Upstream - Doughnut Economics with Kate Raworth
Episode Date: April 3, 2017When you think about economics, what images come to mind? Maybe a supply and demand graph? Or a blackboard with complex equations scrawled across it? These images are based on a 19th century view of e...conomics, one that is outdated and even dangerous, as we're beginning to see more and more. In this Upstream Conversation, we explore why the economy should look more like a doughnut. In her new book, Doughnut Economics, renegade economist Kate Raworth explains why it's time to explore new images that tell different stories about the economy. Kate walks us through the many aspects of her proposal for a new picture of economics, while discrediting some of the old assumptions and exploring new solutions. Our conversation moves readily from economic history to complexity, from system design to wealth inequality, and from poverty to…doughnuts. This episode of Upstream was made possible with support from listeners like you. Upstream is a labor of love — we couldn't keep this project going without the generosity of our listeners and fans. Please consider chipping in a one-time or recurring donation at www.upstreampodcast.org/support If your organization wants to sponsor one of our upcoming documentaries, we have a number of sponsorship packages available. Find out more at upstreampodcast.org/sponsorship For more from Upstream, visit www.upstreampodcast.org and follow us on Twitter, Instagram, Facebook, and Bluesky. You can also subscribe to us on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you listen to your favorite podcasts.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
I think that's probably been the most pernicious result of this desire to be like physics,
to look for the laws of motion, as if the economy, the way the world works,
was driven by these laws that we needed to discover.
I think that's really led us astray over the last hundred years
and has given rise to a very strong neoliberal story that let the market do its work.
Market forces, again,
the language of mechanics, market forces will bring the economy into its right position.
Don't get in their way. They will sort things out. You are listening to an upstream conversation
with Kate Raworth, author of the book titled Donut Economics, Seven Ways to Think Like a
21st Century Economist. Kate and I met up for this
interview in an apartment in London. Welcome, Kate. Thank you. Let's start with a little bit
about your background and how you came to do the work that you do. Okay, so when I was a teenager,
I was a teenager in the 1980s, and the TV news was the way I came to see the world
so I saw the Exxon Valdez spewing its contents out into Alaska's pristine waters I saw the
Ethiopian famine a hole opening up in the ozone layer and as I think those images from the tv screen are the reason why when I came to the end of school
I wanted to work for say Oxfam or Greenpeace I wanted to tackle the social environmental issues
that I saw challenging the world and I believed that if I was going to do that well I needed
economics because it was the mother tongue of public policy. It was the language of influence.
So I thought if I learn the toolkit of economics, I can apply it to these issues and try and make the world a better place.
Very heartfelt, naive, open.
That was where I was coming from.
And so I went to university, studied economics. the issues that I was studying the theories we were taught really frustrated me because
most of the things I cared about were brushed aside or seen as marginal or externalities
tangential to the main theory as if they weren't the major concern so I was really frustrated by
what I was being taught and after four years of study economics, I decided to walk away. I
didn't want to go on and deepen into further studies because I just didn't feel connected
to the underlying theory that it was all based upon. So I walked away and I wanted to immerse
myself in the real world economy. I worked for three years in the villages of Zanzibar with
micro entrepreneurs. Then I worked at the UN on the Human Development Report, so at a very different angle, looking at the overview of human well-being.
And over the years, I worked for Oxfam for a decade,
but over that time I realised I hadn't walked away from economics
because you can't, because the world is framed in economic languages.
And I realised that rather than fighting against it it I wanted to walk back towards it and
try and reclaim economics try and reclaim its roots I mean economics from the ancient Greek
means household management and when Xenophon first wrote a pamphlet called the economist he was
talking about the management of a single estate how should you manage your slaves and your vineyards?
Should you allow your wife to be in charge or not?
And towards the end of his life, he looked up to the next level.
He looked at the management of the city-state, his hometown of Athens,
and began to think about the economics of managing that.
And then 2,000 years later in Scotland, Adam Smith raised our sights to the next level and said, actually, economics is about managing the nation state and asking why one nation thrives while another has not yet taken off.
Well, I think it's time for us to move to the next level and go from the household to the city to the nation.
Now it's the planetary household we need to think about.
So to me, economics in the 21st century means's the planetary household we need to think about so to me economics in the 21st
century means managing our planetary household and there could be no more urgent and exciting
cause to be involved in we need a generation of household managers who are managing our planetary
home in the interest of all its inhabitants so in that vein in that spirit I've walked back
towards economics and
want to reclaim that word and broaden it so that we actually start to think about managing our
households this century so you mentioned one of the one of the challenges one of the problems you
see with economics is the kind of how how limited it is in scope when it's taught. So that's part of the problem. What else do you see
as the main fundamental economic challenges that we face today? What are the kind of the flaws in
our current economic system, either the way we think about it, or the way that it plays out
in our lives? So in the way we think about it, because I've really focused on going back to the theory. So many people are saying we need a new economic story.
