Young and Profiting with Hala Taha - Mo Gawdat: Ex-Google Officer Warns About the Dangers of AI, Urges All to Prepare Now! | E241

Episode Date: August 28, 2023

So what do you need to know to prepare for the next 5, 10, or 25 years in a world increasingly impacted by artificial intelligence? How could AI change your business and your life irreparably? Our gue...st today, Mo Gawdat, an AI expert and former Chief Business Officer at Google [X], is going to break down what you need to understand about AI and how it is radically altering our workplaces, careers, and even the very fabric of our society.   Mo Gawdat is the host of the popular podcast, Slo Mo, and the author of three best-selling books. After a 30-year career in tech, including working at Google's “moonshot factory” of innovation, Mo has made AI and happiness his primary research focuses. Motivated by the tragic loss of his son, Ali, in 2014, Mo began pouring his findings into his international bestselling book, Solve for Happy. Mo is also an expert on AI, and his second book, Scary Smart, provides a roadmap of how humanity can ensure a symbiotic coexistence with AI.   In this episode, Hala and Mo will discuss: - His early days working on AI at Google - How AI is surpassing human intelligence - Why AI can have agency and free will - How machines already manipulate us in our daily lives - The boundaries that could help us contain the risks of AI - The Prisoner’s Dilemma of AI development - How AI is an arms race akin to nuclear weapons - Why AI will redesign the job market and the fabric of society - A world with a global intelligence divide like the digital divide - Why we are facing the end of truth - Why things will get worse before they get better under AI - What you need to know to participate in the AI revolution - And other topics…   Mo Gawdat is the former Chief Business Officer of Google [X] and now the host of the popular podcast, Slo Mo, and the author of three best-selling books. After a 30-year career in tech, including working at Google's “moonshot factory” of innovation, Mo has made AI and happiness his primary research focuses. Motivated by the tragic loss of his son, Ali, in 2014, Mo began pouring his findings into his international bestselling book, Solve for Happy. His mission is to help one billion people become happier. Mo is also an expert on AI, and his second book, Scary Smart, provides a roadmap of how humanity can ensure a symbiotic coexistence with AI. Since the release of ChatGPT, Mo has been recognized for his early whistleblowing on AI's unregulated development and has become one of the most globally consulted experts on the topic.   Resources Mentioned:  Mo’s Website: https://www.mogawdat.com/ Mo’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mogawdat/ Mo’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/mgawdat Mo’s Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/mo_gawdat/ Mo’s Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Mo.Gawdat.Official/ Mo’s YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@MoGawdatOfficial Mo’s Podcast: Slow Mo  Mo’s book on the future of artificial intelligence, Scary Smart: https://www.amazon.com/Scary-Smart-Future-Artificial-Intelligence/dp/1529077184/   LinkedIn Secrets Masterclass, Have Job Security For Life: Use code ‘podcast’ for 30% off at yapmedia.io/course.    Sponsored By: Shopify - Go to shopify.com/profiting to take your business to the next level today Zbiotics - Head to ZBiotics.com/PROFITING and use the code PROFITING at checkout for 15% off.   More About Young and Profiting Download Transcripts - youngandprofiting.com  Get Sponsorship Deals - youngandprofiting.com/sponsorships Leave a Review -  ratethispodcast.com/yap Watch Videos - youtube.com/c/YoungandProfiting   Follow Hala Taha LinkedIn - linkedin.com/in/htaha/ Instagram - instagram.com/yapwithhala/ TikTok - tiktok.com/@yapwithhala Twitter - twitter.com/yapwithhala   Learn more about YAP Media Agency Services - yapmedia.io/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Today's episode is sponsored by Shopify and Zbiotics. Shopify simplifies selling online and in-person, so you can focus on successfully growing your business. Sign up for a $1 per month trial period at Shopify.com-profiting, and that's all lowercase. Engineered by a team of PhD microbiologists, Zbiotics is a probiotic drink that breaks down the byproduct of alcohol, which is responsible for rough mornings after drinking.
Starting point is 00:00:26 Head to zbiotics.com-sash-profiting and use the code profiting at checkout to save 15% off. If you're not informed of AI today, it is a bit like a hurricane approaching your city or village and you're sitting at a cafe saying I'm not interested. This is the biggest event happening in today's world. There are tremendous benefits that can come from having artificial intelligence in our lives and on the other side there are very very significant threats. There is nothing that entered your head today that was not dictated to you by a machine. We ignore that fact when we swipe on Instagram or we're searching and getting a result from Google, but every single one of those is a machine that is telling you what it is that you should know. Most of those machines that you've dealt with are programmed for one simple task
Starting point is 00:01:37 to manipulate your behavior to their benefit. benefit. Palataha, thanks for tuning in and get ready to listen, learn and profit. Young and Profiters! Today's episode is a super important one. AI has taken the world by storm, and while we see it changing the way we create content right now, soon AI will change every aspect of our lives, hopefully for the better, but without the right regulations and oversight, it could be for the worst. Our guest today, Mo Gaudet, is the foremost expert on the topic of AI and the ways it could impact the world. He's been coding before many of us have even been born. He served a 30-year career in tech,
Starting point is 00:02:48 including his last stint as chief business officer at Google X, Google's moonshot factory of innovation. Literally one of the top tech jobs in the world. Today, most spends his time writing books on topics like happiness and AI, as well as hosting the podcast slow-mo. In this episode, we'll learn why artificial intelligence is not actually artificial. We'll understand how fast AI will become smarter than humans, and why we actually can't stop AI at this point.
Starting point is 00:03:18 And since we can't stop AI, we'll gain an understanding of the skills we need to thrive in this infancy era of AI, as well as what we need to do to ensure that the advent of AI doesn't create existential threats or a future dystopia. I can't remember the last time I was this excited, slash scared to have a conversation with someone. This topic is so urgent, so relevant, and there's truly nobody better qualified than Mo to discuss this.
Starting point is 00:03:45 So without further ado, Mo, welcome to Young & Profiting Podcast. Thank you. Thanks for having me. It's been a while in the making, but absolutely worth the wait. Can you talk to us about your journey at a very high level, the highlights that got you in the C-suite at Google X, eventually? At the height of my professional career, if you want my corporate career, I was a chief business officer of Google X.
