing events,
Starting point is 00:25:19 that children, little children, aren't afraid of maths yet. And they're so excited by these ideas, and they're so excited by thinking about infinity, and they're not bothered by the fact that they don't understand it. They love the fact that they don't understand it. There's all these possibilities there for becoming more intelligent when you don't understand something, and then somehow we get them through education,
Starting point is 00:25:38 and all we do during the education process is get them to hate maths, worry about not understanding things, and then run away when something seems difficult. It's really really tragic and then the adults also won't stop and listen to the music and all the children do i think it's beautiful but that's yeah sorry sorry we'll move away from beauty don't worry brian let's go back to the cold universe it seems to me there are two different uses of mathematics the what you're describing, Hannah, is a very specific use of statistics, for example, the way that crowds move through a city, you can design a city. And I think what you're describing, Eugenia, is a transferable skill that emerges from studying
Starting point is 00:26:19 pure mathematics. So it's a way of thinking that you derive from the study itself. One of the things I think is really important is to stress that those are both really important aspects of maths. But there's one that the transferability, I think, is really crucial, because so many people maybe even appreciate the fact that somebody else does maths. Do you appreciate the fact that somebody else does maths, Joe? Very much. Right, so you appreciate the fact, good, you, right on, yay, that, but then they go, well, I don't have to do it, because someone else is doing it. It's true, yeah, that is true. And the thing is that they are actually, at some, in some sense, correct. I want to validate them, even if you, Joe, doesn't like being validated. I still want to validate everyone who thinks that they don't have to do
Starting point is 00:27:01 maths, because someone else will do it for them. That is correct. But that's because often the kinds of maths that you're told are useful are not the ones you need to do. It's like, oh, yeah, maths can send a spaceship into space and maths can fly a plane and maths makes your phone work, which is all true. But you don't have to understand maths to use your phone. And so it can seem that that's just for other people. But that's not the point. The point is you being able to use your brain in a way that's kind of better, that that's just for other people. But that's not the point. The point is being able to use your brain in a way that's kind of better. It's a core strength. It's like doing core exercises
Starting point is 00:27:31 so that you can use the rest of your muscles better or just not fall over when you're walking up the street. And so for me, abstract math is a core strength inside my brain that enables me to use the rest of my brain in a more efficacious way so randall equally important that you worked out what happened if you shrunk jupiter down to the size of a house yeah there's a few different aspects of mathematics there's like more kind of building models and taking theoretical structures and finding ways that they are analogous to everyday
Starting point is 00:28:02 life and then there's the kind that i think about is more like counting and measuring. And so a lot of the figuring out, for example, the question someone gave me was if you shrunk Jupiter down to the size of the house, someone's house, and moved it into a neighborhood in place of a house, and then just kind of let it go, what would happen? And, and my, so my first thought, I think when I saw that was, is there a homeowners association? Or is there, like, you're, you're probably getting it in trouble. But what I, what I think is fun about these questions is like, I don't know the answer. I could imagine it being really, really catastrophic. But then I could also imagine it not being it's just a ball of gas. It's, you know, about the size of a house. How bad could that be?
Starting point is 00:28:53 So if you took the sun and shrunk it down to three kilometers in radius, then it would form a black hole inextrably. If you took the earth and shrunk it down to about i think just under a centimeter in radius it would form a black hole wait so this is why density or you're just taking all of that mass and shrinking it down yes you take the whole thing all the matter in the earth and shrink it down so so what i'm trying to work out in my head is so i know that the sun because i've got the numbers in my mind i know the sun down to three kilometers in radius will form a black hole i know the earth down to just under a centimeter in radius will form a black hole jupiter jupiter is in between those so so
Starting point is 00:29:37 it's a good question actually so what i want to know is the swartzel radius of jupiter basically i should be able to work that out but i need need to know the mass. Yeah, yeah. So the real question here is, which kind of shrinking are we talking about? Because I think of it, there's the compression shrinking, where you keep all the mass there and fit it into a smaller space. And then there's, I think of it as the honey, I shrunk the kids style of shrinking, where you're making the thing smaller, but it seems like you're taking away some of the mass. So it's made up of the same stuff, there's just less of it. And, you know, like if a character gets shrunk down in a movie, they don't usually, you know, stay so heavy that they just immediately punch through the floor. And so that's the way I interpreted
Starting point is 00:30:19 this for Jupiter. I was saying, well, what if you shrink it down, it's made out of all the same stuff, same temperatures, same pressures, same chemicals. There are just fewer of them, so it's the size of a house. No, but then it would just sort of dissipate, right? Because then it's just a small ball of gas. How bad can it be? At very high temperature, so it can't hold itself together. It is. It is. It's gas that's really, really hot. And so because it's really small and really, really hot and under high pressure, but it doesn't have all that mass that it had when it was big before we started messing around with it, the gravity isn't there to hold it together, which means that it would start to expand.