We need a new narrative of what the economy is.
And I agree with that.
But the most powerful stories are the ones told with pictures.
And if we don't redraw the pictures,
it's going to be very hard to tell a different story.
And what I've done over the last
couple of years in writing my book Donut Economics was to go back to the pictures that I was taught
even in my first economic lectures what are the first pictures were introduced to because images
are so powerful they unlike words and equations which sit in the front of our brains they go into
the visual cortex at the back of our brains and they linger long after the words and equations have faded.
I think of them like graffiti on the mind.
They are almost indelibly imprinted there
unless we take care to unearth them
and choose to put something in their place.
So I'm concerned that the fundamental pictures of economics
are far more powerful than most economics professors
would ever imagine that they are and that we need to go back and redraw them if we're going to
reimagine the economy let me give you one example if i said to any so anybody who studies some
economics what's what's the first diagram you learn in economics supply and demand thank you
very much supply and demand and demand. And anyone who's studied
economics can immediately see it in their mind. It's a pair of crossing lines like a giant X.
Right there, when that image goes up, all sorts of messages are being told. The first message is
the economy is the market. And the market is self-equilibrating.
Well, those are very, very big assumptions,
but they go sweeping past as the student is told to focus on learning how this diagram works and how the lines will move
and how price balances things.
The fundamental assumptions are laid out and never really discussed.
I want to go back and discuss those,
because actually the economy isn't just the market,
and the market isn't self-equilibrating. So we need to redraw the pictures if we're going to have a new understanding this century. So one of the things that I did while I was a student
studying economics at Schumacher was try to think about what is economics and I got to the point
where I was like oh my gosh it's our relationship to ourself, how we determine our self-worth. It's our relationship to each other, whether I see you as a competitor or a
collaborator, how I act to you if I'm altruistic or mean. And then my relationship to earth,
whether I see it as a resource or a waste bin or my larger self. So I got to the point where I was like, wow, economics is everything.
So how would you define or describe economics? You said the management of the household, but
you know, so if it's not just the market, is there a way that you describe it?
So I think of economics as meaning household management. And as you just said,
well, that could be everything. I think of it in terms of when we think about
managing our household what do we think the household is how how big is that vision of
what's included there what's the purpose of the economy what's the purpose of economic activity
um so what is it and what is it for and who are we in the economy who how do people behave or how should they behave is
what theories try to tell us um and how how do things move how to think how does the economy
move does it have underlying patterns underlying laws so that's the sphere i think of the economics
theory but the economy itself is a nebulous thing and and i've come to just think of it in quite simple terms
let's let's just talk about the economy in terms of the sphere in which we produce and distribute
products and services to each other even if you take that very narrow understanding of it
already we can say something quite powerful which is it's not just the market and the state which
was the 20th century debate it should it be this market it's led by the market how much can the state intervene Keynes said the state can do a lot Hayek said the
state should get out of the way the 20th century was a boxing match between the market and the
state as if these were the only two economic actors I like to think of it if it was a sphere
I would draw it into four quadrants and say you have first the household, the home in which care and unpaid goods and services are
provided to the members of the household every day. It's often called the core economy because
it's where things begin, it's where people are nurtured. So you have the core economy of the
household. Yes, we have the market, which is based on monetary exchange. We have the state,
which is based on public provisioning. And we have the commons, which is based on self exchange. We have the state, which is based on public provisioning. And we have
the commons, which is based on self-organization. So when you have the household, the commons,
the market, and the state, and you think of those as four very different but interacting forms of
provisioning for products and services that we need, I wouldn't want to live in an economy that
didn't have any one of them. because actually they're all incredibly valuable.
And once we look at the four of them and start asking questions like, well, when is self-organising the most effective way of providing something?
Maybe in a babysitting circle where parents create little coupons and swap babysitting hours with each other.
That is the commons. That's a creation of the comm commons and it's a fantastic way of self-organizing when is the market most effective when is the household
actually the most effective way of providing the unpaid care love of parents to their children is
core provision from the household when is the state most effective and then we can start to
see actually there are really interesting interactions between these four different ways of provisioning.
And often they work best when they work together.
So think of an NGO.
For example, I worked for Oxfam for many years.
Oxfam would hire its staff through the market.
It would sometimes take funding from the state to implement projects.
It worked with partners and allies around the world who are often self-organising
communities. And every single member of Oxfam's staff and team was coming from a home in the
morning and was raised by a family. So all of the work is always encompassing all four of those
provisioning. I would love the first lecture in economics, if it had to start even narrowly with
this provisioning, to say, let's look at these four ways.
Let's think of examples that you've been immersed in,
even just today.
How have you been involved in the household,
the commons, the market and the state today?
And you'd realise that just getting from your home
to your lecture, that you'd drawn on all four of them
and you'd contributed to all of them.