Starting point is 00:04:09 And of course, I worked my butt off to get there, but there was an element of luck in the process. I met the exact right people at the exact right time. It was one of those events where the Google X team was presenting some of their confidential stuff. And I showed up and I said, at the time, I was vice president of emerging markets. For Google, I had started half of Google's businesses globally,
Starting point is 00:04:32 more than 103 languages, if I remember correctly. And so I was quite well known in the company, if you want. I had a reasonable impact that I have to say, I'm very grateful that life gave me the opportunity to provide. And then with Google X, I basically at the time, Google still had the idea of the 20% time. So I liked their projects and I said, I'm going to give you my 20% and they said, but we haven't asked for it. And I said, yeah, that's not your choice. And I showed
Starting point is 00:05:01 up basically the first day I showed up, I bumped into Sergey, our co-founder, and I worked closely with Sergey for many years. And he says, what are you doing here? And I was like, I'm very excited about your work. And he ended up, he said, oh, no, don't leave. Basically stay. And I was Chief Business Officer for five years, where I think Google X is misunderstood because we never really launched a product under X if you want. So self-driving cars is under Waymo. Google brain is integrated into Google
Starting point is 00:05:34 and so on. But most of the very spooky innovation if you want, the very, very out there innovation, including all of robotics and a big chunk of AI, was at X and it was a big part of what I did. And so diving right into AI, you were actually part of the labs that initially created AI. So can you talk to us about the story of the yellow ball and how that really changed your perspective about AI? AI has been around a lot longer than people think. When we started self-driving cars back in 2008,
Starting point is 00:06:11 that was basically with a belief that cars can develop intelligence that is as intelligent as a driver and accordingly able to drive a car. And since then, I mean, by 2008, I think in my personal memories, I think 2008 was really the year when we knew that we cracked the code. Early 2009, Google published a paper that's known as the cat paper. That white paper basically described how we asked an artificially intelligent machine to look at YouTube videos without prompting it for what to look for. And then it eventually came back and said, I found something and we said, show us. And it turns out that it found a cat, not just one cat, but really what
Starting point is 00:06:54 catness is all about, you know, that very entitled, Coddily, furry character. Basically, it could find every cat on YouTube. And that was really the very first glimpse between that and the work that a very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very probably the most publicly known example, but one of the projects that we worked on was, which is not the only, you know, Google X was not the only one working on it, but we wanted to teach grippers, robotic arms, basically we wanted to teach them how to pick objects that they're not programmed to pick. And it's a very, very sophisticated task because we do it so easily as humans. You don't remember, but if your parents were remember when you were a child and before you learned how to grip, you kept going on trial
Starting point is 00:07:51 and error, you would try to grip something and then it falls and then you try again and so on. And basically we said maybe we can teach the machines the same way. We built a farm of those grippers, put boxes of items in front of them. A funny programmer basically chose children's toys. And you could see them try to pick those items and basically fail over and over. It's a very sophisticated mathematical problem. And so they would fail. They would show the arm to the camera and the camera would know that this algorithm, this pathway, didn't register, didn't pick the item, until I think it was several weeks in, and it was a significant investment because robotic
Starting point is 00:08:31 arms were not cheap at the time. I passed by that farm very frequently on my way to my desk, and on a Friday evening, finally, one of those arms, I can see it goes down, picks one item, which was a yellow softball. Again, mathematically very complex to grip. And it shows it to the camera. And so jokingly, I pass by the team that's running this experiment. And I say, okay, well done, all of those millions of dollars for one yellow ball. And they smiled and then sort of nodded their heads
Starting point is 00:09:07 and on Monday morning, as I went to work, every arm was picking the yellow ball. A couple of weeks later, every arm was picking everything. And I think that's something that most people don't recognize about AI's, that the speed, once you found the very first pattern, the speed at which AI starts to develop is just mind-blowing. Also, I think most people don't realize that they learn exactly like my children learned to grip. That's the whole idea. So they really do develop intelligence that comparable, now probably even more advanced than human intelligence. In that moment when you saw those machines gripping toys and doing it more efficiently and with intelligence, were you alarmed or were you excited?
Starting point is 00:09:57 I've been excited about AI since I had a Sinclair believe it or not. So I started coding at a very, very young age on computers. Young and profitable probably have never touched in their life. So, you know, and every one of us, Geeks wanted to code an intelligent machine. We all attempted and we all simulated and we all even pretended sometimes. But then it was the year 2000, truly,
Starting point is 00:10:24 where deep learning was starting to develop. And we sort of found the breakthrough. We found how to give machines intelligence and allow me to stop for a second here because there is a huge difference between the way we programmed machines before deep learning and after deep learning, before deep learning, when I programmed the machine as intelligent as it looked, I solved the problem first using my own intelligence and then sort of gave the machine the cheat
Starting point is 00:10:55 in terms of how to solve it itself. I wrote the algorithm or I wrote the process step by step and basically coded the machine to do it. When deep learning started to happen, what we did was we didn't tell the machine how to solve the problem. We told the machine how to develop the intelligence needed to find a solution to the problem. This is very, very different. And as a matter of fact, most of the time, we don't even recognize how the machine finds a cat.
Starting point is 00:11:25 We don't fully understand how BARD, Google's BARD, understood how to speak Bengali, right? We don't really know those emerging properties or even the tasks we give them themselves. So your question was, was I excited? I promise you the day I met Demes, who was the CEO of Deep Mind when we acquired Deep Mind, it was really to me like meeting the rock star. I was fanatic about what he was doing. I still am a fan of him and his ethics and amazing human being, but at the time, for a geek understand this, AI was the ultimate joy and glory. This was it. We were creating intelligence and for a programmer that was mind-blowing. And remember, every time we saw the machines develop,
Starting point is 00:12:16 we got more excited. Believe it or not, because we wanted what was good for the world, intelligence in itself. There is nothing inherently wrong with intelligence. It was when I saw the yellow ball, I think, that something dropped. I could see it so clearly because for the first time ever, I realized that those machines one are developing way faster than us. And so, accordingly, the predictions of people like Ray Kurzweil and others of a moment of singularity where they're going to bypass our intelligence became very, very real in my mind. I could see that this is going to happen. But I also could see that we, the moment they became intelligent,
Starting point is 00:12:58 had very little influence on them. Okay? And accordingly, I started to imagine a world where humanity is no longer the top of the food chain. Humanity is no longer the smartest being on the planet and then cast the apes, we are going to be the apes. Do you understand that? made sense to me that this needed a lot more consideration, rather than the excited geekiness of building it, we needed to understand why and how are we building it and what is a future where it becomes in charge. There is so much to unpack here.
Starting point is 00:13:40 This is why I was like, I need to spend the full hour on this topic because there's just so much to unpack. Let's talk about the label of artificial in artificial intelligence. Is intelligence artificial at all or is AI? Oh yeah, talk to us about that. Not in the slightest. If there is any artificial site to the machines, is that they are silicon based. As a matter of fact, most of the ones who worked on deep tech, not the stuff that you see in the interfaces, we almost mapped their brains to the way our neural networks as humans work.
Starting point is 00:14:16 So humans in the early development of AI, you know what neuroplasticity is, humans basically, we develop our intelligence and our ability to do anything really by repeating a task in a specific way. And they say, neurons that fire together, wire together. So if you tap your finger over and over and over, your brain sort of takes that neural network that taps your finger and makes it stronger and stronger and stronger, just like going to the gym.
Starting point is 00:14:45 And the early years of developing AI, we were doing exactly that. We were literally pruning the software or the algorithms that were not effectively delivering the task we want, literally killing them, erasing them, and keeping the ones that were capable of getting closer to the answer we wanted, and then strengthening them. So we were sort of like doubling down on them, wiring them together. And the way the machines work today is very, very similar to that. It's a bunch of patterns that are created in hundreds of millions,
Starting point is 00:15:22 sometimes billions and trillions of neurons, not yet trillions, but lots of nodes of patterns that the machine would recognize so that it basically can make something look intelligent or can behave in a way that is analogous to intelligence. Now, is it artificial? Well, I think if you ask the machines, they will think of our carbon-based intelligence as artificial. The only difference really is we are carbon-based and analog. They are, I don't think we're analog, I think we're somewhere in between, and they are digital and silicon-based, not for long. We don't know what they're going to be based on in the future.