Starting point is 00:31:00 And, you know, it would expand rapidly, which when you hear a physicist talking about that often means what a normal person would call exploding. And so I found if you have a Jupiter-sized ball of gas with the temperatures and pressures of Jupiter, it turns out it would be enough to obliterate not just your block of houses, but the entire surrounding neighborhood, and you'd end up with a sort of mushroom cloud
Starting point is 00:31:24 rising over your portion of the city. But what I thought was really fascinating about this is, the more I thought about it, the more I realized this is actually just the process that formed Jupiter in reverse. Because the reason Jupiter is really hot is because there was a big ball of gas in space that was cool and diffuse, and then it fell together under the force of gravity, and falling together heated it up. And that heat is still there. There's some contribution for radioactivity, but it's just it got squished together,
Starting point is 00:31:54 and the solar system is only 4 or 5 billion years old, so it hasn't had time to cool down yet. And so if you took all that heat and then removed the gravity holding it together, it would go from being a small hot ball of gas back to being a large diffuse cold one uh like it was when the universe formed so you'd just be watching jupiter's formation in reverse uh but it's an interesting thing because all i'm thinking is that you know you're talking about the issue is what if jupiter was the size of a house and brian's so successful all he's thinking about is i need a house the size of jupiter so it's kind of an interesting thing to uh there's a couple there's another one i mean
Starting point is 00:32:29 there's one you've got to deal with the soup thing right but the soup you you were asked by someone what if the atmosphere is it i hope this is right the atmosphere of the solar system rather than being made of what it was was made of soup and i weren't were they specific about the kind of soup no this question came from a five-year-old named Amelia, which is, my favorite questions come from little kids, because I think, I don't know that little kids are necessarily like more creative than adults, but I do think they are much more nervous about asking questions that sound silly or make them look like they don't know what they're talking about. So adults will try to ask very scientific
Starting point is 00:33:02 questions, like sessions that have a lot of science words in them um and little kids just ask questions like what if i filled the solar system with soup um which turns out to be like a much more scientifically like fun question than a lot of the adult ones yeah and so they i don't she asked uh specifically what if she filled the solar system with soup out to jupiter um and and this would create a black hole situation. That is a lot of mass in one place and the gravity would be so strong that not even light would be able to escape. You can calculate where the event horizon
Starting point is 00:33:34 of this supermassive black hole would be and it's somewhere between Uranus and Neptune. So everything inside of that zone would be doomed, falling toward the center, forming probably a singularity. Also everything outside that zone would be uh would be doomed falling toward the center forming probably a singularity um also everything outside that zone would be doomed too because it would soon fall inside that zone uh so this would would completely destroy the solar system and then start in on uh sucking in nearby solar systems as well what type of soup are we talking about yeah so so i looked at this i mean nice thing, this is one of those things where,
Starting point is 00:34:06 because you can always try to figure out how much does the input matter, how much does the exact density of the soup matter. And if you find a really diffuse soup, something that's like, you know, cotton candy density, you know, maybe you could come up with something where it wouldn't immediately form a black hole. But if it's a soup that has any kind of a water base, a wet soup, I don't know about cooking, then you're going to have something that's about
Starting point is 00:34:36 the density of water. I did try to figure out the calorie count. I tried the Campbell's tomato soup. It came somewhere around 10 to the 41, 10 to the 42 calories. You could maybe cut that down a little bit if it was more of a chicken noodle. See, I love this. It's gone from a black hole to a war hole now, which I think is... This is actually... Two cultures there divided. There were seven people who liked art, the rest of them...
Starting point is 00:35:01 So, Hannah, I mean, you know, Randall goes looking for some of the, you know, the more peculiar questions, some of the things which can start off as surreal or abstract, but then you actually do find out the science. I presume that when you're doing public lectures as well, you have moments where someone will ask a question. That moment they lose their shame. And they think, I really want to know this. What's the most kind of unusual quest that people have been on?