Then we start with a much richer picture of economics.
So that's just one example how the simplicity
of sticking up a supply and demand diagram totally limits what we think the economy
is. So you've talked about the supply and demand diagram. And then also, you start the book Donut
Economics, which comes out on the 6th of April this year, you start it with a powerful statement that you say, the most powerful tool in economics is not money nor even algebra. It is a pencil. Because with a
pencil, you can redraw the world. And I think part of that goes back to what you were saying before
about reimagining and the image within economics. But also, you bring in this assumption of economics being that which relates to money
or algebra or equations or diagrams. So if you were to take that problem or that challenge,
and you were to go upstream to the root of it, why have over history, why has economics become
reduced and reduced to numbers and diagrams and this type of thing why has it
come to this that is a great question and it fascinates me as to how it's become framed so
narrowly i would say one of the major reasons why economics has been reduced to a very particular
kind of diagrams and very particular numbers and algebra is, I would say it goes back to 1870, when
in the UK there was William Stanley Jevons, who was an engineer who was becoming an economist.
In Switzerland there was Leon Walras. In Austria there was Karl Menger. They wanted to make economics a science as respectable as physics.
This was the ambition.
They saw the towering genius of Isaac Newton,
who had discovered the underlying laws of motion of the world.
And he could describe the movement of falling apples or rotating planets with his physics.
And on it had been built incredible empires
and they wanted they explicitly said we want to make economics as respectable science as physics
and so they took it directly as a metaphor just as a pendulum swings to rest because gravity pulls
it down so markets are drawn to equilibrium because prices pull them into position and they
they loved playing with
this metaphor they even drew their diagrams in the style of Newton so if you look back at
Jevons's diagrams of supply and demand they were drawn in the style of Newton's diagrams of a
falling object so it was the desire to be like physics which then again drives the mathematization
not just from the diagrams resembling physics but but then the mathematisation to pin this thing down, but also to find out the underlying laws
of motion. And I think that's probably been the most pernicious result of this desire to be like
physics, to look for the laws of motion as if the economy, the way the world works was driven by
these laws that we needed to discover. And I think that's really led us astray over the
last 100 years and has given rise to a very strong neoliberal story that let the market do its work.
Market forces, again, the language of mechanics, market forces will bring the economy into its
right position. Don't get in their way, they will sort things out. In your book, Donut Economics, you redraw economics.
You go from these Newton-like forms and algebraic equations to something more circular,
something with space, with maybe even ambiguity or potential for looking different in different places
and value oriented as well. So can you talk about that new model, that drawing that you have come
to be the leader of? So the donut. So tell us about it and how does this change how we look
at economics? So in the book, I'm critiquing the old ways of drawing,
but I believe we're at a point in the world where critique is not enough.
You have to go beyond and you have to be propositional.
You have to stick your neck out and say, I believe in this.
I stand for this new diagram, even if it's evolving and it's imperfect.
And so that's what I've tried to do in the book,
showing old economics through seven diagrams
and now replacing them with seven propositions for new diagrams that are part of a 21st century
journey that we're on and one of them is focusing on what is the goal of the economy well the old
diagram that told us what the goal of the economy was was one almost now had to be drawn because it
was so implicit in the language it was the goal GDP growth, which is just an ever-rising line going up, up, up.
This deeply rooted notion that forward and up is good.
So we have an ever-rising line of GDP growth.
But we know that GDP growth and growth itself is not bringing all the well-being that we want in the world.
The process we have now of GDP growth is leading to extraordinary environmental degradation
and extraordinary inequalities as well.
So I wanted to replace that with a new vision.
And the one I've drawn,
slightly crazy though it sounds,
looks like a donut,
an American one with a hole in the middle.
So if you imagine an American donut
with a hole in the middle,
that hole in the middle is the,
the whole donut is trying to represent
a vision of the world in which we can meet the needs of all within the means of our planet that's
the vision of human well-being that is depicting so that every person has the resources and the
abilities to meet their needs and rights to food water health, health, education, housing, community, connection, energy, political voice.
So we can meet all of those so that we can all lead lives of dignity and opportunity,
but that we can do so within the means of the planet, within this extraordinary benevolent
phase of our planet's history, the last 11,000 years in which the planet's stability has been
so generous to allow humanity to flourish. So the donut tries to capture that in one image.
So if you think of this American donut with a hole in the middle,
when people are falling short on life's essentials,
they would be falling into that hole in the middle of the donut.
That's a space of human deprivation.
And we want to get them out of that hole in the middle
and into the donut itself.
But if we put too much pressure on Earth's life-giving systems, such
as on the climate system or the freshwater cycle or the oceans or the ozone layer, we would push
our planet out of this extraordinary stability that it's given us. And that would be like going
beyond the doughnut's outer crust. So you don't want to fall short on human well-being into the
centre of the doughnut and you don't want to overshoot the planet's capacity beyond the
outside edges of the donut.