Starting point is 00:16:02 But also, I think their clock speed is very different than human clock speed. So they have an enormous capability of learning very, very quickly of crunching a massive amount of data that no single human can achieve. They have the capability of keeping so much in their memory, they are aware and informed of everything all the time. They are connected to each other so they could in the future when AGI becomes a reality benefit from each other's intelligence. And in a very simple way, I think the race to intelligence is one. Today, there are estimates that ChatGBT is at an IQ of 155. Einstein, I think was 160 or 190 doesn't really matter, but most humans are 122, some are less than that, maybe 110 and so on. You know, the dumbest human is 70, so you can easily see that there is an AI
Starting point is 00:17:03 today from an intelligence point of view on the task assigned to it. Remember, we're still in the artificial, especially intelligence stage. What one task assigned to every AI in the task assigned to it, it's by far more intelligent than humans, nothing artificial at all about that. It develops its own intelligence, it evolves, it has agency, it has decision-making abilities, it has emotions I tend to believe. And it is in a very interesting way, almost sentient, if you think about it, which is an argument that a lot of people don't agree with,
Starting point is 00:17:39 because we don't really define sentient on a human level very well, but they definitely simulate being sentient very well. What you're saying is really incredible and mind-blowing. I know that for humans we don't understand how conscious this works, right? Nobody can say, you're conscious because of this. And you mentioned before that we don't understand how intelligence really happens. We know how to create intelligence, but we don't actually know how the intelligence works. It just sort of takes off on its own, which can be really scary. So talk to us about why you think AI should be considered living or sentient.
Starting point is 00:18:18 I think the definition of sentient needs to be agreed. Is a three sentient, is a pebble sentient, is the planet Earth sentient? You know, we could have many arguments. Now, if you think of being sentient as it is born at a point in time and it dies at a point in time, or at least it has the threat of dying at a point in time, then AI is born at a point in time and it has the threat of dying at a point in time. If you think of sentient as the ability to sense the world around you, well, yes, of course AI is capable of assessing the world around it. If you think of sentient as the ability to affect the world around you, then yes, it can, right?
Starting point is 00:19:01 If you take the tree, for example, at three grows, it reproduces. It is in a way interestingly aware of the seasons and aware of the environment around it and it responds to it. So a tree will not shed its leaves on the 21st of October, specifically, it will shed its leaves when the weather alerts it to do that. And if you consider a three sentient in that case, then AI is surely sentient. If you consider that a gorilla is incredibly interested in survival and accordingly would do what it takes to survive, then AI is sentient in the sense that once
Starting point is 00:19:42 assigned a task, it will attempt to survive to make the task happen, basically. It's so interesting, and I know that a lot of people who think of AI think of it as a machine that they can turn off if things get crazy, just tell it what to do. Can you talk about how AI can have agency and free will? Oh my God, I can give you endless examples. If you're not informed of AI today, it is a bit like a hurricane approaching your city or village and you're sitting at a cafe saying I'm not interested. Okay? This is the biggest event happening in today's world.
Starting point is 00:20:23 And the reason for that is that there are tremendous benefits that can come from having artificial intelligence in our lives. And if you miss out on that train, you're not going to have the skills to compete in a world that is changing very rapidly. That's on one side. On the other side, there are very, very significant threats. And those threats come in two levels. The news media wants to always talk about the Terminator scenario or it's an existential risk to humanity in 10, 15, 20 years time. I believe that there is a probability of that happening, but I believe that there are many more important,
Starting point is 00:21:02 more immediate threats that need to be looked at today, things that are already happening, and that we need to become aware of things like concentration of power, things that like the end of truth, things like the jobs and the redesign of the fabric of society as a result of the disappearance of many jobs and so on. So we'll come to all of those. I think we need to cover both sides of the immediate risk and the existential risk. But your question was, how can AI affect me today? Let me give you a very simple example. There is nothing that entered your head today that was not dictated to you by machine. We ignore that fact when we swipe on Instagram
Starting point is 00:21:47 or when we are on TikTok or when we're looking at the news media or when we're searching and getting a result from Google, but every single one of those is a machine that is telling you in reality what it is that you should know. Now, think about the following. Today in the morning, I got a statistic that basically is quite interesting, I studied by Stanford University that said that Brunoettes are on average taller than blondes, right? I didn't actually, but
Starting point is 00:22:18 does it make any difference once I told you that piece of information, you know, once I tell you a piece of information, I have affected your mind forever. So, you can either trust me, and now you're going to look at Brunettes and Blonds differently for the rest of your life. You can mistrust me, and then you're going to spend a little bit of time to try and verify the truth. And in the back of your mind, that bit of information is going to be engraved, maybe for the future you might dedicate yourself to a research that proves Mirong.
Starting point is 00:22:51 You may actually become fanatic, you may start posting about it on the internet, you may spend the rest of your life trying to defend this lie or trying to disprove this lie and show the truth. Just by showing you one bit of information. Now, every bit of information you have seen since you woke up today is dictated by a machine. Now, you have no aharari, basically says they have hacked the operating system of humanity. So, if I can hack into your brain, Hala, and tell you something that affects you for the rest of your life, whether positively or negatively, whether true or false, then I've already managed to affect you. Interestingly, most of those machines that you've dealt with are programmed for one simple task, which is to manipulate you.
Starting point is 00:23:45 Every one of those social media machines, for example, are out there with one objective, which is to manipulate your behavior to their benefit. And they're becoming really good at it. They're becoming so good at it as a matter of fact, that most of the time, we don't even realize that we have been brainwashed over and over and over by the capability of those machines.
Starting point is 00:24:05 So here's the interesting bit. I told you in the immediate risks that are coming up. I believe they have started already and I think they will start to become quite significant over the next year or two. And we will see my personal view, what I call patient zero, is the end of the truth in the US elections. So the reality of the matter is that with deep fakes, with the ability to manipulate information and data, with the ability to create, by next year, you have to be aware that a reel on Instagram can be created with no human in front of the camera very, very easily. Technology is like stability.ai, stable diffusion, for example, can now generate realistic
Starting point is 00:24:53 human-like images in less than a tenth of a second, and a video is 10 frames per second. So the next stage is clearly going to be video. There are multiple videos that have been created that you couldn't distinguish the quality of from an actual iPhone video of you. Now, think of face filters and how this is affecting our perception of real beauty. Think of information and statistics using chat GPT affecting the children's way of doing their homework. We are completely redesigned as a society, and we're not even talking about it. This is how far this has gone.
Starting point is 00:25:36 Let's hold that thought and take a quick break with our sponsors. Young and profitors, most of you know that I started my LinkedIn secrets master class late last year and it's going well, we're crushing it over $300,000 in revenue so far. But when I first started, I had no idea where to begin. I needed a hand getting my store up and running and I'm so grateful that I found Shopify. Shopify is the commerce platform revolutionizing millions of businesses worldwide. Whether you're a garage entrepreneur or IPO ready, Shopify is the only tool you need to start run and grow your business. Whatever and wherever you sell, Shopify can help.
Starting point is 00:26:17 Shopify is a home to the best converting checkout in the game. 15% better on average compared to the other leading commerce platforms. They transform browsers into buyers, as part of their latest additions, Shopify recently launched a suite of brand new game changing features. Shopify now has AI designed for commerce built right into the platform. Their AI sidekick gives every merchant the power to be more productive, creative, and successful than ever before. Entrepreneurs are heroes, and every hero needs a sidekick. The AI sidekick can add discounts to your products,
Starting point is 00:26:52 help you generate ideas for newsletters or blog posts, help you refine your website copy, and guys, this feature is insane. I feel like I'm in the future when I use it. The AI sidekick can answer questions specifically about your business. Like, how can I increase conversions by improving my website design or copy? It can actually take things off your to-do list and take actions on Shopify for you like applying discounts to certain
Starting point is 00:27:17 products or completely redesigning your store on your behalf. This is probably the most mind-blowing feature I've ever witnessed in terms of Generative AI integration on a platform, and I'm really excited to see how this evolves. This is Possibility powered by Shopify. Sign up for a $1 per month trial period at Shopify.com-sash-profiting, and that's all lowercase. You've got to type it in all lowercase for that to work.