Starting point is 00:35:24 Okay, so a few years ago I did a um a talk on the mathematics of love right but specifically i had a whole thing about divorce and uh i was doing this talk and i used it as an example and then at the end someone came up to me and said okay i was really interested in that example about the dynamics of arguments in a couple just before they break up. Because I have this girl that I want to get with and she's married, so how do I... I think you're right that the questions from kids are better. The other one I loved was you'd worked out how many people you have to date before, statistically speaking speaking you should choose your
Starting point is 00:36:06 yeah but this is not to marry i got in lots of trouble for this right because because okay it's true you can use something called optimal stopping theory and uh you can optimal what sorry oh sorry optimal stopping right so okay the idea joe let's say that you're single and you're like okay i bloody wish i was yeah okay let's go back to those happy days in my head okay so let's say you're like okay you know what i want to be settled down in a year so what you do is you take that time window and then the first 37 of it you just go wild just do whatever you want. You just enjoy yourself. Just get a sense of what's available to you.
Starting point is 00:36:49 And then after that window has passed, you then, the next person who comes along that's better than everyone else that you've met before, that's the person. If you want to maximize your chance of getting someone good. Now, the problem with this... So specifically, what do you mean? You said the first 37%? Percent.
Starting point is 00:37:03 Percent. It's one over E, yeah. Right. Of the time? Of the time, exactly, yeah. So you have a lot of liaisons. Yes, you just... 37%.
Starting point is 00:37:14 What decade are we... Look, he suddenly appears in a frock coat here. It's Radio 4. I don't want to offend anyone. So, yeah, so, I mean, you've had all of these liaisons. After the liaison. Sometimes they've been a little bit flirty, perhaps, yeah. Someone's lost a lace neckerchief, et cetera.
Starting point is 00:37:36 How many do you need to have to make it work? It's all about cutting it up in the time window, right? So it doesn't matter about how many. Because what you don't want to do is you don't want to just like the first person who comes along be like yes you but then equally you don't want to like leave it too long if you if you actually want to if that's your main goal so this is like the way to maximize your chances of getting the best person but the thing is is it doesn't guarantee it right it definitely doesn't guarantee it because there are there are lots of ways that it can go wrong so for starters your uh perfect
Starting point is 00:38:09 person could appear in that first 37 liaison window um when you're like goodbye and off into the sunset with like a swish of your petticoat um and then and then they're gone forever um or the other thing is it could be that it just so happens that all of the people that you meet in your liaison window are um are just like really boring people and then the next person that comes along is is still really terrible but just maybe marginally better than everyone that you met before and then if you're following the rules you're like okay great it's you we're done um which means you know you only end up with somebody who's marginally better than the first 37 it's not kind of a good situation and overall your chances of ending up right of getting the one i think are about a third right if you do it this way
Starting point is 00:38:54 which means that two-thirds of the time you're better following another strategy after this talk i got a lot i got so many emails from people, the two-thirds of all the people who watched it, telling me how wrong I was. And, Jo, what was your strategy then? Just to do the liaison window for about 20 years. Well, I think we've managed to do love, soup and social justice in one show, so I think we've covered a lot of ground with mathematics.
Starting point is 00:39:29 So first of all, can we just say thank you to our panel, who are Dr Eugenia Cheng, Professor Hannah Fry, Randall Munro and Joe Brand. Then we asked our audience if you could find an equation to solve one problem of living. What is the problem of living you would like to be dealt with? And let's see, the first question I got is, how long to keep an odd sock in the vain hope its sister sock will turn up? So that is the three sock problem there.
Starting point is 00:39:58 So we're getting towards that again. Let's be inclusive towards socks. Why do they have to match anyway? Then you can just include your sock already and not wait. And how do we know they're really three socks anyway? How do I know I'm wearing a pair of socks? Et cetera. Belinda said an equation to figure out how long can you hold a biscuit in a cup of tea before the end breaks off? Which sounds like one of yours, Randall. That's a good question. Oh yeah, That sounds like a question for an experimentalist. It does, doesn't it?
Starting point is 00:40:28 I actually suggest you do that, because it is an experimental question. Get a lot of cups of tea, a lot of biscuits, and do it. I'm sure there was a paper on the entirety of biscuits. They do do that all the time with biscuits, try and
Starting point is 00:40:43 check out how long they last, because it's obviously really important. Hobnobs, in my experience, they're the best ones for... They last about half an hour. This is a good one here. I'm not going to say whether it's from a man or a woman. How do you calculate the minimum acceptable amount to spend on a spouse's Christmas present?
Starting point is 00:41:09 I suspect that might be from my husband. So thank you very much, everyone. And next week, we are going to be doing a show about how to commit the perfect murder. And then a week after that, I'll be back with my co-host, Jim Al-Khalili.
Starting point is 00:41:39 Or I'll be back with Dara O'Brien. Let us wait and see. Thank you very much. Goodbye. Goodbye. Turned out nice again. Hello, I'm Dr. Michael Mosley, and in my podcast
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