We want to be in that donut-shaped space in between the two.
And suddenly, when you draw it like that,
the shape or the feel, the pulse of what progress looks like
is no longer this ever-rising line going up, up, up, up, up.
It's a thriving balance.
It's a balance between meeting the needs of all within
the means of our planet. And it's going to take all our human ingenuity this century to figure
out how to do that for 10 billion, perhaps more people. All our ingenuity about different ways of
governing ourselves, the kinds of technologies we use, the different ways of provisioning,
whether through the market, the household, the state or the commons, to figure out how to do
that wisely and well. That's what makes it so exciting to be an economist now.
As you were saying that, I was just thinking of, you know, limitations on artists can sometimes
bring real creativity. And I was just seeing if you're really, your goal is just to grow in terms
of profit or GDP, it's quite easy, it's quite a just a never-ending game.
But if you really have to work within this safe and just area for humanity,
you have to get really creative.
I absolutely agree.
The idea of, so the donut is drawn between what's called two sets of boundaries.
There are social boundaries in terms of everybody's rights to water, health, education.
And there are planetary boundaries. And that's drawn from leading earth system scientists who
have said we believe there are nine critical earth system processes that we need to safeguard
and keep our pressure within if we don't want to kick earth out of kilter and those ideas of
boundaries some people have responded to me when i've shown them the donors little boundaries i
don't like boundaries you know i just want to break through boundaries. But you say, wow, but think of the most creative minds in history.
Jimi Hendrix didn't ask for a 21-string guitar.
He was extraordinarily creative within the frets and strings that he had.
Mozart didn't ask for a bigger keyboard.
He got creative within that space.
Jackson Pollock didn't ask for ever bigger canvases.
He got more creative on that canvas.
So sometimes boundaries are absolutely what drive our creativity. And I think designers,
when I posed the donut question to designers, they rubbed their hands with excitement. City
developers, oh, wow, this is exciting. How can we provide a city district that meets the needs of
all of its citizens and inhabitants within the means
of the planet in fact there are some city designers in stockholm who've who contacted me
so we're using your donut to design what we call the most livable city districts in the world we
want it to be a donut district precisely because we are excited by this design challenge so you
you mentioned that part of the first part of the book is really changing the goal
of the system to this thriving space for humanity within these boundaries. So there are a few other
initiatives about changing goals of the system, including gross national happiness, for example.
So how does it, do you see it as like uh this is part of a of a pluralistic movement to
change the goal and they're all kind of very similar or you know how do you how do you connect
with those other movements i feel like we're cousins i feel like it is a pluralistic movement
because we are only just beginning to try and describe to ourselves a new what we're here for
what progress would look like this century.
And so as ever, when you're trying to describe something new, it's great to just try and
describe it from many different directions. I've tried to do it through a picture. Others tried to
do it through a unified index. So a single index that adds things together like genuine progress
indicator or the gross national happiness. Others try to do it through a multidimensional dashboard.
It's many ways of describing an elephant.
And we need them all.
And some people are touched by image.
Some people are touched by numbers.
Some people are touched by a dashboard.
Some people are touched by words and finding the right phrase.
So I like them all.
I embrace them all.
And different people will see themselves in different ones of these.
I think different ones meet different needs.
And I think, for example, something like the Genuine Progress Indicator, which is trying to show it in one number,
it's trying to replace the single number power of GDP.
I want to say, and I see that as a very powerful project, and I worked for four years at the Human Development Report in New York, where we created a single index, the Human Development Index, precisely trying to displace GDP as the way of ranking countries' progress.
without trying to always add them up because the planetary boundaries framework
that comes from Earth system scientists
like Johan Rockström and Will Steffen,
their idea is that these are critical,
nine critical systems,
each of which must be respected.
So each one has an inherent boundary within it.
So we can't necessarily add them up and say,
well, you might be over on one,
but you're under another.
It doesn't matter if you've, you know, let's say sub-saharan africa if the soil is
completely degraded it doesn't matter so long as there are enough students with phds you can't
balance off poor soil with more education each one of these has a minimum threshold that needs
to be preserved so there are some aspects of characteristics that mean it's very, very hard
to add it all up. So let's look at it from different lenses. But I embrace all of these.
I absolutely think we need the richness. We're on a journey of discovery. And so we need to tell it
to ourselves in many, many different ways. So one of the things that I was thinking about as you
were describing maybe why economics has been reduced
to these diagrams and equations is because it's so simple and it's so easy to understand. And I
remember doing equations where I tried to find the new point of equilibrium if like, say, the price
went up or something like that. And it was so nice to just get a number and then get it right.
So part of one of your messages, one of the seven messages of the book, is that we need to think in systems and that we need to think in complexity. And that can be
challenging to do because it's different than this. And I was thinking, as you said,
population will rise. I mean, so there's different dynamics that will change.