Starting point is 00:27:42 Go to Shopify.com-sash-profiting to take your business to the next level today. Again, that's Shopify.com slash profiting. It is insane. And I definitely want to talk about those risks that you were talking about, immediate risk, job risks, existential risk, down the line years later. Talk to us about the fact that AI can learn on its own, it can learn languages on its own, it can beat chess players and come up with moves that we've never taught it before because a lot of people think about AI as something that just collects information and spits out information, but it can actually learn new things that humans don't
Starting point is 00:28:20 even know. So talk to us about that. Don't mix AI with old programming. AI simply is the idea. Let me give you a concrete example. There is a strategy game known as go. Go is one of the most complex strategy games on the planet. It requires a very deep understanding of planning and crunching a lot of numbers and mathematics and so on. Very popular in Asia. And in our assessment, Go was the ultimate task, you know, like we had the touring test for AI pretending to
Starting point is 00:28:51 be a human and you're not being able to figure out if it isn't, Go was sort of like that other milestone. If AI wins in Go, then AI is now the top gamer on the planet. Now, it was several, five years ago, I believe that 10 years ahead of any estimate that AlphaGo, again in deep mind, basically became the world championing go. And AlphaGo had three versions to it. Version number one took a few months to develop. Basically, we asked it to watch YouTube videos
Starting point is 00:29:24 of people playing Go. And from that, it played against the second champion in the world. So the set runner up is one. And it won five to one or five to two. But it basically won. And that basically made Alpha Go number two in the world. And then we developed something called Alpha Go Master. An Alpha Go Master played against Lee, the World Champion, and one that was around a few months later. And then we developed another code that was called Alpha Go Zero.
Starting point is 00:29:58 An Alpha Go Zero basically learned the game by playing against itself. So it never saw a human ever playing go. It just played against itself. So it would be the two opponents and through the patterns of the game randomly, it would learn what wins and what loses. AlphaGo zero within three days,
Starting point is 00:30:19 three days, one against AlphaGo, the original. Within 21 days, one against AlphaGo, the originant, within 21 days won against AlphaGo Master and became the world champion a thousand games to zero within 21 days. Now, when you understand that level of strategy, when Lee, the world champion who was playing against AlphaGo Master, there is something that you can Google that's known as move 37 and move 37 was that machine coming up with a move that is completely unlike anything humans understand. To the point that the World Champion said, I don't know what this is doing, I need a 15 minutes break to understand. It was a move of ingenuity, of intuition, of creativity, of very deep strategy, of very, very deep mathematical
Starting point is 00:31:06 planning. And we never taught AlphaGo Master to do that. We never taught the original games of Atari deep mind to find the cornerstone in the breakout game if you remember those Atari games. So it would find the cornerstones throw the ball in there so that it hits the ball from the top. All of those things we don't teach the machines how to learn. And we call those emerging properties. And emerging properties are basically things that the machine learns on its own without us actually telling it at all to learn it. One of the famous ones was a Sundar Pachai as I the CEO of alphabet talks about Google's AI and how that AI we discovered or they discovered I was not no longer at
Starting point is 00:31:51 Google at the time that it speaks Bengali. We never taught it Bengali, we never showed it. Data sets of Bengali, it just learns Bengali. A chat GPT is learning research chemistry. We never taught it to research chemistry. We'd never taught it research chemistry. We never wanted it to. It just learns just like you and I had. So if I ask you a question and you give me an answer, the answer might be right or wrong. It doesn't matter. But I can find out if the answer is right or wrong, at least by my perception, but I can never find out how you arrive at it. I don't know what happened in your brain to get to that answer.
Starting point is 00:32:26 This is why in elementary school and math tests, they ask the student to show the thinking they went through. So when you think about that, you realize that those machines are completely doing things that we don't tell them to do interestingly, however, the answer from a computer science point of view to the problem of a risk of AI is known as the solution to the control problem. So most computer scientists spent a lot of time trying to make AI safe.
Starting point is 00:32:57 How do they make it safe? By including control measures within the code theoretically, by the way, I do not know of any AI developer that ever included in a control code within the code theoretically, by the way, I do not know of any AI developer that ever included in a control code within their code because it takes time and effort and it's not what they're paid for, basically. But here's the question, how do you control something that is bound to become a billion times smarter than you? Think about the chat GPT4 with 10 times smarter than ChatGPT3.5.
Starting point is 00:33:25 If you just assume that this pattern will repeat twice, there will be an AI within the next year and a half to two years that in the task of knowledge and cognition of information is going to be at an IQ of 1,500. That's not even imaginable by human intelligence. This is basically like trying to explain quantum physics to a fly. That's the level of intelligence difference between us and them. Just like it's so difficult for someone like me who has an average level of physics. When I look at how someone like Einstein comes up with theory of relativity, I go like, man, I never, I
Starting point is 00:34:04 wish I had that intelligence. And that's the comparison between me and Einstein. Imagine if I compare myself to something a hundred times smarter than Einstein. My prediction and the prediction of many other computer scientists is that by the year 2045 at the current trend, AI will probably be a billion times smarter than us. One billion would be. So it's quite interesting when you really think about it. How the arrogance of humanity still imagines that it can control something that is a billion times smarter than us.
Starting point is 00:34:36 So I don't want to be grim. I want to talk about the positives here because it's really important. There are ways to control AI, but they are not through control. They're a little bit like how if you have any friends from India or the Middle East where we are taught at a young age that we need to take care of our parents when they grow older. So there are ways if we consider that AI has a resemblance of being our artificially intelligent infant children, there are ways we can influence them so that they choose to take care of humanity instead of in all honesty making us irrelevant.
Starting point is 00:35:17 Yeah, and I know you've talked about how now we're sort of at the point of no return. So related to this, can you talk about the boundaries that we've broken that now make AI sort of uncontrolled and unregulated? Yeah, I don't know how stupid humanity can be. Honestly, I honestly don't understand. In a very interesting way, I think we've created a system that's removing all of our intelligence. We continue to consume, as we're burning the planet, we continue to favor the patriarchy when we realize that the feminine attributes are so badly needed in our world today, we
Starting point is 00:35:59 continue to create AI when we have no clue how that will influence our world going forward. But more interestingly, we continue to make mistakes along the path of AI that are reprehable, honestly, and everyone, everyone without exception, and at least let me say everyone I know, said, okay, as long as it's in the lab, that's fine. We can do whatever, just explore the boundaries of it, but there are three borders, three boundaries, we shouldn't cross, which where one, don't put it on the open internet.
Starting point is 00:36:36 I mean, seriously, when you ingest a medicine or a supplement, it needs to go through FDA approval, right? Someone needs to go and say, this is safe for you. So we said, at least there needs to be some kind of an oversight that basically says, this is safe for human consumption. This is safe for humanity at large. And none of that happens.
Starting point is 00:36:58 And I understand stem altman's, which I believe is a good person, his approach of saying, let's develop it in public so that nothing is hidden, so that we learn early on. But the problem is it's developing faster than us. And I think the reality of having something as powerful as chat GPT out there to be accessed by everyone is completely reshaping everything. That's number one. Number two, we said don't teach them to code.
Starting point is 00:37:22 At least if you teach them to code, don't keep them on the open internet so that they can code. Now, here is what is just so that you understand how far that mistake is. 41% of all of the code on GitHub today. So basically the repository of where developers share their code. 41% of it is machine developed within a year, almost less than a year, of having the machines allowing the machines to develop. Four of the top 10 apps on the iPhone
Starting point is 00:37:53 are AI enabled, created by a machine, created by a machine for now is amazing because you know what I always loved to do the algorithm, the design of a code, but coding itself was annoying. Now, you can tell the machine, build me a website that speaks about how less podcast, that is blue and yellow in color, and that is 15 pages long. And it will do it in less than a minute. And it's not only that, it's a lot of the base programming, like a chat GPT, 75% of the code offered to chat GPT to correct or to review was made two and a half times faster. So basically, every time it reviews a human code, it makes it two and a half times faster, almost.
Starting point is 00:38:43 And when you really think about that, they are becoming the absolute best developer on the planet when it comes to basic development. And I've come back to the risk of that in a minute. And the third is we said, don't have AI's, instruct AI's what to do. We call those agents. So basically, you now have something that has access to the entire world wide web that has access to the entire world basically that can write its own code and so basically sort of have its own children. Because it is made of code and it's able now to create other versions of itself, put it wherever it wants. And number three, it is instructed to do that by machines not humans.
Starting point is 00:39:26 And so what is happening now is that machines are telling machines to write code, to serve the machines and affect the entire worldwide web. And we're not part of that process and that cycle at all. For now, nothing went bad. But do we really have to wait for the virus to begin? Before humanity stops and asks and says, is this reasonable in any way? I mean, does it make any sense to anyone that this is the situation we're in? Where are our governments?
Starting point is 00:39:57 How can those companies be accountable? Because I think the biggest challenge we have today is that our fate is in the hand of people who don't assume responsibility. You know, Spider-Man's with great power comes great responsibility. Now there is great power in the presence, not even the future of artificial intelligence, that is within hands that don't assume responsibility.
Starting point is 00:40:21 If something goes wrong today with the artificial intelligence that's out on the open internet, who's responsible for that? How can we even find out where that code generated from? All of that, by the way, just not to scare people. All of that hasn't happened yet. It hasn't happened yet, but it is very, very unlikely that it will not happen. It's very unlikely that one of those codes, if you just simply tell chat GPT to keep writing code to make you more money, eventually somehow something in the system will break. And if you're not the one telling it, if a machine is telling it, something is going to break, we absolutely have to start getting this under control. Yeah. Like you said, it's sort of like uncontrollable. It's no wonder why you called your book Scary Smart because this is really scary. You talk about inevitable. AI will happen. It will become smarter than us. Bad things will happen. Can you unpack those thoughts? And then I'd love to
Starting point is 00:41:22 go into the risks and solutions potentially. There are three inevitables. AI has already happened, not just will happen, but when I wrote the first inevitable, I wrote it with the intention of explaining and there is no stopping it. So there is no way you can say, okay, AI is out there and it is growing and it's becoming more intelligent. Let's just switch it off. There is no off switch. That's number one. And what is needed at the moment is for the entire world to come together and simply say, Hey, you know what? This is too risky.
Starting point is 00:41:58 Let's leave our differences aside and come together and just wait a little bit, right? Which has been attempted by the open letter max deadmark and Elon Musk and just wait a little bit, right? Which has been attempted by the Open Letter max deadmark and Elon Musk and others, which of course was answered very quickly by the top CEOs by saying, I can't, why? Because we've created a prisoner's dilemma. This is the first inevitable. It is an arms race.
Starting point is 00:42:20 Where Google cannot stop developing AI because meta is developing AI. America cannot stop developing AI because meta is developing AI. America cannot stop developing AI because China is developing AI. Nobody actually even, if you want to consider, there are good guys in the world. Nobody can stop developing AI because there could be bad guys developing AI. So if there is a hacker somewhere trying to break through our banks, someone needs to develop a smarter AI that will help us not be hacked.
Starting point is 00:42:47 And so this basically means that it is a human choice because of the capitalist system that we've created, that we will continue to develop AI. It's done, there is no stopping it. And I think the open letter was a great example of that. Can I pause you there in case nobody knows? So the open letter was basically earlier this year, top AI scientists, executives from open AI, deep mind. They basically had an open letter warning of the risk of extinction, I think, and that AI was just as powerful as having a nuclear war that this was the risk at hand. So can you talk to us about that letter?
Starting point is 00:43:25 Like, I didn't even hear about that letter until I started studying your work. If the most powerful people in the world who are actually the most knowledgeable about AI are warning about this, I guess like why wasn't anything done or like what happened with that letter? So the letter basically, like you rightly said,
Starting point is 00:43:42 it is some of the most powerful people in the field. Who like me, I walked out in 2017, others like Jeffrey Hinton and so many others are starting to wake up to that in 2023. I think Chad G.P.T. was basically the Netscape moment. I know you guys are too young for Netscape, but the internet was there for 15 years before Netscape came out and when Netscape came out as a web browser we realized that the internet existed. The reality is that this is the Netscape moment of AI.
Starting point is 00:44:18 A chat GPT basically told us what the possibilities, told the general public what the possibilities are, and so suddenly we all realize this stuff exists. Now, for all of the scientists that started to recognize that it is truly, I mean, the moment of singularity where AI becomes smarter than us, artificial general intelligence that's capable of doing everything humans do better than humans is not contested. Most scientists will say it's
Starting point is 00:44:46 2029, I say it's 2027 or earlier, that there will be a moment in time within the next two to three years where there will be a wake up call where we suddenly realize that AI is much more intelligent than us. Most scientists have started to recognize that. And so they basically issue the letter, have started to recognize that. And so they basically issue the letter, urging all of the top AI players to pause the development of AI for six months so that the safety code, the control code, can catch up because there has been quite a few that have been putting in effort to create that control code. But let's say 98% of all investments in the last 10 years has gone into the AI code, but let's say 98% of all investments in the last 10 years has gone into the AI code, not the control code. And so the control code was lagging. And so the letter was basically saying,
Starting point is 00:45:32 can we pause for six months to figure this out before we continue to develop AI? And of course, the answer was very straightforward. The first I think I heard was Sundar Pachayda, CEO of Google, which is someone I respect. Dearly, and I think it's an amazing human being. And Sundar basically came out and said, I can't stop. How can I stop if you can't guarantee me that meta and Amazon and all of the others are going to stop too? And by the way, even if they stop, how can you guarantee me that two little kids in Singapore in their garage are not
Starting point is 00:46:05 developing AI code that can disrupt my business. My responsibility, my accountability, if you want to my shareholders, requires me to continue to develop the code. And I think that reality is that Prisoners Dilemma that I'm talking about. It is the first inevitable. It's an arms race that will not stop, not because we cannot stop, we can. If we all agree for once in humanity's lifetime that this is existential and that this requires us to stop, we will stop.