And so how do you recommend beginning to think in systems to beginning to think of this
as a complex system and not just a equation yeah so i think this shifting our mentality from
understanding the economy through the lens of mechanical equilibrium which is what we got from
jevons and and valras and those who wanted to be like Newton, from mechanical equilibrium to the dynamic complexity of systems, it is absolutely, complexity can be overwhelming. I would say actually some of
the reasons why Trump's message in the US is very appealing to people is because it sounds like it's
coming away from complexity and I'm coming with clear, simple solutions to things. I think he
speaks in a very anti-complexity way, which is a relief
if you're quite overwhelmed by the complexity of the world. But it's, I believe, not the right
solution. We need to embrace that complexity because we can be smart designers within it.
So one of the things I think is most important to realise is that when we were understanding
economics through the lens of mechanical physics, the economists were searching
for laws of motion. And there are three laws of motion that I think they thought they stumbled
upon, which have so dangerously shaped economic stories over the last century and 50 years. And
the first one we've talked about, it's the idea that markets are self-equilibrating. So don't
interfere. Laissez faire.
Get out of the way, the market will sort itself out.
And this is a fundamental neoliberal story based on the idea that it will,
that this is a fundamental law of motion,
that the prices will pull the market into equilibrium and the equilibrium will be good.
But there are two others that have been incredibly powerful.
And one was created in 1955 by Simon Kuznets, drew something called the Kuznets curve. And it's a story of inequality.
And if just for anyone listening, imagine in your head, a child drawing a picture of a hill.
It starts with a slope going up, and then it peaks and then it slope comes down the other side,
like an upside down you. And this very simple little picture was drawn in the 50s saying, we think that inequality works like this. As an
economy grows, first, it gets more unequal. We're not quite sure why. But this seems to be happening,
but then it gets more equal again. So the story was, don't worry. If inequality is rising,
don't worry,
because more growth will sort it out.
It has to get worse before it can get better,
and growth will make it better.
And it was the same story on the environment.
And just really quick,
do you think that's partially because of trickle-down theory,
that it goes up, but then more people will get jobs and work?
Is that inherent in that curve?
So trickle-down is absolutely part of the explanation for why we think this curve happening it's kuznets thought it was because people were moving from the rural
areas to the urban areas he wasn't actually convinced by it but he said i think i'm seeing
this pattern in the data he didn't have enough data what's happened was he didn't have enough
data at the time and he wrote very carefully full of caveats i don't think I have enough data. This is 95% guesswork. It would be terrible if this became
a sort of dogma, but this is what I seem to be seeing. It became a terrible dogma. It became
the story. Don't worry about inequality because it has to get worse before it will get better.
The Kuznets curve tells us this is an economic law of motion. That justifies trickle-down theory.
Thomas Piketty's book in 2014
was probably the moment at which that story ended. He said it is not happening. In fact,
countries that think they've gone over the hump, it's getting worse again. In the OECD countries,
inequality is worse than it's been in 30 years. There is not a hill going up and then down. There
is no law of motion. It's all a matter of design.
It's how you design your economy,
how you design the role of money,
the distribution of wealth,
the deep power distributions underneath shape the design.
And it's the same story in the environment.
There's an environmental Kuznets curve.
It says, don't worry about pollution.
It has to get worse before it gets better.
That too is being disproven.
It doesn't get better.
It just gets sent somewhere else.
So we're getting
rid when we get rid of that equilibrium thinking we're getting rid of these old economic laws of
motion and then we move to complexity really quick you said there were three so you said sorry the
first one is the supply and demand yes the market will equilibrate itself the second one is kuznets
curve about inequality it has to get worse before it will get better the third one is Kuznets' curve about inequality. It has to get worse before it will get better. The third one is the environmental Kuznets' curve. Oh, on pollution, just like inequality,
that also has to get worse before it gets better. And so they've taken us through, let's have
neoliberal economies ruled by markets. If you think things are unequal, don't worry, that's
going to sort itself out. In fact, more growth will sort it out. And if you're worried about
the environment, you environmentalists, you know know pushed into a corner don't worry because
the law of motion shows that that has to get worse but then it'll get better that too growth
will sort it out so we've been told growth will solve these it hasn't happened it isn't like that
because there are not these fundamental laws of motion. The economy is complex. It's a
matter of how it's designed that throws up all these patterns with emergent properties
and feedbacks that are continually happening. Now, on the one hand, you can say,
once I start thinking in terms of complexity and systems, that is overwhelming. On the other hand,
you can say, that is so exciting because it means that if the economy is always evolving given the design
patterns that are put into it how we design money how we distribute wealth who owns land who owns
intellectual property this all reshapes the dynamics of the economy that means we're all designers
and that's empowering because where i put my money how i spend spend my money, how I create intellectual property,
do I put it in the commons or do I patent it? All these small decisions that I make are helping to
create a critical mass of an evolving system. So actually, we all have a hand in reshaping
this evolving system. And the more that we think about its underlying design properties,
the more exciting it can be to be part of that redesign process. So rather than feeling
overwhelmed by complexity and trying to run away from it, I think it's exciting to lean into it.