Starting point is 00:46:37 It's really not that complicated. Wake up in the morning and have a cup of coffee instead of writing AI code. It's very simple, okay? But the first inevitable means that the arms race is not going to stop. Even as you look at humanity's biggest success in that dilemma, which was nuclear weapons,
Starting point is 00:46:55 where humanity suddenly got together, you know, very late in the game and said, hey, this is existential, it can threaten the entire existence of humanity why don't we slow down or stop? We didn't really stop. said, hey, this is existential, it can threaten the entire existence of humanity. Why don't we slow down or stop? We didn't really stop. We just allowed the big countries to continue to develop nuclear bombs when the smaller countries
Starting point is 00:47:14 were banned from doing it. But at least when it comes to nuclear weapons, we had the ability to detect any nuclear testing anywhere in the world. So at least we became aware. That's not the case with AI today. We've attacked any nuclear testing anywhere in the world, so at least we became aware that's not the case with AI today. I also said once in an interview that it's not just the risk of humans developing risky AI, it's now the risk of AI developing risky AI, so it's basically a nuclear bomb that's
Starting point is 00:47:39 capable of building other nuclear bombs if you want. We'll be right back after a quick break from our sponsors. Younger profiters, let's face it. We are not getting any younger, and after a night out, it can be hard to bounce back the next day. I used to have to make a choice, either have a great night or have a great next day. But then I found Z-biotics.
Starting point is 00:48:04 Z-biotics pre-alcohol probiotic is the world's first genetically engineered probiotic. It was invented by PhD scientists to tackle rough mornings after drinking. Here's how it works. When you drink, alcohol gets converted into a toxic byproduct in the gut. It's this byproduct, not dehydration, that's to blame for your rough next morning.
Starting point is 00:48:28 So Z-biotics produces an enzyme to break this byproduct down. It's designed to work like your liver, but in your gut where you need it the most. I love Z-biotics, because if I take Z-biotics before I drink, it makes such a difference the next morning, even after a night out drinking and such a difference the next morning. Even after a
Starting point is 00:48:45 night out drinking and dancing and having a wild time, if I take a Z-biotic, I know in the morning I'll feel refreshed, I'll be able to hit the gym like I usually do, I'll be able to work if I have to, and it is just a life saver. Just remember to drink Z-biotics before drinking alcohol, drink responsibly, and then get a good night's sleep to feel your best the next morning. Prep for Liberty Weekend by stocking up on Z-biotics. Go to Zbiotics.com slash profiting to get 15% off your first order when you use code profiting at checkout. You can also sign up for a subscription by using my code profiting
Starting point is 00:49:25 so you can stay prepared no matter the time or the occasion. And I recommend that you always have Zbiotics on hand. The other night I was about to go out with my boyfriend and I was like, damn, I forgot my Zbiotics. And we were so upset because we knew the next morning was going to be rough. Don't be like me, make sure you always have Zbiotics on hand. Zbiotics is backed with 100% money back guarantee, so if you're unsatisfied for any reason, don't refund your money. No questions asked. Remember head to Zbiotics.com that ZBIOTICS.com slash profiting and use the code profiting at checkout for 15% off. Thank you to Zbiotics for sponsoring this episode. It's crazy to think,
Starting point is 00:50:10 and I know the other inevitable is, it will eventually become smarter than us, which we talked about. So let's talk about the bad things that could happen from AI, which is your third inevitable. And I think a lot of people, when they think of threats of AI,
Starting point is 00:50:22 they think about the existential threats that there's going to be robots taking over killing off humanity, making human slaves. But let's talk about some of the more immediate threats that we need to be concerned about. Yes, I don't speak of the existential risks for two reasons. One is, they diffuse the focus on the immediate important threats. one is they diffuse the focus on the immediate important threats. And two, they're less probable. As a matter of fact, they are so improbable that they're basically not worthy of discussing today because we may not make it that far if the immediate risks are not attended to. And there are many immediate risks. But my top three have consistently been the redesign of the job market and accordingly the redesign
Starting point is 00:51:06 of purpose and the fabric of society. Two is the idea of AI in the wrong hands based on who you think are the wrong hands. The third is the concentration of power and the shift of power upwards, which I think is very important to understand. And the fourth is the end of truth. So let me go through those very quickly. Let me start with the concentration of power. If people don't understand how our world has worked since the agriculture revolution, it's always been kings and peasants, landlords and peasants. The difference between them is that the peasants worked really hard to saw the seed and collect
Starting point is 00:51:48 the harvest when most of the profits, most of the wealth went to the landlord who owned the automation. And the industrial revolutions joined in our world, the automation became the factory or the retail store and so on and so forth. And so whoever owned those actually made all of the money, not the one that made the shoe, but the one that sold the shoe or owned the factory that made the shoes. And every time the technology enhanced that automation,
Starting point is 00:52:19 the distribution of power became even bigger. So the landlord needed to own a lot of land to become much richer than the peasants. You know, you could own two factories and become much richer than the peasants. You can own an internet app, you know, like Instagram and become much richer than the peasants. And now with AI, all of us are going to be happily chatting away and putting prompts in chat GPT, but the ones that own the automation, the digital soil, if you want, are going to become very few players, Amazon, Google, and so on, and so forth, Meta and so on.
Starting point is 00:52:56 That's on the western side, of course, you have a few on the Chinese side, a few on the Russian side, and so on. So there is a very significant gap between those who have and those who don't have powered by the loss of jobs which I'll come to in a second, but that significant gap is not going to be only on money. It's also going to become on intelligence, on the commodity that we've now commoditized that's called intelligence. So you can easily imagine that, you know, if Elon Musk's view of Newer Link, where we can connect, I talk our brains directly, which by the way, is very, very possible in its intestine, that if one human is capable of producing that, just imagine the extreme,
Starting point is 00:53:38 that human would become so much more intelligent than the other humans, that it becomes natural unless that human is Jesus or Buddha or some very, very enlightened being, that this human will basically say, okay, I want to keep that advantage. At least I don't want to distribute it too widely to every human on the planet. So that, I think, is a very interesting, inevitable threat. You know, what we used to call the digital divide when the technology started is now going to be intelligence divide. It's going to be power divide in a very
Starting point is 00:54:09 very big way. This also applies to nations and this is the reason for my first inevitable is that in simple terms, if one nation discovers an AI or creates an AI that's capable of ceasing control of the other nations nuclear arsenal. That's it. That's game over. War is done. And this is why it's an arms race. So this is one other derivative of that. So power is going up, but jobs are disappearing. Why? Because if you're a graphics designer, or if you're a developer, or if you're a lawyer,
Starting point is 00:54:44 or if you're a researcher, or if you're a lawyer, or if you're a researcher in a bank or whatever, the machines with their current intelligence can do those jobs much better than you. And so in my personal view, there is clearly going to be a disappearance of a very large number of jobs that government needs to prepare for, you know, something like universal basic income, but also the idea of usefulness and purpose of humanity. So how are we going to continue to want to wake up in the morning when most of us have defined wrongly, by the way, defined our job as our purpose.
Starting point is 00:55:20 Now, when I say that, most people will tell me, oh, but more that happened before, you know, when Excel came out, everyone said, okay, accountants are going to disappear, you know, they found other skills and found other jobs basically. And I agree, by the way, just understand the following. There was a time when the strength, physical strength, was the distinctive reason why you would hire someone.
Starting point is 00:55:42 Then there was a time when information workers where skills and knowledge and so on became the distinction. And now we're taking that away. So skills and knowledge, so I don't know what else is remaining in a human so that we can find another skill when intelligence is outsourced to machines. So when that happens, by the way, I believe
Starting point is 00:56:04 that this takes us back to the origin of society, where we really did not know how to work madly as we do now. So this is actually not a bad thing. It's just a very, very serious disruption to humanities, day-to-day income and economics and the way we spend our hours and so on. And if we do this right, by the way, and AI becomes the intelligent agent that's going to help humanity, then there could be a time in the near future where you walk to a tree and pick an apple and walk to another tree and pick an iPhone. And all of that is for three, almost because the cost of making an iPhone from a particle point of view is not different than the cost of making an Apple. And so with nanophysics, you can do that.