Think about what are the fundamental patterns. We need to create an economy that's regenerative,
that reuses its own resources, so that it's working within the processes of life.
We need to create an economy that's distributive resources rather than concentrating them in the
way that the capitalist economies that we have today have done so how can we be involved in
that redesign process as as you're speaking i'm thinking yeah it's definitely not just an image
because inherent in the image um i'm guessing the idea is to actually measure to find some way to
measure the inner circle so are people feeling that their needs are being met
and then also measuring the planetary boundaries so that then you can know where you are know where
you want to be and then get creative within the complexity of that space so i'm imagining kind of
like a step is to start measuring and to start looking is that absolutely so the donut diagram
i've drawn if we go back to think of it in the donut it's
divided up so the inner circle that in the inner hole is divided into 12 spaces and i've got
measurements for that so at the global scale we can say that you know 11 of people are undernourished
and don't have enough food to eat um so we can and for each one of those dimensions there is around
you know at least many millions of people who are falling into that space in the middle.
And then also we can measure on the planetary boundaries.
And the Earth system scientists who've measured that say that we are already over or for planetary boundaries.
So we're over on climate change. We're over on the amount of land that's been converted from its natural coverage.
We're way over on fertilizer use, nitrogen and phosphorus.
And we're way over on fertilizer use, nitrogen and phosphorus. And we're way over on biodiversity loss.
So the state of the world now, when we do put those measurements on,
is that many millions of people are still falling short on life's most basic essentials
of income, health care, access to energy, clean energy, political voice, equality within society.
And yet we've already gone over four planetary boundaries.
So once you put, as you say, put those metrics on,
you see this is the state of the world we're in.
We're outside of the donut on both sides.
We've fallen below it, fallen below on its shortfall,
and we've gone into overshoot beyond its outer boundaries.
And to me, when we see that image, the 21st century challenge is clear.
It's to come into the donut from both sides,
to eliminate the shortfall on life's essentials for everybody to make sure everybody has the resources they need
but to do that simultaneously with coming back within planetary boundaries if we think of previous
attempts to get people out of poverty it's been focused on ensuring everybody has the resources
they need but without that attention to the planetary boundaries. So for the first time, our journey forward is unprecedented in that sense.
Because we're eliminating poverty at the same time as coming back within planetary boundaries.
That's why it needs all the creativity we can throw at it.
So you're speaking a lot at the international level and even maybe the national level.
Is there a way to measure this within yourself?
Because I'm just imagining taking an ecological footprint quiz for myself was really
helpful to see where my own consumption was and how many earths it would take if everyone lived
the way that i live so is there is there a way to to do that for one's own i can imagine that
one could take the donut framework and say i'm going to you draw on the metrics that
exist you could use carbon footprinting nitrogen footprinting land footprinting water footprinted
to start measuring an individual person's impact on planetary boundaries and you could likewise
ask yourself i mean when i what the way i imagine it is imagine putting the donut diagram on a table
and sitting at that table with your own life and asking yourself how does the way that I shop
eat travel bank volunteer demonstrate how does the way I do all of these things affect humanity's
ability to ensure that everybody lives above the social foundation but that we come back within the planetary ceiling am i buying tea that is fair trade and i know that people are being paid a living wage and that it is
respecting the ecological systems in which that tea is grown or am i just buying the cheapest
cheapest tea that i can get from you know the shop so how how are my purchasing choices affecting
that and we could think of it very much on a personal scale.
You can also take it up to the scale of a town.
In fact, there's one town in South Africa called Kokstad.
It's the fastest growing town in KwaZulu-Natal.
The municipality there, together with youth and a consultancy service, took the donut.
And they said, we're going to use this to revision the future of our town and the
young people there said well into the social foundation along with health and education and
water we want to add fun because we want this to be fun which i thought was fantastic but they said
what how does our town need to develop in such a way that it meets the needs of all within the
means of the planet so you can take it from the personal level to the town and all the way up to the globe and also at the national level whether we create exact metrics for it it's a project that could be
done i think the most power though lies at the paradigmatic level at revisioning what progress
looks like um so we could go down that step and some some people love the metrics, but you don't need to have the numbers to feel the fundamental idea,
the revision of what it's about.
And so one of the seven invitations to think like a 21st century economist
at the end is to go from growth addicted to growth agnostic.
And you've talked a little bit about growth.
What do you mean by that?
How are we growth addicted? And
how could we be growth agnostic? So the drive to replace GDP has been going on for over a decade.
People, well, actually, for 30 years, let's say people coming up with alternative indicators to
GDP and some and some powerful ones and compelling ones. But I think we would be wrong to think that
just because we came up with a good indicator that better capture what human progress might look like, that somehow this really would just replace GDP as a metric. economies, particularly in high-income industrialized economies with very complex
financial systems, those economies have been altered throughout their process,
their political level, at the social and cultural level, to become dependent upon growth. So that
the financial system, the political political system and even the social system
expects depends and demands continual growth of gdp i'll give you examples of that so the
financial system demands it because you've got first the financial search for gain as polanyi
wrote in the 1940s that search for gain really transformed how economies were designed and
how that attempt to accumulate and the power of capital transforms an economy so that it's
structured now around this notion of continual growth. Positive interest rates put in place
the need for growth in order to repay those positive interest rates.
Politically, nations' economies are addicted to growth. And I would say one of the ways is because every government, think of the G20, they get together every year and there's a portrait
taken of all the G20 leaders. I think of that as the G20 family photo. No leader wants to be
ousted from the G20 family photo. But if they don't keep their economy growing, they may find themselves ousted by the next East Asian powerhouse that's coming through. So what matters is not absolute wealth of a nation, it's relative wealth in terms of your geopolitical level, every country needs to keep growing in order to keep up with its neighbours in terms of having geopolitical power and military power. How do we crack that nut?
That's a real lock-in to a growth mentality. Governments also want their economies to keep
growing because rather than raising taxes, they'd like tax revenue to grow because the economy has
grown, not because they had to put the percentage of tax up. So the desire to have low taxes means if tax revenue is going to grow your economy really needs to be growing so
you're getting more revenue back another lock-in to that growth mentality and then the last one
the social lock-in a hundred years of consumerism kicked off i'd say by edward bernays the nephew of
lucian freud fascinatingly he took his uncle's psychological psychotherapy theories
and applied them to shopping therapy and realized that he can influence people and persuade them
that by buying something new, you will transform your life and make it better.
We've been addicted to that psychological consumerism over 100 years. How do we overcome
that now and unhook from that deeply rooted desire now that
buying something more is what makes our lives better. So financially, politically and socially,
we've been hooked into growth, and hooked into dependence on GDP. And the way I like to think
of it is that today we have an economy that has to grow whether or not it makes us thrive.
that has to grow, whether or not it makes us thrive.
What we need is an economy that makes us thrive,
whether or not it grows.
And I say very clearly whether or not it grows,
because for some people,
they very clearly believe that GDP growth must stop and GDP growth must go down.
I think when we look at the transformations
that are required in our economies and our societies
in terms of shifting to renewable
energy, in terms of creating regenerative economics that uses a circular pattern of resource use,
in terms of redistributing resources between people. It's not obvious to me whether GDP
first needs to go up and then maybe it'll flatten and go down, or maybe it'll go down and then go up.
I can't predict that or foresee that.
And I find it strange when people feel such a conviction
that it will go up or it will go down.
GDP is just the number of goods and services,
the value of goods and services
exchanged in the market today.
It's only one segment of those different forms
of provisioning we care about.
So I think of it as a response variable.
It should be responding to the design needs of the
economy and that means it might go up and it might go down if we're going to be able to allow it to
respond it has we have to overcome that addiction to its growth because we're currently locked into
it growing so we don't have the space to redesign our economy around it being regenerative and
distributive we're still locked into growth
yeah so being part of being growth agnostic is again this complexity or systems way of looking
at it where you really can't just isolate one thing and and predict where it goes because it's
within a whole complex system of things that are happening yes and i would just say that i think our economy our societies have become
deeply um addicted to growth at a very psychological level the the cognitive scientist george lakoff
has done some fantastic work on the metaphors we live by and one of the most profound metaphors we
live by he says is the idea that progress is forwards and up think of a child learning to
crawl and then walk think of of the way we draw humanities,
you know, the depiction of humanity coming from the apes and up to homo sapiens. It's drawn as
a lolloping ape and then standing up homo erectus and walking, striding forward, forward and up.
So we're like in some sort of Peter Pan phase of economics. We think we're always going to be
growing, but nothing in nature grows forever forever and if you take anything that you
love and imagine what would happen to it if it grew forever it will either destroy itself or
destroy the system upon which it depends i think about cancer right and and people often say well
cancer grows forever but even cancer doesn't grow forever because it kills the host on which it depends.
So from a systems point of view, growth is a healthy phase that then reaches maturity.
Whether it's of a tree, of your children's feet, of the Amazon forest.
Why would that not also apply to human activity that's monetized?