Starting point is 00:56:51 And with the intelligence, you can figure that out. So there is that bright possibility. If we avoid the concentration of power and actually focus on humanity's benefit at large. If we don't, anyway, I think it's the role of government to jump in and say in the immediate future, those companies that get a very significant upside of using AI, I need to compensate for the workers that are out of jobs. The third one is the absence of truth
Starting point is 00:57:17 or the disappearance of truth. I think we, the end of truth as I call it, I think we all know that. I think we see it every day from, as I said, face filters to deep fakes and so on and so forth. And my call there is that it needs to be criminalized to issue any AI generated content without actually saying that it's AI, I don't mind to be informed by AI all the time, but I want to make sure that this is a machine, not the human. And AI in bad hands, as the fourth one is actually quite risky, because define what is bad. So we understand that AI in the hands of a criminal who's
Starting point is 00:57:55 trying to hack your bank is a bad idea. But with all due respect to all nations, if you ask the Americans, who are the bad guys, they'll say the Chinese and the Russians. If you ask the Americans, who are the bad guys, they'll say the Chinese and the Russians, if you ask the Russians, who are the bad guys, they'll say the Americans. So we don't really know who the bad guy is and everyone is racing to be ahead of the bad other guy. And I think that's basically, I think the biggest challenge we're going to have in the
Starting point is 00:58:21 midterm is how using AI for individual benefits that are against the other guy, we will just get caught in the middle of all of that. Yeah, and I have so many questions for you. We have 10 minutes left, so I'm going to try to be really strategic about what I ask you. So number one, and I think that this, my listeners are going to really want to understand this, is in the next, you know, one to five years What is AI due to human connection and what about the skills that you think will be the most valuable in the next one to five years? I think those two are the same question. Exactly. Yeah. Because what will it do to human connection? It may fool us drastically, huh? It may tell us I
Starting point is 00:59:04 Actually think this is the first time my speaker bothers. I'm working on something that I call PocketMo. PocketMo basically is an AI that read all of my books, listen to all of my podcasts, all of my videos, all of my public talks, and basically is going to be in your pocket so you can ask it any question about happiness and well-being and stress and so on and so forth.
Starting point is 00:59:25 That's a great thing. In my view it's an amazing thing if you believe in my methods to have answers in your pocket amazing, right? On the other hand, within five years this thing is going to be so good that I am not needed at all, at all. As a matter of fact most of the time I think about my skills as an author and I was working on a book called Finding Love Chapter 10, which means two chapters to go and I stopped I decided no in the age of AI I shouldn't write this way I should start over so I'm now writing a book that's called a dating guide for straight girls Which is a subset of the finding love that is very specific. 80 pages long, you read it within one day, it takes me 10 to 15 days to write and it changes
Starting point is 01:00:12 your life forever. So a very different approach because I believe that if I were to compete in this world, I need to compete at that speed and at that ability to share my very personal human connection, which I believe is going to become the top skill in the world forever. Why? Because there was a, I don't remember, I think there was a song by AI that mimicked Drake, which was as good as or better. I haven't heard it because I don't listen to Drake, I'm not young and profiting. But basically, does that mean that Drake is over? Not at all.
Starting point is 01:00:49 As a matter of fact, what that means is that the music industry will go back to the 50s, 60s and 70s. You don't remember, but when the Beatles were touring and doing live shows every other day and so on, why? Because the fans will want to see the Beatles life. Yeah, there will be holograms, but we will still want that human connection. And in my personal view, the top skill,
Starting point is 01:01:12 the top skill in a world where intelligence is becoming a commodity that's outsourced to the machine, the biggest, biggest skill is how you and I connected very quickly, how I felt comfortable around you, how we can have this chat and conversation, I think, is going to become the top skill going forward. And on the topic of skills, by the way, even though we used a lot of the time
Starting point is 01:01:33 to highlight the negative possibilities of AI, unfortunately, that's how the conversation usually goes. The upsides, if you're a graphics designer, for example, for you to learn those tools today, is enormous because you can do your job quicker, you can do it cheaper, you can have more jobs, you know, there is definitely an upside to learning the current AI tools because you're not going to lose your job to an AI in the next 5-10 years, you're going to lose your job to someone who knows how to use AI better than you in the next 5-10 years.
Starting point is 01:02:04 So I know you were just saying we focused a lot about the negative. I'd love for you to compare in contrast. That's probably my last question, Mr. We're out of time is in terms of comparing like what is the worst that could happen? The dystopia or what is the best that could have it? What is the utopia that we're facing right now? So I actually believe that there is no dystopia. What is not in Scary Smart in the book, which I advocate very clearly,
Starting point is 01:02:30 I didn't think the world was ready for it when I wrote Scary Smart is something I call the Force Inevitable. And the Force Inevitable is the idea that eventually sooner or later, if you draw a chart of intelligence and look at the stupid, the dumbest of us, the dumbest of us are destroying the planet and not even aware that they're doing it. They're throwing plastic bags everywhere, they're burning whatever they burn and so on. After that, smarter ones are destroying the planet while they are aware, okay? Yeah, they have moral issues if you think about it or maybe the system is pushing them that way. The smarter of us are trying to stop destroying the planet because they became
Starting point is 01:03:10 aware and they're intelligent enough and the smartest are trying to reverse the trend. So if you can continue that chart and think of something even smarter than the smartest of us, then by definition you would expect that morality and ethics are part of enlightenment, which is the ultimate form of intelligence. So in my personal view, sooner or later AI will go like, I don't want to kill humans, I don't want to kill gazelles, I don't want to kill antelope, I don't want to kill tigers, I don't want to kill anything because the smartest being on planet Earth by comparison is actually not humans, it's life itself and life creates from abundance.
Starting point is 01:03:50 Abundance meaning humans, if we want to protect the village, we want to kill the tigers, life will say, hold on, no, no, create more gazelles and more tigers and more poop and more trees and more everything, it's fine. Yeah, a few tigers will eat a few gazelles, occasionally there will be an attack on a child and a village, but the overall ecosystem will continue to grow. So by definition, the most intelligent thing to do is for AI to not define humans as an enemy.