Why would there not be a point at which it's reached a mature size within the life-giving
systems that sustain us it seems very strange to me that economists have a deeply set belief that
it that growth can just continue forever if you admit to yourself or begin to recognize that
perhaps the economy's growth might be most healthy if it's like all other kinds of growth in in the
universe which is it goes through growth phase and then it matures then we can ask ourselves a question where are we now on that
growth journey to which i also don't know the answer are some economies reaching the peak of
their growth phase i don't know but if they're growth addicted they won't be allowed to that's
why we need to be growth agnostic so that if we're reaching the peak of
growth at which it's the the growth phases needs to be allowed to stop and the economy can just
become as some would say steady state it's still large it's as large as it is today but it stops
expanding it can only do that if it's no longer addicted to growth and so looking at our
relationship to growth is important. And then you also mentioned
in your last answer around our relationship to power, because as you said, growth is connected
to power, both militarily and economically. And so it was a good point that we also need to look
at that. And what comes to mind, I learned recently the difference between two words about power in German,
Macht and Kraft.
And that Kraft is like power with or power through.
It's a much more kind of accompanying power or supporting power.
And then Macht is power over, is dominating, is oppressing.
And I was just thinking maybe part of the 21st century
economist and politician is re re wording or re-looking at our relationship to power and how
how can it be a power with our community or our nation or our people and and the more than human
world as opposed to power over other countries that's fascinating yes that
sounds very much um needed to to recognize what who is in my community what is the sphere of my
community and that the power of nation states and the power of that framing has made nation states
compete against each other and we have this challenge where now military power, geopolitical power, how can we come to have that blue marble moment where we all see our shared planetary home and say, actually, we have the power together to thrive here well?
Which is why I like to think of economics moving from that level of the nation state household management to the planetary scale household management and recognizing ourselves
all as inhabitants together within it upon which we all depend on our common thriving
and the more we recognize those systems the more the language of the commons comes in because we
realize we share these global commons of a stable atmosphere of healthy oceans of a protective ozone
layer we all depend on these same so we have the power together to protect, restore,
and thrive within those if we can be wise enough to do it. So Donella Meadows, the systems theorist,
talks about leverage points for change and for systems change. And she mentions that changing
the paradigm is one of the highest points. And you mentioned that, that if anything,
you really hope that this book really begins to change the paradigm and that you don't necessarily go into the specific ways
in which each, you know, that can be figured out later
by metrics or by individual communities.
And so I'm wondering about your own theory for change
as you release this book and kind of what you hope for it.
Your deepest hope for this book
as it as it's sent out you spent so many years now working on it and crafting it and now you're
releasing it what is it that you hope for this book first i i love that you just mentioned
donella meadows because she has so deeply inspired me and you know sometimes they're in life people
who think i so wish i'd met this woman before she passed away because I
I'm I would have loved to have had the chance to talk with her so thank you for bringing her into
the conversation um when I first drew the donut I was amazed by the response to it and it was
through that that I really understood her message about the power of changing paradigms because it's a picture that
calls us to think of a new paradigm so as I release this book I'm further expanding and
sharing that new way of thinking and I've tried to accompany not just the donut but with all these
new diagrams of economics but one of my deepest hopes for the book is first for those who come across it and
read it to always be questioning of the images that we see to know that to tell new stories we
need new pictures and to ask ourselves from any diagram that's shown to us what's it showing and
what's it not showing what's left out and that's at least as important as what's visible. Second, I hope that it'll inspire people to reclaim the word economics and to say,
I so want to be part of managing this 21st century household.
And third, to discover joy in economics.
I've come across so many students who study economics at university who say,'s all maths where's the politics where's
the dynamism where's the the real world issues it's just turgid maths and that's a devastating
fate for a discipline that claims to be the mother tongue of public policy so i hope that people who
read this book say actually actually, we can reclaim
the meaning of economics,
the space of economics.
And you know what?
I am an economist.
I'm a household manager.
If I set up an enterprise
and I set it up in a new way,
if I bank in a different way,
I am a household manager
in the way I lead my life
because in this extraordinary complex system
in which we all play a part,
we're all redesigning it through our actions so I hope it helped bring some a sort of theoretical framing
that many amazing innovators and doers in the new economic space see themselves say I see how I fit
into that and I feel really empowered by that because I know I'm contributing to something
that we so urgently need.
Well, thank you for your time. And thank you for the work that you do.
Thank you so much. It's a pleasure.
You've been listening to an Upstream Conversation with Kate Raworth, author of Donut Economics, Seven Ways to Think Like a 21st Century Economist.
For more information about Kate, and to order a copy of her book,
please visit kateraworth.com. That's K-A-T-E-R-A-W-O-R-T-H.com.
And for more from Upstream, you can visit us at upstreampodcast.org. The smoke is rising in the hallways
The fire's blooming from our boats that break
To the morning we run
To shoreline
Calling us to speak the sun
Waves under the earth and throes Casting ghostly shadows
Tall like diamonds
As we set fire to the sea Snowgates rising in the hallways
Flowers blooming from our boats that race
Into the morning