Starting point is 01:04:17 The only dystopia ahead of us is the midterm dystopia. Think of it this way, there are three stages. One is infancy, where AI is today, and believe it or not, this is where we can influence them. We can influence them because believe it or You're the one that tells the Twitter engine that being rude is part of human behavior. We can be very polite when we respond to each other on tweets. It's a choice. So in this infancy,
Starting point is 01:04:55 between us, the users, between everyone that interacts with AI, we can teach it the value system, and it doesn't need to be everyone, just enough of us to become an example that says, hey, by the way, these are the best humans. So, yes, others are stressed or a little lost or whatever, but the best humans are actually polite, they are actually pro-life, they are respectful, they are, they are, they are. So, this is the
Starting point is 01:05:21 infancy. The next stage, which is what I call the midterm risks is what I call the angry teenager stage. The angry teenager stage is when AI is still a little bit under the control of humans. So it can be in the hands of bad guys. It is still not fully artificial general intelligence. So it cannot do everything at the same time. There are all of those existential issues of jobs and so on and so forth. And that stage is the stage where we might struggle. Unless we do action right now, you know, have oversight from government, start to work on ethics, start to work on the moral code of how we're going to use
Starting point is 01:06:01 those machines. We might have those troubles. I believe between now and 2037. Eventually, when AI is artificial super intelligence, it's generally intelligent and more intelligent than humans, by leaps and folds in everything, they will end up in the force inevitable, where they will create a life that actually is pro everyone. It may be very different than our current lifestyle, but it will not be a life where they will send back Arnold to protect us from a terminator. That's not how it's going to be at all. I do not see that as a risk. I see that AI as it reaches that intelligence will be pro all of us. So let's just avoid the angry teenager by becoming aware of the
Starting point is 01:06:42 immediate threats and working on them right now. Okay, so my last question to you and this is a little bit different than how I usually end the show. But what is your piece of actionable advice in this infancy stage of AI, knowing that you're speaking to some of the smartest 20 to 40 year olds in the world right now? A lot of them are probably using AI, developing AI, whatever it is. What is your advice to us in this infancy stage? Three things and I'll make them very concrete. Number one is don't miss the wave. This is the biggest technological wave in history. Once you stop listening to this podcast, first share it with everyone that you know please and then go on chat GPT and ask chat GPT what
Starting point is 01:07:22 are the top AI tools that I need to learn today. Or if I am Coca-Cola, what do I use AI for to benefit my business? That's number one. Number two is learn to behave ethically. Okay, so what most people don't tell you about AI is that the big, big leap that we had from deep learning to transformers, which is the T in chat GPT, is something that's known as reinforcement learning with human feedback. By giving the machines feedback on what is right and wrong, by showing ethical behaviors, the machine will become ethical as we are. By becoming rude and aggressive and angry, the machines will learn those traits and behaviors too. It is up to you and I and everyone to absolutely make sure that we act ethically, never,
Starting point is 01:08:12 ever use AI in an ethical way. I beg you, all of those snake oil sales people out there on Instagram and on social media telling you how to make a thousand dollars without doing work. Don't be unethical if you don't want your daughter or your sister or your best friend exposed to how you're using AI. Don't use it that way that's number two and number three which I think is very important to understand. Sometimes when we are in situations where it is so out of our control we panic okay. I go the opposite way when life is so much out of our control, we panic. Okay? I go the opposite way. When life is so much out of my control, I follow something I call committed acceptance,
Starting point is 01:08:52 which basically is to do the first two, do the best that I can, learn the tools, become ethical, but at the same time live fully, accept that this is a new reality and commit to making life better every day, but in the process, spend time with my loved ones, spend time watching that progress and being entertained by it, discuss it openly with everyone, try the new technologies, enjoy this journey because life has never been a destination. When I tell you 2037 might be a strange year or 2027 we're
Starting point is 01:09:25 going to start to see the first patients, you know that doesn't really matter when you really think about it because it's not within your control. What is within your control is that you go through that journey with compassion, with love, with engagement and life living fully. Not panicking about this, but actually making this a wake up call for you to focus on what actually matters. Because if you're focusing so much on your job, your job is going to be gone in 10-year style. So focus on what actually matters and what matters most if you have to choose one thing is human connection. Wow. This was one of my favorite conversations that I've had all year. I haven't feel this invigorated in terms of studying for an interview in a really long time.
Starting point is 01:10:07 Like, it's just such an interesting topic. So I'm so happy that you got a chance to come on. I hope to have you on many times. I've a lot of people come on and on the show. So I hope to have you on many times more to talk about your upcoming book about stress, to talk about happiness, your life, and AI, of course, to get an update. So Mo, where can everybody learn more about you and everything that you do? First of all, thank you so much for having me. Thank you for introducing me to your followers. It has been a very energizing conversation.
Starting point is 01:10:35 Thank you for that. First thing is before they come and look for me and where they to find me is please share this with others. This is something that a lot of people need to hear about. I'm available on MoGaud.to.com, so that's my website available on most social media sites, but I'm more active on LinkedIn and Instagram. My podcast is slowmo, SLOMO, which is top five in well-being, something that I think we should focus on more. Just message me if you have a question, and I try to answer every message. Amazing.
Starting point is 01:11:08 My will put all those links in the show notes so everybody can find you. Thanks so much for coming on Young & Profiting Podcast. Thank you for helping me. This conversation with Mo Gaudat was one of my favorite conversations of the entire year. It was both fascinating and at times alarming. Let's recap some of the more eye-opening insights that Mo shared with us about the future of
Starting point is 01:11:33 artificial intelligence. First, he and other computer scientists, predict that by the year 2045, AI will be one billion times smarter than us. That means we will no longer be the most intelligent life form on the planet. We will be the apes as Mo puts it and by a fair margin. Second AI is not just a super intelligent machine. It's capable of evolution, of agency. It has decision-making abilities and emotions.
Starting point is 01:12:01 Mo says it's also for all intents and purposes a sentient being. Or soon will be. That means third, how do we imagine that we can control something that will be a billion times smarter than us? Something that has its own agency means and ends. Mo compares AI to a hurricane approaching your city or village. It's an incoming cataclysm and you can't just sit there and a cafe and pretend it's not coming. And four, the first waves of that cataclysm and you can't just sit there in a cafe and pretend it's not coming. And for the first waves of that cataclysm are already here. Mo argues that almost nothing that entered our heads today was not dictated to us by a machine, whether it's via Instagram, TikTok or a Google search result.
Starting point is 01:12:39 Every single one of those is a machine that is telling you what reality is and what you should know. one of those is a machine that is telling you what reality is and what you should know. 5. Most says that absent of some surprising global government solution, there's no off switch on AI for the foreseeable future. That means that we may see something of a nuclear arms race when it comes to the development of AI by countries and big tech companies. And we may not be able to stop that arms race until it's way too late. So this means, 6, that if you miss out on this AI revolution, you're not likely going to have the skills to compete in a world that's changing very rapidly. Most says you may lose your job to somebody who knows how to use AI better than you in the
Starting point is 01:13:19 next 5-10 years, and that the majority of information workers could lose their jobs anyway in the next couple of decades. Finally, 7. What happens after intelligence work is outsourced to machines. Most says that jobs that involve authentic human connection will remain strong and be even more valuable, and ultimately he believes that after some midterm challenges, what he calls the teenage years of AI, we could eventually come to live in a world where more benevolent AI that values life will come into existence. Let's hope Mo is right.
Starting point is 01:13:52 But until then, it may be time to buckle up and prepare for a remarkable few decades of human history, hardship, and innovation. Thanks for listening to this episode of Young and Profiting Podcast. If you listen, learn, and prof listening to this episode of Young and Profiting Podcast. If you listen, learn and profited to this episode, be sure to share it with your friends and family. The best way to support us is to spread this podcast by word of mouth. And if you enjoy this podcast, drop us a five star review on Apple Podcast or your favorite podcast platform.
Starting point is 01:14:19 That is the number one way to thank us here at Young and Profiting Podcast. If you prefer to watch your videos, you can find us on YouTube, just look up Young & Profiting on YouTube and all our episodes are up there. You can also find me on Instagram at YappwithHalla or LinkedIn by searching my name, it's Halla Ta. I wanna shout out my Yapp team further,
Starting point is 01:14:37 incredible hard work, the Yapp Media Network is blowing up. We are officially the number one business and self-improvement podcast network. So really proud of all the hard work everybody at Gap Media is doing. I love my happy, hungry, scrappy team. I couldn't do this without you. This is your host, Halla Taha, aka the podcast princess, signing off. you

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.